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FanDuel NASCAR DFS Picks

The following FanDuel NASCAR DFS Picks are intended for GPP purposes only. For further analysis, check out the articles at windailysports.com/nascar/ or join us in the discord chat!

The NASCAR Cup Series is back in action today for the third time in seven days. Qualifying for the Coca-Cola 600 kicks off today at approximately 2 p.m. The green flag is scheduled to drop at approximately 6:28 p.m. (all times Eastern) at the Charlotte Motor Speedway.

MARTIN TRUEX JR. ($13,700) – Truex finished first in the 2019 Coca-Cola 600, logging 116 laps-led and 83 fastest-laps. Truex is the favorite to win this race after Kyle Busch.

KYLE BUSCH ($14,000) – Busch finished third in the 2019 Coca-Cola 600, logging 79 laps-led and 52 fastest-laps. Busch is the favorite to win this race.

JOEY LOGANO ($11,300) – Logano finished second in the 2019 Coca-Cola 600, logging zero laps-led and fourteen fastest-laps. Logano is second in the driver ratings and has taken the checkered flag twice during 2020 at Las Vegas and Phoenix.

PIVOTS: Chase Elliott, Kevin Harvick, Denny Hamlin, Alex Bowman, Brad Keselowski

TYLER REDDICK ($6,800) – Reddick was the 2019 NASCAR Xfinity Series Champion. Reddick took the checkered flag at the 2019 Alsco 300 at Charlotte Motor Speedway, logging 110 laps-led and 60 fastest-laps.

COREY LAJOIE ($3,500) – After starting 30th, LaJoie finished 12th in the 2019 Coca-Cola 600. LaJoie’s team has minimal resources, but his desire to take over #48 car when Jimmie Johnson retires this year helps ensure you are restoring a driver that will give his best performance possible.

PIVOTS: Christopher Bell, Kurt Busch, Aric Almirola, Ryan Newman, Chris Buescher, Bubba Wallace

NOTE: Be sure to check out our #nascar channel in Discord for assistance building your lineup, and any updates related to FanDuel NASCAR DFS Picks!

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Finally we get back to some real NASCAR racing Sunday at Darlington Speedway. This starts a crazy good stretch of seven races is eleven days, but this comes with some negatives. There is no qualifying for this race and the starting grid was based off of owners points in 4 groupings, and a random draw. This will put the cream of the crop at front of the field and will make decisions on value plays critical.

The Real Heroes 400 Starting Grid

NASCAR has been racing at Darlington since 1950 on this 1.366 mile oval. Joe Gibbs (4 wins)(Jones, Truex Jr., Kyle Busch, and Hamlin on his current team) and Toyota (5 wins)(Joe Gibbs Team plus Bell, Suarez, and Hill) have dominated at this track the last 7 races. Only Jimmie Johnson and Denny Hamlin have multiple wins at this track.

Brad Keselowski gained the pole followed by Alex Bowman in the first row. Harvick, Kyle Busch, Logano, and Hamlin are possible dominators in the top ten. I would be shocked if any drivers outside of the top ten make it into the top five without some major crash. My top three picks to possibly break the top five would be Elliott (11th), Byron (18th), and Jones (20th). I am not too thrilled with many outside of the top 20 to make up serious ground, but I would take Newman (21st), Kurt Busch (22nd), and Bell (28th) as my top three. I did have to throw in a few deep value plays just to get some diversity in my lineups, but other than McDowell (31st), T, Dillon (33rd), and Suarez (37th), I do not give many of them any hope to score decent DFS points.

The Real Heroes 400 Top 10 Starting Grid

My top DFS plays at each price tier this week are listed below. I am leaning on those who have had success at this track or I believe can be a dominator. Those qualifying at the rear will be avoided other than to add some diversity in case of any big crashes. My final Driver Usage will be posted on Twitter Sunday, but my top plays are below.

