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Back-to-back slates where we smashed the best bets posted in the NBA DFS article. We get another six-game slate on DraftKings and I’ll break down my core plays and favorite game to attack. On top of that, two more bets will be posted. Let us continue the streak and keep the green rolling in.

NBA DFS – Core Plays

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander $10,700 – 55.96 DK Points – 5.23 Value Rating

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has an amazing matchup tonight versus the San Antonio Spurs as they struggle against point guards. Coming in as the second-highest projected player on the slate, Gilgeous-Alexander should have a fairly easy run to exceed expectations. He’s currently averaging 31.8 points, 6.6 assists, and 5.6 rebounds per game in his last five games. He has recorded 30 or more points in those last five games also.

With the defense of the San Antonio Spurs against point guards, they are allowing them to average 26.4 points, 8.9 assists, and 6.7 rebounds per game. Allowing point guards to flirt with the double-double bonus. Also for Oklahoma City, this is a slight pace-up spot as the Spurs average 105.1 possessions per game compared to Thunder’s 104 possessions per game.

Make sure you are signed up for our premium plan so you can stay up-to-date in Discord with any last-minute NBA news and any core changes. Get your first week for just $1 using the promo code “DOLLAR” using this link. Find me in Discord under the name “xfreshie” and tag me with any questions.

Bol Bol $3,900 – 24.18 DK Points – 6.20 Value Rating

Bol Bol comes in as a strong value play and his two most recent games will show why. Versus Houston last Friday, Bol recorded 25 points with 14 rebounds and then recorded 11 points and four rebounds versus the Los Angeles Lakers on Sunday. Now with a four-day break, Bol Bol will be refreshed and ready to keep up the consistent play that he has found.

The big hang-up right now is with Jusuf Nurkic, who has the probable tag as of this morning. If things change for the worse and he moves to questionable, Bol Bol will see a huge boost in projection, value, and ownership. However, it would be ownership that I’d want to eat in the lineup.

Chet Holmgren $7,900 – 40.94 DK points – 5.18 Value Rating

While Victor Wembanyama is the higher projected player between the two young stars in this matchup, Chet Holmgren sits at a nice price tag. Sitting at $7,900, Holmgren gets a San Antonio Spurs defense that struggles also against some bigs. They currently allow them to average 26.5 points, 16 rebounds, and 3.7 assists per game. We should get Chet to pay off his price tag but also exceed it.

There will be a double-double bonus upside also as he has averaged 20.4 points and 10 rebounds in his past five games while averaging 30.9 minutes. Overall for the season, his average has been 17.1 points, 7.8 rebounds, and 2.7 assists with a usage rate of 21.5%. He does come second when it comes to Shai Gilgeous-Alexander but the duo can make a dominating impact tonight versus the San Antonio Spurs, plus with Holmgren’s price tag, it leaves room for more alongside Bol Bol.

NBA DFS – Game To Target

Oklahoma City Thunder (-625) versus San Antonio Spurs (+455) – Total 238.5 Points
Odds and Total Points are taken from the DraftKings Sportsbook.

Following my core plays, you’ll notice two of the three plays are from this game. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Chet Holmgren make for strong plays. Overall, there are many spots in this game that we can look at. The other pay-up spot is Victor Wembanyama who is at the price tag of $10.100 on DraftKings. Both he and Gilgeous-Alexander are two of the top three projected players on this slate.

While it is the second-highest total out of the six games on the slate, the pace of play makes for a great spot to attack. Oklahoma City plays at a pace of 104 possessions per game while the San Antonio Spurs average 105.1 possessions per game. With that, we have a few salary-saver spots to look at from this game also. Lu Dort comes in at $4,400 while Tre Jones and Jeremy sit at $5,000 and $5,1000. The game could get out of hand but if so, I believe SGA and Holmgren still can pay off their price tag, especially Chet sitting at $7,900.

NBA DFS – Best Bets

Draymond Green over 0.5 3-PT Made -125 (FD Sportsbook)

We’re going to continue riding the hot 3-point hand of Draymond Green. If you checked out the article on Tuesday (February 27th), we played the same prop bet for Green. He has now made at least one three-point shot in six straight games while taking at least two attempts in four of his last five. The New York Knicks do allow bigs to average 2.6 made 3-point shots per game also. overall, our NBA DFS Player Prop Model has this bet at a 162.58% edge and we’re not passing that up.

Alperen Sengun over 0.5 Blocked Shots -115 (bet365)

Moving on to the fifth-highest edge-rated bet is going to be Alperen Sengun over 0.5 blocked shots which sits at a 55.30% edge. Sengun has at least one blocked shot in four of his last five games. He’s averaging one blocked shot in his last five games and 0.8 on the season. The Phoenix Suns do allow 1.8 blocked shots per game for opposing centers so Alperen Sengun should have his opportunities to hit his prop.

