MLB DFS

It’s Tuesday and that means we have a large slate.  Tonight, we’ll have a 10-game main slate of MLB DFS.  If it’s anything like last night, it’s going to be a fun one.  This slate brings us more options on the mound as we have some pretty decent pitchers in pretty good spots.  We also have some pretty awful pitchers going that can closely resemble gas cans. 

Let’s Dig in and make some money!

MLB DFS Aces – Main

Grayson Rodriguez ($9.6k on DK) vs. Los Angeles Angels

Grayson Rodriguez is quietly becoming a start right before our eyes.  After getting sent down early in the year last season to get a little bit more polished, he’s been pitching at a near-ace level.  He’s now made 4 starts on the year and they’ve all been great.  He hasn’t allowed more than 2 ER in any of those starts and he’s had at least 5 K’s in each.  His one issue so far that has been his control as he’s allowed multiple walks in each of his last 3 starts. 

If he can quiet down the walks, he’ll be an ace in this league.  I’m going to be all over him tonight as he draws a favorable matchup against an average Angels lineup.  This Angels lineup has struggled vs. righties this season.  They have a nearly 24% K rate and a sub .300 wOBA.  Look for Rodriguez to have a strong outing in this one. 

Pablo Lopez ($9.3k on DK) vs. Chicago White Sox

Pablo Lopez gets one of the best matchups on the board tonight with him and his Twins teammates taking on the lowly Chicago White Sox.  The White Sox are now 3-19 and have a -78 run differential.  That’s as bad of a start as we’ve seen in years and their struggles will continue tonight against a very solid pitcher in Lopez.  Outside of 1 start against the Tigers, Lopez has been very strong this season. 

He’s coming off a brilliant start against the Orioles that saw him strike out 7 and only give up 1 ER across 6 innings.  The hitters are really struggling vs. him this season as they have just a 69% contact.  He’s drawing a bunch of swings and misses and that should continue tonight against an awful White Sox team. 

MLB DFS Stacks – Main

Baltimore Orioles vs. Griffin Canning

Griffin Canning has now made 4 starts this season.  3 were awful and he had 1 decent start.  That 1 decent start was against a struggling Tampa Bay Rays team that hasn’t quite been putting up the runs that we’ve seen from them in the past.  I’m going to cross that start off my list and focus on the other 3.  In those other 3, he gave up 5 dingers and 15 ER. 

That’s pretty bad and against a very strong Orioles lineup, he’s going to struggle.  He’s been getting walloped by lefties this season as they have a .696 slugging % vs. him.  The big difference between the Rays and Orioles is that the Orioles are loaded with lefties and lefties that can hit bombs.  This is going to be a huge struggle for Canning tonight. 

My core with the Orioles is going to be very simple tonight.  Gunnar Henderson, Anthony Santander, Adley Rutschman, and Heston Kjerstad.  Kjerstad is going to be the guy that makes all the pieces fit tonight as he’s just $2.4k on DK tonight.  He’s been raking in the minors and should be able to crack the starting lineup tonight as there’s no way the Orioles called him up to sit on the bench. 

Gunnar Henderson has looked like the second coming of Babe Ruth recently, with 10 hits in his last 26 AB and 2 homers.  He’s going to continue to crush tonight.  After my core, I’ll also look to include guys like Colton Cowser and Cedric Mullins.  I will more than likely be going 5 deep with the Orioles tonight.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Steven Matz

The ex-Mets southpaw is going to have his hands very full tonight.  The Arizona Diamondbacks have been one of the better teams this season against lefties.  So far, they have a .366 wOBA and a .832 OPS vs. southpaws.  Tonight they’ll face a very beatable lefty in Steven Matz.  Matz is coming off an awful start vs. the A’s that saw him give up 5 ER in 5 innings of work. 

The Cardinals southpaw is just giving up way too much contact this season at nearly 83%.  The only saving grace for him is that that much of it has been considered hard-contact.  Against Matz, I’m really going to be focused on the righties as they have way better numbers vs. Matz than lefties. 

That means we’re going to be locked into the Ketel Marte, Christian Walker, Lourdes Gurriel, and Blaze Alexander.  This lineup is going to be mostly right-handed tonight as they should be able to trot out 8 righties.  That’s going to really make things complicated for the Matz.  Guys like Marte, Alexander, and Gurriel will be my priority though as they are all hitting the ball well right now  They’ve combined for 29 hits over the last week and 18 RBI.  As long as the weather cooperates here, they should put up a ton of runs tonight against the Cardinals. 

Good luck and hope to see you in the green.   

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for a PREMIUM account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate! 

I don’t know about you, but I’m very thankful it’s the weekend.  I’m even more thankful that we have ourselves a very solid slate of slate of MLB DFS today.  It’s also very nice and early so by dinner time, we’ll know if we took the bag.  This is a really good look slate starting at 1 pm EST.  We have some top pitchers in great spots and also some great spots for offense. 

Let’s Dig in and make some money!

MLB DFS Aces – Main

Zac Gallen ($10.4k on DK) vs. San Francisco Giants

This is going to be the first time this season I pay more than $10k for a pitcher.  Zac Gallen has proven so far that he’s more than worth it.  Gallen will be making his fifth start of the season.  If they are anything like the first 4, he should smash again.  He’s now given up just 4 ER through those 4 starts, 3 of which came in 1 of the starts.  He’s posted 2 starts with 0 ER allowed and after striking out just 3 in his first outing of the season, he’s now had at least 6 K ‘s in 3 straight. 

