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This week the PGA Tour is back in Texas for the Charles Schwab Challenge.  This Par 70 is 7200 yards which is relatively short, bringing shorter hitters very much in play.  I’ll be focusing on APP from all ranges, but particularly 175 and below, and I will also be focusing on driving accuracy.  Accurate drives should set up nicely for solid ball strikers who can hit the relatively small greens, thereby avoiding the need to lean on ARG game.  You’ll see that theme throughout my Charles Schwab Challenge picks below.  Join us tonight for the Win Daily Sports PGA Livestream for more on all these picks and many more. And make sure you get into Discord on Wednesday for our final adjustments, ownership pivots and weather edges.

Collin Morikawa (10500) – After some time off Collin kicked it right back in gear with a Top 10 at the PGA Championship.  Morikawa is number 1 on APP over the last 24 rounds which is no surprise and he nearly won this thing last year with a 2nd place finish.  I’ll note that I also like Jordan Spieth and I have no issue with wanting to pay up for him.  If you’re looking for ownership leverage in this range, Patrick Reed and Daniel Berger are your guys.

Abraham Ancer (9700) – An elite ball striker who has made 8 cuts in a row while never finishing worse than 30th in that stretch.  Add to that three Top 10s in his last three tournaments and a 14th place finish last time on this course.  Number 1 in my model.  He will be garner a lot of ownership so know that going in.

Corey Conners (9400) – Another elite ball striker with a good track record on this course and good recent history.  His biggest downfall is ARG which shouldn’t be too big of a factor for an elite ball striker like Conners.  Another guy who is likely to have a lot of ownership.  If you’re looking for a low owned pivot in a big GPP, Jason Kokrak and Gary Woodland should be under 10%.

Charley Hoffman (8700) – You may sense a theme with the good ball strikers this week, and frankly, I think many others will gravitate to guys like Hoffman because of the value.  Hoffman has been a Top 20 machine (Top 20 finishes in 6 of his last 7 tournaments) and in this field I think he can deliver much more. 

Cameron Tringale (8100) – The strokes gained metrics took a considerable hit after a horrific Day 2 at the PGA Championship and I’m hopeful DFS’ers are weary of that and stay away from Tringale.  As for me, I think he’s a good course fit and I expect him to rebound nicely this week.  The game has been up and down lately so he’s more of a GPP play as opposed to cash.

Emiliano Grillo (7900) – Grillo is always a great ball striker who struggles with the short game, particularly the putter.  He’s best suited for shorter courses like this one where he doesn’t need to bomb it off the tee.  The APP game is in check as he was one of the best last week (gaining over 7 strokes on the field).  He actually gained a bit with the putter as well last week which is a great sign.

Chris Kirk (7600) – Kirk is not dominant in any one particular area, but he has a great all-around game, particularly when it comes to shorter courses.  There is definitely value here but if initial ownership projections are accurate, then I’m fine with pivoting off of him (I’m willing to eat some chalk, but Kirk will be one of my first pivots if he is highly owned.  Stay tuned for @SicilyKid ownership projection article on Wednesday evening).

Russell Knox (7300) – Russ has been pretty good as of late with three made cuts in a row.  His APP game has really been clicking and excels in the shorter APP proximities, which is what he will see for the most part this week.  The putting has been bad but he’s a veteran and I expect him to find his range.  His last three here have been MC, 8th and 20th.   He’ll be lower owned making him a very solid GPP play.

Matthew NeSmith (7300) – He’ll keep it in the fairway and will strike it well on APP.  As you might expect, the short game has some issues, but I’m happy to take my chances with NeSmith here.  He played The Charles Schwab Challenge for the first time in 2020 and finished 49th.  Another lower owned guy that will allow you to pick up some chalk in other spots.

Tom Hoge (6800) – A nice course fit as Hoge can keep it in the fairway and is great on APP (last 24 rounds he’s Top 10 in the field).  The big issue with Hoge is ARG and PUTT and it’ll need to be a leap of faith in terms of getting your lineup to the finish line, but this is a great course for Hoge so now is the time to consider rostering him.

Vincent Whaley (6200) – What if I told you that there is a guy priced at 6200 who has made 9 consecutive cuts (which rates as tied for the 4th longest cut streak on the PGA Tour).  What if that’s all that I told you, would you roster him?  I would.

Secret Weapon (less than 7k/less than 5% owned) – Current record is 35-8. See you in Discord. 

