Tag:

Jose Altuve

Stack Report for Main Slate: Winning Edge for July 6

Daniel Wehr 5 years ago

written by Daniel Wehr

This report will provide stacks that I recommend for today’s 7 game main slate. I’ve also included my favorite one-offs and value plays.

Houston Astros Stack

vs. LHP Andrew Heaney (LAA): 5.70 Runs

This is a play you’re not going to be able to get away from tonight. Andrew Heaney carries a 5.40 ERA, 5.39 FIP, and 4.20 SIERA through 36.2 innings pitched. Through 27 innings pitched, right handed batters are slashing .319 wOBA, .449 SLG, and to a .304 OBP against Heaney. The Astros have been hitting very well recently, slashing .374 wOBA, .204 ISO, and a .516 SLG. Smaller slate tonight so ownership will be a lot more concentrated on the Astros but it is good chalk and I’m perfectly fine with eating it.

Preferred Stack: (in order of preference) Jose Altuve $3700 FD|$4200 DK, Alex Bregman $4300 FD|$5000 DK, Yordan Alvarez $4100 FD|$4800 DK, Yuli Gurriel $3400|$4400, and Robinson Chirinos $3100 FD|$3800 DK. George Springer ($4400 FD|$5400 DK) is my last choice for higher priced guys but if you’re playing multiple lines I would definitely have exposure.

New York Mets Stack

vs. RHP Jake Arrieta (PHI): 5.00 Runs

I’ve eagerly awaited a solid left handed power hitting team to go against Jake Arrieta since those string of rainouts in Washington a few weeks back. He carries 4.43 ERA, 5.15 FIP, and a 4.85 SIERA into tonight’s game. He is absolutely terrible to left handed batters. They are slashing .383 wOBA, .535 SLG, and to a .386 OBP through 43.0 innings pitched. He has surrendered 27 earned runs and 11 home runs over that same span. The Mets are hitting to a tune of .313 wOBA, .181 ISO, and 101 WRC+ over the last two weeks, slightly above their season averages. Be weary of the weather here tonight.

Oakland Athletics Stack

vs. LHP Marco Gonzales (SEA): 5.15 Runs

Marco Gonzales carries a 4.39 ERA, 4.11 FIP, and 5.14 SIERA into tonight’s game. He has fairly identical splits with a .324 wOBA, .444 SLG, and .327 OBP through 78.1 innings pitched against right handed batters. Most should be focused on that Astros stack and probably spending down for some cheap Cardinals so we have a chance to catch the A’s at low ownership. I didn’t list them, but I know they let down a lot of people last night. The A’s are slashing to a .349 wOBA, .223 ISO, and .499 SLG vs. left handed pitching this season. The team as a whole has been in a bit of a hitting slump over the last two weeks, slashing to a .246 wOBA, .112 ISO, and .303 SLG in that time span. I always feel like Oakland is pretty risky, but I’ll go there in GPPs tonight.

One-offs and Value Plays

Josh Phegley (OAK) $2600 FD| $3700 DK, Robinson Chirinos (HOU) $3100 FD| $3800 DK, Hunter Renfroe (SDP) $2700 FD, Jose Martinez (STL) $2700 FD|$3500 DK, Paul Goldschmidt (STL) $3000 FD|$3400 DK, and Brad Miller (PHI) $2000 FD|$3500 DK.

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

MLB DFS Winners and Losers: Strasburg, Gray and More

Emely Sharman 5 years ago

written by Emely Sharman

There was a full slate of games for MLB DFS on Wednesday, June 3rd and we even had a doubleheader with the Tigers and White Sox. Some big name pitchers put up big numbers which means we had some notable bats who put up some duds. Points and salaries are based on DraftKings.

Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold here. Projections, weather reports, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more.

DFS Winners

Stephen Strasburg ($10,300)

Strasburg and the Nationals played host to the Marlins on Wednesday and got the win 3-1. Strasburg was the top MLB DFS performer and put up 45.5 fantasy points. He was able to pitch 7.1 innings and struck out a whopping 14 batters over his 110 pitches. Strasburg only allowed two hits and gave up two walks. He was credited the win and improved to 10-4 on the year. Strasburg has been a stud nearly all season and his ERA is now at 3.64 and his WHIP is at 1.04. His K/9 is in great shape at 10.68.

Strasburg’s Outlook

Strasburg will not have another start before the All-Star break. When the second half of the season resumes he should slot right back in as one of the Nationals’ best starters. Strasburg did struggle a bit in his last three starts going into Wednesday but righted the ship in a big way. This was Strasburg’s first start in which he didn’t allow an earned run since mid April. His high strikeout rate will keep him as a top MLB DFS pitcher for the foreseeable future.

Sonny Gray ($9,200)

Sonny Gray took advantage of the scuffling Milwaukee Brewers’ lineup Wednesday and got the win in a 3-0 game. Gray improved to 5-5 on the year and has now taken a win in three of his last four starts. Gray was able to strike out 12 over eight full innings. He allowed four hits and only walked one. Gray scored 43 MLB DFS points. His ERA is now at 3.59 and his WHIP is at 1.18. His K/9 now sits at 10.27 which is a big improvement from his career number of 8.06.

