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NFL DFS

Week 9 NFL Fantasy DraftKings & FanDuel DFS Tight Ends

Justin Elick 3 years ago

written by Justin Elick

Last week saw even more injuries to the TE position again. Irv Smith Jr is now on the IR, Mike Gesicki found the end zone. George Kittle did what he does, and we are ready to move on to Week 9! We are officially at the midway point of the season (half way through the games at least).

Be sure to jump into the WinDailySports Discord, and take advantage of our cheat sheets and projections while you build your lineups for Week 8 on FanDuel and DraftKings! It would be the midway point of the season in a normal 16-game season already! Let’s find ourselves a few edges as we climb the leaderboards once again!

Zach Ertz, Cardinals ($5,100 DraftKings, $6,600 FanDuel)

After a short hiatus, we welcome Mr. Ertz back to the Tight End article. He draws the best matchup on the board against Seattle once again. Coincidentally, Arizona is now allowing the most fantasy points per game to opposing TE, but that matters little here. Seattle is still serving up 20+ fantasy points per game to TE, and Ertz was pretty much the only Cardinal who showed up in the first meeting (7-70).

DeAndre Hopkins is back, but Marquise Brown is on the shelf for the foreseeable future, so Ertz is still one of the top options in this offense. I’d be willing to wager we see more than 28 total points in the rematch here. Ertz is the most expensive option on both sites with Mark Andrews and Travis Kelce both on showdown slates. That doesn’t shy me away from him at all. I expect some fireworks here, and Ertz has a solid floor in this one.

Gerald Everett, Chargers ($4,800 DraftKings, $5,800 FanDuel)

Everett has seen 16 targets over his last two contests, and has built a solid rapport with Justin Herbert. Even better? Mike Williams has already been ruled OUT for this one. Keenan Allen seems to be behind schedule in his recovery from a hamstring injury. Behind Austin Ekeler, Everett may be the most reliable member of the Chargers offense on Sunday.

Only the aforementioned Seahawks and Cardinals have allowed more yardage to TE than the Falcons’ 552 this season. Increased looks are coming his way. He is averaging eight targets a game over the last two…this is a perfect storm for Everett. I will likely have Everett in a LOT of my lineups in Week 9.

Hayden Hurst, Bengals ($3,600 DraftKings, $5,300 FanDuel)

We all saw the disaster that was the Bengals’ offense on Monday Night Football. I’m far from a Zac Taylor apologist. When this offense has missed EITHER JaMarr Chase or Tee Higgins, Taylor has completely lost it. Enough about Zac. Hurst has been clear about how happy he is to be in Cincinnati and be part of something special. The Bengals have no choice but to win as much as possible the rest of the season.

Over his last five games, Hurst has posted 11.7, 17.3, 5.1, 10.8, and 8.2 DraftKings points. The Panthers have been middle of the pack against TE in 2022. Volume is king here once again, and I’d be stunned to see Hurst with less than 6 targets as a floor. Burrow will be looking his way early and often. With the way the Bengals defense is depleted right now, Carolina will likely make this one close. Hurst has a big ceiling here in my book.

Evan Engram, Jaguars ($3,300 DraftKings, $5,200 FanDuel)

I don’t know how you feel about the term “smash spot”, but regardless of your take, Engram is definitely in one this weekend. The Raiders have quietly been dominated by TE this season, allowing the 2nd-most TD (6), 2nd-most Red Zone targets (15), and the MOST goal-to-go targets (10).

Engram has flown under the radar big time this season, posting DraftKings totals of 12.9, 9, 10.7, and 15.5 over his last four games. After the hot start by Christian Kirk this season, the Jaguars WR have largely been a disappointment. They continue to lose games, which leads them into more obvious passing situations. Nobody has an idea what is going on with the Raiders, but they certainly aren’t mailing it in for the season yet. This one has sneaky shootout potential, and Engram is crazy cheap for his potential value.

James Mitchell, Lions ($2,500 DraftKings, $4,000 FanDuel)

I have found the ultimate punt play. With TJ Hockenson shipped out of town to division rival Minnesota, there are plenty of opportunities to be had in this Lions offense. Brock Wright is technically listed as the next man up here, but is dealing with a concussion.

Mitchell was a dual-threat in college at Virginia Tech, with five rushing and six receiving touchdowns over his final two seasons (20 games). Sure, this play could completely flop, but at this dead minimum salary, I’m banking on a payoff. Green Bay has been tough against opposing TE, but this is a play of opportunity and upside. The more I think about it, the more shares I want this weekend.

Come find me on Twitter and let’s chat some football! Good luck in Week 7, and let’s meet at the top of the leaderboards!

3 years ago 0 comments

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Week 9 NFL Fantasy DraftKings & FanDuel DFS Tight Ends

Justin Elick 3 years ago

written by Justin Elick

Zach Ertz, Cardinals ($5,100 DraftKings, $6,600 FanDuel)

Gerald Everett, Chargers ($4,800 DraftKings, $5,800 FanDuel)

Hayden Hurst, Bengals ($3,600 DraftKings, $5,300 FanDuel)

Evan Engram, Jaguars ($3,300 DraftKings, $5,200 FanDuel)

James Mitchell, Lions ($2,500 DraftKings, $4,000 FanDuel)

Come find me on Twitter and let’s chat some football! Good luck in Week 7, and let’s meet at the top of the leaderboards!

