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NASCAR

NASCAR DFS Pit Stop: Xfinity Series Nashville 6/19/21

written by rmferenc@gmail.com

Welcome to the NASCAR DFS Pit Stop for the Xfinity series for the 2021 season! If you’ve been with us before then you know the drill, but if you are new the WinDaily Sports or to my NASCAR content, welcome! I break down the field each week and give you my favorite plays for each race in three different price categories.

Make sure to check out my NASCAR DFS Tutorial to make sure you are ready and understand how I break down the races and build lineups (https://windailysports.com/nascar-dfs-pit-stop-2021-introduction-to-nascar-dfs/). You will notice that all pricing is for DraftKings in these articles since they are the only site with contests for all three series (Trucks, Xfinity, Cup) and the site I mainly play on. All plays in the Cup Series article will translate to FanDuel if that is where you play.

Like with the Truck Series on Friday night, the Xfinity Series is returning to Nashville Superspeedway for the first time since 2011. In that race, Carl Edwards won and dominated. In fact, only 2 drivers led at least 10 laps or more and four drivers led laps overall. As we saw on Friday night in with the trucks it is very difficult to pass here at Nashville which means we want to focus on drivers starting towards the front with just 1-2 place differential plays. Looking back at that last race in 2011, only two drivers started outside the top 20 finished inside the top 20. Both of the drivers who started inside the top 20 but did finish there wrecked and finished multiple laps down.

Once again we have Kyle Busch ($14,500) in this race at the same price as last week. Busch ran the most laps in Friday’s practice session and was fastest as well. Three of the top four cars in practice, and four of the top eight were all Joe Gibbs cars and I expect them all to qualify inside the top on Saturday and be some of our key drivers when building lineups.

NASCAR DFS: Dominators

As usual, when Kyle Busch ($14,500 – P1) is in an Xfinity race he is a favorite and should be key in any cash or single entry builds. Like I mentioned in the open, Busch was the fastest in practice and should win the pole. We saw how hard it was to pass in the truck race Friday night, and with Kyle is on the pole he will be extremely difficult to pass.

Harrison Burton ($9,500)

Starting Position: 3rd

Burton, like Busch, is in a JGR Toyota and was also fast in practice. On Friday afternoon, Burton ran 29 practice laps and was the 2nd fastest car behind Busch. I expected Burton to qualify towards the front and be a top 5 car on Saturday. Combining Burton’s usual low ownership, low price, and his potential to qualify up towards the front he makes for a nice GPP play to pair with Busch.

AJ Allmendinger ($10,000)

Starting Position: 5th

I promise I am not just listing these drivers in order of how they ran in practice. Dinger was another fast car, and the fastest Chevy, as he finished 3rd in practice behind the two aforementioned Joe Gibbs Toyota’s. Allmendinger was seen as just a road course guy, but he has shown that he can race on all types of tracks this season. Earlier this season Allmendinger took home the checkers at a 1.5-mile track (Vegas) and has a top 5 at Dover which is a comparable track to Nashville

Josh Berry ($9,000)

Starting Position: 22nd

Berry finished top 20 on Friday night in the Truck Series race and should be able to use that knowledge on Saturday afternoon in the Xfinity Series. In practice on Friday, Berry was 6th fastest and in my opinion, is now underpriced based on this. Berry had back-to-back 2nd place finishes at Dover and Darlington this season. When you add together how well he ran at similar tracks, his speed on Friday in Xfinity practice, and his race experience from Friday night in the trucks it’s easy to love the potential upside of Josh Berry.

If you want to run lineups without Kyle then I love pairing both Austin Cindric ($11,000 – P2) and Justin Allgaier ($10,400 – P11) together for a 2 dominator build. There is a path to getting one of these guys with Busch, but it will be difficult and not a build I particularly care for. Also in play for me are Daniel Hemric ($9,300 – P4) and to a lesser extent Tyler Reddick ($9,700 – P17) depending on where they qualify

NASCAR DFS: Mid Tier

Riley Herbst ($7,600)

Starting Position: 20th

Herbst is another car that was fast in practice and (7th) and looks like he could have a good day on Saturday. After crashing in three of the first four races this season Herbst has five finishes of 12th or better in 10 races. I don’t trust Herbst for cash games, but is a good lower-priced piece for GPP’s and is someone who could offset the potentially high-owned Kyle Busch’s salary.

Brandon Jones ($8,800)

Starting Position: 7th

Brandon Jones was the “slowest” of the four Joe Gibbs Racing cars in practice Friday as he finished with the 8th fastest lap. Jones comes into this race on quite the roll with three straight top 10’s and back-to-back top 5’s. Jones is generally a good qualifier and with track position being key at Nashville I expect Jones to come home in the top 5 for the third straight week.

Ryan Sieg ($7,300)

Starting Position: 13th

Sieg is another driver who generally goes overlooked in the Xfinity Series, but I will not be one of them on Saturday. In recent weeks Sieg has rattled off a plethora of great finishes. Sieg has five finishes of 11th or better in his last seven races. One of those poor finishes was when Sieg wrecked with 50 laps left at Charlotte.

Other Options: Justin Haley ($8,500 – P12) I really like Haley as a pivot off Jones, Michael Annett ($8,100 – P21), Brett Moffitt ($7,800 – P18)

NASCAR DFS: Value Tier Rankings

Jeremy Clements ($6,900) – P23
JJ Yeley ($6,700) – P31
Josh Williams ($5,200) – P26
Brandon Brown ($6,800) – P16
David Starr ($5,300) – P34
Tommy Joe Martins ($6,300) – P19
Kyle Weatherman ($4,700) – P27
Alex Labbe ($5,400) – P29

Make sure you head to the Win Daily Sports Discord for up-to-date info and help directly from our pros! Head over to Twitter and give the @WinDailySports account and me (@MVecchio81) a follow for all things Fantasy Sports! You can find more FREE NASCAR content over at WinDailySports.com!

4 years ago 0 comments

NASCAR

NASCAR DFS Pit Stop: Truck Series Nashville 6/18/21

rmferenc@gmail.com 4 years ago

written by rmferenc@gmail.com

Welcome to the NASCAR DFS Pit Stop for the Truck series for the 2021 season! If you’ve been with us before then you know the drill, but if you are new the WinDaily Sports or to my NASCAR content, welcome! I break down the field each week and give you my favorite plays for each race in three different price categories.

It’s been ten years since the Camping World Truck Series has raced at Nashville Superspeedway. Nashville is a 1.33-mile concrete track that is similar to Dover and Darlington. One thing to note is that the track will change from day to night, so the practice speeds we see early in the day on Friday may not be as accurate because of the track temperature decreasing as the sun sets. Friday night’s race will be 150 laps, so focusing on dominator points are not super important but we will want to have at least two dominators in our lineups, three if we can make it work salary wise.

