NBA dfs

NBA DFS Today: Gems with Ghost & Adam 3/12

We have a late lock tonight at 8:00 p.m. tonight with seven games in front of us and one game stands out pretty clearly above the rest. There are other good game environments with totals that rival the Golden State Warriors hosting the Milwaukee Bucks but this game is going to be popular in the NBA DFS Today: Gems with Ghost & Adam 3/12!

One thing I want to clarify based on the questions I have received over the past few years is that I will never list a player under the $5,000 price tag simply because I use the projection model to identify all targets in this range and below. While there are often plenty of options that I like at $5,000 and less, since I often find myself with not only one – but multiple – in my NBA DFS lineups, you all have access to the very model I use to make my own selections, so when asking yourself: “Should I use player X or player Y?”, make sure to check the model because that is how I make all of my own decisions and I truly ride or die by it on a daily basis.

Before running to the DraftKings, FanDuel, or Yahoo lobby to construct your NBA DFS lineup after reading this article, please make sure to utilize the abundance of tools we have at Win Daily:

• Proprietary Projection Model
• Articles of the Day
• Cheat Sheet

Bucks at Warriors 

Bucks – You certainly won’t be able to full-stack this game with the salaries involved but this begins with Giannis Antetokounmpo, as it does for most slates. The Warriors have had a tough go against big men with Draymond Green and Kevon Looney is not going to be able to do a lot with Giannis tonight. He’s up to 1.73 fantasy points per minute on a 34.9% usage rate and Golden State is down to 14th in points allowed in the paint. Giannis is tied for 10th in post-ups per game and that’s not a good mix for the Warriors. The pace should be intense as the Bucks are sixth and even though Golden State is down to 15th, they can run with any team in the league. The other trio of Jrue Holiday, Khris Middleton, and Bobby Portis all feel slightly expensive but Portis would be my next favorite. An athletic big man that can shoot from deep (seriously, 41.7% this season) isn’t going to be an easy cover and Middleton should face Andrew Wiggins. While Wiggins isn’t a defender you totally run away from, Portis has the easier path on the offensive end to be sure. 

Warriors – The floor is absolutely there for Steph Curry and we talked on Thursday about his career-worst season as far as shooting the ball goes, but the ceiling is more than there at $10,000. The Bucks allow the most 3-point attempts per game in the league and that’s not exactly what you want to see when Curry is on the other side. With Klay Thompson still getting back to his normal self, Curry needs to continue to carry the team and has a 30.5% usage rate and 1.31 FPPM on the season. The salary is a big shift for him and it’s worth the gamble, especially if we get the value to stack Giannis/Steph together. Jordan Poole would be my preferred secondary target as Klay at $7,000 on DK is just not appealing. Poole appears to have gotten his groove back in his role of bench scorer with at least 34 DK and 20 real points in each of his last five games. I want at least two players from this game and Giannis would be my priority followed by Steph if we can or Poole if the value isn’t there. 

Pacers at Spurs 

Pacers – Malcolm Brogdon has already been ruled out for this one which means the Win Daily favorite of Tyrese Haliburton is in play even at $9,000. When Brogdon has been off the floor for Indiana, Haliburton has racked up a 37.4% assist rate, 21.2% usage rate, and 1.22 FPPM. With the Spurs playing at such a fast pace (fourth), this is a pretty strong spot for him. Dejounte Murray does wait on the other side but Haliburton will play so many minutes and do so much to fill the sheet, I’m still perfectly fine with his salary. My interest past that is somewhat limited as I refuse to pay $7,300 for Buddy Hield and his 0.99 FPPM. The frontcourt is very mix-and-match with Jalen Smith, Oshae Brissett, and Isaiah Jackson, and they’re all capped around 26-30 minutes. Let’s keep an eye on who they have active and we can adjust through the day. 

Spurs – We don’t need to say much more about Murray at this point and if you want to play him, by all means. The fact that Brogdon is sitting out with a concussion is a bit of a bump to Murray. We know he thrives in high total games and what’s going to be of interest is who’s active for the Spurs. They played last night but if Jakob Poeltl is active, he’s on the table. Indiana is in the top 12 in points and rebounds allowed in the paint but that was on the back of having Myles Turner and Sabonis. Lonnie Walker is always an option in GPP and tonight is no different as the $4,300 salary doesn’t reflect the upside. He must be hitting shots to do much of anything but he’s a primary scoring option off the bench. 

Teams To Monitor 

Bulls – They are still sort of a mess with Zach LaVine, Nikola Vucevic, Ayo Dosunmu, and Alex Caruso listed as questionable. Who is available for the Bulls has an effect on my interest in Darius Garland and Evan Mobley for the Cavs as well. Mobley has been playing center without Jarrett Allen and he’s got some serious upside at $7,500 against a Bulls team that is in the bottom half of the league in points and rebounds allowed in the paint. 

The Wizards, Jazz, Raptors, and Heat are all also on the second leg of a back-to-back. I expect this slate to change quite a bit from 10:55 p.m on Friday until lock on Saturday so be sure to stay tuned. 

You can find us on Twitter @BetsByGhost and @Bucn4life

NBA DFS Today: Gems with Ghost & Adam 3/10

After the monster slate last night, we return to action tonight with just two games and it’s a vastly different slate tonight. The good news is both of these games should be very good. The Brooklyn Nets visit the Philadelphia 76ers and you have the Ben Simmons drama mixing with the Nets needing wins and then the nightcap as another round of the Golden Stat Warriors facing the Denver Nuggets. By all accounts, the Warriors are sending the full team as opposed to Monday night so let’s get into the NBA DFS Today: Gems with Ghost & Adam 3/10!

One thing I want to clarify based on the questions I have received over the past few years is that I will never list a player under the $5,000 price tag simply because I use the projection model to identify all targets in this range and below. While there are often plenty of options that I like at $5,000 and less, since I often find myself with not only one – but multiple – in my NBA DFS lineups, you all have access to the very model I use to make my own selections, so when asking yourself: “Should I use player X or player Y?”, make sure to check the model because that is how I make all of my own decisions and I truly ride or die by it on a daily basis.

Before running to the DraftKings, FanDuel, or Yahoo lobby to construct your NBA DFS lineup after reading this article, please make sure to utilize the abundance of tools we have at Win Daily:

• Proprietary Projection Model
• Articles of the Day
• Cheat Sheet

Question 1: “Which approach are you taking when building a single lineup? Stars & Scrubs, Balanced, Game stack, etc.?”

Ghost: You have to take your chances on value plays tonight to get two studs in your lineups. With a handful of players at the top of the pricing grid with a 60+ point upside, two of them are a must.

Adam: My thought before opening the slate was this would be one stud, mostly balanced approach. Then I saw how DraftKings priced the top tier and we might have some wiggle to get creative. The group of Nikola Jokic, Joel Embiid, James Harden, Kevin Durant, Kyrie Irving, and Steph Curry are all around $1,000 less expensive than normal. I mean, Jokic is barely over $11,000. It’s not impossible to play a Durant/Jokic combo for example so any build is on the table for discussion. That is the way I’m leaning because some value is worth taking chances on for GPP tonight. 

