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Nolan Arenado

MLB DFS Hitting Picks for 6/12: Let’s Go O’s

Cora Baylis 6 years ago

written by Cora Baylis

Wednesday slates are almost always based off a full schedule, but we have just 11 games here for some reason. That’s the perfect amount for a DFS slate though, as we have games spread all throughout the day. The good news is that we really don’t have much weather concerns, with Philly and Atlanta looking like the only questionable forecasts. For more info on that, check in with Mark Paquette prior to submitting lineups.

Catcher

Victor Caratini, CHC at COL

DK ($4,200) FD ($3,100)

With Willson Contreras playing Tuesday night, we have to assume that Caratini will enter the lineup in a day game here. That makes him a heck of a bargain, as Caratini is not priced up like most Coors Field bats. This guy has quietly been a fantastic backup catcher too, posting a .333 average and .977 OPS in 54 at-bats this season. That’s all you can ask for from someone in this price range, especially considering he gets to face a pitcher with a 4.95 ERA and 1.53 WHIP, pitching in a hitter’s haven like Coors Field.

Also Consider: Pedro Severino and Danny Jansen are both in play in the Baltimore-Toronto matchup

First Base

Chris Davis, BAL vs. TOR

DK ($2,900) FD ($2,100)

Alright, let’s get crazy. Davis has been one of the laughingstocks of baseball for over a year now but I’m calling my shot here and predicting that he goes yard at a near minimum price. The main reason for that is because he gets to face Edwin Jackson, who’s pitching to an 11.90 ERA and 2.24 WHIP so far this season. Those are embarrassing numbers and we love Davis’ power potential with the platoon advantage in his favor. We’re still talking about a guy who has an .821 OPS against righties and a .490 SLG while providing a .230 career ISO. His recent numbers aren’t even close to that, but facing Jackson could help him to rewind to some of that power potential.

Also Consider: If you’re looking for someone safer, Anthony Rizzo is hard to overlook against a gas can like Antonio Senzatela in Coors Field.

Second Base

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. TOR at BAL

DK ($4,500) FD ($2,800)

Let’s keep the value plays rolling, as Gurriel has been a different player since his demotion to the minors. Since being called up on May 24, Gurriel is hitting .327 while accruing a 1.100 OPS in those 15 games. Those are elite numbers and the Blue Jays have rewarded him by moving him up to the three-hole. What we like about him here is that he gets to face David Hess, who’s posting a 7.08 ERA and 1.51 WHIP to match his .391 wOBA and .394 xwOBA.

Also Consider: Cesar Hernandez has taken over leadoff duties in the absence of Andrew McCutchen and gets a quality matchup against Merrill Kelly at an affordable price.

Third Base

Nolan Arenado, COL vs. CHC

DK ($5,100) FD ($4,800)

It’s weird to say that Arenado is a value on DraftKings but that’s the case here. His price actually dropped about $500 and it’s hard to understand why. Arenado is quite simply one of the best hitters in the league and we love him at Coors Field with the platoon advantage in his favor. Since the beginning of 2017, Arenado has a 1.237 OPS against southpaws while generating a 1.082 OPS at home in that same span. That means we’re looking at an OPS approaching 1.500 when he faces a lefty at home, which is obviously absurd. The slugging third baseman is scorching-hot right now too, tallying a .385 average and 1.103 OPS over his last 20 games.

Also Consider: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. makes a great two-man stack with Gurriel, as he too gets that spectacular matchup against Hess.

Shortstop

Jonathan Villar, BAL vs. TOR

DK ($4,600) FD ($3,100)

With Edwin Jackson’s disastrous numbers emphasized in the Davis write-up, let’s go with an Orioles bat who’s a bit safer. The main thing we love about Villar is that he gets to lead off for Baltimore, as that lineup slot alone makes him a great fantasy option with the Orioles projected for more than five runs. The leadoff role, paired with the fact that he bats better from the left side, makes Villar a premium play, with the Baltimore shortstop posting an OPS just shy of .800 against righties so far this season. Not to mention, facing a right-hander nearly triples Villar’s chances to steal a bag, which is huge for his value too.

Also Consider: Manny Machado remains super cheap on both sites and will inevitably see his price increase some time down the road.

Outfield

Kyle Schwarber, CHC at COL

DK ($5,000) FD ($3,600)

This increase in price tells you everything you need to know about Schwarber, as he’s been a different player since moving to the leadoff spot. In fact, Schwarber has nine homers, 22 runs scored and 18 RBI over his last 25 games en route to a .946 OPS. The last seven games have been even more impressive, with the lefty outfielder providing a .793 SLG in that span. Elite power from a leadoff hitter is huge for DFS purposes and we haven’t even taken into consideration this stellar matchup. Not only does Schwarber get the platoon advantage against Senzatela, he also gets to rake in the best hitter’s park in the Majors.

Wil Myers, SD at SF

DK ($4,100) FD ($2,800)

One may look at Myers’ season-long numbers and be discouraged, but there are things I like. The first is he has 11 homers and eight steals, as that puts him right on track for about 28 homers and 20 steals. You can’t argue with numbers like that and he’s been seeing the ball much better recently. Over his last 15 games, Myers has four homers, four steals and 10 runs scored en route to a .390 OBP and .890 OPS. Shaun Anderson is not a pitcher we need to worry about either, posting a 4.71 FIP, 1.36 WHIP and .367 xwOBA so far this season.

Yordan Alvarez, HOU vs. MIL

DK ($4,000) FD ($2,900)

Let’s marvel at these minor league statistics real quick. In Triple-A this season, Alvarez led all hitters with 23 homers and 71 RBI in 56 games played. That led to a .443 OBP and 1.185 OPS, which are simply bonkers statistics. That’s why he got the call-up and batted fifth in his debut, rewarding his manager with a dinger in each of his first two games. Facing Brandon Woodruff is no easy chore but it’s hard to argue with that sort of production from a player priced so reasonably.