Get access to our NBA DFS Player Prop Model here and find the best edge in the industry! An example from yesterday is below. Click the image for today’s updated model

NBA DFS
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We went 2/2 last night as Draymond Green cashed his 0.5 3-PT Made total and Max Struss blew his 8.5 points total out of the water. It’s time to get it rolling with another NBA DFS slate and we have six games tonight on DraftKings. Below, you’ll find my core plays plus two of my favorite bets.

NBA DFS – Top Targets

Domantas Sabonis $10,300 – 52.48 DK Points – 5.09 Value

We get a monstrous matchup once again with Domantas Sabonis facing off against Nikola Jokic for the fourth time this season. Sabonis has averaged 18 points, 15 rebounds, and eight assists in three games facing Denver. His dominating play has continued in his last five games where he is averaging 21.6 points, 14.2 rebounds, and 10.4 assists. He should be in line for a double-double at a minimum while flirting with a triple-double bonus.

This is going to be a good game to target as two of the three games have hit 240 and 241 total points. On top of that, the Sacramento Kings play at a faster pace, averaging 103.9 possessions per game while Denver averages just 100 possessions. Domantas Sabonis is the fourth-highest projected player on the slate and while Nikola Jokic does project for more, the ownership will be lower for Sabonis with just as much upside.

Make sure you are signed up for our premium plan so you can stay up-to-date in Discord with any last-minute NBA news and any core changes. Get your first week for just $1 using the promo code “DOLLAR” using this link. Find me in Discord under the name “xfreshie” and tag me with any questions.

Norman Powell $4,800 – 30.12 DK Points – 6.27 value

Norman Powell and the Los Angeles Clippers are in a huge pace-up spot tonight versus the Los Angeles Lakers. While they play at a slower pace with 101.4 possessions per game, the Lakers are averaging 104.9. Powell also comes in as the second-highest projected value play with a rating of 6.27. He has found success versus this Lakers team this season already.

In three games versus the Lakers, Powell has averaged 14.3 points, 2.3 rebounds, and 1.7 assists while averaging 28.9 minutes per game. With that, the Lakers have also struggled versus guards, allowing them to average 24.2 points, 7.1 rebounds, and 6 assists per game. Norman Powell will be a key piece to get to better payup spots like Domantas Sabonis or Nikola Jokic tonight.

Kyrie Irving $9,300 – 48.47 DK Points – 5.21 Value Rating

The last team we played a point guard versus Toronto, Tyrese Haliburton disappointed us. I don’t see that happening tonight with Kyrie Irving. With Dallas and Toronto having the second-highest point total, you’ll want a piece of the action. Irving has been playing well as of late. In his last five games, he has averaged 29.6 points, 6.6 rebounds, and 3.8 assists. On the season, he has played consistently, averaging 25.8 points, 5.3 assists, and 5.2 rebounds with a usage rate of 29%.

The obvious piece in this matchup though is Luka Doncic who is hard to pass up. While there would need to be some strong value plays to open by lock time, pairing Kyrie Irving with Doncic wouldn’t be a bad route. It would just be a nearly impossible route and a true punt with scrubs and stars lineup. Doncic and Nikola Jokic are priced high and for good reason which makes Domantas Sabonis the best next pay-up spot to pair with Kyrie Irving.

NBA DFS – Top Bets

Get access to our NBA DFS Player Prop Model here and find the best edge in the industry! Example from yesterday below. Click the image for today’s updated model…………..

Santi Aldama over 12.5 Points + Rebounds -120 (Bet365)

Santi Aldama has found success this season versus Minnesota and is averaging 12 points, 7.3 rebounds, and 2.7 assists in three games. Aldama is projected to do damage once again as he’s projected for 17.34 points and rebounds tonight. Both teams do play at a slower pace and if Minnesota is short-handed once again, Santi Aldama may have an easier route to his total.

Evan Mobley over 0.5 steals -130 (Bet365)

Evan Mobley is a low-total stealing machine. On the season he is averaging almost 1 steal per game and in his last five, he has recorded at least one steal in four of them. Getting to face Chicago once again, they allow opposing centers to average 1.1 steals per game. Plus, Mobley secured one steal and block in their first meeting.

