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The Thursday night showdown kicks off the Week 13 NFL DFS contests, and we’ve got the picks to help you win big tonight and make some serious green!

NOTE: For a refresher on showdown general rules and strategy and how it relates to Week 13 NFL DFS showdowns, see the Week 1 TNF showdown article.

Week 13 NFL DFS MVP candidates (1.5x points)

Some notes on the differences between MVP on FanDuel and DraftKings: The 1.5x point boost on FD comes with no salary penalty, while and DK also bumps the salary to 1.5x – a crucial factor in deciding who we can and cannot afford on both sites. We can use this to our advantage on FD by occasionally targeting non-QBs to establish more variance and more unique lineups, and on DK it allows us to build more hearty overall stacks when we punt the MVP position with a cheap but high-upside player.

Week 13 NFL DFS Chalk: Dak Prescott (FD $16,500, DK $17,700)

Value Pivot (FD): Taysom Hill (FD $7,000, DK $14,400)

Value Pivot #2 (DK): Mark Ingram (FD $12,000, DK $7,500)

Top Cowboys Pivot: CeeDee Lamb (FD $13,000, DK $15,000)

Contrarian #1: Tre’Quan Smith (FD $9,000, DK $8,400)

Contrarian #2: Tony Pollard (FD $12,000, DK $11,700)

Longshot Value Play (DK): Tony Jones (FD $10,000, DK $1,200)

Wowzer, have we got some wild pricing disparity on a couple of key Saints players tonight on both FanDuel and DraftKings! Dak Prescott is the chalk on FD over value play Taysom Hill — who is slated to be the starting QB for the Saints. Prescott also has a slight edge on DK over Hill and Mark Ingram, who’s expected to serve as the lead back on TNF (Alvin Kamara will not be available to play, according to Ian Rapoport) after missing Week 12 against the Bills. There’s a lot of vlue combos to explore on both sites, so let’s get to the team notes!

Cowboys notes: CeeDee Lamb is back for the Cowboys, and that means less upside overall for what now qualifies as a risk/reward Michael Gallup, who could find it easier to get loose on a deep ball. Ezekiel Elliott is supposed to get a “serious load” but has fewer then 10 carries in each of his last two games and Tony Pollard is just as effective in terms of fantasy production when he gets the chance. For the discount, I’ll take Pollard in the majority of my GPP builds and fade Zeke in the interest of a contrarian approach. I also like Amari Cooper if he’s active tonight, but he could have a hard time playing at 100 percent in the wake of his bout with COVID, so that’s a seriously risky play even if he goes. I’ll probably have more shares of TE Dalton Schultz either way.

Saints notes: Trevor Siemian has finally given way to Hill, and while that could decrease the usage of Tre’Quan Smith in the red zone, it certainly bumps the importance of Ingram since they’ll likely be doing less throwing overall. I still like Smith tonight, and we can expect that Siemian could possibly make an appearance in this game if Hill totally flops, but on DK they’re both priced around the same. We can downgrade both Marquez Callaway and Deonte Harris, and I expect more involvement from TEs Nick Vannett and Juwan Johnson, who combined for one target/catch last Thursday night. With Ingram back, a lot of folks will forget about Tony Jones, but he’s still a free square on DK at just $800 as a FLEX play. on DK, especially if we get word that Ingram has a setback in warmups and will be limited in any way.

Remember to build your team based on an NFL DFS narrative that makes sense.

Week 13 NFL DFS Final thoughts (and some DOs and DON’Ts)

DO: Build a trio (or quartet) of offensive weapons for a team that makes sense together

DON’T: Worry about spending every dollar.

DO: Use the projected team totals to shade one way or the other with your selections.

DON’T: Forget to watch the inactives.

Now that we’ve established some Week 13 NFL DFS narratives and MVP candidates, the best way to round out this piece is with a list of my favorite options in descending order, based on overall value (a combo of salary and projected points):

  1. Dak Prescott
  2. Taysom Hill (FD, bump down a spot on DK)
  3. CeeDee Lamb
  4. Mark Ingram
  5. Tony Pollard
  6. Ezekiel Elliott
  7. Dalton Schultz
  8. Michael Gallup
  9. Tre’Quan Smith
  10. Amari Cooper (questionable)
  11. Cowboys DST
  12. Marquez Callaway
  13. Greg Zuerlein
  14. Deonte Harris
  15. Brett Maher
  16. Saints DST
  17. Tony Jones, Jr.
  18. Noah Brown
  19. Lil’Jordan Humphrey
  20. Nick Vannett
  21. Juwan Johnson
  22. Trevor Siemian (DK only)

Don’t forget to read the rest of WinDaily’s excellent football articles this week as you prep for Week 13 action!

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The NFL DFS season continues with the Monday night showdown, and we’ve got the breakdown to help you win big money in the final Week 12 NFL DFS contests!

NOTE: For a refresher on showdown general rules and strategy, see my first showdown article of 2021.

Let’s get to the game!

Week 12 NFL DFS MVP candidates (1.5x points)

Some notes on the differences between MVP on FanDuel and DraftKings: The 1.5x point boost on FD comes with no salary penalty, while and DK also bumps the salary to 1.5x – a crucial factor in deciding who we can and cannot afford on both sites. We can use this to our advantage on FD by occasionally targeting non-QBs to establish more variance and more unique lineups, and on DK it allows us to build more hearty overall stacks when we punt the MVP position with a cheap but high-upside player.

