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NFL Props

Monkey Knife Fight Plays 10.11.

David Stowe 5 years ago

written by David Stowe

It’s go time ladies and gentlemen!!! I have some great news for everyone, all of us over at the Win Daily Sports team have chosen to expand our Monkey Knife Fight coverage from a weekly format to a daily format. So now we will not only be providing weekly selections for NFL but we will also be giving daily plays for all other sports as well! WinDaily Sports is proudly partnered with Monkey Knife Fight for the 2020-21 NFL season! MKF is offering you a FREE WinDaily Gold membership for three months ($90 value) simply for making your first deposit on Monkey Knife Fight. And if free gold isn’t attractive enough, they’re also offering a 100% match bonus up to $50 when you use promo code WINDAILY. Click on the link below to learn more

Quick Note: One thing that you will see is that I will try to stay away from high risk plays. Everyone loves the big win but the goal here is steady growth over the long term. It’s ok to take the occasional shot whenever it makes sense but that should not be your standard “go to” if you want to continue to grow your bankroll.

10.8 plays: 2/5 10.9 plays: 3/4

Monkey Knife Fight Plays 10.9 NFL:

Rapid Fire, Rams at Washington:

Favorite play today is actually in favor of Washington. If you remove two outlier games from Kyle Allen last year he averaged over 270 yards a game in those 11 starts and is getting a 40 yard bonus on Goff and Terry Mclaurin is out targeting Robert Woods 39 to 26 including 10 catches on 14 targets last week. I see a lot more coming from the Rams run game today with the return of Akers and Washington will likely spend a lot more time throwing tomorrow.

More or Less Giants at Cowboys:

I can not get through this slate without getting a piece of this game and they’ve set this one up on a platter so I’ll keep it short. The Jets have no one else to throw to but Crowder when they get behind. He’s seen no less than 10 targets and had no less than 100 yards this season and there is no reason to think they get ahead, ever. Hopkins, even injured has gotten no less than seven grabs at all this season and once again it’s the Jets. Finally, what I’m salivating over is the narrative that Kenyan Drake finally gets his revenge on his old Dolphins head coach Adam Gase. I’m keeping this analysis simple. This looks like a bloodbath in the making and I think we are seeing the final game for Adam Gase as the Jets head coach.

I’ll get hate mail for this one I’m sure. Can anyone tell me how many times Ezekiel Elliott has gotten over 90 rushing yards this season. Once. It has nothing to do with Elliott though. First, the Cowboys are without Tyron Smith and Joe Looney tomorrow so we are not dealing with the dominant line that we are used to. Second, I watched Mike McCarthy season after season in Green Bay misuse the backfield in leading to consistent mediocrity no matter who was back their. Third, the Giants front is not as bad as people think. I’ve been watching them specifically since week 1 and while their secondary is garbage leading me to take overs in the passing game they only allow 3.6 yards per attempt. That’s 4th in the league folks.

Star Shootout Early More or Less:

Ok, let’s have a little fun with a play that is a little riskier but pays of 6x return if you get all three. First, Patrick Mahomes is always, always , always a fun guy to use in prop plays. Everyone is getting a piece of the run game and for good reason, Vegas has been a sieve this year on the ground. But Vegas’s offense, contrary to traditional belief is capable of putting up points in the air and have done so against the Bills, Patriots, and Saints in the last three weeks. I think Patty is going to be chucking it more than enough to get past the 312.5 number. Bridgewater will never face a softer secondary matchup than the Falcons. They were physically running out of DB’s and safeties last week against Green Bay and were forced to use linebackers as safeties as they had no healthy safeties left by halftime. Even if they play, they will be very limited. Finally, Calvin Ridley. Give the guy a break, he had a bad night when the whole team played badly while dealing with an ankle injury. He was two plays away from going for 50 yards and two touchdowns if Matt Ryan would not have been struggling so much. Add with the likelihood of no Julio and we have a perfect recipe for a bounce back game for the guy who I think has taken the reigns as the new #1 in Atlanta.

