Tag:

Miami Dolphins

NFL DFS: Thanksgiving Edition

DFSGhost 4 months ago

written by DFSGhost

As we gear up for Week 13 of the NFL season, one of the best DFS slates of the year has arrived: Thanksgiving. Despite three games being much less than a traditional Sunday, the player pool is filled with enticing options at each position.

Be sure to use our proprietary NFL projections to build your lineups as the news rolls in. Moreover, join the conversation in the Win Daily Discord to get the insight you need from both subscribers and staff.

Quarterbacks

Jared Goff ($6,500 DK / $8,200 FD)

Pacing the NFL with a whopping 32.7 points per game, Jared Goff has led this Lions offense to new heights this season. Surrounded by a plethora of talent at every position, Goff has entered Most Valuable Player conversations amongst the league’s best. Playing behind a stout offensive line that has only allowed 22 sacks through 11 games, Goff ranks fourth in protection rate amongst qualified quarterbacks, leading to the most efficient season of his career. Goff ranks first in yards per attempt, second in completion percentage, second in deep ball completion percentage, and third in red zone completion percentage. In a matchup against a Chicago Bears defense that has a mere 21.8% blitz rate and the third highest average depth of target allowed, Goff and the Lions offense are poised to have a big day.

Tua Tagovailoa ($6,000 DK / $8,000 FD)

Despite missing half of Miami’s games thus far through 12 weeks, Tua Tagovailoa has been having quite the season. Having won three in a row, Tagovailoa has led the Dolphins back into the playoff hunt. While the matchup is far from appealing on paper with the Packers ranked 4^th DVOA against the pass and the cold weather conditions, Tagovailoa’s ceiling is as high as any quarterback on this NFL slate. While the Packers don’t do anything exceptionally well or notably struggle in a particular area, Miami has an edge in player personnel, especially if Jaire Alexander is unable to play.

Thanks to the offensive play-calling of Mike McDaniel and a supporting cast of Tyreek Hill, Jaylen Waddle, and Devon Achane, Tagovailoa has averaged 255.5 yards per game since returning from injury, throwing for an average of 2.2 touchdowns. Moreover, he has averaged 34 passing attempts per game during that stretch, including a whopping 40 attempts last week, despite winning the game by 19 points. Make no mistake about it – this is one of the premier offenses in the NFL when Tagovailoa is under center. In their last three games, Miami is 3-0 and have averaged 30.33 points per game, while averaging 27.5 points per game in the six full games from their starting quarterback, versus 10 points per game with Tyler Huntley, Skylar Thompson, and Tim Boyle under center. Expect Tagovailoa to get the ball out to his playmakers early and often.

Honorable Mentions: Jordan Love, Caleb Williams

Running Backs

Devon Achane ($7,700 DK / $9,000 FD)

Making his mark with an immediate impact in his rookie season, Devon Achane has quickly become a household name amongst the fantasy football community. Known for his big-play ability and exceptional speed, Achane fits this Miami offense like a glove. Despite the Packers’ defense holding rushing attacks to 4.3 yards per carry, 112.7 rushing yards per game, and 10 touchdowns, it is Achane’s work in the passing game that gives him one of, if not the highest ceiling of any player on the slate. Essentially operating as the Dolphins WR2/WR3 this season, Achane ranks second in target share amongst running backs, third in receiving yards, and second in receptions. Sporting an absurd 44.4% route participation rate, Achane is poised for another big game, where he has posted over 20 fantasy points in four of the last five since Tagovailoa has returned, including four or more targets and three or more receptions during that span.

Jahmyr Gibbs ($7,500 DK / $8,400 FD)

If you are looking for a pivot to Achane at the running back position, look no further than Jahmyr Gibbs. Coming into this one as a 10-point home favorite, the Lions’ running back duo most certainly will be of interest. However, their level of importance on this slate relies upon David Montgomery’s health. At the time of writing, Montgomery was a non-participant in practice, leaving his status for Thursday’s game in question. If Montgomery is eventually ruled out, or is limited in any fashion, Gibbs immediately becomes a top priority.

Although he conceives a sizable amount of work to Montgomery in a shared backfield, Gibbs has made a true impact in the NFL’s best offense, despite the lack of opportunity compared to other teams’ featured running backs. Gibbs has only received 12 or more carries in two of the team’s last five games, while having a mere 51.8% snap share on the season, but he makes the most of the chances he gets. Gibbs sits fourth in the NFL in rushing yards and has 11 total touchdowns, 10 of which came on the ground. Moreover, he is third in yards per carry with 5.8, second in breakaway runs with 14, and first in explosive runs rating.

Josh Jacobs ($7,000 DK / $7,800 FD)

While the majority of the field will prioritize the first two running backs listed here, and rightfully so, Josh Jacobs make for an excellent tournament play. With MarShawn Lloyd struggling with injuries and AJ Dillon on injured reserve since the beginning of the year, Jacobs has gotten all the touches he can handle in his first season with Green Bay. Jacobs has already eclipsed 200 carries on the season, ranking fourth in the NFL. Moreover, the Packers are executing over 30 run plays per game, good for sixth in the NFL. This has led to Jacobs being third in total rush yards, while averaging 4.7 yards per carry and posting eight touchdowns. If you are feeling uneasy about the Packers wide receiver carousel, the weather conditions in this one, or a combination of both, then Jacobs is your guy.

Rico Dowdle ($5,500 DK / $6,100 FD)

While he is unlikely to lead the position in scoring when all three games have finished, Rico Dowdle has a ton of upside in this one. Since their bye week, the Cowboys have essentially turned the keys over to Dowdle over Ezekiel Elliott, and the former has certainly outperformed the latter. Despite the negative game scripts the Cowboys are often in due to Dak Prescott’s season-ending injury, Dowdle continues to make the best of a bad situation. He has now had double-digit carries in four straight games, including three or more targets in each appearance during that span. Moreover, the matchup against a Giants defense that has been decimated on the ground makes for an intriguing conversation surrounding the Cowboys lead running back. On the season, New York has allowed the third-most rushing yards per game, including a league-worst 5.2 yards per carry. While he is not in the same category of the top running backs on this slate, Dowdle can make a case to be the best overall play in the mid range of the pricing grid.

Honorable Mentions: David Montgomery, Tyrone Tracy Jr.

Wide Receivers

Amon-Ra St. Brown ($8,000 DK / $9,000 FD)

After a phenomenal season just a year ago, Amon-Ra St. Brown has picked up right where he left off. While there are many skilled players in one of, if not the best offense in the NFL, St. Brown is the heartbeat to it all. Not only does he lead the team in almost every category, but he sits fourth in the league in receptions, eighth in yards, and second in receiving touchdowns. Moreover, he leads the entire NFL with 49 catches resulting in a first down. While Jaylon Johnson has been having an amazing season for the Bears, St. Brown is the clear top option on the slate and is matchup-proof.

Pivot: CeeDee Lamb ($7,300 DK / $8,600 FD)

Jameson Williams ($6,100 DK / $5,700 FD)

If you cannot play St. Brown, there are plenty of other ways to get exposure to the offense with the highest implied team total on the slate. Jameson Williams missed two weeks after being suspended but has not missed a beat since coming back. Across those last three games, Williams has amassed a 12-241-1 line on 18 targets. Moreover, he ranks 4^th in the NFL in receiving yards per target, meaning he does not need a ton of looks to be productive. Williams has an average depth of target of 14.1, a 34.5% air yards share, and ranks third amongst qualified wide receivers with 2.57 fantasy points per target.