Week 12 NFL DFS Chalk: Russell Wilson (FD $15,500, DK $16,500)

Pivot: Taylor Heinicke (FD $14,500, DK $14,700)

Contrarian #1: DK Metcalf (FD $13,500, DK $13,200)

Contrarian #2: Terry McLaurin (FD $14,000, DK $15,900)

Contrarian #3: Antonio Gibson (FD $12,000, DK $12,900)

Contrarian #3: Tyler Lockett (FD $12,500, DK $15,300)

Russell Wilson and Taylor Heinicke are pretty much neck-and-neck for the chalk, but I think Wilson will end up being the more popular choice by gametime. Still – the way to get different is to play a WR/RB or even TE Logan Thomas, who’s returning from IR and should be active, albeit on a limited snap count. If the game is close and his hamstring is holding up, I could see him getting a few more looks than normal on crucial drives.

Seahawks notes: DK Metcalf still has as much upside of just about any WR in the the game excluding Davante Adams and Tyreek Hill, so I prefer him over Tyler Lockett, but the rest of the Seahawks offense could see showdown-relevant performances from just about anyone, including both Alex Collins and DeeJay Dallas and TE Gerald Everett. Dallas is relatively cheap, and he’s assuming the passing down role with Travis Homer out this week. Don’t forget about Freddie Swain, who’s been quiet lately but is on the field for over a third of the offensive snaps, including some opportunities in the red zone. Both the Seahawks DST and kicker Jason Myers are in play as well, especially with some of the sloppy prime time football we’ve bene seeing lately.

Washington notes: It’s primarily going to be Heinicke, Terry McLaurin and Antonio Gibson in most builds, though the J.D. McKissic/Thomas combo could bear fruit in the two-minute drill if the WFT needs a quick score or gets into garbage time in a Seahawks-dominant game script. Curtis Samuel could make an impact even on a pitch count, and the fringe WRs for Washington, including DeAndre Carter and Cam Sims, have been used a lot in the red zone, but seem overpriced based on the return of Samuel and Thomas. The Washington DST is far from full strength without Chase Young, but it’s still a unit capable of forcing turnovers, getting sacks and making big plays.

Week 12 NFL DFS Final thoughts (and some DOs and DON’Ts)

Remember to build your team based on a narrative that makes sense.

DO: Build a trio (or quartet) of offensive weapons for a team that makes sense together.

DON’T: Be afraid to take some risks with the Seattle running game. It’s a timeshare and DeeJay Dallas is capable of playing well.

DO: Use the projected team totals to shade one way or the other with your selections.

DON’T: Worry about spending every dollar.

Now that we’ve established some Week 12 NFL DFS narratives and MVP candidates, the best way to round out this piece is with a list of my favorite options in descending order, based on overall value (a combo of salary and projected points):

  1. Russell Wilson
  2. Taylor Heinicke
  3. DK Metcalf
  4. Terry McLaurin
  5. Antonio Gibson
  6. Tyler Lockett
  7. J.D. McKissic
  8. Alex Collins
  9. DeeJay Dallas
  10. Logan Thomas
  11. Curtis Samuel
  12. Gerald Everett
  13. Seahawks DST
  14. DeAndre Carter
  15. Washington DST
  16. Joey Slye
  17. Jason Myers
  18. Cam Sims
  19. Freddie Swain
  20. John Bates
  21. Will Dissly
  22. Adam Humphries (questionable)

Don’t forget to read the rest of WinDaily’s excellent football articles this week as you prep for next week’s action!

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The Thursday night showdown marks game three today, and we’ve got the picks to help you win in the Week 12 NFL DFS showdown contests on Thanksgiving night!

NOTE: For a refresher on showdown general rules and strategy, see the Week 1 TNF showdown article. Week 12 NFL DFS is already underway, but tonight’s showdown should be fun!

Week 12 NFL DFS MVP candidates (1.5x points)

Some notes on the differences between MVP on FanDuel and DraftKings: The 1.5x point boost on FD comes with no salary penalty, while and DK also bumps the salary to 1.5x – a crucial factor in deciding who we can and cannot afford on both sites. We can use this to our advantage on FD by occasionally targeting non-QBs to establish more variance and more unique lineups, and on DK it allows us to build more hearty overall stacks when we punt the MVP position with a cheap but high-upside player.

Week 12 NFL DFS Chalk: Josh Allen (FD $17,500, DK $18,300)

Pivot: Stefon Diggs (FD $13,000, DK $17,700)

Pivot #2: Tre’Quan Smith (FD $10,000, DK $8,700)

Contrarian #1: Cole Beasley (FD $10,500, DK $9,900)

Contrarian #2: Bills DST (DK $4,500)

We have the opportunity to shoot for the moon in this contest by picking a couple Saints with TD and PPR potential and using either obvious chalk Josh Allen or something as crazy as the Bills DST at captain. If we use the Bills DST, we only need one Saints player in what could be a really interesting contrarian build that leaves a bunch of money on the table. Either way, the options are wide open with how well Allen spreads it around and the Saints injury issues (Alvin Kamara is OUT & Mark Ingram is on the wrong side of questionable with knee swelling).

Bills notes: It’s hard to assess if any of the Bills RBs (Zach Moss, Devin Singletary and the recently relevant Matt Breida), but we know we’ll have Allen and Stefon Diggs contributing on offense. Throw in a few shares of the other capable receivers, including WRs Cole Beasley, Emmanuel Sanders, Gabriel Davis and TE Dawson Knox, and we’ve got a truly wide open range of possibilities. Kicker Tyler Bass remains one of the best and most productive legs in the league, so I’ll be using him in a few builds as well — especially in the ones with Allen at captain. My FLEX priorities are Diggs, Knox, Beasley and Moss.