NASCAR DFS High-Priced | DraftKings | FanDuel |

  1. Denny Hamlin $11,100
  2. Joey Logano $10,100
  3. Kyle Busch $11,600

NASCAR DFS Mid-Tier | DraftKings | FanDuel |

  1. Erik Jones $9.200
  2. William Byron $8,700
  3. Kurt Busch $8,500

NASCAR DFS Value Plays | DraftKings | FanDuel |

  1. Ryan Newman $6,500
  2. Ricky Stenhouse Jr. $6,800
  3. Daniel Suarez $6,200

I also like 4 plays on DraftKings Sports Book to win the race. I am riding Denny Hamlin as my pick to win this week, but I do like 3 other value plays.

THANK YOU FOR READING. YOU CAN READ SOME OF MY OTHER WORK AND THOUGHTS ON MY AUTHOR PAGE. FOLLOW Win Daily DFS ON TWITTER @WinDailyDFS. PLEASE CHECK OUT EVERYTHING THAT Win Daily DFS HAS TO OFFER. NEW ARTICLES, STATISTICS AND DATA ARE BEING ADDED CONSTANTLY. ALSO, DO NOT FORGET TO LISTEN TO THE WIN DAILY PODCASTS HERE. JOIN US ON DISCORD, TOO!

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Shockingly, the world of sports, other than MMA and some Soccer, has shut down due to the Coronavirus. This is a good time to reflect and analyze what has worked in the past and tweak where needed to hit the ground running when everything returns. For NASCAR DFS, the preparation and execution of lineups with potential to WIN GPP’s is priority number one.

There are 3 approaches I use in NASCAR DFS depending on my confidence that week and the bankroll I am willing to put at risk. I love to attack the superspeedways like Talledega, Michigan, Pocono, and Daytona. I get very aggressive on these tracks and will throw in 150 plus lineups most weeks. Next for me are the 1.0-1.5 mile tracks, especially those that a dominator can crush. Finally, I tend to avoid very short tracks like Bristol or Martinsville and any road courses. These are just my personal preferences after analyzing years of results.

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Now that my home state of Michigan has opened sportsbooks, I will be playing many more WIN bets and hopefully “Top-5” and Driver Matchups depending on what is offered. This is where I excel. The Westgate Super Book in Las Vegas is where I have made most of my profit over the years betting 4 driver matchups that could also be parlayed. I can only hope Detroit will follow suit with some encouragement.

As for NASCAR DFS, my #1 look is always towards past performances at that track. If I can latch onto a Kyle Busch, Kevin Harvick, or Joey Logano who dominates a track, I will do so especially if they qualify near the top. I have no problem being 75% plus owned on a dominator. My next look is at the practice sessions. My thought the process is first done they have speed and second, can they maintain that speed over a number of laps.

I will put the practice session in the back of my mind as I watch qualifying. Obviously, if a potential dominator qualifies badly or is forced to the back for an issue, they instantly become chalk. You cannot avoid this. It just becomes a 5 player contest instead of 6 on DraftKings when this occurs. At times I have had the same 2 drivers in over 75% of my lineups if we have a situation with a dominator at the front and back of the starting grid.

Once qualifying has ended, I then rank the entire field based on potential and value. I personally like to create lineups by hand one at a time and check my driver usage along the way to make sure it matches my rankings. I can usually do this up to 40-50 lineups. If I am going for it that week, I will use an optimizer, entering my personal usage percentages from my ranking. While I do read a lot of articles during the week, especially from experts at the track that week, I am confident enough to override others’ opinions for my own. Many times, my driver usage is vastly different from what you will see in NASCAR GPP’s.

The key is to WIN a contest. Usually, you are splitting the top prize, but it can still pay off very well. Hitting the nuts or playing small field single or small MAX contests are the only way to make money. Diversity and aggressiveness have worked well for me, especially at the superspeedways.

Recent Single Entry NASCAR Win

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Last Week’s NASCAR Auto Club 400 was a step in the right direction as we made a slight profit. Alex Bowman won the race with the best car. Unfortunately, much of the chalk hit, so winning any big money was difficult with a number of ties at the top. This week’s FanShield 500 at Phoenix should be a bit different, with opportunities to have some lineup diversity.