3 years ago 0 comments

NFL DraftKings/FanDuel DFS Quarterback Plays Week 9

Capper Steve 3 years ago

written by Capper Steve

We’ve reached midway into the season here in Week 9 as we see the cream rise to the top in the NFL. The quarterback has become an even thinner position and teams with the best records are showing their true colors of who is under center. Last week we smashed at QB with Tua, Cousins, and Murray thanks to the projection model. But don’t count all your winnings just yet, there’s still plenty of NFL DFS to play. It’s time to chop it up with these Week 9 quarterbacks!

Check out our NFL Week 9 DFS Quarterbacks!

Josh Allen ($8,500 DraftKings/$9,300 FanDuel)

Allen hit a pothole at home against GreenBay Sunday night, only completing 18 passes and tossing two picks. We’re all not perfect, but expect Josh to get back on track this week in New York. The Jets’ defense has in fact stepped it up a notch racking up 21 sacks with 9 interceptions through 8 games, but Allen is on another level. He’s got the highest floor, the highest ceiling at the position, and the safest by far in any type of DFS format. In 2021, Allen totaled over 500 passing yards with 4 touchdown passes in 2 games against the Jets.

Kyler Murray ($7,400 DraftKings/$8,200 FanDuel)

He came through for us big time last week with close to 30 fantasy points and we can look forward to doubling down against Seattle in Week 9. Murray has returned to his true form in fantasy with the reinstatement of teammate DeAndre Hopkins. The Cardinals’ franchise quarterback clearly performs better with his primary receiver back in the lineup (22 REC/262 YDS/1 TD). We may actually get that highly anticipated shoot-out we expected from Week 6 this time around too, let it ride with Kyler.

Justin Herbert ($7,200 DraftKings/$7,800 FanDuel)

With one week removed from a bye hopefully Herbert is 100% healed up, but are his receivers? He’ll have a chance to throw against one of the worst secondaries (29th in QB DVOA) in Atlanta and we know already Mike Williams is out. But if Herbert can at least get Keenan Allen healthy for Week 9 we should see some serious action on that turf. Keenan Allen has not played since Week 7 where he only saw a 32% snap share, if he’s 100% we can feel good about Herbert in this juicy matchup.

Tua Tagovailoa ($6,700 DraftKings/$8,000 FanDuel)

We witnessed Tagovailoa light up Detroit for 32 DK points on Sunday, and is fully capable of a repeat performance against a Chicago Bears’ defense that just traded away its finest of Robert Quinn and Roquan Smith this past week. Miami’s dual threat of Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle have toasted corners and safeties all season. Now that Chicago’s pressure on Tua to possibly be a lot softer this weekend, they may both also go for over 150 yards a piece again.

Kirk Cousins ($6,200 DraftKings/$7,900 FanDuel)

Kirk had this game circled on his calendar since the schedule was released back over the summer he will be fired up, and rightly so. He will be out there in D.C. strutting his stuff to owner Dan Snyder, the man who refused to pay him back in 2018. Loaded with receiving talent (Justin Jefferson) and recently acquiring tight end TJ Hockenson from Detroit, Kirk will drop the hammer on the Commanders’ garbage St–Juste/Fuller led secondary.

Justin Fields ($5,300 DraftKings/$7,400 FanDuel)

The Bears’ sophomore year quarterback is beginning to get the feel for the NFL. The Chicago coaching staff has evidently made some adjustments in their play calling to utilize the strength of Fields‘ skillset. By stomping the Pats on the road and putting up 29 points on the Cowboys it’s fair to say Fields is breaking out of his shell and will continue to shine at home hosting the Dolphins. Given the fact that Tua and company will also be lighting up the scoreboard, Fields will need to keep up the pace and sling it to Miami’s 26th ranked pass defense.

Thanks for reading our NFL Week DFS Quarterbacks article for Week 9. There will be tons of content covering each position all week, cash games and tournaments, and plenty of articles, videos, and podcasts so check in with us whichever way you like to consume your content. Don’t forget to check out our projection models and cheat sheets which will be updated throughout the week. Livestreams will be up on our Video Hub and make sure you lock into our Sunday morning live stream to keep up to date with all the last-minute news. Tag me @Jdicarlo78 on our Discord chat or on Twitter @JoeDiCarlo78. Fellas let’s keep the green screens coming!

3 years ago 0 comments

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NFL DFS Week 8 MNF Showdown DraftKings and FanDuel

Jared Contestabile 3 years ago

written by Jared Contestabile

Monday night is the latest edition of the “Battle of Ohio”. While the regular season results have skewed toward the Browns lately, lots has changed. The Browns are in the midst of yet another lost season. Only one team in NFL history has made the playoffs after starting 2-6…and it was nearly 100 years ago. The Browns may have owned the series recently, but these teams are trending in opposite directions. The spookiest thing about this Halloween matchup is the Bengals being only a 3.5-point favorite. Let’s win all the money tonight!

DraftKings and FanDuel each have a slightly different setup for Showdown slates, with DraftKings using a “Captain” spot. Captain earns you 1.5X points, BUT also costs you 1.5X in salary. FanDuel uses an “MVP”, which is ALSO 1.5X points, but salaries are the same, regardless of position. DraftKings uses 5 FLEX spots, and FanDuel uses 4 “AnyFLEX” spots to fill out your roster.

Make sure to join our Discord to jump into our conversations with the team and share your successes (I am “Myrtle Beach Mermen”, if you understand the reference, we will get along right away! We have a TON of great tools for you to check out, make sure you’re taking advantage! You can find projections here and try out the optimizer here.

