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Luke Voit

MLB DFS Aces and Bases (Apr. 9)

Today’s edition of Aces and Bases focuses ONLY on FanDuel’s five-game MLB DFS Main Slate for 7:05PM ET, hopefully finding you some green screens!

The biggest weather threat is in Washington for Chris Bassitt’s first start for his new team — the New York Mets! But there’s no enough rain in the area to fade him or any of the Mets’ bats considering a delay would only be likely much later in the game.

MLB DFS: The Aces

Top MLB DFS Ace: Justin Verlander ($10,400)

There isn’t an SP play on the main slate without risk, and Verlander certainly has some of that coming off TJ surgery. But even with that as a factor, the veteran has the best chance to go deeper into this game than the other arms and has the best projection from a strikeouts/IP standpoint on FanDuel. There’s enough of a gap between him and the rest of the arms to consider him the best play in both cash games and GPPs. I firmly believe that a lot of the concerns folks have about Verlander boil down to typical DFS smokescreens they’ve gleaned from some of his comments, and not actual data. The next guy might end up making sense for large-field GPPs, but Verlander always finds a way to get it done, carried a super low 3.03 and 3.18 xFIP in his last two complete seasons (2018 and 2019), and the Angels have plenty of swing-and-miss potential (and not that much pop) one we get past Ohtani and Trout.

Best GPP Option: Joe Musgrove ($10,000)

I may disagree with WinDaily’s Adam Strangis in his assessment of Verlander in his must-read MLB DFS Starting Rotation 4/9 article, but I really like his support of Musgrove, who should see lower ownership as DFS participants search for value or the safety of a name like Verlander. The D-Backs are off to s slow start offensively and Musgrove could turn in a 40-point performance if he can navigate through the left-handed bats in Arizona. I can’t say I’m not concerned about the high HR/FB rates over his career, but Musgrove is a better first half pitcher with a full tank of gas — we just need it to not catch fire.

Contrarian GPP Play: Chris Bassitt ($9,700)

Bassitt finds himself out of Oakland and pitching for a new team on the road in the nation’s capital, but there’s plenty to like from a game theory perspective about using him tonight. Both SPs in this game offer GPP upside, but more could flock to Joan Adon on both sites given his punt price. Bassitt posted a respectable if somewhat inflated 3.93 xFIP last season compared to the 3.15 ERA, but he’s great at missing bats (0.86 WHIP and 9.10 K/9). Adam’s article points out that Bassitt “kept both sides of the plate under a .285 wOBA” — a stat which really stood out. You may need to use Adon in a few if you’re stacking Coors tonight, but if you want to piece together a couple of contrarian stacks and go for the big win in large-field GPPs, Bassitt could be the right path.

More GPP Value: Joan Adon, Kyle Wright

MLB DFS: The Bases

Top Stack: Los Angeles Dodgers

We’ve got another huge total Coors game tonight, and the Dodgers are more than a full run ahead of the Rockies in their projected total. That means nabbing Mookie Betts ($4,400), Freddie Freeman ($4,300) and Trea Turner ($4,500), but it would be a slap in the face if I didn’t mention Will Smith ($3,900 — see what I did there?) or Max Muncy at $3,800. It’s also a good idea to do a few wraparound stacks that include 9-hitter Gavin Lux at an affordable $2,900. They won’t be easy to fit,

The Second-best Stack: Atlanta Braves

If you’re not into playing the juggernaut Dodgers or messing around with a popular Coors Field game, you can pivot to the World Champion Atlanta Braves and their impressive projected total (>5.5) against a very hittable Vladimir Gutierrez of the Cincinnati Reds. After the obvious core (1-4) stack of Eddie Rosario ($3,000), Matt Olson ($3,800), Austin Riley ($3,900), and Ozzie Albies ($4,100), we’ve got a couple of possible value plays in Adam Duvall and Alex Dickerson. Duvall has been known to double-dong his way to GPP-winning glory, and Dickerson, if he’s the DH in the lineup, has much less upside but is very cheap for a positive-splits option in a potent lineup. I may deploy a wait-and-see approach to Marcell Ozuna until I see him getting comfortable at the plate again, but he’s also cheap at $3,000.

Value GPP Stack: San Diego Padres

Lost in the slate and the disappointment over the absence of Fernando Tatis, Jr. is a Padres lineup that still has plenty of potential and some powerful bats. I’m prioritizing Manny Machado ($3,800), Jake Cronenworth ($3,300), Trent Grisham ($3,100) and newcomer Luke Voit ($2,700), but there’s even more value in guys like Wil Myers ($2,600) and Eric Hosmer ($2,400). I love that the NL has adopted the DH because we can more easily take advantage of value stacks like the Padres with that extra big bat, and opposing pitcher Zach Davies doesn’t scare me one bit.

Make sure to keep an eye on the starters as lineups are released. Good luck tonight, and please utilize the MLB Projection models to land on your one-offs and off-the-wall value plays!

3 years ago 0 comments

Daily Fantasy Sports MLB

9/9 DFS Hitting Picks and Stacks: Indians and Yanks

Cora Baylis 6 years ago

written by Cora Baylis

We’re looking at an eight-game schedule here and that’s the perfect amount for DFS. What’s strange here is the fact that we have four of these games being played in extreme pitcher’s parks. That makes things very strange with a Yankees-Red Sox matchup also on the schedule and it will take some unique lineup construction in order to take down a tourney. With that in mind, let’s get into our best 9/9 DFS Hitting Plays and Stacks.

