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NHL Betting Picks

NHL Picks for PrizePicks (Mar. 27)

It’s the Sunday Funday version of the NHL Picks for PrizePicks. We have a really nice slate of NHL hockey with 7 games on tap. We’re on a nice roll as we went 4 for 4 yesterday.

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Let’s dig in and see if we can make some money.

NHL Picks

Carter Hart – 3.5 Goals – Over

Carter Hart has had an extremely up and down season. Mostly down though. If we take a look at this recent play, it’s been pretty bad. He’s given up at least 4 goals in 5 of his last 6 games. That’s pretty bad! Tonight he gets a tough matchup vs. a Nashville team scoring more than 4 goals per game. My only concern is here that Hart gets pulled early for giving up too many goals, too quickly!

Karel Vejmelka – 3.5 Goals – Over

There was a stretch earlier in the year when Vejmelka got called up to the NHL where he was saving just about everything. Those days are long gone! He’s now given up at least 3 goals in 5 straight games, with the last 2 being over 4 in each. The matchup tonight vs. the Jets isn’t a good one as they’re scoring over 4 goals per game during the month of March. Look for the Jets to get to Vejmelka early and often.

Mika Zibenajad – .5 Assists – Over

The Rangers are jockeying for playoff position at this point in the year. Much of that is thanks to the great play of Mika Zibanejad. Over his last 3 games, he has 5 assists. Tonight, the Rangers get to take on a Sabres team giving up about 3 goals per game over the last month. The Rangers have a projected goal total of 3.75 tonight. If they do get to near that 4 number, Zibenajad will be a big reason why. He gets at least 1 assist tonight and over the .5 PrizePicks gave us.

Jake Guentzel – .5 Assists – Over

Another team with a great matchup on paper tonight is the Penguins. Detroit has been atrocious over the last couple of months as they’re giving up more than 4 goals per game. With Guentzel playing alongside Crosby on both the top line and power-play unit, he stands a great chance to get an assist tonight. I’m going with the Over on this prop from PrizePIcks.

Whether it’s for PrizePicks or DFS, make sure you’re reading all of our great NHL content.

Good luck and hope to see some green bars come Sunday night!

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3 years ago 0 comments

NHL

NHL DFS The Saturday Slapshot (Mar. 12)

Joel Bartilotta 3 years ago

written by Joel Bartilotta

After several weeks of small Saturday night slates, the NHL scheduling gods have blessed us with an 8 game slate on DraftKings and FanDuel. My goal today will be to walk you through a lineup build that will get you to the top of the leaderboards.

Let’s dig in and see if we can make some money.

Goaltending

Jake Oettinger ($7.5K DK/$7.7k FD) vs. New York Rangers – I don’t often proactively use goalies against my New York Rangers, but I’m going to make an exception tonight. Oettinger tonight is in a price point where he’s really hard to pass up. While not flashy, he’s been extremely reliable as he’s had at least 10 DK points or more in 11 of his last 13 games. He’s even had some games over 25 points.

The Rangers have really struggled to put the goal in the net over the last month, averaging just 2.45 goals per game over that stretch. With them on the road again tonight, look for them to continue to struggle scoring goals. Oettinger isn’t a sexy pick by any means, but he’s not going to kill you tonight.

Cal Petersen ($8.1k DK/$7.6k FD) vs. San Jose Sharks – The Kings should turn the goalie crease over to Cal Petersen tonight after Quick somehow let up 4 goals vs. a Sharks team that’s scoring just 2 goals per game over the past month. I wish Petersen was under the $8k range tonight on DK (love the price on FD) as I’m not sure I can stomach paying that much for him. That said, the match up is great. And if we look at recent stats, he provides more upside than Oettinger as he’s had over 20 DK points in back to back games.

Outside of those 2 goalies, I have little interest in anyone else. While both guys present some risk, they should both have a decent floor and won’t break the bank.

Stacks

Calgary 1 (Lindholm, Gaudreau, Tkachuk) vs. Detroit

If you’ve been following the NHL recently, you know that Detroit is playing some really poor defensive hockey. Over the last month, they have a goals against average of 5.20. The only thing I can compare that to in sports is the Rockies playing every game in Coors over a 30 day stretch and having Kyle Freeland on the mound for all. It’s bad. Carolina is probably licking their chops after giving up on Nedeljkovic as he’s been extremely disappointing this season.