Captain/MVP Plays

Joe Mixon, Bengals ($14,100 DraftKings, $13,000 FanDuel)

If you’ve had the misfortune of watching the Browns play football all season, one thing is evident. They are pathetic against the run. They are allowing nearly 5 YPC and have served up 12 total touchdowns to opposing backs in 2022. That equates to an average of nearly 28 fantasy points per game.

With JaMarr Chase sidelined for the foreseeable future, the Bengals will undoubtedly focus on the run. What better time to do it than against one of the worst run defenses in the NFL?

Mixon has been a workhorse this season, totaling 34, 22, 28, 17, 12, and 20 touches. I know that many are expecting a different “Joe” to lead the way for Cincinnati in this one. They may both have big games (more on that soon), but I’m locking Mixon into all of my lineups tonight. He needs to be a priority play on MNF.

Nick Chubb, Browns ($15,600 DraftKings, $15,000 FanDuel)

Speaking of running backs, Mixon’s counterpart is in a great spot as well. Chubb has been one of the few bright spots for the Browns this season. With DJ Reader still out of commission, the Bengals have been more vulnerable against the run.

I’m fully expecting Kareem Hunt to be moved by tomorrow’s deadline, which makes Chubb even more appealing here. If Hunt sits out in preparation for a trade, Chubb will dominate the touches. He could see 20+ opportunities in this one. The Browns go as Chubb goes, and they will lean heavily on him in this one.

Joe Burrow, Bengals ($17,100 DraftKings, $17,000 FanDuel)

I mentioned how the Browns go as Chubb goes, and the same can be said for Burrow. He only played against the Browns once in 2021…and it did NOT go well. He had his worst game of the season, and sat out the Week 18 matchup. Why, you ask? Because the Bengals had already clinched the AFC North (something the Browns have never done), and the Browns were eliminated. Enough trash talk about the Browns.

Burrow DOMINATED the Browns in his rookie season, totaling 722 yards and SIX touchdowns to one INT. The Bengals had zero pass rush, and Baker Mayfield picked them apart. Twice. Those days are long gone, and the Bengals are now among the elite in the NFL, and the Browns…are the Browns.

Burrow has 781 passing yards and six touchdowns…plus two rushing touchdowns in his last two games. The Bengals are 0-2 in the AFC North. This is an absolute must-win for the orange and black. What could be a better setup than the team that features Halloween colors will dominate on 10/31? Burrow knows the importance of this one.

FLEX/AnyFLEX Plays

Amari Cooper, Browns ($11,000 DraftKings, $7,600 FanDuel)

Listen, I was dead wrong about the Bengals rolling over the Ravens a few weeks back. I’ll always hold my own “L”. That said, this game is more about the Bengals than the Browns. I expect Burrow and company to build an early lead. Cooper has been solid for the Browns, and has scored a touchdown in four of his last five games. With David Njoku OUT, the Browns will need even more from their top WR. Expect Cooper to have a good game, despite the tough matchup.

Hayden Hurst, Bengals ($5,200 DraftKings, $8,000 FanDuel)

Hurst has stepped up in a big way for the Bengals when they have needed it. The Browns have been one of the better teams in the NFL against opposing TE, but there is enough to go around here. Burrow has targeted Hurst 18 times over the last three weeks, and he has found the end zone on two of his last four. He isn’t a high upside play, but at his price, he is a solid filler.

Donovan Peoples-Jones ($5,000 DraftKings, $8,000 FanDuel)

Another guy who doesn’t have a ton of upside is DPJ. Regardless, he has been a key part of this offense of late, and has scored 9+ DraftKings points in four straight games. He has yet to find the end zone, and Bengals fans will never forget the last time he did against them. (I don’t want to talk about it). He is a solid mid-range play here.

Other Options

I had to explain to my son that Justin Tucker is the greatest kicker in the NFL a few weeks back…but Evan McPherson is already a Cincinnati legend. He has only attempted two FG in the last three weeks, but is absolutely money. He needs to be in a LOT of your DraftKings builds if you believe the Browns keep this close and make some stops.

I’m fading Kareem Hunt here. If the Browns are serious about potentially moving him in the next 48 hours, he won’t be put in harm’s way. Imagine a scenario where he plays MNF and gets hurt…I just don’t see him playing much if at all. I’ll take the L if I’m wrong here.

A sneaky play is Samaje Perine…I mentioned how bad the Browns are against the run, and if the Bengals go run-heavy he will see some looks. Low-floor play for sure, but he could pay off.

Harrison Bryant is the default #1 TE for Cleveland now, which is unfortunate because David Njoku was having a massive season. He is cheap and should see some work in this one. Jacoby Brissett could put up some solid numbers here, but he is one of the last players I’ll be looking toward around his price range.

My boy Tee Higgins is a fantastic play here as well…I will be prioritizing Mixon and Burrow a bit more, but will have quite a bit of Tee. Tyler Boyd could be the forgotten man, but he shouldn’t be. He is coming off one of the best games of his career last week, but it will be tougher sledding here. Keep him in your player pool!

If you’re with me on Hunt, you need to look toward D’Ernest Johnson. He is only $200 on DraftKings, and could be an automatic LOCK if Hunt is out or gets traded before the game. I think he’s worth a look on DK regardless at just $200 if you’re doing MME.

Good luck on Monday Night! Make sure to follow me on Twitter if you aren’t already, and let’s meet at the top of the leaderboards!