In 2011, the last time the series raced here, Austin Dillon won, he is not racing this weekend, but three other Cup Series regulars are. Ross Chastain ($10,200 – P23), William Byron ($9,800 – P10), Ryan Preece ($9,000 – P6) will all be in this race as well as Josh Berry ($8,300). Both Byron and Berry will be in Rackley W.A.R. trucks, Preece will be in the DGR #17, and Chastain will be in the Niece truck he has driven multiple times this year.

As with every week, each tier of drivers is listed in order of preference

NASCAR DFS: Dominators

John Hunter Nemechek ($10,800)

Starting Position: 34th

Nemechek has been the class of the series in 2021 and he is my pick to win on Friday night, which would be his 5th of the season and 3rd in a row. Earlier this season at Darlington, Nemechek finished 8th after starting on the pole and leading 65 laps. In 2021, Nemechek has only finished lower than 12th once, when he wrecked at Bristol (Dirt) and finished 39th. Nemechek has seven top 5’s in eleven races this season.

Sheldon Creed ($10,500)

Starting Position: 24th

Creed has not had a great run of late, but he has immense place differential upside tonight starting P24. In practice Friday morning, Creed ran top 10 laps repeatedly and improved late in his run with his fastest lap being his last lap. I wasn’t originally on Creed but after seeing his practice time and now the place differential he is now in play tonight.

Grant Enfinger ($9,400)

Starting Position: 4th

Enfinger seems to be overlooked each week (I am guilty of this) and never gets the ownership he should for the quality of driver he is. In 2021, Enfinger has run exceptionally well in every race this season with his lowest finish this season being 17th at Kansas. Enfinger has run two different trucks, the #98 ThorSport Toyota (The truck he is in this week) and the #9 Chevy for Codie Rohrbaugh.

Austin Hill ($10,000)

Starting Position: 3rd

Hill is another driver who has been on a great run of late like Engfinger. Since his two poor finishes at Daytona to start the season, Hill has run off a string of races where he has four top 5 finishes in nine races and eight top 10’s. Hill has yet to win this season, and even though I think JHN wins, Hill could put some pressure on him.

I like all three of the Cup Series driver in this tier as well as the driver below. I would rank Byron as the top play from that group, but Nemechek is my favorite play overall.

NASCAR DFS: Mid Tier

Josh Berry ($8,300)

Starting Position: 12th

Berry is driving the #25 truck for Rackley W.A.R. again this week after finishing just outside the top 10 last week (11th). This season Berry has shown he can be successful in all series and equipment this season and Friday should be no different. Berry should run well here based on how well he did in Xfinity Series at both Dover and Darlington. I know his Xfinity ride is better equipment than this truck, but he did finish 2nd at both tracks that are comparable to Nashville.

Carson Hocevar ($7,600)

Starting Position: 11th

Hocevar is another driver who didn’t have a good start this season and struggled mightily. It seems Darlington was the turning point for the #42 team and Hocevar. Prior to that race Hocevar had one finish better than 11th (5th at Daytona) in seven races, but since then he has four finishes of 11th or better in four races. Hocevar has two top 5’s as well in that stretch, one of which was a 3rd place finish at Darlington.

Todd Gilliland ($8,600)

Starting Position: 35th

Gilliland is a driver I have been high on most weeks, especially recently and he has not disappointed. At Daytona, Gilliland finished 31st, but since then his worst finish was 17th at Atlanta. Gilliland has six top 10’s in the last seven races, including his win at COTA earlier this season. With this being Gilliland’s third full time season in the Truck Series, he has the experience to conquer a new track and I wouldn’t be surprised to see the 38 in the top ten again on Friday.

Other Options: Matt Crafton ($8,800 – P15), Stewart Friesen ($8,400 – P17), Timmy Hill ($7,000 – 25th), Parker Kligerman ($7,900)

NASCAR DFS: Value Tier Rankings

Austin Wayne Self ($5,900) – P27
Tanner Gray ($6,700) P36 – Second best FPTS/$ play behind JHN tonight
Ryan Truex ($6,400) – P19
Hailie Deegan ($5,800) – P14
Danny Bohn ($6,000) – P31
Chase Purdy ($6,300) – P21
Spencer Davis ($6,500) – P30
Kris Wright ($4,800) – P29
Jack Wood ($6,100) – P2 – GPP ONLY! Great truck with speed, but very risky
Keith McGee ($5,300) – P33

4 years ago 0 comments

NASCAR DFS Pit Stop: Cup Series Texas: All-Star Race

rmferenc@gmail.com 4 years ago

written by rmferenc@gmail.com

Welcome to the NASCAR DFS Pit Stop: Cup Series for the 2021 season! If you’ve been with us before then you know the drill, but if you are new the WinDaily Sports or to my NASCAR content, welcome! I break down the field each week and give you my favorite plays for each race in three different price categories.

Make sure to check out my NASCAR DFS Tutorial to make sure you are ready and understand how I break down the races and build lineups (https://windailysports.com/nascar-dfs-pit-stop-2021-introduction-to-nascar-dfs/). You will notice that all pricing is for DraftKings in these articles since they are the only site that has contests for all three series (Trucks, Xfinity, Cup) and is the site I mainly play on. All plays in the Cup Series article will translate to FanDuel if that is where you play.

Unlike the double-header on Saturday, this race is not for points but is only for money. It will be a small field of 21 drivers, four of which will be determined by the fan vote and by The Open. I am pretty sure the fan vote went to Bubba Wallace ($6,100) which means he will start 21st (last) in the field. Whoever ends up in from the fan vote will be one of the top plays because of their place differential upside starting from P21.

There are some very….well silly… and convoluted rules for this race. You can find a link to them here. With only 21 drivers in the field, there won’t be many low-owned drivers, and there will most likely be ties for takedowns. I will try and help you build lineups that could be different. This will be a different type of article though. Instead of breaking down the price tier, I will just rank the drivers which will hopefully make it easier for you to build lineups on Sunday night.

NASCAR DFS: All Star Rankings

1. Kyle Larson ($10,200) – P1

Larson has dominated of late in the Cup Series and I don’t see anyone beating him this weekend either. With him starting on the pole he should be able to get out and lead a lot of laps early on. No one has been better at 1.5-mile tracks with low tire wear this season. Larson dominated and won at Charlotte and Kansas and would have won at Kansas if not for a late-race restart.

2. Kyle Busch ($8,200) – P2

Busch was the class of the field on Saturday in the Xfinity race and he should be able to use that knowledge in his favor on Sunday. Texas has always been a favorite track of Busch and he should be considered a favorite on Sunday night. In his last five races at Texas, Busch has two wins and only finished outside the top 10 once. This season at 1.5-mile tracks, Busch has finishes of 1st, 3rd, and 3rd.

3. William Byron ($8,000) – P8

Byron has been one of the best drivers at 1.5-mile tracks this season. In 2021, Byron is only behind Larson when it comes to total speed ranking at 1.5-mile tracks. Two weeks ago at Charlotte (the last 1.5-mile track raced) Byron finished 4th and was the 2nd fastest car. I think Byron goes overlooked and could be a difference-maker in your lineups on Sunday.