Also Consider: Nelson Cruz is on a homer streak and remains too cheap on both sites.

6 years ago 0 comments

MLB

Win Daily On Deck: Pregame Notes and Updates for 6/8

Louis Cangiano 6 years ago

written by Louis Cangiano

(Updated 6:38 pm EST)

Second base is an extremely weak position tonight. I still can’t figure this one out. I’m actually thinking of rostering, L.A. Angel Rengifo. Low ownership, big upside, low floor. All you can ask for.

(Updated 6:27 pm EST)

Domingo Santana’s game logs are through the roof over his last three games averaging 26.7 FD points per game. Invest confidently.

(Updated 6:25 pm EST)

Anthony Rizzo, dong call!

(Updated 5:54 pm EST)

Paul Goldschmidt ($3,800 FD & $4,000 DK): Goldy owns a .500 BA in 12 at-bats with one homer. Solid Value here at $3,800 and $4,000. The under/over is low at 7.5 but I can see a solo shot or two in this game despite the low under/over. Goldschmidt is likely my one-off play of the day (if needed).

(Updated 5:36 pm EST)

How many times can the Angels burn me before I stop stacking them? Well, I like them again tonight. What do we do? I’m staying away but I need to mention that the numbers are there for an Angels team that are due for a big game. Angels Stadium is in the top five percentile in home runs allowed and runs allowed by a stadium this season. L.A does hit well against Seattle’s Kikuchi and it’s nice and sunny in Anaheim (77 degrees), so the ball should be flying tonight but like I said, L.A has burned me too many times this year, and in very similar spots, so I’m staying away but I won’t blame you for investing in a low owned, relatively cheap Angels team.

(Updated 5:24 pm EST)

Adrian Beltre’s jersey is being retired tonight in Texas, narrative if I’ve ever heard one. Second Half of a double header where the first game totaled 15 runs. Look out!

Updated 5:17 pm EST)

Stack those Rockies. The Rockies are facing Steven Matz who they have dominated in the past. Somehow the Mets are favored at -115 with an 8.5 under/over but I see a very different game flow here. Matz kills it at home with a 1.50 ERA on the season, which is great, not to mention the fact that his road splits ERA is at 5.79. But other than that, I don’t see much that would have me on Matz. The Rockies own a .390 team ERA! And Arenado has one double and four home runs in 14 at-bats against Matz. Almost all batters exhibit impressive BvP stats but in limited sample sizes. At the moment Matz is allowing lefties to hit for average and righties to hit for power, perfect combo no? Love me some Colorado Rockies tonight, despite Matz home ERA.

6 years ago 0 comments

MLB

MLB DFS Winners and Losers: Kepler Clout

Vincent Pensabene 6 years ago

written by Vincent Pensabene

The Thursday slate had 13 games and a ton of action. We’ll discuss who outperformed their expectations and others who did not live up to their price tags. All fantasy points and values are based off DraftKings pricing.

Winners

Max Kepler ($4,800)

Very few players are able to provide the line that Kepler did against the Cleveland Indians yesterday. He finished 4-for-4 with three home runs, four RBI, three runs scored and a walk, all from the leadoff spot in the order. While Kepler played an amazing game, he might have too high of a price tag today. Look for another player if his price increases.

Kepler’s Outlook

Kepler wasn’t a prime suspect to have such a great game yeserday, having only one hit in his previous 25 at-bats. The ball is springing off his bat this season though, as he now has 15 home runs and is on pace to post a new career-high in both HRs and RBI. His next game will be against the Detroit Tigers in Comerica Park. Even though Kepler could utilize his speed in this ballpark, do not expect him to match production like that in back-to-back days.

Peter Lambert ($6,300)

Lambert had an excellent outing in his MLB debut yesterday against the Chicago Cubs. He finished seven full innings and gave up one run on four hits and added nine strikeouts, walking just one. With Colorado’s starting pitching looking shaky thus far, Lambert has the potential to stay on the big league roster for the remainder of 2019.

Lambert’s Outlook

Lambert performed well and did more than expected even though he was the fourth-highest rated prospect in the Rockies’ organization. He had a 5.07 ERA in Albuquerque (Rockies’ Triple-A affiliate) this season but was able to put it all together on Thursday. He will see the Cubs again in his next scheduled start, this time in Coors Field on Tuesday. Look for him to be a value pick next time out but don’t be surprised to see some regression either.

Losers

Tyler Skaggs ($8,700)

Skaggs looked shaky against the Oakland Athletics, going four innings and giving up five runs on six hits. He also had four walks and four strikeouts in a mediocre outing. He did not have control of his pitches and it showed big time. With the hefty price tag, Skaggs needed to perform a lot better than he did. Do not expect him to bounce back next start either.

Skaggs’ Outlook

The four free passes were the most he gave up in a game this season. Oakland is in the bottom-half of the league in terms of hitting and this was Skaggs’ opportunity to turn his season around. His next scheduled start is Tuesday at home against the Los Angeles Dodgers. The Dodgers are the best offensive team in the National League and with the addition of a DH in this matchup, I would avoid Skaggs.

Nolan Arenado ($5,500)

Arenado went hitless in four at-bats with a strikeout and left a runner on base against the Chicago Cubs. He struggled the entire series but should be able to bounce back sooner rather than later.

Arenado’s Outlook

Nolan Arenado has been hitting well in his past 15 games, going 25-for-58 (.431 average) with five homers and 19 RBI. However, his bat was suppressed in this series and especially in yesterday’s game. The Rockies travel to the Big Apple to take on the New York Mets today and face off against reigning NL Cy Young winner Jacob deGrom. He ranks in the Top-15 in the NL in WHIP at 1.15 and was limited in his last start. Fade Arenado today and look for him later in the series.

Injury Update

Didi Gregorius will be reinstated from the 60-day Injured List on Friday to make his 2019 debut against the Cleveland Indians.