Gray’s Outlook

Gray will also not make another start before the All-Star break. He has been a very consistent pitcher this year and has not given up more than four earned runs in any start and that was only on two occasions. After starting the season 0-4 he has improved all the way to 5-5 and has pitched really well over the past two months. Expect him to continue his good first half and pitch well after the break.

Mike Clevinger ($9,700)

Clevinger and the Indians’ pitching staff combined to shut out the Royals on Wednesday. Clevinger started it out with six great innings. He allowed only four hits and struck out nine. The Indians’ coaching staff only allowed him to throw 79 pitches, which limited his upside. He scored 33.1 fantasy points and improved to 2-2 on the year. He has now started five games this year and has an ERA of 4.44. This ERA should improve as his WHIP is only 0.99. His strikeout numbers are off the charts as he has a K/9 of 14.81. This was a great bounce-back performance as Clevinger gave up seven earned over just 1.2 innings in his last start.

Clevinger’s Outlook

Clevinger will also have a long break before his next start as the Indians only have three more games before the All-Star break. In limited action this year, Clevinger showed immense upside to go with a bit of streakiness. Clevinger has three games where he allowed no earned runs and in the other two he combined for 12 earned runs over just six innings. This could be a case where he was still knocking off some rust and a small break could be just what he needs. Expect Clevinger to come out after the All-Star break as one of the top MLB DFS pitchers for the remainder of the year.

DFS Losers

Chris Sale ($11,800)

Sale and the Boston Red Sox were visitors at Toronto and took the loss 6-3. This loss for Sale dropped his record to a surprising 3-8. Sale was not able to get through six innings Wednesday and gave up five earned runs on nine hits. He struck out five while walking two and gave up three home runs. His 5.55 MLB DFS points was his worst performance since early April. Sale’s ERA is now at 4.04 and his WHIP is in great shape at 1.07. His K/9 is also very good at 12.87.

Sale’s Outlook

Sale will not make another start before the All-Star break. Sale’s numbers show he should have some positive regression in his win-loss total after the break. He has been one of the top MLB DFS pitchers all season and that should not change after the break. Expect him to use the break to his advantage and rest up and come back as strong as ever.

George Springer ($5,900), Jose Altuve ($4,600)

Springer, Altuve and the Astros were visitors at the very hitter friendly Coors Field and won in a low scoring game, 4-2. Most who expected this to be a very high scoring game were disappointed with the final score. Springer and Altuve were both high priced and highly owned players in this matchup and both put up goose eggs. Springer was off to a scintillating start to the year before getting injured and has a batting average of .307 to go with an OPS of .995. He has hit 18 home runs and has 45 RBI, all in the span of only 56 games. Altuve also missed some time with injury but has not been his normal self when on the field. Altuve is batting .264 with an OPS of .793, both under his career averages by a good margin. He has hit 10 home runs and has 25 RBI over 52 games played.

Springer and Altuve’s Outlook

Both of these All-Star type players should bounce back post All-Star break. Springer should find the form that had him in early contention for the MVP and Jose Altuve has been too good of a player over the last few years to stay down. Expect these two and the rest of the Astros’ offense to be at the top of MLB DFS lists in the second half of the year.

Home Run Derby Losers

Christian Yelich and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. wil face off as the 1 and 8 seed in the Home Run Derby over All-Star weekend. These are two guys who if they weren’t matched up, would have been the odds-on favorites in my opinion. Now they will have to slug it out just to get to the second round. I still think whoever gets the win in this round one matchup will go on to win the entire Home Run Derby.

Injury Report

Justin Upton left Wednesday’s game with a left quad injury. With this injury coming so close to the All-Star break he could be held out until after the break.

Scooter Gennett left Wednesday’s game with a groin injury. This is expected to land him back on the IL.

Thank you for reading. You can join the Win Daily team by following the link here. This will give you access to all of the FREE content along with options to join our premium. Follow myself and Win Daily on Twitter at @thiel_boy and @windailydfs.

5 years ago 0 comment

DFS Hitting Picks for 7/3: Swinger’s Party

Cora Baylis 5 years ago

written by Cora Baylis

We have a fascinating DFS slate ahead of us. What makes it so interesting is that we have games in Coors Field, Globe Life Park, Great American Ballpark and SunTrust Park. Those are easily five of the best hitting parks in the Majors and it should make for a ton of runs.

Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! Projections, weather reports, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more!

Catcher

James McCann, DET at CWS

DK ($4,900) FD ($3,500)

McCann has quietly been one of the best catchers in the game and he’s tough to fade in this fantastic matchup. Facing Ross Detweiler is huge for anyone but especially right-handed batters. Not only does he have a 5.17 ERA and 1.61 WHIP dating back to 2015, Detweiler has also allowed right-handed bats to hit .300 against him while approaching an OPS of .900. That’s a scary thought against a guy like McCann, who’s posting a .406 OBP and .978 OPS against southpaws so far this season. That’s why the Tigers are one of the sneakiest DFS stacks of the day at their dirt-cheap price tags.