4. Chase Elliott ($8,500) – P6

Elliott was off to a slow start, but his team has seemed to find speed the last few races and should be a contender to win this race in back-to-back years. Over the last six weeks, nobody has a better average finish (3.3) than Elliott and the 9 have.

5. Ryan Blaney ($9,600) – P17

Blaney is starting in the last spot for those who are already qualified and there are a bunch of reasons to like him. First, Blaney is a very aggressive driver, and a race like this is made for him. Because of his aggressive nature, he also is at risk of wrecking, but luckily he starts so far back that it won’t hurt too bad if he does. Secondly, the Cup Series is running a 510 horsepower package similar to what is run at Superspeedways where Blaney is one the best in the series. Lastly, Blaney had two top-ten finishes at Texas last season (4th and 7th). One downside to Blaney is his inflated projected ownership (49%), but if he is to win this race I don’t know that you can get the takedown without him in your lineup.

6. Denny Hamlin ($9,900) – P16

I think Hamlin may be the highest owned driver in this race so I will most likely have very few builds with him. Hamlin has been good at similar tracks this season with finishes of 4th and 7th at Vegas and Charlotte. You can’t argue the place differential upside with Hamlin, and maybe the money will be what gets Hamlin that first win this season, but with that being said, use Hamlin with caution.

7. Brad Keselowski ($7,700) – P9

Keselowski has the second-best average finish in 2021 at low tire wear 1.5-mile tracks (5.3). At Charlotte Keselowski finished 11th, his worst finish on the season. Keselowski finished 2nd and 3rd at Vegas and Kansas earlier this season. I don’t think Keselowski will be a contender to win this race, but a top 5 is definitely a possibility and his price means he doesn’t need to do more than finish where he started to make value.

8. Alex Bowman ($9,300) – P15

Bowman is another driver that is expected to carry a lot of ownership based on his starting position. Texas has been a good track for Bowman of late with two top 5 finishes in his last three races here. Bowman was set up for another top 10 finish in the first race last season at Texas but wrecked late and finished 30th.

9. Martin Truex Jr. ($9,100) – P10

Truex has been great at Texas since it was repaved in 2017 (he was great before that too). In eight races since 2017, Truex has five top 10 finishes and only two finishes lower than 12th (one because of a crash, and another because of mechanical issues). If you want to be different and not go for the “chalkiest” trio of Blaney/Hamlin/Bowman, then Truex is your man. Truex is projected for just 7 points lower than Blaney (highest projected driver) which to me means they project to finish around the same place in the standings.

10. Kurt Busch ($6,900) – P13

It was a hard choice to put Kurt here over the 11th ranked driver, but it came down to FPTS/$ for me. Busch is the highest point-per-dollar play on the slate and could find himself in the top 10 when it’s all said and done. Kurt has run eight races since Texas was repaved and he has finished top 10 in ALL eight. Busch is expected to carry some ownership, but not enough where I would be worried about rostering him.

The rest of the field:

11. Joey Logano ($7,500) – P7

12. Ryan Newman ($6,200) – P14 – one of the BEST value plays in this race

13. Kevin Harvick ($8,700) – P12

14. Austin Dillon ($6,600) – P5 – Dillon has a win here and will carry almost no ownership

15. Michael McDowell ($6,300) – P11

16. Christopher Bell ($7,200) – P3

17. Cole Custer ($5,900) – P4 – Only really in play if you are MME

NASCAR DFS: The Open Drivers

We will have to wait until a little before an hour before race time to get the final four spots, so I suggest building teams with those who have already qualified in case you can’t make adjustments before lock just after 8pm in the East.

My picks to make this race from The Open are :

Tyler Reddick ($7,100)

Ricky Stenhouse ($6,700)

Daniel Suarez ($5,700)

(REMEMBER these are just my GUESSES on who qualifies for the race, please check discord or online before 8pm lock for those who ACTUALLY qualified)

All four drivers who move into the All-Star race will be great plays because they have already run laps on the track which will pretty much be like practice laps and they will start from P18-P21. If you can make sure you get 1-2 of these guys into your lineups.

Thank you for reading my weekly NASCAR DFS Pit Stop articles and make sure you head to the Win Daily Sports Discord for up-to-date info and help directly from our pros! Head over to Twitter and give the @WinDailySports account and me (@MVecchio81) a follow for all things Fantasy Sports! You can find more FREE NASCAR content over at WinDailySports.com!

4 years ago 0 comments

NASCAR

NASCAR DFS Pit Stop: Xfinity Series Texas 6/12/21

rmferenc@gmail.com 4 years ago

written by rmferenc@gmail.com

While the Cup Series celebrates All-Star weekend, the Xfinity Series is racing for points and playoff positioning this week. Texas is your basic “cookie-cutter” 1.5-mile track that is similar to Las Vegas, Atlanta, and Kansas. Texas was repaved in 2017, so any track history prior to that is not relevant, but I will mainly focus on the two races from 2020. This race has 167 laps so I will be looking to fit three dominators in my builds, which should be easy because of the low pricing on some of the better plays.

One thing that could make getting three dominators into your lineups will be the price of Kyle Busch ($14,500). Busch starts from P14 and should dominate this race like he typically does. I will try and lead you on a path for one lineup builds with Busch in them, especially if you are playing SE or cash games. If you are like me and playing multiple lineups, try to roster Busch in 75% of your builds because I don’t see it likely to get a takedown without him.

NASCAR DFS: Dominators

Josh Berry ($10,200)

Starting Position: 28th

Berry is pulling double duty and there is some fear that he may be exhausted from the heat in Texas after running the Truck race. I am not worried about this, if Berry thought it was going to be too much for him he would’ve pulled out of the Truck race in my opinion. Berry has been nothing short of spectacular for the #8 JRM team this season. In his last six races, Berry has a win, two 2nd place finishes, and an 8th place finish. Berry also has to finishes of 31st and 32nd during that span, but in both those races, he wrecked out early.

Austin Cindric ($11,000)

Starting Position: 4th

Cindric is in line for his second straight Xfinity Series championship as he continues to dominate in 2021. Texas is another track where Cindric has been nothing short of dynamite in his Xfinity career. In six races at Texas, Cindric has one victory, four top 5’s, five top 10’s, and an average finish of 5.2, Cindric is my pick to win this week and should end up leading the most laps as well on Saturday.

Harrison Burton ($9,700)

Starting Position: 18th

Last week at Mid-Ohio was only the second time this season that Burton finished lower than 12th (38th). I expect that we will see Burton competing for another top 10 on Saturday, his 10th on the season in just 14 races. Burton is severely underpriced based on his upside and should be chalky, but I think we just eat the good chalk in this case and find other ways to be different. In three career Xfinity races at Texas, Burton has never finished lower than 7th (2019). Burton had two top 5’s here last season, including winning the race last time the series was here in October.

Justin Allgaier ($9,900)

Starting Position: 16th

In eight races at Texas since 2017 (when the track was repaved) Allgaier has six finishes of 13th or better including three finishes in the top 6. Like with Harrison Burton, I feel that Allgaier is underpriced for his upside on Saturday. Since March 20th at Phoenix, Allgaier has two wins, four top 5’s, and six top 10’s in eight races.