Question 2: “Which stud is a lock for you on this slate?”

Ghost: It pains me to say this, but Nikola Jokic needs to be in your NBA lineups tonight across all formats. Putting the matchup aside since Adam touched on it below, there is simply no other center I want to play other than Jokic or Embiid. With my interest being as high as it is in James Harden, I’ll look to start my lineups with that duo in mind.

Adam: It’s the soon-to-be two-time MVP in Jokic. It is the fourth game in five days for the Nuggets but Jokic is just built differently. He’s played the Warriors three times this season and has 60, 70, and 75 DK points in those games. His floor is the highest among the stars in my eyes and the ceiling is 75+ once again. Golden State continues to be extremely average in all aspects defensively since January and no Draymond Green has really exposed some issues.  

Question 3: “Which stud are you most likely to fade in a single-entry contest or be underweight on in 150-max?”

Ghost: I’d lean Curry here but truth be told, I can certainly get behind a stack between him and Jokic in an attempt to stack the stars of the second game of the night. Thus, Kyrie Irving will be my fade of the six studs tonight; simply put, he needs to score 40 raw to contend with the other five studs atop the pricing grid, and this game screams Harden versus Durant all night long.

Adam: It will almost certainly be Curry as he’s just consistently not justifying this salary right now. Sure, Curry is capable of being the highest scorer on this or any other slate but his fantasy results continue to be an issue anymore. He’s on pace for his worst season from the floor (43.2%) and from a 3-point distance (37.7%) in his career. Curry has never been below 41.1% from beyond the arc in any season and it’s impossible not to notice that at this juncture. 

Question 4: “If you had to pick one star and one value play to be in the winning lineup, who would they be and why?”

Ghost: If you are following my path of trying to get the combination of Jokic and Harden together, you are going to need not only one value play but multiple. Thus, with my main lineup not having Steph Curry at the time of writing, I’ll look at the value in Golden State with Moses Moody, Jonathan Kuminga, and Jordan Poole. 

Adam: Jokic and the duo of Goran Dragic and Moses Moody. Now, Denver missed players last night and Davon Reed started and played a bunch of minutes so keep an eye on that. This trio is all under $4,000 and Dragic has been playing solid backup minutes for the Nets. He’s surrounded by two of the more lethal offensive players in the world, which tends to help. Moody is risky but even when he was playing with the whole crew for Golden State, he still logged 30 minutes. These aren’t going to be super high usage players but the salary is right and the flexibility at the top is worth chasing. 

Question 5: “Give us a hot take for tonight’s slate.”

Ghost: Harden and Durant combine for 70 raw points in an electric matchup, whereby the two combine for 130+ fantasy points.
Adam: Jokic makes another statement tonight with a 30/12/15 triple-double in his fourth-straight massive fantasy game.

You can find us on Twitter @BetsByGhost and @Bucn4life

NBA DFS Today: Gems with Ghost & Adam 3/10

After the monster slate last night, we return to action tonight with just two games and it’s a vastly different slate tonight. The good news is both of these games should be very good. The Brooklyn Nets visit the Philadelphia 76ers and you have the Ben Simmons drama mixing with the Nets needing wins and then the nightcap as another round of the Golden Stat Warriors facing the Denver Nuggets. By all accounts, the Warriors are sending the full team as opposed to Monday night so let’s get into the NBA DFS Today: Gems with Ghost & Adam 3/10!

One thing I want to clarify based on the questions I have received over the past few years is that I will never list a player under the $5,000 price tag simply because I use the projection model to identify all targets in this range and below. While there are often plenty of options that I like at $5,000 and less, since I often find myself with not only one – but multiple – in my NBA DFS lineups, you all have access to the very model I use to make my own selections, so when asking yourself: “Should I use player X or player Y?”, make sure to check the model because that is how I make all of my own decisions and I truly ride or die by it on a daily basis.

Before running to the DraftKings, FanDuel, or Yahoo lobby to construct your NBA DFS lineup after reading this article, please make sure to utilize the abundance of tools we have at Win Daily:

• Proprietary Projection Model
• Articles of the Day
• Cheat Sheet

Question 1: “Which approach are you taking when building a single lineup? Stars & Scrubs, Balanced, Game stack, etc.?”

Ghost: You have to take your chances on value plays tonight to get two studs in your lineups. With a handful of players at the top of the pricing grid with a 60+ point upside, two of them are a must.

Adam: My thought before opening the slate was this would be one stud, mostly balanced approach. Then I saw how DraftKings priced the top tier and we might have some wiggle to get creative. The group of Nikola Jokic, Joel Embiid, James Harden, Kevin Durant, Kyrie Irving, and Steph Curry are all around $1,000 less expensive than normal. I mean, Jokic is barely over $11,000. It’s not impossible to play a Durant/Jokic combo for example so any build is on the table for discussion. That is the way I’m leaning because some value is worth taking chances on for GPP tonight. 

Question 2: “Which stud is a lock for you on this slate?”

Ghost: It pains me to say this, but Nikola Jokic needs to be in your NBA lineups tonight across all formats. Putting the matchup aside since Adam touched on it below, there is simply no other center I want to play other than Jokic or Embiid. With my interest being as high as it is in James Harden, I’ll look to start my lineups with that duo in mind.

Adam: It’s the soon-to-be two-time MVP in Jokic. It is the fourth game in five days for the Nuggets but Jokic is just built differently. He’s played the Warriors three times this season and has 60, 70, and 75 DK points in those games. His floor is the highest among the stars in my eyes and the ceiling is 75+ once again. Golden State continues to be extremely average in all aspects defensively since January and no Draymond Green has really exposed some issues.  

Question 3: “Which stud are you most likely to fade in a single-entry contest or be underweight on in 150-max?”

Ghost: I’d lean Curry here but truth be told, I can certainly get behind a stack between him and Jokic in an attempt to stack the stars of the second game of the night. Thus, Kyrie Irving will be my fade of the six studs tonight; simply put, he needs to score 40 raw to contend with the other five studs atop the pricing grid, and this game screams Harden versus Durant all night long.

Adam: It will almost certainly be Curry as he’s just consistently not justifying this salary right now. Sure, Curry is capable of being the highest scorer on this or any other slate but his fantasy results continue to be an issue anymore. He’s on pace for his worst season from the floor (43.2%) and from a 3-point distance (37.7%) in his career. Curry has never been below 41.1% from beyond the arc in any season and it’s impossible not to notice that at this juncture. 

Question 4: “If you had to pick one star and one value play to be in the winning lineup, who would they be and why?”

Ghost: If you are following my path of trying to get the combination of Jokic and Harden together, you are going to need not only one value play but multiple. Thus, with my main lineup not having Steph Curry at the time of writing, I’ll look at the value in Golden State with Moses Moody, Jonathan Kuminga, and Jordan Poole. 

