DFS & Sports Betting Tools, Exclusive Content, and Expert Chat
Pricing
GET STARTED TODAY
 
thumbs-up-solid
DFS & Sports Betting Tools, Exclusive Content, and Expert Chat
Pricing
GET STARTED TODAY
 
thumbs-up-solid
Pricing
GET STARTED TODAY
thumbs-up-solid
Pricing
GET STARTED TODAY
Home / PGA DFS / Page 26
Tag:

PGA DFS

PGA

Bettor Golf Podcast Presents: PGA DFS & Betting for the Wells Fargo Championship

Jason Mezrahi
written by Jason Mezrahi

We head down to the Wells Fargo Championship. Spencer and Nick are feeling good about this week and the hammey boy prop has already made an appearance on twitter. The boys have some big winners up their sleeves for your daily fantasy golf lineups and sports betting needs. Your first step in setting lineups for the Wells Fargo Championship should include the Bettor Golf Podcast as the team walks through everything related to betting for the tournament to setting your DFS lineups. The guys will provide first round leader, outright winners, head to head matchups, top 10, top 20, and top 40 bets. The knowledge dropped by Nick and Spencer go a long way to helping you refine your process and become a Sharper bettor and more profitable daily fantasy golf player. Lock in with them and start climbing the leaderboards at DraftKings and FanDuel for the Wells Fargo Championship.

Take a listen to the Bettor Golf Podcast podcast by clicking here.

After you’ve listened to the Bettor Golf Podcast for the Wells Fargo Championship, make sure to take full advantage of all the tools we have to offer, ranging from articles to projection models, live streams, and our lineup optimizer. Check out the links below and if you want to try out our optimizer for a free week use promo code “RADIO” at checkout.

Articles
Projection Model
Optimizer

Sports-wise, this is one of the best times of the year. Baseball season has started and teams are getting their bearings. NBA? The playoffs are on the horizon and the matchups for it are almost 100% set. NHL? The season is winding down and teams are starting to jockey for playoff position. But most importantly, the PGA Tour is in full swing, and sites like DK and FD are offering bigger and bigger tournaments.

All of your DFS and Betting Golf needs should start with our Bettor Golf Podcast!

After you’re done listening to the podcast for the Wells Fargo Championship, make sure to hop on into our Discord chat.

Discord Expert Chat

0 comments
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
PGAPremium

Tee 2 Green PGA DFS Picks: Wells Fargo Championship

brucegray19722@gmail.com
written by brucegray19722@gmail.com

Here are the links to this week’s PGA Draftcast and Bettor Golf Podcast.

DraftKings Players ($10,000+)

Abraham Ancer ($10,400) – It is a good collection of golfers at the top, but the contrarian pivot belongs to Abraham Ancer, who grades second in my model when looking for nothing but upside. Ancer appeared like he was shaking off the cobwebs during the Mexico Open after a small health-recovery break, and I think he will better have his footing under him at a venue that suits his game from a stylistic sense.

Corey Conners ($10,100) – Not all chalk is bad, and we see that here with Corey Conners approaching 20%+ as of Tuesday night. The Canadian grades first in all iterations of my model, and it is hard to ignore the +115 price tag you can find on him in a head-to-head matchup against Rory McIlroy. I am not necessarily advocating for that to be a wager, but it highlights that the $1,400 reduction in salary is getting you a pretty matching option for the week.

Matthew Fitzpatrick ($10,000) – It feels like a good bounceback spot for Matthew Fitzpatrick, who torched the industry at the RBC Heritage. The ball-striking was on-point during that start, which makes it surprising that his typical trusty flat-stick let him down, but don’t be afraid to go back to the Englishman if you are looking for an option in the $10,000 range.

Other Consideration – Rory McIlroy’s price tag is so much higher than everyone else’s that it is causing everything to be pushed in a few certain areas of the board.

$9,000 Range

Russell Henley ($9,300) – If you were to ask me who my favorite play on the board was from a roster construction standpoint, it would likely be Russell Henley. The American fits GPP builds nicely, despite his 17% mark, and he also has playability in cash thanks to his pristine ball-striking numbers.

Other Targets: I’ll find myself underweight to most of the range.

$8,000 Range

Sergio Garcia ($8,700) – When we think of players that provide their best golf at ball-striking venues that negate putting, insert a picture of Sergio Garcia. The Spaniard has some red flags looming because of his hit-and-miss irons over the past few months, but six percent is way too shallow for a golfer who possesses tangible win equity.

Si Woo Kim ($8,400) – The offshore markets love Si Woo Kim. My model rates him relatively highly. I am not sure how much exposure I will have to the South Korean at the end of the day, but he will be one of the few choices in my player pool inside the $8,000 range.

Webb Simpson ($8,100) – I sound like a broken record, but Webb Simpson continues to be too cheap and under-owned for his talent. The second we see any form of life from the 36-year-old, he will jump back into the $9,000 discussion, so I will keep taking my rebated price tag and waiting for him to put the pieces together.

Other Thoughts: Can We trust Paul Casey ($8,800)? My gut-instinct says yes, but please be aware of the risk you are taking on because of his health.

$7,000 Range

I am going to rapid-fire through some $7,000 golfers to present a handful of choices for everyone reading.

Keith Mitchell ($7,800) – I am out if the ownership creeps over 15 percent, but Keith Mitchell presents win equity at his $7,800 price tag. There appears to be a reason why Mitchell is in head-to-head matchups against many of the $9,000 golfers versus his closest counterparts.