If you haven’t already, subscribe to Win Daily Sports on YouTube and at the Apple Store and check out all the content at windailysports.com. It’s also important to be in Discord Wednesday night as weather may be a factor in the final touches of your Charles Schwab lineups.

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Welcome to The Charles Schwab Challenge Final Ownership Projections, brought to you by WinDailySports.com, this week we are at a tree lined course that measures 7000 yards, it’s not a bombers course, this Texas course will require accuracy off the tee and an ability to finesse an approach shot from clubbing down off the fairway. Jordan Spieth has done so well here, all he has to do is wake up to get a top 5, supposedly. top contenders include Justin Thomas, Collin Morikawa, Patrick Reed and Abraham Ancer. Wind may play a small factor, please check in Discord later tonight for updated weather postings, the closer we get to lock, the more accurate the weather.

Last week Phil surprised the world, Koepka and Dechambeau exchanged pleasantries during an interview, and the PGA Championship made the golfers earn the title. Somewhere in Florida, there is a golfer named Eldrick “Tiger” Woods who is screaming for more rehab. faster rehab, we must get back on the course. Many years ago, before Tiger and Phil became good friends, they did a simulcast where both Phil and Tiger recorded an interview from their homes, this was before Phil had won at Augusta. When Tiger noticed Phil was seated in front of al his trophies, he didn’t say anything, a few minutes later he said, excuse me, its a little chilly in here, and put on one of his five green jackets. Rivalry exists and is alive and well on the PGA tour.

If you are brand new to Win Daily Sports, or have just started out, there are some excellent articles on bankroll management by Jason, the owner, and a new one by Stoweby, one of our finest contributors, that helps you manage the money you win, so you can get more.

Making money and keeping it is what we at Win Daily Sports are all about, lets get to the Charles Schwab Challenge Projections.

These figures are accurate as of 17:19 CST. Chalk may be slightly higher by lock.

These are my picks for the The Charles Schwab Challenge

Top Tier: Collin Morikawa, Jordan Spieth

Mid Tier: Abraham Ancer, Billy Horschel

Low Tier: Streelman, Gooch, Glover

Out in Left Play: Doc Redman

Frisky Risky Biscuit Play: Harold Varner lll* *Risky

Thank you again for reviewing the The Charles Schwab Final Ownership Projections article, we sure do appreciate it. I’ll be in the Discord Channel after this article comes out to answer any questions. Please review the articles by Sia, Patrick and Antonio to help determine your picks and lineups.

Do not forget that Sia’s Secret Weapon will be unleashed upon the Discord faithful later on tonight! Every week, under impossible rules, (set up by us, of course) he has to come up with a golfer that everyone hates, (under 5% ownership) that is dirt cheap, (6K range) due to absolutely no respect, and this golfer must bring joy and happiness to all the Discord and WDS faithful. Last week his pick paid off again, just like the other 38, against only 5 setbacks, what a record. Don’t forget to check Discord for late picks Wednesday evening, last week I released Phil Mickelson late, to a lot of snickering and good natured ribbing. If you haven’t listened to the better golf podcast, you should, Stix hit a 750-1 longshot with a golfer that was last seen working at Panda Express. Guys there is gold in the hills of Win Daily, we work hard to mine it daily, and get it to you so you can make a difference in your lineups, and hopefully in your routines with a life changing take down.

As always, I hope to be with you on Sunday afternoon, in the money. You can also come and hang out in the Win Daily Sports Discord Chat to talk it out with everyone before the lock!

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PGA Championship: Initial Picks

Sia

The year’s second major is upon us with the PGA Championship. This course is a 7876 Par 72 which is extremely long. Add to that the wind could be a big factor all week and you’re looking at tough scoring conditions. I’ll be focused on players with good long and short games and I will be keying in on OTT, APP (including from longer proximities, i.e. 175-200+) and ARG. More on course dynamics and SG metrics on our PGA Livestream and Podcast tomorrow at 8:00 EST. Now let’s get to the PGA Championship picks.

Rory Mcilroy (11500) – Tweaked his game a bit with the help of coach Steve Cowen and now looks to be in really good shape for a major takedown (pun obviously intended).  Even when Rory was allegedly playing poorly, he was pretty great OTT (rates out 6th over the last 50 rounds and is longest in driving distance in the field over last 24 rounds) and the rest of his game appears to be catching up.