Thanks for taking the time to look through my Win Daily Sports Monkey Knife Fight 10.11 edition. Looking forward to seeing some green screens this evening. Any questions about the breakdown, I will be available all day in the WinDaily Discord chat. Don’t forget to subscribe to the WinDaily Youtube channel and follow @WinDailySports on Twitter to stay current and up to date on all of our fresh new content!

5 years ago 0 comments

NFL

Monkey Knife Fight Plays 10.9.

David Stowe 5 years ago

written by David Stowe

It’s go time ladies and gentlemen!!! I have some great news for everyone ,all of us over at the Win Daily Sports team have chosen to expand our Monkey Knife Fight coverage from a weekly format to a daily format. So now we will not only be providing weekly selections for NFL but we will also be giving daily plays for all other sports as well! WinDaily Sports is proudly partnered with Monkey Knife Fight for the 2020-21 NFL season! MKF is offering you a FREE WinDaily Gold membership for three months ($90 value) simply for making your first deposit on Monkey Knife Fight. And if free gold isn’t attractive enough, they’re also offering a 100% match bonus up to $50 when you use promo code WINDAILY. Click on the link below to learn more

Now that we are doing our MKF articles daily over here at Win Daily one thing that I want to make sure that I do is recap my plays and keep track of how we’re doing overall so that we can demonstrably show our track record for everyone who follows and uses the plays that we provide. Our first day was pretty mediocre and we’ll be sure to rebound over the long term. I was dead on with my expectations when it came to David Montgomery and Mike Evans going under on their props and I was on track with Ronald Jones performing above Vegas’s projections but I missed on my analysis when it came to Allen Robinson for NFL even though Foles failed to hit his 248 yard prop and my MLB plays with Kyle Wright exceeding his 14.5 total outs in his first start since the 25th of September and Jordan Montgomery only striking out four after three straight with at least seven K’s. That starts us of with a sub par 1 of 5. Lets fix that today.

*Since today we are having a rare slow day as of late with only one MLB and one NBA game we’re going to go with 4 prop plays total. MKF has done a pretty good job with their lines today and I don’t want to reach for otherwise bad plays just to get five on the article.

Monkey Knife Fight Plays 10.9 NBA:

Who knows if we get another shot at this so let’s go ahead and get some NBA plays in for what very well be our last game until the next calendar year. I know Jimmy Butler and the Heat are trying to will this championship into existence and as much as I would love to see it keep going I just don’t see them going past tonight. They’ve lost two of their three games this series but double digits and it took a massive performance by Butler to get them over the hump in game three with a 40 point triple-double and even then the Lakers were still within five points with two minutes left. While I think the Heat lose tonight, I think they are going to fight to the end so aside from favoring Lebron wherever possible I think we’re going to have a few spots where scorers like Duncan Robinson and Jimmy Butler will outperform expectations for the Heat.

In this rapid fire contest you get 2x your ROI getting three of four correct. I’ll always take a bonus on Lebron when given and even more so when he has gotten no less than 10 boards in the previous 4 games, Rondo has outpaced Caruso 66 to 23 assists in the last 10 games including 24 to 6 in this series, and Butler will do anything he can to carry his team tonight while Davis has the luxury of playing next to a man who has won more playoff series than Davis has played playoff games (38 series wins to 32 total games). Robinson gets my lean on 3’s due to his roll but Crowder has hit 10 3’s to Robinson’s 11 this series.

As I mentioned above if the Heat are to have even the slightest chance to pull this one out Butler is going to have to carry them with another performance like he had in game three, I don’t think he duplicates it but I think he does enough to get him past Davis with a 4.5 point bonus as the primary scoring option and Rajon Rondo has only gotten within three assists of Lebron once in the last 5 games and only averages 5.4 APG to James’s 9.9 APG on the season and he typically plays 10 to 12 less minutes per game.