Doug Ghim ($7,800) – It is never an easy ride when you roster Doug Ghim, but there aren’t many golfers in this field that possess better ball-striking and mid-iron proximity. Don’t be shocked if Ghim flirts with the first page of the leaderboard, although the missed cut potential is always looming around the corner. They don’t call him the ‘Ghim-Reaper’ for the hell of it.

Brian Harman ($7,700) – Brian Harman ranks seventh in this field for overall bogey avoidance and is also inside the top-20 for strokes gained off the tee over his past 24 rounds.

Kevin Streelman ($7,700) – Kevin Streelman might get overlooked because of the popularity around him, but his two top-32s at this course in 2017 and 2018 highlights a golfer that should feel right at home.

Joel Dahmen ($7,600) – The upside is a question for another day, but Joel Dahmen’s safety is worth the squeeze as the 28th-priced golfer on the board.

Adam Long ($7,400) – Sometimes you have to trust the recent form when it aligns with the numbers, and Adam Long’s back-to-back top-15 finishes fit nicely for a golfer that ranked just outside my top-30.

Lucas Glover ($7,200), Martin Laird ($7,100) – You can tune into the Bettor Golf Podcast to hear me compare Glover and Laird countless times, but both golfers could fit nicely together into a build since they provide the same style to a T.

Additional Thoughts: Brendan Steele ($7,300), Russell Knox ($7,300), Alex Smalley ($7,300), Cameron Davis ($7,200), Kurt Kitayama ($7,200)

$6,000 Range

Additional Dart Throws To Consider: I am mostly looking to fade this section. You can use my model to find some value, but it gets grim quickly.

If you haven’t already, follow Win Daily Sports on YouTube and via Apple Podcasts. We’re already hitting big with our NFL content and you are going to want to be a part of that. It’s also important to be in Discord Wednesday night for all lineup adjustments, late-breaking news and weather reports.

0 comments
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
PGAPremium

The Mexico Open Final Ownership Projections

Steven Polardi
written by Steven Polardi

This week we are at Vidante for The Mexico Open, this tourney should be listed as John Rahm and…others. Daniel Berger withdrew which means by lock we could be looking at a top tier golfer with 38-50% ownership, he would be a must for cash games and a mistake for large GPP’s, at his price and ownership he must win to have your screen go green.

There are other golfers ready and able to win this week, pricing is very tight with the lack of firepower other than Rahm and there is no course history with the new venue. The grass is very sticky, it also balloons a bit to protect itself from the salt in the sea air. We won’t see a lot of roll off of the tees and it does negate poor putting by a small margin. The second shot approach from mid to long distance will be most important, this is a Greg Norman course with no rough although they added about sixty bunkers to lower scoring, and if the winds don’t come in to affect birdies and Eagles it will be a resort style scoring fest. Our program is suggesting -26 as the winning score.

Last week my top pick to win the Zurich was Cantlay/Schauffele which puts me four for six in my last six top plays. It’s nowhere near Sia territory with his FRL’s and insane Secret Weapon percentage, although I like the fact that the hard work put in by everyone has the models and programs rounding into form. It’s time to make money. Serious money.

UPDATE: It looks like Rahm will be close to 40% and Woodland has emerged as the number two most popular player at 23%. Both are a hard fade for us this week. They would both have to finish 1-2 to have a shot at a takedown in the big GPPs. They are perfect cash plays you can compliment with the lower tier players listed below and also Sia’s, Joel’s, Spencer’s and Isaiah’s picks as well.

Lets take a look at The The Mexico Open Final Ownership Projections to help you with your roster selections.