The 48th running of this race, over the 1-mile tri-oval track, will have 3 stages and 312 laps as Stage 1 is set to end at Lap 75, and Stage 2 Lap 190. Joe Gibbs Racing has dominated recently winning four of the last five Phoenix races, leading the most laps in each of the last six races (He has Hamlin, Kyle Busch, Truex Jr., and Jones this year) Many drivers have won multiple times on this surface including Kevin Harvick 9 (Five FanShield 500’s), Jimmie Johnson 4, Kyle Busch 3, and Denny Hamlin 2. Joey Logano and Kurt Busch have also won here before.

FanShield 500 Stats

Chase Elliott shined in Friday’s practice sessions finishing 2nd early and 1st in the late session. Many drivers showed well in both finishing in the top 10 of each including William Byron, Brad Keselowski, Kyle Busch, Joey Logano, and Erik Jones.

Practice Session #1 Friday
Practice Session #2 Friday

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Chase Elliot continued his weekend dominance in Phoenix also taking down the Pole in Saturday’s qualifying. His performance is much like what Bowman did last week and is hard to ignore in DFS and Win betting. Phoenix dominator Kevin Harvick joins Elliott in the first row. Hamlin, Larson, a Blaney round out the top 5.

Last year’s winner Kyle Busch will start in 10th and will have other top drives right behind him including Logano 13th, Keselowski 14th, Jimmie Johnson 21st. Martin Truex Jr. who qualified 12th will start the race in the rear due to an engine change.

FanShield 500 Qualifying Results

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My top DFS plays at each price tier this week are listed below. I am leaning on those who have had success at this track and showed speed in practice and qualifying. Those qualifying at the rear will be avoided as they will go down multiple laps quickly with little chance to make a top 15 run. My final Driver Usage will be posted on Twitter Sunday.

NASCAR DFS High-Priced

  1. Kevin Harvick $11,00
  2. Kyle Busch $12,000
  3. Brad Keselowski $10,400

NASCAR DFS Mid-Tier

  1. Chase Elliott $9.600
  2. William Byron $8,300
  3. Erik Jones $8,500

NASCAR DFS Value Plays

  1. Christopher Bell $6,500
  2. Kurt Busch $8,100
  3. Bubba Wallace $6,000

I also like 6 plays on DraftKings Sports Book to win the race. I am again riding Kyle Busch as my pick to win this week, but Kevin Harvick can never be ignored.

THANK YOU FOR READING. YOU CAN READ SOME OF MY OTHER WORK AND THOUGHTS ON MY AUTHOR PAGE. FOLLOW Win Daily DFS ON TWITTER @WinDailyDFS. PLEASE CHECK OUT EVERYTHING THAT Win Daily DFS HAS TO OFFER. NEW ARTICLES, STATISTICS AND DATA ARE BEING ADDED CONSTANTLY. ALSO, DO NOT FORGET TO LISTEN TO THE WIN DAILY PODCASTS HERE

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The NASCAR Daytona 500 did not go exactly to plan, as avoiding the “Big One” is very difficult. At times, I was up 4x-5x, but I ended up slightly down after those last 2 crashes. I probably should have play 150 plus lineups. Hamlin had the best car and deserved the win.

NASCAR heads to Las Vegas for the Pennzoil 400 presented by Jiffy Lube. This is a 1.5 mile oval that is running this race for the 23rd time. Jimmie Johnson has won this race 4 times, which is two more than Brad Keselowski and Kevin Harvick who are the only other multiple winners. Joey Logano won last year’s edition and is joined by Martin Truex Jr. and Kyle Busch as the other one-time winners in this year’s field. Keselowski and Truex Jr. also have won on this track in the South Point 400 run in September the last two years.

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The practice sessions heading into qualifying were interesting as 2 Ford’s driven by Aric Almirola and Clint Bowyer was in the top three of both sessions. Jimmie Johnson led the 2nd practice with a speed of 179.432 which topped the day. Bowman, DiBenedetto, Larson, and Blaney were the others who were in the top 10 of both sessions. Ross Chastain also looked good driving the #6 to a 6th place finish in session #2 replacing Ryan Newman.