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9/9 DFS Hitting Stacks of the Day

Cleveland Indians vs. Patrick Sandoval

This was a pretty easy pick, as Cleveland is easily the best stack on the board. The reason for that is because they get to face Patrick Sandoval, who’s pitching to a 4.91 ERA and 1.36 WHIP this season. What really makes the Indians scary is the fact that they added two potent righties at the trade deadline, making this one of the best lineups in the league against left-handers. That’s why Vegas has given them an implied run total north of five in this stellar spot and why they are my favorite stack on the board.

New York Yankees vs. Eduardo Rodriguez

It’s strange to stack a team against a guy like Rodriguez but it’s tough to fade the Yankees anytime they face a lefty. What more do I need to say than Aaron Judge, Gary Sanchez, Edwin Encarnacion, Gleyber Torres, D.J. Lemahieuand Luke Voit. Those are just the righties that they’ll be sending out there against E-Rod and that’s bad news no matter who the pitcher is. It’s also crystal clear by the fact that New York ranks fourth in both SLG and OPS against left-handed pitching this season. All of that doesn’t even take into consideration that they’re hitting in Fenway Park, which is one of the best hitting environments in the Majors. Dating back to 2016, Rodriguez has a 4.80 ERA and 1.42 WHIP against this potent Yankees team.

9/9 DFS Hitting Sneaky Stack of the Day

New York Mets vs. Merrill Kelly

While the Mets have a modest team total south of five, they appear to be one of the best stacks on the board. The reason for that is because they face Merrill Kelly and his 4.69 ERA and 1.35 WHIP. He’s been worse recently, pitching to a 7.36 ERA and 1.71 WHIP over his last eight starts. This offense is a little better than most people might think too, with the Mets ranked 11^th in OBP, 13^th in OPS and 12^th in xwOBA.

9/9 DFS Hitting Catcher

Wilson Ramos, NYM vs. ARI

DK ($3,900) FD ($2,500)

Ramos is always one of the first catchers that I consider and I truly don’t understand why these sites keep his price so low. We’re talking about a guy with a .297 AVG, .347 OBP, .466 SLG and .813 OPS dating back to 2016. That simply makes him one of the best hitting-catchers in the game and he comes into this matchup absolutely raking. Over his last 29 games, Ramos is hitting .404 en route to a .980 OPS.

9/9 DFS Hitting First Baseman

Luke Voit, NYY at BOS

DK ($4,000) FD ($3,400)

Voit is really the only Yankee who’s a great value on these DFS sites and that’s why we’re going to ride him as our primary first basemen. It’s truly amazing what this dude has done since putting on the pinstripes, accruing a .287 AVG, .390 OBP, .533 SLG and .923 OPS since joining NY last season. What makes that even more intriguing are his absurd splits, with Voit generating a .380 OBP and .950 OPS against lefties since the beginning of last season. While it’s a small sample size, we can’t overlook the fact that Voit is 4-for-7 against E-Rod with three extra-base hits as well.

9/9 DFS Hitting Second Baseman

Robinson Cano, NYM vs. ARI

DK ($3,900) FD ($2,900)

Those ugly Kelly statistics from the stacks write-up definitely adds to Cano’s value here, as he’s looked like a different player since returning from the IL. Over his last seven games. Cano is hitting .565 while collecting four doubles and two homers in that span. That’s huge for a guy who’s really only had success against right-handers this season, posting a .282 AVG, .498 SLG and .818 OPS against them. Those numbers are still below his impressive career averages and we’ll look for him to continue this resurgence against a struggling pitcher like Kelly.

9/9 DFS Hitting Third Baseman

Alex Bregman, HOU vs. OAK

DK ($5,200) FD ($4,400)

In such a short slate, it’s going to be tough to fade someone as hot as Bregman. Over his last 32 games, Bregman is hitting .411 en route to a .490 OBP, .766 SLG and 1.256 OPS. That’s really scary for a regression candidate like Mike Fiers, as his 3.75 ERA is way off of his 5.22 xFIP. Vegas knows this though and that’s why the Astros are projected for more than five runs.

DFS Hitting Shortstop

Francisco Lindor, CLE at LAA

DK ($5,000) FD ($4,200)

If we’re stacking the Indians, that means we simply can’t fade Lindor. The numbers from Sandoval are obviously impactful to Frankie’s value but it’s the recent form that really draws us into using the smiling shortstop. Over his last 51 games, Lindor has accrued a .307 AVG, .592 SLG and .941 OPS. Those stellar numbers don’t even consider his speed, with Lindor being one of the AL leaders with 20 steals. The splits are simply the icing on the cake, with Lindor generating a .377 OBP and .895 OPS against left-handers dating back to 2017.

9/9 DFS Hitting Outfielders

Franmil Reyes, CLE at LAA

DK ($3,900) FD ($3,300)

Reyes might be my favorite outfield play of the day. The main reason why is because he should be batting cleanup against Sandoval. That’s really no surprise when you see that Reyes’has a .520 SLG and .271 ISO this season. Those are simply some of the best power numbers in the game, as he’s been even better recently. Over his last 15 games, Reyes has a .321 AVG, .419 OBP, .698 SLG and 1.117 OPS. Getting to face a lefty is simply a bonus, with Reyes accumulating a .306 AVG, .383 OBP, .552 SLG and .935 OPS against them since the beginning of last season.

Corey Dickerson, PHI vs. ATL

DK ($4,500) FD ($3,000)

If you’ve been following me this season, you know how much I adore Dickerson. This masher is simply one of the best hitters in baseball when he faces righties and it’s time people start treating him as such. For his career, CD has a .243 ISO and .363 wOBA with the platoon advantage in his favor. His splits are even more absurd this season, with Dickerson generating a .360 OBP, .588 SLG, .273 ISO, .382 wOBA and .948 OPS against right-handers. That’s horrifying for Mike Foltynewicz in a hitter’s haven like Citizen’s Bank Park, with Folty pitching to a 5.28 ERA and 1.41 WHIP this season.