His K rate is up to 29% on the season and he has yet to give up a bomb.  There is little in this Giants lineup that truly scares.  Their best hitters are righties and that’s where Gallen shines.  Between Matt Chapman and Jorge Soler, it’s almost guaranteed that he gets 4 strikeouts today.  Look for Gallen to continue with this strong start to the season. 

Javier Assad ($7.9k on DK) vs. Miami Marlins

We went with one high-priced pitcher, now we’re going to save some money with Javier Assad.  Assad has also been strong to start the season.  Through the first month of the season, Assad has just a 2.16 ERA and a strikeout rate of 28%.  He’s done this all while also allowing just a 23% hard-hit rate.  If he can continue to limit the hard contact, and he should against this Marlins team, he’ll continue to post strong numbers. 

This is a Marlins lineup that has mostly struggled vs. righties this season.  They have a wOBA below .300 vs. them and just a .133 ISO.  This is a great spot Assad to continue his strong start.  An outing of 6 innings, 2 ER, and 5-6 strikeouts is very much in the realm of possibility today. 

I’m not going to stray at all from these 2 today in terms of pitching.  They are my core and I’m sticking to it. 

MLB DFS Stacks – Main

Chicago Cubs vs. Jesus Luzardo

This is probably going to greatly upset our boy Ghost, but so far to start the season Jesus Luzardo has really struggled.  Maybe it’s his supporting cast that’s getting him down, or maybe it’s just his stuff.  But regardless, he’s been bad so far this season.  Through his first 4 starts, Luzardo has an eye-opening 7.65 ERA.  While that’s probably inflated, his FIP of nearly 6 says it’s pretty indicative of how he’s been pitching. 

He’s really been struggling with the long ball as he’s yet to have a start this season without allowing one.  He’s also struggled with his command as his 4.50 BB/9 is the highest it’s been in a few years.  Until he figures out his command, he’s someone that we’ll want to continue to pick on.  Since he’s been pretty bad vs. both sides of the plate this season, I’m not going to be overly concerned with splits.

I’m starting my Cubs stack with the legend, Michael Busch.  Bush has been superb this season.  Over his last 19 AB, Busch has 7 hits and 3 homers.  We’ll want to make sure he’s in the lineup in game 1 of the DH, but if he is, even though this is a L/L matchup I do like him quite a bit. 

Next up for me will be Nico Hoerner.  Hoerner has also been swinging a hot stick, with 9 hits in his last 23 AB.  While the power hasn’t been there for him, he’s been productive as he has 4 RBI and 5 runs scored over the last week.  He also typically hits lefties well.  Other guys I like in this one are going to be Miguel Amaya, Dansby Swanson, and Cody Bellinger. 

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Kyle Harrison

One has to wonder if the Diamondbacks will have anything left in the tank after putting up 17 runs vs. Blake Snell and the Giants bullpen.  I think they do as they’ll be facing another lefty, and a very beatable lefty to boot.  The second-year starter for the Giants hasn’t been anything special to start the year.  He’s making his fifth start tonight and his first 4 have been average.  He’s allowed at least 3 ER in 3 straight.  2 of those starts were against far inferior lineups in the Nats and Marlins.  The Diamondbacks are in a much different class than those 2.  Against lefties this season, they’ve been great with a .369 wOBA and an OPS of .845.

One of my favorite hitters on this slate is Ketel Marte.  He’s off to a spectacular start to the year.  Over the last week, he’s been incredible as he had 14 hits in his last 31 AB.  He’s also scored 8 runs over that stretch.  I much prefer using Marte when he’s hitting from the right side as he typically crushes lefties.  Against lefties this season, Marte is hitting .375 with 3 homers and 7 RBI.  He’ll be a lock for me today. 

Other players I like in this matchup are Blaze Alexander, Christian Walker, Lourdes Gurriel, and Randal Grichuck.  Of that group, Alexander is probably my favorite.  He’s been productive over the last week with 8 RBI (I know, 5 were last night) and 6 hits.  This is a spot he should continue to do well in. 

Other stacks I like today are the Dodgers vs Jose Butto, Astros vs. Trevor Williams, and Tigers vs. Baily Ober.

Good luck and hope to see you in the green.   

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for a PREMIUM account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate! 

TGIF to all those that made it through the week.  It’s Friday and that almost always means a large slate.  Tonight is no different as we have ourselves a large 10-game slate of MLB DFS.  We’re back to having Coors games so the slate decisions will be should we or shouldn’t we.  Mother Nature may help us with that decision tonight as there’s rain in the forecast for that one.  This slate does present us with some aces, but it also presents us with some gas cans. 

Let’s Dig in and make some money!

MLB DFS Aces – Main

Freddy Peralta ($9.5k on DK) vs. St. Louis Cardinals

Freddy Peralta was originally slated to pitcher on Wednesday, but the Brewers opted to give him some extra rest and that is good news for us.  The reason it’s good news for us is that he draws a much better matchup tonight.  This isn’t the Cardinals team of years past.  Guys like Paul Goldschmidt and Nolan Arenado are finally starting to slow down a bit and that really makes this lineup average. 

Against righties this season, they’ve been bad as they have a 24% K rate and a wOBA below .300.  I attack them often, but when a guy like Peralta is on the mound vs. them it’s almost a must-play in my eyes.  Peralta has been very strong this season with a nearly 40% K rate and just a 2.55 ERA.  He should be able to walk through this lineup tonight with relative ease.

Joe Ryan ($8.9k on DK) vs. Detroit Tigers

This game has the potential to be a real snooze fest today.  We have 2 poor offenses and at least one good pitcher throwing.  That one good pitcher is Joe Ryan.  Ryan has been very good to start the season.  Through 3 starts this season, Ryan already has 24 strikeouts.  One of those starts was a masterful gem vs,. this very Tigers team.  In that game, Ryan struck out 12 in just 6 innings and only allowed 1 ER. 