First Base

Joey Votto, CIN vs. MIL

DK ($4,200) FD ($3,300)

Many people assumed that Votto was done about a month ago but he’s been a different player since then. In fact, Votto is hitting .357 over his last 30 games while generating a .965 OPS in that span. That’s the perennial All-Star that we’ve become accustomed to and it’s clear he made some major adjustments to his swing. What we love here is that he gets to face a righty, with Votto providing an OBP and wOBA north of .400 against righties and an ISO above ,200 for his career. It’s a right-hander we definitely want to exploit in DFS too, with Jhoulys Chacin pitching to a 5.60 ERA and 1.52 WHIP so far this season.

Second Base

Jose Altuve, HOU at COL

DK ($4,600) FD ($4,100)

While it’s difficult to trust Altuve on FanDuel at this price, the DraftKings price makes him impossible to fade. We’re talking about one of the best pure hitters of our generation hitting in the best BABIP park in baseball. Coors Field caters to a hitter like Altuve, as he should finish this series with a couple of multi-hit games. What really adds to his intrigue here is that he gets to face Peter Lambert, who’s pitching to a 6.57 ERA and 1.46 WHIP. That’s really not far off of his ugly minor league numbers and why the Astros are projected for more than six runs. This $4,600 price tag on DK is really difficult to understand in DFS.

Third Base

Josh Donaldson, ATL vs. PHI

DK ($4,100) FD ($3,000)

Donaldson has re-discovered his power stroke over recent weeks and it’s hard to understand why these sites continue to price him so low. Over his last 19 games, Donaldson has seven homers and 14 RBI en route to a 1.010 OPS. That’s the MVP third baseman who used to do so much damage in Toronto and it’s clear he’s capturing some of that prior form. It’s the matchup that really makes him an enticing option here though in DFS, with Philly throwing out Nick Pivetta, who’s posting a 5.63 ERA and 1.52 WHIP this season.

Shortstop

Jorge Polanco, MIN at OAK

DK ($4,400) FD ($3,800)

We have to get at least one Twins player into our DFS article, as they could be the highest-scoring team on this slate. The reason is because they’re facing Tanner Anderson, who’s pitching to a 7.13 ERA and 1.47 WHIP. The simple fact is, this is a guy that was forced into the A’s rotation because of the Frankie Montas suspension and he’s simply not ready to face Major League hitters. That’s evident by his 6.26 ERA and 1.70 WHIP at Triple-A this season. Those statistics squarely put Polanco in play, as he is generating a .582 SLG and .978 OPS against right-handed pitching in the heart of this potent Twins lineup.

Outfield

Shohei Ohtani, LAA at TEX

DK ($5,300) FD ($3,900)

Ohtani has been one of the best hitters in the league since coming over from Japan and we have to love him in this situation. Not only does he get to work in a hitter’s haven like Globe Life Park, Ohtani also gets the DFS platoon advantage in his favor. Since joining the Angels last season, Ohtani is generating a .629 SLG and 1.002 OPS against right-handed pitching. That’s huge against a regression candidate like Ariel Jurado, whose xFIP is nearly a run higher than his ERA.

Eloy Jimenez, CWS vs. DET

DK ($4,300) FD ($3,100)

If you read an article of mine a month ago when I told you to buy-low on Eloy in season-long formats, you’re surely happy. After getting off to a dreadful start, Jimenez now has eight homers, 17 runs scored and 19 RBI over his last 19 games. That’s the stud prospect we’ve been waiting for all season long and it’s clear that he’s finally finding his groove at this level. What really makes him attractive here is that he gets to face a lefty, with Jimenez posting a 1.215 OPS against southpaws at Triple-A last season. That hasn’t quite shown yet at this level but it very well could against a guy like Daniel Norris. The Tigers lefty is providing a 4.62 ERA and 1.38 WHIP this season, which is pretty much the guy we’ve seen throughout his disappointing career.

Jordan Luplow, CLE at KC

DK ($4,300) FD ($2,900)

If you don’t know already, Luplow is simply one of the best lefty mashers in the Majors. In fact, the Indians outfielder is posting a .714 SLG and 1.132 OPS with the platoon advantage in his favor this season. Those are obviously bonkers numbers and it really makes him attractive against a guy like Danny Duffy. The Kansas City lefty is providing a 4.74 ERA and 1.44 WHIP dating back to last season. His FanDuel price is really hard to understand, as he’ll be good DFS chalk.

5 years ago 0 comment

Daily Fantasy Sports

6/30 MLB DFS Podcast With The King And the Weatherman

Scott Engel 5 years ago

written by Scott Engel

Scott Engel and Mark Paquette get into the full MLB schedule on the 6/30 MLB DFS Podcast. They break down the Sunday slate on DraftKings and FanDuel. Making pitching decisions will not be easy and there are a few notable stacks to choose from.