Xander Schauffele (9600) – He checks all the boxes with a great all around game and has an excellent track record in majors. Xander isn’t as elite in any one metric relative to some of the other guys in this range, but he’s good at everything, and that’s what I’m looking for this week.

Viktor Hovland (9300) – Because of his anticipated popularity, I may end up liking Hovland more as a cash play rather than a tournament play, but we will need to wait and see projected ownership.  Hovland has had some bouts of bad play lately but overall he checks all the boxes other than some potential issues with ARG. 

Daniel Berger (8700) – I’ve never really been on team Berger, but I can’t deny how good he has been in terms of managing great finishes.  He’s been hovering around the Top 20 with finishes and with OTT and T2G metrics. He doesn’t hit the ball a long way like I’d prefer this week, but I’m willing to overlook that.  It’s not sexy, but it’s solid at this price.

Abraham Ancer (7900) – Ancer is another elite ball striker who has been piling up great finishes.  He’s Top 20 OTT over the last 50 rounds and rates out 2nd over the last 12 rounds.  The T2G game checks out too as he is Top 30 over last 50 rounds and 7th over the last 12 rounds.

Paul Casey (7700) – Not many flaws in the game for Paul Casey.  He doesn’t do anything particularly elite but he’s above average in pretty much everything.  He is as balanced as they come and I consider him a ‘safer’ play among the 7k range for the PGA Championship. 

Keegan Bradley (7300) – We get into some scary territory down in this range, but I’m happy to lean on Keegan as the ball striking checks out.  He has been a little shaky over the last 12 rounds OTT but over the last 50 rounds (and over his career as a whole) he’s been great OTT and APP.  The ARG game is good as well and it’ll just come down to the putter.

Charley Hoffman (7300) – He has been very good T2G and presents as a great value at this price.  Hits it long enough off the tee to be alright with the length of this course (305 yards last 24 rounds.  My preference is for the driving distance to be 300+ this week).

Si Woo Kim (7200) – A Pete Dye specialist who checks most of the boxes as he’s been great T2G (15th over last 50 rounds and 18th over last 12) and his ARG game is very good.  This feels like great value.

Jason Kokrak (7100) – I almost wrote up Matt Jones at this exact price, and I do like MJ, but I like Kokrak a bit better.  The ball striking has been great, but the ARG game can give him some issues.  Either way, I’ll take the upside with the ball striking and the good recent finishing positions.

Stewart Cink (6900) – The length of this course shouldn’t bother Cink (Top 10 OTT last 24 rounds) and I think he’ll be able to grind out a made cut with how well he’s been playing lately.  Beware of an ARG game that is less than stellar. 

Charl Schwartzel (6800) – I was all over him last week and it really paid off.  He’s been striking the ball very well and has the short game to check all the boxes.  Great value here.

Secret Weapon (under 7k/under 5% owned) – Current record is 35-7.  See you in Discord.

If you haven’t already, subscribe to Win Daily Sports on YouTube and at the Apple Store and check out all the content at windailysports.com. It’s also important to be in Discord Wednesday night as weather may be a factor in the final touches of your PGA Championship lineups.

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Welcome to The AT&T Byron Nelson Classic Final Ownership Projections, brought to you by WinDailySports.com, this week we are at a new course, TPC Craig Ranch for the tourney, a 7400+ par 72 that favors long drives and accurate approach shots. Scottie Scheffler, Will Zalatoris, Jordan Spieth and Ryan Palmer are all familiar with this course. Palmer holds the course record, and Zalatoris and Scheffler have played it since they were children. Scheffler won the Metro Championship on this course when he was 9 years old. Don’t be surprised if Madonna’s song, “this used to be my playground” comes up when they all tee off.

We talk about actionable data, information that allows you to make decisions that gets you better leverage over your competition. In two interviews recently, Hideki Matsuyama said after winning the Masters he went back home to Japan, where there were many celebrations and no golf. He stated that he now needs to find his game again to get ready for the PGA. With no practice, how does he find it this week? Jordan Spieth in an interview said he took some time off after winning, and he unexpectedly came down with Covid, which really altered his schedule, he has only played two rounds of golf in the last month, and not recently. He said he has a lot more rust to shake of than he thought he would at this point, although he said he feels Ok, and feels good. Two rounds of golf in a month may be a bit more than rust. I am fading these two players based on their own expression of where their game is right now, fading Spieth is a risk, he is too good, and if he plans on winning against a field that plays every single day, he’ll have to better than just good.