Practice Session #1 Results
Practice Session #2 Results

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Saturday’s qualifying was canceled due to rain which put Kyle Busch on the pole followed by Truex Jr., Harvick, and Hamlin in the first 2 rows. All the power players on top leaves values play at a minimum. I will lean on those who did well in practice or have had decent success in Las Vegas. Kyle Busch, Hamlin, and Bell will start from the back of the field but will be scored on their starting position. This makes them difficult plays unless you’re looking to be contrarian.

Starting Grid

My top DFS plays at each price tier this week are listed below. I was very torn on how strong to play my top picks. I decided to play hard on those I thought could dominate in laps led and position differential.

NASCAR DFS High-Priced

  1. Kevin Harvick $12,000
  2. Brad Keselowski $11,100
  3. Martin Truex Jr. $11,600

NASCAR DFS Mid-Tier

  1. Clint Bowyer $8,000
  2. Aric Almirola $7,800
  3. Jimmie Johnson $8,400

NASCAR DFS Value Plays

  1. Ricky Stenhouse Jr. $7,600
  2. Daniel Suarez $6,000
  3. Ross Chastain $6,100

I am working on all of my lineups currently and will be posting these on twitter either later tonight or early Sunday AM on twitter.

I also like 7 plays on DraftKings Sports Book to win the race. My #1 pick would be Clint Bowyer at 25/1, but I think there is value with the other plays too.

DraftKings Picks to Win the Pennzoil 400 in Las Vegas

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The NASCAR field is finally set for the 62nd Daytona 500 this Sunday. The 2 Bluegreen Vacations duel races on Thursday help set the starting lineup. The first Duel race was won by Joey Logano who led 19 laps. Ricky Stenhouse Jr. continued his good showing at Daytona with 27 led laps and an 8th place finish. Only Daniel Suarez was not running at the end after his crash. The 2nd Duel race was won by William Byron. Kevin Harvick led the most laps at 34 and finished 4th followed by 12 laps led by Alex Bowman who was the pole-sitter but finished 15th. As with the first duel, only one driver J.J Yeley was off the grid at the finish after the accident.

Bluegreen Vacations Duel 1 At DAYTONA
Bluegreen Vacations Duel 2 At DAYTONA

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Based on the finishes in the Duel races, we are going to have some chalk in DFS Sunday. Stenhouse Jr. leads everyone on the pole followed by Bowman and Duel Winners Logano and Byron.

Friday’s practice was lead by William Byron followed by Ryan Preece and Chase Elliott as Chevrolet dominated taking the top 7 spots for top speed. On Saturday, Joey Logano leads the afternoon practice session as Ford dominated.

Kyle Busch is going to be the top chalk starting in the 28th position. Hamlin 21st, Blaney 27th, and Elliott 25th will also be very highly owned. Only Bowman 2nd and Logano 3rd intrigue me at the top. I see Logano winning this race and leading the most laps. Kyle Busch and Hamlin would be my next 2 choices for top DFS point-getters.

Daytona 500 Starting Grid
Friday’s Daytona 500 Practice
Saturday’ Daytona 500 practice

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I have adjusted my top NASCAR plays at each pricing tier based on the starting grid, duel races, practicing, and most importantly the eye test.

NASCAR DFS High-Priced

  1. Kyle Busch $9,800
  2. Joey Logano $10,500
  3. Denny Hamlin $10,400

Mid-Tier

  1. Erik Jones $7,900
  2. Matt DiBenedetto $7,800
  3. Jimmie Johnson $8,200

Value Plays

  1. Christopher Bell $6,700
  2. Brendan Gaughan $7,200
  3. Tyler Reddick $6,400

THANK YOU FOR READING. YOU CAN READ SOME OF MY OTHER WORK AND THOUGHTS ON MY AUTHOR PAGE. FOLLOW Win Daily DFS ON TWITTER @WinDailyDFS. PLEASE CHECK OUT EVERYTHING THAT Win Daily DFS HAS TO OFFER. NEW ARTICLES, STATISTICS AND DATA ARE BEING ADDED CONSTANTLY. ALSO, DO NOT FORGET TO LISTEN TO THE WIN DAILY PODCASTS HERE

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The 2020 NASCAR season is finally here. The 2 Bluegreen Vacations Duels At DAYTONA are on tap for Thursday to complete the field for the 62nd Daytona 500 this Sunday. Denny Hamlin took home the trophy last season, and for the 2nd time in 4 years. Jimmie Johnson is the only other driver in the field with multiple wins in this event. While starting position is nice to have for DFS, I will always lean towards talent starting at the back of the field.