3 years ago 0 comments

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NFL DFS Wide Receivers: Week 8 DraftKings & FanDuel Lineups

WIN 3 years ago

written by WIN

Well we absolutely smashed last week, so let’s keep the momentum rolling into week 8. Be sure to check out the cheat sheet. I’m the guy to help you break down your Wide Receiver decisions for your daily fantasy lineups. If you don’t know how I typically play the game, I generally like to build my lineups based on ownership. Bear in mind there will be times when we don’t have a clear picture of what that looks like until game day. With that being said, I do like to wait and see what the field is doing so this article may be a little on the later side than the standard. This way we can stay with the pack, in cash games, and pivot to those high-upside players in GPP-style contests. Don’t forget to look at the bottom of this article for other players I really like as well. Once you’re done scanning this article make sure to hop in our Discord chat to stay up to date with lineup discussions.

Let’s dive into NFL DFS Wide Receivers for this week’s main slate.

TYREEK HILL, MIA $8,500 DRAFTKINGS $8,700 FANDUEL

Hill is seeing the 2nd highest volume among all Wide Receivers, in fact in five of the 7 total games, Hill has had 12 or more targets, which are Cooper Kupp type numbers. Hill has done nothing but crush when given serious volume, averaging an whopping 32.8 FPG in his 17 career games with 12 or more targets. Hill is cheaper than Cooper Kupp, and I love the Miami stacks all around this week, so load up, and lock in on Tyreek Hill as your first roster construction move this week.

AMON-RA ST. BROWN, DET $7,100 DRAFTKINGS $7,200 FANDUEL

St. Brown should have gone back in the game last week, and absolutly screwed us, and I’m sorry for that, but this week we make it all back. We need to stay focused and not forget that St. Brown is the closest thing in fantasy to Cooper Kupp. St. Brown on average snags around 11 targets and 26 FPG over his last 8 healthy games. St. Brown is a solid play this week, and I want some exposure to him.

DJ MOORE, CAR $5,300 DRAFTKINGS $6,200 FANDUEL

You have to sit and think for a minute if people are talking about PJ Walker….DJ Moore has to be a solid play then right? Atlanta’s Defense is the top pass funnel, allowing the highest pass rate in the entire league. All teams go pass-heavy against Atlanta, and that has led to them becoming the worst defense. Everything looks to be coming together for Moore, as Carolina should be pushed towards a pass-heavy attack this week. All jokes aside PJ Walker is playing like a real NFL starter after he logged a league-leading 94.0 PFF passing grade in Week 7.

CHRIS OLAVE, NO $6,000 DRAFTKINGS $6,900 FANDUEL

Chris Olave has three games with 13 or more targets this season, the 2nd-most of any player (tied with Cooper Kupp). If you compare Olave to the five healthy main slate WRs who have as many or more double-digit target games as he does (Cooper Kupp, Justin Jefferson, Davante Adams, Tyreek Hill, and CeeDee Lamb) you’ll notice that Olave is, still a cheap option, so you’re damn right he’s going to be popular this week. He certainly is looking like a great play this week.

WANDALE ROBINSON, NYG $4,700 DRAFTKINGS $5,900 FANDUEL

Wan’Dale Robinson is by far NYG’s most-targeted player on a per-route basis, and starts falling into categories with the big dogs, like Diggs etc. If we assume there is going to be some targets headed his way this weekend, with the Giants potentially playing from behind, the price tag looks too good. Seattle has certainly been a slot funnel this season, and they rank much better against outside Wide Receivers so things are setting up for Robinson to have elite volume this week in comparison to his price tag, so it really makes for an interesting value play this week.

Honorable Mention: Jefferson, Adams, Kupp, Waddle, Lockett, Hopkins, AJ Brown, Cooks

Value Plays: V. Jefferson, Dorsett, Pickens, Osborn, Parker

ROCKER CORE CASH PLAYS: On the Sheet now in research channel

Thanks for reading our NFL DFS Wide Receivers article as the content is just getting started. There will be a boatload of content rolling in all week covering each position, cash games and tournaments. We will also have articles, videos, and podcasts so be sure to lock in with us in whichever way you like to! Don’t forget to check out our projection models and cheat sheets which will be updated throughout the week. Livestreams will be published each day on our YouTube page and make don’t forget to lock into our Sunday morning livestream to keep up to date with all the last-minute news.

3 years ago 0 comments

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NFL DFS Wide Receivers: Week 8 DraftKings & FanDuel Lineups

WIN 3 years ago

written by WIN

Let’s dive into NFL DFS Wide Receivers for this week’s main slate.

TYREEK HILL, MIA $8,500 DRAFTKINGS $8,700 FANDUEL

AMON-RA ST. BROWN, DET $7,100 DRAFTKINGS $7,200 FANDUEL

DJ MOORE, CAR $5,300 DRAFTKINGS $6,200 FANDUEL

CHRIS OLAVE, NO $6,000 DRAFTKINGS $6,900 FANDUEL

WANDALE ROBINSON, NYG $4,700 DRAFTKINGS $5,900 FANDUEL

Honorable Mention: Jefferson, Adams, Kupp, Waddle, Lockett, Hopkins, AJ Brown, Cooks

Value Plays: V. Jefferson, Dorsett, Pickens, Osborn, Parker

ROCKER CORE CASH PLAYS: On the Sheet now in research channel

3 years ago 0 comments

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NFL Week 8 Showdown SNF DFS Picks DraftKings and FanDuel

Jared Contestabile 3 years ago

written by Jared Contestabile

For our next showdown slate, we have the Bills and the Packers. Both teams were considered Super Bowl contenders coming into 2022, and one has looked like it. Aaron Rodgers and the Packers may just be smoking ayahuasca weekly. This team is an absolute mess right now, and this matchup certainly doesn’t inspire any confidence. The Bills are a monster favorite of around 10 points in this one, with a total hovering around 47 points. Let’s get ourselves in a good spot to cash in on the Sunday Night showdown slate!