With the final selection I like the idea of pairing Butler and Lebron to exceed 59.5 points plus three’s made combined. Lebron has scored no less than 25 points and shot no less than four 3’s in any game this series and Butler is scoring from 20.5 PPG to 26.4 PPG while taking 2-3 three pointers per contest. I don’t think you will need to risk going beyond the 59.5 total goal but as I noted earlier Butler is going to do everything possible to carry this team so another 45 minute game and 30+ point output is something I don’t see being out of the ordinary.

Monkey Knife Fight Plays 10.9 MLB:

The first place that I usually go with MLB props is to pitching but the K prop is tough. The 8.5 number for Cole is tough to pick either way and Tyler Glasnow while striking out less than seven only twice in 11 starts this season he has never started on three days rest and in only 6 innings of total work on limited days off he has allowed 10 earned on 6 K’s and Tampa is hanging on by a thread and will likely turn to Snell at the first sign of trouble. Instead I will go with rapid fire for my MLB choice today.

With Cole’s 8.5K prop and Glasnow being on only 3 days rest I feel pretty confident about Cole in this scoring format even with a 3.5 fantasy point advantage. The Judge vs. Voit is a bit trickier. While on the surface both look like even with the half point edge to Voit but Judge sees a significant advantage of almost .184 in his away ops, an .082 point advantage in average against power pitchers, and a .176 ops advantage against RHP in 2020.

Thanks for taking the time to look through my Win Daily Sports Monkey Knife Fight 10.9 edition. Looking forward to seeing some green screens this evening. Any questions about the breakdown, I will be available all day in the WinDaily Discord chat. Don’t forget to subscribe to the WinDaily Youtube channel and follow @WinDailySports on Twitter to stay current and up to date on all of our fresh new content!

5 years ago 0 comments

NFL Prop Bets: Stix Picks’ TNF AETY Model Prop Locks

StixPicks 5 years ago

written by StixPicks

Well, we’ve been talking about the Adjusted Expected Total Yards (AETY) model that was created in the off-season for NFL Prop Bets … It’s time to let her shine for Thursday Night Football! Please play responsibly and enjoy the AETY edge.

I’ll keep it brief and simply just post the plays the model spit out when reconciling the lines from BetRivers, DraftKings, Fanduel, etc.

Make sure you get similar prices on these odds or simply back off that play. We are in for a long season and NEVER want to force a play (despite what Sia and Michael say).

Team/Player	SportsBook	Line	Unit Risk
Darnell Mooney O37.5 Rec Yds	FanDuel	-110	0.5

Best of luck this week on all of your DFS endeavors and NFL Prop Bets! It’s football szn.

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @stixpicks and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Model powered by AETY and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate as this football season moves onward.

5 years ago 0 comments

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Monkey Knife Fight Top 5 Plays 10.8.

David Stowe 5 years ago

written by David Stowe

It’s go time ladies and gentlemen!!! I have some great news for everyone ,all of us over at the Win Daily Sports team have chosen to expand our Monkey Knife Fight coverage from a weekly format to a daily format. So now we will not only be providing weekly selections for NFL but we will also be giving daily plays for all other sports as well! WinDaily Sports is proudly partnered with Monkey Knife Fight for the 2020-21 NFL season! MKF is offering you a FREE WinDaily Gold membership for three months ($90 value) simply for making your first deposit on Monkey Knife Fight. And if free gold isn’t attractive enough, they’re also offering a 100% match bonus up to $50 when you use promo code WINDAILY. Click on the link below to learn more

Monkey Knife Fight Top 5 Plays 10.8 NFL:

With a 44.5 point total and the Bucs at only a 3.5 point favorite this is projected to be a much uglier game than we have been accustomed to over the last 15 years with Tom Brady under center and I’m inclined to agree. With Chris Godwin out, Mike Evans and Scotty Miller questionable, Leonard Fournette doubtful, and OJ Howard on the IR they are essentially down to Rob Gronkoski, Cameron Brate, and Ronald Jones. On the Bears side they face a legit Buc defense, and they have who I’ve largely felt is an overrated coach in Matt Nagy, who is more interested in showing everyone how smart he is than just sticking with a game plan that works for David Montgomery, and a QB in Nick Foles whom I’ve always questioned the mechanics and arm strength of. So aside from Ronald Jones I think we’re going to see a lot of under totals today. Below are a few that I prefer in what very well may be an ugly Thursday Night Football game.