Antoine Rozner is a rising star on the European circuit, he has won twice in his last 10 tries, he is making his first PGA appearance here, what’s good about that is he will not be on the weighted stats models, or algorithm models, so he will be unknown and unowned. Doug Ghim is without a doubt the best value on the board, everyone knows this, he will be heavy, heavy chalk. Rostering them both can get you leverage in the big GPP’s. There is inherent risk in fading Spieth, and rostering a first timer from Europe, based on the information I have, it’s an acceptable risk versus reward to gain leverage in your contest field.

If you are brand new to Win Daily Sports, or have just started out, there are some excellent articles on bankroll management by Jason, the owner, and a new one by Stoweby, one of our best contributors, that helps you manage the money you win, so you can get more.

Making money and keeping it is what we at Win Daily Sports are all about, lets get to the AT&T Byron Nelson Final Ownership Projections.

PLAYEROWN %SALARY
Scheffler, Scottie26.29400
DeChambeau, Bryson21.811200
Ghim, Doug21.07500
Fitzpatrick, Mathew19.49500
Zalatoris,Will19.39700
Spieth, Jordan18.910700
Berger, Daniel18.810100
Rahm, John17.911000
Ortiz, Carlos14.47800
Palmer, Ryan13.99100
Kim, Si Woo13.68800
Gooch, Talor13.27900
Pieters, Thomas12.88600
Schwartzel, Charl12.78100
Vegas, Jhonattan12.47200
Wise, Aaron12.28300
Leishman, Marc11.89200
Koepka, Brooks10.79900
Champ, Cameron10.48000
Mitchell, Keith9.98000
Munoz, Sebastian9.67600
Kucher, Matt8.68200
Burns, Sam8.69300
Hoge, Tom8.57200
Clark, Wyndham8.47000
Catlin, John7.97200
Piercy, Scott7.47100
Garcia, Sergio7.39000
Whaley, Vincent7.27000
Hahn, James7.27100
List, Luke7.28400
Uihlein, Peter7.07600
English, Harris6.98700
Knox, Russell6.67700
Pan, CT6.67200
Matsuyama, Hideki6.410300
Kizzire, Patton6.37300
Fowler, Rickie6.27700
Straka, Sepp6.17300
Lee, KH5.96900
Noren, Alex5.07900
Villegas, Camilo4.87500
Day, Jason4.68900
Sloan, Roger4.06900
Van Rooyen, Erik3.97400
Martin, Ben3.97400
Rozner, Antoine3.87600
Lewis, Tom3.87000
Schenk, Adam3.87100
Lashley, Nate3.86600
Rodgers, Patrick3.27100
Kang, Sung3.26500
Perez, Pat2.97300
Huh, John2.86800
Moore, Ryan2.77400
Teater, Josh2.76600
Sabbatini, Rory2.66800
Burgoon, Bronson2.56600
Hoag, Bo2.46500
Gordon, Will2.36800
Lee, Danny2.26700
Putnam, Andrew2.26700
Lahiri, Anirban2.16800
McCumber, Tyler2.16400
Redman, Doc2.07300
Stallings, Scott2.07500
Garnett, Brice1.86900
Hubbard, Mark1.86400
Merritt, Troy1.76800
Stuard, Brian1.66700
Hickok, Kramer1.56700
Bramlett, Joseph1.46700
Laird, Martin1.37200
Hossler, Beau1.36500
Kodaira, Satoshi1.26500
Lebioda, Hank1.16900
Chappell, Kevin1.07000
Gligic, Michael1.06500
Ventura, Kris1.06400
Ryder, Sam0.96900
Westwood, Lee0.88500
Percy, Cameron0.86600
Landry ,Andrew0.86600
Hadley, Chesson0.86700
Baddeley, Aaron0.86300
Holmes, JB0.76800
Spaun, JJ0.66600
Gomez, Fabian0.66000
Duncan, Tyler0.56600
Coody, Pierceson (a)0.56400
Baker, Chris0.46000
Oppenheim, Rob0.46000
Van Pelt, Bo0.46400
Trahan, DJ0.46300
Swafford, Hudson0.46300
O’Hair, Sean0.46500
Brown, Scott0.36200
Castro, Roberto0.26500
Lovemark, Jamie0.26400
Zhang, Xinjun0.26100
Taylor, Ben0.26100
Mahan, Hunter0.26000
Ledesma, Nelson0.26300
Barnes, Ricky0.26000
Hearn, David0.26300
Hammer, Cole (a)0.26500
Haas, Bill0.26200
Potter Jr., Ted0.16600
Kraft, Kelly0.16200
Blixt, Jonas0.16300
Choi, KJ0.06200
Cabrera-Bello, Rafa0.06700
ALL OTHERS0.0

These figures are accurate as of 17:19 CST. Chalk may be slightly higher by lock.