Pivot: Tyreek Hill ($6,900 DK / $7,800 FD)

***Keenan Allen ($5,100 DK / $6,500 FD)* and *Rome Odunze ($5,000 DK / $5,500 FD)***

It is no surprise that the Bears offense has improved in the last two weeks versus the early stages of their season. Following the firing of Shane Waldron, Thomas Brown has taken over offensive coordinator duties for one of the most intriguing offensive depth charts in the NFL. Brown, who spent three seasons under Sean McVay in Los Angeles, has yet to get a win in his new role, but this offense passes the eye test. While all three Bears wide receivers have seen an uptick in volume, most notably Rome Odunze, it is Keenan Allen that is a top option for Caleb Williams in this matchup. After a slow start to the season, Allen came alive last week, posting a 9-86-1 line on 15 targets, operating primarily out of the slot. However, Odunze also ran his fair share of routes out of the slot, slightly behind Allen.

With all three wide receivers seeing over 82% of the snaps in back-to-back weeks, there is plenty of opportunity to pick on a matchup against the Lions’ slot coverage. Amik Robertson is Detroit’s primary slot corner, playing nearly 50% of the snaps and 90% of those out of the slot. This season, Robertson has allowed 1.44 fantasy points per target, including a 59.6% catch rate, leading the Lions to rank 26^th in the NFL in fantasy points per game allowed to opposing slot receivers.

Honorable Mentions: Malik Nabers, Jaylen Waddle, DJ Moore, Jayden Reed

Tight Ends

Jonnu Smith ($4,300 DK / $6,300 FD)

While he is far from a top option in an offense boasting the likes of Tyreek Hill, Jaylen Waddle, and Devon Achane, Smith has been remarkable since Tagovailoa returned from injury. Over his last five games, Smith has three or more receptions in each appearance, having eclipsed 45 yards in four straight games. Moreover, he has a whopping 15 receptions and 188 yards in his last two, where he also caught three touchdowns. With the Packers having a low 20.3% blitz rate, Miami won’t be forced for extra help on their offensive line, leaving room for Smith to run more routes. The Packers rank 10^th in DVOA against tight ends, giving up a near 20% target rate and 1.67 yards per route ran.

Sam LaPorta ($4,100 DK / $5,700 FD)

Despite the falloff from a remarkable rookie season, it is hard to blame Sam LaPorta for his personal shortcomings, rather than to look at just how good everyone else in this offense has been. When your offense has two elite running backs, Amon-Ra St. Brown, and Jameson Williams, you won’t be a top option every single time your team takes the field. However, LaPorta can easily be the highest scoring tight end of the slate, which you’ll need. In Detroit stacks, it will be hard to overlook a player that averages 2.49 fantasy points per target at a scarce position. Moreover, the Bears defense will have their hands full doubling St. Brown on the outside, similarly to how they did to Justin Jefferson last week, leading T.J. Hockenson to explode for seven receptions and 114 yards.

Honorable Mentions: Tucker Kraft, Theo Johnson

DST Rankings

Dallas Cowboys ($3,100 DK / $4,100 FD)
Detroit Lions ($3,500 DK / $4,700 FD)
Green Bay Packers ($2,800 DK / $4,200 FD) and Miami Dolphins ($2,700 DK / $3,900 FD)
New York Giants ($2,800 DK / $3,700 FD)
Chicago Bears ($2,300 DK / $3,500 FD)

4 months ago 0 comments

Daily Fantasy Sports NFL Premium

Week 16 NFL DFS Monday Night Showdown: Dolphins at Saints

Antonio D'Arcangelis 3 years ago

written by Antonio D'Arcangelis

The NFL DFS season continues with the Monday night showdown, and we’ve got the breakdown to help you win big in one of the final Week 16 NFL DFS contests!

NOTE: For a refresher on showdown general rules and strategy, see my first showdown article of 2021.

Let’s get to the game!

Week 16 NFL DFS MVP candidates (1.5x points)

Some notes on the differences between MVP on FanDuel and DraftKings: The 1.5x point boost on FD comes with no salary penalty, while and DK also bumps the salary to 1.5x – a crucial factor in deciding who we can and cannot afford on both sites. We can use this to our advantage on FD by occasionally targeting non-QBs to establish more variance and more unique lineups, and on DK it allows us to build more hearty overall stacks when we punt the MVP position with a cheap but high-upside player.

Week 16 NFL DFS Chalk: Alvin Kamara (FD $16,500, DK $18,300)

Pivot: Tua Tagovailoa (FD $15,000, DK $15,300)

Contrarian #1: Jalen Waddle (FD $13,000, DK $17,400)

Contrarian #2: Ian Book (FD $12,000, DK $13,500)

Contrarian #3: DeVante Parker (FD $10,500, DK $14,100)

DK Value Play: Mike Gesicki (FD $10,000, DK $9,600)

Alvin Kamara is the obvious chalk play for tonight’s showdown, but there are a few interesting pivots from both teams to consider, including Saints starting QB Ian Book, a largely unheralded rookie who gets the nod with Trevor Siemian and Taysom Hill (COVID) unavailable.

Dolphins notes: Miami has a timeshare going on on at RB right now (starring both Duke Johnson and Myles Gaskin), so it’s much safer to look at the passing game with Tua Tagovailoa and the receivers. Both Jalen Waddle and DeVante Parker are available this week, as is TE Mike Gesicki, who offers decent value on both sites. While I have no preference among the RBs, I think Waddle and Gesicki are the priorities this week — though Parker is coming off his best fantasy performance (4-68-1 in Week 15 vs. NYJ) since Week 4 against the Colts. Kicker Jason Sanders and the Dolphins DST are also firmly in play

Saints notes: The untested Book is likely looking at a lower ownership than most QBs in this showdown, but since he’s an unknown commodity it’s a good idea to get some shares, even if it means generally fading the WRs — including Marquez Callaway and a questionable Tre’Quan Smith (hamstring). Kamara should be the focus of your builds this week but we could see more runs from veteran backup Mark Ingram as well. Kicker Brett Maher and the Saints DST are a slightly lesser priorities than their Miami counterparts.

Week 16 NFL DFS Final thoughts (and some DOs and DON’Ts)

Remember to build your team based on a narrative that makes sense.

DO: Build a trio (or quartet) of offensive weapons for a team that makes sense together.

DON’T: Be afraid to take some risks.

DO: Use the projected team totals to shade one way or the other with your selections.

DON’T: Worry about spending every dollar.

Now that we’ve established some Week 16 NFL DFS narratives and MVP candidates, the best way to round out this piece is with a list of my favorite options in descending order, based on overall value (a combo of salary and projected points):

Alvin Kamara
Jaylen Waddle
Tua Tagovailoa
DeVante Parker
Mike Gesicki
Ian Book
Myles Gaskin
Duke Johnson
Marquez Callaway
Dolphins DST
Tre’Quan Smith (if active)
Mark Ingram
Jason Sanders
Isaiah Ford
Brett Maher
Saints DST
Lil’Jordan Humphrey
Mack Hollins
Ty Montgomery
Nick Vannett
Adam Shaheen
Durham Smythe

Don’t forget to read the rest of WinDaily’s excellent football articles this week as you prep for next week’s action!

3 years ago 0 comments

NFL Daily Fantasy Sports Premium

Week 10 NFL DFS Thursday Night Showdown: Ravens at Dolphins

Antonio D'Arcangelis 3 years ago

written by Antonio D'Arcangelis

The NFL DFS season continues with the Thursday night showdown, and we’ve got the breakdown to help you win big money in the first Week 10 NFL DFS contests!

NOTE: For a refresher on showdown general rules and strategy, see the Week 1 TNF showdown article.

Let’s get to the game!