J.D. Martinez was removed in the fifth inning due to back spasms. Manager Alex Cora said Martinez felt tightness in the third inning.

Jose Altuve, George Springer and Aledmys Diaz will all require rehab stints before returning to the Houston Astros.

6 years ago 0 comments

MLB

MLB DFS Winners and Losers: Kepler Clout

Vincent Pensabene 6 years ago

written by Vincent Pensabene

Winners

Max Kepler ($4,800)

Kepler’s Outlook

Peter Lambert ($6,300)

Lambert’s Outlook

Losers

Tyler Skaggs ($8,700)

Skaggs’ Outlook

Nolan Arenado ($5,500)

Arenado went hitless in four at-bats with a strikeout and left a runner on base against the Chicago Cubs. He struggled the entire series but should be able to bounce back sooner rather than later.

Arenado’s Outlook

Injury Update

Didi Gregorius will be reinstated from the 60-day Injured List on Friday to make his 2019 debut against the Cleveland Indians.

J.D. Martinez was removed in the fifth inning due to back spasms. Manager Alex Cora said Martinez felt tightness in the third inning.

Jose Altuve, George Springer and Aledmys Diaz will all require rehab stints before returning to the Houston Astros.

6 years ago 0 comments

MLB

DFS Stacks and Hitters for 6/2: Colorado Cooking

Marshall Rosen 6 years ago

written by Marshall Rosen

Catcher – Gary Sanchez vs. David Price

FanDuel: $4,100 DraftKings: $5,400

The Yankees’ catcher has a .310 ISO versus left-handed pitchers in 2019. Sanchez will take on Price, who he has owned in the past. Sanchez is 6-for-13 with five home runs in his career against the Boston starter. Sanchez should take advantage and keep crushing southpaws in this one.

Values:

Wilson Ramos (FanDuel: $2,700)

Wellington Castillo (DraftKings: $3,000)

First Base – Daniel Murphy vs. Aaron Sanchez

FanDuel: $3,900 DraftKings: $4,900

Murphy has a .400/.478/.500 slash line against groundball pitchers this season. With the Toronto Blue Jays’ Aaron Sanchez owning a slate high 51.2% groundball rate look for Murphy to shine on Sunday.

Values:

Eric Thames (FanDuel: $2,500)

Kendrys Morales (DraftKings: $2,700)

Second Base – Ketel Marte vs. Steven Matz

FanDuel: $3,700 DraftKings: $4,400

The Diamondbacks’ Marte has a .313 ISO, a .542 wOBA and a 241 wRC+ versus left-handed pitching in 2019. Look for those numbers to jump up after this meeting with Steven Matz. The southpaw is allowing a 44.1% hard contact rate and 1.82 HR/9 against right-handed batters this season.

Values:

Cavan Biggio (FanDuel: $3,100 DraftKings: $4,000)

Nick Lopez (FanDuel: $2,700 DraftKings:$3,500)

Third Base – Nolan Arenado vs. Aaron Sanchez

FanDuel: $4,800 DraftKings: $5,800

The Rockies’ third baseman at is always tough to pass up at home and the same holds true today. He has a .235 ISO versus right-handed pitching in 2019. Arenado has a .280 ISO at home. And finally, he faces the Blue Jays’ Aaron Sanchez, who as mentioned earlier, is an extreme groundball pitcher. Well, Arenado has a .343/.410/.571 slash line against groundball pitchers this season.

Values:

Pablo Sandoval (FanDuel: $2,400)

Jeimer Candelario (DraftKings: $2,700)

Shortstop –Trevor Story vs. Aaron Sanchez

FanDuel: $4,600 DraftKings: $5,900

Trevor Stroy is running pure right now. In his last seven contests, he owns a .444 ISO, .561 wOBA and a 240 wRC+. For good measure, he has even added in two stolen bases. Never walk away from a heater. Instead, trust this Story has a good finish on Sunday.

Values:

Trea Turner (DraftKings: $4,600)

Brandon Crawford (FanDuel: $2,500)

Outfield – Christian Yelich vs. Jordan Lyles

FanDuel: $4,700 DraftKings: $5,600

Christian Yelich continues to put up video game-like numbers against right-handed pitching. He has a .449 ISO and a .484 wRC+ against righties this season. With the Pirates’ Lyles struggling with lefties this year, Yelich should get into a couple here.

Outfield – Mookie Betts vs. C.C. Sabathia

FanDuel: $4,300 DraftKings: $5,000

Mookie has done well against C.C. Sabathia in the past. In their career matchups, Betts owns a 1.050 OPS against the Yankees’ starter. With Sabathia allowing a .345 wOBA, 2.43 HR/9 and a 44% hard contact rate to righties, the Red Sox’s outfielder is in a spot to build on those numbers.

Outfield – Mike Trout vs. Marco Gonzales

FanDuel: $4,800 Draftkings: $5,400

Anytime you can get the best player in baseball in your DFS lineup, it is probably a good idea. Trout is in a great spot to succeed in this one. Against lefties this year, Trout has a .305 ISO and a .409 wOBA.

Values:

Randal Grichuk (FanDuel: $3,200 DraftKings: $4,200)

Derek Fisher (FanDuel: $2,200)

Christin Stewart (FanDuel: $2,600 DraftKings: $3,200)

Top Stacks

Colorado Rockies:

When you have a game in Coors Field, you always try to cram in Rockies’ bats into your DFS lineups. Today is no different especially with the Blue Jays’ Aaron Sanchez on the bump. The Blue Jays’ right-hander has a 4.99 SIERA and a 5.33 SIERA in 2019. Now he will pitch in Colorado ‘s thin air. Things surely are set up for the Rockies’ offense to succeed at home on Sunday.

Toronto Blue Jays:

Antonio Senzatela could be in for a long one here. The Rockies’ starter has a 5.81 ERA and the peripherals don’t suggest there will be improvements any time soon. Senzatela owns a 4.95 xFIP and a 5.35 SIERA this season. And he is not missing many bats these days as he has a low 15.98% whiff rate. Senzatela should be in trouble early and often here so stack up all the Blue Jays that you can.