While I don’t think he gets up to 12 K’s again tonight, this is a weak-hitting Tigers team that has struck out nearly 25% of the time so far this season vs. righties.  This is a strong spot for Ryan and one he should excel in.  Look for him to be one of the top arms on the slate tonight. 

MLB DFS Stacks – Main

New York Yankees vs. Tyler Alexander

I vowed to stay away from the Yankees going forward but they brought me back in.  This matchup is just too good to pass up.  Alexander has been terrible to start the season.  He now has 3 starts under his belt and only one of them was remotely close to being average.  That game was against a light-hitting Giants team.  He owns a 6.46 ERA and a 5.28 xFIP to start the season.  He does what I look for in a pitcher I stack against. 

He allows a lot of contact at nearly 85% and he also allows a ton of hard contact at nearly 36%.  That’s a lot of hard contact making it into play.  He’s also been allowing a lot of homers as he’s allowed 5 through his 3 starts.  We want the righties here as they have a .681 slugging % vs. him to start the season. 

Aaron Judge has been mostly quiet to start the year.  He has just 3 homers on the season but he does have 11 RBI.  If ever there was a game that screamed break out, this is it.  He’s struggled with K’s recently as he has 9 over the last week.  I’m not overly worried about it in this matchup as Alexander is a contact pitcher.  Judge has historically crushed lefties and he should here. 

I’ll also look to Gleyber Torres and Giancarlo Stanton in this matchup.  Both guys hit lefties well and Alexander is a lefty that can be had.  While I won’t force him in with this matchup, Juan Soto is always in play.  He’s crushing the ball with 6 barrels over the last week and has also walked 7 times.  The Yankees have one of the higher implied runs total on the night and I think they get every bit of it. 

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Kyle Gibson

Even though the Brewers are without their top bat in Christian Yelich, they are still a very strong offense.  And they are an offense that gets a great matchup vs. an aging pitcher in Kyle Gibson.  Gibson now has 3 starts this season under his belt and they have not been good.  He’s allowed a combined 11 runs over his last 2 and hasn’t had a start yet this season where he hasn’t given up a bomb.  No pitcher on this slate has allowed more barrels on the year than Gibson. 

In just 3 starts, he’s already allowed a mind-boggling amount of them at 9.  That’s a huge number and indicates that hitters are really seeing the ball well against him.  We’ll want to prioritize lefties here as they’ve crushed Gibson so far as they have a .618 slugging % vs. him so far.

That means we’ll look to guys like Sal Frelick, Brice Turang, and Oliver Dunn.  My favorite of this trio is going to be Frelick in the leadoff spot.  He’s just $3.6k and someone hitting the ball well right now.  Over his last 27 AB, he has 9 hits and a nearly 92% contact rate.  He’s putting a ton of balls in play right now and that’s when magic happens.  After the lefties, I’ll look to guys like Willy Adames and William Contreras.  Both guys are playing really well right now, with OPS’s over 1.  Outside of  Contrares and Adames, this lineup is very cheap tonight and is going to be where we look for value.  They should put up a ton of runs at not a lot of money. 

Other stacks I like today are the Dodgers vs. Sean Manaea, the Royals vs. Dean Kremer, and the Orioles vs. Alec Marsh.

Good luck and hope to see you in the green.   

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for a PREMIUM account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate! 

It’s Wednesday and that means day baseball!  We have ourselves a massive 11-game slate of MLB DFS starting at 1 pm EST today.  At a high level, this early slate mostly leaves us void of any real true aces.  For the most part at least.  That’s ok though because it does give us some really solid mid-tier pitching that’s priced in a way we’ll be able to get some big bats into our stacks. 

Let’s Dig in and make some money!

MLB DFS Aces – Main

Steven Matz ($6.7k on DK) vs. Oakland Athletics

There are definitely much better pitchers on this slate.  Of those pitchers though, I’m not a huge fan of the matchups.  Could we go Freddy Peralta?  Sure, but he’s facing off against a really solid Padres lineup and I’m not a huge fan of attacking them with pitchers.  At $6.7k, we’re getting a pitcher in Steven Matz who has probably been a better real-life pitcher than a fantasy pitcher. 

That said, he has some upside today vs. an A’s team that is striking out 32% of the time vs. lefties on the year.  We really don’t need much from Matz today for him to hit value.  We had 3-4 K’s and him going around 5-6 innings while just allowing a run or 2.  With this type of matchup, that’s very much in play. 

Brady Singer ($9.2k on DK) vs. Chicago White Sox

Since last night’s game between the Royals and White Sox was ppd, I’m going to leave this write-up for Singer since it still holds true.  Some may say it’s lazy thinking, but I say work smarter and not harder.  Yes, I’ll be picking on both the A’s and White Sox on most nights.  They both have anemic offenses and offenses that strike out quite a bit.  Against righties this season, the White Sox are striking out around 23% of the time and putting up next to no offense.  Their wOBA vs. righties this season is a whopping .269.  That’s terrible and something we want to pick on as often as we can. 

For Singer’s part, he’s been really good.  His xFIP on the young season is just 3.18 and he has an ERA below 1.  Singer also has a K rate hovering around 26%.  He should be able to put up a ton of DK points tonight in this matchup.  Again, anything can happen in baseball but I really like Singer’s chances of joining Lynn as one of the higher performers tonight on the mound. 