Week 10 NFL DFS MVP candidates (1.5x points)

Week 10 NFL DFS Chalk: Lamar Jackson (FD $17,500, DK $20,700)

Pivot: Mark Andrews (FD $13,000, DK $13,200)

Pivot #2: Marquise Brown (FD $13,500, DK $16,500)

Pivot #3: Jaylen Waddle (FD $12,000, DK $12,300)

Contrarian #1: DeVonta Freeman (FD $10,500, DK $9,900)

Contrarian #2: Mike Gesicki (FD $12,500, DK $11,100)

Oh, boy. We’ve finally gotten to an outrageous price point for our chalk captain, and on DK, the electric Lamar Jackson has eclipsed $20K. And when you consider that his passing yardage and rushing yardage props combine for right about 300 yards, it doesn’t seem all that silly. Jackson is actually from right nearby, in Pompano Beach. It’s only about a 35-minute drive away from Hard Rock Stadium, unless you get caught with faulty GPS in a less-than-desirable section of that city in a sketchy trailer park, which happened to me once. Most frightened I’ve ever been in my life. Anyway, we can find ways to get to Lamar at CPT, but there are some pivots to consider once we recognize that the Ravens don’t actually shut anybody down defensively.

Ravens notes: It probably won’t be the narrative we’ve seen a couple times before this season, where the Ravens need to come back from multiple TDs to notch a win, but I could see the offense starting off without a bang — giving the Dolphins (and their 26th worst defense against opposing fantasy RBs) healthy doses of DeVonta Freeman, who’s coming off his best game of 2021. Freeman is a good value and with Latavius Murray doubtful, we could see Le’Veon Bell get some carries as well. The receiving options have expanded as well, and while Mark Andrews and Marquise Brown are the two most obvious options, we have a healthy Rashod Bateman, a resurgent Devin Duvernay coming off a big Week 9, and god old Sammy Watkins, who’s expected to play. Bateman’s eight targets against the Vikings could be a sign of bigger things to come, so he’s the priority after Andrews and Brown. Of course, the Ravens DST and Justin Tucker are worth mixing into your builds as well.

Dolphins notes: We’re still not sure who’s starting at QB for the Dolphins, but that’s baked into the pricing because they’re not that far apart. I don’t have much interest in Tua Tagovailoa if he starts, but the minimal discount on Jacoby Brissett could mean I’ll use him in 2-3 out of 10 GPP builds. Myles Gaskin could see a few extra targets in the passing game, and while the Ravens run defense isn’t great, the Dolphins have had a rough time making holes for Gaskin in a traditional offensive sense. For that reason, I’m most enamored by the possibilities that exist with Mike Gesicki and Jaylen Waddle, both dynamic players who can rack up catches and yardage. Remaining options include Mack Hollins and my favorite cheap option tonight — WR Preston Williams, who’s just $200 as a flex play and could be worth a look at captain in some contrarian builds — just like I planned for Jimmy Graham on MNF before the football gods yanked away my shot at glory.

Week 10 NFL DFS Final thoughts (and some DOs and DON’Ts)

Remember to build your team based on an NFL DFS narrative that makes sense.

DO: Build a trio (or quartet) of offensive weapons for a team that makes sense together

DON’T: Worry about spending every dollar.

DO: Use the projected team totals to shade one way or the other with your selections.

DON’T: Neglect Preston Williams. His price tag allows for lots of stacked builds and a shot at rostering Lamar with some other high-upside plays.

Now that we’ve established some Week 10 NFL DFS narratives and MVP candidates, the best way to round out this piece is with a list of my favorite options in descending order, based on overall value (a combo of salary and projected points):

Lamar Jackson
Mark Andrews
Marquise Brown
DeVonta Freeman
Jaylen Waddle
Mike Gesicki
Rashod Bateman
Myles Gaskin
Jacoby Brissett
Ravens DST
Preston Williams
Tua Tagovailoa (if active)
Justin Tucker
Sammy Watkins
Mack Hollins
Jason Sanders
Devin Duvernay
Le’Veon Bell
Dolphins DST
Albert Wilson
Salvon Ahmed
Patrick Ricard
Durham Smythe

Don’t forget to read the rest of WinDaily’s excellent football articles this week as you prep for Week 9 action!

3 years ago 0 comments

Sports Betting

Win Daily Sports: Monkey Knife Fight – Baltimore Ravens at Miami Dolphins

Antonio D'Arcangelis 3 years ago

written by Antonio D'Arcangelis

Win Daily Sports is proudly partnered with Monkey Knife Fight. MKF is offering you a FREE Win Daily Gold membership for three months ($150 value) simply for making your first deposit on Monkey Knife Fight. And if free gold isn’t attractive enough, they’re also offering a 100% match bonus up to $100 when you use promo code WINDAILY.

Thursday night football brings us to sunny Miami for a match up between my hometown Baltimore Ravens (6-2) and the Miami Dolphins (2-7). Both of these teams are on opposite ends of the spectrum in terms of the standings as the Ravens are currently in first in the AFC North while the Dolphins are in dead last in the AFC East. Yes, even behind the New York Jets. The Dolphins will more than likely be without their starter in Tua Tagovailoa but as we’ve seen this season, Jacoby Brissett has been able to fill in admirably. Well sometimes.

With that said, lets dig in!

More or Less

Lamar Jackson – 235.5 Passing Yards – More

While I expect the Ravens to get up early and stay up, this game has the makings of a celling type game for Lamar Jackson. Jackson grew up less than an hour from Miami and will surely be extra motivated in what should be a ton of family and friends.

His main counterpart, Marquise Brown, is also a South Florida native who grew up about 30 minutes from Miami. I anticipate Jackson going to Brown early and often in this one. Jackson has had only 2 games this season where he’s had less than 236 yards passing, with one of those games being right at 235. Look for Jackson to have a monster game tonight.

Jacoby Brissett – 230.5 Passing Yards – Less

The Ravens are a touchdown favorite tonight on the road and if the game script goes to plan, they’ll be up early in this game. In theory that would mean Brissett will be throwing often in this one. Although the Ravens defense has looked suspect at times this year, they looked solid last week against the Vikings. Cousins ended up with less than 200 yards passing. I just don’t see Brissett being able to solve this defense tonight.

Rapid Fire

Lamar Jackson vs. Jacoby Brissett (+5.5)

I’ve already highlighted above that I think that Brissett struggles tonight against a defense that played much better last week. Jackson will be extra motivated tonight playing in a city that he was close to growing up. I’m picking Lamar Jackson here, even with the extra 5.5 yards Brissett would get.

Myles Gaskin vs. Devonta Freeman (+2.5)

With my expectation that Brissett struggles tonight, I expect that the Dolphins will run and find some success doing it. In 4 out of the last 5 weeks the Ravens have given up more than 100 yards rushing. While Gaskin hasn’t really had much success on the ground this season, the Ravens haven’t proven they can stop anyone on the ground.

If we look on the other side of the game we have a running back that nearly doubled his season output in rushing yards last weekend in Freeman. He’s been a part time back for the majority of the year. The Dolphins have progressively gotten better against the run over the course of the season. To start the year they gave up over 100 yards rushing in weeks 1-5. Since then, they haven’t given up more than 75 yards rushing in a game. If the Ravens have success on the ground tonight it will be from Lamar Jackson and not Devonta Freeman. I’m picking Myles Gaskin in this one.

Summary

This should be a fun game tonight. Lamar Jackson has been his best in prime time this season. Look for him to have one of his monster games in the air and on the ground tonight.

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate!

3 years ago 0 comments

NFL Premium

Win Daily Sports NFL Week 16 Saturday Slate 12.26

Uriah Wesson 4 years ago

written by Uriah Wesson

Hello everyone, once again the NFL has bestowed upon us another random day of the week to enjoy some NFL action. They have given us a few contests with a number of unknowns that if we can get some clarity on we can give ourselves a huge advantage over the field. As always, be mindful that we are going to have to keep an eye out for information leading up to kickoff. The NFL Week 16 Saturday Slate 12.26 should be a good one so lets dig into Win Daily Sports NFL Week 16 Saturday Slate 12.26.