Captain/MVP Plays

Josh Allen, Bills ($18,300 DraftKings, $17,500 FanDuel)

How can we start an article including the Bills on a showdown slate without Allen being the first target? While him being the best real-life QB in the NFL is very much up for debate, he is clearly the top fantasy QB once again.

Allen is averaging 31.8 DraftKings points per contest, and the matchup couldn’t be more irrelevant. The Packers actually have allowed the 6th-least fantasy points to opposing QBs. This is a showdown slate, and Allen is the best player on the field. His WORST performance in 2022 is 24.58 DraftKings points. No analysis necessary. Allen is a borderline must-play as always.

Aaron Jones, Packers ($15,600 DraftKings, $14,000 FanDuel)

I have little interest in paying for Aaron Rodgers in this one…I will be prioritizing Allen across the board. That said, while the Packers offense struggled last week, Jones thrived. He hauled in nine of 10 targets last week, and managed 28.6 DraftKings points despite only rushing for 23 yards.

His floor/ceiling combo is amplified by game script, and if Vegas is even close on this one, the Pack will be playing from behind. We all know Davante Adams is long gone, and now Allen Lazard is on the shelf. Jones is the only offensive player in this offense I feel you can truly trust.

Jones saw a season-high 74% of snaps last week against Washington, and his involvement in this offense is absolutely key. The Bills are #5 in the NFL in fantasy points allowed to opposing RB. I’m banking more on Jones’ involvement in the passing game than the running game here. The Packers are in complete shambles offensively.

Gabe Davis, Bills ($12,600 DraftKings, $12,500 FanDuel)

Listen, Stefon Diggs could absolutely post a monster game here. He will have to deal with Jaire Alexander for much of the game, which is far from ideal. I still believe that he will produce here, but it may be hard to pay off his salary. I’ll be pivoting to Davis for the most part.

He has been a revelation for the Bills dating back to last season, and has made the most of his targets. Over the last two weeks, he has turned 12 targets into 6/145/3. The Packers allow the 7th-least fantasy points per game to opposing WR. That said, the Bills are one of, if not THE best passing attack in the NFL.

Davis will undoubtedly see some shots down the field from Allen. He will be a feature in many of my lineups on the Sunday showdown slate.

FLEX/AnyFLEX Plays

Devin Singletary, Bills ($7,200 DraftKings, $12,000 FanDuel)

Singletary has quietly become a very reliable part of this Bills’ offense. He has played on 86%+ of snaps in two of the last three weeks, and has found some success. His upside is certainly capped by the threat of Josh Allen taking goal-line work, but volume should be on his side here.

Singletary had 21 touches last week against Kansas City. While that is his only time this season with 20+ touches, the volume potential is there. I expect the Bills to roll in this one, which would likely lead to Singletary seeing additional work. Fire him up!

Romeo Doubs, Packers ($4,000 DraftKings, $11,500 FanDuel)

DraftKings has priced Doubs for this game like he doesn’t exist. Well, if you rostered him last week, he essentially didn’t exist. He turned four targets into zero catches for zero yards. He still played on 89% of the snaps, and with Allen Lazard now OUT for the forseeable future, the time is now.

Doubs showed his upside early in the season, with one two-game span seeing him total 13/130/2. In his last three games? 7/50 on EIGHTEEN targets. His floor is embarrassingly low, but he is almost a free square on DraftKings. The Packers will almost certainly be playing from behind, and SOMEONE has to step up. I won’t go there too often on FanDuel, but on DK he seems like a lock and load.

Sammy Watkins, Packers ($2,600 DraftKings, $7,000 FanDuel)

Have I mentioned enough times that I think the Pack will be playing from behind? Watkins returned from a lengthy absence last week, and put up a 2/36 line on four targets. While those numbers impress nobody on the planet, volume is KING! Christian Watson is also questionable for this one, and with Lazard out, Watkins is another default option.

On DraftKings, I’ll be loading up on him and Doubs with Allen and stacking just about anyone I want. Low risk/high reward in this one.

Other Options

Aaron Rodgers needs to be considered in this one, despite the tough matchup. He could throw 40+ times in this one, and despite his recent struggles, you will want some shares in a pass-heavy game script. I’m not prioritizing him, but I certainly wouldn’t fade him here.

Khalil Skakir has certainly closed the gap on Isiah McKenzie, and I’m all over him for cheap in this matchup. McKenzie is a decent option, but I expect him to be higher owned in this one. Gimme Shakir.

Neither Tyler Bass or Mason Crosby has seen a ton of opportunities in the kicking game this season. Regardless, I’ll be considering them, especially on DraftKings.

AJ Dillon has double-digit carries in five of seven games this season. He is coming off his worst game of the season, but should be in your player pool for this one.

If the Bills turn this one into a blowout, James Cook could see some extra run. 15 of his 19 carries this season have come in blowout wins over the Titans (41-7) and Steelers (38-3). If you believe the Bills roll in this one, give him a look for very cheap.

Good luck on Sunday Night! Make sure to follow me on Twitter @BigItaly42 if you aren’t already, and let’s meet at the top of the leaderboards!

3 years ago 0 comments

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NFL DFS RUNNING BACK REPORT – WEEK 8 DraftKings & FanDuel Lineups

Dave Gloeckner 3 years ago

written by Dave Gloeckner

We had another solid week with the Running Back Report Card in Week 7. Our number one play was the number one play last week in Josh Jacobs. And my other smash play was Kenneth Walker who put up the 3rd most points for a RB last week. They were in great situations and highly owned but they were also in the Million Dollar winner’s lineup so chalk can work at times but we have to expect to be different in other areas.

