PAC 12

Welcome back to another exciting season of CFB Bowl Season! Thank you to those who have followed my articles over the course of the regular season. But now it is time for my favorite time in CFB and that’s the bowl games.

The purpose of this article is to break down the college football main slates both on the DFS and betting sites. The article includes my favorite plays at every position as well as honorable mentions. You can also find my favorite bets under my Dragos Best Bets section.

The QBs

Noah Fifita, ARIZ (DK 7.4K/FD 11.2K)

The freshman QB has been one of the biggest surprises this CFB season. He took over the starting role after the original starter, Jayden de Laura, was hurt early in the season and has led Arizona to one of their best seasons in recent memory. Fifita gets the 97th-ranked pass defense in his first bowl game start. This season, against pass defenses that are ranked in the bottom 50, like Oklahoma, Fifita is averaging 315.5 passing yards and three touchdown throws in six games. Despite being the highest-priced QB on DraftKings, he is still relatively cheap, so I am locking him in as my core QB for the slate.

Who to pair him with: Tetairoa McMillan. Jacob Cowing. Tanner McLachlan (value pair)

Jackson Arnold, OU (DK 7.3K/ FD 9.8K)

With Oklahoma’s starting QB, Dillon Gabriel, transferring to Oregon, it is time for the Arnold era to start in Norman. Arnold was a 5-star recruit out of Guyer High School in Texas and was ranked the 4th best QB of his class, only behind Arch Manning, Nico Iamaleava, and Dante Moore, who are the future QBs of Texas, Tennessee, and Oregon, respectively. Arnold didn’t see much time, even in relief, this season, as he only attempted 24 passes all year. He gets a decent matchup for his first start, as Arizona is ranked 72nd against the pass and gives up 229.6 yards per game. In his lone season as a high school starter, Arnold threw for 3383 yards and had an 11-to-1 TD-to-INT ratio (33:3).

Who to pair him with: Drake Stoops. Nic Anderson.

Honorable Mentions: Brennan Armstrong, NCST. Jacurri Brown, MIA

The RBs

DJ Giddens, KSU (DK 6.7K/ FD 10.4K)

The slate is full of good rush defenses, as the worst of the six teams is Oklahoma’s 58th-ranked defense. But since we need at least two RBs, I want to focus less on targeting bad defenses and instead on guys who will have a huge workload. 44.2% of KSU’s total rushing attempts have entered the transfer portal, so Giddens, who led the team with 195 attempts, should see an uptick in his already heavy workload. NC State’s rush defense has been great all year, but they have struggled against good running teams.

Mark Fletcher Jr., MIA (DK 5.5K/ FD 7.3K)

Rutgers has the third-worst rush defense on the slate, giving up 137.8 rushing yards per game. Meanwhile, Miami comes in as the 41st-ranked rushing offense. The leader in carries for the Canes is Fletcher, who finished with 25.2% of their total attempts while racking up 24.1% of their total rushing yards. Miami’s second-leading rushing attempt leader, Chaney, has left Miami for the transfer portal, so while Parrish, who is Miami’s third RB, will see more work, Fletcher should be the biggest beneficiary of the 29% of attempts lost by Chaney and starting QB Van Dyke leaving the team. If you need $400 on DraftKings, then Parrish is a solid pivot.

Honorable Mentions: Michael Wiley, ARIZ. Kyle Monangai, RUT.

The WRs

Xavier Restrepo, MIA (DK 6.6K/ FD 8.3K)

Like I mentioned with Fletcher, Miami will be without a large part of their offense, and that includes their starting QB. To add to their missing firepower in the run game, Miami has also lost 20% of their receptions from the season, with players like Colbie Young transferring out of Miami. But a bright spot for Miami is that Restrepo is available, and he should be the main focus for inexperienced QB Jacurri Brown. His 74 receptions and 993 yards put the Canes in both categories.

Christian Dremel, RUT (DK 4.3K/ FD 6.2K)

A value play at WR, Dremel was Rutgers best WR this season. I will say Dremel is a risky play, but I think Rutgers will need more than just RB Monangai to be able to compete with the Canes. The Hurricanes give up over 220 passing yards a game, and while the Rutgers are the seventh worst passing team in CFB, when they throw, Dremel is the guy. He accounts for 25.8% of the team’s total receiving yards and 25.1% of their receptions. A big plus for Dremel is the absence of Miami’s leading tackler, James Williams, who is their starting safety.

Kevin Concepcion, NCST (DK 7K/ FD 9.6K)

He is one of the best WRs in CFB, and I don’t think he gets enough credit for what he has done this season. The freshman ranks 74th in receiving yards despite being on a team that struggles to throw the ball. Concepcion has also found success helping NCST’s run game, as he has 297 rushing yards to go along with his 767 receiving yards. His 1064 all-purpose yards were the fifth most by a freshman this season. I love his matchup against Kansas State’s 70th-ranked pass defense, especially with their safety Kobe Savage missing the game as he is KSU’s best-tackling DB.

Honorable Mentions: Jayce Brown, KSU. Will Swanson, KSU. Trent Pennix, NCST.

Drago’s Best Bets:

• Miami ML
• KSU -2
• Arizona -2.5

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