Adam: Jokic and the duo of Goran Dragic and Moses Moody. Now, Denver missed players last night and Davon Reed started and played a bunch of minutes so keep an eye on that. This trio is all under $4,000 and Dragic has been playing solid backup minutes for the Nets. He’s surrounded by two of the more lethal offensive players in the world, which tends to help. Moody is risky but even when he was playing with the whole crew for Golden State, he still logged 30 minutes. These aren’t going to be super high usage players but the salary is right and the flexibility at the top is worth chasing. 

Question 5: “Give us a hot take for tonight’s slate.”

Ghost: Harden and Durant combine for 70 raw points in an electric matchup, whereby the two combine for 130+ fantasy points.
Adam: Jokic makes another statement tonight with a 30/12/15 triple-double in his fourth-straight massive fantasy game.

You can find us on Twitter @BetsByGhost and @Bucn4life

NBA DFS Today: Gems with Ghost & Adam 3/10

After the monster slate last night, we return to action tonight with just two games and it’s a vastly different slate tonight. The good news is both of these games should be very good. The Brooklyn Nets visit the Philadelphia 76ers and you have the Ben Simmons drama mixing with the Nets needing wins and then the nightcap as another round of the Golden Stat Warriors facing the Denver Nuggets. By all accounts, the Warriors are sending the full team as opposed to Monday night so let’s get into the NBA DFS Today: Gems with Ghost & Adam 3/10!

One thing I want to clarify based on the questions I have received over the past few years is that I will never list a player under the $5,000 price tag simply because I use the projection model to identify all targets in this range and below. While there are often plenty of options that I like at $5,000 and less, since I often find myself with not only one – but multiple – in my NBA DFS lineups, you all have access to the very model I use to make my own selections, so when asking yourself: “Should I use player X or player Y?”, make sure to check the model because that is how I make all of my own decisions and I truly ride or die by it on a daily basis.

Before running to the DraftKings, FanDuel, or Yahoo lobby to construct your NBA DFS lineup after reading this article, please make sure to utilize the abundance of tools we have at Win Daily:

• Proprietary Projection Model
• Articles of the Day
• Cheat Sheet

Question 1: “Which approach are you taking when building a single lineup? Stars & Scrubs, Balanced, Game stack, etc.?”

Ghost: You have to take your chances on value plays tonight to get two studs in your lineups. With a handful of players at the top of the pricing grid with a 60+ point upside, two of them are a must.

Adam: My thought before opening the slate was this would be one stud, mostly balanced approach. Then I saw how DraftKings priced the top tier and we might have some wiggle to get creative. The group of Nikola Jokic, Joel Embiid, James Harden, Kevin Durant, Kyrie Irving, and Steph Curry are all around $1,000 less expensive than normal. I mean, Jokic is barely over $11,000. It’s not impossible to play a Durant/Jokic combo for example so any build is on the table for discussion. That is the way I’m leaning because some value is worth taking chances on for GPP tonight. 

Question 2: “Which stud is a lock for you on this slate?”

Ghost: It pains me to say this, but Nikola Jokic needs to be in your NBA lineups tonight across all formats. Putting the matchup aside since Adam touched on it below, there is simply no other center I want to play other than Jokic or Embiid. With my interest being as high as it is in James Harden, I’ll look to start my lineups with that duo in mind.

Adam: It’s the soon-to-be two-time MVP in Jokic. It is the fourth game in five days for the Nuggets but Jokic is just built differently. He’s played the Warriors three times this season and has 60, 70, and 75 DK points in those games. His floor is the highest among the stars in my eyes and the ceiling is 75+ once again. Golden State continues to be extremely average in all aspects defensively since January and no Draymond Green has really exposed some issues.  

Question 3: “Which stud are you most likely to fade in a single-entry contest or be underweight on in 150-max?”

Ghost: I’d lean Curry here but truth be told, I can certainly get behind a stack between him and Jokic in an attempt to stack the stars of the second game of the night. Thus, Kyrie Irving will be my fade of the six studs tonight; simply put, he needs to score 40 raw to contend with the other five studs atop the pricing grid, and this game screams Harden versus Durant all night long.

Adam: It will almost certainly be Curry as he’s just consistently not justifying this salary right now. Sure, Curry is capable of being the highest scorer on this or any other slate but his fantasy results continue to be an issue anymore. He’s on pace for his worst season from the floor (43.2%) and from a 3-point distance (37.7%) in his career. Curry has never been below 41.1% from beyond the arc in any season and it’s impossible not to notice that at this juncture. 

Question 4: “If you had to pick one star and one value play to be in the winning lineup, who would they be and why?”

Ghost: If you are following my path of trying to get the combination of Jokic and Harden together, you are going to need not only one value play but multiple. Thus, with my main lineup not having Steph Curry at the time of writing, I’ll look at the value in Golden State with Moses Moody, Jonathan Kuminga, and Jordan Poole. 

Adam: Jokic and the duo of Goran Dragic and Moses Moody. Now, Denver missed players last night and Davon Reed started and played a bunch of minutes so keep an eye on that. This trio is all under $4,000 and Dragic has been playing solid backup minutes for the Nets. He’s surrounded by two of the more lethal offensive players in the world, which tends to help. Moody is risky but even when he was playing with the whole crew for Golden State, he still logged 30 minutes. These aren’t going to be super high usage players but the salary is right and the flexibility at the top is worth chasing. 

Question 5: “Give us a hot take for tonight’s slate.”

Ghost: Harden and Durant combine for 70 raw points in an electric matchup, whereby the two combine for 130+ fantasy points.
Adam: Jokic makes another statement tonight with a 30/12/15 triple-double in his fourth-straight massive fantasy game.

You can find us on Twitter @BetsByGhost and @Bucn4life

NBA DFS Today: Gems with Ghost & Adam 3/9

One of the first things that jump out on this slate is the size as we have 12 games. We’re going to have to eliminate some of these games and pretend they don’t exist. The second is there is likely to be some value since we have seven teams on the second leg of a back-to-back situation. Lastly, there are a lot of teams that need wins for the playoff race so we can expect the best effort from the majority of squads in NBA DFS Today: Gems with Ghost & Adam 3/9!

One thing I want to clarify based on the questions I have received over the past few years is that I will never list a player under the $5,000 price tag simply because I use the projection model to identify all targets in this range and below. While there are often plenty of options that I like at $5,000 and less, since I often find myself with not only one – but multiple – in my NBA DFS lineups, you all have access to the very model I use to make my own selections, so when asking yourself: “Should I use player X or player Y?”, make sure to check the model because that is how I make all of my own decisions and I truly ride or die by it on a daily basis.