Aaron Judge, NYY at BOS

DK ($4,600) FD ($4,400)

Don’t look now but Judge is starting to heat up. Over his last 19 games, Judge is hitting .299 while providing a .675 SLG and 1.017 OPS. The thing that really makes him attractive here are his splits, with Judge amassing a .344 AVG, .454 OBP, .656 SLG and 1.109 OPS against left-handers so far this season. That doesn’t even take into consideration that he’s Top-5 in both exit velocity and barrel rate. That gives him arguably the best hitting profile in the Majors.

6 years ago 0 comments

MLB

9/2 MLB DFS Pitching and Prop Picks

Joel Bartilotta 6 years ago

written by Joel Bartilotta

Here we are, it’s Labor Day. While most of you were still sleeping, I was sitting here spinning records, and poring over the 9/2 MLB DFS Pitching Picks. One of the things I love about having a Monday holiday is a bevy of MLB games to watch.

On this 9/2 MLB DFS slate we are starting a new format, besides giving you my top pitching picks to play, I will also be giving you some top pitching picks to attack. This all part of our continuing effort to bring you the highest quality analysis in the industry. Speaking of quality analysis, if you did not already know we now have a show on Sirius XM Fantasy Sports Radio on Saturday nights from 11 pm to 1 am EST. Make sure you tune in. So, without further delay, I bring you today’s top plays.

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On theDefense

JakeOdorizzi vs. Detroit Tigers

$9,700 FD / $10,500 DK

The Detroit Tigers are a prime team to attack on any given day, and this 9/2 MLB DFS slate is no different. They are striking out 27.3 percent of the time (1^st in MLB) with a .292 wOBA versus RHPs this season. Meanwhile, Odorizzi has been steady mobbin’ to the tune of RHBs, hitting a whopping .187 off him this season. With the Tigers being extremely right-handed heavy, Jake not from State Farm should dominant this Little League lineup today.

NoahSyndergaard vs Washington Nationals

$9,000 FD / $10,000 DK

In GPP play on this 9/2 MLB DFS slate, even facing a teamthat mashes RHPs like the Nationals, I would seriously consider using Thor. Eventhough the Nats have ugly numbers versus opposing pitchers this season, they donot versus Syndergaard. Over three starts versus Washington this season Thorhas 18 strikeouts over 21 innings with eight earned runs, four of them comingin his first start back in late March. With Syndergaard having a road ERA of 3.49versus his 4.73 ERA at home, everything appears to be a go for him today.

MasahiroTanaka vs. Texas Rangers

$8,000 FD / $8,100 DK

Tanaka, much like Julio Teheran of years past, is much more dominant at home. So far this season he is posting a 3.26 home ERA as opposed to his 5.93 ERA on the road. The Rangers are striking out 24.2 percent of the time versus RHPs with a low wRC+ of 86, while batting a pathetic .202 over the last seven. Despite Masahiro’s ups and downs as of late, in his last start facing Seattle he sent seven to the dugout mad while pitching a seven-inning shutout. On this 9/2 MLB DFS slate Tanaka is one of my favorite plays for the price.

Joe Rossvs. New York Mets

$6.800 FD / $6,600 DK

For the record on this 9/2 MLB DFS slate I prefer this play a lot more on DK over FD. Although the price is still nice on FD, I think the value is better served in the SP2 slot on DK. The Mets can be very dangerous to attack in MLB DFS versus RHPs, they are in the middle of the pack striking out 20 percent of the time with a .319 wOBA. But Ross has looked too good as of late to pass up here. Over his last five starts spanning a little more than 25 innings, he has only allowed three earned runs while striking out 16 batters. My biggest concern is innings here, as he does have a few starts in that span where he failed to reach the five-inning mark.

On theAttack

Drew Smylyvs. Cincinnati Reds

For fantasy owners Drew Smyly has done anything but make you smile. Over his last five starts he has allowed 20 earned runs over his last 26 innings, making the Reds a prime stack on this 9/2 MLB DFS slate. Cincinnati has some powerful RHBs, and is posting a .328 wOBA versus LHPs, Smyly is in serious trouble today in the Great American Small Park.

Notable Bats

Aristides Aquino has a .578 wOBA and 261 wRC+ versusLHPs with four straight games without a HR.

Phillip Ervin has .488 wOBA and 202 wRC+ versus LHPswhile batting .333 with two home runs over the last seven days. He also hasfound his way into the three spot.

Eugenio Suarez has .423 wOBA and 160 wRC+ versus LHPs and has seven home runs over his last nine games. He did leave yesterday’s second game of the doubleheader with a hand injury so keep your eyes peeled here.

JordanZimmerman vs. Minnesota Twins

The McRib, Roller skates, and Sandy Koufax are three thingsthat all had to come to an end. Much like Jordan Zimmerman’s good starts as oflate. Although he has three starts in a row allowing two earned runs or less,the last time he faced Minnesota they bombed him for five runs over threeinnings sending the Zim home in dismay. I see serious regression here today andwill stack against this geriatric pitcher on this 9/2 MLB DFS slate facing a Twinsteam posting a .345 wOBA versus RHPs.

Notable Bats

Nelson Cruz is crushing everyone and RHPs are notdifferent. He is posting .411 wOBA and wRC+ of 158 versus RHPs this season.

Mitch Garver currently has a .396 wOBA versus RHPs with a wRC+ of 147. Over the last seven days he is also batting .455 with three home runs.