6/30 MLB DFS Podcast Pitching Notes

The big question is whether to spend up for Max Scherzer at an astronomical price. Gerrit Cole is an alternative, but will a Houston starter disappoint for a second consecutive day? Robbie Ray could be your prime choice if you want to spend a bit less.

6/30 MLB DFS Podcast Hitting Notes

The Astros are looking nearly complete again, and Jose Altuve is at a great price on DraftKings. You really have to spend up for Cleveland bats. Toronto offers a quality option or two. Should you really consider Royals and Padres stacks?

Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! Projections, weather reports, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more!

Thank you for listening to the 6/30 MLB DFS Podcast. Follow Win Daily DFS on twitter @WinDailyDFS. Please check out everything that Win Daily DFS has to offer by becoming a premium member. New articles, projection models and data are being added frequently. We can’t say enough about our private Win Daily Slack Channel as it provides one on one coaching for all sports and all platforms. We have channels setup for MLB, PGA, NASCAR, WNBA, CFL, NBA, and NFL. We also have a channel dedicate to sports betting and one dedicate to Monkey Knife Fight where we provide winners to cash in on daily. We have a special promo for a limited time only to sign up for a full 12 months at only $199.99 or a monthly plan at $19.99 which are both 50% off our regular price.

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

DFS: Top Hitters and Stacks for June 23rd

Marshall Rosen 5 years ago

written by Marshall Rosen

Sunday’s MLB action will include a couple of DFS studs on the bump in Justin Verlander and Jacob deGrom. But it will also include plenty of pitchers that you can exploit when building your Daily Fantasy Sports lineups. To help you take advantage of today’s situation let’s take a look at some of the top bats and stacks for Sunday, June 23rd.

Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! Projections, weather reports, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more!

Catcher – Yasmani Grandal vs. Anthony DeSclafani

FanDuel: $3,300 DraftKings: $4,700

The Brewers’ catcher has a .255 ISO versus right-handed pitchers in 2019. Grandal also has a .370 wOBA against righties. Grandal should take advantage and keep crushing righties in this one while carrying your DFS entries.

Value:

Zack Collins

FanDuel: $2,300

Danny Jansen

DraftKings: $2,100

First Base – Freddie Freeman vs. Joe Ross

FanDuel: $4,400 DraftKings: $5,300

Freeman has a .290 ISO and a .416 wOBA against right-handed pitching this season. The Nationals’ Ross is allowing a .369 wOBA to lefties in his career. Freeman should do well in your DFS lineups.

Value:

Eric Thames

FanDuel: $2,600

Tyler White

DraftKings: $3,200

Second Base – Jose Altuve vs. J.A. Happ

FanDuel: $3,800 DraftKings: $3,900

The Astros’ Altuve has a .389 ISO, a .473 wOBA and a 207 wRC+ versus left-handed pitching in 2019. Look for those numbers to jump up after this meeting with J.A. Happ. The lefty is allowing 2.03 HR/9 against right-handed batters this season.

Value:

Rougned Odor

FanDuel: $2,900

Carlos Sanchez

DraftKings: $3,000

Third Base – Yoan Moncada vs. Adrian Sampson

FanDuel: $3,600 DraftKings: $5,100

The White Sox’s third baseman has a .262 ISO versus right-handed pitching in 2019. He also owns a .529 wOBA and a 243 wRC+ against them this season.

Value:

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

FanDuel: $2,800

Travis Shaw

DraftKings: $2,700

Shortstop – Alex Bregman vs. J.A. Happ

FanDuel: $4,200 DraftKings: $4,900

Bregman owns a .333 ISO and a .385 wOBA vs lefties this season.

Value:

Miguel Rojas

FanDuel: $2,300, DraftKings: $3,200

Outfield – Christian Yelich vs. Anthony DeSclafani

FanDuel: $4,900 DraftKings: $5,700

The reigning MVP has a .430 ISO and a .501 wOBA versus right-handed pitching. Look for Yelich to produce big on Sunday.

Outfield – Ronald Acuna vs. Joe Ross

FanDuel: $4,200 Draftkings: $4,800

Acuna has a .352 wOBA and a 111 wRC+ against right-handed pitching in 2019.

Value:

Nomar Mazara

FanDuel: $3,200

Joc Pederson

FanDuel: $3,100

Eloy Jimenez

FanDuel: $3,100

Jake Cave

DraftKings: $2,900

Top Stacks

Texas Rangers:

When the temperatures are hot in Texas, you want to get Rangers’ bats in your DFS lineups. And today is no different, especially with the White Sox’s Ivan Nova on the bump. The Chicago’ right-hander has a 5.04 SIERA and a 4.73 xFIP this season. With Nova allowing a 43% hard contact rate in 2019, expect the Rangers to take advantage of the hot temps and put the heat on Chicago’s Nova.

Atlanta Braves:

The Braves’ offense comes in red hot. Over their last seven games, the Braves have pounded out 13 home runs. In that span, they have a .244 ISO and a .385 wOBA. The Nationals’ Joe Ross doesn’t seem likely to slow them down any today. The Washington starter has a 6.04 xFIP and a 5.02 SIERA this season.

Los Angeles Dodgers:

The Dodgers have crushed right-handed pitching all season. As an offense, Los Angeles has a .211 ISO and a .344 wOBA against righties. The Rockies’ Antonio Senzatela should be no match for the Dodgers. The Colorado pitcher is not missing any bats this season with a slate low 6.9% swinging strike rate. The Dodgers should put plenty of balls in play with success on Sunday.

Value Stacks

Chicago White Sox:

The Rangers’ Adrian Sampson is allowing a flyball 41.6% of the time. He also is allowing a 46.3% hard contact rate in 2019. Combine the flyballs, with hard contact and mix it into 90+ degree weather and that is a recipe for trouble. The White Sox should feast of this recipe and do it at a discount.

THANK YOU FOR READING. YOU CAN READ SOME OF MY OTHER WORK AND THOUGHTS ON MY AUTHOR PAGE. FOLLOW Win Daily DFS ON TWITTER @WinDailyDFS. PLEASE CHECK OUT EVERYTHING THAT Win Daily DFS HAS TO OFFER. NEW ARTICLES, STATISTICS AND DATA ARE BEING ADDED CONSTANTLY. ALSO, DO NOT FORGET TO LISTEN TO THE WIN DAILY PODCASTS HERE.

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

DFS Hitting and MLB Prop Picks for 5/6: Boston Pops

Cora Baylis 5 years ago

written by Cora Baylis

This is one of the toughest hitting slates I’ve written up all season, simply because of all of the aces on the board. In fact, we have to deal with guys like Jacob deGrom, Gerrit Cole, Max Scherzer, Blake Snell, Walker Buehler and Chris Paddack. That’s quite the selection of starters and it’s making our job much more difficult in terms of picking hitters.

Catcher

Mike Zunino, TB vs. ARI

DK ($3,600) FD ($2,200)

Picking catchers is always the toughest task, but Zunino’s power upside makes him a nice tournament play. That’s evident in Zunino’s .199 career ISO, which is simply one of the best marks among all catchers. That power stroke appears to in good form right now too, with Zunino hitting a dinger in three of his last nine games. Facing Merill Kelly is not a matchup we need to fear either, with Kelly posting a 4.91 FIP and .349 xwOBA this season.

Also Consider: Willson Contreras homered on Sunday and could be a nice stack piece with the rest of the Cubs we are about to mention.

First Base

Anthony Rizzo, CHC vs. MIA

DK ($5,200) FD ($4,300)

Rizzo is one of the hottest hitters in the league and it’s hard to fade him in such a favorable matchup. Coming into Sunday night’s game, Rizzo homered in four of his previous six games while collecting six runs and nine RBI in that span. It was just a matter of time before he got going too, with Rizzo leading the Cubs with a .400 xwOBA. All of that makes him tough to fade and facing a guy with a 4.86 ERA and 1.56 WHIP is simply the cherry on top.

Also Consider: Matt Carpenter is extremely cheap on both sites and could have success against a volatile righty like Vince Velasquez.

Second Base

Jose Altuve, HOU vs. KC

DK ($4,400) FD ($3,900)

A common trend that you’ll see in this article is banking on players who are too good for their respective prices and Altuve is one of the faces of the theory. What really killed his price was a 3-for-33 stretch coming into the week, but doubling in four of his last five games indicate that he’s out of it. What’s really impressive with Altuve is the power potential, as his .258 ISO this season is the best mark of his career. Facing Jakob Junis is a treat for any hitter in a power surge, as his 1.5 career HR/9 rate is simply terrible.

Also Consider: With all of the injuries in Washington, Brian Dozier has found himself in the heart of their order and gets to hit in Miller Park.

Third Base

Vladimir Guerrero Jr, TOR vs. MIN

DK ($3,900) FD ($2,700)

Guerrero hasn’t given us much reason to use him, but his potential is impossible to overlook. Not only have many experts projecting him to have a Hall-of-Fame career, Guerrero had some of the greatest numbers in minor league history. They were especially good against lefties, with Guererro posting an 1.199 OPS against southpaws in 2017 and a 1.375 OPS against lefties before being called up this season. This is simply one of the most talented hitters of our generation and he’s too good to be priced this cheaply on both sites. In addition, Martin Perez is allowing an OPS north of .850 to right-handed batters since the beginning of 2017.

Also Consider: Alex Bregman is very expensive but he’s homered five times in his last four games and is easily one of the best plays on the board.

Shortstop

Corey Seager, LAD vs. ATL

DK ($3,600) FD ($2,900)

While Seager has been a huge disappointment this season, he’s simply too good of a hitter to be this cheap. The left-handed shortstop had an .876 OPS and ISO north of .200 before an injury-riddled 2018 and we expect to see that hitter sooner rather than later. Two doubles on Sunday is hopefully the start of something, as we always want to use him against a right-hander. This is simply a pricing play though, with Seager being priced the same as guys like Yairo Munoz and Nick Ahmed. Obviously, Seager is the cream of that crop.

Also Consider: Jorge Polanco has been a nice breakout player this season and gets the platoon advantage against Marcus Stroman

Outfielders

J.D. Martinez, BOS vs. BAL

DK ($5,100) FD ($4,300)

Martinez should be priced as a Top-Five hitter on every slate but you actually have to scroll down to find him here. What makes that really hard to understand is the fact that Martinez is one of the league leaders with a .336 average and .410 OBP. That’s all you can ask for, especially considering the fact that Martinez is 7-for-13 at the plate over his last three games. Getting to face a lefty is simply the icing on the cake, with Martinez posting a 1.173 OPS against southpaws since the beginning of 2017.

Randal Grichuk, TOR vs. MIN

DK ($4,100) FD ($3,000)

Grichuk’s price just continues to dwindle and it’s hard to understand why. Over his last seven games, Grichuk is 11-for-31 at the plate while collecting five RBI and three extra-base hits. The reason we want to use him here is the fact that he gets the platoon advantage against Martin Perez. While Grichuk’s splits are pretty much even, Perez’s are not. In fact, the southpaw is allowing a .313 average to right-handers since 2017 and an OPS approaching .900.

Kyle Schwarber, CHC vs. MIA

DK ($3,900) FD ($2,500)

Schwarber’s season-long numbers are downright ugly but it’s lowered his price to an intriguing number. What we like about Schwarber here is the fact that he gets to face a weak righty. For his career, Schwarber owns a .498 SLG and .842 OPS against right-handers. That becomes particularly intriguing considering the fact that he faces Sandy Alcantara, who owns a 6.39 ERA and 1.89 WHIP since a fluky opening start.

Also Consider: Mookie Betts has all the same advantages as Martinez but costs $400 more.

Monkey Knife Fight Picks of the Day

Mookie Betts over 1.5 hits+walks

Betts is scorching hot right now and this is easily my favorite pick on the board. Over his last 15 games, Betts is 24-for-58 at the plate, which equates to a .414 average and .507 OBP. Don’t fade that production, especially against a lefty.

J.D. Martinez 0.5 more bases than Trey Mancini

This play speaks for itself after the prior write-up, as I truly believe Martinez is in for two bases or more bases. In fact, Martinez has cleared 1.5 total bases in three of his last four games and gets the platoon advantage here. While Mancini is hot too, Martinez is the far superior pick. Play MLB Player Prop Games and Get 100 Percent Bonus!

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

MLB DFS Hitting Picks for 5/1

Cora Baylis 5 years ago

written by Cora Baylis

Every wise DFS player checks the weather before anything else and that’s particularly imperative at this time of the year. Two postponements yesterday shows just how ugly the forecasts have been recently and we have plenty more rain on this slate. In fact, over half of these games have projected rain in the forecast and that’s simply a disaster for us fantasy owners. While we don’t have the best idea of what will happen 24 hours from now, the cities and states you need to keep an eye on are as followed: New York, Minnesota, Washington, Chicago, Kansas City, Texas and Philly.

If you have any comments or questions, write me here or reach me on Twitter @Bartilottajoel.

Catcher:

J.T. Realmuto, PHI vs. DET

DK ($4,500) FD ($3,200)

When picking catchers, I either pay up or punt the position. For this slate, it’s hard to fade a stud like Realmuto in such a quality matchup. What we really like about him here is the fact that he gets the platoon advantage against southpaw Daniel Norris. The lefties’ numbers are just awful, with Norris posting a 1.58 WHIP to go along with a .385 wOBA. His 3.93 ERA makes him look like he’s not too bad but his 5.31 FIP shows the sort of pitcher he’s truly been. All that puts the Phillies in play for a stack, as they’re projected to score five runs in their friendly home park. That’s why we love Realmuto and he’ll be right in the heart of this order.

Also Consider: Wilson Ramos is too good to be priced at $3,600 on DK and he shouldn’t have too many issues opposing Anthony DeSclafani.

First Base:

Jose Abreu, CWS vs. BAL

DK ($5,000) FD ($4,100)

Abreu might be my favorite play on the board, as he’s one of the hottest hitters in the majors right now. Over the last eight games. Abreu is 17-for-35 at the plate while collecting five doubles, two homers, six runs and 14 RBI. That’s impossible production to argue with, especially considering he probably gets the best matchup on the board. In fact, Davis Hess owns a .439 xwOBA, which is simply one of the worst marks in the majors.

Also Consider: Rhys Hoskins is pricey but he’s definitely worth considering against lefty Daniel Norris.

Second Base:

Jose Altuve, HOU vs. MIN

DK ($4,500) FD ($4,200)

Stacking Astros is going to be one of the best strategies on this slate, as they have too many righties for Martin Perez to navigate through. Perez has traditionally struggled with right-handed batters throughout his career, allowing a .318 AVG and an OPS approaching .900 over the last three years. That’s just what Altuve is looking for, as he enters this matchup in the midst of a 3-for-33 stretch. That terrible slump has lowered Altuve’s price to a number that we simply can’t fade, as he should be able to snap it here. So far this season, Altuve owns a 1.288 OPS against southpaws and many of those guys were way better than Perez.

Also Consider: Adam Frazier has been batting atop the Pirates order and should have success in a hitter’s park like Globe Life against a gas can like Shelby Miller.

Third Base:

Travis Shaw, MIL vs. COL

DK ($3,600) FD ($2,500)

After a few high-end options, let’s go with a value play here. Shaw got off to a terrible start this season, but his power upside is hard to argue with. This is a guy who had at least 30 homers in back-to-back seasons while posting a .240 ISO in both those years. That power appears to be resurfacing recently, with Shaw hitting three homers and one double over his last seven games. Getting the platoon advantage against Antonio Senzatela is simply the icing on the cake, with Shaw posting a .522 SLG and .877 OPS against right-handers over the last three years.

Also Consider: Yuli Gurriel is incredibly cheap on both sites and gets the platoon advantage against Perez. Yoan Moncada is one of the biggest breakouts in the league and gets that brilliant matchup against Hess.

Shortstop:

Carter Kieboom, WSH vs. STL

DK ($3,800) FD ($3,200)

Kieboom is one of the most touted prospects in the majors right now and early results are extremely promising. While his average has been lacking, Kieboom has two homers in his first four games. That really should be no surprise when you consider the fact that Kieboom posted a .258 ISO and .485 wOBA in the minors this season. Those are MVP-type peripherals and it shows just how much potential this kid has. Facing Miles Mikolas is not scary either, as his 6.04 FIP and 16.7 percent K-rate are numbers we want to exploit.

Also Consider: If you’re stacking Astros righties against Perez, it’s hard to overlook Carlos Correa.

Outfielders:

George Springer, HOU vs. MIN

DK ($5,200) FD ($4,200)

Springer makes a beautiful two-man stack with Altuve, as I expect these guys to run rampant around the bases. Perez’ aforementioned splits speak for itself, as Springer should benefit by batting from the right side. He’s actually hot though, as Springer is averaging more than 10 DK points per game for the season while posting an OPS just shy of .900. Just like Altuve, Springer has made minced meat of southpaws throughout his career. In fact, Springer is posting a .906 OPS against lefties dating back to 2016.

J.D. Martinez, BOS vs. OAK

DK ($4,900) FD ($4,000)

It’s strange not to see Martinez as one of the five-highest priced hitters, as he’s easily one of the top bats in the game. His .929 OPS speaks loudly but his peripherals indicate he should be even better. In fact, Martinez is one of the league leaders with a .448 xwOBA and a .648 xSLG. Those are absurd numbers and it simply means he’s hitting the crap out of the ball right now. Facing Mike Fiers should benefit any hitter too, as his 7.03 ERA and 1.51 WHIP says a lot about his recent struggles.

Gregory Polanco, PIT at TEX

DK ($4,300) FD ($3,000)

Polanco is a personal favorite of mine and I believe this is the sort of matchup where he can get going. Hitting in Globe Life is a huge reason why, considering that ballpark ranks as the second-best hitter’s park in the majors. Getting to face a weak righty is huge too, with Polanco posting an .840 OPS against right-handers over the last two years. Shelby Miller is a righty we want to exploit, as his .419 xwOBA is a good indicator of his 7.52 ERA and 2.07 WHIP.

Also Consider: Mookie Betts has all the same advantages as Martinez but is actually a little bit cheaper. If you’re looking for someone below $4,000, Franmil Reyes has one of the highest xwOBA’s in the league and gets the platoon advantage against Max Fried. Not to mention, both of these guys combined for three dingers on Tuesday.

5 years ago 0 comment

MLB

50 Top Hitters

Jason Mezrahi 5 years ago

written by Jason Mezrahi

50. Trea Turner – From a pure hitting standpoint, Trea is very solid sporting a .344 OBP along with an average of .271. However, it is on the base paths where he really does his damage, stealing 43 bags last season and making him a very solid SS target on most slates.

49. Joey Gallo – Mr. HR or go home is always a nice GPP option with massive HR upside, but he can also strikeout 4 times and leave you dead in the water.

48. Justin Upton

47. Justin Smoak

46. Shin Soo-Choo – The platoon specialist SSC is always a solid option in DFS when he is facing off against right handers that struggle against lefties. However, we always have to factor in the element that he may only bat 2 or 3 times before being pinch hit for if the opponent pulls out a lefty reliever.

45. Kyle Schwarber – Although the strikeouts are a major issue, there is no denying the power and potential possessed by Schwarber.

44. Edwin Encarnacion

43. Cody Bellinger

42. Yasmani Grandal – As far as catchers go, Grandal is easily top 10, but he falls to #42 on my list of total hitters with a respectable .349 OBP and a .466 SLG performance in his 2018 campaign.