As always, if I name a player for cash they are GPP’s viable as well, just know I think they will have higher than usual ownership. My projected exposure is based overall between Cash and GPP

Win Daily Sports NFL Week 15 Saturday Slate 12.26 QB’s:

Kyler Murray, $7,500(DK)(Cash):

The fantasy goat of 2020. Not gonna go in depth here. Consistently scores above 30 DK points and he looks to be healthy again. Don’t overthink it in cash.

Tom Brady, $6,800(DK)(Cash)

Only other guy I would CONSIDER is Brady for cash games. I personally will run 100% Murray but if you were inclined to pivot TB12 is a solid option. He has put up a number of duds but his ceiling games usually come against teams who lack any kind of pass rush to get him moving around in the pocket like the Lions. Also, who else on this slate has three number 1 receivers to throw to?

Matthew Stafford, $5,600(DK)(GPP):

If you want a GPP pivot and a little extra salary relief Stafford is your guy. This may be a scenario much like last Saturday where I play the chalk at QB and get different elsewhere. Pairing him with TJ Hockenson and Marvin Jones and running back with someone like Mike Evans and Rob Gronkowski for a game stack will provide you with a ton of leverage against the field this slate.

***Note*** I never found a solid answer so I avoided it altogether but if Marcus Mariota gets the nod this week he is worth consideration. His running ability provides you a run dynamic similar to Murray at $2,500 cheaper.

Win Daily Sports NFL Week 15 Saturday Slate 12.26 RB’s:

Leonard Fournette $5,500 (DK) (Cash):

Begrudgingly he is my best point per dollar play on the slate. Another week without Ronald Jones and he gets the tissue paper soft run defense of the Lions. He didn’t do much in terms of yards but he did get over 20 DK points with two touchdowns and I expect it to be an even easier road ahead for him.

D’Andre Swift, $6,400(DK)(GPP):

Bucs dominate inside runners and have all season. One place where they have a little bit of an issue is you outside the tackles style, pass catching running backs. Lions have tilted me on so many occasions opting to continue using Adrian Peterson over Swift but I just don’t know how they can opt to go this route in a game where I’m expecting them to get behind in a hurry. He has finally started to pull ahead in terms of snap count and I expect that trend to continue today.

Myles Gaskin, $5,300(DK)(Cash):

Raiders are a sieve defensively, especially on the ground where they just gave up 150 yards and 2TD’s to Jonathon Taylor two weeks ago. The Dolphins are also dealing with a ton of injuries at receiver with guys like Devante Parker, Mike Gesicki, and Jakeem Grant being questionable with a variety of injuries so I wouldn’t be shocked in the least to see them take the air out of the ball and run it 40 times today.

Don’t Forget: Josh Jacobs, Jeff Wilson JR, Salvon Ahmed, Kenyan Drake, Chase Edmonds

Win Daily Sports NFL Week 16 Saturday Slate 12.26 WR’s

DeAndre Hopkins, $8,300(DK)(Cash):

Best receiver on the slate, not much explanation needed.

Nelson Agholor, $4,500(DK)(GPP):

For those of you who don’t know, the Dolphins defense is legit and they have been since about week three. Xavien Howard and Byron Jones have made this an incredibly difficult secondary to go off on so this is only a GPP play. Nelson has finally shown what people were expecting with the eagles and is on pace to finish the year with over 800 yards and he already has 7TD’s. Those number are pretty solid but when you take into consideration that he barely played in his first two weeks that is down right impressive.

Devante Parker, $5,500(DK)(GPP):

I don’t care what anyone on the Dolphins coaching staff says when it comes to Mike Gesicki, there is no way he will be a full go. When he his the ground last week it looked like he was going straight to the hospital. It was that bad. Unfortunately for us, Parker is also dealing with a nagging hamstring issue so he goes from a cash play to GPP for me. Dolphins may just opt to live on the ground this game as the Raiders are one of the worst in the NFL.

Brandon Aiyuk, $6,700(DK)(Cash):

This guys usage is obscene, the Niners offense is riddled with injuries, and they will need to score quickly to keep up so if you are using Murray and Hopkins Aiyuk NEEDS to be you run back in most circumstances. Niners coaching staff said that roughly 35% of their plays were designed for Brandon a few weeks ago and it shows. He has had 14, 9, 16, and 13 targets in the last four weeks with no signs of slowing down this week.

Don’t Forget: Mike Evans, Antonio Brown, Chris Godwin, Henry Ruggs, Christian Kirk, Richie James

Win Daily Sports NFL Week 15 Saturday Slate 12.26 TE’s

Darren Waller, $7,000(DK)(Cash)

Not explaining him either. Best Tight End play on the slate

TJ Hockenson, $4,600(DK)(GPP)

I’m likely only going to be using him in GPP stacks where I run Stafford out there but aside from last week the guys has been a lock for 10+ DK points so if you can’t get up to Waller and want a safe option you can certainly consider him.

Rob Gronkowski, $3,600(DK)(GPP):

Brady’s favorite guy at a sub 4K price and sub 10% ownership in against a Lions team with no defensive secondary to speak off? Yes please.

***Note*** I know Kittle is active but he’s been out six weeks so I have no clue if or how much he will be used.

Thanks for taking the time to look through my Win Daily Sports NFL Week 16 Saturday Slate 12.26. Looking forward to seeing some green screens this evening. Any questions about the breakdown, I will be available all day in the WinDaily Discord chat. Don’t forget to subscribe to the WinDaily Youtube channel and follow @WinDailySports on Twitter to stay current and up to date on all of our fresh new content!

4 years ago 0 comments

Sports Betting Premium

Jacob’s Above Average Plays

DFSGhost 5 years ago

written by DFSGhost

A tough NFL Sunday is on the way and sometimes we all need a little help to win. Jacob has torn through the numbers and has found you three od Jacob’s Above Average Plays to help you cash today.

Take Pittsburgh Steelers -129 vs Buffalo Bills (8:20 pm EST, Sunday, December 15, 2019 NBC)

These are two great defenses who like to play smash-mouth football. Buffalo had been playing well up until last week when they fell to the Ravens – That’s the reason I really like the Steelers. Teams don’t play well the week after playing Baltimore, (likely due to how tough those games have been), while the Steelers play well at home. The Steelers also get a bunch of offensive weapons back, including James Connor and Ju-Ju. Duck Hodges has been more than serviceable, and I like him to help Pittsburgh pull out the win in a low scoring home game.

Take Miami Dolphins +3 vs NY Giants (1:00 pm EST, Sunday, December 15, 2019, CBS)

I feel like I should just stop typing before I actually take a side in this game. I mean, really – there is an entire slate of NFL football and this is one of the games I take. I’m not sure if there is a subconscious message coming through for actually risking my money on a dumpster fire of a game, but here we are. I can tell you this these two teams are not above average, or even average, they are just bad. We are going to see a game that feels more 2010 than 2020, with Ryan Fitzpatrick and Eli Manning as starting quarterbacks for two NFC East teams. The Giants this year has been one of the worst teams in the NFL. They currently rank 26th in total overall offense, with a total of 4,055 yards amassed this season – averaging 311 yards per game on offense. Most of this was done by Daniel Jones after the early season benching of Eli Manning, so there aren’t many stats for Eli this year. Last week, however, he was 15 of 30 for 203 yards, two touchdowns, and no interceptions. They are rushing for an average of 93.8 yards per game, and, honestly, I expected more from Saquon Barkley. I thought he would come into the league with above average stats across the board, but he’s been more than just lacking. When I watch him play, I feel like he has no energy towards the game and that he may have given up on his sophomore season. You can’t really blame him, though. He is trying to run behind an offensive line that ranks 21^st in the NFL – As you can imagine, it has been a tough year. As for the Giant’s defense, they have one player who has been playing above average this year. Janoris Jenkins has been playing well. He has 4 interceptions on the year, but overall – the defense stinks just as bad as the offense (if not worse). They rank 27^th in overall defense, giving up 27.9 points per game with an average of 362 yards allowed. I think all of these stats are BIG problems when taking on the Dolphins today. Fitz-magic is headed back to New York and he’s ready to play. Ryan Fitzpatrick has added a real spark to the Dolphins offense and, while they rank near the bottom in every offensive category, he’s made games exciting. I believe Fitzpatrick will really exploit the Giants defense with his deep threat option, Devante Parker, who is averaging 16.3 yards per catch. The Giants don’t have the offense to keep up if this turns into a shootout, and I will definitely take 3 points in what should be an above-average game in New York. Just a fun fact: the Giants are 1-5 ATS at home while Miami is 4-2 on the road 🤑. Also, shop around for a good line. You may still be able to find +3.5 points.