Before running to the DraftKings, FanDuel, or Yahoo lobby to construct your NBA DFS lineup after reading this article, please make sure to utilize the abundance of tools we have at Win Daily:

• Proprietary Projection Model
• Articles of the Day
• Cheat Sheet

Thunder vs Timberwolves

Thunder – Normally, I’d be slightly on alert that Shai Gilgeous-Alexander could sit but the Thunder are still projected to be very short-handed. Since the last game that Josh Giddey played for the Thunder, SGA has 210 minutes on the court (not counting his 70+ DK game last night) and he’s been on a tear with 1.57 FPPM, a 36.5% usage rate, and a 32.5% assist rate. The Wolves have taken over the number one spot for pace and the Thunder are 12th, so this game should go back and forth. No player drives to the hoop more than SGA at 23.9 times per game and he’s scoring 14 points per game from that play, 0.8 behind Ja Morant for the lead. Minnesota is allowing a FG% of 62% from within five feet so this is another strong spot for SGA. Provided Isaiah Roby plays (he played last night but was questionable with a back issue), he’s a strong play and would be needed to combat Minnesota’s size. In the same time span of SGA, Roby has 1.11 FPPM across 143 minutes and the salary doesn’t match the potential ceiling. No other player has cleared 1.00 FPPM so my exposure is very concentrated here, with the only possible exception being Alexsej Pokusevski. Flirting with $6,000 isn’t the most ideal spot, however. 

Wolves – We’ll need more information here as both Anthony Edwards and D’Angelo Russell are questionable and neither played in the last game. With Edwards being out for multiple games at this point, that trend could continue tonight and if it does, we have to be looking at Karl-Anthony Towns. He wrecked the Trail Blazers last game for 51 DK in just 24 minutes as that game was way out of control in the first quarter. On the season, KAT is at 1.58 FPPM and a 31.8% usage rate and the OKC frontcourt is nonexistent. Towns can take advantage of them ranking 30th in rebounds allowed in the paint and in the bottom half of the league in points allowed in the paint. Patrick Beverly and Malik Beasley would enter the conversation (among others) for Minnesota pending the news we need during the day. Even though Minnesota needs to keep winning, they should be able to handle the Thunder with KAT being the focal point. 

Hawks at Bucks 

Hawks – We śaw Bogdan Bogdanovic enter the starting lineup in the past game for the Hawks but that was because Kevin Huerter was missing and he is probable. With Bogdanovic sitting at almost $7,000, we should be a little bit careful with that. I will grant that Milwaukee is in the bottom three in 3-point frequency allowed but that’s a hefty price. Instead, we should likely stick with Trae Young who couldn’t hit anything in the last game, going 5-20 from the field. That’s obviously an aberration and they need Young to be at his best tonight. Atlanta is 10th in the East and is running out of time to make a move (not to mention they only lead 11th by 1.5 games). Young can exploit the weakness from 3-point distance as well and Milwaukee is only 11th in points allowed in the paint. In the last game they played, Young got the Bucks for 55 Dk on just 17 shot attempts. Clint Capela and John Collins are on the fringe with Collins being simply a salary play. He’s almost never $6,000 and his matchup could conceivably get better in this game. 

Bucks – This game could change drastically for both teams because this is a spot where it’s easy to see Giannis Antetokounmpo sit out. The Bucks are currently in the top three in the East and Giannis played 28 minutes last night. That’s not overwhelming but it’s still getting to the point where it makes some sense to get him rest. His health is paramount to them going deep into the playoffs and that not only puts the focus on Jrue Holiday, Khris Middleton, and Bobby Portis but it also takes their defensive rating down to 112.8. That’s bottom 10 in the league this season so the Hawks would look more appealing as well, especially the Young/Collins duo. If Giannis plays, it’s full steam ahead with him although I would prefer Nikola Jokic on the higher end of the spectrum. If Giannis does sit, I’d rank them Holiday, Portis, Middleton, and Jordan Nwora would project to be even chalkier than he likely is. 

Lakers at Rockets 

Lakers – I’m (perhaps wrongly) assuming LeBron James plays tonight. It was a shock to see him sit out the last game and simply put, they are way too close to the 10/11 seeding in the West for comfort. The only way the Lakers are winning games is for Bron to put them on his back and get after it with a 35% usage rate without Anthony Davis. We were reminded of the upside against the Warriors and the Rockets remain an elite team to target. The good news is the Lakers are so bad that they shouldn’t be a lock to blow out the Rockets either. Houston allows the most points in the paint so LeBron can bully his way there and they also allow a 3-point attempt 41.1% of the time and James has been shooting a lot more 3-pointers as well. Malik Monk could be an option and is appealing with or without LeBron but I’m not sure I can stomach Russell Westbrook again even if LeBron sits. It’s a big slate and even just in his range, Zach LaVine and RJ Barrett would be preferred. 

Rockets – Another hinge play on this slate is Christian Wood. He was a late scratch in the last game for the Rockets and that opened Alperen Sengun to start and play 30 minutes. The result was average at 28.5 DK but remember the matchup, because Bam Adebayo and the Heat are WAY different than…well, the Lakers. If Wood is out, Sengun is a prime target and the same could be said for both Kevin Porter Jr. and Jalen Green. They both had average games this past time but again, matchups make the fight and the Lakers “defense” isn’t a real thing. We need information on Dennis Schroeder and Jae’Sean Tate here as well but the Rockets are all appealing to some degree. Even Wood if he’s active is too cheap for his upside. 

Honorable Mention 

Nuggets at Kings – Nikola Jokic made a statement in his past two games with a total of 170 DK points and two wins. The Kings just allowed over 80 points in a half to the Knicks and Julius Randle. He disappointed in this spot the last time but I’m not doubting Jokic anymore for any reason on any slate. 

Teams To Monitor 

Celtics – They should be fully healthy but Jaylen Brown and Robert Williams have my eye for tournaments. They are cheap for the potential upside and the Time Lord especially can wreck Charlotte up front if he plays 32 minutes or more. His props will be of particular interest to me when they are posted.

Pistons – With Isaiah Stewart out, Marvin Bagley has my attention in a big way as he played 36 minutes compared to 18 for Kelly Olynyk last game. Stewart only played nine minutes and it makes a ton of sense for Detroit to let Bagley off the leash and see what they can get from him. 

Suns – The salaries are starting to get up there but both Cam Payne and Landry Shamet are appealing. No team allows a higher frequency of 3-point attempts than the Heat so Shamet and the 3-point ladder are well in play. 

Pelicans – If Brandon Ingram remains out, it’s all aboard the CJ McCollum train who scored nearly 60 DK points last night in just 31 minutes. He shot well going 13-21 but he’s clearly the offense and back under $9,000. Jonas Valanciunas would be in a very interesting bounce-back spot as well against a much slower team and a much more vulnerable interior than the Grizzlies. 

Blazers – Anfernee Simons is questionable and Brandon Williams scored 49 DK in 33 minutes in his last game. His salary rose to just $5,500 and even in a tougher matchup with the Jazz, he’d be hard to ignore if Simons can’t (isn’t allowed) to play. 