Other Options: Noah Gragson ($11,500 – P30) : Obviously the upside is there, but he has been so bad this season it is hard to pay this salary. Daniel Hemric ($9,100 – P5), Brandon Jones ($9,400 – P3)

NASCAR DFS: Mid Tier

Jeremy Clements ($7,100)

Starting Position: 20th

Clements’s best-ever finish at Texas was last season in the Summer race (11th) and should have the chance to top that on Saturday. So far in 2021 Clements has nine top 15 finishes in 13 races this season, which is half of what he had in 33 races last season. Clements has 10th, 12th, and 17th place finishes at similar 1.5-mile tracks this season. Combine Clements’ low price with his potential upside and he could lead to someone getting a takedown on Saturday.

Michael Annett ($8,500)

Starting Position: 6th

This week the mid-tier is pretty barren but if you have the salary to make Annett fit, he could be an extremely low-owned play that could pay off. I don’t think Annett is safe for cash games or single entry, but in GPP’s he is viable. If you are going the path of fading Kyle in lineup’s you could use Annett in those builds. In his last five races, Annett has four top 11 finishes, and at Texas, in the last two seasons, Annett has never finished lower than 11th.

Other Options: Brett Moffitt ($7,700 – P19), Jeb Burton ($8,300 – P8), Riley Herbst ($7,900 – P12)

NASCAR DFS: Value Tier Rankings

Tommy Joe Martins ($6,000) – P36: Martins projects as the top FPTS/$ play on the entire slate and I plan on having a good amount of him
Bayle Currey ($6,300) – P39: Currey is another great FPTS/$ play and with the PD upside he is another driver I will have plenty of exposure too
Jeffrey Earnhardt ($6,400) – P33: Another driver with good place differential upside at a good price
Stefan Parsons ($6,100) – P37: If you haven’t noticed the trend yet, I am looking for point-per-dollar plays, and Parsons fits that bill nicely.
Ronnie Bassett Jr. ($5,900) – P38
Joe Graf Jr ($6,500) – P35

If you want to roster Kyle Busch and another top tier driver, you will need to make three of these drivers fit. I want place differential plays and the drivers who can hurt us the least, that why you see every driver starting P33 or lower.

4 years ago 0 comments

NASCAR

NASCAR DFS Pit Stop: Truck Series Texas 6/12/21

rmferenc@gmail.com 4 years ago

written by rmferenc@gmail.com

While the Cup Series celebrates All-Star weekend, the Truck Series is racing for points and playoff positioning this week. Texas is a basic 1.5-mile track that is similar to both Atlanta and Kansas. Texas was repaved in 2017, so any track history prior to that is not relevant, but I will mainly focus on the two races from 2020. This race has 147 laps so I will be looking to use two dominators in my lineups, but if I can make a 3rd fit I will go that route in some of my builds.

We have three drivers jumping over from different series this week in Chase Elliott, Josh Berry, and Ross Chastain. All three of these drivers will be viable in lineups and could actually be relatively chalky. I do have a preference when it comes to the three of them, but you will see who that is as you read.

As with every week, each tier of drivers is listed in order of preference

NASCAR DFS: Dominators

Sheldon Creed ($10,500)

Starting Position: 16th

Last fall Creed dominated at Texas on his way to victory during the 2020 playoffs. Creed led 131 of 152 laps (86.2%) and had 23 fastest laps. Creed didn’t have a great race in the first race in July at Texas finishing 16th after starting on the pole. It has been an up and down season similar track types for Creed, but he did finish top 5 at Atlanta this season.

Chase Elliott ($11,800)

Starting Position: 22nd

This is Elliott’s first Truck Series race this season and also his first time in a truck at Texas. Elliott has had plenty of success in a Cup Series car at Texas though with five top 10’s and two top 5’s. On Saturday afternoon, Elliott will be piloting the GMS #24, one of the top teams with the best equipment in the series. I believe there is a really great chance that Elliott can get the win on Saturday.

John Hunter Nemechek ($10,900)

Starting Position: 1st

Once again, Nemechek is on the pole and should dominate the early part of this race if he can hold off Ben Rhodes ($9,600) in the first few laps. Nemechek has shown he has the best truck and is the best driver week in and week out this season. Nemechek has three wins this season, two of which have come at similar 1.5-mile tracks (Charlotte and Vegas). Aside from the two wins at similar tracks, Nemechek also has top 5’s at the other two 1.5-mile tracks this season.

Ross Chastain ($10,200)

Starting Position: 24th

Chastain could be the lowest owned of the four drivers I’ve mentioned in this tier but could also win this race. In his eight races here in the Truck Series, Chastain has three top 10’s. This season we have seen Chastain run two races in this series and both were at 1.5-mile tracks similar to Texas and he finishes 2nd and 7th.

Other Options: Austin Hill ($10,000 – P5), Matt Crafton ($9,200 – P15), Grant Enfinger ($9,400 – P18)

NASCAR DFS: Mid Tier

Josh Berry ($8,400)

Berry is driving the #25 truck for Rackley W.A.R. this week, which is typically driven by Timothy Peters this season. Peters has five top 25 finishes in 10 races this season, but Berry is a much better and more experienced driver and should have a good day in this truck. I plan to pair Berry with 2 of the 4 top-tier drivers I wrote up above which gives you plenty of salary to build a solid team behind them.

Brennan Poole ($7,000)

Starting Position: 27th

Poole is returning to the Truck Series for the first time since breaking his wrist and having surgery. Danny Bohn has filled in for Poole this season and done an admirable job filling in. Bohn has finished lower than 30th only once this season in 10 races. Poole, a Texas native, will make his season debut at his home track, a track he has done well at in his career. If you take out last season when he crashed, Poole has an average finish of 10.3.

Tyler Ankrum ($7,900)

Starting Position: 11th

Ankrum has been running some really good races since he finished 40th at the Bristol Dirt race. In five races since that Bristol crash, Ankrum has not finished lower than 16th in any race and has two top 5’s in that span. It seems to me that his team has fixed whatever was wrong early on this season and they should be in contention for another top 10 this week.

Other Options: Tanner Gray ($7,200 – P20),Todd Gilliland ($8,800 – P4), Drew Dollar ($7,400 – P10), Johnny Sauter ($8,300 – P17)

NASCAR DFS: Value Tier Rankings

Tyler Hill ($5,900) – P25 – Comes in right behind the top tier 4 in FPTS/$.
Tate Fogleman ($5,700) – P31 – Like Hill, he is a pretty good point-per-dollar play.
Chase Purdy ($6,600) – P28
Hailie Deegan ($6,400) – P12 – Deegan has improved throughout the season at 1.50-mile tracks this season and she could earn her first top 10 this season
Ryan Truex ($6,900) – P14
Austin Wayne Self ($6,300) – P13
Keith McGee ($5,300) – P34
Ray Ciccarelli ($4,800) – P36

4 years ago 0 comments

NASCAR Premium

NASCAR DFS Pit Stop: Cup Series Sonoma 6/6/21

rmferenc@gmail.com 4 years ago

written by rmferenc@gmail.com

Make sure to check out my NASCAR DFS Tutorial to make sure you are ready and understand how I break down the races and build lineups (https://windailysports.com/nascar-dfs-pit-stop-2021-introduction-to-nascar-dfs/). You will notice that all pricing is for DraftKings in these articles since they are the only site that has contests for all three series (Trucks, Xfinity, Cup) and is the site I mainly play on. All plays in the Cup Series article will translate to FanDuel if that is where you play.