Over his last 2 games, he’s given up 12 goals. That’s bad. I want to preface this with saying that both top lines for Calgary are in play tonight. My lean right now is line 1, even though they are pricey. Lindholm and Gaudreau are both killing it of late, with a combined 11 goals and 18 points over their last 5. They’ve also combined for 41 scoring chances. Both guys are core plays for me tonight. You can add Tkachuk to this stack too if you want, I just don’t think he’s going to be necessary.

New Jersey 1 (Hughes, Sharangovich, Mercer) vs. Anaheim

While not as bad as Detroit over the last month in terms of GAA, the Ducks are pretty close as they’re giving up more than 4.5 goals per game since mid-February. After starting out the season strongly, Gibson has crashed hard back down to earth. For most of the year, he outperformed against his advanced metrics. The Gibson we are seeing now, is the real Gibson. Over the last month, he hasn’t had a single game with less than 3 goals. As their everyday goalie, that’s a lot of games with 3 or more goals against.

Jersey’s offense starts with Hughes. The third-year center already has a career high 18 goals and 26 assists. This is by far his best season at the NHL level and he’s still fairly priced at just $6.7k on DK. I’m pairing him with Sharangovich tonight as the 2 of them have really clicked and Sharangovich is just $3.8k. Over their last 5 games, the 2 have combined for 44 scoring chances. Look for the 2 of them to have a big night against a bad team.

Montreal 2 (Dauphin, Hoffman, Gallagher) vs. Seattle

I don’t need to sell you too much on playing guys against Seattle. They’ve struggled mightily in their inaugural season. We attack them when we can. Tonight, we can. Montreal 1 is absolutely in play tonight. Caufield and Suzuki are playing great hockey right now as they’ve combined for 12 points over their last 5 games. We just need some savings tonight in a productive environment and Montreal 2 is going to give us that.

I’m looking to Brendan Gallagher tonight for some positive regression. Over his last 5 contests he has 15 high danger chances and just 1 goal to show for it. His xGF over that stretch is 3.23. He should be finding the back of the net and there’s a very good chance tonight he does. The combination of Hoffman and Gallagher will cost us just $8.5k on DK tonight and after spending a ton of money on Calgary and Jersey, we need the extra money. There is also a path to getting both Suzuki and Caufield in your squads tonight by going cheap on both D and I may end up doing that too in a lineup.

Other stacks (TB 1 and 2, Edm 1 and 2, Bos 1, Ari, Chi 1)

Top Defenseman

Ryan McDonagh – $4.1k on DK – 16 blocked shots and 12 shots on goal over last 5.
Jakob Chychrun – 5 goals over his last 5 to go with 21 shots
Sean Durzi – 23 shots and 13 blocks over his last 5, still somewhat of a value
Dyson Mayo – $3.1k on DK. 4 points over his last 5 plus 10 blocked shots
Nick Holden – $3k on DK. Averaging close to 4 shots + blocks per game over last 5
Jacob Middleton – $2.9k on DK. Dude is a blocked shot machine with 12 over his last 3 games.

Vegas

Love the Canadiens at -110 tonight as favorites against Seattle. They’re on home ice and are playing “better.”

Summary

Tonight’s looking like a fun slate. We have several teams that should put up big numbers with Calgary, Jersey, and even Montreal. I didn’t write up them because I expect them to be popular, but Tampa Bay is also in a great spot to smash tonight vs. an Oilers team that has been challenged defensively this season.

Don’t forget to use our optimizer when setting lineups.

Good luck and hope to see you in the green!

3 years ago 0 comments

Sports Betting

NHL Picks for PrizePicks – 03/11/2022 – Win Daily Sports

Joel Bartilotta 3 years ago

written by Joel Bartilotta

Tonight we have a small, but solid-looking 4 game slate of NHL hockey. We should see some sloppy hockey tonight in a couple of spots as all but Pittsburgh, Vancouver, and Washington are on the last legs of a back-to-back. Below you’ll find some of my favorite picks for tonight.

Not already a PrizePicks member? Sign up today using the button below (Promo Code – WINDAILY) and you’ll get a bonus match of 100% up to $100. And to top it off, we’ll give you a free month of Win Daily Gold ($50 value).

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Let’s dig in and see if we can make some money.