Luis Arraez, if he gets the start today, which I believe he will, has a .374 wOBA versus RHPs with a complimentary 133 wRC+. With bigger bats, and $4,000 price tag on DK, you can get him at a low ownership today for sure.

Mike Minorvs. New York Yankees

The New York Yankees hit home runs like I eat Beyond Burgers, pretty much every day. I know this, does Mike Minor? If not, he will soon enough. The Yankees are crushing lefties to the tune of .360 wOBA this season with a wRC+ of 121, both which are 4^th in MLB. The magic number is 55, remember that number on this 9/2 MLB DFS slate, it is how many dingers the Yanks have launched this season versus lefties. With Minor allowing 10 earned runs in his last 12 1/3 innings, I suspect the number will be much higher tomorrow. Keep in mind that Minor has reverse splits, so do not be afraid to go lefty on lefty here in GPPs.

Notable Bats

D.J. LeMahieu is posting .476 wOBA and 202 wRC+ versus LHPs this season. Despite the horrible BVP versus Minor I would still rank him at the top batting .400 with two home runs over the last seven days.

Aaron Judge has returned to pass judgement with his .470 wOBA versus LHPs. He is batting .375 with three home runs over the last seven days and I fully see him putting one out today.

Luke Voit has posted a .354 wOBA this season along with a wRC+ of 120 versus LHPs. I like the pricing for him on both sites today and will have a lot of exposure to him. If Mike Ford somehow draws the start, that will certainly be my pivot.

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Monkey Knife Fight Prop Pick

With the Tigers striking out 27.2 percent of the time versus RHPs, and Odorizzi striking out six batters or more in four out of his last five starts the over here seems to easy.

Zimmerman more-than-likely will not see enough innings after the Twins bats get a hold of him today, so the under here is where I am looking.

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6 years ago 0 comments

MLB

Yankees on Parade: MLB DFS Hitters/Stacks-7/25

Mark Paquette 6 years ago

written by Mark Paquette

A nine-game split slate for MLB DFS on Thursday and one where weather will not cause any problems. There will be no problems for the Yankees, it seems.

Find out which hitters to use tonight on FanDuel with our Premium Gold Data Driven Projections.

Catcher

Roberto Perez, Indians at Royals ($2,700 FD, $3,500 DK): I love using this backstop against lefties but the park downgrade scares me a bit tonight. So maybe the long-ball potential isn’t overly high but the Indians should be able to string together some hits and get a few rallies going tonight.

First Base

Daniel Vogelbach, Tigers at Mariners ($3,500 FD, $4,200 DK): You can’t go wrong with a player who has hit multiple HRs in a game twice in over a week at that price. Especially against the Tigers pitching staff and particularly against today’s starting pitcher, Drew VerHagen.

Edwin Encarncion, Yankees at Red Sox ($4,300 FD, $5,400 DK) and Luke Voit ($3,600 FD, $4,800 DK): Both bats from a loaded Yankees lineup are in play in Fenway Park against Rick Porcello. Will traveling to Boston after a night game in Minnesota slow down the Bombers bats? Probably not but we will see what happens tonight.

Second Base

Gleyber Torres, Yankees at Red Sox ($3,700 FD, $4,700 DK): Torres has recovered from a slump. He has hit safely over his last three games with HRs in two of them. He is especially attractive if you want to use a Yankee stack and they blow up former Cy Young winner Rick Porcello.

Shortstop

Didi Gregorius, Yankees at Red Sox ($3,300 FD, $4,900 DK): Well I seem to be writing myself smack dab into using a Yankees stack tonight. Well who can blame me for doing that? Didi has recorded back-to-back games where he has accumulated eight hits, 3 runs scored, a homer, three doubles, a triple, 10 RBI and a walk. Wow, talk about a good DFS player the last two nights.

Third Base

Logan Forsythe, Rangers at Athletics ($2,500 FD, $4,100 DK): An affordable bat with pop who always plays against lefties, Forsythe has gone deep in two of his last five games. He has a decent chance of making it three out of six against mediocre lefty Brett Anderson.

Outfield

Let us go back to the Yankees here and red-hot Aaron Hicks ($3,800 FD, $5,000 DK). Like Didi, he has coming of consecutive great games with totals of four hits, two homers, four runs, four RBI and a walk. It is only a matter of time until Aaron Judge ($4,600 FD, $5,600 DK) joins in the long ball fun. Like the other Yankees mentioned, he certainly had a productive pair of games at Target Field combining for five hits, two doubles, two RBI and 3 runs scored.

My last outfielder will be a non-Yankee in Ramon Laureano ($3,100 FD, $4,900 DK). He is coming off a stretch where he reached double digits in DK fantasy points in 10 games on either side of the All-Star break. This had to be the quietest hot streak in all of MLB. I like using him as a late night one-off against a bad Rangers pitching staff led by starter Ariel Jurado.

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Stacks

As you can tell in the write-up for batters, the Yankees are the #1 stack against a pitcher they have dominated recently in Rick Porcello. That guy must have nightmares of the beating the Bronx Bombers put on him in the Little League field they played on in London. Tom Eshelman of the Orioles has yet to produce a quality start in three tries this season. So that puts the Angels in play as a stack. The Nationals, going against a tired Rockies bullpen that has pitched a whole bunch of innings over the last week or so, could be in play on the early or all-game slate.

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6 years ago 0 comments

MLB

DFS MLB Winners and Losers: d’Arnaud She Wrote

Vincent Pensabene 6 years ago

written by Vincent Pensabene

With a doubleheader between the Giants and Rockies, we had an 11-game slate on Monday July 15. All DFS MLB points and price values are based off DraftKings.