This week we are in stark contrast from last week’s 600-mile race as the Cup Series heads to wine country for the Toyota/Save Mart 350 from Sonoma Raceway. Last week I preached dominators and getting the lap leaders into your builds, this week not so much. With only 90 laps we are not so concerned with stacking 3 dominators, instead, you need to look for place differential plays and finishing positions. I will be looking for a mix of drivers starting towards the front of the field and place differential plays. Four of the last five winners at Sonoma have started between 8th-12th, because of this I do not recommend loading up on 4-5 place differential plays as tempting as it may be.

NASCAR DFS: Dominators

Martin Truex Jr. ($10,900)

Starting Position: 19th

Truex is a 3-time Sonoma winner and is one of the best road course racers on the circuit, even though he didn’t have a great day at COTA two weeks ago. We all know Truex has the skill and upside to win this race, but he has not had a good race in three weeks. I think this week is the week Truex breaks out of his slump and earns a top 5. Truex is one of the few drivers in the higher price tiers that aren’t starting towards the front that I want to use this week.

Chase Elliott ($10,500)

Starting Position: 2nd

Elliot is the best road course racer in NASCAR currently and is my pick to win this race, his first win at Sonoma. In 2019, when NASCAR was last here, Elliott definitely had a car good enough to win, but his engine blew up on lap 60. Elliott has the third-fastest speed ranking in that race. Outside of that Sonoma race, Elliott has won six of the last nine road course races.

Kurt Busch ($9,100)

Starting Position: 30th

Busch is not having a good year, to say the least, but his best finish on the year did come at a rod course this season. At the Daytona Road Course, Busch finished 4th and then ran well at COTA, but had a disappointing result. Kurt has not finished lower than 13th in the last nine races at Sonoma and has seven top 10’s, four top 5’s, and a win in that stretch. I do not love this play but it’s hard to dispute his upside for his salary as Busch projects as the top Fpts/$ play on this slate. I will probably have a lot of Busch on Sunday but I am not happy about it.

Joey Logano ($10,100)

Starting Position: 13th

Logano is a really solid road course performer of late but it seems to go overlooked, even by myself. I know I mentioned race winners coming from starting positions 8-12 in 4 of the last 5, but Logano is on the fringe of those positions and I think he could contend for a win here. Logano has five straight top 10’s at road courses, and in his last three road courses, he has finished 3rd or better.

Remaining Top Tier Options:

Kyle Busch ($10,300 – P5): Busch has been great at Sonoma over the last five races with a win and an average finish of 4th.
Kyle Larson ($9,7000 – P1): Larson hasn’t had much success at Sonoma but that was not with his current team. This #5 team has been dominant all season and should contend for the win on Sunday
Denny Hamlin ($9,900 – P4): Hamlin has finished top five in 8 of his last 12 road course races and should factor in for a top 5 on Sunday.
William Byron ($9,500 – P3): Byron is a good RC racer and should earn another top 10 on Sunday. This team has been running great races all season and in his last 5 road course races, Byron has finished worse than 11th once.

NASCAR DFS: Mid Tier

Kevin Harvick ($8,900)

Starting Position: 8th

Harvick is a former Sonoma winner (2017) and would’ve had two wins but pit strategy cost him that win in 2018 where he ended up 2nd. In his last five Sonoma races, Harvick has never finished lower than 6th and has an average finishing position of 3.8.

Christopher Bell ($8,400)

Starting Position: 20th

Christopher Bell has been a solid performer at road courses over his career, and Joe Gibbs cars have also done traditionally well at Sonoma as well. Bell has never raced here so that is a slight worry, but with iRacing nowadays he can have some test runs here that will give him some idea of how the course runs. Bell also has teammates who have all had success here which will definitely help. I think Bell could be a sneaky top 5 pick on Sunday.

Ross Chastain ($7,700)

Starting Position: 29th

Chastain is one of the top upside plays in this race and his salary fits nicely with the top tier guys as well. I will have plenty of exposure to Chastain on Sunday and not feel bad about it at all. Chastain only has one race here at Sonoma (33rd) and was not in good equipment, now that he is in the CGR #42 he should have a much better result. Don’t rule out a top 10 on Sunday, but a more realistic finish is in the mid-teens.

Other Options: Michael McDowell ($7,600 – P21), Alex Bowman ($8,700 – P7), Tyler Reddick ($8,000 – P10), Chris Buescher ($7,200 – P12), Cole Custer ($7,500 – P23)

NASCAR DFS: Value Tier Rankings

Chase Briscoe ($6,900) – P25: Briscoe ran the ARCA West race here on Saturday night and dominated by leading all 51 laps on his way to victory lane. Briscoe has been a solid road course racer at every level and a top 15 is where I predict he ends up on Sunday
Ryan Preece ($6,800) – P27: Prior to 2020 Preece did not have great road course history, but in the past two seasons that has changed. Preece is having the best season of his career and I think Preece could finish in the top 15 play on Sunday.
Ryan Newman ($6,300) – P24: Newman has four finishes of 11th or better in his last 6 Sonoma races. A top 20 is very likely for Newman on Sunday but don’t rule out a top 10 with attrition.
Daniel Suarez ($6,400) – P16: Suarez has raced at Sonoma 3 times and has an average finish of 16th. If not for a pit road mistake in 2019 Suarez was in line for a top 10, but came home 17th instead.
Anthony Alfredo ($5,800) – P28: Alfredo is another driver making his debut at Sonoma but he has performed well at road courses in 2021. At the Daytona road course, Alfredo finished 22nd, and at COTA he came home 18th.
Ricky Stenhouse ($6,100) – P14: Stenhouse has finished between 15th and 22nd at all seven road course races since 2019 and has an average finishing position of 18th
Garrett Smithley ($5,000) – P34: Smithley is not going to compete for the win but his best finishes this season have come at road courses (27th and 28th). I don’t know how much Smithley I will use, but he should be reserved for those doing MME, not cash or SE really.
Scott Heckert ($4,800) – P35: Heckert is a road course ringer, but he isn’t expected to finish much higher than where he starts. I don’t think he is playable if building one lineup, but if you are MME then he should find his way into 10-12% of your builds
Ben Rhodes ($5,400) – P31: Rhodes is taking over for Justin Haley this week and is a respectable road course driver. Earlier this season in the truck series Rhodes won at the Daytona RC and finished 10th at COTA. Do NOT expect similar results on Sunday but a top 25 is definitely possible.
James Davison ($5,600) – P32: Davison is a road course guy, but like with Smithley, Heckert, and Rhodes he is only an option for those doing MME.