MLB DFS Stacks – Main

New York Mets vs. Bailey Falter

After starting the season 0-5, the Mets are now over .500 for the first time this season thanks to winning 9 of their last 12 games.  They’ll look to keep the good times rolling with a soft matchup vs. Bailey Falter this afternoon.  We now have a several-season look at Falter to know that he’s nothing more than an average-at-best major league pitcher.  His career ERA is 4.73 and has a FIP that is nearly identical. 

He’s starting out the season very close to his career numbers.  While only 1 of his 3 starts has been bad, his overall performance has not been good.  He owns a nearly 35% hard-hit rate against and has allowed an 85% contact rate.  That’s really something we want to target and we’ll do so with one of the hottest teams in the league. 

Any Mets stack needs to start with the Polar Bear, Pete Alonso.  Alonso has been hot at the plate, with 3 homers over the last week as well as 7 runs scored.  He’ll be a lock in all of my lineups.  Another hitter on the Mets swing a hot stick has been Starling Marte.  After struggling with injuries last season, the Mets may finally have a healthy Marte and that’s huge for this lineup.  He has 8 hits in his last 27 AB and has scored 5 runs.  He’s relatively cheap at just $3.8k. 

Other guys I’ll look to here are going to be Harrison Bader and Francisco Lindor.  Lindor is starting to show some signs of life and hopefully, he has a monster game here as the Mets look to win their 10^th game of the season. 

Kansas City Royals vs. Jonathan Cannon

The Chicago White Sox will turn the ball over to a pitcher making his major league debut today in Jonathan Cannon.  If we look at Cannon’s minor league stats over the last 3 seasons, they’re nothing to write home about.  He has a career ERA approaching 4 and has a k/9 hovering around 8.  He did take a it up a notch through his first 2 starts this season as it’s a little bit over 10 K/9. 

That said, he profiles as just a back end of the rotation guy so he’s far from a top prospect for the White Sox.  Knowing that, I’m going to stack heavily against him today and hope at some point early, we get to a White Sox bullpen that has the second highest xFIP in the league so far this season.

I’m starting out my Royals stack with one of the top young players in the game, Bobby Witt Jr.  Witt is an elite hitter who continues to make things happen.  Over the last week, Witt has 7 hits in 25 AB but has more importantly scored 9 runs.  He’s as productive as anyone in the league right now.  He does however come at a steep price on DK today. 

After him, I’ll look to Vinnie Pasquantino. Vinnie has been crushing the ball recently, with 3 homers in his last 18 AB over the last week.  He also has a team leading 10 RBI during that stretch.  We’ll have to make a decision between him and Alonso today.  I’m going to side with Pasquantino a bit today because he’s nearly $1k cheaper.  After these 2, I’ll look to guys like Salvador Perez, Neslon Velazquez, and Hunter Renfroe.  The Royals should put up a ton of runs today. 

Good luck and hope to see you in the green.   

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for a PREMIUM account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate! 

Happy Patrick Corbin Day to all those who celebrate.  We’ll celebrate today as a family as the best lineup in baseball takes on the worst pitcher in the game.  Should be fun!  MLB has blessed us with a 10-game slate of MLB DFS tonight.  It’s a great-looking slate that should hopefully see more offense than we saw last night.  We have some pitches in really good spots as well.  It’s shaping up to be one of the better slates we’ve seen all year. 

Let’s Dig in and make some money!

MLB DFS Aces – Main

Lance Lynn ($8.4k on DK) vs. Oakland Athletics

Anything can happen on any given day, but I really like this spot for Lance Lynn tonight.  As will be the case on most nights, we’re picking on the Oakland Athletics.  Last night we saw a pitcher in Sonny Gray put up 27 points on just 72 pitches thanks to the 6 K’s and 0 ER allowed.  Can we see something similar from Lance Lynn today?  Absolutely.  On the year, Lynn has a 29% K rate.  He’s been pretty solid so far to the start the year and we should see more longevity from him tonight. 

Compared to the pitch count we saw Gray on last night, Lynn should be allowed to go as long as he can.  In his last outing he was all the way up to 94 pitchers.  If we can get another 94 pitches from him tonight, and similar to results to what we’ve seen from him so far this year, he should be one of the higher scoring pitchers on the night. 

Brady Singer ($9.2k on DK) vs. Chicago White Sox

Some may say it’s lazy thinking, but I say work smarter and not harder.  Yes, I’ll be picking on both the A’s and White Sox on most nights.  They both have anemic offenses and offenses that strike out quite a bit.  Against righties this season, the White Sox are striking out around 23% of the time and putting up next to no offense.  Their wOBA vs. righties this season is a whopping .269.  That’s terrible and something we want to pick on as often as we can. 

For Singer’s part, he’s been really good.  His xFIP on the young season is just 3.18 and he has an ERA below 1.  Singer also has a K rate hovering around 26%.  He should be able to put up a ton of DK points tonight in this matchup.  Again, anything can happen in baseball but I really like Singer’s chances of joining Lynn as one of the higher performers tonight on the mound. 

MLB DFS Stacks – Main

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Kyle Hendricks

I don’t typically chase homers as it’s a really risk endeavor.  That said, certain pitchers I will 100% chase homers against.  At the top of that list is Mr. Kyle Hendricks of the Chicago Cubs.  In the year, Hendricks has already given up 5 bombs.  He’s given up 2 in 2 of his 3 games and has allowed a homer in each game so far.  This is a trend that has been around most of Hendricks’s career.  Last season was the first season since 2019 that saw him give up less than 1 HR/9. 

He’s back this year giving up bombs left and right and it’s something we’ll want to continue to attack.  4 of the 5 homers he’s given up this season have been to lefties.  It’s really early and the numbers are inflated, but so far lefties have a mind-boggling .903 slugging % vs. him.  It will undoubtedly come down, but until it does we’ll want to prioritize lefties when stacking against him, and power lefties to boot.

