Hello friends. It’s the best golf week of the year and Sia, Joel, and Nick have a full DFS breakdown and bets for The Masters. Who do the guys think is going to be wearing the Green Jacket? Find out on The Masters DFS Breakdown
Make sure to check out more DFS and betting content at WinDailySports.com
Hello Friends and Welcome to the Masters: Initial Picks. The entire Win Daily PGA Team will have plenty of the usual content coming so stay tuned for that and stay tuned to Discord and the Win Daily Podcasts and Livestreams. Content related to course dynamics will come out later in the week (i.e. – The Insight Sheet), but I can tell you that I’m looking for ball strikers (OTT and APP) with a greater emphasis than usual OTT. Having the all-around game is certainly a bonus. One additional thing to keep in mind is that there are only 89 golfers in this field so ownership percentages will look a little higher than normal. More on that on our PGA show and in the Win Daily Sports Ownership Breakdown. Now let’s get to The Masters picks.
Dustin Johnson (11500) – The best in the world has been a little off lately, but he’s had a couple weeks to gather himself and even if the entire game isn’t pristine, he should do well. Pricing is soft as expected so there’s no issue with paying the heavy price and making a lineup you are comfortable with. Since 2015, DJ has finished 6th, 4th, 10th, 2nd and 1st at the Masters. No, that’s not a typo.
Bryson DeChambeau (10800) – Certainly a great course fit and the recent play checks out with a 3rd at the Players and a 1st at the API (match play struggles don’t worry me at all). Bryson’s finishes in previous Masters appearances are not great, but then again, most of those efforts he was literally a different player/species. I’m happy to take the upside at the heavy price.
Xander Schauffele (10000) – It’s early but I get the sense Xander is going to carry a slight ownership discount relative to big names right next to him like Patrick Cantlay, Collin Morikawa, Jordan Spieth and Justin Thomas. The truth is that Xander has been very mediocre as of late, but we know he has the all-around game to compete with the best, as he illustrated in 2019 with a 2nd place finish.
Patrick Cantlay (9800) – When you actually watch Cantlay play, nothing jumps off the screen relative to the Bryson’s and DJ’s of the world, but don’t be fooled as he is truly great in every area (OTT, APP, ARG and PUTT). A very fair price here.
Collin Morikawa (9600) – In 2020, Morikawa finished tied for 46th in his Masters debut. Now that he’s got some Masters experience under his belt, I’ll go ahead and lean on the ball striking and hope for a decent putting performance. Collin rates out as the best in the ball striker department (OTT and APP combined) since the beginning of this calendar year.
Viktor Hovland (8700) – Didn’t play in 2020, but did finish 32nd in his debut in 2019. Hovland’s ball striking is elite and his short game is coming along. If he were coming in with better recent form (3 below average tournaments in a row) then he’d be in the mid-9k range. I’m willing to take a chance on him in spite of the bad recent stretch.
Sungjae Im (8600) – Sungjae has been very consistent and has the game to succeed here, as evidenced by his 2nd place finish in his debut in 2020. His game translates to this course and his price gives you an easy and relatively safe mid-tier option to roster.
Sergio Garcia (7900) – Sergio has missed his last two cuts at The Masters, but he did win in 2017. He’s great OTT and great on APP and fits into my BS mold (Top 10 this Calendar year), but perhaps more importantly, his putting has picked up lately and I see no reason why he can’t contend here on Sunday.
Abraham Ancer (7400) – Granted, the 2020 track at the Masters is going to play differently than what we will have in 2021 (October versus April), but Ancer should come in with plenty of confidence as he finished T13 in 2020 in spite of a horrific 76 on Sunday. I like Ancer’s all-around game and expect him to outscore his price.
Joaquin Niemann (7400) – Plenty of upside with Neimann as he has been striking the ball very well in 2021. Those performances have translated into Top 30 finishes over his last 4 tournaments, which is good, but frankly I think he’s on the cusp of turning those Top 30’s into Top 15’s. Niemann has one appearance at The Masters which resulted in an MC in 2018.
Victor Perez (7000) – Very risky play who certainly won’t be in my core lineups, but his last two PGA Tour events he’s been very good with the ball striking and I’m hoping he may have found something to give your lineups big time ownership leverage as potential pivots from guys like Corey Conners.
Corey Conners (6900) – A great ball striker who is likely to be chalky so be prepared to pivot if needed. Conners is a touch underpriced here so I see value, particularly in cash game lineups. As for GPP’s, we will have plenty of pivots as the week progresses so stay tuned for those options as the content comes pouring out.
Si Woo Kim (6700) – Your ultimate hit or miss golfer who has had plenty of missed cuts in his recent play. With that said, he’s had some good showings as well with a 9th at the Players and some solid play at the Valero Texas Open. Add to that he’s got 3 Top 35’s his last 3 years at the Masters and you’ve got some upside here.
Ryan Palmer (6500) – Hasn’t played here in a long while but he does have plenty of experience at The Masters (his last appearance was a 33rd place finish in 2015). His ball striking game is too good to be this low in the pricing and he’s great value here.
Secret Weapon (less than 7k/less than 5% owned) – See you in The Win Daily Sports PGA Discord.
Don’t forget to tune into the PGA Livestream at 8:00 EST on Tuesday and don’t forget to subscribe to Win Daily Sports on YouTube and at the Apple Store.