You can find us on Twitter @BetsByGhost and @Bucn4life

NBA DFS Today: Gems with Ghost & Adam 3/9

One of the first things that jump out on this slate is the size as we have 12 games. We’re going to have to eliminate some of these games and pretend they don’t exist. The second is there is likely to be some value since we have seven teams on the second leg of a back-to-back situation. Lastly, there are a lot of teams that need wins for the playoff race so we can expect the best effort from the majority of squads in NBA DFS Today: Gems with Ghost & Adam 3/9!

One thing I want to clarify based on the questions I have received over the past few years is that I will never list a player under the $5,000 price tag simply because I use the projection model to identify all targets in this range and below. While there are often plenty of options that I like at $5,000 and less, since I often find myself with not only one – but multiple – in my NBA DFS lineups, you all have access to the very model I use to make my own selections, so when asking yourself: “Should I use player X or player Y?”, make sure to check the model because that is how I make all of my own decisions and I truly ride or die by it on a daily basis.

Before running to the DraftKings, FanDuel, or Yahoo lobby to construct your NBA DFS lineup after reading this article, please make sure to utilize the abundance of tools we have at Win Daily:

• Proprietary Projection Model
• Articles of the Day
• Cheat Sheet

Thunder vs Timberwolves

Thunder – Normally, I’d be slightly on alert that Shai Gilgeous-Alexander could sit but the Thunder are still projected to be very short-handed. Since the last game that Josh Giddey played for the Thunder, SGA has 210 minutes on the court (not counting his 70+ DK game last night) and he’s been on a tear with 1.57 FPPM, a 36.5% usage rate, and a 32.5% assist rate. The Wolves have taken over the number one spot for pace and the Thunder are 12th, so this game should go back and forth. No player drives to the hoop more than SGA at 23.9 times per game and he’s scoring 14 points per game from that play, 0.8 behind Ja Morant for the lead. Minnesota is allowing a FG% of 62% from within five feet so this is another strong spot for SGA. Provided Isaiah Roby plays (he played last night but was questionable with a back issue), he’s a strong play and would be needed to combat Minnesota’s size. In the same time span of SGA, Roby has 1.11 FPPM across 143 minutes and the salary doesn’t match the potential ceiling. No other player has cleared 1.00 FPPM so my exposure is very concentrated here, with the only possible exception being Alexsej Pokusevski. Flirting with $6,000 isn’t the most ideal spot, however. 

Wolves – We’ll need more information here as both Anthony Edwards and D’Angelo Russell are questionable and neither played in the last game. With Edwards being out for multiple games at this point, that trend could continue tonight and if it does, we have to be looking at Karl-Anthony Towns. He wrecked the Trail Blazers last game for 51 DK in just 24 minutes as that game was way out of control in the first quarter. On the season, KAT is at 1.58 FPPM and a 31.8% usage rate and the OKC frontcourt is nonexistent. Towns can take advantage of them ranking 30th in rebounds allowed in the paint and in the bottom half of the league in points allowed in the paint. Patrick Beverly and Malik Beasley would enter the conversation (among others) for Minnesota pending the news we need during the day. Even though Minnesota needs to keep winning, they should be able to handle the Thunder with KAT being the focal point. 

Hawks at Bucks 

Hawks – We śaw Bogdan Bogdanovic enter the starting lineup in the past game for the Hawks but that was because Kevin Huerter was missing and he is probable. With Bogdanovic sitting at almost $7,000, we should be a little bit careful with that. I will grant that Milwaukee is in the bottom three in 3-point frequency allowed but that’s a hefty price. Instead, we should likely stick with Trae Young who couldn’t hit anything in the last game, going 5-20 from the field. That’s obviously an aberration and they need Young to be at his best tonight. Atlanta is 10th in the East and is running out of time to make a move (not to mention they only lead 11th by 1.5 games). Young can exploit the weakness from 3-point distance as well and Milwaukee is only 11th in points allowed in the paint. In the last game they played, Young got the Bucks for 55 Dk on just 17 shot attempts. Clint Capela and John Collins are on the fringe with Collins being simply a salary play. He’s almost never $6,000 and his matchup could conceivably get better in this game. 

Bucks – This game could change drastically for both teams because this is a spot where it’s easy to see Giannis Antetokounmpo sit out. The Bucks are currently in the top three in the East and Giannis played 28 minutes last night. That’s not overwhelming but it’s still getting to the point where it makes some sense to get him rest. His health is paramount to them going deep into the playoffs and that not only puts the focus on Jrue Holiday, Khris Middleton, and Bobby Portis but it also takes their defensive rating down to 112.8. That’s bottom 10 in the league this season so the Hawks would look more appealing as well, especially the Young/Collins duo. If Giannis plays, it’s full steam ahead with him although I would prefer Nikola Jokic on the higher end of the spectrum. If Giannis does sit, I’d rank them Holiday, Portis, Middleton, and Jordan Nwora would project to be even chalkier than he likely is. 

Lakers at Rockets 

Lakers – I’m (perhaps wrongly) assuming LeBron James plays tonight. It was a shock to see him sit out the last game and simply put, they are way too close to the 10/11 seeding in the West for comfort. The only way the Lakers are winning games is for Bron to put them on his back and get after it with a 35% usage rate without Anthony Davis. We were reminded of the upside against the Warriors and the Rockets remain an elite team to target. The good news is the Lakers are so bad that they shouldn’t be a lock to blow out the Rockets either. Houston allows the most points in the paint so LeBron can bully his way there and they also allow a 3-point attempt 41.1% of the time and James has been shooting a lot more 3-pointers as well. Malik Monk could be an option and is appealing with or without LeBron but I’m not sure I can stomach Russell Westbrook again even if LeBron sits. It’s a big slate and even just in his range, Zach LaVine and RJ Barrett would be preferred. 

Rockets – Another hinge play on this slate is Christian Wood. He was a late scratch in the last game for the Rockets and that opened Alperen Sengun to start and play 30 minutes. The result was average at 28.5 DK but remember the matchup, because Bam Adebayo and the Heat are WAY different than…well, the Lakers. If Wood is out, Sengun is a prime target and the same could be said for both Kevin Porter Jr. and Jalen Green. They both had average games this past time but again, matchups make the fight and the Lakers “defense” isn’t a real thing. We need information on Dennis Schroeder and Jae’Sean Tate here as well but the Rockets are all appealing to some degree. Even Wood if he’s active is too cheap for his upside. 

Honorable Mention 

Nuggets at Kings – Nikola Jokic made a statement in his past two games with a total of 170 DK points and two wins. The Kings just allowed over 80 points in a half to the Knicks and Julius Randle. He disappointed in this spot the last time but I’m not doubting Jokic anymore for any reason on any slate. 

Teams To Monitor 

Celtics – They should be fully healthy but Jaylen Brown and Robert Williams have my eye for tournaments. They are cheap for the potential upside and the Time Lord especially can wreck Charlotte up front if he plays 32 minutes or more. His props will be of particular interest to me when they are posted.