These are my picks for the The AT&T Byron Nelson

Top Tier: John Rahm

Mid Tier: Scottie Scheffler, Will Zalatoris,

Low Tier: D Ghim, J Vegas, C Ortiz, EVR

Out in Left Play: Antoine Rosner

Frisky Risky Biscuit Play: Jimmie Walker* *Risky

Thank you again for reviewing the The AT&T Byron Nelson Final Ownership Projections article, we sure do appreciate it. I’ll be in the Discord Channel after this article comes out to answer any questions. Please review the articles by Sia, Patrick and Antonio to help determine your picks and lineups.

Do not forget that Sia’s Secret Weapon will be unleashed upon the Discord faithful later on tonight! Every week, under impossible rules, (set up by us, of course) he has to come up with a golfer that everyone hates, (under 5% ownership) that is dirt cheap, (6K range) due to absolutely no respect, and this golfer must rise from the depths of mediocracy, dare I say the den of despair, and this golfer must bring value to the good members of Win Daily Sports. In 41 tries, he has found major success 34 times. I’ll repeat that, 34 times. We should never take for granted what is truly a gift. Sia and his Secret Weapon, tonight, only in Discord.

As always, I hope to be with you on Sunday afternoon, in the money. You can also come and hang out in the Win Daily Sports Discord Chat to talk it out with everyone before the lock!

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AT&T Byron Nelson: Initial Picks

Sia

The PGA Tour has one last stop before its next major and that stop is in Texas at the AT&T Byron Nelson.  The 152 player field should be able to attack this golf course as there doesn’t appear to be much by way of trouble and/or hazards. This is the first time the AT&T Byron Nelson will be played at Craig Ranch (7500 yard Par 72), and therefore, you can ignore course history. You’ll want to focus on OTT and APP and PUTT. I rank APP just above OTT in this one with PUTT being a distant third place. More on the SG metrics and specific proximities on the Win Daily Sports PGA Livestream tonight at 8:00 EST.

Jordan Spieth (10700) – He’s one of many guys I like that is from the area and he’s the best player T2G in this field.  I like Bryson and Rahm in this range as well, but if I can only pick one golfer, it’s going to be Jordan. 

Will Zalatoris (9700) – Coming off a missed cut but that’s no reason to pivot.  Zalatoris grades out 1st on APP last 36 rounds and while his OTT game has been somewhat average, his overall ball striking is certainly elite.  Add to that he’s playing at home and is very familiar with this course. 

Matthew Fitzpatrick (9500) – An elite player that remains under the radar.  He’s 9th OTT last 36 rounds but 1st OTT last 12 rounds.  He grades out as the number one player in the 450-500 yard range.  His long irons sometimes give him issues so that could spell trouble on APP, but I expect the best putter in this field to make up for it on the greens.

Ryan Palmer (9100) – Palmer has been hot this year but has cooled off a bit as of late.  He lives 40 minutes north of this course and has played it at least “a couple dozen times” and holds the course record here (61).  He’s 11th in my model and I think he has the upside to compete here late Sunday afternoon.

Luke List (8400) – He’s 11th in the field T2G over last 12 rounds and 6th OTT in the last 36 rounds.  He gained across all categories last week at the Wells Fargo.  His putter can really get him in trouble and therefore I like him better as a GPP play as opposed to cash.

Charl Schwartzl (8100) – He’s been very good for a few tournaments in a row now.  He was 3rd in the field T2G last week and he’s within the Top 10 in this field T2G over the last 12 rounds.  This feels like a good value play in the low 8k range. 

Russell Knox (7700) – He was bad earlier this year but over the last 12 rounds he’s started to find his old form and that has resulted in being Top 15 T2G over the last 12 rounds.  He was 2nd in the field T2G at Wells Fargo, but lost a good amount PUTT.

Doug Ghim (7500) – This tournament could turn into a putting contest and that’s not exactly where Ghim would want to be, but his T2G game is elite and in a GPP he will give you great value if he’s even decent with the putter.