Greetings from Austin, Texas. We have lots of information for you in the Valero Open Final Ownership Projections brought to you by Win Daily Sports. Last week Billy Horschel outdueled Scottie Scheffler about 2.3 miles from my driveway, and now there is another tourney 54 miles away in San Antonio. It reminds me that the best way to ruin a good walk is to bring your clubs.
We have some heavy chalk at the top of the board, remember to leverage your chalk with low-owned value players to gain leverage on the field.
Speaking of gaining leverage, everyone has been remarking on how nice Sia’s hair looks on the live stream, the golf staff at Win Daily Sports has figured out a way to capitalize on the market. We come up with hair cream, 99% water, and maybe WD 40? to use in a commercial. Remember those Chia Pet Commercials? This one would start Suh Suh Suh Sia, Suh Suh Suh Sia, and go into how the cream makes your hair a dream….just like Sia’s! It’s just a matter of time before Jason sends us a cease and desist letter, now that Michael isn’t hawking manscaping junk, we figured we needed a new angle. Patrick “Sharps” Scott won’t comment anymore on Morikawa’s whereabouts, and his children are so polite, Hi, little boy, what’s your name ? “ on advice from my dad Patrick, and counsel, I take the fifth, and refuse to answer.” such wonderful manners…..and courtroom maneuvering, probably learned from Sia, the lawyer with the good hair. Antonio keeps pumping out great articles and for those of you who travel the five boroughs, Isiah is trucking high explosives around on 3 hours of sleep so he can research golf. Researching golf is what we do here 24/7, with that said let’s get to The Valero Open Final Ownership Projections.
| PLAYER | OWNERSHIP % | SALARY | ||
| Spieth, Jordan | 24.6 | 10700 | ||
| Conners, Corey | 23.9 | 9500 | ||
| Finau, Tony | 21.2 | 11000 | ||
| Palmer, Ryan | 20.9 | 9400 | ||
| Scheffler, Scottie | 20.7 | 10400 | ||
| Ancer, Abraham | 20.6 | 9700 | ||
| Hoffman, Charlie | 20.0 | 9200 | ||
| Kirk, Chris | 19.1 | 8600 | ||
| Tringale, Cameron | 16.7 | 9300 | ||
| Steele, Brendan | 14.9 | 9100 | ||
| Kim, Si Woo | 14.9 | 8900 | ||
| Burns, Sam | 14.5 | 8000 | ||
| Ghim, Doug | 14.4 | 7300 | ||
| Bradley, Keegan | 13.4 | 8400 | ||
| Johnson, Zack | 13.4 | 8500 | ||
| Davis. Cameron | 13.2 | 8800 | ||
| Matsuyama, Hideki | 13.1 | 10100 | ||
| Griffin, Lanto | 12.1 | 8700 | ||
| Higgs, Harry | 11.5 | 7100 | ||
| Varner III, Harold | 10.7 | 7900 | ||
| Huh, John | 10.1 | 7400 | ||
| Ryder, Sam | 9.9 | 7400 | ||
| Grace, Branden | 9.8 | 7800 | ||
| NeSmith, Matthew | 8.5 | 7100 | ||
| Straka, Sepp | 8.5 | 7300 | ||
| Chappell, Kevin | 8.2 | 6900 | ||
| Moore, Ryan | 8.1 | 7900 | ||
| McCarthy, Denny | 7.9 | 7300 | ||
| Putnam, Andrew | 7.6 | 7600 | ||
| Howell III, Charlie | 7.5 | 7800 | ||
| Wise, Aaron | 7.2 | 8000 | ||
| Vegas, Jhonattan | 7.1 | 7400 | ||
| Sloan, Roger | 6.6 | 6700 | ||
| Munoz, Sebastian | 6.6 | 7600 | ||
| Long, Adam | 6.2 | 7200 | ||
| Fowler, Rickie | 5.9 | 8100 | ||
| Van Rooyen, Erik | 5.7 | 7500 | ||
| Champ, Cameron | 5.4 | 7000 | ||
| McDowell, Graeme | 4.8 | 6700 | ||
| Glover, Lucas | 4.7 | 7300 | ||
| Seiffert, Chase | 4.6 | 7100 | ||
| Woodland, Gary | 4.3 | 7600 | ||
| Hadwin, Adam | 4.3 | 8300 | ||
| Kizzire, Patton | 4.2 | 7200 | ||
| Furyk, Jim | 4.0 | 6800 | ||
| Dahmen, Joel | 4.0 | 8200 | ||
| Laird, Martin | 3.9 | 7100 | ||
| Willett, Danny | 3.7 | 7700 | ||
| Knox, Russell | 3.7 | 7000 | ||
| Kucher, Matt | 3.6 | 9000 | ||
| Taylor, Nick | 3.5 | 6900 | ||
| Gordon, Will | 3.5 | 6800 | ||
| Hoge, Tom | 3.3 | 7000 | ||
| Wallace, Matt | 3.3 | 7700 | ||
| Bhatia, Akshay | 3.2 | 6400 | ||
| Hoag, Bo | 3.0 | 6400 | ||
| An, B | 2.8 | 7500 | ||
| Garnett, Brice | 2.8 | 7000 | ||
| Mickelson, Phil | 2.8 | 7500 | ||
| Eckroat, Austin (a) | 2.9 | 6300 | ||
| Percy, Cameron | 2.9 | 6600 | ||
| Norlander, Henrik | 2.8 | 7100 | ||
| Redman, Doc | 2.8 | 6600 | ||
| List, Luke | 2.6 | 7000 | ||
| Stallings, Scott | 2.4 | 6600 | ||
| Malnati, Peter | 2.1 | 6500 | ||
| Rodgers, Patrick | 2.1 | 6800 | ||
| Wiesberger, Bernd | 2.1 | 7200 | ||
| Lashley, Nate | 2.0 | 6900 | ||
| Schenk, Adam | 1.6 | 6800 | ||
| Schwartzel, Charl | 1.6 | 6700 | ||
| Hagy, Brandon | 1.6 | 6700 | ||
| Stuard, Brian | 1.6 | 6700 | ||
| Perez, Pat | 1.3 | 6900 | ||