Saints notes: If Ingram sits, rookie Tony Jones will be a free square at just $600 on DK, and his pass-catching abilities ensure he’ll be a part of the game plan even if Ingram suits up. We could also see some of special-teamer Dwayne Washington, Alex Armah and Ty Montgomery in the RB role if ingram is out. We’ve also got a conundrum at QB, where Trevor Siemian has been ineffective the past few weeks, leading to speculation that gadget play specialist Taysom Hill could see more snaps under center. In any event, it’s not that hard to fit Siemian and Jones, and it’s even easir to fit Hill and Jones. The WRs I like include red zone talent Tre’Quan Smith, Marquez Callaway and Deonte Harris, though we could see some plays form the shaky TE conglomerate (Juwan Johnson is probably the best option) in the wake of the MCL injury to Adam Trautman.

Remember to build your team based on an NFL DFS narrative that makes sense.

Week 12 NFL DFS Final thoughts (and some DOs and DON’Ts)

DO: Build a trio (or quartet) of offensive weapons for a team that makes sense together

DON’T: Worry about spending every dollar.

DO: Use the projected team totals to shade one way or the other with your selections.

DON’T: Forget to watch the inactives. The Ingram news is crucial, so stay tuned.

Now that we’ve established some Week 12 NFL DFS narratives and MVP candidates, the best way to round out this piece is with a list of my favorite options in descending order, based on overall value (a combo of salary and projected points):

  1. Josh Allen
  2. Stefon Diggs
  3. Tony Jones
  4. Dawson Knox
  5. Trevor Siemian
  6. Cole Beasley
  7. Zach Moss
  8. Tre’Quan Smith
  9. Bills DST
  10. Emmanuel Sanders
  11. Devin Singletary
  12. Tyler Bass
  13. Marquez Callaway
  14. Taysom Hill
  15. Deonte Harris
  16. Matt Breida
  17. Gabriel Davis
  18. Juwan Johnson
  19. Brett Maher
  20. Saints DST
  21. Alex Armah
  22. Ty Montgomery

Don’t forget to read the rest of WinDaily’s excellent football articles this week as you prep for Week 12 action!

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The NFL DFS season continues with the Monday night showdown, and we’ve got the breakdown to help you win big money in the final Week 12 NFL DFS contests!

NOTE: For a refresher on showdown general rules and strategy, see my first showdown article of 2021.

Let’s get to the game!

Week 12 NFL DFS MVP candidates (1.5x points)

Some notes on the differences between MVP on FanDuel and DraftKings: The 1.5x point boost on FD comes with no salary penalty, while and DK also bumps the salary to 1.5x – a crucial factor in deciding who we can and cannot afford on both sites. We can use this to our advantage on FD by occasionally targeting non-QBs to establish more variance and more unique lineups, and on DK it allows us to build more hearty overall stacks when we punt the MVP position with a cheap but high-upside player.

Week 12 NFL DFS Chalk: Tom Brady (FD $17,000, DK $16,800)

Pivot: Daniel Jones (FD $15,000, DK $14,400)

Contrarian #1: Mike Evans (FD $13,000, DK $15,300)

Contrarian #2: Leonard Fournette (FD $11,500, DK $15,000)

Contrarian #3: Saquon Barkley (FD $12,000, DK $11,700)

Contrarian #3: Rob Gronkowski (FD $10,000, DK $9,300)

Tom Brady should end up being the chalk tonight, as he’s adept at spreading the ball around to his receivers. There’s no Antonio Brown again this week but the absence of safety Logan Ryan for the Giants could mean a massive bounce-back game from the GOAT, who seemed more than annoyed after last week’s loss to another NFC East opponent, the Washington Football Team.

Giants notes: Sterling Shepard will miss another game, which means an upgrade for rookie WR Kadarius Toney and the explosive Kenny Golladay, who only has one big game this season (Week 4 vs. NO: 6-116-0). Darius Slayton will also be in play for the Giants, but the biggest news is the likely return of Saquon Barkley, who is listed as questionable but is expected to see his first game action since Week 5. While the Giants may want to bring along Barkley’ slowly, he may be in line for a huge workload with Devontae Booker also questionable and seemingly at greater risk of missing the contest. Evan Engram may not be busy, but he’s relevant for his use in the red zone, where he’s scored in consecutive weeks and seeing a few targets per game. But QB Daniel Jones, Barkley and Golladay stand out as the primary targets in this showdown. There’s also the possibility that Elijah Penny sees actin if Booker is inactive and Barkley has an in-game setback.

Bucs notes: The usual suspects are in play for the Bucs, including Mike Evans, Chris Godwin and even Rob Gronkowski, who’s listed as questionable with a back injury that’s kept him out Since Week 3, but got in full practices on Thursday and Friday before taking a rest day on Saturday. Leonard Fournette remains the only safe RB option, since both Ronald Jones (one snap last week vs. Washington) and Giovani Bernard don’t real have meaty enough roles to consider in anything but large-field GPP builds that count on fluky narratives and injuries. I’d much rather look to a guy like Tyler Johnson (five targets last week), even though he’s likely to assume a smaller snap count and looks with Gronk back in the mix.

Week 12 NFL DFS Final thoughts (and some DOs and DON’Ts)

Remember to build your team based on a narrative that makes sense.

DO: Build a trio (or quartet) of offensive weapons for a team that makes sense together.

DON’T: Feature many shares of the Giants DST, who will have its hands full with this Bucs offense.

DO: Use the projected team totals to shade one way or the other with your selections.