OWNERSHIP PROJECTION
PLAYEROWN %SALARY
Rahm, John36.711300
Woodland, Gary22.89900
Wise, Aaron17.89500
Finau, Tony16.710400
Kirk, Chris15.49600
Munoz, Sebastian15.29800
Jones, Matt12.39000
Smotherman, Austin12.27800
Tringale, Cameron11.89700
Pan, CT11.58100
Stallings, Scott11.47700
Duncan, Tyler11.37200
Clark, Wyndham10.97600
Hubbard, Mark10.68000
Smalley, Alex 10.67400
Ancer, Abraham10.410300
Howell III, Charlie10.38400
Ramey, Chad10.27900
Long, Adam9.67800
Griffin, Lanto9.38300
Rai, Aaron9.28700
Lahiri, Anirban8.97900
Svensson, Adam8.87300
Seiffert, Chase8.77100
Champ, Cameron8.49400
Lashley, Nate8.37500
Na, Kevin8.210100
Riley, Davis 8.18500
Uihlein, Peter8.17000
Theegala, Sahith7.98800
Bramlett, Joseph7.87100
Ghim, Doug7.48900
Whaley, Vincent7.36800
Taylor, Nick7.27100
Reed, Patrick6.910000
Knox, Russell6.99200
Lipsky, David6.87700
Poston,  JT6.77500
Rodgers, Patrick6.47600
Kitayama, Kurt 6.37100
Perez, Pat6.37500
Wu, Brandon 6.17300
Streelman, Kevin5.99100
Ortiz, Carlos5.88600
Lee, Danny5.77100
Garrigus, Robert5.66600
Flavin, Patrick5.36500
Tarren, Callum5.26700
Streb, Robert4.97000
Taylor, Vaughn4.86900
Moore, Taylor4.78200
Wu, Dylan4.76600
Todd, Brendon4.69300
Armour, Ryan4.46900
Schenk, Adam3.96900
Buckley, Hayden3.66800
Gutschewski, Scott3.46500
Mullinax, Trey3.46800
Stuard, Brian3.37300
Grillo, Emiliano3.27200
Brown, Scott2.96400
Barjon, Paul2.86500
Hickok, Kramer2.67200
Nimmer, Bryson 2.56300
Wolfe, Jared2.46200
Dufner, Jason2.26400
Donald, Luke2.26800
Martin, Ben2.26900
McDowell, Graeme2.17100
Lingmerth, David1.96200
Thompson, Michael1.87200
Garnett, Brice1.86700
Baddeley, Aaron1.76700
Aphibarnrat, Kiradech1.76900
Piercy, Scott1.77200
Huh, John1.67000
Hodges, Lee 1.66900
Novak, Andrew1.66700
Bryan, Wesley1.66600
Hagy, Brandon1.66400
Wallace, Matt1.57000
Cabrera-Bello, Rafa1.57400
Putnam, Andrew1.57000
Hoag, Bo1.46600
Malnati, Peter1.46900
Lebioda, Hank1.46700
Reeves, Seth1.46400
Trainer, Martin1.46300
Lower, Justin1.36800
Tway, Kevin1.36500
Werenski, Richy1.36400
Haas, Bill1.26700
Thompson, Curtis1.16700
Noh, Seung-Yul1.16300
Sloan, Roger1.06600
Trahan, DJ1.06200
Hahn, James0.96800
Griffin, Ben0.96600
Kodaira, Satoshi0.86500
Jaeger, Stephan 0.76500
Villegas, Camilo0.66600
Kohles, Ben0.56500
Diaz, Roberto0.56200
Murray, Grayson0.56100
McGreevy, Max0.46400
Benitez, Isidro 0.36000
Reavie, Chez0.36800
Gligic, Michael0.36400
Hearn, David0.36300
Van Pelt, Bo0.36200
Knous, Jim0.36100
Kraft, Kelly0.36000
Atwal, Arjun0.26100
Byrd, Jonathan0.26200
Kang, Sung0.26600
Cook, Austin0.26500
Blaum, Ryan0.26300
Ortiz, Alvaro0.26300
Van Der Walt, Dawie0.26100
Kang, Jeffrey0.26100
Hensby, Mark0.26100
Chalmers, Greg0.26100
Bae, Sangmoon 0.26000
Gomez, Fabian0.16400
Creel, Joshua0.16400
Skinns, David0.16300
Pettit, Turk0.16300
Favela, Armando0.16200
Drewitt, Brett0.16200
Barnes, Ricky0.16100
Wagner, Johnson0.16200
Crane, Ben0.16100
Points, DA0.16000
Every, Matt0.16000
Gainey, Tommy 0.06300
Blixt, Jonas0.06100
Johnson, Richard 0.06100
Willman, Ben0.06000
Ernst, Derek0.06000
ALL OTHERS0.06000

These projections for The Mexican Open are accurate as of 6:12 EST. Top Tier Golfers will show a higher % by lock.

My picks for The Mexican Open

Top Tier: Wise

Mid Tier: Stallings

Low Tier: Bramlett

Out in Left Play: Lashley

Frisky Risky Biscuit Play: * In Discord later Tonight ! *Risky

FR Leader: Munoz

FR Leader: Barjon (contrarian)

Be sure to check out Spenser’s and Stix’s Bettor Golf podcast on Anchor at Spotify. They almost made it under 40 minutes last night, Spencer added some great NFL Draft value positions, the one I like most is the stud DB Stingley going before the 10th pick. Are you listening Houston? Spencer and Stix had some scorching top 40 through top 20 golf plays, outrights and first round leaders (along with T. Mullinax). These two gents are pure ATM machines, if you listen and follow their stream, you will be plus money.

Don’t miss out on the very popular and fun PGA DraftCast with Sia, Joel and Spencer (golf writer of the year) and you, the audience, every Tuesday night at 8:00 EST. Each of the teams picked were different in roster construction, stars and scrubs, balanced, hail mary’s and upside versus volatility, and there was even some attempted good natured poaching but Joel, as program chief/ringmaster, caught it in time. Sia was allegedly accused of concentrating on the NFL Draft when he wanted a golfer the audience had already picked, when his next choice was Aidan Hutchinson we just figured he was some 6K golfer who won the qualifier on Monday to get into the tourney. Ivan was trying to vote in Poston for the audience and he had been snapped up by Spencer. It was the first time ever I can remember people being elated and disappointed over J.T. Poston.

Sia will be back this week with his Secret Weapon (dun dun dun) who’s winning percentage is just sick for the toughest rules to qualify for, and his molten hot FRLs and Outright golf winners continue to amaze us all. The SW will be released tomorrow night along with my Frisky Risky Biscuit play, and Spencer’s Tee Off Sports will have an article tomorrow evening along with my ownership piece. Sia, Joel, Spencer, Stix, Isaiah, and I will be in Discord to bring you the best and latest intel on everything golf from weather to offshore betting markets to help you make the decisions that make you money!

As always, I hope to be with you on Sunday afternoon, in the money. You can also come and hang out in the Win Daily Sports Discord Chat to talk it out with everyone before the lock!

0 comments
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
PGAPremium

Tee 2 Green PGA DFS Picks: Mexico Open

brucegray19722@gmail.com
written by brucegray19722@gmail.com

If you haven’t done so already, please be sure to watch both the PGA Draftcast and Bettor Golf Podcast.