The first 2 lefties I have in mind with this stack are going to be Corbin Carroll and Joc Pederson.  Only one of these guys is hitting the ball well right now and that’s Carroll.  He has a 91% contact rate over the last week and a 38% flyball rate.  If he can continue to put that many balls in the air against a homer-prone pitcher like Hendricks, magic can happen and that means a long ball. 

With Pederson, a lot of it has been bad luck for him.  He has an 89% contact rate but just 2 hits to show for it.  He also has one of the highest average exit velocities on the team over the last week at 93 mph.  His time is coming and I wouldn’t be shocked to see him take Hendricks deep tonight.  I also like guys like Marte, Alexander, and Walker tonight.  For me, this entire lineup will be in play in this matchup. 

San Diego Padres vs. Wade Miley

I really wanted to go with the Dodgers here but the pricing for them is so prohibitive tonight.  They are all extremely expensive.  While the Padres aren’t cheap, they are in a little bit better of a spot tonight than they Dodgers.  Wade Miley was very lucky to walk away with giving up just 1 ER in the 4 innings of work last week vs. the Reds.  In that start, he allowed a 45% hard-hit rate and did not get a single strikeout.  His ERA for the game was 2.25, but his xFIP of 6.54 told the story. 

He got hit and he got hit very hard and was lucky to escape.  I don’t think the same thing happens tonight vs. a very dangerous Padres lineup.  The Padres have been very strong vs. lefties this season, with a .815 OPS and a .230 ISO.  They should be able to get to the 37-year-old Miley tonight. 

I’m starting this stack with Manny Machado.  Machado has been the strongest hitter in this Padres lineup of late.  Over his last 26 AB, Machado has 10 hits and has scored 6 runs.  He also has 3 barrels over that stretch.  His $4.8k price tag tonight is very fair and isn’t going to break the bank.  The next one up for me in this lineup tonight will be Jurickson Profar.  Profar is a strong value play here at just $3.1k on DK.  He’ started out the season very strong, with a .311 AVG and a slugging % of .508.  I like him to continue with his strong play.  Other guys I’ll look to here are going to be Fernando Tatis, Ha-seong Kim, and Jackson Merrill. 

Other stacks I like today are the Dodgers vs. Patrick Corbin, Cardinals vs. JP Sears, and Mets vs. Jared Jones.

Good luck and hope to see you in the green.   

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for a PREMIUM account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate! 

We made it to the weekend y’all!  MLB has blessed us with an 11-game day slate of MLB DFS today.  At first glance, this slate lacks any proven top-tier pitching.  What it does give us though are a couple of young guns that could do really well today.  They also have tough matchups though where the outcome could be a bit different than they’ve grown accustomed to at the start of the young season. 

Let’s Dig in and make some money!

MLB DFS Aces – Main

Ryan Pepiot ($8.1k on DK) vs. San Francisco Giants

The Giants don’t strike out a whole lot, but they also don’t score many runs.  At a price point of $8.1k for Pepiot, we won’t need a whole boat of strikeouts today for him to reach value.  We’ll need about 5-6 strikeouts and giving up just a run or 2.  With the way that he’s performed so far this season, that is 100% within the realm of possibility today. 

Pepiot has now started 2 games this season.  He threw an absolute gem in Colorado a week ago, striking out 11 and not allowing a run in 6 innings of work.  He also faced the Rangers earlier in the year, a game in which he struggled.  All we need is a performance right in the middle of that and he’ll do just fine for us today.  The Giants are not a good offense, especially against righties.  I 100% think he can have a solid outing here and he’s not going to cost us much. 

MacKenzie Gore ($8.8k on DK) vs. Oakland Athletics

There are several teams that I’m going to continuously pick on this season with pitchers.  The Oakland Athletics are going to be one of those teams.  They were just awful last season and I don’t see how they aren’t going to be just as bad this season. The organization from top to bottom is a complete mess.  While they have a respectable 6-8 record, they also have a -21 run differential so far this season. 

Through the 14 games, they’ve scored just 39 runs.  That’s less than 3 runs a game.  That’s terrible and something we want to pick on as much as we can.  Through 2 games so far this season, Gore has pitched fairly effectively.  He’s struck out 6 in each game and has allowed just 5 ER total.  Against a team that has a nearly 27% K rate vs. lefties, there’s definitely some upside for Gore this afternoon.  Look for him to have a solid game today. 

MLB DFS Stacks – Main

Minnesota Twins vs. Kent Maeda

Today we’re going to have a battle of bad offense vs. even worse pitching.  While the Twins offense has yet to really have their awakening so far this season, I think it comes this afternoon against Kent Maeda.  Maeda so far has looked terrible.  As Charles Barkley would probably say, he’s been terrible, just terrible.  In his 2 outings so far, he’s faced the White Sox and A’s. 

Two bad offenses and he’s allowed a combined 4 homers and 9 ER.  He’s allowed 4 barrels in his 9 innings of work.  If ever there was a matchup that would wake up the struggling Minnesota Twins offense, it’s this.  Is there a risk here? Of course, there is.  Anytime you use a struggling offense, it’s risky. But this is a good matchup here as Maeda has really been bad. 

The first person I’m looking at with this stack is going to be Edouard Julien.  Julien is one of the few Twins hitters who’s really hitting the ball well right now.  Over the last week, Julien has a wOBA of .459.  He also has 4 barrels and 2 homers over that stretch.  With the platoon advantage here, I like him to have a solid day here.  I wouldn’t be shocked to see a leadoff homer out of him either. 