NHL Picks

Kaapo Kahkonen Over 2.5 Goals Allowed

You’re going to notice a trend here, but I expect some offense in this Wild/Blue Jackets. Both teams have all but abandoned playing defense. Let’s start w/ the Wild. Over the last month, the Wild are giving up 4.43 goals per game.

No team in the NHL has given up more power-play goals over the last month than the Wild. Kahkonen has been especially bad as he’s given up at least 3 goals in 4 of his 5 and 14 goals in his last 3. With the state of the Wild’s play right now, I just don’t see how the Blue Jackets score less than 3 goals tonight.

Elvis Merzlikins Over 3.5 Goals Allowed

While the Blue Jackets haven’t been as bad as the Wild on the defensive side of things over the last month, they also haven’t been good. Elvis in particular has been bad. Over his 3 games, Elvis has given up 13 goals. Just not what you want to see out of your goalie.

Although the Wild defense has been atrocious, their offense has been keeping them afloat. Both of their top lines are always in play and between Boldy, Kaprizov, Fiala, and Zuc, they should put the puck in the back of the net quite a bit tonight. Wild should tag Elvis tonight for at least 4, if not more.

Kevin Fiala Over .5 Assists

When you get to play next to the red hot Matt Boldy, you’re bound to get some helpers! Last night Fiala had his fifth assist in his last 5 games and has 8 points over that stretch. I said it above and I’ll say it again, I love the Wild to put some goals tonight and Fiala will be a big part of that.

Most people gravitate to the top line of the Wild for scoring, but it’s actually been this second line that’s been extremely productive and Fiala has been a big part of it. Love him for at least 1 apple tonight.

Tristan Jarry Over 27.5 Saves

Vegas has not been scoring goals this season. Over the last month, they’re averaging just 2.18 goals per game. That said, they are shooting the puck a ton as they have 35.55 shots per game over that same stretch. With the Penguins giving up just a hair over 30 shots per game over the past month, I’m projecting Jarry at 31 saves tonight. That’s going to take us over the 27.5 saves project that PrizePicks is giving us.

Whether it’s for PrizePicks or DFS, make sure you’re reading all of our great NHL content here.

Good luck and hope to see some green bars come Sunday night!

3 years ago 0 comments

Daily Fantasy Sports

5.16 What the Puck NHL Playoffs Preview

Jon Jansen 4 years ago

written by Jon Jansen

The NHL Playoffs are here and it’s already been a wild few games. Keith, Matt and Allan are going to be helping you throughout the playoffs with DFS plays and bets! In the first episode they go over the entire slate for Monday on the 5.16 What the Puck NHL Playoffs Preview!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3vJQ2GKOfsQ

Make sure to check out more DFS and betting content at WinDailySports.com

4 years ago 0 comments

NHL Sports Betting Premium

NHL Playoff Preview (First Round)

jamie calkins 4 years ago

written by jamie calkins

NHL Playoff Preview (First Round)

Welcome to Keith’s NHL Playoff Preview (First Round). A little different than my daily game pick articles. The NHL Playoffs are finally here! After a grueling 56-game season we are down to 16 teams. With the nuances of scheduling this year, each team will have a mini bracket within their division and then each team who makes it out of their division will be re-seeded for the Final 4. Not too many surprises with who made the playoffs. Here are the 16 teams who will be playing in the First Round:

We have some great First Round matchups. I will preview each series, post each series price and give my predictions. I will also keep a tracker for my entire slate of playoff bets, as I have some futures on who makes it out of their division, as well as who wins Lord Stanley. I will provide that info at the end as well as some general thoughts for betting the NHL Playoffs. Without further ado, let’s dive into the series.

East Division

#1 Pittsburgh Penguins (-150) vs. #4 New York Islanders (+121)

Season Series: Penguins: 6-2-0, Islanders: 2-4-2

Preview: The Penguins sport the best home record in the league and have home-ice advantage in this series. They should be fully healthy with the returns of Malkin a few games ago and Tanev is projected to be ready for Game 1. The Penguins had a great season and are well deserved to be at the top of this division. The Islanders started of the season very nicely and were battling for first, but things unraveled for them after the Trade Deadline. The Penguins are known for their offense and the Islanders for their defense, but both teams can handle their own on the opposite spectrums as well. The Penguins are 2nd in GF over their last 20 games while the Islanders are 30th. The major X-factor right now is the health of Islanders’ top goaltender Seymon Varlamov. Sporting top-5 goaltending numbers this season, if he is unable to play than the Islanders will have to rely on Russian rookie Ilya Sorokin, who has decent numbers himself but not to the standard of Varlamov. Two teams trending in opposite directions leaves me no choice in my prediction.