Texas Rangers:

The Royals’ Brad Keller is a guy we want to attack today. He has the highest SIERA of the starters for MLB’s Sunday action. But equally important is the fact that the Rangers have crushed right-handed pitching all season. The Rangers have a .213 ISO against righties.

Kansas City Royals:

The Rangers’ Adrian Sampson has a 46.9% hard contact rate this season, but he is also allowing a 40.2% flyball rate. This should play into the hands of the Royals’ batters, especially the right-handed ones. Sampson is allowing .393 wOBA, 45.4% hard contact rate and a 1.88 HR/9 to right-handed bats this season.

Value Stack

LA Dodgers:

Besides Cody Bellinger, all other Dodgers’ batters are grossly underpriced, particularly on FanDuel. With the Phillies starting Nick Pivetta, the Dodgers’ stack not only allows you to pay up for some other of the big bats but they are also in a position to do some damage themselves. Los Angeles has a .216 ISO versus right-handed pitching in 2019. Pay particular attention to the Dodgers’ lefties as Pivetta is allowing a .457 wOBA to them this season.

6 years ago 0 comments

MLB

Win Daily on Deck: Pregame Notes and Updates for 5/29

MLBMovingAvg 6 years ago

written by MLBMovingAvg

Hello all! JaguarLou here welcoming you to Win Daily on Deck, a blog style article that will be posted by 5:00 pm EST every day and updated frequently until 7:00 PM lock, providing the most up to date DFS information for FanDuel and DraftKings main slates.

Notes for 5/29 main slate (Published 5:04 pm EST)

Austin Meadows is leading off for Tampa Bay tonight against Trent Thornton. Despite only a three at bat sample size, Meadows has two prior homers against Thornton and comes into this game red-hot averaging a .414 BA over the last seven days (29 AB) with three homers! Austin Meadows is my second favorite play of the night. Who’s first? Guess you’ll have to keep reading.
Okay so this is a unique value play but i’m very confident in a solid floor tonight for Baltimore’s most recent call up, D.J. Stewart. He has been on fire between his month of May in AAA and his 2019 debut last night where he went 3 for 4 with a SB totaling 15 FanDuel Points. In fact, Stewart has been tearing it up in AAA for some time now, posting a .316 BA with 35 RBI over 152 at bats in 2019 playing for the Norfolk Tides, a AAA team in the International league. I’m locking in D.J. Stewart as my value play of the day. **Don’t forget Camden Yards is a hitter’s paradise.**
I hope it’s no secret that Nolan Arenado is the must play of the night as he is batting .382 with five doubles, one triple and three home runs in just 39 at bats against Robbie Ray. Not to mention, Coors Field is allowing 1.456 runs/game which is ranked highest in the majors. Don’t think about this one, lock him in!
Wade Miley is going up against a Chicago Cubs team that has struck out 77 times over the last seven games, which leads the league by far. At the moment the Cubs are striking out at a shocking rate and they set to face a left handed pitcher in Wade Miley who has been playing well as of late. Also, the Cubs as a team have problems with lefties, hitting a mere .240 team against southpaws so far this season with only 29 home runs in 362 at bats.
I’m not in love with this play but Mike Yastrzemski is batting second and is therefore worth a second look tonight against Pablo Lopez.

(Updated 5:33 pm EST)

Brandon Lowe is sitting in that cleanup spot. I love his power along with his increased RBI opportunities tonight. Vegas has the under/over for the Rays matchup with the Blue Jays at seven, which isn’t the best of news if you’re investing in two of Tampa Bay’s most talented hitters. But with that said, Tampa is favored by -260 which is very high. Count on the Rays winning this one 6 or 7 to zero with Snell dominating the mound. Also, count on a big part of Tampa’s offense to come from Meadows and Lowe, I love having high exposure to the 1 and 4 batters only as a sneaky(ish) two man stack, especially tonight in a lineup that I think can do some serious damage.

(Updated 5:56 pm)

Starlin Castro has some impressive BvP stats against Bumgarner while sitting in the clean up spot on an offense that is currently thriving going 8 and 3 over their last 11 games. Castro owns a career .424 BA in 33 at-bats vs. Bumgarner. If the RBI opportunities are there (which they very well should/could be), expect some serious production from the Marlins second basemen at a low price of $2,200, likely at low ownership. Can you ask for anything more?

(Updated 6:00 PM EST)

Ketel Marte is OUT

(Updated 6:16 PM EST)

If you need value, two back end stacks are very interesting to me and they’re in the same game! Yes, I said it! Back end game stack baby! When have you ever heard of that? But seriously, the more I dive into this slate, the more I see potential for the 5,6,7,9 batters on Detroit and the 7,8,9 batters on Baltimore. If you have the guts, it’s a very interesting lineup structure but will allow you to get Snell, who should be in for one hell of a night! Just to be clear I’m talking about Dixon, Rodriguez, Hicks and Jones on Detroit and D.J. Stewart, Austin Wynns and Richie Martin on Baltimore. Clearly a risky stack and clearly these are all low owned value plays, but hey, that’s what takes down a GPP tournament!

(Updated 6:20 EST)

Waiting on the last lineup confirmation (NY Mets) to make final lineup decisions.

More to be updated closer to 7:05 lock…

6 years ago 0 comments

Daily Fantasy Sports MLB

MLB DFS Hitting Picks for 5/29 – Seattle Smylying

Cora Baylis 6 years ago

written by Cora Baylis

Wednesdays are one of my favorite days of the week, pretty much everyone is in play. The one obvious game on this slate is the Arizona vs. Colorado matchup, which has the largest over/under at 11.5. Due to this fact, we’re going to stray away from recommending players in this game. While all of the bats are obviously in play there, we don’t need to take the easy road and give you plays from such a predictable spot. Mixing some values with the chalky Arizona/Colorado bats will be critical and that’s going to be our goal here.