Take Oakland Raiders -6.5 verse Jacksonville Jaguars (4:05 pm EST, Sunday, December 15, 2019)

One of these teams is going to have their entire staff fired when the season ends. They have changed quarterbacks multiple times and are winless in their last five games, straight up and against the spread. The other team has won four of the last five games at home, they have won the last three meetings verse Jacksonville, and – oh yeah! They’re playing their final home game at their long-time stadium. The Oakland Raiders will soon become the Vegas Raiders, and die-hard fans will fill the stands one last time to have an MVP game as the 12^th Man. The Raiders have been above average at home verse bad teams, winning ten out of the last twelve games – including seven and three against the spread the last ten games. The Raiders take on a struggling Jacksonville Jaguars team that hasn’t covered a game on the West Coast in their last six games. In their last five games: They haven’t rushed for more than eighty-eight yards except once, and they only scored more than thirteen points in one, single game. Gardner Minshew was brought in for an injured Nick Foles before being benched for Foles when he was healthy again. Foles was then benched after three lopsided games; now Minshew is back. I don’t see any improvement. This is the time of year you start to see bad teams quit, and the Jaguars have been added to my list of those who have. I see Oakland stepping up to play an above-average game verse a bad Jacksonville team, and they’ll give their fans some fireworks as a sendoff (I would guess literally and figuratively!). This line opened at -5.5 and the sharps immediately pounded it up to 6.5, so get on it before it goes any higher.

5 years ago 0 comments

Daily Fantasy Sports NFL

Week 15 DFS TE and DST NFL Picks: More Than a Little Kittle

jason mezrahi 5 years ago

written by jason mezrahi

It’s time for our Week 15 DFS recommendations for the Sunday main slate. I’m focusing on tight ends (TEs) and defenses (DSTs) that will help you win!

Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! Projections, weather reports, wagering info, 24/7 expert chatsand more!

Week 15 DFS Tight End CashGame Plays

George Kittle, SF vs. ATL

FD($7,200) DK ($6,200)

Kittle is the number one fantasy TE this week in cash games, and he’s viable in GPPs too, given his upside. With 60-754-4 on the season and averaging six receptions and 90.3 yards per game over his last four games, it’s obvious that Jimmy G loves him — and he’s what you’re looking for as your top TE in cash games.

Darren Waller, OAK vs. JAC

FD($6,200) DK ($5,500)

Waller had 6-72-0 and a fumble last week but remains DerekCarr’s top target. He’s a cash game staple every week but hasn’t broken out fora monster game in a while. The price is still very affordable.

Week 15 DFS Tight End GPP Plays

Travis Kelce, KC vs. DEN

FD($7,300) DK ($6,500)

Kelce isn’t cheap, but he brings massive upsideto the table and is essentially matchup-proof because of the many ways Patrick Mahomescan get him the ball. He’s a consensus Top 3 fantasy TE every week, and becausehe’s expensive he usually doesn’t draw too much ownership in GPPs.

Zach Ertz, PHI at WAS

FD($6,700) DK ($6,000)

The price has jumped up on both sites, mainly because ofhis big game in Week 14 and the injury to Alshon Jeffery, but we still mustconsider Ertz as a GPP play, especially facing the Redskins. He had 5-54-0 inWeek 1 against them, but I think he’ll find the end zone this time around.

Austin Hooper, ATL vs. CAR

FD($6,200) DK ($5,000)

We saw Jared Cook score two big TDs early last week againstthe 49ers, so I’m not counting out Hooper despite the difficult matchup on paper.With Calvin Ridley out of commission and this likely to be a negative game scriptfor the Falcons, I can see Hooper drawing 8-10 targets or more. The price hasdropped too.

Week 15 DFS Tight End PuntPlays

TylerHigbee, LAR at DAL

FD ($5,700) DK ($3,900)

Higbeeshould be a popular target for Jared Goff this week facing the Cowboys, whohave a banged up linebacking corps and will struggle in covering the middle of thefield. We’ve seen two huge games in a row (7-107-1 and 7-116-0) and Higbee isstill a great bargain at just $3,900 on DK.

O.J.Howard, TB at DET

FD($5,700) DK ($3,500)

Howard gets a decent matchup against the Lions and could seeextra volume with Mike Evans (hamstring) done for the rest of the season. He doesn’thave the upside of the top TEs, but 10-15 DK points for $3,500 could work – andthe chances of him catching a TD really go up without Evans on the field.

IanThomas, CAR vs. SEA

FD ($5,300) DK ($3,100)

The pricing on FD is fair, but Thomas is still a massivebargain on DK, where he’s just $3,100.The matchup is a good one, as the Seahawkshave struggled to contain TEs this season, and we saw last week how much KyleAllen relies on Thomas without Greg Olsen.

Additional Week 15 DFS GPP andpunt options:

HunterHenry, LAC vs. MIN (FD $6,400, DK $5,200) – Risky and expensive GPP play

NoahFant, DEN at KC (FD $5,700, DK $4,100) – GPP only (He’s playing)

DallasGoedert, PHI at WAS (FD $5,700, DK $4,300) – GPP only

Week 15 DFS DST Cash GamePlays

New England Patriots (NE atCIN)

FD($5,000) DK ($4,000)

The Patriots might havea little extra steam in their engines this week after the scandalous film crewinvestigation, and there’s no arguing this is a talented unit who can dominateagainst bad teams – the Bengals included.

Philadelphia Eagles (PHI at WAS)

FD($4,900) DK ($3,400)

The Eagles defenseshould be up to the task against a Redskins team just scraping through the lastfew games of 2019. This one could get ugly, even if the Eagles offense doesn’t clicklike it should.

Week 15 DFS DST GPP Plays

San Francisco 49ers (SF vs.ATL)

FD($4,500) DK ($3,800)

You’re getting a discount on FD and the Falcons are not the offensivejuggernaut that the Saints are. I’m not worried about a repeat of last week,and I’ll be locking the 49ers into a lot of my GPP entries.

Green Bay Packers (GB vs. CHI)

FD($4,200) DK ($3,000)

We saw what they did against the Bears in Week1, and I’m not convinced Mitch

Trubisky isn’t dreading the kind of pressure thePackers DST can bring. The price is more than fair on both sites for the upsidethis team brings.

Week 15 DFS DST PuntPlays

Los Angeles Rams (LAR at DAL)

FD($3,600) DK ($2,900)

The Rams are a huge bargain this week against aDallas Cowboys team that seems to have given up. I wouldn’t be playing them in cashgams, but I’m fine with shares in GPPs because the Cowboys may not have a planfor Aaron Donald and these greedy, aggressive corners.

Miami Dolphins (MIA at NYG)

FD($3,700) DK ($2,600)

This is about as low as I’d like to go in GPPs, but the reality ofthe Giants woes makes the Dolphins a unit we have to consider. It’s a team thatcontinues to get better and Eli Manning and the Giants aren’t really playingfor anything but their pride.