| Lee, KH | 1.3 | 7200 | ||
| Bramlett, Joseph | 1.3 | 6600 | ||
| Hadley, Chesson | 1.2 | 6600 | ||
| Lewis, Tom | 1.2 | 6800 | ||
| Duncan, Tyler | 1.2 | 6300 | ||
| Martin, Ben | 1.1 | 6600 | ||
| Sabbatini, Rory | 1.1 | 6900 | ||
| Whaley, Vincent | 0.9 | 6100 | ||
| Lee, Danny | 0.7 | 6500 | ||
| Mitchell, Keith | 0.7 | 6400 | ||
| Burgoon, Bronson | 0.6 | 6500 | ||
| Stanley, Kyle | 0.6 | 6500 | ||
| Villegas, Camilo | 0.6 | 6400 | ||
| Landry ,Andrew | 0.6 | 6700 | ||
| Bryan, Wesley | 0.6 | 6300 | ||
| Merritt, Troy | 0.6 | 6200 | ||
| Campos, Rafael | 0.6 | 6900 | ||
| Walker, Jimmy | 0.3 | 6100 | ||
| Snedeker, Brandt | 0.1 | 6600 | ||
| Lahiri, Anirban | 0.1 | 6300 | ||
| Lebioda, Hank | 0.1 | 6300 | ||
| Gay, Brian | 0.1 | 6300 | ||
| Hossler, Beau | 0.1 | 6300 | ||
| Dufner, Jason | 0.1 | 6500 | ||
| Cabrera-Bello, Rafa | 0.1 | 6700 | ||
| Trahan, DJ | 0.1 | 6000 | ||
| Aphibarnrat, Kiradech | 0.1 | 6100 | ||
| Hearn, David | 0.1 | 6300 | ||
| Choi, KJ | 0.1 | 6100 | ||
| Spaun, JJ | 0.1 | 6200 | ||
| Stenson, Henrik | 0.1 | 6400 | ||
| Watney, Nick | 0.1 | 6200 | ||
| Kim, Michael | 0.1 | 6100 | ||
| Points, DA | 0.1 | 6000 | ||
| ALL OTHERS | 0.0 |
Last week I had 5/6 golfers make it to the quarters on Saturday at the Dell Matchplay, on Sunday i was left with one, that’s DFS golf in a nutshell. The following are my picks for the Valero Open
High Tier: Jordan Spieth, Scottie Scheffler
Mid Tier: HV lll, Charles Howell lll, Corey Conners
Low Tier: John Huh
Out in Leftfield play: Austin Eckroat
Frisky Risky Biscuit play: Jimmy Walker* *Risky
Thank you for taking the time to review the Valero Open Final Ownership Projections from Win Daily Sports, we do appreciate it. Please take the time to review the articles by Sia, Patrick, and Antonio, and pay special attention to what Patrick learned about chalk, to win the $200,000 first prize, you have to go low ownership to offset any chalk, you just have to, you also have to tune into Discord later tonight to get the one, the only, the pre-Easter holiday itself, Sia’s Secret Weapon! We will all be in Discord tonight to assist with any questions, offer plays, and help with construction.
As always, I hope to be with you on Sunday afternoon, in the money. You can also come and hang out in the Win Daily Sports Discord Chat to talk it out with everyone before the lock!
SicilyKid/ Steven
It’s a solid field at this week’s PGA Tournament as this may be the last tune up for some golfers before The Masters. Sia Nejad and Joel give their The Valero Texas Open DFS Breakdown and bets as well.
Make sure to check out more DFS and betting content at WinDailySports.com
For some of the golfers this week, Valero is the final tune up before the Masters, and for others, this is the last tournament before they get to watch the Masters on TV next week. Either way, we have decent field that is likely going to be playing in moderately windy conditions at this 7500 yard Par 72 at TPC San Antonio. I’m looking for ball strikers as usual, but I will also give a slight bump to Driving Accuracy and ARG. With that said, we are looking for ball strikers this week as is typically the case. The Win Daily team has quite a bit coming for this tournament, but let’s get started with the Valero Texas Open: Initial Picks.
Corey Conners (9500) – The ultimate ball striker who has great recent history plus a great track record at this course as the defending champion. I like his chances at an outright win.
Ryan Palmer (9400) – An earlier exit than he would have liked last week, but he may have actually played better than Jon Rahm. This is a Texas guy that has been striking the ball great lately. I don’t love the price and you can easily pivot to a less popular golfer like Branden Steele, but Palmer is a solid play.
Cameron Tringale (9300) – I like every single guy in this 9k range but I do think Tringale and Steele may be slightly lesser owned than the rest of the range, and that’s why I like Tringale here. His track record here isn’t great but he did have a 17th place finish last year. I like his all around game and think he will be competing on Sunday.
Chris Kirk (8600) – Has been very good lately in the ball striking department and is piling up the good finishes as a result. 3 of his last 4 at Valero have resulted in Top 15’s so he’s clearly comfortable here.