Catcher

J.T. Realmuto, PHI vs. STL

DK ($4,600) FD ($3,400)

There aren’t too many great cheap catchers on this slate, so we’re going to pay up for Realmuto. What we like here is that he gets the platoon advantage against Genesis Cabrera, who’s making his first career start in the Majors. Any pitcher making their debut is worth stacking against and that’s why the Phillies are projected for nearly six runs here. Realmuto should be in the heart of that stack. Let’s get back to the platoon splits though, with Realmuto posting a .940 OPS against southpaws so far this season.

First Base

Edwin Encarnacion, SEA vs. TEX

DK ($4,500) FD ($3,500)

I really want to get some exposure against Drew Smyly and the powerful, long ball specialist, Edwin Encarnacion, is the perfect candidate. We’re talking about a guy who’s one of the league leaders in home runs over the last decade, as his .233 career ISO is one of the best marks in baseball. His .245 ISO this season shows that he hasn’t fallen off at all and we really love him against lefties as Encarnacion is posting an .864 OPS and .376 OBP against southpaws throughout his career. Smyly is one of the worst pitchers in the league but we’ll go over that more in our outfield write-up.

Second Base

Hansel Alberto, BAL vs. DET

DK ($4,200) FD ($2,700)

This guy is not getting the credit he deserves! What we really like here is that he gets the platoon advantage against a lefty. Alberto is posting a 1.018 OPS against southpaws so far this season. We particularly like him against Ryan Carpenter, who’s posting a 9.00 ERA and 1.57 WHIP so far this season. Alberto is red-hot right now, posting a .448 average and 1.174 OPS over his last eight games.

Third Base

Nolan Arenado, COL vs. ARI

DK ($5,600) FD ($4,900)

Alright, I’m cheating a bit here but fading Arenado is NOT an option. Not only does Arenado destroy left-handed pitching, he also gets to hit in the best hitter’s park in the Majors. In fact, Arenado has a 1.257 OPS against southpaws since 2017. The Rockies All-Star is also posting a 1.076 OPS at home since 2017. Arenado is probably the hottest hitter in the league right now, collecting 12 doubles, 15 homers, 35 runs scored and 40 RBIs over his last 36 games while providing a .373 average. In 34 at-bats against Robbie Ray, Arenado has five doubles and three homers maintaining a 1.289 OPS, if you needed any more incentive.

Shortstop

Adalberto Mondesi, KC at CWS

DK ($5,200) FD ($3,800)

I really want to pay up for Mondesi here, I truly believe he will go nuts against Reynaldo Lopez. He is posting a 6.03 ERA and 1.56 WHIP so far this season. That’s pretty much the pitcher we’ve been seeing for years now. He’s clearly one of the worst arms in the majors. This puts Mondesi squarely in play, as he’s one of the only hitters in the league averaging more than 10 DK points per game. Kansas City’s star shortstop is cruising right now too, posting a .364 BA over his last 11 games while averaging 10.5 DK points per outing in that span. Considering 60 percent of his career stolen bases have come against right handed pitching, a stolen base or two is not out of the question!

Outfield

Domingo Santana/Mitch Haniger, SEA vs. TEX

DK ($4,500) FD ($3,900) DK ($4,400) FD ($3,700)

All of that buildup from the Encarnacion write-up is finally here and we’ll explain why we want to stack against Smyly. So far this season, Smyly has recorded a 6.15 ERA and 1.69 WHIP while posting an ugly .368 xwOBA. He’s actually been even worse against right-handed batters, which is why we love both of these stud outfielders. Let’s start with Haniger, as he’s one of the league leaders in the AL with 13 home runs. Six of those have come in the last 20 games, as he’s posting a .911 OPS against lefties so far this season. Santana’s splits aren’t so drastic but his season-long numbers are better. We’re talking about a guy who has provided 10 homers, 26 runs scored, 42 RBI and five steals holding a .278 average so far this season. Those are incredible numbers and it’s hard to fade these guys against a gas can like Drew Smyly.

Yasiel Puig, CIN vs. PIT

DK ($4,200) FD ($3,200)

Puig has had a down year but recent results are really promising. Over his last 14 games, Puig has been hitting .263 while contributing five homers, two steals and 14 RBI. That’s the guy we’ve been waiting for all year and it’s really no surprise when you consider the fact that Puig is typically a slow starter. We also like that Puig gets the platoon advantage here, as his OPS against lefties is 100 points higher than his OPS against right handed pitchers this season. Steven Brault is not a guy we need to fear, with the southpaw generating a 7.11 ERA and 1.74 WHIP.

Eloy Jimenez, CWS vs. KC

DK ($3,800) FD ($2,900)

I think Jimenez is one of the best buy-low candidates in season-long formats and his DFS prices are making him a nice value play in DFS as well. We’re talking about a guy who just destroyed the minor leagues, posting a wOBA north of .400 in his minor league career and an ISO just shy of .250. That made him one of the best prospects in baseball and it’s only a matter of time before he starts raking at this level. Recent results are hopefully a sign of things to come, as Jimenez has hit three dingers over his last six games.

6 years ago 0 comments

MLB

DFS Hitting Stacks for 5/29: Bright Reds

Marshall Rosen 6 years ago

written by Marshall Rosen

Here are thetop teams to stack for MLB’s May 29th action:

EARLY SLATE

Cincinnati Reds

The Pirates’ Steven Brault is a guy we want to attack when he takes the bump for Pittsburgh. The left-handed pitcher has a robust 7.11 ERA. And his other numbers for this season aren’t any better. Brault has a 5.46 SIERA and a 5.85 xFIP. The Pittsburgh starter also is getting hit hard with a 44.9% hard contact rate, making the Reds look like a juicy stacking option for Thursday.