Pistons – With Isaiah Stewart out, Marvin Bagley has my attention in a big way as he played 36 minutes compared to 18 for Kelly Olynyk last game. Stewart only played nine minutes and it makes a ton of sense for Detroit to let Bagley off the leash and see what they can get from him. 

Suns – The salaries are starting to get up there but both Cam Payne and Landry Shamet are appealing. No team allows a higher frequency of 3-point attempts than the Heat so Shamet and the 3-point ladder are well in play. 

Pelicans – If Brandon Ingram remains out, it’s all aboard the CJ McCollum train who scored nearly 60 DK points last night in just 31 minutes. He shot well going 13-21 but he’s clearly the offense and back under $9,000. Jonas Valanciunas would be in a very interesting bounce-back spot as well against a much slower team and a much more vulnerable interior than the Grizzlies. 

Blazers – Anfernee Simons is questionable and Brandon Williams scored 49 DK in 33 minutes in his last game. His salary rose to just $5,500 and even in a tougher matchup with the Jazz, he’d be hard to ignore if Simons can’t (isn’t allowed) to play. 

You can find us on Twitter @BetsByGhost and @Bucn4life

NBA DFS Today: Gems with Ghost & Adam 3/9

One of the first things that jump out on this slate is the size as we have 12 games. We’re going to have to eliminate some of these games and pretend they don’t exist. The second is there is likely to be some value since we have seven teams on the second leg of a back-to-back situation. Lastly, there are a lot of teams that need wins for the playoff race so we can expect the best effort from the majority of squads in NBA DFS Today: Gems with Ghost & Adam 3/9!

One thing I want to clarify based on the questions I have received over the past few years is that I will never list a player under the $5,000 price tag simply because I use the projection model to identify all targets in this range and below. While there are often plenty of options that I like at $5,000 and less, since I often find myself with not only one – but multiple – in my NBA DFS lineups, you all have access to the very model I use to make my own selections, so when asking yourself: “Should I use player X or player Y?”, make sure to check the model because that is how I make all of my own decisions and I truly ride or die by it on a daily basis.

Before running to the DraftKings, FanDuel, or Yahoo lobby to construct your NBA DFS lineup after reading this article, please make sure to utilize the abundance of tools we have at Win Daily:

• Proprietary Projection Model
• Articles of the Day
• Cheat Sheet

Thunder vs Timberwolves

Thunder – Normally, I’d be slightly on alert that Shai Gilgeous-Alexander could sit but the Thunder are still projected to be very short-handed. Since the last game that Josh Giddey played for the Thunder, SGA has 210 minutes on the court (not counting his 70+ DK game last night) and he’s been on a tear with 1.57 FPPM, a 36.5% usage rate, and a 32.5% assist rate. The Wolves have taken over the number one spot for pace and the Thunder are 12th, so this game should go back and forth. No player drives to the hoop more than SGA at 23.9 times per game and he’s scoring 14 points per game from that play, 0.8 behind Ja Morant for the lead. Minnesota is allowing a FG% of 62% from within five feet so this is another strong spot for SGA. Provided Isaiah Roby plays (he played last night but was questionable with a back issue), he’s a strong play and would be needed to combat Minnesota’s size. In the same time span of SGA, Roby has 1.11 FPPM across 143 minutes and the salary doesn’t match the potential ceiling. No other player has cleared 1.00 FPPM so my exposure is very concentrated here, with the only possible exception being Alexsej Pokusevski. Flirting with $6,000 isn’t the most ideal spot, however. 

Wolves – We’ll need more information here as both Anthony Edwards and D’Angelo Russell are questionable and neither played in the last game. With Edwards being out for multiple games at this point, that trend could continue tonight and if it does, we have to be looking at Karl-Anthony Towns. He wrecked the Trail Blazers last game for 51 DK in just 24 minutes as that game was way out of control in the first quarter. On the season, KAT is at 1.58 FPPM and a 31.8% usage rate and the OKC frontcourt is nonexistent. Towns can take advantage of them ranking 30th in rebounds allowed in the paint and in the bottom half of the league in points allowed in the paint. Patrick Beverly and Malik Beasley would enter the conversation (among others) for Minnesota pending the news we need during the day. Even though Minnesota needs to keep winning, they should be able to handle the Thunder with KAT being the focal point. 

Hawks at Bucks 

Hawks – We śaw Bogdan Bogdanovic enter the starting lineup in the past game for the Hawks but that was because Kevin Huerter was missing and he is probable. With Bogdanovic sitting at almost $7,000, we should be a little bit careful with that. I will grant that Milwaukee is in the bottom three in 3-point frequency allowed but that’s a hefty price. Instead, we should likely stick with Trae Young who couldn’t hit anything in the last game, going 5-20 from the field. That’s obviously an aberration and they need Young to be at his best tonight. Atlanta is 10th in the East and is running out of time to make a move (not to mention they only lead 11th by 1.5 games). Young can exploit the weakness from 3-point distance as well and Milwaukee is only 11th in points allowed in the paint. In the last game they played, Young got the Bucks for 55 Dk on just 17 shot attempts. Clint Capela and John Collins are on the fringe with Collins being simply a salary play. He’s almost never $6,000 and his matchup could conceivably get better in this game. 

Bucks – This game could change drastically for both teams because this is a spot where it’s easy to see Giannis Antetokounmpo sit out. The Bucks are currently in the top three in the East and Giannis played 28 minutes last night. That’s not overwhelming but it’s still getting to the point where it makes some sense to get him rest. His health is paramount to them going deep into the playoffs and that not only puts the focus on Jrue Holiday, Khris Middleton, and Bobby Portis but it also takes their defensive rating down to 112.8. That’s bottom 10 in the league this season so the Hawks would look more appealing as well, especially the Young/Collins duo. If Giannis plays, it’s full steam ahead with him although I would prefer Nikola Jokic on the higher end of the spectrum. If Giannis does sit, I’d rank them Holiday, Portis, Middleton, and Jordan Nwora would project to be even chalkier than he likely is. 

Lakers at Rockets 

Lakers – I’m (perhaps wrongly) assuming LeBron James plays tonight. It was a shock to see him sit out the last game and simply put, they are way too close to the 10/11 seeding in the West for comfort. The only way the Lakers are winning games is for Bron to put them on his back and get after it with a 35% usage rate without Anthony Davis. We were reminded of the upside against the Warriors and the Rockets remain an elite team to target. The good news is the Lakers are so bad that they shouldn’t be a lock to blow out the Rockets either. Houston allows the most points in the paint so LeBron can bully his way there and they also allow a 3-point attempt 41.1% of the time and James has been shooting a lot more 3-pointers as well. Malik Monk could be an option and is appealing with or without LeBron but I’m not sure I can stomach Russell Westbrook again even if LeBron sits. It’s a big slate and even just in his range, Zach LaVine and RJ Barrett would be preferred. 