5 years ago 0 comments

NFL Daily Fantasy Sports

Week 9 DFS TE and DST NFL Picks: Kelce Killin’ It

jason mezrahi 5 years ago

written by jason mezrahi

It’s time for Week 9 DFS recommendations for the Sunday main slate. I’m focusing on tight ends (TEs) and defenses (DSTs) that will help you win some green!

Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! Projections, weather reports, wagering info, 24/7 expert chatsand more!

Week9 DFS Tight End Cash Game Plays

Travis Kelce, KC vs. MIN

FD ($6,700) DK ($6,900)

It’s a stark reality that most TEs just aren’t that reliable in DFS, but Kelce (65 targets, 42-604-2 this season) is about as automatic for 10+ fantasy points as you can get. He’s got only one game this season (9.8 DK points in Week 8 against the Texans) where he didn’t reach that mark – but he was darn close, and he said he was disgusted with his performance vs. Green Bay. The Vikings have a solid defense but are middle of the roads vs. TEs, and even with one more week of Matt Moore under center for the Chiefs, Kelce is one of the two best cash game plays.

DarrenWaller, OAK vs. DET

FD ($6,800) DK ($6,300)

Waller didn’t have a great week last Sunday (he caught just two of eight targets for 11 yards and a touchdown), a result of constant attention from the Houston defense, though his score salvaged what would have been a DFS disaster. The matchup is much better for Week 9 DFS against a Lions defense that ranks 27th against TEs. Waller is still seeing plentiful targets, so he’s about as safe as it gets for cash games.

Week9 DFS Tight End GPP Plays

Hunter Henry, LAC vs. GB

FD ($6,400) DK ($6,000)

The Chargers TE is oneof the top GPP plays, as he’s a consensus Top 5 five this week. With 23 targetsover his past three games, Henry is an elite GPP play with multi-TD upsidefacing the Packers.

JimmyGraham, GB at LAC

FD ($6,000) DK ($4,300)

The veteran TE is a huge bargain on DK but makes for a solid GPP play on both sites. There’s 15-20 point upside, which is actually a pretty high mark this week given the player pool. He’s worth a look in Week 9 DFS because of the matchup and his QB – but Graham’s play this season has been streaky. He’s pretty far down the list in the consensus Week 9 rankings, so his ownership shouldn’t be too high.

GregOlsen, CAR vs. TEN

FD ($5,300) DK ($3,500)

Olsen had a solid start with two monster games in his first three weeks, but he’s been held scoreless over his past four appearances. He dealt with a back injury in late September, but hasn’t had a designation in a while and is facing a Titans defense that’s yielded plenty of scores to opposing TEs. He’s an under-the-radar GPP play in a decent matchup.

ZachErtz, PHI vs. CHI

FD ($6,000) DK ($4,700)

The main slate ismissing several of the game’s best TEs due to prime-time affairs or bye weeks,so we’re going to have to take chances in GPPs, and Ertz is a huge risk at themoment – with three straight games scoring fewer than 10 DK points and just oneTD on the season. The price has come down on DK to a point that’s reasonable,and his upside makes me comfortable rolling him out in GPPs – even against theBears.

Week9 DFS Tight End Punt Plays

JonnuSmith, TEN at CAR

FD ($5,500) DK ($3,800)

With fellow Titans TE Delanie Walker (ankle) ruled out, Smithdraws another start in Week 9 against the Panthers, and while the matchup istougher than last week, I’m going right back to the well following his 6-78-1 (onseven targets) performance.

EricEbron, IND at PIT

FD ($5,200) DK ($3,600)

Ebron has been a hit-or-miss fantasy option this season,but he’s in a good spot against the Steelers. He’s mired in a timeshare attight end with Jack Doyle, but has at least three targets in every game this seasonand has scored over 10 DK points in three contests – the three he caught TDpasses in. It’s possible he and Doyle will both get more targets in the comingweeks with T.Y. Hilton slated to miss time, even if their upside is limited abit with both TEs healthy.

RyanGriffin, NYJ at MIA

FD ($5,000) DK ($3,400)

Griffin has been one of the lone bright spots these pastcouple weeks for the Jets, and he’s coming off his best game of the season, atwo-touchdown performance against the Jaguars (4-66-2). I keep hearing talkthat Griffin will be relegated to a backup role once Chris Herndon returns fromhis hamstring injury, which could be as soon as this week in Miami, but Herndonis still a 50-50 shot to play. If he sits, Griffin is an option.

T.J.Hockenson, DET at OAK

FD ($5,000) DK ($3,700)

The rookie tight end hasbeen relatively quiet lately, with just four catches in his last two weeks, butthat could change versus an Oakland defense that’s 28th against TEs. He’s stillgot 15-20 point upside but is a TD-dependent option who’s fine for GPPs.

Additional Week 9 DFS GPP and punt options:

Cameron Brate, TB at SEA (FD $5,100, DK $3,100)

Jack Doyle, IND at PIT (FD $5,000, DK $3,000)

Trey Burton, CHI at PHI (FD $4,800, DK $2,900)

Anthony Firkser, TEN at CAR (FD $4,700, DK $2,500)

Noah Fant, DEN vs. CLE (FD $4,600, DK $3,000)

Foster Moreau, OAK at HOU (FD $4,900, DK $2,600)

Week 9 DFS DST Cash Game Plays

BuffaloBills (BUF vs. WAS)

FD ($5,000) DK ($3,800)

The Bills have disappointed us as the chalk DST before, but they’ve been serviceable against bad offenses, and this week they have a great home matchup against Washington. They’re relatively safe, have some upside, and Washington has just a 13-point implied total – the lowest of Week 9 – with turnover-prone rookie Dwayne Haskins starting at QB. The Bills DST should rebound in a big way.

PhiladelphiaEagles (PHI vs. CHI)

FD ($4,600) DK ($3,000)

Considering the Bears have one of the worst offenses in football and the Eagles defensive unit has been solid, I’m giving the Eagles the green light in cash games this week. Philly’s DST dropped 35 DK points on the Jets in Week 5, and they have similar upside this week against Mitchell Trubisky and the Bears.

DenverBroncos (DEN vs. CLE)

FD ($4,300) DK ($2,900)

If you’re looking for a cheap defense to play in cashgames, the Broncos face a turnover-prone Browns team at Mile High, where they usuallyplay a lot better as a unit. Give them a look if you’re in a salary crunch foryour lineup’s final spot.

Week9 DFS DST GPP Plays

SeattleSeahawks (SEA vs. TB)

FD ($4,900) DK ($3,600)

Seattle faces a Bucs team that’s got an implied total of 24.5 points, but Jameis Winston has thrown seven INTs over his past two weeks, making them a great GPP play. The secondary does have some issues with depth – last Sunday they were missing Tre Flowers, Quandre Diggs among others, and saw just a handful of snaps from Bradley McDougald. Those recurring injury problems and the implied total make them a little riskier for cash, but they’re one of my top tournament plays of Week 9.

GreenBay Packers (GB at LAC)

FD ($4,400) DK ($3,400)

The Packers were an under-the-radar DST for a while, and now’sthey’re one of the top defenses thanks to stellar play from the entire unit, especiallyZa’Darius Smith and Preston Smith at LB. And they have Darnell Savage back atsafety – which gives them a big boost. I’ll have some Aaron Jones/GB DSTlineups in GPPs.

NewYork Jets (NYJ at MIA)

FD ($4,600) DK ($3,500)

The Jets defense is a bit of a mess right now with a lot ofbackup players forced into starting roles, but the matchup versus Miami means wehave to consider them.

ChicagoBears (CHI at PHI)

FD ($4,400) DK ($2,900)

The Bears DST came into the season a juggernaut, had acouple monster games in weeks 3 and 4, and now is struggling to make a bigsplash because of how poorly the offense is playing. They’re under $3K on DKnow, and the Eagles offensive line is in disarray, so that’s enough for me toconsider them in DFS.