Adam Hadwin (8300) – Hasn’t been on many people’s radar lately and that’s for good reason, but his swing is starting to remind me of a Hadwin from a couple years ago and I think he’s a sneaky GPP option.
Brendan Grace (7800) – Another sneaky GPP option who has a game that may be rounding into form. He also has a great track record here with two Top 10’s his last two efforts here (2017 and 2016). Add to that the wind is likely to be consistently in the double digits this week and he should handle that just fine.
John Huh (7400) – His track record here is average at best, but his ball striking as of late has been excellent and I think he has sneaky value at this price.
Doug Ghim (7300) – Typically a good ball striker who has recently flashed plenty of upside. Now that his price has come down to a more realistic number I think he has some value here.
Matthew NeSmith (7100) – We are looking for good ball strikers, and while NeSmith had a bit of a rough patch earlier this month, he appears to have bounced back with a 36th place finish at the Honda. If he reverts back to his solid ball striking that he started 2021 with, he’ll make the cut and get your lineups in the green.
Roger Sloan (6700) – No history here other than an MC in 2019 but he’s good enough OTT and on APP to make the cut. He’s got 3 Top 25’s in his last three tournaments. Mind you, 2 of those 3 were at alternate PGA events, but I like the upside here when you consider the price.
Secret Weapon (less than 7k/less than 5% owned) – Check out the SW every Wednesday night in the Win Daily Discord PGA Channel.
Check us out on the Win Daily PGA Livestream (on our YouTube channel and @windailysports) tonight and be sure to ‘smash’ that LIKE button and subscribe, rate and review the Win Daily Podcast on Apple Podcasts. See you tonight at 8:00 EST!
The Florida swing is finally over and the PGA Tour is now in Texas for the WGC Dell-Technologies Match Play. It is imperative that you print a bracket or look at a bracket while you are creating your DFS teams. Why? You need to try and create a lineup that provides the opportunity for your selected players to last as long as possible in the tournament. More on this on tonight’s PGA Livestream (it has also already been discussed in Discord but feel free to ask any questions there as well). As for this Initial Picks article, I’m going to do things a bit differently by providing my favorite picks from each group, starting on the Dustin Johnson side of the bracket and then going to the Justin Thomas side of the bracket. Tune into the Livestream to find out who me and Joel Schrek have in the Final Four for the WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play: Group Picks.
Dustin Johnson side of the bracket [Group Winners]
Dustin Johnson – When you look at the manner in which points can be racked up in this tournament, it’s hard not to like DJ, particularly due to his relatively easy group draw.
Sungjae Im – His group has potential everywhere but I like the consistency of Im and expect him to emerge over those in his group.
Webb Simpson – Paul Casey will be the most popular one in this group and that’s for good reason, but I do have a lean this week to good putters and will take the good putting and pedigree of Webb. Gooch is an interesting darkhorse here.
Bryson DeChambeau – He’s playing too well and his group is relatively easy. Could rack up points in a similar fashion as DJ in his group stage.
Tony Finau – he is the class of his group and I expect him to emerge, but if you are looking to save some DFS cash, the other options are appealing.
Viktor Hovland – It’s either Hovland or Ancer here. I like both, but I’m going with Hovland who I think has such incredible consistency week to week.
Max Homa – I’ll note that Collin Morikawa rates out very well here and I know that @sicilykid is all over him this week (and of course Patrick is as well), but my putter bias this week is going to fade the potential inconsistency of Mori’s putter. Homa is a grinder and has been playing well.
Justin Thomas side of the bracket [Group Winners]
Justin Thomas – He’s in the alleged “group of death” but I don’t think he has much to fear. JT’s opponents in this group have quite the history but their current form doesn’t measure up.
Jordan Spieth – I think match play is the perfect type of tournament for Spieth and I think someone with his iron game and red hot putting could win this thing.
Patrick Cantlay – I think Cantlay wins his group by default.
Patrick Reed – You can make an argument for anyone in this group and I think Niemann and CBez are very compelling options if you need the DFS discount. With that said, I just love Reed’s mental makeup and putting skills in match play.
Xander Shauffelle – plenty of upside in this group but I’ll take the consistent option.
Cam Smith – Everyone knows that I’ve never been on team Rory and that remains this week. Poulter’s match play record is outstanding but I prefer Cam’s overall game. With that said, Lanto and Poulter are solid pivots if you need the savings.
Brendon Todd – Not a fan of EVR or English this week and that just leaves Daniel Berger who is less than a week removed from a WD and days removed from an MRI. And he’s going to play the 7 rounds it will take to win this tournament? No thanks, give me the classically good ball striker who has a good putter.
Ryan Palmer – There will be plenty of upsets this week and one of my biggest will be Ryan Palmer to come out of the John Rahm group. Yes it’s risky but he can get hot at any moment and when he does, he can play with the big boys.
Thanks for checking out my WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play: Group Picks! See everyone tonight on the Livestream. It’s very important this week to tune into the Livestream OR listen to the Podcast as this format is very unique. Getting into Discord is important as usual too. See you there!
Greetings golf aficionados, this week we travel to PGA National, noted as the second hardest course on the PGA schedule, for your Honda Classic Final Ownership Projections. We have a weak field and getting weaker, with Daniel Berger withdrawing along with several others to dilute an already pedestrian field. This is the place to soak your balls so to speak, with water everywhere, and one missed shot could cost you the tourney.