I’ll also look to guys like Byron Buxton, Alex Kirilloff, and Max Kepler.  This lineup has too much talent to stay down for too long.  Look for the struggling Kent Maeda to really give this lineup a fighting chance to finally put up some runs today. 

Boston Red Sox vs. Griffin Canning

I really wish Rafael Devers was healthy here, but he’s not and will more than likely miss this game.  Even with him missing the game, I still really like this spot for Boston.  They were embarrassed in front of the home crowd last night, but they’ll get a much easier task tonight against Griffin Canning.  Canning has been awful to start the season.  He boasts an 8.38 ERA and a 6.7 xFIP.  He’s allowed 4 homers and 7 barrels in just 9 innings of work. 

It’s been a huge struggle for him so far and I think he’ll continue to struggle this afternoon.  The Red Sox currently have an implied run total of 5 and I think they get all of it and more this afternoon.  Canning has historically struggled vs. righties as they have a .501 slugging % vs. him.  That’s compared to just a .398 for lefties. 

I’m starting this Red Sox Stack with Tyler O’Neill.  He’s really been the guy in this lineup that has been hitting the best this season.  Even though he has just 3 hits over the last week, it’s been somewhat of bad luck as his BABIP is a whopping .111.  When he’s made contact, he’s crushed the ball.  Yes, he’s got a nearly 50% strikeout rate over the last week, but he’s facing a pitcher in Canning today who has an 82% contact rate.  I’m not worried about strikeouts here for O’Neill.  Look for him to get back on track today. 

Other guys I like here are Triston Casas and Caddanne Rafaela.  Even though they are lefties, I also like Jarren Duran, Masatak Yoshida, and Triston Casas.  I’m expecting a lot of runs in this game today for the Red Sox.

Other stacks I like today are the Mets vs. Alec Marsh, Orioles vs. DL Hall, and Astros vs. Andrew Heaney.

Good luck and hope to see you in the green.   

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for a PREMIUM account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate! 

TGIF!  It’s Friday and you know what that means.  We have ourselves a massive slate on our hands.  Tonight, we’ll be blessed with a 12-game slate of MLB DFS.  This slate has a little bit of everything.  Aces, gas cans, and also everything in between.  This should be a fun slate as there are many different directions we can do. 

Let’s Dig in and make some money!

MLB DFS Aces – Main

Andrew Abbott ($8.2k on DK) vs. Chicago White Sox

The days of using the White Sox vs. lefties are pretty much gone.  This is now a very watered-down lineup that no longer has Tim Anderson and one of their few remaining stars in Yoan  Moncada is now going to be out for 3-6 months.  This is a bad lineup that we’ll want to take advantage of any chance we can get.  Tonight, we’ll do that with Andrew Abbott of the Reds.  The one concern with Abbott so far is that his K’s are really down. 

In his debut season last season, he had a K/9 of 9.88.  That followed several seasons in the minors that saw him have K/9’s well into the double digits.  This season it’s sitting around 7.  I expect his K’s to pick up tonight in a cake matchup.  The White Sox are striking out 31% of the time vs. lefties to start the season.  Look for Abbott to have a huge night in a great matchup. 

Tanner Houck ($8.4k on DK) vs. Los Angeles Angels

I’m going to mostly stay away from the top-tier pitching tonight.  Yoshinobu Yamamoto is the premier name pitching tonight but he gets a bad matchup vs. the San Diego Padres.  That’s leaving me to play around in the mid-tier of pitching tonight.  Next up for us will be Tanner Houck.  Houck has now pitched in 2 games so far this season and has racked up 17 K’s.  7 of those were against this same Angels team a week ago. 

I like his chances quite a bit to mostly replicate that outing he had.  The Angels have not been good vs. righties this season.  They own a nearly 25% K rate vs. them and the power numbers have not been there as they also have just a .661 OPS.  This is a great spot for another mid-tier pitcher tonight. 

Other pitchers I like tonight are going to be Freddy Peralta vs. the Orioles and Kevin Gausman vs. the Rockies.  I will more than likely stick with the law firm of Abbott and Houck though.

MLB DFS Stacks – Main

Cincinnati Reds vs. Chris Flexen

When in doubt, we pick on Chris Flexen.  Flexen is on my list of pitchers that anytime he’s on the mound, stacking against him is in play.  It doesn’t matter the team, we stack against him.  Tonight, thankfully we get a strong lineup to use against.  Flexen had 2 good seasons after coming back from Korea.  Those are way in the rearview mirror as Flexen really regressed in 2023 back to what he is, and that’s a gas can. 

This season has been no better for him as through 2 outings, he has a nearly 6 ERA and xFIP of 5.85.  He just gives up way too much contact at 86%.  Hitters aren’t fooled by any of his pitchers as his chase rate is just 23%.  He’s going to struggle mightily vs. this very good Reds lineup.  Flexen is a reverse splits pitcher so we’ll want to target righties here first.

That’s going to have me target guys like Jonathan India, Spencer Steer, and Christian Encarnacion-Strand.  CES has really struggled to start the year. He has 6 strikeouts over the last week and only 3 hits.  That changes tonight against a contact pitcher.  When making contact, it’s actually been pretty good contact as he has 2 barrels over the last week and a nearly 40% hard-hit rate.  Flexen will be his slump-buster. 

After the righties, I’ll want to look at guys like Elly De La Cruz, Will Benson, and Jake Fraley.  De La Cruz is red hot at the plate with 8 hits in his last 20 AB.  He also has scored 9 runs while driving in 6.  He’s one of the most dynamic players in the game right now and he’ll show off those skills in a great matchup.  This lineup should get all of the 5 runs they’re expected to get and then some. 