ClevelandBrowns (CLE at DEN)

FD ($4,300) DK ($3,100)

The Browns get to face an untested QB, and they still havean effective pass rush and decent cornerbacks – so I’m buying some shares in Week9. A risk as a road play, but one with plenty of upside.

Week9 DFS DST Punt Plays

Carolina Panthers CAR vs. TEN)

FD ($4,000) DK ($2,800)

The Panthers are cheap and their opponent, the Titans, havean implied total under 20 – making this one of the bets matchups of Week 9. Don’toverthink it.

MiamiDolphins (MIA vs. NYJ)

FD ($3,600) DK ($2,700)

The Dolphins defense has its moments – and so does SamDarnold the Ghost Whisperer. Seriously, though, we can make a case for theDolphins DST even in full tank mode based solely on the awfulness of the Jets.

WashingtonRedskins (WAS at BUF)

FD ($3,000) DK ($1,800)

The ultimate punt, it shouldn’t be hard for this team to make 4x or 5x value at the $1,800 price tag. I like Josh Allen, but he’s far from perfect, and has been known to throw ‘em to the opposition.

Monkey Knife Fight Pick of the Week – Click Here to Play and Get 100 Percent Bonus!

Pick the Players that will get the most Receptions

Focused on TEs, here, I will go with Kelce, Ertz and Olsen for a goal of 17.5 at 2x.

Photo of Travis Kelce by: Master Sgt. April Wickes, U.S. Air Force

5 years ago 0 comments

NFL Premium

Week 8 NFL DFS Monday Night Showdown Preview with DFS Pro David Jones

David Jones 5 years ago

written by David Jones

Week 8 in the NFL is all about finding the best opportunities for guaranteed production with high upside. Follow my stud and value plays and lock in the NFL DFS Picks of Destiny.

David Jones took down the Week 3 Sunday Night Showdown in his second tournament takedown in two days! He also has won three consecutive Showdowns!

David Jones won 100K on FanDuel! Read about it here

I want to start off this article by saying you must have the absolute nuts to win the top prize up top on large field GPPs. There is no room for mistakes with so many entries in these contests. If you think you are going to win it all by playing a combo of the top seven guys in the player pool, you are not. If a combo of a bunch of guys you have heard of before is indeed the best scoring lineup, you will most likely tie for first. If that sounds good to you, then go for it. It will be profitable if you nail it, but for me I like to be a little different on these slates. I will be making multiple teams and taking long shots on a few cheap guys.

Leaving cash on the table in these NFL DFS contests is fine too. This makes your lineup even more unique and lower owned because a lot of amateurs will be pulling their hair out to use their entire salary.

That all being said, I have looked at every possible player that can get on the field and listed my picks below.

The NFL DFS Week 8 Sunday Night Showdown Picks

MVP: James Conner ($15,000 FD) He is a dual threat running back going against one of the worst defenses in the NFL. The way to attack the Dolphins really is through the air but the good news about Conner is he catches too. Factor in that Mason Rudolph has targeted him more in the pass game than any of the receivers and we have found the NFL DFS MVP for tonight. Backup running back Jaylen Samuels is questionable for tonight, but even if he plays I think the Steelers don’t give him much run. There should not be much reason to risk injury against the worst team in the league. Conner should get around 15-17 carries and 6-7 targets through the air. He will have the ball in his hands more than any other player in Monday night’s game besides the quarterbacks.

MVP Pivot: JuJu Smith-Schuster ($13,000 FD) He has not lived up to expectations this year but he is still probably the second best candidate to have a big game tonight. If JuJu can’t expose this defense, even with Rudolph throwing him the ball, it might be time for Steelers fans to panic.

MVP Pivot: Mason Rudolph ($14,000 FD) Quarterbacks against the Dolphins are always a good idea. Unfortunately Rudolph has not shown much reason to trust him against anyone this year. If Conner and JuJu are catching passes of course Rudolph is getting points too. I will not have much of him at the MVP spot, but he is worth mentioning as a second pivot.

High Risk MVP: Diontae Johnson ($7,000 FD) Steelers’ WR2

NFL DFS Flex Options:

Listed in order of preference with prices factored it

JuJu ($15,000 FD) See above
Mason Rudolph ($14,000 FD) See above
Steelers Defense (on DraftKings) I know its not the “old Steelers defense” but I think they get up for this Monday night game at home.
Ryan Fitzpatrick ($14,000 FD) He looked competent last week, but I still don’t feel safe about the turnover prone Fitzpatrick. If we are looking for production from a team that should have to throw it, you have to look at the quarterback. There is a real concern he gets pulled for Josh Rosen if he looks terrible the first half.
Mark Walton ($10,500 FD) I really hate the matchup for Walton but he is going to get a chance to showcase his skill set as the Dolphins new (probably starting) running back. This morning Miami traded away starter Kenyan Drake, which just opens up more attempts for Walton.
Diontae Johnson ($7,000 FD) Nice price for Steelers WR against a terrible Dolphins defense. Could be a sneaky MVP
Preston Williams ($8,000 FD) Dolphins WR2. He has gotten over six targets in every game except one this season. He is getting WR2 yards, just not getting in the end zone. I wouldn’t play two receives from the Dolphins without Fitzmagic.
DeVante Parker ($12,000 FD) Steelers are worse defending the pass than the run. The Dolphins should have to lean on pass game here and Parker is their main guy. The last three weeks Parker has a touchdown in each game. What worries me with him is that Joe Haden will be lined up on him all night. I don’t expect a huge game from him, even though the opportunity should be there.
Chris Boswell ($10,000 FD) I am high on the Steelers scoring points tonight. Every time they score, Boswell gets a piece.
Update: James Washington
Mike Gesicki ($7,500 FD) Dolphins starting TE who has looked solid lately. He needs more targets and hopefully Fitz keys in on him tonight.
Vance McDonald ($6,500 FD) Steelers’ TE
Albert Wilson ($6,000 FD) Pretty nice price on the big play Dolphins receiver. Boom or bust
Kalen Ballage ($7,500 FD) He benefits from the Drake trade too, however he has looked pretty bad. He might get a goal line attempt, if the Dolphins can get there, but there is no guarantee he makes it in the end zone without getting stuffed.
Update OUT Jaylen Samuels ($7,000 FD) He is questionable to play tonight. If he does get in the game, he will be coming off injury and I don’t think the Steelers will play him much, against a bad Dolphins team, even if he does suit up. Not high on him.

Punts:

Allen Hurns ($7,000 FD) He has not done anything this year and I am not very high on him. You have to get random on these slates sometimes. Worth a dart throw
Benny Snell ($5,000 FD) If Samuels is out. No real interest if Samuels plays
Nick Vannett ($5,500 FD) Steelers TE2. Don’t play him with McDonald
Josh Rosen ($5,000 FD) If Fitz gets pulled, Rosen will get a shot. At $5,000 he should be able to pay off his price in two quarters. He carries an enormous risk and is more likely to score zero than anything else.
Johnny Holton and Ryan Switzer are two guys at minimum salary ($5,000 FD) who could catch a pass for the Steelers. You can punt with them if you don’t care if you lose, because you probably will.

Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold Right Here! Projections, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more!

Monkey Knife Fight Picks of the Night — Click here to play these picks and get 100 percent Bonus!

The Dolphins are terrible defending the pass so Rudolph really is set up for one of the best opportunities of his career. Fitzpatrick struggles basically every week and isn’t even a lock to make it the whole game, in my opinion. I like Rudolph over and Fitzpatrick under.

Follow Win Daily Sports on twitter @WinDailyDFS.

5 years ago 0 comments

Sports Betting Premium

Cash with Flash Best Bets: NFL Sunday!