DON’T: Forget about Gronk, who could have a monster day against this Giants team.

Now that we’ve established some Week 12 NFL DFS narratives and MVP candidates, the best way to round out this piece is with a list of my favorite options in descending order, based on overall value (a combo of salary and projected points):

  1. Tom Brady
  2. Mike Evans
  3. Chris Godwin
  4. Daniel Jones
  5. Saquon Barkley
  6. Rob Gronkowski
  7. Leonard Fournette
  8. Kenny Golladay
  9. Kadarius Toney
  10. Bucs DST
  11. Evan Engram
  12. Ryan Succop
  13. Darius Slayton
  14. Graham Gano
  15. Giants DST
  16. Tyler Johnson
  17. Kyle Rudolph
  18. Giovani Bernard
  19. Devontae Booker (if he plays)
  20. Ronald Jones
  21. Elijah Penny (if Booker sits)
  22. Cameron Brate
  23. Kaden Smith
  24. Scotty Miller (IR, could be activated)
  25. Collin Johnson

Don’t forget to read the rest of WinDaily’s excellent football articles this week as you prep for next week’s action!

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The NFL DFS season continues with the Thursday night showdown, and we’ve got the breakdown to help you win big money in the first Week 11 NFL DFS contests!

NOTE: For a refresher on showdown general rules and strategy, see the Week 1 TNF showdown article.

Let’s get to the game!

Week 11 NFL DFS MVP candidates (1.5x points)

Some notes on the differences between MVP on FanDuel and DraftKings: The 1.5x point boost on FD comes with no salary penalty, while and DK also bumps the salary to 1.5x – a crucial factor in deciding who we can and cannot afford on both sites. We can use this to our advantage on FD by occasionally targeting non-QBs to establish more variance and more unique lineups, and on DK it allows us to build more hearty overall stacks when we punt the MVP position with a cheap but high-upside player.

Week 11 NFL DFS Chalk: Mac Jones (FD $15,000, DK $15,900)

Pivot: Matt Ryan (FD $15,500, DK $13,200)

Pivot #2: Damien Harris (FD $13,500, DK $13,200)

Pivot #3: Kyle Pitts (FD $12,000, DK $14,400)

Contrarian #1: Jakobi Meyers (FD $10,500, DK $12,000)

Contrarian #2: Patriots DST (DK $8,400)

The choices at captain are a lot more wide open tonight, but Mac Jones is the chalk. He’s coming off a game where he gained plenty of confidence throwing it downfield, and that’s a scary proposition for the Falcons defense — as well as the other teams in the AFC playoff hunt. We could pivot to veteran Matt Ryan assuming a negative game script, but it’s not looking good from a weapons standpoint, as Atlanta is likely without a couple of their most impactful players (Cordarrelle Patterson may not play and Calvin Ridley is still away from the team). Damien Harris is an option, as he doesn’t carry an injury designation into the matchup despite missing last week with a concussion, but I expect Rhamondre Stevenson to cut into his workload more this week.

Patriots notes: The best receiving options for the Pats are Jakobi Meyers, TE Hunter Henry and Kendrick Bourne, who seems to be involved every week in some capacity. Pricing is pretty close on all three, but Henry, who will undoubtedly be popular among game log watchers, seems like the best value. Plus, it’s a showdown, and tight ends seem to really love showdowns. Getting some exposure to Harris is still important, even if we’re not focusing on him at CPT, and with Brandon Bolden questionable, the door could be open for some of the passing down work to go to Stevenson, if he’s up to the pass blocking responsibilities he’ll have to assume as well. I think I’ll use the Patriots DST in about half my builds.

Falcons notes: I’m likely fading Ryan in most of my builds, and I don’t see too many scenarios where I’m playing more than two Falcons, and probably none at 4 Falcons – 2 Pats. The best option is Kyle Pitts, and despite zero catches last week, we can use Russell Gage in a few builds. The coach said he only gave Wayne Gallman all those carries last time out because it was a blowout, but I think we could see him rack up a few more catches in garbage time. Aside from Patterson, who seems like a longshot to play, there’s Mike Davis, and the I really don’t have much interest in the rest of the guys except maybe reserve TE Lee Smith, who’s really cheap and could end up being on the winning build if he vultures a TD somehow.

Week 11 NFL DFS Final thoughts (and some DOs and DON’Ts)

Remember to build your team based on an NFL DFS narrative that makes sense.

DO: Build a trio (or quartet) of offensive weapons for a team that makes sense together

DON’T: Worry about spending every dollar.

DO: Use the projected team totals to shade one way or the other with your selections.

DON’T: Forget to watch the inactives. If Patterson somehow plays, he’ll be a lot of the Falcons offense.

Now that we’ve established some Week 11 NFL DFS narratives and MVP candidates, the best way to round out this piece is with a list of my favorite options in descending order, based on overall value (a combo of salary and projected points):

  1. Mac Jones
  2. Damien Harris
  3. Kyle Pitts
  4. Hunter Henry
  5. Matt Ryan
  6. Jakobi Meyers
  7. Patriots DST
  8. Cordarrelle Patterson (longshot to play, but relevant if he does)
  9. Kendrick Bourne
  10. Mike Davis
  11. Russell Gage
  12. Wayne Gallman
  13. Rhamondre Stevenson
  14. Nelson Agholor
  15. Olamide Zaccheaus
  16. Brandon Bolden
  17. Nick Folk (questionable)
  18. Younghoe Koo
  19. J.J. Taylor
  20. Tajae Sharpe
  21. Jonnu Smith (questionable)
  22. Lee Smith
  23. Falcons DST
  24. N’Keal Harry (questionable)

Don’t forget to read the rest of WinDaily’s excellent football articles this week as you prep for Week 11 action!