4 years ago 0 comments

NASCAR

NASCAR DFS Pit Stop: Xfinity Series Mid-Ohio 6/5/21

rmferenc@gmail.com 4 years ago

written by rmferenc@gmail.com

After a week at a traditional 1.5-mile oval, the Xfinity Series is back at a road course this week. This weekend is one of the rare weeks that the Xfinity Series and Cup Series will be at two different tracks. Austin Cindric ($10,900 – P1) is the last driver to win here (2019) and in that race he dominated. Cindric led 46 of 75 laps and had 35 fastest laps. Cindric is the favorite in this race and is the top cash option for me on this slate.

NASCAR DFS: Dominators

AJ Allmendinger ($10,700)

Starting Position: 12th

Allmendinger is projected to be the highest owned driver in this race (45%) and is just behind Cindric in projected points. AJ is also a solid cash option and should be running up front and putting pressure on Cindric for the win all day. They are both the top two road course regulars in this race and are in two of the best cars week in week out. In my opinion, you can’t go wrong playing either one, but I would recommend rostering at least one of Dinger or Cindric on Saturday.

Ty Gibbs ($10,400)

Starting Position: 2nd

Gibbs won his first-ever Xfinity Series start at the Daytona Road Course earlier this season and he also won the ARCA race at this track on Friday. Of the top three plays on this slate, Gibbs is projected to be the lowest owned (36%) making him my top GPP play on this slate.

Noah Gragson ($10,200)

Starting Position: 13th

Gragson has had plenty of bad luck this season but over the previous two, he has been great on road courses. In six races on road courses, Gragson has three top 5’s, four top 10’s, and an average finish of 13th. We will need a better finish than 13th for him to pay off this price tag, but for GPP’s we can take that chance because the upside is definitely there with Gragson.

Miguel Paludo ($9,300)

Starting Position: 29th

Paludo was last in the Xfinity Series just two weeks ago at COTA in the same #8 JRM Chevy. While Paludo did not have a good finish (34th), he ran towards the front most of the day. Paludo ran 96% of laps run inside the top 15 at COTA, was running 6th midway through the race, and climbed all the way to 4th before his wreck happened. I really like the upside of Paludo on Saturday and I love his projected ownership even more (28%).

Other Options: Daniel Hemric ($10,000 – P11), Justin Allgaier ($9,900 – P5). Be aware that Josh Berry ($9,700 – P31) is NOT in his usually #8 car, he is driving the #31 for Josh Anderson on Saturday. He still has some upside but I will probably be fading him at this price.

NASCAR DFS: Mid Tier

Andy Lally ($8,900)

Starting Position: 27th

Lally is in the #23 for Our Motorsports this week which is the same car he drove to an 18th place finish at COTA two weeks ago. Lally has four career races at Mid-Ohio with two top 10’s, a top 5, and an average finish of 12th. I know he is pretty expensive but I think Lally could pay it off on Saturday and I plan on having a good amount of exposure to him.

Preston Pardus ($7,900)

Starting Position: 39th

Pardus is going to be the chalk mid-tier option on Saturday and is a cash game must. Starting in 39th it’s almost a certainty that he will have plenty of positive upside. Pardus has an average finish of 23.9 in eight road course races as well as two top 10 finishes.

Alex Labbe ($7,400)

Starting Position: 16th

Labbe has one race under his belt here at Mid-Ohio and it was a top 10 finish (9th). In 12 Xfinity Series road course races, Labbe has four top 10’s and a top 5 with an average finish of 14.6. Because of how high up Labbe starts I do not expect him to carry much ownership (sub 20%) making him a pretty good GPP play for me.

Other Options: Brett Moffitt ($8,100 – P18), Michael Annett ($8,300 – P15), Ryan Sieg ($7,600 – P23)

NASCAR DFS: Value Tier Rankings

Kyle Weatherman ($5,300 – P35): I never thought the day would come that I would recommend playing Kyle Weatherman, but here we are. I am was surprised when I saw how well Weatherman runs at road courses to be perfectly honest. Weatherman has run five road course races in the Xfinity Series with an average finish of 21.2.
Bayley Currey ($5,900 – P38): I don’t love his road course history but he has some upside and he’s cheap.
Gray Gaulding ($5,100 – P40): Gaulding starts dead last so he can’t hurt you but he actually has the talent to break the slate, as long as his car holds up. Gaulding has 7 road course races under his belt with an average finish of 23.3 including his 14th finish here in 2019
Tommy Joe Martins ($5,600 – P25): Martins has two top 20’s in two races at Mid-Ohio and will likely be in line for another on Saturday
Kris Wright ($6,200 – P33): Wright is a solid road course racer but his price has me ranking him down this list. If you have the salary and don’t feel safe with someone like a Martins starting 8 spots higher, Wright makes for a great pivot.

Other Options: Joe Graf Jr. ($4,700 – P37), Landon Cassill ($6,800 – P20)

4 years ago 0 comments

NASCAR Premium

NASCAR DFS Pit Stop: Cup Series Charlotte 5/30/21

Brian Tulloch 4 years ago

written by Brian Tulloch

Make sure to check out my NASCAR DFS Tutorial to make sure you are ready and understand how I break down the races and build lineups (https://windailysports.com/nascar-dfs-pit-stop-2021-introduction-to-nascar-dfs/). You will notice that all pricing is for DraftKings in these articles since they are the only site that has contests for all three series (Trucks, Xfinity, Cup) and is the site I mainly play on. All plays in the Cup Series article will translate to FanDuel if that is where you play.

This weekend is one of the Crown Jewel events on the NASCAR schedule, the Coca-Cola 600 from Charlotte Motor Speedway. The Coca-Cola 600 is the longest race of the year that starts at 6 pm local time in daylight and ends some 4+ hours later under the lights. This race is a test of endurance for not just the drivers, but the teams, and even those of us watching from home and in the stands.

Last season at this race Brad Keselowski ($9,700) won this race while only leading 21 laps. In this race there four different drivers led at least 38 laps, and six led at least 21. This is a race that I would like to try and fit 3 dominators into my lineups. There are some drivers in the mid-tier who could also lead laps on Sunday so I also like 2 dominator builds with a mid-tier driver as a third “dominator”.

NASCAR DFS: Dominators

Kyle Larson ($11,300)

Starting Position: 1st

Larson is the top pick for this race and is the odds on favorite to win. This season at 1.5-mile tracks with low tire wear Larson has dominated. At Las Vegas Larson led 103 laps on his way to victory, and then at Kansas Larson led 132 laps but finished 19th after a late caution and run-in with Ryan Blaney on the final laps. This week Larson was 3rd in practice and had the fastest 10 lap average. I think Larson will be key to getting a takedown this week and could easily be the driver with the highest points. Larson might be semi-chalky, but it’s chalk that you might need to eat.