Rockets – Another hinge play on this slate is Christian Wood. He was a late scratch in the last game for the Rockets and that opened Alperen Sengun to start and play 30 minutes. The result was average at 28.5 DK but remember the matchup, because Bam Adebayo and the Heat are WAY different than…well, the Lakers. If Wood is out, Sengun is a prime target and the same could be said for both Kevin Porter Jr. and Jalen Green. They both had average games this past time but again, matchups make the fight and the Lakers “defense” isn’t a real thing. We need information on Dennis Schroeder and Jae’Sean Tate here as well but the Rockets are all appealing to some degree. Even Wood if he’s active is too cheap for his upside. 

Honorable Mention 

Nuggets at Kings – Nikola Jokic made a statement in his past two games with a total of 170 DK points and two wins. The Kings just allowed over 80 points in a half to the Knicks and Julius Randle. He disappointed in this spot the last time but I’m not doubting Jokic anymore for any reason on any slate. 

Teams To Monitor 

Celtics – They should be fully healthy but Jaylen Brown and Robert Williams have my eye for tournaments. They are cheap for the potential upside and the Time Lord especially can wreck Charlotte up front if he plays 32 minutes or more. His props will be of particular interest to me when they are posted.

Pistons – With Isaiah Stewart out, Marvin Bagley has my attention in a big way as he played 36 minutes compared to 18 for Kelly Olynyk last game. Stewart only played nine minutes and it makes a ton of sense for Detroit to let Bagley off the leash and see what they can get from him. 

Suns – The salaries are starting to get up there but both Cam Payne and Landry Shamet are appealing. No team allows a higher frequency of 3-point attempts than the Heat so Shamet and the 3-point ladder are well in play. 

Pelicans – If Brandon Ingram remains out, it’s all aboard the CJ McCollum train who scored nearly 60 DK points last night in just 31 minutes. He shot well going 13-21 but he’s clearly the offense and back under $9,000. Jonas Valanciunas would be in a very interesting bounce-back spot as well against a much slower team and a much more vulnerable interior than the Grizzlies. 

Blazers – Anfernee Simons is questionable and Brandon Williams scored 49 DK in 33 minutes in his last game. His salary rose to just $5,500 and even in a tougher matchup with the Jazz, he’d be hard to ignore if Simons can’t (isn’t allowed) to play. 

You can find us on Twitter @BetsByGhost and @Bucn4life

NBA DFS Today: Gems with Ghost & Adam 3/6

We have another five-game slate tonight and this one has some very average game environments. There isn’t a Charlotte/San Antonio game tonight but there is one diamond in the rough that most of the field will flock to this evening. Let’s go over that game and then other spots to exploit in the NBA DFS Today: Gems with Ghost & Adam 3/6!

One thing I want to clarify based on the questions I have received over the past few years is that I will never list a player under the $5,000 price tag simply because I use the projection model to identify all targets in this range and below. While there are often plenty of options that I like at $5,000 and less, since I often find myself with not only one – but multiple – in my NBA DFS lineups, you all have access to the very model I use to make my own selections, so when asking yourself: “Should I use player X or player Y?”, make sure to check the model because that is how I make all of my own decisions and I truly ride or die by it on a daily basis.

Before running to the DraftKings, FanDuel, or Yahoo lobby to construct your NBA DFS lineup after reading this article, please make sure to utilize the abundance of tools we have at Win Daily:

• Proprietary Projection Model
• Articles of the Day
• Cheat Sheet

Grizzlies at Rockets

Grizzlies – Memphis played last night but is fighting for the highest seed they can get in the playoffs so I wouldn’t suspect them to sit anyone for rest. It’s a mismatch on paper but Ja Morant is at the head of the group tonight and he’s still sitting at 1.43 FPPM with a 34.7% usage rate on the season. Where he really could stand out tonight is he’s still leading the league in points scored from driving to the basket and Houston is dead last in points allowed in the paint, just as defensive rating. The price makes me a little uncomfortable but Steven Adams could flirt with 40 DK points if he got the minutes. This would check the box as a double-double spot but there is risk with him being over $6,000. The secondary targets as always are Desmond Bane and Jaren Jackson Jr. and the Rockets re in the bottom 10 in 3-point frequency and field goal percentage allowed. Lastly, Brandon Clarke could be a strong value option if Adams can’t keep up with the pace here since both teams are in the top eight in pace this season. Clarke is sitting at 1.13 FPPM and if he flirts with 24 minutes, he could be in business at $4,300.

Rockets – Normally Christian Wood is the main target bt there are other players. Wood is fine at $8,000 but if Dennis Schroder can’t go again, Kevin Porter Jr. and Jalen Green are more interesting. Green especially has been playing better as of late and when players are so young, sometimes it can take time to click in the NBA. He’s shooting better in his last five games especially at 47.1% compared to 39.8% for the season so there is a risk to playing him. Still, with the pace in this game the opportunity is certainly going to be there. Wood has a tougher spot on paper as Memphis is the best team in rebounding overall (by three rebounds per game at that) and they are 12th in points allowed in the paint as well. Alperen Sengun is always worth some exposure to in GPP as well since he can exceed 30 DK points in just 20-22 minutes. He can also land under 15 so the range of outcomes is wide for him.

Teams To Monitor

Jazz – With Mike Conley already being ruled out, Donovan Mitchell sees his usage and FPPM rise and is a prime target in his range. Outside of the $10,000 Ange, Mitchell may well be my favorite of the slate against the show-handed Thunder. I’ll be interested to see if Jordan Clarkson slides into the starting lineup because this used to be a Joe Ingles spot, but he’s now in Portland.

Thunder – They are still in the same situation they have been all week so Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Tre Mann, and Alexsej Pokusevski are all still ver viable options. Isaiah Roby has been a monster during the week but facing Rudy Gobert is not ideal and the $5,400 salary could backfire.

Raptors – The status of Fred VanVleet and Malachi Flynn will dictate how interested we are in the Raptors. The Cleveland defense is tough (fourth in defensive rating) but if they’re short once again, Scottie Barnes, Pascal Saikam, and Gary Trent would all be looking at 40 minutes.

You can find us on Twitter @BetsByGhost and @Bucn4life

NBA DFS Today: Gems with Ghost & Adam 3/6

We have another five-game slate tonight and this one has some very average game environments. There isn’t a Charlotte/San Antonio game tonight but there is one diamond in the rough that most of the field will flock to this evening. Let’s go over that game and then other spots to exploit in the NBA DFS Today: Gems with Ghost & Adam 3/6!

One thing I want to clarify based on the questions I have received over the past few years is that I will never list a player under the $5,000 price tag simply because I use the projection model to identify all targets in this range and below. While there are often plenty of options that I like at $5,000 and less, since I often find myself with not only one – but multiple – in my NBA DFS lineups, you all have access to the very model I use to make my own selections, so when asking yourself: “Should I use player X or player Y?”, make sure to check the model because that is how I make all of my own decisions and I truly ride or die by it on a daily basis.