Please be sure to check out Stix’s projections each week when evaluating NFL DFS using the NFL Projection Model. It’s the best predictive tool on the market and will give you a competitive advantage against the competition! Also don’t forget to check out our NFL DraftCast we did earlier this week here at WinDaily, which breaks down our favorite plays on the entire slate.

As with the past weeks I highlight my favorite 10 RB’s below and break them up into Tiers (Tier 1 = $7K above, Tier 2 = $6K to $7K, Tier 3 = below $6K).

My strategy this week is to employ 3 RB’s in most of my lineups. I’ll look to take a Tier 1 RB in some lineups but most of my builds will be from Tier 2 and 3 as the potential points in that range are equal to some of the top end RB’s this week but at a much cheaper price.

TIER 1 DFS RUNNING BACKS

SAQUON BARKLEY $8100 DraftKings $8700 FanDuel

The Giants RB hasn’t produced one bad game yet. He’s averaging 21.5 DK points per game and has a floor of 11.8 pts and ceiling of 36.4 pts. So he’s very consistent and someone you can count on each week. And this week he gets a great matchup against a bad Seahawks defense. Seattle is 29th in rushing yards allowed per game at 149.7. They also allow the 3rd most points to RB’s. And if there’s one thing the Giants do well, it’s run the ball. New York is coming off a game in Jacksonville where they totaled 236 yards on the ground and are now 2nd in the league in rushing yards per game at 173.4. It’s a great spot for one of the NFL’s best runners which makes Saquon my favorite play in Tier 1.

DERRICK HENRY $8200 DraftKings $8800 FanDuel

Start any good running back against the Texans. That’s why we loved Josh Jacobs last week and why we’re backing Derrick Henry this week. The potential is there for a 40 fantasy point game. So I like Henry a ton in GPP’s because of the big upside. I do think Houston will sell out to stop the run this week due to the lack of threats in the Titans passing game. But they won’t be able to fully contain Henry and he’ll find his way to 100+ yards and 1+ TD’s.

JONATHAN TAYLOR $8000 DraftKings $8800 FanDuel

We haven’t had a JT game since Week 1. A lot of that is due to Matt Ryan and his inability to throw the ball past the sticks. Defenses could stack the box against both the run and pass game. But with Sam Ehlinger starting for the Colts, it will add a new dimension to the Colts offense that should open up the field for Taylor. Ehlinger has an average arm but is willing to throw downfield. He’s also a capable runner and will move the pocket. For all these reasons, plus Washington allowed 9 receptions to Aaron Jones last week, I like Taylor to get loose this week and put up a JT game.

TIER 2 DFS RUNNING BACKS

DEANDRE SWIFT $6800 DraftKings $7000 FanDuel

In two home games this season, Swift has averaged 23 DK points on only just 25 touches. He just explodes on the turf and should be in line for a big game this week against a Dolphins team that wants to play with pace. The only concern here is how much the Lions will use Swift as he’s missed the last 3 games due to injury. But because of the game environment and potential for points, he should be used quite more than expected and I believe he’ll be in line for a big game.

KENNETH WALKER $6500 DraftKings $7800 FanDuel

NOTE: This section was previously written with Walker’s Week 7 matchup against the Chargers. He faced the Giants last week who were also considered a team that he could have a big game against due to the Giants ranking 25th in rush defense DVOA.

TONY POLLARD $6100 DraftKings $7400 FanDuel

Zeke Elliott is doubtful and trending towards out. Which makes Pollard a smash play this week as the Cowboys face a bad rush defense in the Chicago Bears. The Bears are 24th in rush defense DVOA and 29th in rushing yards allowed per game at 149.7. Pollard should see 60% (or more) of the snaps and carries this week and I expect a huge game from the Cowboys explosive runner. This is only a smash if Zeke is out.

TIER 3 DFS RUNNING BACKS (VALUE TIER)

Raheem Mostert is primed for a big game against the Lions this week

RAHEEM MOSTERT $5900 DraftKings $6800 FanDuel

The Dolphins travel to Detroit where the Lions have allowed 113 points to their opponents in 3 games. In those contests they’ve also allowed 8 rushing touchdowns! The Lions rank 31st in the league in rushing yards allowed at 162.6 per game. As for Mostert, he is clearly the lead back for the Dolphins as we identified back in Week 3. In the past 2 weeks he’s had 70% of the snaps and produced 130 yards on 30 carries. I think he could go for that many yards alone this week against a bad Detroit rushing D.

BRIAN ROBINSON $5600 DraftKings $6800 FanDuel

Many men gets another chance to add to his amazing story. The Commanders face the Colts this week who allow the 8th most points to RB’s. They also allow 123.4 yards per game on the ground which is 22nd in the NFL. Robinson’s snap count last week rose to a season high of 47% and he received 20 of the Commanders 36 carries. He has a good matchup in what should be a slower game with many possessions.

D’ONTA FOREMAN $5300 DraftKings $6800 FanDuel

Foreman seems to be the biggest beneficiary of the Christian McCaffrey trade as he received 54% of the snaps last week and 15 of the team’s 27 carries. This week he gets to face a Falcons defense that is 32nd in DVOA and 26th in rushing DVOA. At this price we have potential for 3x value in Foreman and will like to play him in some Flex spots in both GPP and Cash games.

BONUS PICKS

I already listed my 9 favorites so I’ll give you two bonus ones in this section. I like the game environment in New Orleans this week and will want to get several shares of Raiders and Saints players. I will be playing both ALVIN KAMARA ($7100 DK) and JOSH JACOBS ($7500 DK). I feel like this will be similar to the Seattle and Cincinatti games that were recently played in NO and produced huge numbers for several players (Lockett, Chase, etc). The Saints are 19th in rushing defense DVOA and the Raiders are 20th. So there are yards to be had on the ground and points to be scored.

RB PROP BETS

We will post our RB props on Saturday when the market has finalized some of the player lines.

Now that you finished reading the NFL RUNNING BACK REPORT article make sure to check out our YouTube Channel for constant content for every game and slate in the NFL this season and hop in our Discord Expert Chat.

Also, be sure to follow me on Twitter (@dgloeck) and my other content that is part of the WinDailySports family.

3 years ago 0 comments

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NFL DFS RUNNING BACK REPORT – WEEK 8 DraftKings & FanDuel Lineups

Dave Gloeckner 3 years ago

written by Dave Gloeckner

As with the past weeks I highlight my favorite 10 RB’s below and break them up into Tiers (Tier 1 = $7K above, Tier 2 = $6K to $7K, Tier 3 = below $6K).

TIER 1 DFS RUNNING BACKS

SAQUON BARKLEY $8100 DraftKings $8700 FanDuel

DERRICK HENRY $8200 DraftKings $8800 FanDuel

JONATHAN TAYLOR $8000 DraftKings $8800 FanDuel

TIER 2 DFS RUNNING BACKS

DEANDRE SWIFT $6800 DraftKings $7000 FanDuel

KENNETH WALKER $6500 DraftKings $7800 FanDuel

TONY POLLARD $6100 DraftKings $7400 FanDuel

TIER 3 DFS RUNNING BACKS (VALUE TIER)

RAHEEM MOSTERT $5900 DraftKings $6800 FanDuel

BRIAN ROBINSON $5600 DraftKings $6800 FanDuel

D’ONTA FOREMAN $5300 DraftKings $6800 FanDuel

BONUS PICKS

RB PROP BETS

We will post our RB props on Saturday when the market has finalized some of the player lines.

Also, be sure to follow me on Twitter (@dgloeck) and my other content that is part of the WinDailySports family.

3 years ago 0 comments

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Week 8 NFL Fantasy DraftKings & FanDuel DFS Tight Ends

Justin Elick 3 years ago

written by Justin Elick

I was disheartened to see David Njoku go down with an injury in the 3rd quarter last week! He still managed a 7-71 line, but he will be out for a few weeks now. Travis Kelce did what he does, and I was a sucker for looking at Robert Tonyan again. The further we move into the season, the more important these games become! It’s time. Let’s roll.

George Kittle, 49ers ($5,700 DraftKings, $6,900 FanDuel)

Look, the Rams are #1 in the NFL in fantasy points allowed to opposing TE. That said, they haven’t exactly faced a gauntlet of talent. Kittle had just 2-24 (four targets) in the first matchup here, but the 49ers won handily. I’m expecting this one to be closer, and Vegas is as well. The line currently sits around two points.

Kittle FINALLY looks fully healthy, and has seen 19 targets over the last two weeks. All he has done with those targets is 14-181-1. With no Mark Andrews or Travis Kelce on this slate, he is the default #1. He has played at least 89% of the snaps in each game he has played, and this week will be no exception. The 49ers are coming off a blowout loss to Kansas City. A sweep of a Rams team they have dominated in the regular season looks to be in the cards here. I have zero faith in the Rams doing anything but throwing the ball to Cooper Kupp. Kittle is in line for a solid game once again.

Pat Freiermuth, Steelers ($3,900 DraftKings, $5,700 FanDuel)

After missing a week, “The Freier” (do people call him that?) got right back to being the most consistent part of the Steelers offense. He hauled in eight of nine targets for 75 yards despite only playing 59% of the snaps. The Pittsburgh offense is a mess, but one thing is for certain. If (when) this team is down, Pat is getting looks.

The Eagles are 14th in the NFL in fantasy points allowed to opposing TE, but volume prevails here. He saw the most targets among all TE in Week 7. The Steelers have scored a TOTAL of 13 points in their last two games. When Kenny Pickett isn’t throwing the ball to the other team, Freiermuth should get plenty of opportunities.

Chris Myarick, Giants ($2,800 DraftKings, $4,600 FanDuel)

I was on Daniel Bellinger last week, and he left in the second quarter with an injury. You know the drill here. Myarick will be the default starter for the Giants and they face…the Seahawks. I’ll continue to target this defense with TE. They still rank dead last in fantasy points allowed to opposing TE, serving up nearly 600 yards in 2002.

Myarick is certainly a low-floor option, but he is a low-cost option as well. Given the plus matchup, I am fine going this way in cash games if necessary.

Irv Smith Jr., Vikings ($3,500 DraftKings, $5,000 FanDuel)

This certainly seems like a great week to pay down at TE, and Irv is one of your best options. Much like the Seahawks, the Cardinals have struggled to contain opposing TE. They are the only team aside from Seattle to allow more than 17 PPG…and they are still over 20. Irv has been getting looks from Kirk Cousins, with at least four in each of his last five games.

He has found the end zone twice this season, and this game has one of the highest totals of the week at 48.5 points. I’m off Zach Ertz for the most part with DeAndre Hopkins back, but I don’t hate the play if it fits into your lineup. I’ll be focusing more on the cheap guys if I’m not playing Kittle.

