Jared Levitt 
It’s Wednesday and that typically brings us a split slate. Today is no different as we have 2 different slates of MLB DFS. I’ll be focused on the main slate starting this evening at 6:40 pm EST. As I sit back and look at pitching on this slate, it leaves a whole ton to be desired. At first glance, we have no aces but a bunch of average-at-best pitching. It’s going to be a night where we pick our pitching and hope for the best. It also means it’s going to be a night where offense will reign supreme.
Let’s Dig in and make some money!
MLB DFS Aces – Main
Marcus Stroman ($9.6k on DK) vs. Miami Marlins
I want to throw up knowing that I’m going to pay $9.6k for a pitcher like Marcus Stroman. He’s a low strikeout pitcher who has a career K/9 of just 7.5. For the year so far, he’s right on that number. With all that said though, he’s pitching brilliantly to start the season as he hasn’t allowed a run yet and his xFIP is also strong at just 3.75. He’s now thrown 2 gems against 2 very tough lineups in Houston and Toronto.
Can he do it again against an even worse lineup in the Marlins? I think he can. The Marlins for the year have a sub .680 OPS against right-handed pitching and they also have just an 84 wRC+. That’s the lowest of any team playing tonight. Look for Stroman to have another strong outing tonight to start his season.
Cody Bradford ($9k on DK) vs. Oakland Athletics
I will continue to throw pitchers against Oakland. They are a bottom-tier lineup and one that will struggle to put up runs. They were lucky to put up 4 runs last night as Shea Langeliers had a career night with 3 homers. Take him out of the equation and it would have been the same ole same ole for the A’s. I don’t want to take anything away from Cody Bradford though. He’s been solid to start the season.
The young southpaw for the Rangers is 2-0 with a very respectable 2.13 ERA. He’ll look to continue his solid start with an easy matchup today. He needs to continue to limit the hard contact and if he does, he’ll be one of the top-scoring pitchers on the slate.
MLB DFS Stacks – Main
New York Yankees vs. Ryan Weathers
The Yankees mostly let us down last night in what was a great matchup as they only scored 3 runs last night. It wasn’t for the lack of trying though, they just got a bit unlucky. They had multiple batted balls over 100 MPH. Unfortunately, the BABIP gods weren’t in their favor last night. Things will be different tonight as they get a very similar matchup against another very beatable lefty.
Weathers has an ERA of 4 to start the season and an xFIP pushing 5. He’s going to struggle against a team that has a nearly .800 OPS vs. lefties to start the season as well as a .359 wOBA. Weathers has really struggled against righties in his career. They have a .529 slugging % and a .373 OBP, for an OPS north of .900.
Similar to last night, I’m going to build around Aaron Judge, Anthony Volpe, and Giancarlo Stanton. All 3 guys are lefty smashers. Even though Stanton’s bat has slowed down quite a bit from his younger days, he’s still a force that can hit laser beams out of Yankee Stadium. I think he’s the one to go deep tonight vs. Weathers. Other guys we’ll want here are going to be Alex Verdugo and future Mets outfield, Juan Soto. Verdugo showed last night he can hit lefties, and can hit them with some power. I fully expect the Yankees to do more damage than the 3 runs they scored last night.
San Diego Padres vs. Kyle Hendricks
I have never been a big fan of Kyle Hendricks. I think he’s mostly overrated and someone that we can normally count on to allow some homers. Last season was the first time since 2019 that he allowed less than 1 HR/9. While it’s very early, this year he’s up to 3.52 HR/9. That’s way inflated, but for a pitcher that always has had an issue with allowing homers, it’s not too inflated. He’s pitched in 2 games so far, allowing 5 ER in each of them. I’ll add that both games he pitched in this season were against 2 of the best offenses in the league. The Padres are definitely a step below the Dodgers and Rangers, but they still have a ton of fire power and can get to Hendricks today.
The 3 big names here are Fernando Tatis, Manny Machado, and Xander Bogaerts. All 3 hitters stand chances to have monster nights. Of the 3, Bogaerts may be my favorite as he’s the cheapest of the 3, but he’s also the one hitting the ball the best. Over the last week, he has 6 hits and has also scored 4 runs. Add in the 2 barrels he has and we have someone that is really set up well to keep hitting well tonight. In this stack, I’ll also want to look at guys like Jake Cronenworth, Jurickson Profar, and Ha-seong Kim. I expect this stack to really take off tonight.
Other stacks I like tonight are going to be the Mets vs. the Braves bullpen (keep an eye on the weather) and the Rangers vs. Ross Stripling.
Good luck and hope to see you in the green.
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