Monkey Knife Fight Top 5 Plays 10.8 MLB:

One thing about playoff baseball that reigns true is that pitchers have a short leash regardless of manager or team and that is even more so when you are dealing with young pitchers. With the Braves and Marlins we have Sixto Sanchez with a 16.5 out prop and Kyle Wright with 14.5 outs. Sixto has not gone more than 5 innings in his last three starts and his pitch location can get quite wild as a rookie with 67% strikes thrown over the season. Kyle Wright on the other hand was trending in the other direction with three straight outings with at least six innings pitches. But there are two things that give me pause, he has not pitched a real game since September 25th and prior to his 3 game performance he was sporting an 8.05 ERA over his previous 5 starts. Also, for Wright this is his first postseason appearance and while I think it will be easier without crowds to worry about the nerves of the postseason will still be there. Another pair of unders for me.

Just remember, young players and player who have been on extended breaks do tend to have an even shorter leash in the playoffs. I could see scenarios where neither pitcher sees more than 4 innings.

Alright I’m not going to be a complete downer today, let’s end this one on everyone’s favorite thing. OVERS!!!! Even with Jordan Montgomery’s flaws, and there are many, the one thing that he always brings to the table is a high K-rate. Sitting at 24.5% regardless of if he allows zero runs or 4 he should have no problem getting you to 6k’s against a Rays team that sports an almost 27 percent k-rate between the 2019-2020 seasons. I can pick the over on Yandy Diaz because even though Montgomery will strike out many he will also allow a ton of guys on base on the way to that 6k prop and it is unlikely that will come from Diaz as he has a tiny 15% K-rate and a 24% walk rate over the last 2 seasons. So get a little frisky folks and hit those OVERS, you know you want to.

Thanks for taking the time to look through my Win Daily Sports Monkey Knife Fight 10.8 edition. Looking forward to seeing some green screens this evening. Any questions about the breakdown, I will be available all day in the WinDaily Discord chat. Don’t forget to subscribe to the WinDaily Youtube channel and follow @WinDailySports on Twitter to stay current and up to date on all of our fresh new content!

5 years ago 0 comments

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Monkey Knife Fight NFL Week 4 Edition.

David Stowe 5 years ago

written by David Stowe

It’s go time ladies and gentlemen!!! Week 4 of NFL action and we have had a fantastic run over the first few weeks in the WinDaily Sports family and this article today will be dedicated specifically to taking advantage of Monkey Knife Fight’s prop based contests. WinDaily Sports is proudly partnered with Monkey Knife Fight for the 2020-21 NFL season! MKF is offering you a FREE WinDaily Gold membership for three months ($90 value) simply for making your first deposit on monkeyknifefight.com. And if free gold isn’t attractive enough, they’re also offering a 100% match bonus up to $50 when you use promo code WINDAILY. I know you guys didn’t click the article to here me blabber about so let’s take a look at who I think you should target in Monkey Knife fight Week 4 Edition.

Quick Note: One thing that you will see me avoid more often than not is the touchdown props. I know it is an attractive contest to go after sometimes but touchdowns are high variance and difficult to profit from over the long term so it isn’t the type of thing that you will see coming from my article very often. I want to see you all grow your bankroll over the long term so I avoid high variance plays like that.