The building blocks for this stack will be Eugenio Suarez (FanDuel: $3,900 DraftKings: $4,900) and Nick Senzel (FanDuel: $3,800 DraftKings: $4,900). Both of these right-handed bats have at least a .300 ISO against lefties in 2019. And while he doesn’t have great numbers against southpaws this season, how do you not chase yesterday’s three home run performance by Derek Dietrich (FanDuel: $2,900 DraftKings: $4,900)?

Other Reds to look at it include: Kyle Farmer (FanDuel: $2,100 DraftKings: $3,800) and Yasiel Puig (FanDuel: $3,200 DraftKings: $4,200). Both Cincinnati bats have over .200 ISOs against lefties in 2019.

Seattle Mariners

The Rangers’ Drew Smyly is struggling this season with a 6.15 ERA and is allowing 2.14 HR/9. With seven Mariners owning an ISO of over .200 against southpaws in 2019, the Texas starter’s struggles should continue in this one.

These seven players should be the emphasis of your stack: Jay Bruce (FanDuel: $3,100 DraftKings: $4,300), Domingo Santana (FanDuel: $3,700 DraftKings: $4,500), Daniel Vogelbach (FanDuel: $3,700 DraftKings: $5,300), Tim Beckham (FanDuel: $3,000 DraftKings: $3,800), Mitch Haniger (FanDuel: $3,900 DraftKings: $4,400), Omar Narvaez (FanDuel: $2,900 DraftKings: $4,200) and Edwin Encarnacion (FanDuel: $3,500 DraftKings: $4,500).

Los Angeles Angels

Since returning to the big leagues, the Athletics’ Daniel Mengden has been hit really hard by opposing offenses. In fact, he has allowed a 50% hard contact rate. The hard contact has resulted in him having a 6.07 SIERA and a 6.11 xFIP. The Angels’ offense should be able to hit some balls awfully hard against the young Oakland right-hander here and make for a great value play to combine with Cincinnati or Seattle.

Mike Trout (FanDuel:$4,700 DraftKings: $5,500), Kole Calhoun (FanDuel: $3,500 DraftKings: $4,100),Albert Pujols (FanDuel: $3,000 DraftKings: $3,500), Shohei Ohtani (FanDuel: $3,300DraftKings: $3,500) and Tommy La Stella (FanDuel: $3,100 DraftKings: $3,900)all have produced at least a 45% hard contact rate against righties in 2019.

MAIN SLATE

Arizona Diamondbacks

Winning DFS lineups for today’s slate will likely be loaded with Arizona Diamondbacks. The Rockies will be running Jeff Hoffman out to the bump. The right-handed starter has not fared well at Coors Field in his career. Hoffman has allowed a .303/.376/.541 slash line in 86.1 innings pitched in Colorado. Hoffman also has a 5.20 xFIP and 5.7% K-BB% in those contests. Look for the Diamondbacks to take advantage of this matchup in a big way tonight.

The Diamondbacks’ build must start with Eduardo Escobar (FanDuel: $4,600 DraftKings: $5,700). The third baseman is red hot. He has scored double-digit fantasy points per game for a week now. His hot streak should continue on Wednesday. Escobar has crushed against righties this season. He owns a .250 ISO and a .351 wOBA against them. You can build around Escobar with a combination of Adam Jones (FanDuel: $4,000 DraftKings: $5,300) and Ketel Marte (FanDuel: $4,400 DraftKings: $5,500) as well. Each of these Diamondbacks’ hitters have .200-plus ISOs against right-handed pitching in 2019.

Colorado Rockies

The Colorado Rockies have had Robbie Ray’s number throughout his career. In 106 at-bats against the current Colorado roster, the Arizona starter has allowed a .302/.395/.586 slash line with a .982 OPS. Of the 32 hits Ray has allowed to the current Rockies’ hitters, 16 of them have been for extra bases. And seven of those have left the yard. The success against Ray should continue tonight as the Rockies’ offense has a.209 ISO versus lefties in 2019.

When building your Rockies’ stack, of course you will want to start the construction with Nolan Arenado (FanDuel: $4,900 DraftKings: $5,600). The infielder has crushed lefties this season. He has a .466 ISO and a .516 wOBA versus them. Also, he has killed Ray in the past. Arenado has a 1.289 career OPS against the Diamondbacks’ pitcher.

You also need to consider Ian Desmond (FanDuel: $3,500DraftKings: $3,900). The outfielder has an ISO of .321 versus lefties in 2019.He also has a 1.289 career OPS versus Ray. Chris Iannetta (FanDuel: $3,300DraftKings: $3,700), Ryan McMahon (FanDuel: $3,200 DraftKings: $4,100), DanielMurphy (FanDuel: $3,600 DraftKings: $4,100), Raimel Tapia (FanDuel: $3,200DraftKings: $4,100) and even Mark Reynolds (FanDuel: $3,000 DraftKings: $3,500)should all be considered. Each of those Rockies’ hitters have .200-plus ISOsagainst left-handed pitching in 2019.

Kansas City Royals

The ChicagoWhite Sox’s Reynaldo Lopez has struggled this season. The Right-hander has a5.09 SIERA and a 5.81 xFIP. Lopez has also allowed a 53.6% flyball rate and a40.9% hard contact rate. In addition to his 2019 struggles, Lopez has also hada difficult time with the Royals in his career. Against the current Royals’roster, the Chicago starter has allowed a .301 batting average and a .382 on-basepercentage.

Hunter Dozier(FanDuel: $3,800 DraftKings: $5,100) and Jorge Soler (FanDuel: $3,100DraftKings: $4,400) are great building blocks to a Royals’ stack. Both KansasCity hitter have ISO’s of at least .275 against right-handed pitcher but theyalso have .900-plus OPS against flyball pitchers.

Alex Gordon (FanDuel:$3,400 DraftKings: $4,800) and Adalberto Mondesi (FanDuel: $3,800 DraftKings: $5,500)also have produced at least a .200 ISO against righties in 2019. While WhitMerrifield (FanDuel: $3,900 DraftKings: $5,200) has a .364 wOBA and a 127 wRC+against right-handed pitching this season.