The Bluegreen Vacations Duel #1 At DAYTONA
The Bluegreen Vacations Duel #2 At DAYTONA


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This is my favorite race of the year, as I have taken home huge wins in the past with unlikely winners including Trevor Bayne and Austin Dillon. Ricky Stenhouse Jr. won the pole for Sunday’s race and leads a slew of driver racing for new teams.

2020 NASCAR driver changes

Richard Childress Racing
#8 Chevrolet

2020: Tyler Reddick
2019: Daniel Hemric

Stewart-Haas Racing
#41 Ford

2020: Cole Custer
2019: Daniel Suarez

Roush Fenway Racing
#17 Ford

2020: Chris Buescher
2019: Ricky Stenhouse Jr

JTG Daugherty Racing
#37 Chevrolet
2020: Ryan Preece
2019: Chris Buescher

JTG Daugherty Racing
#47 Chevrolet

2020: Ricky Stenhouse Jr
2019: Ryan Preece

Wood Brothers Racing
#21 Ford

2020: Matt DiBenedetto
2019: Paul Menard

Levine Family Racing
#95 Toyota

2020: Christopher Bell
2019: Matt DiBenedetto

Front Row Motorsports
#38 Ford

2020: John Hunter Nemechek
2019: David Ragan

Premium Motorsports
#15 Chevrolet

2020: Brennan Poole
2019: Ross Chastain

StarCom Racing
#00 Chevrolet

2020: Quin Houff
2019: Landon Cassill

Many rookies should make an impact in 2020 with Christopher Bell leading the way, but others including Custer and Reddick could give him a nice run It was nice to see these drivers get their chance on the big stage.

TOP ROTY CANDIDATES FOR 2020

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My top DraftKings DFS plays going into this weekend are below. I may tweak them a bit once the final starting grid comes out, but I am fairly confident in these choices at this point. Other than maybe Stenhouse Jr. at the top, the qualifying was not too surprising as 4 Chevrolets were at the top. Erik Jones took down the Busch Clash last Weekend and finished 10th in qualifying.

I will be updating my plays, including my DFS driver usage, on Saturday.

NASCAR DFS High-Priced

  1. Kyle Busch $9,800
  2. Denny Hamlin $10,400
  3. Joey Logano $10,500

Mid-Tier

  1. Erik Jones $7,900
  2. Matt DiBenedetto $7,800
  3. Jimmie Johnson $8,200

Value Plays

  1. Christopher Bell $6,700
  2. Tyler Reddick $6,400
  3. Chris Buescher $7,100
Qualifying for the Daytona 500

I have also chosen 5 NASCAR plays that I think have good value to win on DraftKings. While I think a big odds win is not probable, I am always willing to take some shots. Make sure you always shop around as most of the good odds this week are on FanDuel, not DraftKings.

  1. Kyle Busch 10/1 (13/1 on FanDuel) $250
  2. Jimmie Johnson 20/1 (22/1 on FanDuel) $100
  3. Christopher Bell 33/1 (42/1 on FanDuel) $100
  4. Erick Jones 25/1 $100
  5. Bubba Wallace 50/1 (70/1 on FanDuel) $50

THANK YOU FOR READING. YOU CAN READ SOME OF MY OTHER WORK AND THOUGHTS ON MY AUTHOR PAGE. FOLLOW Win Daily DFS ON TWITTER @WinDailyDFS. PLEASE CHECK OUT EVERYTHING THAT Win Daily DFS HAS TO OFFER. NEW ARTICLES, STATISTICS AND DATA ARE BEING ADDED CONSTANTLY. ALSO, DO NOT FORGET TO LISTEN TO THE WIN DAILY PODCASTS HERE

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The weather, unfortunately, wiped out qualifying, thus the starting lineup was put in place using owner’s points. The final four left in the chase for the Championship will start in the top 4 which makes for excitement in the race but does not give us too much for DFS purposes. Below is our DraftKings DFS NASCAR post-qualifying analysis for Miami.