Prediction: Penguins 4-1

#2 Washington Capitals (+118) vs. #3 Boston Bruins (-143)

Season Series: Capitals: 4-4-0, Bruins 4-2-2

Preview: What a series this should play out to be. We have the 2018 Stanley Cup Champions versus the 2019 Stanley Cup Runner-Ups. We have the return of Zdeno Chara who spent 14 seasons with Boston and was the longest-tenured captain in the league before signing with Washington as a free agent in the offseason. Each team won 4 matchups against the other this season. The Capitals surprisingly are an underdog in this series, and that must be attributed to Boston’s recent form. They have been a freight train after acquiring Hall, Reilly, and Lazar at the Trade Deadline. The Bruins could not score pretty much all season but then finally woke up the last month. The Caps meanwhile have been battling injury concerns to their star players and also had to deal with the Tom Wilson/Battle of New York saga. The Bruins have been rolling and have been in the top-10 in offensive metrics over their last 20 games. The thing with the Capitals is their underlying numbers were not that good but they could mitigate that with their scoring talent. However, recently the Capitals haven’t been able to do that. Goaltending is also interesting for both teams as the Capitals will roll with the inexperienced tandem of Samsanov/Vanacek, while the Bruins will probably start with Rask but rookie Swayman could make a case for deserving that net. With the Bruins rolling and actually low key dominating their season series with Washington analytically despite it being tied 4-4, I have no choice here.

Prediction: Bruins 4-2

Central Division

#1 Carolina Hurricanes (-240) vs. #4 Nashville Predators (+190)

Season Series: Hurricanes: 6-2-0, Predators: 2-5-1

Preview: The Hurricanes have dominated this season series over Nashville winning 6 of 8. The Predators snuck into the playoffs on the curtails of Juuse Saros incredible goaltending. The Hurricanes offense has been rolling all season and there is no reason to see that slowing down here. A hot goaltender can change the complexion of a series, no doubt. But Saros will need to stand on his head to steal this one from Carolina. Nashville held their own in their matchups against Carolina this year despite only winning 2 of 8. Hurricanes offense, defense, and special teams have been better all season. The only edge you can really give to Nashville is goaltending. And there is a chance Mrazek/Ned can get on a roll and even out that edge. I feel generous to say the Preds won’t roll Carolina, but it wouldn’t surprise me if they do.

Prediction: Hurricanes 4-2

#2 Florida Panthers (+116) vs. #3 Tampa Bay Lightning (-143)

Season Series: Panthers: 5-2-1, Lightning: 3-5-0

Preview: The Battle of Florida. These teams do not like each other and this has the potential to be an absolute battle and best series of the first round. You could argue Tampa underperformed a little bit this year as the defending champs finishing 3rd in their division. But they were without their best player Nikita Kucherov all season and captain Steven Stamkos for the last 10 or so games. Kucherov is projected to be ready for the playoffs so we will see if he can come back right in stride or has some rust. The Panthers on the other hand had quite the season and outperformed expectations to a 2nd place finish in the division. A devastating blow to star defenseman Aaron Ekblad who sustained a season-ending injury with about 15 games to go. However Mackenzie Weegar has picked up the slack on the back end. Goaltending is where Tampa will display quite the edge with reigning Vezina winner Andrei Vasilevskiy in net for the Bolts and probably Chris Dreidger in net for Florida, with Bobrovsky and rookie Spencer Knight there in case Dreidger falters. With the Lightning having some injury concerns and coming off a long cup run, I am going against the grain here.