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The NFL DFS season continues with the Monday night showdown, and we’ve got the breakdown to help you win big money in the final Week 10 NFL DFS contests!

NOTE: For a refresher on showdown general rules and strategy, see my first showdown article of 2021.

Let’s get to the game!

Week 10 NFL DFS MVP candidates (1.5x points)

Some notes on the differences between MVP on FanDuel and DraftKings: The 1.5x point boost on FD comes with no salary penalty, while and DK also bumps the salary to 1.5x – a crucial factor in deciding who we can and cannot afford on both sites. We can use this to our advantage on FD by occasionally targeting non-QBs to establish more variance and more unique lineups, and on DK it allows us to build more hearty overall stacks when we punt the MVP position with a cheap but high-upside player.

Week 10 NFL DFS Chalk: Cooper Kupp (FD $16,000, DK $18,000)

Pivot: Matthew Stafford (FD $17,000, DK $16,200)

Contrarian #1: Darrell Henderson (FD $12,000, DK $13,800)

Contrarian #2: Jimmy Garappolo (FD $14,000, DK $15,000)

Contrarian #3: Brandon Aiyuk (FD $7,500, DK $9,900)

Cooper Kupp appears to be the chalk at CPT on DK but Matthew Stafford currently holds the edge on FD tonight. Both are fine options but Stafford may be the safer of the two when considering how the 49ers could blanket Kupp and force Stafford to distribute among his other weapons.

Rams notes: Kupp, Stafford and Darrell Henderson are the top three options for the Rams, but we shouldn’t ignore the explosiveness of TE Tyler Higbee, WR Van Jefferson and the newly acquired Odell Beckham, Jr. Seeing a big game from OBJ may be a bit of a stretch, and he’s certainly not worth his inflated salary just yet, but ownership should be low. I really like the price on both Higbee and Jefferson, and we should monitor the status of Ben Skowronek, who’s questionable with a thigh injury but could start if he’s active. With Robert Woods (torn ACL) on the shelf it’s likely Jefferson will absorb a few more targets per game – which could translate into fantasy relevancy. Even before Woods went down, his targets over the past few weeks increased to 7-6-7, and I’m banking on increased production from him and Higbee tonight.

49ers notes: My favorite 49ers player, for the price, is actually Brandon Aiyuk, and his ownership should be significantly lower than we might expect because Deebo Samuel is off the injury report, rights along with Elijah Mitchell. Among Samuel and Mitchell I prefer Mitchell, because the way to attack the Rams is by running right at them, while Samuel may line up over Rams shutdown CB Jalen Ramsey a good percentage of the time tonight. The other player I’ll be clicking frequently, and probably much more frequently in my builds than QB Jimmy Garoppolo, is George Kittle, who returned last week with a 8-101-1 game and is crucial to their success tonight. A lot of my 49ers builds will just be Aiyuk and Kittle, with four Rams on the other side. We could also get word the 49ers will give more touches to Jeff Wilson, which could elevate him based on his very low price.

Week 10 NFL DFS Final thoughts (and some DOs and DON’Ts)

Remember to build your team based on a narrative that makes sense.

DO: Build a trio (or quartet) of offensive weapons for a team that makes sense together.

DON’T: Forget about the kickers. They could play a role in a game that might involve some stalled drives just outside the red zone.

DO: Use the projected team totals to shade one way or the other with your selections.

DON’T: Neglect to see who’ active and check how much we should see OBJ. It could affect whether or not we consider Skowronek, who’s a solid value play if active.

Now that we’ve established some Week 10 NFL DFS narratives and MVP candidates, the best way to round out this piece is with a list of my favorite options in descending order, based on overall value (a combo of salary and projected points):

  1. Cooper Kupp
  2. Matthew Stafford
  3. Darrell Henderson
  4. Jimmy Garappolo
  5. Brandon Aiyuk
  6. Elijah Mitchell
  7. Deebo Samuel
  8. George Kittle
  9. Tyler Higbee
  10. Van Jefferson
  11. Odell Beckham, Jr.
  12. Rams DST
  13. Jeff Wilson, Jr.
  14. Matt Gay
  15. Robbie Gould
  16. Sony Michel
  17. Kyle Jusczcyk
  18. 49ers DST
  19. Ben Skowronek
  20. Ross Dwelley

Don’t forget to read the rest of WinDaily’s excellent football articles this week as you prep for next week’s action!

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The NFL DFS season continues with the Thursday night showdown, and we’ve got the breakdown to help you win big money in the first Week 10 NFL DFS contests!

NOTE: For a refresher on showdown general rules and strategy, see the Week 1 TNF showdown article.

Let’s get to the game!

Week 10 NFL DFS MVP candidates (1.5x points)

Some notes on the differences between MVP on FanDuel and DraftKings: The 1.5x point boost on FD comes with no salary penalty, while and DK also bumps the salary to 1.5x – a crucial factor in deciding who we can and cannot afford on both sites. We can use this to our advantage on FD by occasionally targeting non-QBs to establish more variance and more unique lineups, and on DK it allows us to build more hearty overall stacks when we punt the MVP position with a cheap but high-upside player.