Last week I talked about a formula for taking down the Milly Maker events, 50 to 60% total ownership on the first four golfers and a combined 10% for the last two. Last week’s million dollar plus winner had 50.3% ownership of the first four, and 10.1% of the last two. Again and again, it works, to everyone who picked Cantlay, Simpson, Fleetwood, Rory, Finau, etc, I truly wish you better luck this week. Nine of the top seventeen golfers missed the cut last week, this week I’ll be fading the top range again, except for one golfer.
The upcoming major, The Masters, my favorite, will have no less than four DraftKings million dollar tourneys, and it provides you various entry fees to go for the million. It doesn’t matter who, I just want someone from Win Daily Sports to take them down, all four will work just fine! Let’s warm up to the Masters by smashing the Honda Classic, to do so means understanding how Daniel Bergers late withdrawal put ownership % heavily on Sungjae IM and Joaquin Niemann, and how that affects the rest of the field, lets take a look at The Honda Classic Final Ownership Projections.
| PLAYER | OWNERSHIP | SALARY | ||
| Niemann, Joaquin | 32.6 | 10400 | ||
| Im, Sungjae | 26.7 | 11000 | ||
| Lowry, Shane | 18.9 | 9200 | ||
| Steele, Brendan | 18.9 | 8700 | ||
| Henley, Russell | 18.8 | 9800 | ||
| Gooch, Talor | 15.5 | 9300 | ||
| Davis. Cameron | 15.1 | 8600 | ||
| Tringale, Cameron | 14.2 | 9100 | ||
| Kirk, Chris | 13.0 | 9000 | ||
| Bradley, Keegan | 12.9 | 8400 | ||
| Streelman, Kevin | 12.9 | 7700 | ||
| Westwood, Lee | 12.0 | 10600 | ||
| Vegas, Jhonattan | 11.9 | 7300 | ||
| Clark, Wyndham | 11.4 | 8000 | ||
| Long, Adam | 11.4 | 7100 | ||
| Scott,Adam | 10.2 | 10100 | ||
| Poston, JT | 9.3 | 7900 | ||
| Kizzire, Patton | 9.2 | 7500 | ||
| Moore, Ryan | 8.9 | 7300 | ||
| Furyk, Jim | 8.9 | 6900 | ||
| Ghim, Doug | 8.4 | 8800 | ||
| Wu, Brandon | 8.3 | 7800 | ||
| Johnson, Zack | 8.3 | 7400 | ||
| Hahn, James | 8.3 | 7300 | ||
| List, Luke | 8.0 | 7500 | ||
| Jones, Matt | 7.8 | 7400 | ||
| Werenski, Richy | 7.7 | 7200 | ||
| Poulter, Ian | 7.6 | 8100 | ||
| Huh, John | 7.6 | 6900 | ||
| Fowler, Rickie | 7.4 | 8900 | ||
| Varner III, Harold | 7.3 | 7600 | ||
| Hoge, Tom | 7.2 | 6900 | ||
| Wallace, Matt | 6.9 | 8500 | ||
| NeSmith, Matthew | 6.9 | 7300 | ||
| An, B | 6.7 | 8000 | ||
| Hadwin, Adam | 6.6 | 7700 | ||
| Noren, Alex | 6.0 | 7700 | ||
| Thompson, Michael | 6.0 | 7500 | ||
| Glover, Lucas | 6.0 | 7000 | ||
| Knox, Russell | 5.7 | 7900 | ||
| Frittelli, Dylan | 5.7 | 8200 | ||
| McNealy, Maverick | 5.6 | 7200 | ||
| Sabbatini, Rory | 5.5 | 7200 | ||
| Lee, KH | 5.4 | 7500 | ||
| Hughes, Mackenzie | 5.4 | 7800 | ||
| Wise, Aaron | 5.4 | 7600 | ||
| Reavie, Chez | 5.3 | 7000 | ||
| Norlander, Henrik | 5.0 | 7400 | ||
| Percy, Cameron | 4.5 | 6900 | ||
| Van Rooyen | 4.4 | 7600 | ||
| Straka, Sepp | 4.2 | 6700 | ||
| Hoag, Bo | 4.1 | 6600 | ||
| Kaymer, Martin | 3.9 | 8300 | ||
| Taylor, Nick | 3.6 | 7100 | ||
| Mickelson, Phil | 3.3 | 7400 | ||
| Gordon, Will | 3.2 | 7100 | ||
| Higgs, Harry | 2.9 | 7100 | ||
| McCarthy, Denny | 2.9 | 6900 | ||
| Bryan, Wesley | 2.5 | 6800 | ||
| Schwartzel, Charl | 2.1 | 6800 | ||
| Mitchell, Keith | 2.0 | 7200 | ||
| Rodgers, Patrick | 1.9 | 7000 | ||
| Stallings, Scott | 1.8 | 6500 | ||
| Schenk, Adam | 1.6 | 6700 | ||
| Stricker, Steve | 1.6 | 6800 | ||
| Seiffert, Chase | 1.5 | 6200 | ||
| Landry ,Andrew | 1.4 | 6200 | ||
| Kraft, Kelly | 1.4 | 6000 | ||
| Stenson, Henrik | 1.4 | 6700 | ||
| Dufner, Jason | 1.4 | 6700 | ||
| Herbert, Lucas | 1.4 | 6800 | ||
| Garnett, Brice | 1.3 | 6300 | ||
| Malnati, Peter | 1.3 | 6900 | ||
| Lashley, Nate | 1.3 | 6700 | ||
| Stuard, Brian | 1.2 | 6300 | ||
| Burgoon, Bronson | 1.2 | 6600 | ||
| Hubbard, Mark | 1.1 | 7000 | ||
| Cink, Stewart | 1.1 | 6500 | ||
| Lewis, Tom | 1.1 | 7000 | ||
| Murray, Grayson | 1.1 | 6800 | ||
| Taylor, Vaughn | 1.0 | 6500 | ||
| Duncan, Tyler | 1.0 | 6400 | ||
| Perez, Pat | 0.9 | 6500 | ||
| Ryder, Sam | 0.8 | 6400 | ||
| Lebioda, Hank | 0.8 | 6000 | ||
| Walker, Jimmy | 0.8 | 6000 | ||
| Donald, Luke | 0.7 | |||