DraftKings Players ($10,000+)

Jon Rahm ($11,300) – Joel said it best on the PGA Draftcast tonight when he alluded to Jon Rahm being too cheap. We have seen him in the $12,000 range in stronger fields than this, and I think there is some potential to stack the top of the board with two $10,000+ options if you are worried about the ownership around the Spaniard.

Tony Finau ($10,400) – I haven’t been shy about calling Tony Finau my favorite play on the board, and he is the only golfer in this field that ranks inside the top-16 in all categories that I weighed.

Abraham Ancer ($10,300) – There is risk around Abraham Ancer because of his potential for withdrawal, but I will take some shots in mass-field contests because of his reduction in popularity. I assume Ancer would have been between 15-20% if we were guaranteed a clean bill of health, and I will take a shot on him at between four to eight percent.

Other Consideration – Patrick Reed ($10,000) is worth a look. I prefer him over Kevin Na ($10,100).

$9,000 Range

Cameron Tringale ($9,700) – Tringale lacks some appeal in the space because of his lack of win equity, but there is a reason he ranks third in my two-year model when it comes to strokes gained total. Tringale is a pivot to consider in this section if you want to clear up ownership, and he ranks ninth overall in my model.

Chris Kirk ($9,600) – I don’t see much difference between Tringale and Chris Kirk, as each golfer looks like top-10 values for the Mexico Open.

Matt Jones ($9,000) – Let’s see where the ownership goes before locking in Matt Jones, but his par-five birdie or better and scoring on long, straightforward courses place him inside the top-10 of the event.

Other Targets: Gary Woodland ($9,900) and Aaron Wise ($9,500) are only worrisome because of their ownership. I do tend to like how both set up stylistically for the course.

$8,000 Range

Charles Howell III ($8,400) – Charles Howell III graded inside the top-14 in all five strokes gained metrics that I looked at to try and mimic Vidanta. That is all I need to see to know he should fit the venue, and it doesn’t hurt matters that he also places inside the top-20 in par-five birdie or better.

Other Thoughts: I am going to be underweight in this range. I will play some Talor Moore ($8,200), but it is mostly a pass outside of Moore and Howell.

$7,000 Range

I am going to rapid-fire through some $7,000 golfers to present a handful of choices for everyone reading.

Patrick Rodgers ($7,600) – Picking Patrick Rodgers has to work eventually… He is volatile, but he also grades inside the top-25 golfers in this field for upside, which seems enticing at six percent.

Wyndham Clark ($7,600) – My model doesn’t love the play, but Wyndham Clark is the number one mover at offshore books, coming in as low as 40/1 at some shops.

J.T. Poston ($7,500) – J.T. Poston has shown some life recently with back-to-back top-41 performances, and we have seen a massive improvement with his results anytime he gets a venue that has easy-to-hit fairways with no rough. 

Alex Smalley ($7,400) – Alex Smalley is one of the better upside climbers I have in my model. There is a ton of missed cut potential when we look at just his recent form, but the statistical makeup for Vidanta is incredible.

Michael Thompson ($7,200) – Michael Thompson looks to be the best sub-one percent option on DraftKings because he does have top-20 potential. The fact that he ranks fifth when I recalculated my tee to green stats compared to his 71st-place grade only adds to that appeal.

Danny Lee($7,100) – Danny Lee has struggled some on longer courses, but the rest of the data looks good. Lee is 49 spots better in my reweighted tee to green stat versus a random course, and he is also inside the top-20 in birdie or better and long iron + distance, which might be able to mitigate some of the issues he has had at extended venues since the rough is not as penal here. 

Additional Thoughts: You can check out my model to find additional plays I like in this range!

$6,000 Range

Additional Dart Throws To Consider: Adam Schenk ($6,900), Trey Mullinax ($6,800), Vincent Whaley ($6,800)

If you haven’t already, follow Win Daily Sports on YouTube and via Apple Podcasts. We’re already hitting big with our NFL content and you are going to want to be a part of that. It’s also important to be in Discord Wednesday night for all lineup adjustments, late-breaking news and weather reports.

0 comments
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
PGA

Bettor Golf Podcast Presents: PGA DFS & Betting for the Mexico Open

Jason Mezrahi
written by Jason Mezrahi

We head down to Mexico this week for the Mexico Open. Spencer and Nick are teeing up some big winners for your daily fantasy golf lineups and sports betting needs. Your first step in setting lineups for the Mexico Open should include the Bettor Golf Podcast as the team walks through everything related to betting for the tournament to setting your DFS lineups. The guys will provide first round leader, outright winners, head to head matchups, top 10, top 20, and top 40 bets. The knowledge dropped by Nick and Spencer go a long way to helping you refine your process and become a Sharper bettor and more profitable daily fantasy golf player. Lock in with them and start climbing the leaderboards at DraftKings and FanDuel for the Mexico Open.

Take a listen to the Bettor Golf Podcast podcast by clicking here.

After you’ve listened to the Bettor Golf Podcast for the Mexico Open, make sure to take full advantage of all the tools we have to offer, ranging from articles to projection models, live streams, and our lineup optimizer. Check out the links below and if you want to try out our optimizer for a free week use promo code “RADIO” at checkout.

Articles
Projection Model
Optimizer

Sports-wise, this is one of the best times of the year. Baseball season has started and teams are getting their bearings. NBA? The playoffs are on the horizon and the matchups for it are almost 100% set. NHL? The season is winding down and teams are starting to jockey for playoff position. But most importantly, the PGA Tour is in full swing, and sites like DK and FD are offering bigger and bigger tournaments.