DFS MLB Winners

Travis d’Arnaud ($3,600)

Travis d’Arnaud had a career night against the New York Yankees. He went 3-for-5 with three home runs, five RBI, three runs and two walks from the leadoff spot in the order. Travis d’Arnaud should be in your lineup today as well.

d’Arnaud’s Outlook

Travis d’Arnaud did something extremely rare last night: he became the fifth player to hit three home runs and reach base five times against the Yankees. The other four were Mo Vaughn (1997), Ken Griffey Jr (1996), Pat Mullin (1949) and Carl Reynolds (1930). In addition to making history, d’Arnaud is hitting an outstanding .480 in his last seven games. Make sure to have him in your lDFS MLB ineup today as the Rays face off against CC Sabathia.

Miles Mikolas ($8,000)

Miles Mikolas was unquestionably the best pitcher on the slate last night against the Pittsburgh Pirates. He finished with a complete game shutout and allowed eight hits while recording three strikeouts and picked up his sixth victory. To say this type of performance was needed would be an understatement.

Mikolas’ Outlook

In his past seven starts, Mikolas has a 2-4 record with a 3.69 ERA with more than a hit per inning. Mikolas hits the mound again on Saturday in Cincinnati against the Reds. With the price tag increasing with a performance like last night’s, you can find someone for better DFS MLB value to put up similar results.

DFS MLB Losers

Zach Eflin ($8,200)

Zach Eflin had a rough outing against the Los Angeles Dodgers as he went six innings and gave up seven runs on nine hits with a walk and five strikeouts in a losing effort. The Dodgers have one of the best lineups in all of baseball, but Eflin should not be in your lineup during his next start.

Eflin’s Outlook

Eflin has been struggling as of late and last night was no different. In his past seven games, he is 2-4 with a 6.02 ERA and a 1.54 WHIP. His next scheduled start is Saturday against the Pittsburgh Pirates. He has been pitching poorly so fade Eflin in that DFS MLB matchup.

Luke Voit ($4,300)

Luke Voit struggled last night against the Tampa Bay Rays as he went hitless in five at-bats with three strikeouts, including the game-ending K. He isn’t providing much at the plate, watching too many pitches inside the zone instead of fouling off a pitcher’s pitch. Until Voit looks more comfortable at the plate, avoid using him in your lineups.

Voit’s Outlook

In his three games since returning from the Injured List, he is 2-for-12 with seven strikeouts. He looks completely lost at the plate and looks like a prime candidate for a day off. The Yankees continue their series with the Tampa Bay Rays and Voit should be avoided in DFS MLB until he looks more comfortable in the batter’s box.

Injury Update

Luis Severino and Dellin Betances both began their throwing programs on Monday with 25 throws from 60 feet each. Neither has appeared in a game this season.

The Los Angeles Dodgers placed outfielder Chris Taylor on the 10-day IL with a fractured left forearm. He was hit by a Heath Hembree fastball in the 11th inning on Sunday night against the Red Sox.

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6 years ago 0 comments

MLB

DFS: Top Hitters and Prop Picks for 6/25: Yankees, Braves, Cubs and Padres

wesley maxwell 6 years ago

written by wesley maxwell

Catcher

Gary Sanchez, TOR vs. NYY

DK ($5,600) FD ($4,400)

Well you are going to have to pay up for to “unleash the Kraken” today but it is difficult to argue that it won’t be worth it. The whole Yankee lineup is in play as the face a bad left-handed starter in Clayton Richard. For the season, Richard has given up five HRs in 25.1 innings with 29 hits and 21 earned runs allowed. Do me a favor please: if you are going to the Bronx to watch baseball tonight and have seats in the left-field bleachers, bring a glove.

First Base

Edwin Encarncion/Luke Voit, TOR at NYY

DK ($5,200) FD ($4,000) and DK ($4,800) ($3,700)

As you may or may not know, I am a die-hard Red Sox fan. I was born and raised (and lived the first 33 years of my life) in a small central Massachusetts town. One of the most memorable nights of my life was a certain October evening in 2004. Why am I saying this? Because I have to hand it to the Yankees. This lineup they have assembled maybe the best of recent MLB history. So deep and powerful, especially against lefties. So, it is tough to pick just one of this duo tonight against Clayton Richard.

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Second Base

Hanser Alberto, SD at BAL

DK ($3,400) FD ($2,500)

We are going to need to get some savings so why not get a guy who will likely be batting leadoff in an extreme hitter’s park? Against lefties, and the Padres are throwing out a southpaw in rookie Logan Allen, Alberto has been incredible. 41 hits in only 101 official ABs, that is over .400 folks!!, with 11 runs scored, 11 RBI and two stolen bases. Pair him with another Oriole like Mancini or Nunez and pocket the savings.

Third Base

Renato Nunez, SD at BAL

DK ($3,700) FD ($2,600)

This is strange as Nunez is listed as a first baseman on DK. Having him with third baseman eligibility like he has on FD would have been very nice! Anyways, this guy is a lefty masher in 2019. He has eight HRs in exactly 100 official ABs against lefties this season. He will most likely be slotted into the cleanup spot. Did I mention that Oriole Park at Camden Yards is an extreme hitter’s park?