Kyle Busch (10,200)

Starting Position: 20th

Kyle is the best place differential play in this tier but he is also someone who could win this race. Busch was 10th in practice and had the 6th best 10 lap average which is good for his car’s long-run ability. At Charlotte, over the last four races, Busch has finished top 4 in all races including one win. This season, Kyle owns a win (Kansas) at 1.5-mile tracks as well as having the best average finish at these tracks this season (4.8).

Martin Truex Jr. ($11,100)

Starting Position: 8th

The 2019 Coca-Cola 600 winner, his third career at Charlotte, Truex will be a driver who will be contending for the win. Over the past six Charlotte races, Truex has 2 wins, an average finish of 3rd, and lead an average of 159 laps PER RACE. To say Truex dominates at Charlotte may be an understatement. One concern I have, and it is slight, is that Truex didn’t run well in practice. Truex had the 14th fastest lap and the 9th best 10 lap average, but this concern is slight. The 19 team will make sure this car is ready to go for Sunday and Truex should be running up front all day (and night).

Chase Elliott ($10,500)

Starting Position: 3rd

Elliott had a great qualifying run and looked extremely fast, unlike in practice. In practice on Friday, Elliott had the 12th fastest single lap time and the seventh-best 10 lap average. Elliott won the second race here in 2020 and he would have won the 600 if it was not for a late caution with two laps left. Elliott had the 6th best total speed ranking at Kansas and finished 5th, the last 1.5-mile race we had in 2021.

Other Top Tier Drivers:

Denny Hamlin ($10,800) – P14: Hamlin has never won here, but does own a 2nd place finish. Hamlin has top 5’s in six of the last 9 1.5-mile tracks
Kevin Harvick ($10,000) – P5: Since 2013 at Charlotte, Harvick has only finished outside the top 10 two times. I don’t love his price, but he will be one of the lower owned plays in this tier
William Byron ($9,200) – P4: Byron is the most consistent driver in the series this season and even though he starts towards the front, like Larson he could be a force and lead a bunch of laps here. Byron won earlier this season at Homestead, a similar 1.5-mile track.
Brad Keselowski ($9,700) – P13: Keselowski won last year’s 600 and has an average finish of 7.8 in the last four races.
Alex Bowman ($9,400) – P7: Bowman loves the high line and that is usually the fastest part on the track at Charlotte. Last year at this race Bowman led 164 laps but finished 20th. I really like Bowman on Sunday for a top 5.

NASCAR DFS: Mid Tier

Joey Logano ($8,800)

Starting Position: 16th

Logano is one of the drivers I spoke about in the open who could be a dominator in this race but not be in the top tier. In the last four Charlotte races, Logano has an average finish of 7.3 and the 5th best driver rating. In his last five races at 1.5-mile tracks, Logano has finished between 8th and 11th in four of them.

Tyler Reddick ($8,200)

Starting Position: 15th

Reddick and the #8 team have been getting some great results over the last eight races. In seven of those eight races, Reddick has finishes between 7th and 12th. At Kansas, earlier this season Reddick finished 7th and had an average running position of 9.7. Reddick was fast in practice on Friday finishing with the 7th best single lap time and the third-best 10 lap average.

Austin Dillon ($7,700)

Starting Position: 6th

Dillon is a former winner of this race and will probably come in with little to no ownership on Sunday. If you are going to roster Dillon you need to know there is risk, but as a former winner and someone who does well at 1.5-mile tracks he could be key to getting a takedown on Sunday. Dillon has an average finish of 10th at 1.5-mile tracks this season and has not finished lower than 12th. In Friday’s practice, nobody ran a faster lap than Dillon and he also has the 12th best 10 lap average.

Other Options: Matt DiBenedetto ($7,500 – P22), Aric Almirola ($7,900 – P31) – Honestly, I hate this play, but you can’t ignore the potential upside. He is a CASH ONLY play. Christopher Bell ($8,600 – P17), Erik Jones ($7,200 – P19)

NASCAR DFS: Value Tier Rankings

Chris Buescher ($6,700) – P27: Buescher has a 12th place average finish in 1.5-mile track this season and could be a sneaky top 10 driver this week
Ryan Newman ($6,400) – P25: Newman was a top 15 car in practice this week and should contend for a top 20. Newman has a 13.5 avg finish at 1.5-mile tracks in 2021.
Michael McDowell ($5,800) – P24: McDowell has performed well at 1.5-mile low tire wear tracks this season. In two races he has an average finish of 15th.
Chase Briscoe ($6,200) – P21: Briscoe has finished between 18th and 23rd at 1.5-mile tracks this season and should contend for a top 20 on Sunday
Ross Chastain ($6,900) – P10: Chastain has been a low teens driver at 1.5-mile tracks this season. I know he starts high, but a top 10 is not out of the question.
Daniel Suarez ($6,500) – P9: On Sunday Suarez will need a lot of attrition and be able to avoid the big wreck(s). Suarez is a GPP only play but will be under 10% owned in contests.
Ryan Preece ($6,000) – P28: Preece is mainly a low 20’s driver on 1.5-mile tracks but could end up in the top 20 if things go his way.
Anthony Alfredo ($5,500) – P29: Alfredo has finishes of 23rd and 24th at 1.5-mile tracks in 2021, and I see him finishing around that on Sunday.
Corey Lajoie ($5,600) – P26: Lajoie is not a sexy pick, but if things shape up like that did in the previous two races this weekend Lajoie could pull a top 20.

4 years ago 0 comments

NASCAR

NASCAR DFS Pit Stop: Xfinity Series Charlotte 5/29/21

Matt Vecchio 4 years ago

written by Matt Vecchio

This week the Xfinity Series heads back home to Charlotte for the Memorial Day Weekend holiday. Charlotte is your traditional D-shaped 1.5-mile track that runs similarly to Atlanta and Texas. Unlike Atlanta where tire wear is extreme, Charlotte isn’t nearly as harsh on tires. Last season at Charlotte we had three different drivers lead at least 30 laps of this 200 lap race. Like with the truck race on Friday, I want to roster at least two dominators to maximize my dominator points. If you can fit three dominators in, then go for it, but don’t force it. There is plenty of options in the mid-tier that could work just as well.

NASCAR DFS: Dominators

Daniel Hemric ($9,300)

Hemric finished second at this race a year ago while not leading a lap, unfortunately. In 2021 though, Hemric has lead plenty of laps and will be a candidate to do so on Saturday. This season, Hemric has led at least 28 laps in four of eleven races and has a fastest lap run in 7 of 11 races. In practice on Friday, Hemric ran the second-fastest lap and will probably qualify inside the top 5 for Saturday’s race.

Austin Cindric ($10,500)

Cindric ran the 6th fastest lap in practice Friday afternoon and will definitely be a contender for the win on Saturday. Last season at Charlotte, Cindric finished 3rd to Kyle Busch and Ross Chastain. In that race last year Cindric led 30 laps, had 18 fastest laps in that race. Cindric also had 100% quality passes (passes made for position inside the top 15).