Jhonnatan Vegas (7200) – number 1 in the field OTT at Wells Fargo (gained over 7 strokes total OTT).  He lost most of his strokes ARG which shouldn’t hurt him too badly at the AT&T Byron Nelson.  He’s 4th OTT last 36 rounds.

Roger Sloan (6900) – The 6k range is tough this week and there aren’t a lot of great options.  Sloan is someone I’m willing to the roll the dice with because he’s been solid with the ball striking lately.  He’s typically giving up a lot of strokes ARG but if his APP is on point (which it usually is), he shouldn’t need to worry too much about that.  He’ll need to find the putter.

Chris Baker (6000) – Baker doesn’t have a lot of rounds under his belt, but his ball striking has been good enough in limited work for me to include him in this article.  He’s obviously a GPP dart at this minimum price, but if you are trying to stack elite players you may be able to find some value in the abyss. 

Secret Weapon (less than 7k/less than 5% owned) – See you in Discord. Current SW record is 34-7.

If you haven’t already, subscribe to Win Daily Sports on YouTube and at the Apple Store and check out all the content at windailysports.com.

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Welcome to The Wells Fargo Championship Final Ownership Projections, brought to you by WinDailySports.com, this week we are at Quail Hollow for the tourney, where the 16,17,and the 18th hole aren’t just one of the toughest closes, but THE toughest of any and all the PGA venues. Again, Corey Conners, Bryson Dechambeau, Webb Simpson and Jon Rahm are all top favorites to win. Driving Distance and approach are the keys to unlocking this course. Short hitters have also done well so don’t count them out. Every aspect of the game will be necessary to close out the competition and be the best in the field.

Last week was a negative week for me, first one in 6 weeks. I dropped 680.00 in contest fees at the Valspar, which is O.K., sort of, it’s DK money to begin with, I’m still playing on their dime. I had a choice between picking Streelman or Bradley who we had been tracking for several weeks for a breakthrough. I chose Streelman, and I had two others finish even, 1 stroke away from making the cut. My stats engineer, when I asked him what he thought said, “you pay me to get you the best stats, what you decipher after that is all on you, you pay the bills.” That is one smart engineer. One of those players was Doug Ghim, who I had a friendly wager with Patrick “Sharps” Scott on, he took Denny “putts” McCarthy for a 20.00 fun bet. McCarthy finished -1, Ghim finished E. When I payed Mr. Scott he informed me that the drinks were on me, they were out bowling and taking a shot of an adult beverage every single frame. I understand that today that damages are being determined allegedly for bowling balls that ended up in the juke box, the margarita machine, and a 7-10 split was tried between a Volkswagon and a Caddy out in the parking lot. What could possibly go awry after a friendly 3 game set between friends, besides 30 shots of that adult beverage.

Win Daily has articles available now on money and game management for those of you who can’t dip in the DK fund for more ammo to buy teams with. If you are just starting out, or have a limited budget, take the time to read the articles.

Right now, Stoweby, one of our best contributors, has a game and money management piece that just hit last night. We are trying to share our knowledge of what makes you a bankroll, and much more importantly, how to keep it. For example, I have limited my entry fees this week to a bit more than half of last week, sometimes if we have a total wreck for a weekend we tend to go on “tilt” and try and double up or try and spend more to make more, it’s based on emotions more than fiscal responsibility, this is an instant bankroll killing method, and I strongly advise against it ever being a part of your process for making money.

Making money and keeping it is what we at Win Daily Sports are all about, lets get to the Wells Fargo Championship Final Ownership Projections.

PLAYEROWN %SALARY
Rahm, John20.110800
Hovland, Viktor19.29800
Zalatoris,Will17.99400
Tringale, Cameron16.98400
Wallace, Matt16.37500
Thomas, Justin14.811300
Reed, Patrick14.59300
Niemann, Joaquin14.49100
Ancer, Abraham14.18900
Homa, Max14.19000
McIlroy, Rory14.110000
Finau, Tony13.69500
Conners, Corey13.49200
DeChambeau, Bryson13.311000
Harman, Brian12.48700
Im, Sungjae12.08800
Grillo, Emiliano11.98100
Simpson, Webb11.610200
Varner III, Harold11.37600
Jones, Matt11.07400
Lowry, Shane10.98200
Henley, Russell10.17900
Cink, Stewart10.07900
Fowler, Rickie9.77800
Glover, Lucas9.67800
Davis. Cameron9.57100
Schauffele, Xander9.410500
Fleetwood, Tommy9.08000
Bradley, Keegan8.38500
Day, Jason8.38600
Watson, Bubba7.78300
Ortiz, Carlos7.57400
Gooch, Talor7.47600
Cantlay, Patrick7.39600
Wise, Aaron6.97100
Munoz, Sebastian6.67300
Dahmen, Joel6.57600
NeSmith, Matthew6.47300
Griffin, Lanto6.47400
Streelman, Kevin6.37700
Steele, Brendan6.17700
Mickelson, Phil5.76900
Poulter, Ian5.57300
Schwartzel, Charl5.27200
Vegas, Jhonattan5.17000
Schenk, Adam5.06800
McCarthy, Denny4.97200
Lewis, Tom4.86700
Moore, Ryan4.47100
Kizzire, Patton4.37000
English, Harris4.38000
Perez, Pat4.07000
McNealy, Maverick4.07300
List, Luke3.96800
Johnson, Zack3.67100
Woodland, Gary3.57500
Molinari, Francesco3.37500
Mitchell, Keith3.27000
Gordon, Will3.06200
Stanley, Kyle2.97100
Thompson, Michael2.86900
Hahn, James2.56800
Clark, Wyndham2.56800
Werenski, Richy2.56500
Hoge, Tom2.47000
Van Rooyen, Erik2.47200
Redman, Doc2.46900
Higgs, Harry1.96600
Rodgers, Patrick1.86500
Whaley, Vincent1.76400
Hadwin, Adam1.77200
Bhatia, Akshay 1.56300
Burgoon, Bronson1.56500
Huh, John1.56600
Sabbatini, Rory1.46700
Garnett, Brice1.46300
Hughes, Mackenzie1.37000
Poston,  JT1.36900
Taylor, Vaughn1.36800
Bramlett, Joseph1.26300
Norlander, Henrik1.26500
Sloan, Roger1.26400
Lee, Danny1.26600
Lashley, Nate1.16400
Dufner, Jason1.16500
Hagy, Brandon1.06400
Seiffert, Chase1.06700
Long, Adam1.06700
Knox, Russell0.97200
Hossler, Beau0.86300
Pan, CT0.86400
Hubbard, Mark0.86200
Streb, Robert0.76300
Stallings, Scott0.76800
Lee, KH0.76900
Taylor, Nick0.76600
Hadley, Chesson0.76500
Ryder, Sam0.66700
Martin, Ben0.66400
Hoag, Bo0.56400
Reavie, Chez0.46700
Cabrera-Bello, Rafa0.46300
Putnam, Andrew0.36600
Duncan, Tyler0.36500
Stuard, Brian0.36500
Cook, Austin0.36100
Haas, Bill0.26000
Trahan, DJ0.26000
Gligic, Michael0.26200
Holmes, JB0.26600
Lovemark, Jamie0.16300
Brown, Scott0.16400
Shelton, Robby0.16100
Walker, Jimmy0.16300
Van Pelt, Bo0.16000
Hearn, David0.16100
Murray, Grayson0.16200
Kodaira, Satoshi0.06100
ALL OTHERS0.0

These figures are accurate as of 17:32 CST. Chalk may be slightly higher by lock.

These are my picks for the Wells Fargo Championship

Top Tier: John Rahm

Mid Tier: Patrick Cantlay, Tony Finau, Vic Hovland

Low Tier: Carlos Ortiz, Matt Jones, C Davis

Out in Left Play: J. Vegas

Frisky Risky Biscuit Play: Luke List * *Risky

Thank you again for reviewing this article, we sure do appreciate it. I’ll be in the Discord Channel after this article comes out to answer any questions. Please review the articles by Sia, Patrick and Antonio to help determine your picks and lineups.

Do not forget that Sia’s Secret Weapon will be unleashed upon the Discord faithful later on tonight! Guys, Sia hit with Kyle Stanley last week, for a 34-6 record. Do you realize he is hitting a 6K, nobody owned pick at 85% winners ? Ask any bookie who they know or have known that hit 85% winners after 40 weeks, not 4 weeks, not beginners luck, but after almost a year of golf, and ask if they know someone that has to pick a heavy underdog every single week. It is a truly remarkable feat. Tonight. Another Secret Weapon. From Super Sia. In Discord !!!