All of your DFS and Betting Golf needs should start with our Bettor Golf Podcast!

After you’re done listening to the podcast for the Mexico Open, make sure to hop on into our Discord chat.

Discord Expert Chat

0 comments
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
PGA

Bettor Golf Podcast Presents: PGA DFS & Betting for the Mexico Open

Jason Mezrahi
written by Jason Mezrahi

We head down to Mexico this week for the Mexico Open. Spencer and Nick are teeing up some big winners for your daily fantasy golf lineups and sports betting needs. Your first step in setting lineups for the Mexico Open should include the Bettor Golf Podcast as the team walks through everything related to betting for the tournament to setting your DFS lineups. The guys will provide first round leader, outright winners, head to head matchups, top 10, top 20, and top 40 bets. The knowledge dropped by Nick and Spencer go a long way to helping you refine your process and become a Sharper bettor and more profitable daily fantasy golf player. Lock in with them and start climbing the leaderboards at DraftKings and FanDuel for the Mexico Open.

Take a listen to the Bettor Golf Podcast podcast by clicking here.

After you’ve listened to the Bettor Golf Podcast for the Mexico Open, make sure to take full advantage of all the tools we have to offer, ranging from articles to projection models, live streams, and our lineup optimizer. Check out the links below and if you want to try out our optimizer for a free week use promo code “RADIO” at checkout.

Articles
Projection Model
Optimizer

Sports-wise, this is one of the best times of the year. Baseball season has started and teams are getting their bearings. NBA? The playoffs are on the horizon and the matchups for it are almost 100% set. NHL? The season is winding down and teams are starting to jockey for playoff position. But most importantly, the PGA Tour is in full swing, and sites like DK and FD are offering bigger and bigger tournaments.

All of your DFS and Betting Golf needs should start with our Bettor Golf Podcast!

After you’re done listening to the podcast for the Mexico Open, make sure to hop on into our Discord chat.

Discord Expert Chat

0 comments
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
PGAPremium

Mexico Open: Initial Picks

Sia
written by Sia

The PGA Tour descends upon Mexico this week for the Mexico Open at Vidanta. It is the first time the PGA Tour has played here and therefore there is no course history, but there some solid course comps including The Puerto Rico Open and Corales. Vidanta is certainly long (7500 yard Par 71) but its length, and perhaps the wind, will be its main defense, and ultimately, this is still a resort course. For more on course comps and course dynamics make sure you tune into The PGA Draftcast on Tuesday night. As always please also make sure you camp out in Discord and you read our articles over the week, which include Tee 2 Green from Spencer and the Ownership article from Steven. Now let’s get to The Initial Picks.

Tony Finau (10400) – BS has been very good since the summer of 2021 and it’s the ARG and PUTT that have held him back. It looks like he’s starting to turn the PUTT around and the ARG game shouldn’t be too complex with this resort style course. I’ll note that Jon Rahm will be a play for me if his ownership is low, but I’m guessing it won’t be low enough to pay the high price tag. Stay tuned for our ownership article for more on that.

Gary Woodland (9900) – Not many issues with his game lately, but can get pretty wild OTT. A wild driver won’t crush him, especially if he continues to stay dialed in on APP. He’s always an MC risk, but I think that’s unlikely here and he has the upside to win.

Sebastian Munoz (9800) – Absolutely crushing it OTT and can spike with APP. The PUTT has been quite bad since August 2021, but over the last 3 tournaments it appears to be stabilizing. It’s a high price, but the metrics are there.


Cameron Tringale (9700) – He’s got good form coming by way of good ball striking. If the PUTT can be decent or get hot, this is a tourney he can contend in. I’m guessing the high price tag will keep ownership low and I’m only considering him if I’m right about that.

Aaron Wise (9500) – The BS has been elite for four tournaments in a row. He uncharacteristically lost on APP at RBC, but that is a mere blip on the radar as it will always come down to PUTT with Wise. I’m hopeful the Paspalum greens at The Mexico Open give him an edge in that department.

Matt Jones (9000) – There was a time period where Matt Jones would lose on APP in every single tournament. He’s reigned that in quite a bit and has popped on APP and can get after it OTT. He can also pop with the short game.

Sahith Theegala (8800) – He’s making cuts despite recent bad BS and poor PUTT but this feels like a good course for him and he was 22nd at Corales which is a solid comp course. The sample size is small but he’s certainly shown he can contend in fields deeper than this.

Charles Howell III (8400) – He’s 6th OTT last 50 rounds and 29th in Driving Distance which most people would be shocked by.  Long iron play isn’t great, but he’s made 7 out of 10 cuts and BS is trending in a great direction.  Only issue this year has been the PUTT. I’ll note that a very dangerous pivot that I’m likely to play in this range is Lanto Griffin (more on him in Discord).


Adam Long (7800) – The BS is trending and short game is very good.  He’s not necessarily the best course fit but he has made 5 out of 6 cuts and he flashed some upside at The RBC.

Austin Smotherman (7800) – He’s been missing cuts as of late, but curiously remains very good in the BS department. His big issue is ARG and that’s likely mitigated on this track.

Nate Lashley (7500) – Coming off an MC at the RBC, but prior to that had four Top 30s in a row which included a T15 at Corales and a T7 at Puerto Rico. Those are probably the two best comp courses to the Mexico Open at Vidanta and they were both played just last month.

Tyler Duncan (7200) – A relatively shorter hitter who has put some really good tournaments together making 5 out of his last 6 cuts including falling inside the Top 35 at Puerto Rico and Corales. While the lack of driving distance would appear to limit him, he rates out great OTT last 50 rounds and he’s 9th in DK Points. Worth a shot at this price.

Ryan Armour (6900) – The 6k range is fraught with murky water and I don’t plan to swim in it, but there are a couple options that may be viable. Armour is one of them and in spite of him being very short OTT, he makes up for it plenty with solid iron play. Finished 15th at Corales.

Secret Weapon (Under 7k/less than 5% owned) – currently 52-19

Be sure to get in our Discord and watch our PGA Draftcast. And finally, now is as good a time as ever to sign up for all things Win Daily as we are bringing you all the DFS and betting for all the sports you can imagine. Further, make sure you check out Sharp as the bets continue to roll through.

0 comments
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
PGAPremium

The Zurich Final Ownership Projections

Steven Polardi
written by Steven Polardi

How well do you know your partner? Well enough to win The Zurich Classic ?

Do you know the partners well enough to take down the 200K first prize on DraftKings? Come on in! We have warm cookies at the bottom of this article! EDITORS NOTE: (We don’t have any damn cookies) Sorry everyone, I tried.

This format is about as foreign as it gets for PGA tourneys. The key strategy is to make sure you do not roster the same two golfers that are paired up, the reason is they BOTH get the same points when you pick just one of the two. Key strategy will be to find the golfers when paired up that play to each others strengths, and when playing alternate shot, can mitigate their partners weakness. Jonas Blixt won this in 2017, he’s normally a 6000 salary player, usually an alternate that squeaked by in the qualifier type of golfer. How did he win? Cam Smith was his partner. Give me Scottie Scheffler as my partner and I bet we don’t come in last, and no bet over $3.00. I am a realist. In reality there have been a diverse group of champions make it to the top at The Zurich Classic. This is a long course, so drivers, accurate drivers, may have an edge, approach and around the green as well as putting, birdie % and bogey avoidance will factor in as well.

As far as ownership we can get you close, the top tier will be extremely high owned. You have a team like Cantlay/Schauffele with no glaring weakness. Some will pick Cantlay because they play him regularly, I had him picked to win last week and he lost to Spieth in a playoff. Some prefer Xander so you add in that ownership on top of Patricks. We all know Scottie has won 4 of 6 tourneys, he is ranked #1 and rightly so. His partner Ryan palmer is ranked 75th, he missed the cut at the Masters, shot a 77 at The Valero and carded an 80 at The Players. he averages 1.4 bad rounds per tourney, that’s almost 27 holes. It would be like Scottie trying to beat Michael Phelps in the 100 meter freestyle with an anchor tied around his neck. He is from Dallas, TX and Scottie lives in Austin which may help as far as team cohesion. There are 80 teams entered, only 33 and ties make the weekend so it’s important to make the cut.

Odds are good that you can expect a playoff between two teams, rostering both goes a long way to making you and your bank account look good this week.

Lets take a look at The The Zurich Classic Final Ownership Projections to help you with your roster selections.

OWNERSHIP PROJECTION
PLAYEROWN %SALARY
Morikawa/Hovland26.610700
Schauffele/Cantlay23.910400
Scheffler/Palmer22.99700
Horschel/Burns22.810000
Smith/Leishman21.710200
Niemann/Pereira20.69200
Homa/Gooch19.69100
Garcia/Fleetwood18.59400
McNealy/Bramlett17.67700
Im/An16.38700
Zalatoris/Riley15.48900
Lowry/Poulter14.69500
Hadwin/Svensson14.38000
Straka/Sigg13.98300
Bradley/Steele13.78500
Willett/Hatton13.48800
Laird/MacIntyre13.28000
Watson/Varner11.49000
Kisner/Brown10.77600
Tringale/Clark10.67800
McDowell/Power10.48600
NeSmith/Moore9.97400
Noren/Norlander9.87500
Mitchell/Snedeker8.97900
Theegala/Hossler8.97500
Ghim/Schwab8.77700
Streb/Merrittt8.67800
Todd/Kirk8.58200
Kizzire/Poston8.28400
Redman/Ryder8.17100
Rai/Lipsky7.87400
Higgs/Smotherman7.67100
Schwartzel/Bezuidenhout7.17900
Stuard/Knox6.97500
Hoge/Barjon6.97000
Stenson/Rose6.78100
Smalley/Buckley6.67000
Day/Scrivener6.47600
Garnett/Stallings6.37200
Duncan/Schenk6.27100
Brehm/ Hubbard4.76600
Lebioda/Seiffert4.56800
Werenski/Uihlein4.46900
Hodges/Whaley4.26700
Glover/Reavie4.17400
Watney/Hoffman3.97000
Horsfield/Wallace3.87200
Rodgers/Wu3.66900
Dahmen/Jaeger3.47300
McCarthy/Kohles3.47200
Herbert/Atwal3.36700
Herman/Taylor3.26400
Long/Hoag3.16800
Cabrera-Bello/Grillo2.97300
Kitayama/Aphibarnrat2.66800
Hagy/Percy2.66600
Grace/Higgo2.37300
Hahn/Chappell2.26700
Piercy/O’Hair2.16900
Tarren/Skinns2.06100
Ramey/Creel1.76500
Stanley/Villegas1.56400
McGreevy/Novak1.46600
Mullinax/Bryan1.46300
Lower/Wu1.46300
Kang/Huh1.36500
Noh/Kim1.36300
Cook/Dufner1.36100
Reevers/Wolfe1.26200
Thompson/Hardy1.26500
Lee/Bae1.16400
Tway/Kraft1.16200
Hadley/Byrd0.96200
Gainey/Garrigus0.86100
Gligic/Armour0.76200
Van Pelt/Martin0.66100
Trainer/Knous0.46000
Van Der Walt/Drewitt0.26000
Haas/Haas0.16000
Gutschewski/Points0.06000

These projections are accurate as of 5:59 EST. Top Tier Golfers will show a higher % by lock.