Prediction: Panthers 4-3

North Division

#1 Toronto Maple Leafs (-275) vs. #4 Montreal Canadiens (+210)

Season Series: Maple Leafs: 7-2-1, Canadiens: 3-6-1

Preview: The Maple Leafs have been viewed as the favorites to make it out of the North Division since Day 1, and are actually the only team with minus odds (-135) to make it out of their division of the entire league. They will be squaring up with a Canadiens team that has been hot and cold all season. They started off really hot and people were even thinking they might be better than Toronto, then went ice cold and fired their coach, before finishing the season relatively strong. Defense is their specialty but they’ve had to deal with multiple injuries on the back end. It’s unclear if they will go with their most expensive asset (Carey Price) or the goaltender who has performed better this season (Jake Allen) for this series. Nothing would surprise me and could potentially see the Canadiens pulling an upset if they get hot, but the Leafs are definitely the stronger team and should take care of this series.

Prediction: Maple Leafs 4-2

#2 Edmonton Oilers (-186) vs. #3 Winnipeg Jets (+150)

Season Series: Oilers: 7-2-0, Jets 2-7-0

Preview: Two teams that are going in opposite directions. Behind the incredible season from Connor McDavid, Edmonton has had a strong end to the season. Winnipeg has been reeling behind all sorts of defensive problems all season, as well as an injury to their strongest winger in Nikolaj Ehlers. Luckily for Winnipeg, Connor Hellebuyck is arguably the best goaltender in the league and the kind of goalie who can steal a series. The problem is the defense in front of him has been bad all year and towards the end of the season he had some games where he didn’t stand on his head. Oilers goalie Mike Smith has actually had quite a surprising season as a 39-year-old veteran on the last legs of his career. With the way McDavid and Draisaitl have been rolling all season, I cannot go against the best player(s) in the league.

Prediction: Oilers 4-2

West Division

#1 Colorado Avalanche (-335) vs. #4 St. Louis Blues (+255)

Season Series: Avalanche: 5-3-0, Blues: 3-5-0

Preview: The Stanley Cup favorite and Presidents’ Trophy winning Avalanche begin their Cup run against the 2018 Stanley Cup Champion St. Louis Blues. The Avs have probably the strongest and deepest team in the 16-team field this year. They’ve dealt with some COVID and injury issues all season but should be healthy rolling into playoffs. This is the biggest series discrepancy based on Vegas lines as well as my Model. The Blues have been inconsistent this season and Binnington hasn’t played to the level he did when they won the Cup in 2018. The addition of Krug in the offseason was supposed to cancel out the loss of Pietrangelo, but it hasn’t been that simple. The Avs are a wagon and even though the Blues have playoff experience, I will rely on the data and the models here.

Prediction: Avalanche 4-1

#2 Vegas Golden Knights (-240) vs. #3 Minnesota Wild (+190)

Season Series: Golden Knights: 3-4-1, Wild: 5-1-2

Preview: Viewed as one of the favorites to win the Cup coming into the season, the Golden Knights have quite the draw in the First Round. Losing the top seed and Presidents’ Trophy with the Avs win last night, Vegas goes from playing a weaker St. Louis team to a young and exciting Minnesota team. To make matters even worse Minnesota has had Vegas’ number all season with only 1 regulation loss for Minnesota in 8 matchups. Vegas is deep at every position and will be interesting to see if they roll out Fluery or Lehner in net, both goalies are more than capable. Minnesota on the other side has been riding the coattails of exciting rookie Kirill “The Thrill” Kaprizov. With stronger than expected defensive and goaltending results they cruised to a 3rd place finish in the division and face a team they have matched up well against all season. There is definite series price value on Minnesota if you are looking for an upset to happen as there always is plenty in the Stanley Cup playoffs. I’m going to ride with the team I am confident can make a Cup run, but would not be surprised either way.

Prediction: Golden Knights 4-3

Current Bets and Notes

My approach for this playoff season is to ride a few Cup futures, bet some teams to make it out of their divisions, and then take any series or series spreads I think have some value. From there I might bet an individual game where I see value on a team or think the other team has a good chance to even the series. I really like taking the Game 1 loser in a series I think will be very evenly matched. I also may hedge some of my futures out if the opportunity presents itself (i.e. Vegas makes it to the Cup, take the other team to win the series and profit either way).

These are the futures I have so far, which will be updated as the playoffs roll on, and will also be on the Sports Betting Picks page:

Excited for the NHL Playoffs! Going to be a roller coaster of emotions with upsets and lots of things you won’t expect, which is what makes it the best sport on earth. Let’s ride this wave!!

Follow along on Twitter @KeithKavJr for the most up-to-date information

Take a look at all of Win Daily Sport’s Sports Betting Articles for the best insight in the game!

