Today’s edition of Aces and Bases focuses ONLY on FanDuel’s four-game MLB DFS Main Slate for 7:05PM ET, hopefully finding you some green screens!
It’s another busy day for weather, but initial forecasts project only one game on the main slate that could be impacted: ATL @NYM — which they should be able to get in with a late start and under a light, steady rain.
Ownership is going to be heavily weighted toward Urias, who’s the obvious choice in cash games. He’s got the most upside of any pitcher on the slate and easily boasts the highest floor because of the matchup. With four 50+ FD point performances among his last seven starts, Urias is coming into his own as a reliable fantasy starter after being brought slowly along by the Dodgers in his first few seasons in the big leagues. The Giants have a team K% of 26.2% — seventh highest in MLB — and the Dodgers are the biggest favorites in this four-game slate. Don’t overthink this one. Urias should be a lock for your cash games and in the majority of your GPP lineups.
For whatever reason, Ian Anderson’s weekly start for Atlanta almost always lands on a Saturday night, which is just fine with me considering he’s my favorite young pitcher in baseball for selfish reasons: he’s from about a half-hour away in upstate New York’s Capital Region, and is probably the best pitcher to some out of this area in decades. Pitching in a steady rain should be a familiar thing for a guy from just north of Albany, NY. The talented hurler didn’t issue a walk or accumulated any earned runs in his last start en route to 46 FanDuel points — a perfectly viable number given the difficulty this slate presents for pitching options. While the Mets don’t strike out at a particularly high rate, they do have one of the league’s most feeble team wOBA marks — just .291. Compare that to what the Braves lineup offers — a /327 team wOBA — and you’ve got a recipe for another victory and 35-45 FD points.
This makes two SP options on tonight’s slate with WinDaily narratives. While I don’t know my area’s local product (Anderson) personally, Nick Bretwisch is buddies with Mike Foltynewicz (it’s a Minooka, Illinois thing) and he’s continually come through with the best spots to deploy Folty in our MLB DFS builds. On FanDuel tonight, he’s more of a large-field GPP contrarian play, since his K totals are a little lower this season. The silver lining, however, is in the opponent’s propensity to strike out. The Mariners have a team K% of 26.2% — sixth highest in baseball this season — and they sport the second-lowest team wOBA (.285) against RHP. If you’re hell-bent on jamming in the most expensive bats on the slate and/or want to get a little crazy at SP, Folty has some modest upside vs,. SEA.
Only two teams in yesterday’s slate scored more runs than the Cards, who beat the D-Backs 8-6 and helped secure a lot of green screens for folks that trusted they’d easily handle LHP Madison Bumgarner. Today they face a right-hander, but it’s a guy with considerably less major-league experience in Frankoff, who has just 13.1 IP under his belt in MLB. Frankoff is a 32-year-old journeyman who spent some time in Korea and is with his fifth major-league organization — a sign he’s not missing a whole lot of bats at this level. The Cards should be able to take advantage of his 6.46 FIP with their usual array of potent bats, including Paul Goldschmidt ($3,100), Nolan Arenado ($3,600), Dylan Carlson (underpriced at just $2,200) and Tyler O’Neill ($3,000) — who went deep last night and boasts a .370 wOBA and nine HR vs. RHP over his last 88 big league AB. I also like switch-hitting leadoff hitter Tommy Edman ($2,700) and there’s also an opportunity to do a full game stack here and run back some bats from Arizona: Josh Rojas ($2,300), Carson Kelly ($3,200), Ketel Marte ($3,300), David Peralta ($2,500), Pavin Smith ($2,600) and Eduardo Escobar ($2,700) are all woefully mispriced for this slate.
It’s bizarre to see the Dodgers listed as a value stack, but after you get past the high-priced bats of Mookie Betts ($3,900) and Max Muncy ($3,600), there’s a couple lefty hitters we can target for their value (Gavin Lux at $2,600 and upside-laden Matt Beaty at just $2,100) along with Justin Turner ($2,900), Chris Turner ($3,100) and Will Smith ($2,900). The Dodgers projected team run total is actually right around what the D-Backs are expected, so I’ll probably make a balance four-man stacks of each team (and some 2 LAD +2 ARI builds) against my four-man Cards stacks.
Tonight might be a really good night to experiment with low-stakes multi-entry GPP and leaving some money on the table, which means we can use some combination of Rangers 1-5 hitters in a few stacks with Dunn on the mound for Seattle. Dunn’s 3.40 ERA belies an xFIP of 5.76 — good news for guys like Willie Calhoun ($3,000), Nate Lowe ($2,900), Adolis Garcia ($4,300) and Joey Gallo ($3,200). Brock Holt ($2,500) has excellent numbers vs. RHP as well. The price tag and RHP vs. RHB matchup for Garcia might scare some folks away, but he makes for a great one-off even if you’re not stacking the Rangers, with a .400 wOBA, a .330 ISO and nine HR in less than 100 AB vs. RHP. Whatever you plan on doing, I’d include some of these Rangers bats in my GPP builds at what could be relatively low ownership even on a slate this small.
Good luck, and make sure you utilize the MLB Projection models to land on your one-offs and off-the-wall value plays!
To type the numbers 9/11 still causes waves of emotions 18 years after our nation endured one of the darkest days in its history.
I can still shut my eyes and remember how the day went for me in the Satellite Operations office of Fox Sports Net and how a long day of gut-wrenching emotions and visuals that still haunt me culminated in my sitting on the floor of my living room crying uncontrollably at 11:30 pm as the National Anthem was played in the backdrop of the names that were confirmed dead.
Obviously, choosing a winning DFS lineup is secondary to the importance of this date. At the same time, the heroism displayed on that warm Tuesday morning in New York City, Washington D.C. and over the skies of Pennsylvania is a strong reminder of how, as Americans, we persist.
Play Ball, and let’s chase the long green.
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Garver capped his breakout season with his 30th home run of the season in Tuesday’s win over the Nationals. He now has four dingers in his last three games to go along with seven RBI. He’ll enter the day with a 30.5% HR/FB rate and even against Stephen Strasburg, I’d take Garver and his 46.2% hard contact rate. With a 47.7% fly ball rate and a start to September that has seen Garver’s OPS climb above 1.700, he’s a good 9/11 DFS Hitting Picks play behind the plate (although he’ll likely serve as the DH).
Like Garver, Olson reached the 30-HR barrier on Tuesday, serving as the ring leader of the A’s 21-7 payback to the Astros. Olson swatted a pair of homers, drove in four runs and scored three times to pace what was a 25-hit assault. He’s been locked in of late, having recorded hits in nine of his last 11 games that includes five homers. As hard as Garver has hit the ball, Olson has been more pronounced with his swing, delivering hard contact at a 51.2% rate. You have to like the fact Olson is getting line drives at a solid rate (24.7%) while also driving the ball consistently (43.2% fly ball rate). Chances are good he’ll be facing a taxed Astros pitching staff, making him an even stronger option.
One game after having a run of at least 21.20 FanDuel points in four of his previous five games, Marte got back on track with a pair of hits on Tuesday. Even with an 0-for-4 on Monday, Marte is hitting .481 (13-for-27) in his last eight games with three homers and 10 RBI. Although he hasn’t hit the Mets well this season, two of his seven hits resulted in slow trots around the bases. Good things indeed do happen when your Isolated Power improves by 90 points (.177 last season, .267 this year). Marte has nearly doubled his HR/FB%, standing currently at 20.4% after a 10.9% output in 2018. His .340 BABIP is yet another reason why he’s a solid 9/11 DFS Hitting Picks member.
With D.J. LeMahieu getting Tuesday off, Torres filled the leadoff role. He proceeded to show why he costs a grip at DraftKings by leading off with his 36th homer of the season, helping to give him his fourth of double-digit scoring at FanDuel in his last five games. Torres has a “modest” .815 OPS against lefties (the Tigers will start southpaw Matthew Boyd tonight) yet his road OPS hovers near .950. He has an OPS over 1.200 over the past week and should be able to maintain his 42% fly ball rate.
Dozier has multi-hit games in five of his last seven outings and has hit the White Sox well this season. In 48 at-bats against the Pale Hose, Dozier has a .354 batting average with three homers and nine RBI. The ability to draw walks has been a factor in Dozier’s 2019, as he sports a 10.3% walk rate along with elevating his BABIP from .296 last season to .342 this year. His 44.1% fly ball rate plays well in hitter-friendly Guaranteed Rate Park, even against a red-hot hurler like Reynaldo Lopez, who gets the nod for Chicago tonight.
With four homers in his last six games, Meadows is putting the Rays on his young back and carrying them closer to the AL Wild Card with each swing. Tuesday marked the sixth time in the last nine games Meadows have produced at least 20 FanDuel points and is on a September tear that has him hitting .536 with eight of his 15 hits going for extra bases. The line drives Meadows hit in the minors are now becoming homers, evidenced by his 18.7% HR/FB rate. If the Rays peg him in the #2 spot, Meadows is a very strong 9/11 DFS Hitting Picks play, as his OPS is at 1.400 when hitting second.
A three-hit effort on Tuesday continued Acuna’s success against Phillies pitching this season, as he is now at .357 with three homers, 10 RBI and 18 runs scored against them. Acuna smokes the ball at a 44.8% hard contact rate, but he’s becoming a complete hitter. He’s reduced his pull rate and is more of an all-fields hitter who is at 24.8% in HR/FB rate despite hitting fly balls 37.7% of the time. Philadelphia pitcher Zach Eflin has been an easy mark for Braves hitters this season, allowing 12 earned runs in 5.2 innings, so count on Acuna to help the Atlanta bats as extended batting practice against Eflin.
Myers is looking to finish the season strong, stretching his hitting streak to 10 games on Tuesday night. Myers has added 21 points to his batting average since August 30 and is a bargain play at FanDuel. Keep that in mind as he has also been a solid hitter against lefties, producing an .898 OPS despite a .233 batting average. The recent run has helped boost his walk rate to 10.2% along with one of the few times this season Myers’ 48.3% hard contact rate is being put to good use.
9/11 Hitting Stack of the Day: Oakland A’s: The Astros will go with righty Jose Urquidy, so stack the Oakland lefty bats starting with Olson. Seth Brown ($3400 FanDuel) should be in the lineup as well. Jurickson Profar ($3900 DraftKings) is a solid stack option, but also keep righty bats Khris Davis (a cheap $2700 at FD) and Marcus Semien ($4600 DK) as options.
9/11 Hitting Stack Runner-Up: Atlanta Braves: As previously mentioned, the Braves have hammered Eflin. Acuna is a lock, but Dansby Swanson ($2800 FD) is a value play. Brian McCann ($3500 DK)gets a favorable lefty/righty matchup as well. You have to like Josh Donaldson ($5100 DK) and Ozzie Albies ($3300 FD) among the buffet table of options.
9/11 Hitting Stack to Consider: Tampa Bay Rays: Texas starter Ariel Jurado has a 6.93 ERA in his last 10 appearances while hitters have teed off on him at a .320 clip and 1.60 WHIP. Meadows is front and center in a stack, with Avisail Garcia ($4300 DK) is a good 9/11 DFS Hitting Picks sleeper.
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A flashback at some of the best performances from the Wednesday slate plus their outlooks for the remainder of the season on the 9/5 MLB DFS review and look ahead.
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As both guys chose him in our Premium Gold Cheatsheet as a value pitcher, Zac Gallen dominated the San Diego Padres. Gallen went seven shutout innings, allowing just one hit with a walk and eight strikeouts. He did not allow a hit through 6.1 innings.
Outlook for the rest of the season: Zac Gallen has been nothing short of great since landing in Arizona at the deadline. He lowered his season ERA to 2.50 and has a .210 opposing batting average. Gallen is looking like a top-line starter after the Diamondbacks gave up Zack Greinke. Expect Gallen to continue looking good on the mound and build confidence going into next season.
Another value pick by both guys, this time in the outfield, Joc Pederson had a solid day at the plate against the Colorado Rockies. Pederson went 2-for-3 with a pair of homers, three RBI, three runs and a walk.
Outlook for the rest of the season: Joc Pederson is one of the best hitters in the National League and possibly the entire Majors. Now at 32 home runs and an OPS of .872, Pederson has been on fire. In his last seven games, he has five homers. Expect Pederson to continue slugging throughout the month of September and keeping his swing ready for the NLDS and possibly beyond.
Here is a screenshot of all the shortstops listed on our Hitter Projection Model, available for all premium users. With a very cheap price of $2,400 on FanDuel or $3,300 on DraftKings, Brandon Crawford excelled expectations last night against the Cardinals. On a bullpen day for the Cards, Crawford went 1-for-4 with a home run, three RBI, three runs and a walk.
Outlook for the rest of the season: It’s been disappointing offensively for a lot of the Giants and Crawford cannot be excused from that. He is now at .229 with 11 HRs and 54 RBI on the year while batting in the middle of the order. His price won’t waver from here and he will have a few nights of this sort of output, but he isn’t worth a look unless you need a budget guy in the lineup.
Here is a screenshot of the Top-10 most expensive players on the slate and while some could have burned you, Ketel Marte had a great day at the plate. The offense didn’t need to do much with how Gallen and the rest of the Diamondbacks pitched, but Marte went 3-for-4 with a grand slam and added a walk as well.
Outlook for the rest of the season: Don’t look now but the Diamondbacks are just three games out of a playoff spot and 9-1 in their last 10 games. Ketel Marte is a huge factor in how the team has turned it around lately. In his last 30 games, he is batting .361 with eight HRs, 23 RBI and added four stolen bases. He is showing off all five tools and won’t be stopped as Arizona, who were sellers at the deadline, are playing meaningful games. Don’t be too surprised if the Diamondbacks are in the Wild Card thanks to Marte’s extraordinary play.
Christian Walker, Brewers at Diamondbacks ($3000 FD, $4600 DK): An extremely affordable piece of a potent offense, Walker and the rest of the Snakes get a shot at Zach Davies, who is nothing more than a mediocre pitcher. Look for the momentum the Diamondbacks offense displayed last night to continue. Look to the other side of the diamond in Eric Thames ($2700 FD, $4500 DK) for another affordable DFS MLB option. Opposing pitcher Merrill Kelly has not been anything special.
Keston Hiura, Brewers at Diamondbacks ($3600 FD, $5000 DK): His price has risen according to his talent. Recently moved up to the cleanup spot, Hiura gets the same matchup that Thames does and I am beginning to see a trend that a Brewers stack could be in a good spot.
Franklin Barreto, Athletics at Twins ($2400 FD, $3700 DK): He is an affordable piece of a hot Athletics offense that gets a major park upgrade heading to Minnesota. An especially good place to hit for righties. Look for Barreto to deposit a ball into the bleachers, something he has done twice in the last six games.
Marcus Semien, Athletics at Twins ($3300 FD, $4500 DK): For many of the same reasons that I like Barreto, I like Semien. Should be batting out of the leadoff spot too!
Didi Gregorius (N/A FD, $3600 DK): is in another DFS MLB bat I was looking at, but because it is the second game of a doubleheader, you will have to be waiting on the Yankees lineup. The price on DK might be too good to ignore if he plays.
Anthony Rendon, Nationals at Braves ($4400 FD, $5100 DK): Rendon is consistently hitting the ball with authority and power. But he has not had a true monster DFS MLB game in awhile. That could change tonight with a major park upgrade.
Mike Moustakas, Brewers at Diamondbacks ($3800 FD, $4700 DK): He is in a good spot as well as a major part of the powerful and deep Brewers offense.
Michael Brantley, Astros at Angels ($3800 FD, $4500 DK): History tells us to target lefty bats against Matt Harvey and in Anaheim for DFS MLB purposes. With Yordan Alvarez battling a knee injury and questionable to play, Brantley is the best lefty bat Houston has.
Ronald Acuna Jr., Nationals at Braves ($4000 FD, $4700 DK): He has stolen four bases in his last four games. In the previous four games before that stretch, he hit 3 HRs. He is the the best power-speed guy in the game today and going against Strasburg should not scare you away.
Ketel Marte, Brewers at Diamondbacks ($3700 FD, $5300 DK): He is an important part of any DFS MLB stack or mini-stack of Diamondbacks batters.
Monkey Knife Fight Pick of the Day
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Let’s go for a minimum of 1 HR from this trio below:
This report will provide recommended DFS stacks for today’s nine-game main slate. I will also include my favorite pitching picks.
**Another game with rain out potential. At the moment it looks like the storms should hold off until after the game but i advise you to monitor the weather here as it looks shakey up and down the east coast tonight.
Nick Pivetta is on the mound this evening for the Phillies. He carries an average 5.81 ERA, 5.75 FIP, and 4.89 SIERA on the year. Pivetta has fairly identical splits, with batters slashing to a .360 wOBA, .530 SLG, and .340 OBP across 66.2 innings. He has given up 27 earned runs across 33 innings to right handed batters. He has also allowed 16 earned runs in 33 innings to left handed batters. The core of this Los Angeles Dodgers team is their left handed power and they have been tearing up right handed pitching. They are slashing to a .355 wOBA, .223 ISO, and 121 WRC+ over the last month to righties.
Preferred Stack: Cody Bellinger $4800 FD|$5800 DK, Max Muncy $3900 FD|$5100 DK, David Freese ($2800 FD|$4400 DK, A.J. Pollock $3300 FD|$3800 DK, and Joc Pederson $2800 FD|$4600 DK).
***Weather is a legitimate concern here, possible PPD. Pitching and bats risky. If you want to play a Boston stack, I would reserve it for GPP’s and monitor the weather.
The Red Sox get a lofty 6.90 implied run total in this matchup against Aaron Sanchez (surprising, I know) and this is one we cannot ignore. I know we have some weather concerns here, so tune in with our weather man Mark for updates as we get closer to lock. Aaron Sanchez carries an average 6.22 ERA, 5.50 FIP, and 5.62 SIERA. Sanchez is allowing batters to slash to a .362 wOBA, .456 SLG, and .388 OBP across 97 innings. He has allowed 67 earned runs in that span. Aaron Sanchez is a ground ball pitcher, averaging a 48% ground ball rate. Although he doesn’t give up many home runs, he has a .330 BABIP and LOB of 66%. The Red Sox are slashing to a .374 wOBA, .252 ISO, and 131 WRC+ over the last two weeks to right handed pitching. These are the best hitting numbers on the slate by a long shot.
Preferred Stack: Rafael Devers ($4200 FD|$5700 DK), Xander Bogaerts ($4400 FD|$5600 DK), Andrew Benintendi ($3400 FD|$4500 DK), and Mookie Betts ($4300 FD|$5400 DK).
We have Jesse Chavez taking on the Diamondbacks in Coors South this evening. Chavez carries a 3.84 ERA, 4.51 FIP, and 4.24 SIERA into tonight’s matchup. He is a reverse splits pitcher, allowing righties to slash .353 wOBA, .519 SLG, and .329 OBP. He has fallen off recently after having a somewhat successful start to the year. I expect him to stay in this rough patch and we will see his ERA line up with close to his FIP as the season comes to a close. Arizona batters are slashing to a .300 wOBA, .161 ISO, and 82 WRC+ in recent weeks. These are by no means the averages I look for when picking my stacks, but I feel with the ballpark upgrade to the bats and Chavez’s recent struggles we could end up with a nice lower owned Diamondbacks stack.
Preferred Plays: Ketel Marte ($3700 FD|$5200 DK), Eduardo Escobar ($3700 FD|$5200 DK), Christian Walker ($3000 FD|$4700 DK), Adam Jones ($2900 FD|$4200 DK), and Jarrod Dyson ($2700 FD|$4800 DK).
vs. RHP Spencer Turnbull (DET): 5.78 Runs
Preferred Plays: Francisco Lindor ($4000 FD|$5000 DK), Carlos Santana ($4200 FD|$5300 DK), Jason Kipnis ($2900 FD|$3600 DK), Jose Ramirez ($3600 FD|$4400 DK). Jakob Bauers for value ($2900 FD|$3600 DK). Mike Freeman ($2100 FD|$3700 DK and Tyler Naquin ($2800 FD|$4000 DK) are also good value plays.
**Another trouble spot with weather otherwise I’d have them as the top stack. I think the game starts on time, but a good chance we do not get a full 9 innings.
Preferred Plays: Juan Soto ($4000 FD|$5500 DK), Howie Kendrick ($2600 FD|$4900 DK), Anthony Rendon ($4300 FD|$5500 DK), Victor Robles ($3400 FD|$4400), and Brian Dozier ($2600 FD|$3900 DK).
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DFS Hitting Picks and Stacks for Saturday
First Base – Eric Hosmer, San Diego Padres
DraftKings $4,100
Going up against Dakota Hudson in this one is a dream DFS matchup. A pitcher who can’t get lefties out against a left-handed bat who is hot at the plate? I’ll take that all day in DFS.
Second Base – Ketel Marte, Arizona Diamondbacks
DraftKings $5,200
Ketel Marte has been the hottest hitter in baseball over the last couple weeks. Against lefties he is batting .327 with only 12 strikeouts. I’ll ride the hot hand in DFS.
Shortstop – Alex Bregman, Houston Astros
DraftKings $5,100
In his career at Houston against lefties Bregman is a .296 hitter and he’s continuing that trend this season. He also does not strike out against lefties very much so with the ball most likely being put in play, I’ll take my chances in DFS.
Third Base – Anthony Rendon, Washington Nationals
DraftKings $5,200
Anthony Rendon is always a prime DFS play against a lefty. He gets a horrid pitcher in Soto, I’m all in here.
Outfield – Ronald Acuna Jr., Atlanta Braves
DraftKings $5,300
So far in Acuna’s young career he has been exceptional against left-handed pitchers (.308 BA). Matz tends to be on his game or horrible, I’ll lean with the latter and take Acuna
Outfield – Chad Pinder, Oakland Athletics
DraftKings $3,400
Chad Pinder is always worth a DFS look against an average lefty. So far this season he is batting .286 with five home runs against southpaws.
DFS Stacks for Saturday
1.) Washington Nationals
I am an avid Gregory Soto stacker. Every time this man pitches it’s an easy DFS stack and load em’ up situation for me. He is carrying a 4.50 ERA at home and a .350 BAA against righties. As mentioned above, Anthony Rendon is a smash play. I also love Juan Soto and Victor Robles in this one. I think the Nationals get to Soto early and run him out of Detroit.
2.) Houston Astros
Yusei Kikuchi has not been what the Mariners were predicting he would be thus far. His strikeout numbers are depleted and that hurts him because this Astros team just does not strike out. He’s going to be in store for a very rough afternoon.
FanDuel: $4,100 DraftKings: $5,400
The Yankees’ catcher has a .310 ISO versus left-handed pitchers in 2019. Sanchez will take on Price, who he has owned in the past. Sanchez is 6-for-13 with five home runs in his career against the Boston starter. Sanchez should take advantage and keep crushing southpaws in this one.
Values:
Wilson Ramos (FanDuel: $2,700)
Wellington Castillo (DraftKings: $3,000)
FanDuel: $3,900 DraftKings: $4,900
Murphy has a .400/.478/.500 slash line against groundball pitchers this season. With the Toronto Blue Jays’ Aaron Sanchez owning a slate high 51.2% groundball rate look for Murphy to shine on Sunday.
Values:
Eric Thames (FanDuel: $2,500)
Kendrys Morales (DraftKings: $2,700)
FanDuel: $3,700 DraftKings: $4,400
The Diamondbacks’ Marte has a .313 ISO, a .542 wOBA and a 241 wRC+ versus left-handed pitching in 2019. Look for those numbers to jump up after this meeting with Steven Matz. The southpaw is allowing a 44.1% hard contact rate and 1.82 HR/9 against right-handed batters this season.
Values:
Cavan Biggio (FanDuel: $3,100 DraftKings: $4,000)
Nick Lopez (FanDuel: $2,700 DraftKings:$3,500)
FanDuel: $4,800 DraftKings: $5,800
The Rockies’ third baseman at is always tough to pass up at home and the same holds true today. He has a .235 ISO versus right-handed pitching in 2019. Arenado has a .280 ISO at home. And finally, he faces the Blue Jays’ Aaron Sanchez, who as mentioned earlier, is an extreme groundball pitcher. Well, Arenado has a .343/.410/.571 slash line against groundball pitchers this season.
Values:
Pablo Sandoval (FanDuel: $2,400)
Jeimer Candelario (DraftKings: $2,700)
FanDuel: $4,600 DraftKings: $5,900
Trevor Stroy is running pure right now. In his last seven contests, he owns a .444 ISO, .561 wOBA and a 240 wRC+. For good measure, he has even added in two stolen bases. Never walk away from a heater. Instead, trust this Story has a good finish on Sunday.
Values:
Trea Turner (DraftKings: $4,600)
Brandon Crawford (FanDuel: $2,500)
FanDuel: $4,700 DraftKings: $5,600
Christian Yelich continues to put up video game-like numbers against right-handed pitching. He has a .449 ISO and a .484 wRC+ against righties this season. With the Pirates’ Lyles struggling with lefties this year, Yelich should get into a couple here.
FanDuel: $4,300 DraftKings: $5,000
Mookie has done well against C.C. Sabathia in the past. In their career matchups, Betts owns a 1.050 OPS against the Yankees’ starter. With Sabathia allowing a .345 wOBA, 2.43 HR/9 and a 44% hard contact rate to righties, the Red Sox’s outfielder is in a spot to build on those numbers.
FanDuel: $4,800 Draftkings: $5,400
Anytime you can get the best player in baseball in your DFS lineup, it is probably a good idea. Trout is in a great spot to succeed in this one. Against lefties this year, Trout has a .305 ISO and a .409 wOBA.
Values:
Randal Grichuk (FanDuel: $3,200 DraftKings: $4,200)
Derek Fisher (FanDuel: $2,200)
Christin Stewart (FanDuel: $2,600 DraftKings: $3,200)
Colorado Rockies:
When you have a game in Coors Field, you always try to cram in Rockies’ bats into your DFS lineups. Today is no different especially with the Blue Jays’ Aaron Sanchez on the bump. The Blue Jays’ right-hander has a 4.99 SIERA and a 5.33 SIERA in 2019. Now he will pitch in Colorado ‘s thin air. Things surely are set up for the Rockies’ offense to succeed at home on Sunday.
Toronto Blue Jays:
Antonio Senzatela could be in for a long one here. The Rockies’ starter has a 5.81 ERA and the peripherals don’t suggest there will be improvements any time soon. Senzatela owns a 4.95 xFIP and a 5.35 SIERA this season. And he is not missing many bats these days as he has a low 15.98% whiff rate. Senzatela should be in trouble early and often here so stack up all the Blue Jays that you can.
Texas Rangers:
The Royals’ Brad Keller is a guy we want to attack today. He has the highest SIERA of the starters for MLB’s Sunday action. But equally important is the fact that the Rangers have crushed right-handed pitching all season. The Rangers have a .213 ISO against righties.
Kansas City Royals:
The Rangers’ Adrian Sampson has a 46.9% hard contact rate this season, but he is also allowing a 40.2% flyball rate. This should play into the hands of the Royals’ batters, especially the right-handed ones. Sampson is allowing .393 wOBA, 45.4% hard contact rate and a 1.88 HR/9 to right-handed bats this season.
Value Stack
LA Dodgers:
Besides Cody Bellinger, all other Dodgers’ batters are grossly underpriced, particularly on FanDuel. With the Phillies starting Nick Pivetta, the Dodgers’ stack not only allows you to pay up for some other of the big bats but they are also in a position to do some damage themselves. Los Angeles has a .216 ISO versus right-handed pitching in 2019. Pay particular attention to the Dodgers’ lefties as Pivetta is allowing a .457 wOBA to them this season.
Hello all! JaguarLou here welcoming you to Win Daily on Deck, a blog style article that will be posted by 5:00 pm EST every day and updated frequently until 7:00 PM lock, providing the most up to date DFS information for FanDuel and DraftKings main slates.
Notes for 5/29 main slate (Published 5:04 pm EST)
(Updated 5:33 pm EST)
(Updated 5:56 pm)
(Updated 6:00 PM EST)
(Updated 6:16 PM EST)
(Updated 6:20 EST)
More to be updated closer to 7:05 lock…
Here are thetop teams to stack for MLB’s May 29th action:
EARLY SLATE
Cincinnati Reds
The Pirates’ Steven Brault is a guy we want to attack when he takes the bump for Pittsburgh. The left-handed pitcher has a robust 7.11 ERA. And his other numbers for this season aren’t any better. Brault has a 5.46 SIERA and a 5.85 xFIP. The Pittsburgh starter also is getting hit hard with a 44.9% hard contact rate, making the Reds look like a juicy stacking option for Thursday.
The building blocks for this stack will be Eugenio Suarez (FanDuel: $3,900 DraftKings: $4,900) and Nick Senzel (FanDuel: $3,800 DraftKings: $4,900). Both of these right-handed bats have at least a .300 ISO against lefties in 2019. And while he doesn’t have great numbers against southpaws this season, how do you not chase yesterday’s three home run performance by Derek Dietrich (FanDuel: $2,900 DraftKings: $4,900)?
Other Reds to look at it include: Kyle Farmer (FanDuel: $2,100 DraftKings: $3,800) and Yasiel Puig (FanDuel: $3,200 DraftKings: $4,200). Both Cincinnati bats have over .200 ISOs against lefties in 2019.
Seattle Mariners
The Rangers’ Drew Smyly is struggling this season with a 6.15 ERA and is allowing 2.14 HR/9. With seven Mariners owning an ISO of over .200 against southpaws in 2019, the Texas starter’s struggles should continue in this one.
These seven players should be the emphasis of your stack: Jay Bruce (FanDuel: $3,100 DraftKings: $4,300), Domingo Santana (FanDuel: $3,700 DraftKings: $4,500), Daniel Vogelbach (FanDuel: $3,700 DraftKings: $5,300), Tim Beckham (FanDuel: $3,000 DraftKings: $3,800), Mitch Haniger (FanDuel: $3,900 DraftKings: $4,400), Omar Narvaez (FanDuel: $2,900 DraftKings: $4,200) and Edwin Encarnacion (FanDuel: $3,500 DraftKings: $4,500).
Los Angeles Angels
Since returning to the big leagues, the Athletics’ Daniel Mengden has been hit really hard by opposing offenses. In fact, he has allowed a 50% hard contact rate. The hard contact has resulted in him having a 6.07 SIERA and a 6.11 xFIP. The Angels’ offense should be able to hit some balls awfully hard against the young Oakland right-hander here and make for a great value play to combine with Cincinnati or Seattle.
Mike Trout (FanDuel:$4,700 DraftKings: $5,500), Kole Calhoun (FanDuel: $3,500 DraftKings: $4,100),Albert Pujols (FanDuel: $3,000 DraftKings: $3,500), Shohei Ohtani (FanDuel: $3,300DraftKings: $3,500) and Tommy La Stella (FanDuel: $3,100 DraftKings: $3,900)all have produced at least a 45% hard contact rate against righties in 2019.
MAIN SLATE
Arizona Diamondbacks
Winning DFS lineups for today’s slate will likely be loaded with Arizona Diamondbacks. The Rockies will be running Jeff Hoffman out to the bump. The right-handed starter has not fared well at Coors Field in his career. Hoffman has allowed a .303/.376/.541 slash line in 86.1 innings pitched in Colorado. Hoffman also has a 5.20 xFIP and 5.7% K-BB% in those contests. Look for the Diamondbacks to take advantage of this matchup in a big way tonight.
The Diamondbacks’ build must start with Eduardo Escobar (FanDuel: $4,600 DraftKings: $5,700). The third baseman is red hot. He has scored double-digit fantasy points per game for a week now. His hot streak should continue on Wednesday. Escobar has crushed against righties this season. He owns a .250 ISO and a .351 wOBA against them. You can build around Escobar with a combination of Adam Jones (FanDuel: $4,000 DraftKings: $5,300) and Ketel Marte (FanDuel: $4,400 DraftKings: $5,500) as well. Each of these Diamondbacks’ hitters have .200-plus ISOs against right-handed pitching in 2019.
Colorado Rockies
The Colorado Rockies have had Robbie Ray’s number throughout his career. In 106 at-bats against the current Colorado roster, the Arizona starter has allowed a .302/.395/.586 slash line with a .982 OPS. Of the 32 hits Ray has allowed to the current Rockies’ hitters, 16 of them have been for extra bases. And seven of those have left the yard. The success against Ray should continue tonight as the Rockies’ offense has a.209 ISO versus lefties in 2019.
When building your Rockies’ stack, of course you will want to start the construction with Nolan Arenado (FanDuel: $4,900 DraftKings: $5,600). The infielder has crushed lefties this season. He has a .466 ISO and a .516 wOBA versus them. Also, he has killed Ray in the past. Arenado has a 1.289 career OPS against the Diamondbacks’ pitcher.
You also need to consider Ian Desmond (FanDuel: $3,500DraftKings: $3,900). The outfielder has an ISO of .321 versus lefties in 2019.He also has a 1.289 career OPS versus Ray. Chris Iannetta (FanDuel: $3,300DraftKings: $3,700), Ryan McMahon (FanDuel: $3,200 DraftKings: $4,100), DanielMurphy (FanDuel: $3,600 DraftKings: $4,100), Raimel Tapia (FanDuel: $3,200DraftKings: $4,100) and even Mark Reynolds (FanDuel: $3,000 DraftKings: $3,500)should all be considered. Each of those Rockies’ hitters have .200-plus ISOsagainst left-handed pitching in 2019.
Kansas City Royals
The ChicagoWhite Sox’s Reynaldo Lopez has struggled this season. The Right-hander has a5.09 SIERA and a 5.81 xFIP. Lopez has also allowed a 53.6% flyball rate and a40.9% hard contact rate. In addition to his 2019 struggles, Lopez has also hada difficult time with the Royals in his career. Against the current Royals’roster, the Chicago starter has allowed a .301 batting average and a .382 on-basepercentage.
Hunter Dozier(FanDuel: $3,800 DraftKings: $5,100) and Jorge Soler (FanDuel: $3,100DraftKings: $4,400) are great building blocks to a Royals’ stack. Both KansasCity hitter have ISO’s of at least .275 against right-handed pitcher but theyalso have .900-plus OPS against flyball pitchers.
Alex Gordon (FanDuel:$3,400 DraftKings: $4,800) and Adalberto Mondesi (FanDuel: $3,800 DraftKings: $5,500)also have produced at least a .200 ISO against righties in 2019. While WhitMerrifield (FanDuel: $3,900 DraftKings: $5,200) has a .364 wOBA and a 127 wRC+against right-handed pitching this season.
Philadelphia Phillies
The St.Louis Cardinals will be starting Genesis Cabrera. The left-handed pitcher has a6.35 ERA in Triple-A this season. In 39.2 innings pitched for the Memphis Cardinals,Cabrera has allowed 43 hits and 19 walks that have led to 28 earned runs. ThePhillies are likely going to provide a rude welcome the Cardinals’ starter.
Jean Segura (FanDuel:$3,900 DraftKings: $4,800), J.T. Realmuto (FanDuel: $3,400 DraftKings: $4,600),Scott Kingery (FanDuel: $2,800 DraftKings: $4,100), Rhys Hoskins (FanDuel: $4,400DraftKings: $4,900) and Bryce Harper (FanDuel: $4,300 DraftKings: $4,500) allwill be part of the welcoming party. Each of these players have recorded atleast a .200 ISO versus lefties in 2019.
Baltimore Orioles
The Tigers’Ryan Carpenter has had a rough go to the start of his 2019 campaign. He isallowing 3.21 HR/9 while maintaining a 9.00 ERA. While we usually stack againstthe Orioles, today you want to stack with the Orioles.
This stackwill of course start with Trey Mancini (FanDuel: $3,800 DraftKings: $5,000).While he is not a cheap part of the stack, he is an owner of a .283 ISO and a.430 wOBA versus lefties this season.
The other bat to consider starting the Baltimore stack with is Pedro Severino (FanDuel: $2,800 DraftKings: $3,900). Severino has a .300-plus ISOs against lefties this season.
Good luckand happy stacking!