Mike Gesicki, Dolphins ($3,800 DraftKings, $5,400 FanDuel)

While I made a point in my showdown article to say I wasn’t chasing points with Gesicki, he makes sense here. In a week with no obvious top plays, Gesicki stands out in a few ways. He has seven targets in each of the last two weeks, and Tua looked off after the hot start against Pittsburgh.

Miami/Detroit owns the highest total on the slate, and it isn’t particularly close. The total is hovering near 52 points in this one, and the Lions rank 28th against opposing TE. I’m expecting Tua to continue to look his way in this one. It isn’t a pretty play by any means, but it’s a cheap way to get exposure to a massive total.

Come find me on Twitter and let’s chat some football! Good luck in Week 7, and let’s meet at the top of the leaderboards!

3 years ago 0 comments

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NFL DFS

Zach Ertz, Cardinals ($5,100 DraftKings, $6,600 FanDuel)

Gerald Everett, Chargers ($4,800 DraftKings, $5,800 FanDuel)

Hayden Hurst, Bengals ($3,600 DraftKings, $5,300 FanDuel)

Evan Engram, Jaguars ($3,300 DraftKings, $5,200 FanDuel)

James Mitchell, Lions ($2,500 DraftKings, $4,000 FanDuel)

Zach Ertz, Cardinals ($5,100 DraftKings, $6,600 FanDuel)

Gerald Everett, Chargers ($4,800 DraftKings, $5,800 FanDuel)

Hayden Hurst, Bengals ($3,600 DraftKings, $5,300 FanDuel)

Evan Engram, Jaguars ($3,300 DraftKings, $5,200 FanDuel)

James Mitchell, Lions ($2,500 DraftKings, $4,000 FanDuel)

Check out our NFL Week 9 DFS Quarterbacks!

Josh Allen ($8,500 DraftKings/$9,300 FanDuel)

Kyler Murray ($7,400 DraftKings/$8,200 FanDuel)

Justin Herbert ($7,200 DraftKings/$7,800 FanDuel)

Tua Tagovailoa ($6,700 DraftKings/$8,000 FanDuel)

Kirk Cousins ($6,200 DraftKings/$7,900 FanDuel)

Justin Fields ($5,300 DraftKings/$7,400 FanDuel)

Captain/MVP Plays

Joe Mixon, Bengals ($14,100 DraftKings, $13,000 FanDuel)

Nick Chubb, Browns ($15,600 DraftKings, $15,000 FanDuel)

Joe Burrow, Bengals ($17,100 DraftKings, $17,000 FanDuel)

FLEX/AnyFLEX Plays

Amari Cooper, Browns ($11,000 DraftKings, $7,600 FanDuel)

Hayden Hurst, Bengals ($5,200 DraftKings, $8,000 FanDuel)

Donovan Peoples-Jones ($5,000 DraftKings, $8,000 FanDuel)

Other Options

Captain/MVP Plays

Josh Allen, Bills ($18,300 DraftKings, $17,500 FanDuel)

Aaron Jones, Packers ($15,600 DraftKings, $14,000 FanDuel)

Gabe Davis, Bills ($12,600 DraftKings, $12,500 FanDuel)

FLEX/AnyFLEX Plays

Devin Singletary, Bills ($7,200 DraftKings, $12,000 FanDuel)

Romeo Doubs, Packers ($4,000 DraftKings, $11,500 FanDuel)

Sammy Watkins, Packers ($2,600 DraftKings, $7,000 FanDuel)

Other Options

TIER 1 DFS RUNNING BACKS

SAQUON BARKLEY $8100 DraftKings $8700 FanDuel

DERRICK HENRY $8200 DraftKings $8800 FanDuel

JONATHAN TAYLOR $8000 DraftKings $8800 FanDuel

TIER 2 DFS RUNNING BACKS

DEANDRE SWIFT $6800 DraftKings $7000 FanDuel

KENNETH WALKER $6500 DraftKings $7800 FanDuel

TONY POLLARD $6100 DraftKings $7400 FanDuel

TIER 3 DFS RUNNING BACKS (VALUE TIER)

RAHEEM MOSTERT $5900 DraftKings $6800 FanDuel

BRIAN ROBINSON $5600 DraftKings $6800 FanDuel

D’ONTA FOREMAN $5300 DraftKings $6800 FanDuel

BONUS PICKS

TIER 1 DFS RUNNING BACKS

SAQUON BARKLEY $8100 DraftKings $8700 FanDuel

DERRICK HENRY $8200 DraftKings $8800 FanDuel

JONATHAN TAYLOR $8000 DraftKings $8800 FanDuel

TIER 2 DFS RUNNING BACKS

DEANDRE SWIFT $6800 DraftKings $7000 FanDuel

KENNETH WALKER $6500 DraftKings $7800 FanDuel

TONY POLLARD $6100 DraftKings $7400 FanDuel

TIER 3 DFS RUNNING BACKS (VALUE TIER)

RAHEEM MOSTERT $5900 DraftKings $6800 FanDuel

BRIAN ROBINSON $5600 DraftKings $6800 FanDuel

D’ONTA FOREMAN $5300 DraftKings $6800 FanDuel

BONUS PICKS

George Kittle, 49ers ($5,700 DraftKings, $6,900 FanDuel)

Pat Freiermuth, Steelers ($3,900 DraftKings, $5,700 FanDuel)

Chris Myarick, Giants ($2,800 DraftKings, $4,600 FanDuel)

Irv Smith Jr., Vikings ($3,500 DraftKings, $5,000 FanDuel)

Mike Gesicki, Dolphins ($3,800 DraftKings, $5,400 FanDuel)

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