Week 10 NFL DFS Chalk: Lamar Jackson (FD $17,500, DK $20,700)

Pivot: Mark Andrews (FD $13,000, DK $13,200)

Pivot #2: Marquise Brown (FD $13,500, DK $16,500)

Pivot #3: Jaylen Waddle (FD $12,000, DK $12,300)

Contrarian #1: DeVonta Freeman (FD $10,500, DK $9,900)

Contrarian #2: Mike Gesicki (FD $12,500, DK $11,100)

Oh, boy. We’ve finally gotten to an outrageous price point for our chalk captain, and on DK, the electric Lamar Jackson has eclipsed $20K. And when you consider that his passing yardage and rushing yardage props combine for right about 300 yards, it doesn’t seem all that silly. Jackson is actually from right nearby, in Pompano Beach. It’s only about a 35-minute drive away from Hard Rock Stadium, unless you get caught with faulty GPS in a less-than-desirable section of that city in a sketchy trailer park, which happened to me once. Most frightened I’ve ever been in my life. Anyway, we can find ways to get to Lamar at CPT, but there are some pivots to consider once we recognize that the Ravens don’t actually shut anybody down defensively.

Ravens notes: It probably won’t be the narrative we’ve seen a couple times before this season, where the Ravens need to come back from multiple TDs to notch a win, but I could see the offense starting off without a bang — giving the Dolphins (and their 26th worst defense against opposing fantasy RBs) healthy doses of DeVonta Freeman, who’s coming off his best game of 2021. Freeman is a good value and with Latavius Murray doubtful, we could see Le’Veon Bell get some carries as well. The receiving options have expanded as well, and while Mark Andrews and Marquise Brown are the two most obvious options, we have a healthy Rashod Bateman, a resurgent Devin Duvernay coming off a big Week 9, and god old Sammy Watkins, who’s expected to play. Bateman’s eight targets against the Vikings could be a sign of bigger things to come, so he’s the priority after Andrews and Brown. Of course, the Ravens DST and Justin Tucker are worth mixing into your builds as well.

Dolphins notes: We’re still not sure who’s starting at QB for the Dolphins, but that’s baked into the pricing because they’re not that far apart. I don’t have much interest in Tua Tagovailoa if he starts, but the minimal discount on Jacoby Brissett could mean I’ll use him in 2-3 out of 10 GPP builds. Myles Gaskin could see a few extra targets in the passing game, and while the Ravens run defense isn’t great, the Dolphins have had a rough time making holes for Gaskin in a traditional offensive sense. For that reason, I’m most enamored by the possibilities that exist with Mike Gesicki and Jaylen Waddle, both dynamic players who can rack up catches and yardage. Remaining options include Mack Hollins and my favorite cheap option tonight — WR Preston Williams, who’s just $200 as a flex play and could be worth a look at captain in some contrarian builds — just like I planned for Jimmy Graham on MNF before the football gods yanked away my shot at glory.

Week 10 NFL DFS Final thoughts (and some DOs and DON’Ts)

Remember to build your team based on an NFL DFS narrative that makes sense.

DO: Build a trio (or quartet) of offensive weapons for a team that makes sense together

DON’T: Worry about spending every dollar.

DO: Use the projected team totals to shade one way or the other with your selections.

DON’T: Neglect Preston Williams. His price tag allows for lots of stacked builds and a shot at rostering Lamar with some other high-upside plays.

Now that we’ve established some Week 10 NFL DFS narratives and MVP candidates, the best way to round out this piece is with a list of my favorite options in descending order, based on overall value (a combo of salary and projected points):

  1. Lamar Jackson
  2. Mark Andrews
  3. Marquise Brown
  4. DeVonta Freeman
  5. Jaylen Waddle
  6. Mike Gesicki
  7. Rashod Bateman
  8. Myles Gaskin
  9. Jacoby Brissett
  10. Ravens DST
  11. Preston Williams
  12. Tua Tagovailoa (if active)
  13. Justin Tucker
  14. Sammy Watkins
  15. Mack Hollins
  16. Jason Sanders
  17. Devin Duvernay
  18. Le’Veon Bell
  19. Dolphins DST
  20. Albert Wilson
  21. Salvon Ahmed
  22. Patrick Ricard
  23. Durham Smythe

Don’t forget to read the rest of WinDaily’s excellent football articles this week as you prep for Week 9 action!

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The NFL DFS season continues with the Monday night showdown, and we’ve got the breakdown to help you win big money in the final Week 9 NFL DFS contests!

NOTE: For a refresher on showdown general rules and strategy, see my first showdown article of 2021.

Let’s get to the game!

Week 9 NFL DFS MVP candidates (1.5x points)

Some notes on the differences between MVP on FanDuel and DraftKings: The 1.5x point boost on FD comes with no salary penalty, while and DK also bumps the salary to 1.5x – a crucial factor in deciding who we can and cannot afford on both sites. We can use this to our advantage on FD by occasionally targeting non-QBs to establish more variance and more unique lineups, and on DK it allows us to build more hearty overall stacks when we punt the MVP position with a cheap but high-upside player.

Week 9 NFL DFS Chalk: Najee Harris (FD $16,500, DK $18,600)

Pivot: Ben Roethlisberger (FD $15,000, DK $15,900)

Contrarian #1: Diontae Johnson (FD $13,500, DK $16,800)

Contrarian #2: Justin Fields (FD $14,000, DK $15,600)

Contrarian #3: David Montgomery (FD $13,000, DK $12,600)

Najee Harris is the runaway chalk at CPT on both DK and FD tonight, and with good reason. He’s scored at leats 19 DK points in every game this season except Week 1, and he’s heavily involved in all aspect of the offense. A true bell cow, Harris is still affordable and there are plenty of value plays in this matchup where we can justify using him in the lead role and building a realistic narrative around him.