Before running to the DraftKings, FanDuel, or Yahoo lobby to construct your NBA DFS lineup after reading this article, please make sure to utilize the abundance of tools we have at Win Daily:

• Proprietary Projection Model
• Articles of the Day
• Cheat Sheet

Grizzlies at Rockets

Grizzlies – Memphis played last night but is fighting for the highest seed they can get in the playoffs so I wouldn’t suspect them to sit anyone for rest. It’s a mismatch on paper but Ja Morant is at the head of the group tonight and he’s still sitting at 1.43 FPPM with a 34.7% usage rate on the season. Where he really could stand out tonight is he’s still leading the league in points scored from driving to the basket and Houston is dead last in points allowed in the paint, just as defensive rating. The price makes me a little uncomfortable but Steven Adams could flirt with 40 DK points if he got the minutes. This would check the box as a double-double spot but there is risk with him being over $6,000. The secondary targets as always are Desmond Bane and Jaren Jackson Jr. and the Rockets re in the bottom 10 in 3-point frequency and field goal percentage allowed. Lastly, Brandon Clarke could be a strong value option if Adams can’t keep up with the pace here since both teams are in the top eight in pace this season. Clarke is sitting at 1.13 FPPM and if he flirts with 24 minutes, he could be in business at $4,300.

Rockets – Normally Christian Wood is the main target bt there are other players. Wood is fine at $8,000 but if Dennis Schroder can’t go again, Kevin Porter Jr. and Jalen Green are more interesting. Green especially has been playing better as of late and when players are so young, sometimes it can take time to click in the NBA. He’s shooting better in his last five games especially at 47.1% compared to 39.8% for the season so there is a risk to playing him. Still, with the pace in this game the opportunity is certainly going to be there. Wood has a tougher spot on paper as Memphis is the best team in rebounding overall (by three rebounds per game at that) and they are 12th in points allowed in the paint as well. Alperen Sengun is always worth some exposure to in GPP as well since he can exceed 30 DK points in just 20-22 minutes. He can also land under 15 so the range of outcomes is wide for him.

Teams To Monitor

Jazz – With Mike Conley already being ruled out, Donovan Mitchell sees his usage and FPPM rise and is a prime target in his range. Outside of the $10,000 Ange, Mitchell may well be my favorite of the slate against the show-handed Thunder. I’ll be interested to see if Jordan Clarkson slides into the starting lineup because this used to be a Joe Ingles spot, but he’s now in Portland.

Thunder – They are still in the same situation they have been all week so Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Tre Mann, and Alexsej Pokusevski are all still ver viable options. Isaiah Roby has been a monster during the week but facing Rudy Gobert is not ideal and the $5,400 salary could backfire.

Raptors – The status of Fred VanVleet and Malachi Flynn will dictate how interested we are in the Raptors. The Cleveland defense is tough (fourth in defensive rating) but if they’re short once again, Scottie Barnes, Pascal Saikam, and Gary Trent would all be looking at 40 minutes.

You can find us on Twitter @BetsByGhost and @Bucn4life

NBA DFS Today: Gems with Ghost & Adam 3/6

We have another five-game slate tonight and this one has some very average game environments. There isn’t a Charlotte/San Antonio game tonight but there is one diamond in the rough that most of the field will flock to this evening. Let’s go over that game and then other spots to exploit in the NBA DFS Today: Gems with Ghost & Adam 3/6!

One thing I want to clarify based on the questions I have received over the past few years is that I will never list a player under the $5,000 price tag simply because I use the projection model to identify all targets in this range and below. While there are often plenty of options that I like at $5,000 and less, since I often find myself with not only one – but multiple – in my NBA DFS lineups, you all have access to the very model I use to make my own selections, so when asking yourself: “Should I use player X or player Y?”, make sure to check the model because that is how I make all of my own decisions and I truly ride or die by it on a daily basis.

Before running to the DraftKings, FanDuel, or Yahoo lobby to construct your NBA DFS lineup after reading this article, please make sure to utilize the abundance of tools we have at Win Daily:

• Proprietary Projection Model
• Articles of the Day
• Cheat Sheet

Grizzlies at Rockets

Grizzlies – Memphis played last night but is fighting for the highest seed they can get in the playoffs so I wouldn’t suspect them to sit anyone for rest. It’s a mismatch on paper but Ja Morant is at the head of the group tonight and he’s still sitting at 1.43 FPPM with a 34.7% usage rate on the season. Where he really could stand out tonight is he’s still leading the league in points scored from driving to the basket and Houston is dead last in points allowed in the paint, just as defensive rating. The price makes me a little uncomfortable but Steven Adams could flirt with 40 DK points if he got the minutes. This would check the box as a double-double spot but there is risk with him being over $6,000. The secondary targets as always are Desmond Bane and Jaren Jackson Jr. and the Rockets re in the bottom 10 in 3-point frequency and field goal percentage allowed. Lastly, Brandon Clarke could be a strong value option if Adams can’t keep up with the pace here since both teams are in the top eight in pace this season. Clarke is sitting at 1.13 FPPM and if he flirts with 24 minutes, he could be in business at $4,300.

Rockets – Normally Christian Wood is the main target bt there are other players. Wood is fine at $8,000 but if Dennis Schroder can’t go again, Kevin Porter Jr. and Jalen Green are more interesting. Green especially has been playing better as of late and when players are so young, sometimes it can take time to click in the NBA. He’s shooting better in his last five games especially at 47.1% compared to 39.8% for the season so there is a risk to playing him. Still, with the pace in this game the opportunity is certainly going to be there. Wood has a tougher spot on paper as Memphis is the best team in rebounding overall (by three rebounds per game at that) and they are 12th in points allowed in the paint as well. Alperen Sengun is always worth some exposure to in GPP as well since he can exceed 30 DK points in just 20-22 minutes. He can also land under 15 so the range of outcomes is wide for him.

Teams To Monitor

Jazz – With Mike Conley already being ruled out, Donovan Mitchell sees his usage and FPPM rise and is a prime target in his range. Outside of the $10,000 Ange, Mitchell may well be my favorite of the slate against the show-handed Thunder. I’ll be interested to see if Jordan Clarkson slides into the starting lineup because this used to be a Joe Ingles spot, but he’s now in Portland.

Thunder – They are still in the same situation they have been all week so Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Tre Mann, and Alexsej Pokusevski are all still ver viable options. Isaiah Roby has been a monster during the week but facing Rudy Gobert is not ideal and the $5,400 salary could backfire.

Raptors – The status of Fred VanVleet and Malachi Flynn will dictate how interested we are in the Raptors. The Cleveland defense is tough (fourth in defensive rating) but if they’re short once again, Scottie Barnes, Pascal Saikam, and Gary Trent would all be looking at 40 minutes.

You can find us on Twitter @BetsByGhost and @Bucn4life