Monkey Knife Fight NFL Week 4 Edition:

I typically try to wait to get the most current information and as I’m writing this we are getting news that we have a positive Covid test with the Saints so I’m going to pivot just a bit from my original plays. I was quite enjoying the MKF props on that game but oh well, we knew this could and probably would happen. so lets take it in stride and find some plays that we can take advantage of and the first thing I thing we should do is target Deandre Hopkins UNDERS. It sounds like he’ll play but his ankle is bothering him a good bit but he looks like he’ll gut it out. You’ll have to dig around between the early star slate and the Cardinals/Panthers game itself but all of the ones I felt goo targeting are below. With a total of 51.5 and Arizona only favored by 3 I have no issues taking overs with the various Nuk pairings and simply put with Dak Prescott over Russell Wilson I think that Russell’s uber efficient nature will create big games with lower yardage totals sooner rather than later. I know he’s on a tear right now but slinging it to this rate has never been his forte nor has it been Pete Carroll’s and I see a little regression coming with that.

As I mentioned last week something that you can do is hedge both ways on the second player in the set. It will reduce your payout but it also gives you some protection whenever you are confident in one player but not the other.

The lack of saints really thins things out so I’m aside from me playing on the Deandre Hopkins injury We’re going to take a look at the reception collection for a simple 2x return for 24.5 receptions. I know it isn’t sexy but I feel pretty confident in the ability of D.J. Moore, Tyler Boyd, and Amari Cooper. They are all target hogs and the average of seven catches per should be well within their ability in what should be positive game scripts against exploitable secondary’s.

Thanks for taking the time to look through my Win Daily Sports Monkey Knife Fight NFL Week 4 Edition. Looking forward to seeing some green screens this evening. Any questions about the breakdown, I will be available all day in the WinDaily Discord chat. Don’t forget to subscribe to the WinDaily Youtube channel and follow @WinDailySports on Twitter to stay current and up to date on all of our fresh new content!

5 years ago 0 comments

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NFL Prop Bets: Stix Picks’ Week 4 AETY Model Prop Locks

StixPicks 5 years ago

written by StixPicks

Well, we’ve been talking about the Adjusted Expected Total Yards (AETY) model that was created in the off-season for NFL Prop Bets … It’s time to let her shine! Please play responsibly and enjoy the AETY edge.

I’ll keep it brief and simply just post the plays the model spit out when reconciling the lines from BetRivers, DraftKings, Fanduel, etc.

Make sure you get similar prices on these odds or simply back off that play. We are in for a long season and NEVER want to force a play (despite what Sia and Michael say). It’s NFL Prop Bets szn.

NFL Prop Bets: AETY Model Week 4 Plays

Team/Player	SportsBook	Line	Unit Risk
Teddy Bridgewater O270.5P Yds	FanDuel	-110	0.5
Robby Anderson O56.5 Rec Yds	FanDuel	-110	0.5
Lamar Jackson O209.5 P Yds	FanDuel	-110	1
Lamar Jackson O18.5 P Cmp	DraftKings	+110	0.5
Russel WIlson U295.5 P Yds	FanDuel	-110	0.5
Ryan Fitzpatrick O23.5 Cmp	DraftKings	100	0.5
Dak Prescott U320.5 P Yds	Points Bet	+105	1
Jarvis Landry O56.5 Rec Yds	FanDuel	-110	0.5
Philip Rivers O222.5 P Yds	DraftKings	-112	0.5
Zach Pascal O41.5 Rec Tds	DraftKings	-112	0.5
Dalvin Cook O78.5 Rush YDs	BetRivers	-112	0.5
Latavius Murray 2TDs	BetRivers	+1500	0.5
Ronald Jones U68.5 Rush Yds	BetRivers	-112	0.5
OJ Howard O23.5 Rec Yds	BetRivers	-112	0.75
Jared Goff U280.5 P Yds	FanDuel	-110	0.5
Evan Engram O42.5 Rec Yds	FanDuel	-110	0.5
Derek Carr U275.5 P Yds	BetRivers	-130	1
Stefon Diggs O64.5 Rec Yds	FanDuel	-110	0.75
Jonathan Taylor 2TDs	FanDuel	+550	0.5

Best of luck this week on all of your DFS endeavors and NFL Prop Bets! It’s football szn.