Bears notes: Justin Fields is still developing as an NFL QB, and while the Bears could have their own bell cow back this game in the form of David Montgomery (questionable, supposed to return from IR), Fields offers some upside with both his legs and assuming a negative game script where he’ll be throwing for much of the second half. I don’t see too many scenarios where I’d play both Montgomery and Fields together, but maybe one in ten GPPs. WRs to target include the underperforming Allen Robinson and Darnell Mooney, who has had some big games but popped up on the injury report last week and was limited in practice (but expected to play Monday night). If Mooney can’t go, Marquise Goodwin would get a big bump and make some sense as a last piece in 3-man Bears stacks. TEs Cole Kmet and an insanely low-price Jimmy Graham could be gamebreakers at well. Graham is priced at just $200 but is finally eligible to return to action tonight, so he might be worth a punt in some builds.

Steelers notes: After Harris, we have abiding interest in Ben Roethliberger and Diontae Johnson, who has at least 12 targets in four out of his last five games. I’d be leaning toward a Big Ben fade if I’m playing both Johnson and Harris, but we could go for a full four-man stack that includes Chase Claypool in a build or two if we punt CPT with Jimmy Graham, which could be hilarious and not necessarily a terrible way to approach cash games. There’s actually a path to Mooney in that build as well, and if plays I’m definitely considering it. TE Pat Freiermuth could also be a factor, but he’s not a huge priority.

Week 9 NFL DFS Final thoughts (and some DOs and DON’Ts)

Remember to build your team based on a narrative that makes sense.

DO: Build a trio (or quartet) of offensive weapons for a team that makes sense together.

DON’T: Forget about the questionable guys and whether or not Jimmy Graham is active.

DO: Use the projected team totals to shade one way or the other with your selections.

DON’T: Neglect Khalil Herbert if Montgomery is inactive. He’ll be important.

Now that we’ve established some Week 8 NFL DFS narratives and MVP candidates, the best way to round out this piece is with a list of my favorite options in descending order, based on overall value (a combo of salary and projected points):

  1. Najee Harris
  2. Diontae Johnson
  3. Ben Roethlisberger
  4. Justin Fields
  5. David Montgomery (questionable)
  6. Chase Claypool
  7. Darnell Mooney (questionable)
  8. Allen Robinson
  9. Steelers DST
  10. Pat Freiermuth
  11. Khalil Herbert (if Montgomery inactive)
  12. Cole Kmet
  13. Jimmy Graham (if active)
  14. Chris Boswell (questionable) or Josh Lambo
  15. Cairo Santos
  16. Marquise Goodwin (higher if Mooney out)
  17. Jesse James
  18. James Washington
  19. Bears DST
  20. Ryan Nall

Don’t forget to read the rest of WinDaily’s excellent football articles this week as you prep for next week’s action!

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The NFL DFS season continues with the Thursday night showdown, and we’ve got the breakdown to help you win big money in the first Week 9 NFL DFS contests!

NOTE: For a refresher on showdown general rules and strategy, see the Week 1 TNF showdown article.

Let’s get to the game!

Week 9 NFL DFS MVP candidates (1.5x points)

Some notes on the differences between MVP on FanDuel and DraftKings: The 1.5x point boost on FD comes with no salary penalty, while and DK also bumps the salary to 1.5x – a crucial factor in deciding who we can and cannot afford on both sites. We can use this to our advantage on FD by occasionally targeting non-QBs to establish more variance and more unique lineups, and on DK it allows us to build more hearty overall stacks when we punt the MVP position with a cheap but high-upside player.

Week 9 NFL DFS Chalk: Carson Wentz (FD $16,500, DK $16,200)

Pivot: Mike White (FD $14,000, DK $14,700)

Pivot #2: Jonathan Taylor (FD $16,000, DK $17,400)

Contrarian #1: Michael Pittman, Jr. (FD $13,500, DK $15,300)

Contrarian #2: Jamison Crowder (FD $11,000, DK $11,700)

The options are wide open this week for the showdown slate, and we’re looking at a huge range of possibilities considering the play of Mike White and the Jets offense last week — especially considering the general unease that Carson Wentz unleashes when he becomes the chalk play at CPT. We’ve got a huge spread over 10 points and plenty of leverage if we can find ways to get a little contrarian.

Colts notes: Indy’s offense has been pretty potent over the past few games, and if the recent track record of both these teams’ are any indication of tonight’s narrative, we’ll see the Colts jump out to a lead and then let the Jets pile up some yardage and fantasy goodness during the final quarter or so. Primary targets beyond Wentz include a very expensive Jonathan Taylor, who might be a decent fade if you want to get a little different. The Colts interior offensive line has had some issues getting a push and it’s likely the Jets (behind the stellar play of DL Quinnen Williams) will focus on stopping the run. I can’t see the Jets having an easy time stopping Michael Pittman, Jr., who has perhaps the highest upside of any skill position player if he gets cooking early and the Colts refuse to let off the gas — a lesson they should have learned last week. Zach Pascal, Mo Alie-Cox and RB Nyheim Hines are all secondary options to the Colts big three, but I’ll mix in a few shares.

Jets notes: White seems like a must-play this week, and he along with Michael Carter and Jamison Crowder are the top targets for this showdown. With Corey Davis doubtful, both Braxton Berrios and Elijah Moore are in play and should get plenty of looks, especially if the Colts focus on removing Crowder. Ty Johnson should also be in the mix as the change-of-pace back and frequent check-down target.

Week 9 NFL DFS Final thoughts (and some DOs and DON’Ts)

Remember to build your team based on an NFL DFS narrative that makes sense.