Philadelphia Phillies

The St.Louis Cardinals will be starting Genesis Cabrera. The left-handed pitcher has a6.35 ERA in Triple-A this season. In 39.2 innings pitched for the Memphis Cardinals,Cabrera has allowed 43 hits and 19 walks that have led to 28 earned runs. ThePhillies are likely going to provide a rude welcome the Cardinals’ starter.

Jean Segura (FanDuel:$3,900 DraftKings: $4,800), J.T. Realmuto (FanDuel: $3,400 DraftKings: $4,600),Scott Kingery (FanDuel: $2,800 DraftKings: $4,100), Rhys Hoskins (FanDuel: $4,400DraftKings: $4,900) and Bryce Harper (FanDuel: $4,300 DraftKings: $4,500) allwill be part of the welcoming party. Each of these players have recorded atleast a .200 ISO versus lefties in 2019.

Baltimore Orioles

The Tigers’Ryan Carpenter has had a rough go to the start of his 2019 campaign. He isallowing 3.21 HR/9 while maintaining a 9.00 ERA. While we usually stack againstthe Orioles, today you want to stack with the Orioles.

This stackwill of course start with Trey Mancini (FanDuel: $3,800 DraftKings: $5,000).While he is not a cheap part of the stack, he is an owner of a .283 ISO and a.430 wOBA versus lefties this season.

The other bat to consider starting the Baltimore stack with is Pedro Severino (FanDuel: $2,800 DraftKings: $3,900). Severino has a .300-plus ISOs against lefties this season.

Good luckand happy stacking!

6 years ago 0 comments

MLB

5/26 Hitters and Stacks: Rockie Road

Mark Paquette 6 years ago

written by Mark Paquette

Catcher – Gary Sanchez vs. Danny Duffy

FanDuel: $4,400 DraftKings: $5,200

Sanchez enters play on Sunday red hot and should continue to spit fire today. The Yankees’ catcher has a .375 ISO versus left-handed pitchers in 2019. Sanchez will take on Duffy, who has lost over a mile and a half on his fastball this month. Sanchez should take advantage of the loss of velocity and keep crushing southpaws in this one.

Value:

Jason Castro (FanDuel: $3,200 DraftKings: $4,400)

Tony Wolters (FanDuel: $2,900 DraftKings: $4,100)

Willians Astudillo (FanDuel: $2,600 DraftKings: $3,800)

First Base – C.J. Cron vs. Dylan Covey

FanDuel: $3,900 DraftKings: $4,900

Cron’s .224 ISO versus right-handed pitching is in play for Sunday. The White Sox’ Dylan Covey gives up plenty of big flies. He has allowed 2.08 HR/9 to right-handed sticks in 2019.

Value:

Matt Beaty (FanDuel: $2,100 DraftKings: $3,200)

Garrett Cooper (DraftKings: $3,400)

Chris Davis (FanDuel: $3,100)

Second Base – Jonathan Schoop vs. Dylan Covey

FanDuel: $3,300 DraftKings: $$4,900

The Twins’ Jonathan Schoop has a .279 ISO and a .362 wOBA versus right-handed pitching in 2019. Look for those numbers to jump up after this meeting with Dylan Covey. The Chicago pitcher has a 5.99 xFIP against right-handed pitching.

Value:

Hanser Alberto (FanDuel: $3,200 DraftKings: $3,900)

Starlin Castro (FanDuel: $2,200 DraftKings:$2,700)

Third Base – Nolan Arenado vs. David Hess

FanDuel: $4,800 DraftKings: $5,700

The Rockies’ third baseman checks all the boxes here. He has a .207 ISO versus right-handed pitching in 2019. Arenado also has a .263 ISO at home. And finally, he faces the Orioles’ David Hess, who is allowing 4.3 HR/9 to right-handed batters this season. Arenado should show up big in this one.

Value:

Brian Anderson (FanDuel: $2,800 DraftKings: $3,700)

Rio Ruiz (FanDuel: $3,000 DraftKings: $3,400)

Shortstop –Trevor Story vs. David Hess

FanDuel: $4,600 DraftKings: $5,600

Trevor Story is as close to a lock button play as there is on this slate. The shortstop has raked against right-handed pitching this season with a .281 ISO and a .374 wOBA. And in this one, he gets to face a mediocre right-handed pitcher that throws a fastball more than 50% of the time and he gets to do it in the thin air of Colorado. Why is the fastball part important? Story owns a .300 ISO against that type of pitch in 2019.

Value:

Cole Tucker (FanDuel: $2,100 DraftKings: $2,300)

Miguel Rojas (FanDuel: $2,200 DraftKings: $3,100)

Outfield – Cody Bellinger vs. Chris Archer

FanDuel: $4,900 DraftKings: $5,700

Cody Bellinger is in a great spot here. The Dodgers’ slugger has a .409 ISO and a .529 wOBA against right-handed pitching this season. With the Pirates’ Archer allowing a 43.1% hard contact rate to lefties, Bellinger should get into a couple here.

Outfield – Eddie Rosario vs. Dylan Covey

FanDuel: $4,300 DraftKings: $5,400

Eddie Rosario’s .259 ISO and .347 wOBA against righties makes him an excellent play for Sunday. With Dylan Covey being primarily a flyball pitcher, the Twins’ outfielder is in a spot to build on those numbers. He has a .976 OPS versus flyball pitchers in 2019.

Outfield – Max Kepler vs. Dylan Covey

FanDuel: $3,800 Draftkings: $5,200

Another Twins’ bat makes the cut here and for good reason. Kepler has a .296 ISO and a .385 wOBA against right-handed pitching this season. The leadoff man should be on plenty in this one.

Value:

Raimel Tapia (FanDuel: $3,100)

David Dahl (DraftKings: $4,600)

Garrett Cooper (FanDuel: $2,700 DraftKings: $3,400)

Curtis Granderson (FanDuel: $2,500 DraftKings: $3,400)

Top Stacks

Colorado Rockies:

When you have a game in Coors Field, you always try to cram in Rockies’ bats into your DFS lineups. Today is no different especially with the Orioles’ David Hess on the bump. The Orioles’ right-hander has a 5.93 xFIP, 5.33 SIERA and is allowing 3.38 HR/9 in 2019. Now he will pitch in Colorado ‘s thin air while being a flyball pitcher (56% flyball rate). Things surely are set up for the Rockies’ offense to succeed at home on Sunday.

Minnesota Twins:

No team is hotter than the Twinkies right now. Over their last seven games, they are putting up video game-like numbers. As an offense, they have a .325/.398/.662 slash line with a 1.060 OPS and a .338 ISO. With all of this production, the Twins have scored 60 runs in last week. Look for the Twins to stay hot on Sunday as they face the Chicago White Sox and right-hander Dylan Covey.

The White Sox’s starter has a 5.31 ERA and the peripherals don’t suggest there will be improvement any time soon. Covey owns a 7.39 xFIP and a 7.72 SIERA this season. He is a flyball pitcher (40.6%) that doesn’t strike anyone out (7.5% K%). Covey should be in trouble early and often here, so stack up all the Twins that you can.

New York Yankees:

While it hasn’t been as impressive as the Twins’ last week of production, the Yankees have had a pretty good seven-day stretch. In the last week, the New York offense has a .264 ISO, .387 wOBA and a 144 wRC+. Those numbers should all be in a position to increase on Sunday against the Royals’ Danny Duffy.

Value Stack

Miami Marlins:

While the Marlins’ offense is not a juggernaut, it is cheap and should help you get the top bats from Colorado and Minnesota into your DFS lineups. Also, the Marlins will face Erick Fedde of the Nationals. The right-handed pitcher has a 4.99 xFIP and a 4.78 SIERA this season.

6 years ago 0 comments

MLB

5/26 Hitters and Stacks: Rockie Road

Mark Paquette 6 years ago

written by Mark Paquette

Catcher – Gary Sanchez vs. Danny Duffy

FanDuel: $4,400 DraftKings: $5,200

Value:

Jason Castro (FanDuel: $3,200 DraftKings: $4,400)

Tony Wolters (FanDuel: $2,900 DraftKings: $4,100)

Willians Astudillo (FanDuel: $2,600 DraftKings: $3,800)

First Base – C.J. Cron vs. Dylan Covey

FanDuel: $3,900 DraftKings: $4,900

Cron’s .224 ISO versus right-handed pitching is in play for Sunday. The White Sox’ Dylan Covey gives up plenty of big flies. He has allowed 2.08 HR/9 to right-handed sticks in 2019.

Value:

Matt Beaty (FanDuel: $2,100 DraftKings: $3,200)

Garrett Cooper (DraftKings: $3,400)

Chris Davis (FanDuel: $3,100)

Second Base – Jonathan Schoop vs. Dylan Covey

FanDuel: $3,300 DraftKings: $$4,900

Value:

Hanser Alberto (FanDuel: $3,200 DraftKings: $3,900)

Starlin Castro (FanDuel: $2,200 DraftKings:$2,700)

Third Base – Nolan Arenado vs. David Hess

FanDuel: $4,800 DraftKings: $5,700

Value:

Brian Anderson (FanDuel: $2,800 DraftKings: $3,700)

Rio Ruiz (FanDuel: $3,000 DraftKings: $3,400)

Shortstop –Trevor Story vs. David Hess

FanDuel: $4,600 DraftKings: $5,600

Value:

Cole Tucker (FanDuel: $2,100 DraftKings: $2,300)

Miguel Rojas (FanDuel: $2,200 DraftKings: $3,100)

Outfield – Cody Bellinger vs. Chris Archer

FanDuel: $4,900 DraftKings: $5,700

Outfield – Eddie Rosario vs. Dylan Covey

FanDuel: $4,300 DraftKings: $5,400

Outfield – Max Kepler vs. Dylan Covey

FanDuel: $3,800 Draftkings: $5,200

Another Twins’ bat makes the cut here and for good reason. Kepler has a .296 ISO and a .385 wOBA against right-handed pitching this season. The leadoff man should be on plenty in this one.

Value:

Raimel Tapia (FanDuel: $3,100)

David Dahl (DraftKings: $4,600)

Garrett Cooper (FanDuel: $2,700 DraftKings: $3,400)

Curtis Granderson (FanDuel: $2,500 DraftKings: $3,400)

Top Stacks

Colorado Rockies:

Minnesota Twins:

New York Yankees:

Value Stack

Miami Marlins:

6 years ago 0 comments

Newer Posts

Older Posts

Nolan Arenado

Winners

Max Kepler ($4,800)

Kepler’s Outlook

Peter Lambert ($6,300)

Lambert’s Outlook

Losers

Tyler Skaggs ($8,700)

Skaggs’ Outlook

Nolan Arenado ($5,500)

Arenado’s Outlook

Injury Update

Winners

Max Kepler ($4,800)

Kepler’s Outlook

Peter Lambert ($6,300)

Lambert’s Outlook

Losers

Tyler Skaggs ($8,700)

Skaggs’ Outlook

Nolan Arenado ($5,500)

Arenado’s Outlook

Injury Update

Catcher – Gary Sanchez vs. David Price

First Base – Daniel Murphy vs. Aaron Sanchez

Second Base – Ketel Marte vs. Steven Matz

Third Base – Nolan Arenado vs. Aaron Sanchez

Shortstop –Trevor Story vs. Aaron Sanchez

Outfield – Christian Yelich vs. Jordan Lyles

Outfield – Mookie Betts vs. C.C. Sabathia

Outfield – Mike Trout vs. Marco Gonzales

Top Stacks

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