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tyler Wells

Tyler Wells is probably the weak link in this Orioles rotation.  Through 2 starts, he’s been very average and I think that’s putting it mildly.  He’s allowed 3 ER in each of his starts this season and those were against far inferior teams than the Brewers.  Hitters have really hit him hard so far as he’s allowed a hard-hit rate of more than 36%. 

He’s going to have his hands full tonight as he faces off against one of the better lineups in the game to start the season.  No team has scored more runs over the last week than the Brewers.  They’ll look to keep that going tonight.  Similar to Flexen, Wells is a reverse splits pitcher.  Righties have had way more success against Wells than lefties. 

That has me on guys like Rhys Hoskins, William Contreras, Jackson Chourio, and Willy Adames.  Contreras is more than I normally like paying for catcher, but you have to respect what he’s been doing of late.  Over the last week, he has 11 hits in 25 AB.  He also has driven in 9 runs while scoring another 8.  He’s been a huge force in this lineup and that should continue with this matchup tonight. 

I’m not going to shy away from the lefties here either.  Guys like Christian Yelich and Sal Frelick are very much in play.  Yelich has been superb to start the season.  He’s already belted 5 homers and has driven in 11 runs.  He’ll look to continue the great play tonight in the beautiful city of Baltimore. 

Other stacks I really like tonight are going to the Marlins vs. a struggling Max Fried, the suddenly hot Mets vs. Michael Wacha Wacha Wacha, and the Astros vs. Dane Dunning. 

Good luck and hope to see you in the green.   

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for a PREMIUM account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate! 

It’s Wednesday and that typically brings us a split slate.  Today is no different as we have 2 different slates of MLB DFS.  I’ll be focused on the main slate starting this evening at 6:40 pm EST.  As I sit back and look at pitching on this slate, it leaves a whole ton to be desired.  At first glance, we have no aces but a bunch of average-at-best pitching.  It’s going to be a night where we pick our pitching and hope for the best.  It also means it’s going to be a night where offense will reign supreme. 

Let’s Dig in and make some money!

MLB DFS Aces – Main

Marcus Stroman ($9.6k on DK) vs. Miami Marlins

I want to throw up knowing that I’m going to pay $9.6k for a pitcher like Marcus Stroman.  He’s a low strikeout pitcher who has a career K/9 of just 7.5.  For the year so far, he’s right on that number.  With all that said though, he’s pitching brilliantly to start the season as he hasn’t allowed a run yet and his xFIP is also strong at just 3.75.  He’s now thrown 2 gems against 2 very tough lineups in Houston and Toronto. 

Can he do it again against an even worse lineup in the Marlins?  I think he can.  The Marlins for the year have a sub .680 OPS against right-handed pitching and they also have just an 84 wRC+.  That’s the lowest of any team playing tonight.  Look for Stroman to have another strong outing tonight to start his season. 

Cody Bradford ($9k on DK) vs. Oakland Athletics

I will continue to throw pitchers against Oakland.  They are a bottom-tier lineup and one that will struggle to put up runs.  They were lucky to put up 4 runs last night as Shea Langeliers had a career night with 3 homers.  Take him out of the equation and it would have been the same ole same ole for the A’s.  I don’t want to take anything away from Cody Bradford though.  He’s been solid to start the season. 

The young southpaw for the Rangers is 2-0 with a very respectable 2.13 ERA.  He’ll look to continue his solid start with an easy matchup today.  He needs to continue to limit the hard contact and if he does, he’ll be one of the top-scoring pitchers on the slate. 

MLB DFS Stacks – Main

New York Yankees vs. Ryan Weathers

The Yankees mostly let us down last night in what was a great matchup as they only scored 3 runs last night.  It wasn’t for the lack of trying though, they just got a bit unlucky.  They had multiple batted balls over 100 MPH.  Unfortunately, the BABIP gods weren’t in their favor last night.  Things will be different tonight as they get a very similar matchup against another very beatable lefty. 

Weathers has an ERA of 4 to start the season and an xFIP pushing 5.  He’s going to struggle against a team that has a nearly .800 OPS vs. lefties to start the season as well as a .359 wOBA.  Weathers has really struggled against righties in his career.  They have a .529 slugging % and a .373 OBP, for an OPS north of .900. 

Similar to last night, I’m going to build around Aaron Judge, Anthony Volpe, and Giancarlo Stanton.  All 3 guys are lefty smashers.  Even though Stanton’s bat has slowed down quite a bit from his younger days, he’s still a force that can hit laser beams out of Yankee Stadium.  I think he’s the one to go deep tonight vs. Weathers.  Other guys we’ll want here are going to be Alex Verdugo and future Mets outfield, Juan Soto.  Verdugo showed last night he can hit lefties, and can hit them with some power.  I fully expect the Yankees to do more damage than the 3 runs they scored last night. 

San Diego Padres vs. Kyle Hendricks

I have never been a big fan of Kyle Hendricks.  I think he’s mostly overrated and someone that we can normally count on to allow some homers.  Last season was the first time since 2019 that he allowed less than 1 HR/9.  While it’s very early, this year he’s up to 3.52 HR/9.  That’s way inflated, but for a pitcher that always has had an issue with allowing homers, it’s not too inflated.  He’s pitched in 2 games so far, allowing 5 ER in each of them.  I’ll add that both games he pitched in this season were against 2 of the best offenses in the league.  The Padres are definitely a step below the Dodgers and Rangers, but they still have a ton of fire power and can get to Hendricks today. 