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Welcome everyone to my NBA DFS Top Targets and Bets article! My name is Shaun Evans and I will be breaking down my top plays for every slate. These targets will represent my core plays for any lineups built on DraftKings. With news rolling throughout the day and up until lock, the core plays may change. Make sure you are signed up for our premium package and in Discord for any changes. Use Promo Code “Dollar” to get your first week free! You can find me on Discord as “xfreshie” always dropping insight.

NBA DFS – Top Targets

Stephen Curry $9,500 – Projection: 49.46 DK points – 5.21 Value Rating

Stephen Curry comes in as one of the top five projected plays tonight and is under $10k with a value of 5.21. Curry has a solid matchup versus Washington who can struggle with guards. They are allowing them to average 25.7 points, 10.1 assists, and 7.1 rebounds per game. Plus, with this being a larger slate, Stephen Curry should come in with low ownership.

Stephen Curry brings the double-double bonus upside but his scoring capabilities are what can push him over the top. He’s averaging 27.7 points per game on the season with a usage rate of 31.3%. He has scored 30 or more points twice in his last five games. He recorded 41 points versus the Los Angeles Clippers and 32 points versus the Los Angeles Lakers. The final nail in the coffin to lock in Stephen Curry is the pace of possession for this game as Washington leads the league with 106.4 per game, giving Curry a pace-up boost.

Ayo Dosunmu $5,400 – Projection: 31.17 DK Points – 5.77 Value Rating

Ayo Dosunmu has been logging plenty of minutes in his last five games and at $5,400, we do not want to pass that up. Dosunmu’s last five games, he has recorded 39, 41, 33, 39, and 39 minutes. A full-game run versus the Detroit Pistons? Yes, please. He comes in at number six when it comes to the value ranking in our DFS Projections.

The Detroit Pistons do come in with a faster play than the Chicago Bulls but once again, that is another pace-up spot for Ayo Dosunmu. The Pistons average 104.3 possessions per game while Chicago ranks at the bottom with just 100.9 possessions. Mixing that with their poor defense versus shooting guards, Dosunmu should have no trouble paying off his price tag tonight.

Jarrett Allen $7,300 – Projection: 41.53 DK Points – 5.69 Value Rating

The Dallas Mavericks may have some nightmares about Jarrett Allen who completely dominated them in December. Allen logged a huge double-double with 24 points and 23 rebounds. Can we expect that to happen again? Most likely not but we can expect him to walk away with another double-double. In his last five games, he is averaging 19.6 points and 10.2 rebounds, while securing a double-double in four of his last five games.

Mixing Jarrett Allen with Ayo Dosunmu could give you the salary room to move up from Stephen Curry to Victor Wembanyama who also is under $10,000 on DraftKings. However, the matchup is slightly more difficult and Wembanyama value rating is at just 4.93 for this large slate.

NBA DFS – Betting Plays

If you haven’t already, Jason uploaded some early morning bets that you don’t want to miss out on over in the Bet Tracker.

Draymond Green over 0.5 3-PT Made -120 (Bet365)

This comes in as the highest edge bet in our NBA Player Prop Model, sitting at 156.61% edge. Draymond Green has made at least one three-point shot in his last five games while attempting two or more in four of them. The Washington Wizards are good at defending power forwards when it comes to three-point shots but still allow 2.3 per game.

Max Strus over 8.5 Points -125 (Bet365)

Max Strus is coming into tonight’s game, averaging 10.4 points in his last five games. His only real dud was Sunday versus the Washington Wizards where he only scored 3 points. In our model, he is projected for 11.29 points. Dallas ranks in the middle of the pack when it comes to defending the small forward position and with Strus averaging near 32.2 minutes per game this season, 8.5 points is very doable to exceed.

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Welcome everyone to my debut NBA DFS Top Targets article! My name is Shaun Evans and I will be breaking down my top plays for every slate. These targets will represent my core plays for any lineups built on DraftKings. With news rolling throughout the day and up until lock, the core plays may change. Make sure you are signed up for our premium package and in Discord for any changes. You can find me on there as “xfreshie” always dropping insight.

NBA DFS – Top Targets

Tyrese Haliburton $9,500 – Projection: 51.51 DK points – 5.42 Value Rating

Tyrese Haliburton comes into the slate as the top projected player and his stats back that up. He has been a walking double-double machine this season, averaging 21.8 points and 11.7 assists per game. Haliburton now gets another solid matchup versus the Toronto Raptors who he has seen twice already this season. In those two games, he has averaged 27 points and 14 assists while averaging a 51.4 field goal percentage and a 52.6 three-pointer percentage.

The Indiana Pacers play at the second-highest pace this season, averaging 105.9 possessions per game. Their opponents, the Raptors, are averaging just 102.8 possessions. With the fast-paced Pacers mixed with Tyrese Haliburton’s stats versus Toronto, it’s hard to pass up on him as a core piece of lineup building.