| Hadley, Chesson | 0.7 | 6600 | ||
| Cabrera-Bello, Rafa | 0.7 | 7200 | ||
| McDowell, Graeme | 0.7 | 6400 | ||
| Chappell, Kevin | 0.7 | 6300 | ||
| Sloan, Roger | 0.6 | 6500 | ||
| Swafford, Hudson | 0.6 | 6600 | ||
| Villegas, Camilo | 0.6 | 6100 | ||
| Hossler, Beau | 0.5 | 6100 | ||
| Gay, Brian | 0.5 | 6300 | ||
| Brown, Scott | 0.5 | 6500 | ||
| Cook, Austin | 0.4 | 6200 | ||
| Shelton, Robby | 0.3 | 6600 | ||
| Holmes, JB | 0.4 | 6500 | ||
| Singh, Vijay | 0.4 | 6000 | ||
| Campos, Rafael | 0.4 | 6600 | ||
| Harrington, Scott | 0.3 | 6300 | ||
| Spaun, JJ | 0.3 | 6100 | ||
| Kang, Sung | 0.2 | 6300 | ||
| O’Hair, Sean | 0.2 | 6300 | ||
| Zhang, Xinjun | 0.2 | 6200 | ||
| Lahiri, Anirban | 0.1 | 6300 | ||
| Ventura, Kristoffer | 0.1 | 6700 | ||
| Pan, CT | 0.1 | 6300 | ||
| Potter Jr., Ted | 0.1 | 6700 | ||
| Hearn, David | 0.1 | 6100 | ||
| Noh, Seung-Yul | 0.1 | 6200 | ||
| Choi, KJ | 0.1 | 6100 | ||
| Morin, Alan | 0.1 | 6000 | ||
| Kim, Michael | 0.1 | 6000 | ||
| Hearn, David | 0.1 | 6100 | ||
| Trahan, DJ | 0.0 | 6100 | ||
| Aphibarnrat, Kiradech | 0.0 | 6700 | ||
| Compton, Erik | 0.0 | 6200 | ||
| Stallings, Jr., Stephen | 0.0 | 6000 | ||
| Cappelen, Sebastian | 0.0 | 6100 | ||
| ALL OTHERS | 0.0 |
Last week I rode Sergio Garcia, Corey Conners, John Rahm, Chris Kirk and Doug Ghim to a 447 profit after expenses, I was up much more Saturday night, that’s how DFS golf works sometimes. This week I’m looking more for a safe and steady player than someone who takes risks, this course offers zero room for any error regardless of how slight. Here are my picks for The Honda Classic.
Top Tier: Adam Scott
Mid Tier: Kirk, Lowry, Gooch,
Lower Tier: Johnson, Wu
Out in Left: Furyk
Risky frisky biscuit play: Hoag* *Risky
Golf enthusiasts, thank you all for reviewing this report, normally I inject a few jokes to garner smiles from the aisles, but this week it’s all about the money. Please review the expert articles from Sia, Patrick and Antonio, and don’t miss the live stream with Michael Rasile, whose grandma had a birthday yesterday! Let her know it’s okay to play Fowler as long as he doesn’t go over 7% ownership. It’s just a value play, nothing too exciting. Also on that show are Sia and Joel, who’s rumored to be getting a solid gold statue from DK, like an Oscar for SD, he can’t put it in his safe, it’s chock full of DK cash. Also, Stix and Spencer have the Bettor Golf podcast, it’s getting rave reviews, check it out, and Spencer is using his magic on the SD for player picks and metrics for the rest of the tourney.
Last, but certainly not least, that’s right, in this corner, coming in with a record of 30-5, it’s Sia’s Secret Weapon! (wow for a guy with that kind of record, he’s got great hair!) Don’t miss this amazing pick, you all know it, want it, desire it, your needs will be met tonight in Discord! Sia’s Secret Weapon reveal later tonight! Only in Discord!
As always, I hope to be with you all on Sunday afternoon, in the money.
Sicily Kid/Steven
This week we have a very tough course with a very watered-down field, which may mean we will see even more carnage than last week. My focus will be on APP with OTT and ARG trailing close behind. Make sure you stay with us on the PGA Livestream and in Discord for updates as there are plenty of potential WD’s still to come and some wind concerns. See you tonight on the Livestream! Here is The Honda Classic: Initial Picks.
Daniel Berger (10800) – Over the last 12 rounds he’s gaining in a big way with the BS (both APP and OTT) and we know his outstanding pedigree goes well beyond a mere 12 rounds. He’s also from this area and has made three cuts in a row the last three years, including a 4th place finish last year. Note, we need to monitor his rib injury so stay tuned for more news on that.
Talor Gooch (9300) – Definitely a golfer on the rise. His pricetag is high and I’m hopeful that creates some ownership leverage, but we’ll need to wait for Steven’s article to confirm. The ball striking has been very good, particularly on APP and he typically gains in all categories. He’s coming off a 5th last week and a 20th on this course in 2020.