4 years ago 0 comments

NHL Sports Betting Premium

NHL DFS Betting Picks (May 12)

jamie calkins 4 years ago

written by jamie calkins

NHL Betting Picks Wednesday 5/12

Welcome to Keith’s NHL Betting Picks Wednesday 5/12. This will be the last regular season article as we shift gears towards the playoffs. There will be a Playoff Preview article coming out on Friday before the first series begins Saturday. The Model went 1-1 last night with craziness happening in that Caps/Bruins game. In the morning I took the over 5.5 because that seemed like good value. Then this news came out:

So I quickly went to hammer the Caps because the ML at the time was -130. I instantly hated the over and hedged it out with the under. The Caps ML climbed all the way up to -210 giving me over a 10% CLV. And then the game took place and there was absolutely nothing going on. The B’s scored first and the Caps tied it. Then with a second left the Caps finished the game off and barely won 2-1. Quite the roller coaster of emotions. On to today, I doubt anything can top that.

We have 5 games on the NHL slate tonight. Let’s take a look at the updated profitability and over win percentages for the teams playing today.

To interact with the dashboard click here.

Dashboard Edges

Oilers Money Line (-127) over the Canadiens
Senators Puck Line (+1.5, -175) over the Maple Leafs
Senators/Leafs Under 6.5 (-110)
Wild Puck Line (-1.5, +170) and Money Line (-143) over the Blues
Golden Knights Money Line (-200) over the Sharks
Avalanche Money Line (-360) over the Kings
Kings Puck Line (+1.5, +123) over the Avalanche

Keep an eye out for Starting Goalies tonight. And also keep an eye out for players resting and playoff implications for these games. The Avs need to win out to get the top seed and the Kings have literally nothing to play for. The Oilers and Canadiens both have their seeding locked in, but Edmonton getting more points can give them an advantageous matchup if they make it out of their division.

My Picks

Senators/Maple Leafs Under 6.5 (-110): These teams have actually hit their overs against each other a decent amount going 5-3. However both teams have good under trends throughout the season and in the last month. Both teams are under 40% over win percentage in the last month and under 41% for the whole season. It is Andersen’s first NHL start in a couple months which slightly scares me, but he also might play well given he needs to earn his playoff spot. At that 6.5 number I like the under here.

Follow along on Twitter @KeithKavJr for the most up-to-date information regarding the games tonight

Take a look at all of Win Daily Sport’s Sports Betting Articles for the best insight in the game!

4 years ago 0 comments

NHL Sports Betting Premium

NHL DFS Betting Picks (May 11)

jamie calkins 4 years ago

written by jamie calkins

NHL Betting Picks Tuesday 5/11

Welcome to Keith’s NHL Betting Picks Tuesday 5/11. The Model had 2 losers last night. The Canadiens lost in OT as McDavid notched his 102nd (!!!) point of the season, just an absolutely unreal season for the best player in the game. The Bruins had a couple 1 goal leads but needed OT to defeat the Isles and didn’t cover that 1.5. Taylor Hall though, what a Trade Deadline acquisition for Don Sweeney and the Bruins. They have officially locked in their first round matchup with the team they finish the regular season tonight in Washington. The regular season is wrapping up just 1 more day after today (not including a few meaningless games in the Canadian division).

We have 2 games on the NHL slate tonight. Let’s take a look at the updated profitability and over win percentages for the teams playing today.

To interact with the dashboard click here.

Dashboard Edges

Capitals Money Line (-112) over the Bruins
Jets Puck Line (-1.5, +140) over the Canucks

Keep an eye out for Starting Goalies tonight. Swayman is confirmed for Boston. It will be interesting to see who lines up for Game 1 of the playoffs as Swayman has looked capable of playing in the playoffs but Rask has that experience. Also with Brossoit starting last night for the Jets you would have to think this is a Hellebuyck start tonight, but that has yet to be confirmed.

My Picks

Capitals/Bruins Over 5.5 (-120): Just 1 play today, might take Jets ML if we get a Hellbuyck confirmation but for now we just are riding this one. The Caps are one of the best over teams this season and average 6.38 goals/game. Boston has had problems hitting their overs but are almost 50% over the last month and have finally found ways to score. The Bruins have scored at least 3 goals in 8 straight games. This 5.5 number seems a little short, it is 6 on about half the books. Even though there’s some juice on it we are riding tonight.