5 years ago

written by

Cash withthe Flash Best Bets had a forgettable Saturday and one where we won’t betalking about it other than to say we’ve had better days. Days like our Saturdayalso remind me of something I heard years ago on a Las Vegas sports betting TVshow.

Never get toohigh or too low because what’s done is done and tomorrow is another day.

Bankrollmanagement isthe key to survival in sports betting and since I don’t know your personalfinancial situation, it’s up to you to decide what to bet, how much to bet, whento fade these plays or even to go against us.

Cash with the Flash Best Bets is cool with whatever helps you win becausewe are here to help you win cash.

The NBA begins Tuesday night and Cash with the Flash Best Bets will have an NBA Betting Primer with terms and strategies and whatever else you need to kick off the NBA season in the right way. Look for that Tuesday.

Sunday is anew day and Cashwith the Flash Bets has some ideas for you to consider for this action-packedsports day.

BaltimoreRavens vs SeattleSeahawks

Cash withthe Flash Best Bets: Seattle -150

Cash with the Flash Best Bets believes this to be our play of theday. How can you not at least consider the Seahawks at home against the Ravens?That’s a great price on a football team that is 5-1 overall and 2-1 at home withtheir only home loss coming against the now 5-1 New Orleans Saints? Seattleopened as a four-point favorite and that’s been bet down to where it now sitsat Seahawks -3 points.

Cash with the FlashBest Bets believesthe Seahawks will win this game and refuses to lay any points on this game asthis could end up one of those old-fashioned shootouts that end in a one-pointvictory.

Both Seahawks quarterback Russell Wilson and Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson are MVP candidates and both quarterbacks are up against two decent defenses and it should be fun to watch them do their thing this afternoon. According to Football Outsiders, Seattle has the edge in both offensive and defensive DVOA and Seattle is playing at home.

It will be a wetday in Seattle with winds under 10 miles per hour and both teams shouldbe able to do whatever they intend on doing offensively without the weathergetting in the way. Cash with the Flash Best Bets suggests playing the SeattleSeahawks to defeat the Baltimore Ravens in this contest.

Cash with the Flash Best Bets likes the following NFL plays thisafternoon.

NewOrleans Saints +4 over the Chicago Bears

Miami Dolphins+17.5 points over the Buffalo Bills

HoustonTexans +105 over the Indianapolis Colts

LosAngeles Rams -165 over the Atlanta Falcons

JacksonvilleJaguars -4.5 over the Cincinnati Bengals

DetroitLions +2.5 over the Minnesota Vikings

PLEASE CHECK OUT EVERYTHING THAT Win Daily DFS HAS TO OFFER. NEWARTICLES, STATISTICS, AND DATA ARE BEING ADDEDCONSTANTLY. ALSO, DO NOT FORGET TO LISTEN TO THE WIN DAILY PODCASTS HERE.

The opinions expressed in this article are the author’s own and donot reflect the views or opinions of Win Daily or any of the employees and/orexecutives of Win Daily. All data and information provided on this siteare for informational purposes only. Win Daily makes no representationsas to accuracy, completeness, currentness, suitability, or validity of anyinformation on this site and will not be liable for any errors, omissions, ordelays in this information or any losses, injuries, or damages arising from itsdisplay or use. All information is provided on an as-is basis.

5 years ago 0 comments

Newer Posts

Older Posts

Miami Dolphins

Quarterbacks

Jared Goff ($6,500 DK / $8,200 FD)

Tua Tagovailoa ($6,000 DK / $8,000 FD)

Running Backs

Devon Achane ($7,700 DK / $9,000 FD)

Jahmyr Gibbs ($7,500 DK / $8,400 FD)

Josh Jacobs ($7,000 DK / $7,800 FD)

Rico Dowdle ($5,500 DK / $6,100 FD)

Wide Receivers

Amon-Ra St. Brown ($8,000 DK / $9,000 FD)

Jameson Williams ($6,100 DK / $5,700 FD)

Keenan Allen ($5,100 DK / $6,500 FD) and Rome Odunze ($5,000 DK / $5,500 FD)

Tight Ends

Jonnu Smith ($4,300 DK / $6,300 FD)

DST Rankings

Week 16 NFL DFS MVP candidates (1.5x points)

Week 16 NFL DFS Chalk: Alvin Kamara (FD $16,500, DK $18,300)

Pivot: Tua Tagovailoa (FD $15,000, DK $15,300)

Contrarian #1: Jalen Waddle (FD $13,000, DK $17,400)

Contrarian #2: Ian Book (FD $12,000, DK $13,500)

Contrarian #3: DeVante Parker (FD $10,500, DK $14,100)

DK Value Play: Mike Gesicki (FD $10,000, DK $9,600)

Week 16 NFL DFS Final thoughts (and some DOs and DON’Ts)

Week 10 NFL DFS MVP candidates (1.5x points)

Week 10 NFL DFS Chalk: Lamar Jackson (FD $17,500, DK $20,700)

Pivot: Mark Andrews (FD $13,000, DK $13,200)

Pivot #2: Marquise Brown (FD $13,500, DK $16,500)

Pivot #3: Jaylen Waddle (FD $12,000, DK $12,300)

Contrarian #1: DeVonta Freeman (FD $10,500, DK $9,900)

Contrarian #2: Mike Gesicki (FD $12,500, DK $11,100)

Week 10 NFL DFS Final thoughts (and some DOs and DON’Ts)

More or Less

Rapid Fire

Summary

Win Daily Sports NFL Week 15 Saturday Slate 12.26 QB’s:

Kyler Murray, $7,500(DK)(Cash):

Tom Brady, $6,800(DK)(Cash)

Matthew Stafford, $5,600(DK)(GPP):

Win Daily Sports NFL Week 15 Saturday Slate 12.26 RB’s:

Leonard Fournette $5,500 (DK) (Cash):

D’Andre Swift, $6,400(DK)(GPP):

Myles Gaskin, $5,300(DK)(Cash):

Win Daily Sports NFL Week 16 Saturday Slate 12.26 WR’s

DeAndre Hopkins, $8,300(DK)(Cash):

Nelson Agholor, $4,500(DK)(GPP):

Devante Parker, $5,500(DK)(GPP):

Brandon Aiyuk, $6,700(DK)(Cash):

Win Daily Sports NFL Week 15 Saturday Slate 12.26 TE’s

Darren Waller, $7,000(DK)(Cash)

TJ Hockenson, $4,600(DK)(GPP)

Rob Gronkowski, $3,600(DK)(GPP):

Week 15 DFS Tight End CashGame Plays

George Kittle, SF vs. ATL

Darren Waller, OAK vs. JAC

Week 15 DFS Tight End GPP Plays

Travis Kelce, KC vs. DEN

Zach Ertz, PHI at WAS

Austin Hooper, ATL vs. CAR

Week 15 DFS Tight End PuntPlays

TylerHigbee, LAR at DAL

O.J.Howard, TB at DET

IanThomas, CAR vs. SEA

Additional Week 15 DFS GPP andpunt options:

Week 15 DFS DST Cash GamePlays

New England Patriots (NE atCIN)

Philadelphia Eagles (PHI at WAS)

Week 15 DFS DST GPP Plays

San Francisco 49ers (SF vs.ATL)

Green Bay Packers (GB vs. CHI)

Week 15 DFS DST PuntPlays

Los Angeles Rams (LAR at DAL)

Miami Dolphins (MIA at NYG)

Week9 DFS Tight End Cash Game Plays

Travis Kelce, KC vs. MIN

FD ($6,700) DK ($6,900)

DarrenWaller, OAK vs. DET

FD ($6,800) DK ($6,300)

Week9 DFS Tight End GPP Plays

Hunter Henry, LAC vs. GB

***Keenan Allen ($5,100 DK / $6,500 FD)* and *Rome Odunze ($5,000 DK / $5,500 FD)***