There does not seem to be any huge advantage for anyone, but if I have to rank them in order, I would have to go with the following ranking.

  1. Hamlin
  2. Truex Jr.
  3. Harvick
  4. Kyle Busch
Qualifying Results

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They were only able to get one practice session in Saturday. Kyle Busch topped the session with the best speed of 168.966 and the best overall lap average. Martin Truex Jr. was 2nd in both categories. Hamlin was 3rd in Practice and 5th in lap averages followed by Harvick who was 9th in practice and 4th in lap averages. Even after these results, I am sticking with my ranking. While you can’t ignore Kyle ever, I just think the other 3 have been better in my eyes.

Practice Results
Best Lap Averages

Joey Logano is still the most intriguing driver in my eyes outside of the championship four. I think he wants to repeat in this race and prove he is still on top of his game. I also like Keselowski. He was fast in practice which helps, but he has had several issues in recent races. I will have him in one of my lineups. I also expect Chase Elliott to be in the mix.

I have ranked my top drivers outside of these seven below. The only addition to my first article this week is Erik Jones who looked good in practice. These are the 14 drivers I focused on for my DFS lineups.

  1. Jimmie Johnson
  2. Alex Bowman
  3. Erik Jones
  4. Austin Dillon
  5. Matt DiBenedetto
  6. Ty Dillon
  7. Ricky Stenhouse Jr.

I have decided to only play 5 lineups this week. My Optimal Lineup includes Hamlin, Truex Jr., Logano, and Austin Dillon plus 2 value plays. It was very difficult to decide who to use, but I thought this foursome was the best. I do have Harvick and Kyle Busch in a lineup as well as many of the others I spoke of above.

Optimal Lineup

The odds on DraftKings have not changed as the top four are still +325. My other top picks for this site would be Logano at +2000, Jones at +4000, and Johnson at +10000. I think Logano is the best value.

These odds are so much better than what FanDuel is offering, except for Jones who is +5000. Nothing else intrigued me.

While winning some serious cash is top on my list tomorrow, I do want this championship to come down to the last lap. I think Hamlin edges out Truex Jr. with Logano finishing 3rd. Good Luck!

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Since I am on Hamlin and Truex Jr. to lead, I have to go with the under on both Harvick and Kyle Busch.

THANK YOU FOR READING. YOU CAN READ SOME OF MY OTHER WORK AND THOUGHTS ON MY AUTHOR PAGE. FOLLOW Win Daily DFS ON TWITTER @WinDailyDFS. PLEASE CHECK OUT EVERYTHING THAT Win Daily DFS HAS TO OFFER. NEW ARTICLES, STATISTICS AND DATA ARE BEING ADDED CONSTANTLY. ALSO, DO NOT FORGET TO LISTEN TO THE WIN DAILY PODCASTS HERE

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Phoenix pretty much went as I thought. I was in on Chase Elliott and he crashed. He had to push it and it ended up costing him. I am just glad he went all in trying to win. We are now down to the final four and will crown a Champion on Sunday. Below is my DraftKings NASCAR DFS analysis for Miami.

Final Four eligible for the Championship

The creme rose to the top as these four drivers were the dominate ones this season, each winning at least 4 times. It is no surprise that they top the odds to win Sunday’s event as all 4 drivers are +325 on DraftKings.

Homestead-Miami Speedway, a 1.5-mile track, has hosted the Ford EcoBoost 400 since 1999. Only Denny Hamlin has won this race multiple times in 2009 and 2013, but each of the other three finalists also have a recent win here (Harvick 2014, Kyle Busch 2015, Martin Truex Jr. 2017) I really do not see any of them having an advantage at this point, but qualifying could change that.