Follow along on Twitter @KeithKavJr for the most up-to-date information regarding the games tonight

Take a look at all of Win Daily Sport’s Sports Betting Articles for the best insight in the game!

4 years ago 0 comments

NHL Sports Betting Premium

NHL DFS Betting Picks (May 10)

jamie calkins 4 years ago

written by jamie calkins

NHL Betting Picks Monday 5/10

Welcome to Keith’s NHL Betting Picks Monday 5/10. The Model took a day off with only 2 games on deck yesterday. We are embarking on the end of the season so it is important to study and understand what each team has left to play for and which players are resting for playoffs/next season. The lines should have that baked in but you should also be aware before betting on teams that normally you would think is good value but might have reason why that wouldn’t be good value.

We have 9 games on the NHL slate tonight. Let’s take a look at the updated profitability and over win percentages for the teams playing today.

To interact with the dashboard click here.

Dashboard Edges

Panthers Money Line (-115) over the Lightning
Islanders/Bruins Under (5.5, -143)
Oilers Money Line (-110) and Puck Line (+1.5, -286) over the Canadiens
Flyers/Devils Over (6.5, -105)
Hurricanes/Predators Under (5.5, -117)
Blackhawks Money Line (+120) over the Stars
Jets Puck Line (-1.5, +132) over the Canucks
Golden Knights Puck Line (-1.5, +235) over the Avalanche
Kings Puck Line (+1.5, -220) over the Blues

Keep an eye out for Starting Goalies tonight. Games like Carolina/Nashville and Edmonton/Montreal could be interesting and they have a decent chance of facing each other in the first round and might not want to give away all their secrets in a meaningless regular season game tonight right before the playoffs begin.

My Picks

Canadiens ML (+100): The Canadiens still have something to play for as they haven’t officially clinched yet and can still get as high as 3rd depending on how Winnipeg finishes the season. The Oilers on the other hand are locked into 2nd place and have nothing to play for. McDavid already hit 100 points so they might rest top players for playoffs. Even if they don’t rest those players they might not be going full throttle. At plus money and with the Habs being home I like this value a lot.

Bruins -1.5 (+160): Both of these teams have something to play for as there is 1 point separating them from 3rd and 4th in the division with Boston at 71 points and NYI at 70 (Boston has 1 game in hand). The Isles have been reeling of late and the Bruins have been dominating. Over the last month the Bruins are +9u on the puck line and the Isles are -6.5u. The Bruins also cover around 40% of games where they are favored. Based on these trends and the value on the puck line we like the Bruins covering tonight.

Follow along on Twitter @KeithKavJr for the most up-to-date information regarding the games tonight

Take a look at all of Win Daily Sport’s Sports Betting Articles for the best insight in the game!

4 years ago 0 comments

NHL Sports Betting Premium

NHL DFS Betting Picks (May 8)

jamie calkins 4 years ago

written by jamie calkins

NHL Betting Picks Saturday 5/8

Welcome to Keith’s NHL Betting Picks Saturday 5/8. The Model was quiet last night going 0-1-1. Minnesota did not play a great game and were lucky to sneak an OT win against Anaheim, but that still didn’t help our -1.5 play. The Caps/Flyers looked to be in cruise control on that over with 5 goals through 2 periods. But a flat 3rd period and only 1 empty net goal led to a push on that over, glad we didn’t bite on the 6.5. The last big slate of the year and last Saturday of the season, let’s make it count.

We have 14 games on the NHL slate tonight. Let’s take a look at the updated profitability and over win percentages for the teams playing today.

To interact with the dashboard click here.

Dashboard Edges

Penguins Money Line (-420) and Puck Line (-1.5, -162) over the Sabres
Rangers Puck Line (+1.5, -103) over the Bruins
Senators Puck Line (+1.5, -140) over the Jets
Panthers Money Line (-104) over the Lightning
Maple Leafs Money Line (-215) over the Canadiens
Capitals Money Line (-180) over the Flyers
Flyers/Capitals Over (6.5, +102)
Red Wings Puck Line (+1.5, -235) and Money Line (+118) over the Blue Jackets
Wild Money Line (-286) and Puck Line (-1.5, -109) over the Ducks
Oilers Puck Line (-1.5, +100) over the Canucks
Golden Knights Money Line (-190) and Puck Line (-1.5, +135) over the Blues
Kings Puck Line (+1.5, -112) over the Avalanche
Sharks/Coyotes Over (5.5, -120)

Keep an eye out for Starting Goalies tonight.