AJ Allmendinger ($9,800)

Allmendinger was seen as just a road course ringer and superspeedway specialist his entire career, until last season. In 2020 Kaulig Racing gave AJ the chance to run a 1.5-mile oval in Atlanta and all he did was lead 37 laps and win. Allmendinger proved he could win on ovals, and he did it again this season in Las Vegas. My point is, Allmendinger is a top overall driver and not just a specialist anymore and needs to be a favorite to win this race Saturday. Allmendinger was 3rd in practice on Friday and will be one of my higher-owned drivers.

Other Options: Ty Gibbs ($10,800), Brandon Jones ($9,000), Chase Briscoe ($11,000), Tyler Reddick ($10,300)

NASCAR DFS: Mid Tier

Riley Herbst ($7,800)

Herbst was the fastest driver in practice on Friday afternoon. I know Herbst has had a roller coaster of a season so far in 2021 and I have been hesitant to play him all year. Herbst has three finishes of 6th or better in the last seven races. Herbst has not led a lap this season, but if his car is as fast as it was on Friday that may change on Saturday.

Harrison Burton ($8,600)

Burton is of the series’ best drivers but has not been priced where I think he should be all season. On Friday Burton has top 10 speed finishing with the 9th fastest lap in practice and will undoubtedly be in contention for a top 10 on Saturday. In 2020 at Charlotte, Burton started P11 and came home with a 9th place finish.

Myatt Snider ($7,400)

Snider is quietly having a very solid season in the Xfinity Series this year. Last week at COTA was only Snider’s second finish outside the top 20 in eleven races. Last season at this race Snider came home with a top 10 and ran over 85% of the race inside the top 15 in this same RCR car. Snider was 12th fastest in practice on Friday.

Other Options: Ty Dillon ($8,200), Josh Berry ($8,800), Justin Haley ($7,900), Ryan Sieg ($7,200)

NASCAR DFS: Value Tier Rankings

Please remember that these are pre-qualifying rankings and that I will update them in discord ONLY after qualifying

Dillon Bassett ($4,800) : Was fast in practice (top 10), make sure to check where he qualifies before rostering
Jeremy Clements ($6,700)
Alex Labbe ($6,400)
BJ McLeod ($5,100)
Colby Howard ($5,400)
Gray Gaulding ($5,600)
Stefan Parsons ($5,700)
Brett Moffitt ($6,900)
Tommy Joe Martins ($5,200)
Timmy Hill ($4,500)

Make sure to check in discord throughout the day on Saturday as I may update the value plays. If I find out more info on sponsors and potential start and park drivers.

4 years ago 0 comments

NASCAR

NASCAR DFS Pit Stop: Truck Series Charlotte 5/28/21

rmferenc@gmail.com 4 years ago

written by rmferenc@gmail.com

This week, like last week at COTA, we have real live practice and qualifying from Charlotte. My article will break down some of the plays I like heading into this race, but building lineups will have to wait until late Friday afternoon. I will attempt to update this article after qualifying but I will highly recommend being in discord to make sure you get any news post-qualifying.

Charlotte is a 1.5-mile track that will have 134 laps run on Friday night. This is a race I will look to field 2 dominators in every lineup I build and if salary allows, I will look to fit three. Last season at Charlotte we had 10 different drivers lead laps and only one driver lead more than 35% of the race. Three different drivers led at least 25 laps in 2020.

As with every week, each tier of drivers is listed in order of preference

NASCAR DFS: Dominators

Sheldon Creed ($10,700)

Starting Position: 2nd

Creed is once again the second-highest-priced driver on this slate behind Nemechek. Creed rarely if ever has a bad race over the past two seasons and Friday should be no different. In two Charlotte the last two seasons Creed has had good races. In 2019, Creed would finish twelfth, but in 2020 Creed would finish fifth. I expect Creed to be fast on Friday and should qualify top 5. With Cred starting from P2 his ownership should be low, but I am not changing my stance on him. I think Creed could lead 50-60 laps and win this race seeing as he was a top 5 truck in practice today.

John Hunter Nemechek ($10,900)

Starting Position: 4th

Last week when Nemechek finished 12th at COTA it was only his second finish outside the top 10 this season (9 races). Both of Nemechek’s poor finishes have come on a road track and dirt track and he has yet to finish lower than 8th on an oval track in 2021. Nemechek has four races in the Truck Series at Charlotte and has three finishes of 12th or better, but this was in much lower quality equipment. Nemechek was second in practice on Friday, but did spin out and touched the wall late in practice. The truck seemed repairable so he should be able to stay starting from P4 and because of this, I am still just as high on him for this race.

Stewart Friesen ($9,000)

Starting Position: 11th

Friesen does not have a great history at Charlotte but does have a 6th place finish in 2018 and a 3rd in 2019. In just four races here, Friesen has an average finish of 15.5, so when he is good he’s really good, but when he’s bad he’s really bad. Friesen was 7th fastest in practice on Friday which bodes well for him being really good tonight

Other Options: Austin Hill ($10,400 – P3) – 3rd favorite driver in this race, fastest truck in practice, Matt Crafton ($9,900 – P10), Zane Smith ($9,500 P6), Derek Kraus ($9,200 – P15)

NASCAR DFS: Mid Tier

Ty Majeski ($7,900)

Starting Position: 31st

Majeski was pretty quick in practice on Friday and had a top 20 truck. Last season in a Niece truck Majeski finished 8th at Charlotte, this year he is in better equipment. Majeski will be in the #66 ThorSport Toyota Tundra and will be a contender for a top 15 on Friday night. He should be semi-chalky but I am perfectly fine eating the chalk in this case.

Todd Gilliland ($8,400)

Starting Position: 1st

For the second week in a row Gilliland is priced at $8,400 and like last week I have no problem paying this price for him. Last week Gilliland helped us to some big wins here at WinDaily Sports and his ownership will be very low starting on the pole this week. In Gilliland’s last five races he has four top 6 finishes and his worse finish in this span was 15th. Gilliland is another solid pick for a top this week again. While I think Gilliland could still have a good day for his salary, he is definitely a much riskier play now.

Tanner Gray ($7,300)

Starting Position: 25th

Tanner Gray is another driver like Majeski. He starts towards the back but has some big place differential upside. Gray was 5th fastest in practice, and while I don’t think a top 5 is in his future, a top 15 definitely could be. Last season in his only career start at Charlotte, Gray finished 20th.

Other Options: Chandler Smith ($8,100),Christian Eckes ($8,600), Timmy Hill ($7,700 – P18)

NASCAR DFS: Value Tier Rankings

Spencer Boyd ($5,400) – P35
Drew Dollar ($6,900) – P17 : Driving the #51 for Kyle Busch
Danny Bohn ($6,700) – P32
Chase Purdy ($6,300) – P26
Brett Holmes ($5,900) – P28
Carson Hocevar ($6,100) – P9
Jack Wood ($5,700) – P20
Tate Fogleman ($5,300) – P24
Hailie Deegan ($6,400) – P12
Trey Hutchens III ($5,100) – P38

4 years ago 0 comments

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