A few other drivers I think have a chance to win with favorable odds include Joey Logano, last year’s winner, at 14-1, Jimmie Johnson, the 2016 winner, at 100-1, and Alex Bowman at 50-1.

2018 Ford EcoBoost 400 Results

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Looking at DraftKings DFS, the top 4 are reasonably priced led by Busch at $11,400 followed by Hamlin at $11,000, Harvick at $10,800, and Truex Jr. at $10,600.

Of those outside of the championship hunt, the top 3 values I see are Joey Logano at $9,800, Alex Bowman at $7,800, and Matt DiBenedetto at $7,600. I am very leery at this point of any deep value unless someone shows something in practice or qualifying. Below are my top drivers at each price point pre-qualifying.

NASCAR DFS High-Priced

  1. Kevin Harvick $10,800
  2. Denny Hamlin $11,100
  3. Joey Logano $9,800

Mid-Tier

  1. Alex Bowman $7,800
  2. Matt DiBenedetto $7,600
  3. Jimmie Johnson $7,900

Value Plays

  1. Ty Dillon $6,500
  2. Austin Dillon $7,100
  3. Ricky Stenhouse Jr. $6,900

I will be updating my DFS picks after qualifying Saturday including my Driver usage and Optimal lineup.

THANK YOU FOR READING. YOU CAN READ SOME OF MY OTHER WORK AND THOUGHTS ON MY AUTHOR PAGE. FOLLOW Win Daily DFS ON TWITTER @WinDailyDFS. PLEASE CHECK OUT EVERYTHING THAT Win Daily DFS HAS TO OFFER. NEW ARTICLES, STATISTICS AND DATA ARE BEING ADDED CONSTANTLY. ALSO, DO NOT FORGET TO LISTEN TO THE WIN DAILY PODCASTS HERE

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The practices and qualifying at ISM Raceway have put me in a quandary as I consider the post-qualifying analysis for Phoenix. The big question for me is to play Chase Elliott or not. He dominated the 2nd practice and qualified 6th. His only chance to make the final 4 next week in Miami is to win, and I think he will take any chance to make it happen, He definitely has the talent to do so. Below is our post-qualifying analysis for Phoenix.

Practice Session #1
Practice Session #2

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Blaney, Harvick, Hamlin, Logano, DiBenedetto, and Kyle Busch all finished in the top 10 of both practice sessions and look to have good speed. Kyle Busch, Logano, and Hamlin also took the top 3 spots in qualifying and must be part of a large percentage of DFS lineups. Truex Jr. qualified 4th followed by Larson, Elliott, and Harvick, so as I anticipated the leader board is going to be filled with the top talent all day Sunday. Blaney who qualified 10th was the lowest qualifier of the 8 still in the playoff.

Qualifying Results

I Identified 5 value drivers yesterday that I thought would play a big role in DFS lineups on Sunday. They qualified about where I thought they might except for Dillon who was lower than expected on 28th. I am a little worried that they will not have the speed to compete for a top 5 finish, and I leaned on experience with Johnson and Newman as I build my lineups.

  1. Ryan Newman – 20th
  2. Jimmie Johnson – 22nd
  3. Aric Almirola – 11th
  4. Austin Dillon – 28th
  5. Daniel Suarez – 15th

Some other drivers who intrigued me included Bowman who qualified 14th, DiBenedetto who qualified 16th, and John Nemechek who qualified 26th. I also still like the 4 plays I made yesterday using Almirola 42/1, Johnson and Suarez at 70/1, and the value play of the day Newman at 180/1 to win. The new post-qualifying odds have not come out yet, but it will be dominated I am sure by the top qualifiers and I do not believe there will be enough value on any of them so I will pass.

I ended up with 40 lineups this week on DraftKings. Pricing made it difficult to get as many of the top drivers as I wanted. I also really wanted to avoid too many deep values plays. My driver’s usages are below. Good Luck!!!

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I am leaning towards the under on both drivers here, but I think Blaney has the best chance to hit that number as he goes all in for a playoff spot.

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