My Picks

Lightning ML (-110): The Lightning are coming off a loss to Dallas last night and have their fate set in the playoffs as they know they will be playing Florida (who they also play today and Monday). The Lightning are a completely different team without Vas in net so luckily we get him back tonight. These teams aren’t locked into 2nd or 3rd yet so these games could be crucial in getting home-ice. Look for Tampa to ramp it up as playoffs are right around the corner and leverage their experience for a win tonight.

Devils +1.5 (-121): The Islanders are reeling as of late and the Devils are getting 3 players back in their lineup tonight (Johnsson, Siegenthaler, and Wood). The Isles will most likely be without Barzal again today. And while the Devils did win on Thursday, I am not as confident they pull it off again today. However I love getting the +1.5 at -121 and think there is some serious value there.

Follow along on Twitter @KeithKavJr for the most up-to-date information regarding the games tonight

Take a look at all of Win Daily Sport’s Sports Betting Articles for the best insight in the game!

4 years ago 0 comments

NHL Sports Betting Premium

NHL DFS Betting Picks (May 7)

jamie calkins 4 years ago

written by jamie calkins

NHL Betting Picks Friday 5/7

Welcome to Keith’s NHL Betting Picks Friday 5/7. Back-to-back great nights for The Model, going 3-1 last night. The Bruins -1.5 and the Blackhawks +1.5 both at plus money hit with ease, with the Blackhawks winning outright in OT and the Bruins cruising 4-0 over the Rangers. The late add of the Habs/Leafs over was an easy hit too as there were 4 goals in the first and a 5-2 win for the Leafs cashed that. The only L was the Oilers team total over 3.5 as they lost 6-3 to the Canucks. I debated taking the game over and ultimately rode with the Oilers team over. What a schmuck I am. Still up 3u on the day so we will take that. On to Friday

We have 7 games on the NHL slate tonight. Let’s take a look at the updated profitability and over win percentages for the teams playing today.

To interact with the dashboard click here.

Dashboard Edges

Lightning Money Line (-155) over the Stars
Red Wings Money Line (+132) and Puck Line (+1.5, -210) over the Blue Jackets
Red Wings/Blue Jackets Under (5, +114)
Capitals Money Line (-186) and Puck Line (-1.5, +120) over the Flyers
Capitals/Flyers Over (6, -125)
Wild Money Line (-295) and Puck Line (-1.5, -112) over the Ducks
Golden Knights Puck Line (-1.5, +150) and Money Line (-167) over the Blues
Sharks Puck Line (+1.5, -275) over the Coyotes

Keep an eye out for Starting Goalies tonight. If we get Grubauer I am going to ride the Avs -1.5, however I am waiting for that confirmation as it is not worth the risk if we get one of Colorado’s backups instead.

My Picks

Capitals/Flyers Over 6 (-125): The two highest over teams on the season and we were able to find an over 6 line. Love that. You can find 6.5 at slightly above even (around +102), but just to be safe I am riding the 6 number tonight with Ovechkin probably out. Even with him out I still think these teams put up some goals. The Flyers defense/goaltending has been atrocious all season (3.68 GA/game). The Caps also sport an elite offense averaging 3.5 GF/game. On the flip side both the Flyers and Caps have pretty average offense and defense, respectively. Both teams are well over 50% on their over win percentages this year and we are riding some goals tonight.

Wild -1.5 (-112): Minnesota is one of the best puck line teams this season while Anaheim is one of the worst. Minnesota is basically locked into the 3-seed at this point for the playoffs and looks like a matchup with Colorado in the first round is likely. The good news is they still have 4 games left, including 2 against St. Louis who also have essentially clinched their 4-seed. I don’t foresee Minny resting players and going on cruise control until maybe the last game or 2. Anaheim has been dead for a while and although they did beat St. Louis on Wednesday, I think Minnesota pushes the gas tonight and covers the puck line tonight.

Follow along on Twitter @KeithKavJr for the most up-to-date information regarding the games tonight

Take a look at all of Win Daily Sport’s Sports Betting Articles for the best insight in the game!

4 years ago 0 comments

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