Shortstop

Manny Machado/Fernando Tatis Jr., SD at BAL

DK ($5,500) FD ($3,900) DK($5,700) FD($3,800)

Let us stay in the comfy confines of Camden Yards. The Orioles pitching staff is historically bad, giving up by far the most HRs in all of MLB this year. Again, position eligibility weirdness caused me to both of these Padre righties in this column. On DK, both of these players are eligible at SS. On FD, Machado is a third baseman. In either case, these players are in smash spots today, with the Orioles planning to use Jimmy Yacobonis (who has a 4.70 ERA and 1.44 WHIP on the season) and then possibly going with lefty bullpen arm Josh Rodgers (8.25 ERA and 1.50 WHIP) as the primary pitcher. I do not know about you, but to me this sounds like a potential disaster for Baltimore.

Outfield

Ronald Acuna Jr, ATL at CHC

DK ($5,000) FD ($4,200)

Acuna’s price went down by $100 on FD while going up by $200 on DK. What is the icons to give me a shrugging shoulders? Wrigley Field, though mildly disappointing last night, will see similar weather with a nice breeze blowing out to right. This should give lefty bats and right-handed bats with opposite field power a boost. The latter description screams Javier Baez but in reality Acuna Jr. should not be far behind when it comes to that.

Giancarlo Stanton, TOR at NYY

DK ($4,600) FD ($4,200)

Stanton hit his first HR of 2019 last night. With all this mashing that the Yankees have done this season, let that sink in. If Judge and Stanton get it going…watch out. Anyways, Stanton against a struggling lefty, yes please.

Aaron Judge, TOR at NYY

DK ($4,700) FD ($4,300)

Stanton hit his first HR last night….Judge gets his first one since returning from injury tonight.

M onkey Knife Fight Picks of the Day

Aaron Judge, Gary Sanchez, Giancarlo Stanton Over 12.5 Total Bases

Let’s go for broke tonight and a big prize. I like two, if not all three, players to hit a HR tonight.

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6 years ago 0 comments

MLB

DFS Hitting Stacks for 6/13: Kicking Kikuchi

Wes Anderson 6 years ago

written by Wes Anderson

Minnesota Twins

If you areplaying the early or all-day slates, you will want to be sure to get someexposure to the Twins. Minnesota has demonstrated an ability to hit the longball against lefties this season. As an offense they have a .212 ISO and a .373wOBA versus southpaws. Their success against lefties should continue today atthe expense of Yusei Kikuchi.

The Seattle starter is allowing a .348 wOBA to righties this season. And the best righty stick on the Twins belongs to Nelson Cruz (FanDuel: $3,700 DraftKings: $4,800). The slugger has a .424 ISO and a .443 wOBA against lefties this season.

There are a good number of options to pair with Cruz that will make for a dangerous stack. C.J. Cron (FanDuel: $3,700 DraftKings: $4,600) owns a .404 ISO versus lefties. Miguel Sano (FanDuel: $3,600 DraftKings: $4,300), Mitch Garver (FanDuel: $3,500 DraftKings: $5,200), Bryon Buxton (FanDuel: $3,200 DraftKings: $4,400) and Ehire Adrianza (FanDuel: $2,200 DraftKings: $3,300) all have ISOs greater than .220 against southpaws this season.

The Minnesotaoffense has all the makings of a DFS winner on Thursday.

Colorado Rockies

The San Diego Padres will be activating Matt Strahm from the IL in time to make the start on Thursday. This is very good news for the Rockies’ sluggers. Strahm owns a 42.3% flyball rate. Not only does he allow a bunch of flyballs, the Padres’ starter has a 47.2% hard contact rate. A flyball pitcher that gets hit hard will be starting in Colorado, what could go wrong?

Plan on a lot going wrong for the Padres’ southpaw. The Rockies should do plenty of damage against Strahm. And that damage is likely to come from Nolan Arenado (FanDuel: $4,800 DraftKings: $5,600). The third baseman has punished lefties all season with a .391 ISO and a .467 wOBA versus them. Our projections really like Arenado as well. Click here to sign up for our gold premium package that includes the projections, Slack channel access and much more.

And Arenadoisn’t alone when it comes to giving lefties a tough time. Ian Desmond (FanDuel:$3,600 DraftKings: $4,400), Ryan McMahon (FanDuel: $3,300 DraftKings: $4,300),Charlie Blackmon (FanDuel: $4,400 DraftKings: $5,800) and even Mark Reynolds (FanDuel:$2,700 DraftKings: $3,600) all have ISOs above .200 versus lefties this season.

The Rockies’ offense will be popular today and deservedly so.

New York Yankees

The ChicagoWhite Sox’s Ivan Nova enters play today with the highest ERA of any startingpitcher for Thursday. The best part about picking on Nova is that he hasstruggled against both sides of the plate. He is allowing a .357 wOBA torighties, while surrendering a .406 wOBA to lefties.

So feel free to pick any Yankees for your Daily Fantasy lineups. But you most likely will want to start that New York build with Gary Sanchez (FanDuel: $4,300 DraftKings: $5,500). The catcher has a .392 ISO and a .413 wOBA versus righties this season.

Othertargets for the Bronx Bombers stack include: Gleyber Torres (FanDuel: $3,600DraftKings: $4,600), Aaron Hicks (FanDuel: $3,700 DraftKings: $4,800), LukeVoit (FanDuel: $ DraftKings: $5,100), Brett Gardner (FanDuel: $3,100DraftKings: $4,300) and Clint Frazier (FanDuel: $3,500 DraftKings: $4,400).Each of these Yankees have ISOs over .235 against righties this season.