Cameron Tringale (9100) – In every tournament he’s played this calendar year, dating back to AmEx in January, he’s gained in Ball Striking. His only questionable ball striking tournament was the API where he lost on APP (but still gained in overall BS).
Chris Kirk (9000) – He has really played well this year with 5 out of 6 made cuts, including two Top 10 finishes. Last week the putter let him down, but he’s been great with the ball striking and the short game and should be there on Sunday.
Brendan Steele (8700) – A steady ball striker who I’m not typically selecting in DFS, but in a watered down field, he feels like a relatively safe play with upside. He’s been making cuts at a prolific rate and his last four on this track were 4th, MC, 14th and 14th.
Keegan Bradley (8400) – He gained almost 3 strokes on APP on Sunday at the Players. He’s one of the best ball strikers in this field and is starting to find the putter.
Kevin Streelman (7700) – He’s coming off a missed cut, mostly thanks to a bad putter, but the ball striking this year has been very good. A good course fit in spite of not having much success here in the past.
Cameron Percy (6900) – Has been very consistent in the ball striking department and gained in all SG metrics last week at the Players. He’s made 4 out of 6 cuts in 2021 and in this watered down field, I expect him to make the cut again.
Scott Stallings (6500) – He gained on APP every single tourney this year (he’s played in 5). He’s going to need to be average OTT and average with the short game, which he sometimes struggles with, but I’m willing to take the chance here.
Secret Weapon (Less than 7k/Less than 5% owned) – see you in Discord.
See everyone tonight and please be sure to be in Discord tomorrow as these picks develop and as more articles come in from the team.
Greetings, this is the week of The Players Championship Ownership Projections, where we separate the men from the boys. A few youngsters have snuck in with a win or two in its storied history which includes that famous island green, surrounded by water on the 17th hole. Rory once said, “when you walk off 16 you can’t help but look over at the 17th, and instantly a knot grows in your stomach.” The entire course is treacherous in places, and it will take calm nerves and a steel focus to best this beast of a course. While ownership projections are all well and good, don’t forget to hop into Discord later to get Sia’s Secret Weapon! He is 30-4 which is bizarre. I can’t wait for the Win Daily Sports Vegas Trip to give him all my money and see what he comes back with!
This is also the first milly maker, so it’s time to dust off that formula for success. If you play in an MME, or large GPP, do not expect more than your entry back plus ten bucks if you play the top four most popular golfers, which because of soft pricing you can do, please don’t if you want to score big bucks. You need four golfers who average about 15% ownership each, so a total of 60%, and you need two golfers whose combined ownership is no more than 10%, so for example, two 5% owned golfers, or a 7% owned and a 3% owned. This variance can help you get ahead of the field, and if you pick the right low-owned golfers, lead to a very nice payday. With such a talent-loaded field, ownership will play a key part in determining how well you do, let’s get right to the ownership projections!
| PLAYER | OWNERSHIP | SALARY | ||
| Cantlay, Patrick | 26.5 | 9200 | ||
| Thomas, Justin | 20.0 | 9900 | ||
| Morikawa, Collin | 19.7 | 9400 | ||
| Simpson, Webb | 19.4 | 9500 | ||
| Finau, Tony | 18.6 | 9100 | ||
| DeChambeau, Bryson | 17.3 | 9700 | ||
| Hatton, Tyrrell | 16.0 | 8500 | ||
| Niemann, Joaquin | 15.9 | 7700 | ||
| Hovland, Viktor | 15.7 | 9300 | ||
| Spieth, Jordan | 15.1 | 8600 | ||
| Rahm, Jon | 14.7 | 10900 | ||
| McIlory, Rory | 14.5 | 10600 | ||
| Johnson, Dustin | 14.3 | 11200 | ||
| Conners, Corey | 14.0 | 7400 | ||
| Ancer, Abraham | 13.4 | 7500 | ||
| Schaufflele, Xander | 13.1 | 10300 | ||
| Fleetwood, Tommy | 12.7 | 7900 | ||
| Zalatoris, Will | 12.0 | 7600 | ||
| Day, Jason | 11.8 | 8000 | ||
| Im, Sungjae | 11.3 | 8300 | ||
| Berger, Daniel | 11.3 | 8800 | ||
| Matsuyama, Hideki | 11.2 | 8700 | ||
| Kirk, Chris | 10.9 | 7000 | ||
| Fitzpatrick, Matthew | 10.6 | 8200 | ||
| Scheffler, Scottie | 9.8 | 8900 | ||
| Burns, Sam | 9.2 | 7300 | ||
| Reed, Patrick | 8.9 | 9000 | ||
| Bezuidenhout, Christiaan | 8.8 | 7100 | ||
| Smith, Cameron | 8.5 | 7900 | ||