My picks for The Zurich Classic

Top Tier: Cantlay/ Schauffele

Mid Tier: Pereira/Niemann

Low Tier: Streb/Merritt

Out in Left Play: NeSmith/Moore

Frisky Risky Biscuit Play: * In Discord later Tonight ! *Risky

FR Leader: Garcia/Fleetwood

FR Leader: Hovland/Morikawa

Be sure to check out Spenser’s and Stix’s Bettor Golf podcast on Anchor at Spotify. They are both taking the week off because they’ve won so much money but you can catch their podcast next Tuesday night.

Don’t miss out on the very popular and fun PGA DraftCast with Sia, Joel and Spencer (golf writer of the year) every Tuesday night at 8:00 EST. They did not have a DraftCast Tuesday night due to the unusual format and Sia having one single hair out of place on those luxurious locks.

As always, I hope to be with you on Sunday afternoon, in the money. You can also come and hang out in the Win Daily Sports Discord Chat to talk it out with everyone before the lock!

0 comments
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
PGAPremium

The RBC Heritage Final Ownership Projections

Steven Polardi
written by Steven Polardi

What kind of jacket goes to the RBC Heritage winner ? Who’s the winner? Come on in.

The winner of the RBC Heritage gets a red plaid jacket that would make a used car salesman green with envy. They have managed to make it a top level tourney which is difficult coming the week after the Masters. Speaking of the Masters, I spent about 18 hours a day on programs and projections, this week I am making it up to my wife with two weeks on Marco Island courtesy of Draft Kings takedowns. This will be a somewhat condensed report simply because I don’t have to sleep with any of you or hire some stranger to taste my food every night.

Lets take a look at The RBC Heritage Final Ownership Projections to help you with your roster selections.

OWNERSHIP PROJECTION
PLAYEROWN %SALARY
Morikawa, Collin22.310200
Hadwin, Adam21.87600
Fitzpatrick, Mathew21.39500
Henley, Russell20.39000
Lowry, Shane17.89800
Niemann, Joaquin16.39100
Thomas, Justin16.211100
Hoge, Tom15.47600
McNealy, Maverick14.87900
Berger, Daniel14.69600
Noren, Alex14.58300
Conners, Corey14.39700
Smith, Cameron14.210800
Simpson, Webb13.48800
Kirk, Chris12.98000
Na, Kevin12.47800
Cantlay, Patrick11.910000
Im, Sungjae11.89300
Kucher, Matt11.87800
Fleetwood, Tommy11.28200
Kim, Si Woo10.98400
Kisner, Kevin10.98100
Streelman, Kevin10.97500
Spaun, JJ10.77300
Knox, Russell10.47300
Johnson, Dustin9.710500
Harman, Brian9.67700
Hatton, Tyrrell9.48600
Varner III, Harold9.38500
Horschel, Billy8.98700
Kokrak, Jason8.17900
NeSmith, Matthew7.96600
McCarthy, Denny7.47200
Straka, Sepp7.17200
Pereira, Mito6.87700
Dahmen, Joel6.46800
Merritt, Troy6.47400
Howell III, Charlie5.97100
Spieth, Jordan5.89200
Stuard, Brian5.86700
Frittelli, Dylan5.47400
Glover, Lucas5.17200
Kizzire, Patton4.97100
Wise, Aaron4.87100
Lashley, Nate4.86700
Van Rooyen, Erik4.67300
Bryan, Wesley4.46100
Cink, Stewart4.37200
Poulter, Ian4.27500
List, Luke4.17400
Pan, CT4.17000
Svensson, Adam3.96400
Donald, Luke3.96300
Young, Cameron3.87500
Todd, Brendon3.86800
Riley, Davis 3.67000
Ghim, Doug3.56900
Hossler, Beau3.36800
Thompson, Michael3.36500
Theegala, Sahith3.27100
Tringale, Cameron2.97000
Lahiri, Anirban2.77100
Grillo, Emiliano2.76700
Griffin, Lanto2.66800
Snedeker, Brandt2.66800
Poston,  JT2.36600
Davis, Cameron2.26800
Stallings, Scott2.17000
Taylor, Nick2.06600
Smalley, Alex 1.96600
Norlander, Henrik1.96100
Stenson, Henrik1.86500
Furyk, Jim1.76300
Swafford, Hudson1.76500
Perez, Pat1.76400
Hughes, Mackenzie1.66900
Hickok, Kramer1.66500
Willett, Danny1.56900
Fowler, Rickie1.47000
Redman, Doc1.46400
Kodaira, Satoshi1.36400
Ramey, Chad1.26700
Higgs, Harry1.16600
Duncan, Tyler1.06200
Garnett, Brice0.96200
Grace, Branden0.96700
Lee, KH0.86700
Villegas, Camilo0.76100
Long, Adam0.76400
Martin, Ben0.76200
Johnson, Zack0.66500
Kanaya, Takumi0.66300
Reavie, Chez0.56300
Schwartzel, Charl0.56600
Nimmer, Bryson 0.56100
Hoffman, Charley0.46900
Ortiz, Carlos0.46900
Bramlett, Joseph0.46500
Ryder, Sam0.46400
Malnati, Peter0.46200
Jaeger, Stephan 0.46100
Hadley, Chesson0.46000
Lee, Danny0.36300
Higgo, Garrick0.36500
Putnam, Andrew0.36400
Clark, Wyndham0.36300
McDowell, Graeme0.36300
Schenk, Adam0.36200
Streb, Robert0.36200
Watney, Nick0.36100
Byrd, Jonathan0.36000
Gay, Brian0.26000
Herman, Jim0.26000
Kang, Sung0.26100
Piercy, Scott0.26300
Haas, Bill0.26300
Hahn, James0.26000
McGirt, William0.26000
Piot, James (a)0.26000
DeNeen, Morgan0.16000
Tway, Kevin0.16000
Brown, Scott0.16000
Werenski, Richy0.16100
Hagy, Brandon0.16100
Lebioda, Hank0.16200
Sloan, Roger0.16200
Hoffmann, Morgan0.16000
Trainer, Martin0.16000
Brehm, Ryan0.06100
Gligic, Michael0.06000
Love III, Davis0.06000

These projections are accurate as of 17:42 EST, chalk will be higher by lock in the upper tiers.

*EVERYONE*: There is extremely high ownership in the 7K range. The following golfers are at 5% or less.

Poulter, Young, List, Merritt, Frittelli, EVR, Glover, Wise, Lahiri.

The following are over leveraged- Hadwin 22%, Hoge 16%. McNealy 15%. Na 12.5%. Kuchar 12%. Streelman 11% Spaun and Knox 10.5-11%. Harman 10%

You may play some of the higher chalk in the 7K range, just know it’s harder to gain leverage on the field when you have 7 K golfers in the 15-20% and over range.

My picks for The RBC Heritage

Top Tier: Cantlay (Contrarian) Niemann

Mid Tier: Fitzpatrick (Contrarian) Fleetwood

Low Tier: Noren (Contrarian) Stuard

Out in Left Play: Kisner

Frisky Risky Biscuit Play: * In Discord later Tonight ! *Risky

FR Leader: Dahmen

FR Leader: (Contrarian) Horschel

Be sure to check out Spenser’s and Stix (on Honeymoon duty) Bettor Golf podcast on Anchor at Spotify. Don’t miss out on the very popular and fun PGA DraftCast with Sia, Joel, Spencer (golf writer of the year) and this weeks guest Andy Lack. Find out who the experts will try and roster and who the audience will pick for their six man DK teams. It’s every Tuesday at 800 pm EST and offers intel and analysis on rostering the teams that can help you cash and take down your favorite tourney.

As always, I hope to be with you on Sunday afternoon, in the money. You can also come and hang out in the Win Daily Sports Discord Chat to talk it out with everyone before the lock!

0 comments
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
PGA

Bettor Golf Podcast Presents the RBC Heritage

Jared Levitt
written by Jared Levitt

With the season’s first major in the rearview mirror, the PGA Tour heads to Harbour Town for the RBC Heritage. Last year the tournament was won by Tour veteran Stewart Cink by a large margin of 4 shots. This tournament is a staple of the Tour and always attracts a star-studded lineup. While Tiger Woods won’t be playing, many of the Tour’s biggest stars will be. Your first step in setting lineups this week should include the Bettor Golf Podcast as the team walks through everything related to betting for the tournament to setting your DFS lineups.

Take a listen to the Bettor Golf Podcast podcast by clicking here.

After you’ve listed to the Bettor Golf Podcast, make sure to take full advantage of all the tools we have to offer, ranging from articles to models. Links below!

Articles
Projection Model
Optimizer

Sports-wise, this is one of the best times of the year. Baseball season has started and teams are getting their bearings. NBA? The playoffs are on the horizon and the matchups for it are almost 100% set. NHL? The season is winding down and teams are starting to jockey for playoff position. But most importantly, the PGA Tour is in full swing, and sites like DK and FD are offering bigger and bigger tournaments.

All of your DFS and Betting Golf needs should start with our Bettor Golf Podcast!

After you’re done listening to the podcast and reading the articles, make sure to hop on into our Discord chat.

Discord Expert Chat

0 comments
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
Newer Posts
Older Posts

Subscribe to our newsletter

The best bets and resources to make you more profitable

    Built with ConvertKit

    Our Company

    At WIN DAILY®, our motto is to “change your game and change your life.” We want to help you win that bet, parlay, and big DFS tournament and have some fun while you do. Our goal is to help you turn your love of sports into a profit center while playing responsibly and enjoying your time with a like-minded community.

    LISTEN TO WIN DAILY®RADIO
    Saturdays: 6-8PM EST

    WIN DAILY® RADIO
    Friday’s 8-10pm Est
    Sunday’s 7-9pm EST

    GET STARTED TODAY

    ©2024 WIN DAILY®. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.

    This site is 100% for entertainment purposes only and does not involve real money betting. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800 GAMBLER. This service is intended for adult users only.
    Close
    -
    00:00
    00:00

    Queue

    Update Required Flash plugin
    -
    00:00
    00:00