Value Stacks: Toronto Blue Jays (FanDuel), ArizonaDiamondbacks (FanDuel), San Diego Padres (DraftKings)

6 years ago 0 comments

MLB

Hitting and MLB Prop Picks for 6/10: Bronx Bombing

Cora Baylis 6 years ago

written by Cora Baylis

Catcher

Gary Sanchez, NYY vs. NYM

DK ($5,100) FD ($4,200)

I literally looked at the catching selections for about one whole second, as this was one of the easiest recommendations of the season. Sanchez’ season-long numbers are just ridiculous, with the slugging catcher hitting 19 dingers this season en route to a .959 OPS. Those numbers are nice but his peripherals are simply amazing. In fact, Sanchez is one of the league leaders with a .433 xwOBA, .700 xSLG and .364 ISO. That simply means he’s hitting the crap out of the ball and we love him against Jason Vargas. Since 2017, Sanchez is posting a .522 SLG and .865 OPS against southpaws and gets to face a pitcher who is posting a 5.00 xFIP and 1.35 WHIP in a hitter’s haven like Yankee Stadium.

First Base

Luke Voit

DK ($4,400) FD ($4,200)

Let’s keep the Yankees rolling with their powerful first baseman. Voit’s numbers since joining the Bronx Bombers are simply bonkers, with the first baseman posting a .947 OPS and .563 SLG in that span. That’s backed up by an xwOBA north of .400 and he’s simply developed into one of the best bats in the American League. Those numbers would put him in consideration against anyone, especially a lefty gas can like Vargas. Voit is providing a .933 OPS against southpaws since the beginning of 2017.

Second Base

Cesar Hernandez, PHI vs. ARI

DK ($3,600) FD ($2,800)

With Andrew McCutchen out for the year, Hernandez’s value has risen exponentially because of his move to the leadoff spot. While he hasn’t had any big games since moving up, the fact that he’s averaging nearly five at-bats a game in that role alone makes him an attractive option. We’re talking about a guy with a .277 average and .776 OPS. That’s all you can ask for from someone so cheap and it doesn’t even take into consideration that he’ll be batting atop a lineup projected for more than five runs. The reason for that total is because Philly is squaring off with Taylor Clarke, who posted a 7.22 ERA and 1.60 WHIP at Triple-A this season. We also love that Hernandez gets to face a righty, with the lefty second baseman posting an .842 OPS against right-handers so far this season.

Third Base

Matt Carpenter, STL at MIA

DK ($4,000) FD ($3,400)

While Carpenter has struggled the first two months of the season, this price is simply too cheap for someone of his ability. We’re talking about a perennial All-Star candidate who bats atop one of the best lineups in baseball. In his career, Carpenter is posting a .386 OBP and .866 OPS against right-handed pitching. That’s monster production from a player in this price range and recent results would indicate that he’s climbing out of his slump. Over his last 18 games, Carpenter is hitting .279 while providing an .894 OPS.

Shortstop

Gleyber Torres, NYY vs. NYM

DK ($4,300) FD ($3,400)

Let’s finish off our Yankees stack with their slugging shortstop. The aforementioned Vargas numbers put all of these Yankees in play, as their projected run total is easily one of the highest on the slate. Torres is a major reason why, as he’s got a .521 SLG and .842 OPS against lefties since his call-up last year. That’s nearly identical to his season-long numbers and it’s hard to understand why he’s in the $4,000-range. Stacking Yankees is easily one of the best strategies on this slate and it’s actually reasonably affordable with Torres and Voit at such nice bargains.

Outfield

Juan Soto, WSH at CWS

DK ($5,100) FD ($3,900)

Not many people realize this but Soto is arguably the hottest hitter in the league right now. Over his last 21 games, Soto is hitting .385 while providing a .462 OBP and 1.128 OPS. That’s obviously absurd and it’s pretty much the guy we’ve seen since his call-up last season. Getting the platoon advantage in the icing on the cake, with the Washington outfielder posting a .415 OBP and .936 OPS against righties for his career. Journeyman,Odrisamer Despaigne is not a guy we need to fear either, as his 5.54 ERA and 1.49 WHIP since the beginning of 2015 shows why he was in the minors.

Corey Dickerson, PIT at ATL

DK ($3,900) FD ($3,000)

Many people are forgetting about Dickerson because he just came off the IL but this guy has made a name for himself by destroying righties. In his career, Dickerson is posting a .526 SLG and .836 OPS against right-handed pitching. Getting that sort of production from a player this cheap is extremely rare, especially in such a premium matchup. Over his last two starts, Gausman has allowed 15 runs and 20 hits, which has skyrocketed his ERA to 6.15. Dickerson pairs beautifully with Gregory Polanco, as these guys make a sneaky two-man stack against the struggling Gausman.

Eloy Jimenez, CWS vs. WSH

DK ($3,100) FD ($2,800)

Jimenez is one of the highest touted prospects in the Majors and that makes this price simply ridiculous. We’re talking about a guy who provided historical numbers at the minor league level, with Jimenez posting a .326/.382/.573 slash line since 2017. That equates to an OPS just shy of 1.000 and an ISO in the .250 range. Those are elite statistics and it’s just a matter of time before we see that sort of ability at the Major League level. Recent results are really promising too, with Jimenez entering this game in the midst of a six-game hitting streak while going yard in back-to-back games. That sort of power potential is particularly intriguing against Anibal Sanchez, who ranks in the Top-3 in dingers allowed since 2015.

Monkey Knife Fight Pick of the Day

Gary Sanchez/Gleyber Torres/ Luke Voit Over 0.5 Home Runs

I’m 8-3 over my last 11 MFK picks, so if you’re not taking these recommendations, I don’t know what you’re thinking. I’ve actually yet to pick a home run parade prop as of yet but I absolutely love this pick today. There’s really not much explanation needed because I wrote up all of these guys but I’d genuinely be surprised if none of them hit a homer. The main reason for that is because they all get the platoon advantage against Jason Vargas, who’s posting a 5.05 ERA and 1.39 WHIP since the beginning of last season, which is miraculously lower than his xFIP. That’s why the Yankees are projected for nearly six runs, hitting in a little league park like Yankee Stadium.