DO: Build a trio (or quartet) of offensive weapons for a team that makes sense together

DON’T: Worry about spending every dollar.

DO: Use the projected team totals to shade one way or the other with your selections.

DON’T: Play around sub-$1K range this week. Nothing much doing down there except Ashton Dulin ($300 at FLEX), so just look for the right narrative with your medium-priced builds,

Now that we’ve established some Week 6 NFL DFS narratives and MVP candidates, the best way to round out this piece is with a list of my favorite options in descending order, based on overall value (a combo of salary and projected points):

  1. Carson Wentz
  2. Mike White
  3. Michael Pittman, Jr.
  4. Jonathan Taylor
  5. Michael Carter
  6. Jamison Crowder
  7. Braxton Berrios
  8. Zach Pascal
  9. Colts DST
  10. Nyheim Hines
  11. Ty Johnson
  12. Elijah Moore
  13. Michael Badgley
  14. Mo Alie-Cox
  15. Jack Doyle
  16. Matt Ammendola
  17. Tyler Kroft
  18. Keelan Cole, Sr.
  19. Denzel Mims
  20. Jets DST
  21. Ryan Griffin
  22. Ashton Dulin

Don’t forget to read the rest of WinDaily’s excellent football articles this week as you prep for Week 9 action!

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The NFL DFS season continues with the Monday night showdown, and we’ve got the breakdown to help you win big money in the final Week 8 NFL DFS contests!

NOTE: For a refresher on showdown general rules and strategy, see my first showdown article of 2021.

Let’s get to the game!

Week 8 NFL DFS MVP candidates (1.5x points)

Some notes on the differences between MVP on FanDuel and DraftKings: The 1.5x point boost on FD comes with no salary penalty, while and DK also bumps the salary to 1.5x – a crucial factor in deciding who we can and cannot afford on both sites. We can use this to our advantage on FD by occasionally targeting non-QBs to establish more variance and more unique lineups, and on DK it allows us to build more hearty overall stacks when we punt the MVP position with a cheap but high-upside player.

Week 6 NFL DFS Chalk: Patrick Mahomes (FD $17,000, DK $18,000)

Pivot: Daniel Jones (FD $15,000, DK $15,300)

Contrarian #1: Tyreek Hill (FD $14,000, DK $16,000)

Contrarian #2: Travis Kelce (FD $13,500, DK $15,900)

Contrarian #3: Sterling Shepard (FD $11,000, DK $10,500)

While Patrick Mahomes has struggled in recent weeks and looks a far cry from his normal dominant self, he’s the chalk at captain in this week’s showdown and should have little trouble racking up big numbers in this favorable matchup. If the Chiefs establish some sort of effective ground game or just jump out to a big early lead, there may be some leverage in using Daniel Jones at captain and flanking him with some of the Giants pass receivers, including two guys who are both questionable heading into the Monday night battle: Sterling Shepard and Kadarius Toney. Toney is the real wild card this week, as he can be used in myriad ways and the “Q” tag will keep most of the masses off of him in their initial builds.

Chiefs notes: The usual suspects are in play for Kansas City, including Travis Kelce and Tyreek Hill, both of whom can you can fit in builds with Mahomes if you adopt the narrative that the ancillary Giants pass receivers are the ones who end up making the most impact. This is a “get right” spot for the Chiefs and I doubt they’ll have little trouble effectively targeting their big guns against a middle-of-the-road NFL defense like this Giants unit. The game script certainly favors more Darrel Williams this week, so picking one of Kelce or Hill and stacking with Mahomes and the Chiefs RB makes a lot of sense. I really think this is another big Tyreek game, so he’s going to be my main focus outside of Mahomes.

Giants notes: Shepard looks like a go, and while I do love me some Darius Slayton, if Shepard plays he’s probably the safer option. Slayton makes for a fine plug-n-play if Toney ends up sitting this out, but the Giants have been finding ways of getting the electric rookie RW the ball, even if it means sacrificing some of the targets that go to TE Evan Engram, who’s also in play tonight. With Saquon Barkley still out, Devontae Booker remains the got-to RB in the Giants backfield and should see plenty of touches, but his upside is a bit capped unless the Giants hang can early and often. Dante Pettis and John Ross could see a big play here or there, but the return of Shepard dings their value a bit.

Week 8 NFL DFS Final thoughts (and some DOs and DON’Ts)

Remember to build your team based on a narrative that makes sense.

DO: Build a trio (or quartet) of offensive weapons for a team that makes sense together.

DON’T: Feature many shares of the Giants DST, who will have its hands full with this Chiefs offense.

DO: Use the projected team totals to shade one way or the other with your selections.

DON’T: Forget about the fringe Giants WRs, especially if one or more of Shepard or Toney sits.

Now that we’ve established some Week 8 NFL DFS narratives and MVP candidates, the best way to round out this piece is with a list of my favorite options in descending order, based on overall value (a combo of salary and projected points):

  1. Patrick Mahomes
  2. Tyreek Hill
  3. Daniel Jones
  4. Travis Kelce
  5. Sterling Shepard
  6. Darrel Williams
  7. Kadarius Toney (GTD)
  8. Devontae Booker
  9. Chiefs DST
  10. Darius Slayton
  11. Mecole Hardman
  12. Evan Engram
  13. Dante Pettis
  14. Jerick McKinnon
  15. Harrison Butker
  16. Graham Gano
  17. Byron Pringle
  18. Kyle Rudolph
  19. John Ross
  20. DeMarcus Robinson

Don’t forget to read the rest of WinDaily’s excellent football articles this week as you prep for next week’s action!

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