As always, I hope to be with you on Sunday afternoon, in the money. You can also come and hang out in the Win Daily Sports Discord Chat to talk it out with everyone before the lock!

SicilyKid/ Steven

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The PGA Tour is in North Carolina this week for the Wells Fargo Championship.  Players will need to bring the big stick as OTT game takes a major role in a successful week here.  I’ll be focused on OTT and APP and I’ll have a particular focus on proximities of 175 through 200+ as those are back in play just like last week.  While the second shot proximities remain similar to last week, the big difference at Wells Fargo is the sheer length of the course and what will be required off the tee.  Don’t completely rule out shorter hitters, but certainly give the edge or the tiebreaker to a guy that can hit it long.  Make sure you listen to tonight’s Win Daily Sports PGA show as we will bring you much more perspective on the course dynamics and each player in this field.  Now let’s get to the Wells Fargo picks.

Bryson DeChambeau (11000) – I really think Justin Thomas should be included in this article but I only want to make room for two in this elite range, so I’m going to go with Bryson and Rahm (see below).  This course gives a big advantage to OTT game and Bryson is the Captain of Team OTT.  Rest of his game hasn’t been too bad either and I think this is an excellent course fit.

Jon Rahm (10800) – Speaking of elite OTT game, Rahm hasn’t lost strokes OTT in a very long time.  He rates out 2nd OTT in this Calendar year (behind only Bryson and his APP game has been stellar as well, particularly on shots of 175-200+.  He rates out number 1 in my model.  Again, honorable mention in this range goes to JT and I should also add Webb Simpson.

Corey Conners (9200) – If you’re looking for a great ball striker who has been particularly good OTT, then look no further than the 5th ranked golfer in my model.  Only thing holding this guy back right now is the short game, but that shouldn’t hurt him too badly here.  Give me the ball striker.

Joaquin Niemann (9100) – The only issue with Niemann is he rarely puts all facets of his game together but he’s clearly an elite player just waiting for his moment.  This guy has a small frame but absolutely crushes the ball OTT.  His history at the Wells Fargo is limited and not particularly great, but I’m willing to take a chance on a good course fit and a rising star.

Bubba Watson (8300) – I’m not a Bubba guy, but he has been pretty great lately and I think this DK price is very fair.  Watson has been finishing strong lately and making cuts at the rate of vintage Bubba Watson.  His long iron and putting game has been shaky as of the last 36 rounds, but I’m willing to take a chance on Bubba, but only in GPP’s.

Emiliano Grillo (8100) – a great price for a great ball striker who has been surprisingly great OTT.  Grillo is both a GPP and cash game play as his ball striking and history at this course speak to a golfer that should probably be closer to 8500 rather than 8100.  As usual, he will need to find the putter.

Stewart Cink (7900) – Already a two time winner this year, Cink is in the midst of a great stretch of golf.  That great stretch included a takedown at the RBC and a 12th at the Masters.  Most people may think he’s not the best course fit here due to a presumed lack of length of the tee.  Cink is inside the Top 20 in driving distance over the last 36 rounds, and for the sake of context, he has been driving it longer than Jon Rahm.  The floor is low for Cink but the ceiling is quite high.

Matt Jones (7500) – As you build your lineups, you’ll find yourself in this exact price range quite often and my favorite guy in this particular range is Matt Jones.  He’s a good course fit as he has made 3 out of his last 4 cuts here and his recent history is pretty good as well, and that includes a 1st place at the Honda.

Kyle Stanley (7100) – We’re getting into the danger zone in this price range, but I’ll go ahead and lean on last week’s Secret Weapon (34-6, but who’s counting) as this course will demand a lot of the same from last week from an APP standpoint.  While he doesn’t appear to be a good course fit, his last two efforts at Wells Fargo resulted in an 8th and 13th place finish.

Adam Schenk (6800) – A simple case of riding the hot hand as he has finished within the Top 25 over the last three tournaments (for the sake of fairness, one of those tournaments was the Zurich Classic match play).  Either way, Schenk has been striking it well lately and finished 13th here the last time this tournament was played in 2019.

Luke List (6800) – Some clear deficiencies in List’s game, particularly with the putter and certain APP metrics (175-200), but the OTT game is there as he ranks 12th OTT over the last 36 rounds in this field.  In 2019 he made the cut but finished 65th and in 2018 he finished 9th.

Secret Weapon (less than 7k/less than 5% owned) – See you in Discord. Current SW record is 34-6.

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