5 years ago 0 comments

NFL Sports Betting

NFL Prop Bets: Stix Picks’ TNF AETY Model Prop Locks

StixPicks 5 years ago

written by StixPicks

I’ll keep it brief and simply just post the plays the model spit out when reconciling the lines from BetRivers, DraftKings, Fanduel, etc.

Make sure you get similar prices on these odds or simply back off that play. We are in for a long season and NEVER want to force a play (despite what Sia and Michael say).

Team/Player	SportsBook	Line	Unit Risk
Tim Patrick O29.5 Rec Yds	FanDuel	-110	0.5
Brett Rypien O204.5 P Yds	FanDuel	-110	1

Best of luck this week on all of your DFS endeavors and NFL Prop Bets! It’s football szn.

5 years ago 0 comments

NFL Sports Betting Premium

NFL Prop Bets: Stix Picks’ MNF AETY Model Prop Locks

StixPicks 5 years ago

written by StixPicks

Another great week from the Adjusted Expected Total Yards (AETY) Model that was created in the off-season for NFL Prop Bets … Let’s continue to let her shine on Monday Night Football! Please play responsibly and enjoy the AETY edge.

I’ll keep it brief and simply just post the plays the model spit out when reconciling the lines from BetRivers, DraftKings, Fanduel, etc.

Make sure you get similar prices on these NFL Prop Bets or simply back off that play. We are in for a long season and NEVER want to force a play (despite what Sia and Michael say).

Team/Player	SportsBook	Line	Unit Risk
Justin Jackson O25.5 Rush Yds	DraftKings	-105	1.2
Alvin Kamara U67.5 Rush Yds	DraftKings	-118	0.6
Tre’Quan Smith U50.5 Rec Yds	FanDuel	-110	0.5
Alvin Kamara O55.5 Rec Yds	DraftKings	-121	0.6

Best of luck this week on all of your DFS endeavors and NFL Prop Bets! It’s football szn.

5 years ago 0 comments

NFL Sports Betting Premium

NFL Prop Bets: Stix Picks’ Week 3 AETY Model Prop Locks

StixPicks 5 years ago

written by StixPicks

Well, we’ve been talking about the Adjusted Expected Total Yards (AETY) model that was created in the off-season for NFL Prop Bets… It’s time to let her shine! Please play responsibly and enjoy the AETY edge.

I’ll keep it brief and simply just post the plays the model spit out when reconciling the lines from BetRivers, DraftKings, Fanduel, etc.

Make sure you get similar prices on these odds or simply back off that play. We are in for a long season and NEVER want to force a play (despite what Sia and Michael say).

NFL Prop Bets: AETY Model Week 3 Plays

Team/Player	Sportsbook	Line	Unit Risk
Carson Wentz U270.5 P Yds	FanDuel	-110	0.5
AJ Green O53.5 Rec Yds	BetRivers	100	1
David Montgomery O14.5 Rec Yds	FanDuel	-110	0.5
James Conner O68.5 Rush Yds	BetRivers	-112	1
David Montgomery O54.5 Rush Yds	FanDuel	-110	1
Chris Godwin O58.5 Rec Yds	BetRivers	-112	1
Dionate Johnson U63.5 Rec Yds	FanDuel	1	0.5
Terry McLaurin O58.5 Rec Yds	PointsBet	-125	1
Odell Beckham O55.5 Rec Yds	BetRivers	-112	1
Larry Fitzgerald O54.5 Rec Yds	BetRivers	-106	1
Chris Godwin O5.5 Rec	BetRivers	+120	0.5
Evan Engram O4.5 Rec	BetRivers	-112	0.5
Zach Ertz O4.5 Rec	BetRivers	+125	1

Best of luck this week on all of your DFS endeavors and NFL Prop Bets! It’s football szn.