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6 years ago 0 comments

MLB

MLB DFS Winners and Losers: No ‘Stro Show

Sean Escobar 6 years ago

written by Sean Escobar

All 30 teams were in action on Friday June 7. We will highlight a few players that outperformed their values and others that did not live up to it. All prices and points are based off of DraftKings.

Winners

Yonny Chirinos ($8,100)

Chirinos looked great in Fenway Park against the Boston Red Sox yesterday, going eight strong innings and only giving up two hits and two walks. He also finished with six strikeouts. Chirinos was locked in from the jump, getting the first 16 Red Sox hitters back to the dugout before allowing a walk to Brock Holt in the bottom of the sixth. Chirinos should be a viable option in his next start.

Chirinos’ Outlook

Chirinos has been filthy this entire season and people have overlooked him. His 0.90 WHIP ranks fourth in baseball and second in the American League behind Justin Verlander. He also has a sub-.200 batting average against. His next scheduled outing is Tuesday night against Oakland at the Trop. Oakland ranks 15th in OPS, so do not expect the A’s to put up a crooked number against Chirinos in his next outing.

Danny Peralta ($4,200)

Perelta looked good north of the border in Toronto against Marcus Stroman and the Blue Jays. He finished 3-for-4 with a home run, two RBI and two runs scored. Peralta upped his average to .309 with eight homers and 34 RBI. Look to use Peralta if his price tag is around $4,200 again.

Peralta’s Outlook

Peralta had six total bases in yesterday’s game, which is a new season-high for him. In his past 15 games, Peralta is 17-for-57 (.298 average) so being above .300 isn’t too big of a shocker. The interleague matchup between the Diamondbacks and Blue Jays should be good for Peralta. Toronto’s pitching staff has the second-most free passes in baseball and is middle-of-the-road in batting average against. If he continues to have a value around $4,200, look for Peralta to continue providing value.

Tom Murphy ($3,300)

If you love finding a diamond in the rough, Murphy was your guy as he went 1-for-4 with a three-run home run. He doesn’t need to post crazy numbers to provide value with such a smaller price tag than other catchers. Murphy is basically playing every other day so getting consistent at-bats seems to be the key for him. Expect him to continue to provide value if in the lineup today.

Murphy’s Outlook

Murphy has been a surprise at the dish this season and continues to make solid contact. The only issue is his ability to draw walks, as he only has three in his past 30 games. However, his .333 average in the past seven games has been providing value for DFS players. Murphy and the Mariners continue their series in Anaheim today and the Angels have a .770 OPS against their pitchers. If Murphy is inserted back in the lineup and you need a player with a small price tag, use Murphy to get a few hits.

Losers

Luke Voit ($5,300)

Voit did not have a good day for the New York Yankees, getting the golden sombrero in his four at-bats against the Cleveland Indians. He looked lost at the plate and did not take many good swings throughout the course of the game. Fade him today, but it is highly unlikely he will not do better than he did in the opener against the Indians.

Voit’s Outlook

Luke Voit is now hitless in his last three games, going 0-for-11 with three walks and five strikeouts. The Yankees continue their three-game set in Cleveland today. The Indians trot out Adam Plutko and he is not known for his strikeout ability. Look for Luke Voit to end his hitless streak, but fade him in today’s slate and look for a better first baseman.

Marcus Stroman ($8,200)

Stroman did not have a good game against the Arizona Diamondbacks. His final line was 5.2 innings with six runs on seven hits, plus four strikeouts with two walks. He also gave up a pair of home runs in the outing before picking up his eighth loss on the season. Stroman didn’t have the control he usually does.

Stroman’s Outlook

Marcus Stroman has the 25th highest WHIP in the Majors with 1.32 and is tied for the lead with eight losses. Stroman seems to be a prime candidate to be moved at the trade deadline. His next start is slated for Thursday in Baltimore against the Orioles. Look for the ‘Stro Show to return to better form against a weak opposing lineup.

Injury Update

Seranthony Dominguez of the Philadelphia Phillies was placed on the 10-day Injured List with a right UCL injury. General Manager Matt Klentak said the injury could require Tommy John surgery.

Justin Upton began his rehab assignment as he continues his on his path to a return from turf toe in his left foot.

The Seattle Mariners placed Mitch Haniger on the 10-day Injured List with a ruptured testicle.

6 years ago 0 comments

MLB

MLB DFS Winners and Losers: No ‘Stro Show

Sean Escobar 6 years ago

written by Sean Escobar

All 30 teams were in action on Friday June 7. We will highlight a few players that outperformed their values and others that did not live up to it. All prices and points are based off of DraftKings.

Winners

Yonny Chirinos ($8,100)

Chirinos’ Outlook

Danny Peralta ($4,200)

Peralta’s Outlook

Tom Murphy ($3,300)

Murphy’s Outlook

Losers

Luke Voit ($5,300)

Voit’s Outlook

Marcus Stroman ($8,200)

Stroman’s Outlook

Injury Update

Seranthony Dominguez of the Philadelphia Phillies was placed on the 10-day Injured List with a right UCL injury. General Manager Matt Klentak said the injury could require Tommy John surgery.

Justin Upton began his rehab assignment as he continues his on his path to a return from turf toe in his left foot.

The Seattle Mariners placed Mitch Haniger on the 10-day Injured List with a ruptured testicle.

6 years ago 0 comments

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