The 3 big names here are Fernando Tatis, Manny Machado, and Xander Bogaerts.  All 3 hitters stand chances to have monster nights.  Of the 3, Bogaerts may be my favorite as he’s the cheapest of the 3, but he’s also the one hitting the ball the best.  Over the last week, he has 6 hits and has also scored 4 runs.  Add in the 2 barrels he has and we have someone that is really set up well to keep hitting well tonight.  In this stack, I’ll also want to look at guys like Jake Cronenworth, Jurickson Profar, and Ha-seong Kim.  I expect this stack to really take off tonight. 

Other stacks I like tonight are going to be the Mets vs. the Braves bullpen (keep an eye on the weather) and the Rangers vs. Ross Stripling. 

Good luck and hope to see you in the green.   

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for a PREMIUM account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate! 

Happy day after the Solar Eclipse!  We have ourselves a large  11-game slate of MLB DFS tonight.  This slate is mostly void of aces, but we do have some top-tier pitching.  This slate is also full of very hittable pitches, meaning we’ll have plenty of teams to consider for our stacking.  It’s early in the season, but it’s already been a fun one and going to get even more fun tonight. 

Let’s Dig in and make some money!

MLB DFS Aces – Main

Zack Wheeler ($9.6k on DK) vs. St. Louis Cardinals

Zack Wheeler is one of the true aces on this slate tonight and is priced accordingly.  We watched Tigers castoff Spencer Turnbull throw a gem against these same Cardinals last night, throwing 6 innings and striking out 6 while not allowing a run.  We should be fairly confident that a guy like Wheeler can more than replicate Turnbull’s performance.  Wheeler is one of the top pitchers in the game. 

Through his 2 starts this season, he’s been tremendous.  His K rate is up to 31% and has not allowed much to opposing offenses as his WHIP is below .8 and his ERA is just .75.  IF xFIP is your thing, that’s extremely low also at just 2.19.  He’s off to a great start this season and that should continue tonight in a cake matchup vs. a Cardinals team striking out 27% of the time vs. righties so far this season. 

Aaron Civale ($7.7k on DK) vs. Los Angeles Angels

Another pitcher off to a solid start this season is Aaron Civale of the Tampa Bay Rays.  Making his new home in Tampa this season, Civale has just a 1.5 ERA and a 3.20 xFIP through his 2 starts.  He also has an impressive 31.1% K rate.  As a pitcher who’s never been known to be a high K guy, we can’t expect this number to last too long from Civale. 

That said, this is a matchup where he should continue to get some K’s.  The Angels are striking out 25% of the time vs. righties this season.  At just $7.7k and with this matchup, Civale has a lot of value tonight.  Look for him to continue with the momentum he’s built so far and have a strong game vs. an average-at-best Angels lineup. 

I also really like Nate Eovaldi at just $8.8k vs. a bad Oakland A’s team.  He should smash in this spot tonight as well. 

MLB DFS Stacks – Main

New York Yankees vs. A.J. Puk

A.J. Puk looked a little bit better in outing number 2 than he did in his initial outing.  Still, though, he allowed 4 runs to score.  That’s 8 guys that have scored against him so far across 2 games, with 6 of them being earned.  His xFIP is massive to start the season at 7.41.  That’s the highest of any pitcher on tonight’s slate.  His biggest issue is that he’s falling behind on too many batters.  He’s throwing first-pitch strikes just 54% of the time and has a WHIP of 2.83. 

That’s just too many hitters reaching base to be successful at the major league level.  I’m sure as the season moves along it will normalize, but right now it’s high and something we should take advantage of.  Puk struggles mightly vs. righties as they have a .417 slugging % vs. him.  He’s going to face a lineup tonight that will more than likely have 6 righties in it.  It’s going to be a struggle for Puk and the Marlins bullpen today.

I’m going to start my Yankees stack with the most feared hitter in the game, Aaron Judge.  Aaron Judge has a long history of crushing lefties as he has a career .575 slugging % vs them.  With a very hittable lefty on the mound in Puk, this is a smash spot for Judge.  The righties that I really like here are going to be Giancarlo Stanton, Gleyber Torres, and Anthony Volpe.  There’s no need to avoid the lefties here either as we can’t expect Puk to stay around too long tonight.  That will bring guys like Juan Soto and Alex Verdugo into play.  The weather is finally warming up in the northeast and that should help to raise scoring in the Bronx tonight. 

Texas Rangers vs. Alex Wood

While Alex Wood was a smidge better in outing number 2 last week, his overall body of work so far this season is bad.  Through the 2 starts, he owns a nearly 10 ERA.  He’s giving up way more hard contact than he is in soft and when you allow a nearly 80% contact rate, that’s just not ideal.  He’s only allowed 1 barrel so far, but his average exit velocity against him is a whopping 94.1.  The hitters are just teeing off on him.  The Rangers, one of the best lineups in all of baseball, are set to really take full advantage of him tonight.  They have an implied run total of over 5 tonight and I think they get all of that and way more.  Wood has a long enough track record to show that we really want the righties here.

I’ll start this stack with Adolis Garcia.  Garcia has been great to start the 2024 season as he’s already up 4 homers and 11 RBI.  He has not slowed down 1 bit from the amazing post-season run he had last year.  Next up in this stack is going to be Leody Taveras and Marcus Semien.  Both guys have started the season strong, especially Semien who has a combined 17 runs plus RBI.  I won’t shy away from lefties here either because I really don’t expect Wood to stay around longer than 1 turn of the lineup.  So in come Corey Seager and guys like Jared Walsh and Evan Carter.  This whole lineup is in play tonight.

Other stacks I like tonight are going to be the Diamondbacks vs. Cal Quantrill, Mets vs. Reynaldo Lopez, and Cubs vs. Joe Musgrove

Good luck and hope to see you in the green.   

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for a PREMIUM account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate!