Welcome back for another installment of the Friday Night Forecheck here at Win Daily Sports. Tonight, we get a four game slate that starts at 8:30pm Eastern. This one looks a little ugly at first glance, but let’s see where we can go with it. Good luck!
John Gibson – Anaheim Ducks: The Ducks host the Kraken tonight, in what should be a win for them. The Kraken have been struggling to score on the road, converting just 6.2% of their shots over their last five road games. Gibson is a solid goaltender, especially on home ice, and he should be a top point per dollar play tonight.
Brian Elliott – Tampa Bay Lightning: The Lightning are on a traveling back to back, and Vasilevskiy played last night, so the assumption is that Elliott will likely get the start tonight. Should Vasilevskiy get the start again tonight, he is an even better play. Elliott does carry some risk, since he doesn’t play all that much, but it’s the Coyotes, who have played a good bit recently, so this is feels like a safe play.
Bonus GPP Goalie Pick – Stuart Skinner – Edmonton Oilers: The Oilers….wow. What happened to this team? They were absolutely dominating in the first part of the season. Fast forward to February, and they fired their head coach. What a free-fall they have been on. We have to be careful with the Oilers tonight because new coach = most likely new approach, new lines, and new matching schemes, and even growing pains as the team adapts. Anyway, Skinner has been a bit up and down, but arguably the better goalie for the Oilers, especially recently. In a home matchup, against the visiting Islanders, this should be a decent play that carries some risk and upside. On the other side of this game, Ilya Sorokin (Islanders) can also be considered for a risky GPP upside play.
These lines are considered top plays for the night and can be considered the focal point of your builds. They will be listed by position in the following order: Center/Winger/Winger/Correlating Defenseman (if applicable).
Tampa Bay Lightning Power Play – Brayden Point/Alex Killorn/Steven Stamkos/Nikita Kucherov/Victor Hedman: The Lightning are far and away the best play on the board tonight. Even though they played last night, they are a far superior team to the Coyotes. On top of that, the Coyotes have played quite a bit over the last few days, so the Lightning should be able to skate through them all night long. Tired or not, the Coyotes don’t pose much of a defensive threat, and their 31st ranked penalty kill should be no match for this unit.
Dallas Stars 1 – Roope Hintz/Jason Robertson/Joe Pavelski/John Klingberg: The Stars host the Jets tonight, and Dallas is a much better team on home ice. Hellebuyck has been struggling of late, posting a 3.06 GAA over his last five games, which is second highest on the slate behind Vejmelka for Arizona. This line is the primary scoring line for the Stars and should be able to shine at home tonight.
These are plays that carry significantly more risk, but could pay off at low ownership. They will be listed by position in the following order: Center/Winger/Winger/Correlating Defenseman (if applicable).
Anaheim Ducks Power Play – Ryan Gezlaf/Trevor Zegras/Rickard Rakell/Maxime Comtois/Jamie Drysdale: The Ducks’ 7th ranked power play unit will take on the Kraken’s 25th ranked penalty killing unit tonight. Since the Kraken are fairly disciplined, this play is not so much about the power play matchup as it is about getting access to the top two lines for the Ducks. Anaheim tends to match the Lundestrom line to the opposing top line, which will open up the matchups for the top two lines against the depth of the Kraken. Playing the power play unit gets you a mix of top and second line guys who are all in good spots. This game feels like it hits the under, which is why they are high risk, but the Ducks carry some nice upside tonight.
Winnipeg Jets 2 – Andrew Copp/Kyle Connor/Cole Perfetti: This second line for the Jets has a nice matchup tonight against the second/third line for the Stars. It feels like this game is going to be the key to the slate, so getting either Winnipeg and/or Dallas right could be the path to success. Josh Morrissey is a good defenseman to correlate with this line.
Edmonton Oilers 2 – Leon Draisaitl/Ryan McLeod/Zack Kassian: As mentioned above, the Oilers are going through a lot of changes, which is why this line is a high risk line tonight. They used to loosely match this line against the opposing second, but we don’t know if that will continue. If they do, this is a good spot for the Draisaitl line, who has been much better of late than the McDavid line.
Honorable Mentions: SEA1, TBL3, WPG1, NYI1, EDM1
Center: Anthony Cirelli ($4000) – Tampa Bay Lightning
Wing: Cole Perfetti ($3000) – Winnipeg Jets
Defense: Ryan McDonagh ($3300) – Tampa Bay Lightning
Center: Cole Perfetti ($3900) – Winnipeg Jets
Wing: Kailer Yamamoto ($3700) – Edmonton Oilers
Defense: Jamie Drysdale ($4000) – Anaheim Ducks
Center: Roope Hintz – Dallas Stars
Wing: Nikita Kucherov – Tampa Bay Lightning
Defense: Evan Bouchard – Edmonton Oilers
Goalie: Brian Elliott – Tampa Bay Lightning
Center: Roope Hintz – Dallas Stars
Wing: Nikita Kucherov – Tampa Bay Lightning
Defense: Evan Bouchard – Edmonton Oilers
Goalie: Brian Elliott – Tampa Bay Lightning
Make sure to hop in our Expert Discord Chat for FREE! Jon and the NHL team will be there answering questions right up until lock! Be sure to be on the look out for future articles at https://windailysports.com/daily-fantasy-hockey/
All line combinations are courtesy of www.dailyfaceoff.com, and the advanced rates referenced in the above article are pulled from www.naturalstattrick.com.
This article focuses on 2/10 NHL Picks for both DraftKings Sportsbook and DraftKings Daily Fantasy. We analyze tournament tactics, statistics, pricing, and attempt to tackle this highly variable Daily Fantasy format so that we can gain an edge on the field at large. Full rankings for each position for both sites are available below.
Welcome back to the Hot Shot for a seven-game Thursday slate!
Full Game Odds/Totals and DraftKings Rankings can be found below as well as cash game considerations for each site.
Columbus One “Patrik Laine, Gustav Nyquist, Boone Jenner”, Buffalo One “Alex Tuch, Jeff Skinner, Tage Thompson”
The first very thing that jumped out at me on this slate when digging through pricing was how ridiculously cheap skaters from this game are. I get it, these are two bad teams. However, this should be a high-scoring game as the 6.5 total indicates. Furthermore, Patrik Laine is only $4,500 despite coming off three straight two-goal games. Perhaps DraftKings decided that they’ll only raise his price if he bags a hat trick. On the flip side, Alex Tuch stands out to me as a particularly great value individually and he has been on fire as well. If looking to use a full line and only pick one, I would side with Columbus’ top unit with six full lines goals off of 57 SATF across their last ten games, placing them just outside the NHL’s top ten lines.
Alex Ovechkin has been ruled out for this game as of the time of writing. Nevertheless, no matter who joins these two skaters on the top line, we can count on them having some opportunities. The Capitals will be -210 favorites on the money line tonight in a 6.5 total game against a flailing Montreal team that is really struggling and missing their starting goalies in particular. There is not much of sample size on these two but consider it more a combination of price and matchup putting them in play.
Despite a few mismatches on paper earlier on in the slate, the Blues are the heaviest favorite at -275 against a Devils team that has been going through hell, so to speak. Of the options, I prefer the second line featuring Vladimir Tarasenko and Jordan Kyrou but the way the St. Louis lines are dispersed, you can really opt for any one of the three, depending on your budget. This line with Saad as opposed to Tarasenko has five full lines goals over their last ten games, the by-product of 48 SATF and an unlucky .968 save performance against, so due for positive regression.
Columbus Blue Jackets (-110) at Buffalo Sabres (-110) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total
Washington Capitals (-210) at Montreal Canadiens (+170) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total
Pittsburgh Penguins (-210) at Ottawa Senators (+170) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total
Carolina Hurricanes (+100) at Boston Bruins (-120) – 6 Projected Goal Total
Toronto Maple Leafs (-120) at Calgary Flames (+100) – 6 Projected Goal Total
New Jersey Devils (+220) at St. Louis Blues (-275) – 6 Projected Goal Total
Tampa Bay Lightning (+100) at Colorado Avalanche (-120) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total
Patrik Laine, Alex Tuch, Rasmus Dahlin, Auston Matthews, Ville Husso
Make sure to hop in our Expert Discord Chat for FREE! Rich will be there answering questions all day and all night! Follow Rich on Twitter @JFan303 and be sure to be on the lookout for future articles at https://windailysports.com/daily-fantasy-hockey/
Welcome back for another installment of the Friday Night Forecheck here at Win Daily Sports! Tonight, we get a nice five game slate. It’s not too big, and not too small, and at first glance looks like a pretty good one. Good luck!
Pavel Francouz – Colorado Avalanche: The Avs head to Chicago tonight to face the Blackhawks in a game they should pretty much dominate. They have a massive implied team total and should be able to handle the Hawks. The issue is limited upside here, so he may not be the optimal for GPPs tonight.
Braden Holtby – Dallas Stars: Dallas hosts the Washington Capitals tonight, and Holtby appears to be getting the start against his old team. This is a great spot for Holtby, as the Stars are a better team at home. There should definitely be some shot upside here, and the potential for a win is very real.
Bonus GPP Goalie Pick – Cam Talbot – Minnesota Wild: The Wild head to the Big Apple tonight to take on the Rangers, who just played last night in Columbus. While the Rangers have been better on home ice of late, they could be due for a letdown, and Talbot could very well go in and steal a game from them tonight. NARRATIVE ALERT!! Talbot was the backup to Henrik Lundqvist for two years, and the Rangers are retiring Hank’s number tonight. Marc-Andre Fleury is a consideration for a VERY RISKY GPP ONLY play, against the Avalanche tonight, who could possibly be without their star center in MacKinnon. Even without him, this is a very risky play, but it makes sense given the shot upside and the fact that MAF loves showing up in weird, unlikely spots.
These lines are considered top plays for the night and can be considered the focal point of your builds. They will be listed by position in the following order: Center/Winger/Winger/Correlating Defenseman (if applicable).
Boston Bruins Power Play – Patrice Bergeron/David Pastrnak/Brad Marchand/Taylor Hall/Charlie McAvoy: The Bruins head to the desert tonight to face the lowly Coyotes and their pretty bad goalie in Scott Wedgewood. This unit is high powered, and will be facing the second worst penalty killing unit in the league tonight. It feels like a Pastrnak night, so if you want to go straight BOS2, that works in this situation as well.
Colorado Avalanche 1 – Nazem Kadri/Gabriel Landeskog/Mikko Rantanen/Cale Makar: The Avs called up a center from the AHL last night, which could indicate that Nathan MacKinnon will be out tonight, after taking a rough looking, but totally clean (THERE I SAID IT!) hit from Taylor Hall the other night. Even if Mac can’t go tonight, this is a nice play with Kadri in the top line at C. Kadri has been more than adequate replacing Mac as needed, and this line is in a great spot tonight. Make sure you keep an eye on news through the day, and if MacKinnon does go, then he goes in Kadri’s place.
These are plays that carry significantly more risk, but could pay off at low ownership. They will be listed by position in the following order: Center/Winger/Winger/Correlating Defenseman (if applicable).
Dallas Stars 1 – Roope Hintz/Jason Robertson/Joe Pavelski/Miro Heiskanen: The Stars are a much better team on home ice, and tonight they host the Capitals. This even strength matchup bodes well for the Stars, as this line should see much of the depth lines for the Caps. The Stars at home generally match the Glendening line to the opposing top line, setting up this very nice depth matchup.
Minnesota Wild 2 – Frederick Gaudreau/Matthew Boldy/Kevin Fiala/Matt Dumba: A lot of folks will be on the top Minnesota line, and for good reason. The top line looks good as well here, but this second line should be more of a focus, simply based on even strength matchup. The Wild second line should be in for some very good looks tonight, as they face mostly the second line for the Rangers.
Pittsburgh Penguins 1 – Sidney Crosby/Jake Guentzel/Bryan Rust/Kris Letang: the Penguins host the Red Wings tonight, and frankly this game could go either way. The Pens played last night, and are starting a bad goalie in Desmith. With Nedeljkovic likely starting for the Wings, expect a lot of goals tonight, giving this line an opportunity to slide under the radar with Boston and Colorado on the slate.
Detroit Red Wings 2 – Pius Suter/Tyler Bertuzzi/Robby Fabbri/Moritz Seider: The second line for the Wings has been very good recently, and tonight sets them up with a chance to continue that. The Pens loosely match their top two lines against opposing top 2 D pairings, setting this line up for plenty of chances tonight. They will likely carry little ownership, so they are a very nice target for value tonight.
Honorable Mentions: WSH2, NYRPP, MIN1
Center: Pius Suter ($3400) – Detroit Red Wings
Wing: Matt Boldy ($2500) – Minnesota Wild
Defense: Samuel Girard ($3600) – Colorado Avalanche
Center: Frederick Gaudreau ($4500) – Minnesota Wild
Wing: Craig Smith ($4000) – Boston Bruins
Defense: Esa Lindell ($4500) – Dallas Stars
Center: Nazem Kadri – Colorado Avalanche
Wing: David Pastrnak – Boston Bruins
Defense: Miro Heiskanen – Dallas Stars
Goalie: Pavel Francouz – Colorado Avalanche
Center: Nazem Kadri – Colorado Avalanche
Wing: David Pastrnak – Boston Bruins
Defense: Miro Heiskanen – Dallas Stars
Goalie: Pavel Francouz – Colorado Avalanche
Make sure to hop in our Expert Discord Chat for FREE! Jon and the NHL team will be there answering questions right up until lock! Be sure to be on the look out for future articles at https://windailysports.com/daily-fantasy-hockey/
All line combinations are courtesy of www.dailyfaceoff.com, and the advanced rates referenced in the above article are pulled from www.naturalstattrick.com.
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