| Horschel, Billy | 7.5 | 7700 | ||
| Oosthuizen, Louis | 7.4 | 7800 | ||
| Kokrak, Jason | 7.2 | 7700 | ||
| Garcia, Sergio | 7.1 | 7500 | ||
| Homa, Max | 7.0 | 7600 | ||
| Westwood, Lee | 6.9 | 7200 | ||
| Henley, Russell | 6.7 | 7400 | ||
| Grillo, Emiliano | 6.4 | 6700 | ||
| Scott, Adam | 6.2 | 8100 | ||
| Griffin, Lanto | 6.0 | 7300 | ||
| English, Harris | 5.7 | 7500 | ||
| Putnam, Andrew | 5.6 | 6300 | ||
| Vegas, Jhonattan | 5.5 | 6300 | ||
| Kim, Si Woo | 5.3 | 7300 | ||
| Bradley, Keegan | 5.3 | 6900 | ||
| Tringale, Cameron | 5.0 | 7200 | ||
| Na, Kevin | 5.0 | 7300 | ||
| Palmer, Ryan | 4.9 | 7300 | ||
| Davis, Cameron | 4.4 | 7100 | ||
| Kisner, Kevin | 4.2 | 7200 | ||
| Harman, Brian | 3.7 | 6900 | ||
| Ortiz, Carlos | 3.5 | 7400 | ||
| Steele, Brendan | 3.3 | 6700 | ||
| Poulter, Ian | 3.1 | 7100 | ||
| Hoffman, Charlie | 3.0 | 6800 | ||
| Molinari, Francesco | 2.9 | 7600 | ||
| Woodland, Gary | 2.6 | 6800 | ||
| Noren, Alex | 2.5 | 7000 | ||
| NeSmith, Matthew | 2.4 | 6700 | ||
| Ghim, Doug | 2.0 | 6200 | ||
| Rose, Justin | 1.9 | 7800 | ||
| Werenski, Richy | 1.9 | 6400 | ||
| Moore, Ryan | 1.7 | 6800 | ||
| Varner iii, Harold | 1.7 | 6700 | ||
| McCarthy, Denny | 1.7 | 6200 | ||
| Streelman, Kevin | 1.6 | 6800 | ||
| List, Luke | 1.4 | 6700 | ||
| Hoag, Bo | 1.3 | 6100 | ||
| Sabbatini, Rory | 1.3 | 6400 | ||
| Watson, Bubba | 1.1 | 7300 | ||
| Duncan, Tyler | 1.0 | 6100 | ||
| Norlander, Henrik | 1.0 | 6700 | ||
| Percy, Cameron | 1.0 | 6000 | ||
| Grace, Branden | 0.9 | 7000 | ||
| Dahmen, Joel | 0.8 | 6300 | ||
| Perez, Pat | 0.8 | 6000 | ||
| Long, Adam | 0.7 | 6300 | ||
| Todd, Brandon | 0.7 | 7100 | ||
| Kucher, Matt | 0.7 | 7200 | ||
| Reavie, Chez | 0.6 | 6500 | ||
| Redman, Doc | 0.6 | 6300 | ||
| Lashley, Nate | 0.6 | 6400 | ||
| Johnson, Zach | 0.5 | 6800 | ||
| Garnett, Brice | 0.5 | 6200 | ||
| Stallings, Scott | 0.5 | 6200 | ||
| Hughes, Mackenzie | 0.4 | 6600 | ||
| Lowry, Shane | 0.3 | 7100 | ||
| Knox, Russell | 0.3 | 6800 | ||
| Thompson, Michael | 0.3 | 6300 | ||
| Cook, Austin | 0.3 | 6000 | ||
| Stenson, Henrik | 0.3 | 6700 | ||
| Leishman, Marc | 0.3 | 7500 | ||
| Kang, Sung | 0.3 | 6000 | ||
| Gooch, Talor | 0.2 | 7000 | ||
| Champ, Cameron | 0.2 | 6600 | ||
| An, B | 0.2 | 7000 | ||
| Mitchell, Keith | 0.2 | 6200 | ||
| Glover, Lucas | 0.1 | 6500 | ||
| Rodgers, Patrick | 0.1 | 6400 | ||
| Schenk, Adam | 0.0 | 6400 | ||
| ALL OTHERS | 0.0 |
Last week my top low-tiered pick was Corey Conners, my out in left play was Doug Ghim, my frisky risky play was Martin Laird, I rode those three to a profit of 1900 after expenses. Here are my plays for this week:
Top Tier: Jon Rahm
Mid Tier: Scottie Scheffler, Adam Scott
Low Tier: Sergio Garcia, Chris Kirk
Out in Left Play: Cameron Tringale
Frisky Risky Biscuit Play: Brandon Todd* *Risky
Thanks to all you members who took the time to review my The Players Championship Ownership Projections, we appreciate it! It’s really cool to see all of you with your green screens after Sunday, let’s keep that rolling! Please don’t forget the articles loaded with great intel from Sia, Patrick, and Antonio, as well as the Tuesday night podcast with Michael Rasile, (absent this week, we heard he was testing a new gas-powered Manscaping product, get well soon Michael!) Sia, and Joel, aka Draft Master Flex, aka Moneybags Joel, aka The Corporation. Also the brand new and must-hear Bettor Golf podcast with Stix and Spencer and today’s guest who has more golf data than any of us because he’s ahead honcho at ESPN. If you want to make some serious money please give them a look, and let’s take down some money this weekend!
As always, I hope to be with you on Sunday afternoon, in the money.
Sicily Kid/ Steven
No Michael to steer the ship tonight, so Sia and Joel travel the treacherous seas together. Thankfully, they are the two that know golf and are here to give you the THE PLAYERS Championship Breakdown.
This huge star-studded field should be a great tournament giving us some great opportunities to watch golf, but to bet on it and play some DFS.
Sia and Joel also discuss this little bet that Joel put together last week that netted him another $30,000 off of $27. I personally would have cashed out because I’m a wimp, but Joel has a much bigger ego(?) than I do.
Make sure to check out the Win Daily Sports Betting Membership for even more shark plays and always be on top of the best lines on our Betting Lines page!
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