Precious Achiuwa $7,000 – Projection: 39.12 DK Points – 5.59 Value Rating

The Detroit Pistons are one of the worst teams this season when it comes to defending power forwards (and almost any position) which makes Precious Achiuwa a great play. The Pistons are currently allowing opposing power forwards to average 24.9 points, 9.7 rebounds, and 4.2 assists per game. Achiuwa already has shown that he can exploit the Pistons this season.

In the first meeting versus Detroit for Precious Achiuwa, he recorded 12 points with six rebounds and five assists in just 18.6 minutes. He is carrying momentum right now heading into tonight’s matchup. In his last five games, he is averaging 14.4 points. 11.4 rebounds, and 1.6 assists per game while averaging nearly 39.6 minutes. Locking in Achiuwa with Tyrese Haliburton will give us two players with a double-double bonus upside.

Dennis Schroder $4,500 – Projection: 28.43 DK Points – 6.32 Value Rating

Dennis Schroder pops up as the top value play of the slate with a 6.32 value rating in our projections which you can find here (another reason to sign up for our Premium pass). On the season, Schroder has averaged 13.4 points, 6.1 assists, and 2.8 rebounds per game. His last five games haven’t been nearly as impressive but Memphis has shown they struggle versus point guards this season.

On the season, Memphis is allowing opposing point guards to average 24.5 points, eight assists, and seven rebounds per game. Given the upside to coming off of the bench with the defensive struggles by Memphis versus guards, Dennis Schroder is going to be a great value play to target but ownership may come along with him.

NBA DFS – Betting Plays

If you haven’t already, Jason uploaded some early morning Precious Achiuwa bets which you don’t want to miss out on over in the Bet Tracker.

Andrew Nembhard over 4.5 assists +105 (DraftKings Sportsbook)

Andrew Nembhard gets a great matchup versus the Toronto Raptors when it comes to assists. The Raptors are allowing opposing guards to average 9.4 assists per game. Nembhard is averaging 4.6 assists in his last five games and recorded five in his first meeting versus Toronto. In our NBA Player Prop Model, he is projected for 6.45 assists and is at the highest edge percentage with 61.16%.

Jalen Duren over 12.5 Rebounds and Assists -130 (Bet365)

Jalen Duren is mainly making this list due to the rebounding upside he can have versus the New York Knicks. While the Knicks have been good overall, they allow a good chunk of rebounds to the center position with 13.2 rebounds per game. Duren recorded 12 rebounds in his first meeting this season versus them. Between rebounds and assists, he recorded 14. He is projected for 14.84 tonight with a 14.13% edge.

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NBA Season Total Best Futures

Ghost and Michael give you their five favorite overs and five favorite unders for team totals going into the NBA season! A lot of teams in the West have good numbers, and the East is loaded at the top, but their confident in the 10 they found. Enjoy our NBA Season Total Best Futures podcast and make sure to review, subscribe, and give us a follow depending on your podcast app of choice!

Note, when you’re looking at your book it’s most likely going to be WINNING PERCENTAGE because the hard facts say that there will be games canceled to COVID. Fear not, Ghost is here to make sure that even with that unfortunate happenstance, there will still be money to be made!

https://youtu.be/g9fei5hFuOU

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NBA Finals Game 1 FREE Money Bet

Everyone loves free money. When there is an opportunity, we’re going to do our best get you that money. We’re also here to make you money through the Win Daily Sports Betting Membership where our house has been taking it down and winning here for the Family. Today we have a NBA Finals Game 1 FREE Money Bet!

DraftKings will be running their first basket promotion for game 1 of the NBA Finals tonight. For the FREE Money Bet, opt in and take the Lakers for $25 to win $62.50, then place a $32 bet on the Heat to win $61.

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8.25 NBA DFS Preview Podcast

On the 8.25 NBA DFS Preview, Ghost and Michael check out the 8.25 NBA slate and give their favorite plays for the night!

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8.19 NBA DFS Look Ahead Podcast

On the 8.19 NBA DFS Look Ahead, Jason and Michael check out the 8.19 NBA slate and give their favorite plays for the night!

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8.13 NBA DFS Look Ahead Podcast

On the 8.13 NBA DFS Look Ahead, Jim and Michael check out the 8.13 NBA slate and give their favorite plays for the night!

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8.11 NBA DFS Look Ahead Podcast

On the 8.11 NBA DFS Look Ahead, Ghost and Michael check out the 8.7 NBA slate and give their favorite plays for the night! We look at all the games, the over unders, and where to find value at each position for this packed slate!

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