5 years ago 0 comments

NFL Premium

Monkey Knife Fight NFL Week 3 Edition.

David Stowe 5 years ago

written by David Stowe

It’s go time ladies and gentlemen!!! Week 3 of NFL action and we have had a fantastic run over the first two weeks in the WinDaily Sports family and this article today will be dedicated specifically to taking advantage of Monkey Knife Fight’s prop based contests. WinDaily Sports is proudly partnered with Monkey Knife Fight for the 2020-21 NFL season! MKF is offering you a FREE WinDaily Gold membership for three months ($90 value) simply for making your first deposit on monkeyknifefight.com. And if free gold isn’t attractive enough, they’re also offering a 100% match bonus up to $50 when you use promo code WINDAILY. I know you guys didn’t click the article to here me blabber about so let’s take a look at who I think you should target in Monkey Knife fight Week 3 Edition.

Monkey Knife Fight NFL Week 3 Edition: Cowboys/Seahawks

Let’s have a little fun today with Monkey Knife Fight and take a look at the game we’re all going to be targeting in our DFS lineups. The total has moved up to 57 from 55 with most of the money still on the over so lets find some props to kick this game off. No better place to start than our QB’s. I’m pretty confident that Dak will hit the over handily hear, the efficiency of Russell Wilson is the only thing that makes 290.5 worrisome. He’s made a habit over his career of going bonkers but doing so with low yardage totals, much like peak Aaron Rodgers in the early half of his career. I was originally thinking over for both but the more I thought about it the more I feel the under is the smart play for Wilson. Dak Prescott: OVER 312.5/Russell Wilson UNDER 290.5

***One thing you can do here to hedge this if you’re like me is play the over once again with Dak, then play both sides of Russell. I feel pretty strongly about Daks chances and for example if you play $10 with both you will go home with $30 in your pocket on a $20 play. Slow and steady wins the race. We all love the big win but I equally love long, sustained growth.***

Little more Hawks and Cowboys fun. We go to the Rapidfire where it’s a little more risk but we get a 5x ROI if we nail it. As I’ve stated I think the more likely scenario is that Dak Prescott may be much less efficient my will throw for way more in terms of yardage than the ever effective Russell Wilson. Even with +22.5 yards for Wilson I like Dak to surpass him. At the same time Cooper has led the team with 14 and 9 targets in each of his first two weeks for 100 an 89 yards which I expect to continue while Lockett seems to have become the 1b behind Metcalf catching 8 of 8 for 92 in week one and 7 of 8 for 67 yards. Lockett is always ultra efficient but Cooper is still peppered with targets and I expect the Cowboys playing from behind as the more likely scenario. Give me Amari. Finally, I don’t think I need to explain here. Ceedee Lamb seems to have already overtaken Michael Gallup as the teams #2 receiver in just two weeks. Lamb has hauled in 11 of his 15 targets while Gallup has only brought in 5 of 10. Volume and catch rate is clearly in favor of Lamb. Dak Prescott, Amari Cooper, CeeDee Lamb

Our final contest for this weeks article we go back to another More/Less for 3x return and I am going to finish on the one I feel most confident in. Super simple. I like Gallup UNDER 4.5 receptions and DK Metcalf OVER 67.5 yards. That 67.5 number seems crazy low for a Guy like DK and as I said earlier Gallup has been overtaken by Lamb as has only seen 5 targets each game and both of them were shootouts. Michael Gallup UNDER 4.5, DK Metcalf OVER 67.5 Yards.

Thanks for taking the time to look through my Win Daily Sports Monkey Knife Fight NFL Week 3 Edition. Looking forward to seeing some green screens this evening. Any questions about the breakdown, I will be available all day in the WinDaily Discord chat. Don’t forget to subscribe to the WinDaily Youtube channel and follow @WinDailySports on Twitter to stay current and up to date on all of our fresh new content!

5 years ago 0 comments

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