41. Ben Zobrist

40. Travis Shaw

39. Didi Gregorius – As someone who can really take advantage of the Yankee Stadium design, Didi is a promising target as he heads in to his age 29 season hoping to improve on his 27 HRs from last season by finally hitting the big 30 mark.

38. Tommy Pham

37. George Springer

36. Matt Olson – Coming off a solid season where he was 1 homer shy of 30, Olson returns to a pretty stacked A’s lineup that can pack a serious punch and should be a popular stack when they are facing gas cans that have a fly ball tendency.

35. Andrew McCutchen

34. Aaron Hicks

33. Andrew Benintendi – While I wanted to put him a bit higher, Benintendi can not yet quite call himself one of the top 25 bats in all of the MLB. Improving on his power will certainly get him there in 2019, especially given the juicy stolen base upside he possesses.

32. Joey Votto

31. Scooter Gennett

30. Jose Altuve – The Houston speedster narrowly edges out the 2 Great American Small Park sticks, mainly due to that stolen base upside. He also is more patient at the plate and struck out over 20 fewer times than Votto/Gennett and as long as he can stay healthy, it is tough to see him slowing down.

29. Anthony Rizzo

28. Nicholas Castellanos

27. Nelson Cruz – At the ripe young age of 38, Cruz just continues to get it done. Spanking an impressive 37 homers to boost his OPS to .850, one of the top 30 highest figures in all of the majors. It is fair to expect a slow down at some point, but assuming the production does not fall off a cliff, Cruz could still reach the 30 HR mark this season.

26. Charlie Blackmon

25. Giancarlo Stanton

24. Matt Chapman – A member of the low-key loaded Oakland A’s lineup (Which unfortunately just took a big hit with the Matt Olson injury), Chapman will look to break the 30-homer mark as he fell just 6 shy in the 2018 season.

23. Rhys Hoskins

22. Francisco Lindor

21. Michael Brantley – Two Clevelanders back to back on the list. Mr. Brantley is getting up there in age, but has shown that he still has plenty left in the tank. Sporting a respectable .832 OPS, Brantley boasts a low strikeout rate and a solid .300+ average, but will need to leave the park a lot more in 2019 to crack the top 20.

20. Miguel Andujar

19. David Peralta

18. Javier Baez – Javi had a very impressive 2018, a year in which he reached on 176 hits, made it around the bases 101 times, and also jacked up 34 homers. Not someone that we typically consider a major power hitter, Javi benefits from playing in Wrigley, especially when the wind is in our favor.

17. Jesus Aguilar

16. Eugenio Suarez

15. Xander Bogaerts – The X man did not have an amazing 2018, but it was certainly a strong one and his position on this list also has a lot to do with potential. Bogaerts is a player that goes on streaks – Both hot and cold. If he can steady his production he should be able to improve on his power, although he was a double hitting machine in the small Fenway Park last season.

14. Freddie Freeman

13. Matt Carpenter

12. Manny Machado – Mr. Money Bags Manny Machado signed a contract heard around the world late this offseason (At least until Trout said hold my beer). So, 2018 clearly was a good year for him to reach nearly a 4 digit OPS, along with 37 home runs and 188 hits which tied him for 3^rd place in the majors.

11. Alex Bregman

10. Trevor Story

9. Paul Goldschmidt – Goldy was another streaking player in 2018, but when the dust settled he finds himself in the top 10 of many 2019 hitter lists. While the humidor is always a hot topic in Arizona, MLB’s PG still posted .533 SLG and 83 RBIs, although the strikeouts (173) were a major problem area that he will need to improve on.

8. Jose Ramirez

7. Nolan Arenado

6. Bryce Harper – The last of the 3 massive contract trio is the Home Run Derby hero Bryce Harper, who will be in Philly for the LONG haul. Although his OPS was a shade under 900 and his average left much to be desired, Bryce drew a ton of walks in 2018, and if pitchers will throw him hittable pitches at just a slightly higher rate, expect that 100 RBI figure to shoot up.

5. Khris Davis – Yet another A’s batter to make the list, Khris Davis just continues to get the job done each season. After nearly breaking the 100 run, 150 hit marks in 2018, Khris sneaks into my top 5 due to the whopping 48 dingers that he smacked in the 2018 season.

4. Christian Yelich – With a top 4 OPS in the entire MLB (and one of only 4 players that finished in 4 digits), it would be tough to leave Yelich out of any top 5 hitters list. However, that is exactly what plenty of top hitter rankings are doing heading in to 2019. Yelich is my sleeper top 5 hitter in the league for the 2019 season.

3. J.D. Martinez – There are a few players in the league that it feels like hit a home run at every one of their at-bats, and JDM is certainly in that group. While he did lose the HR race in 2018, he still ended up with 43 dingers, along with the 3^rd highest OPS in the entire MLB. Playing half of his games in the friendly little confines of Fenway Park should lead to another amazing 2019 season for Martinez.

2. Mike Trout – It is crazy for me to put the hitter with the highest OPS in the league in 2^nd place, but from a fantasy perspective that is what I must do. Trout is headed straight to the HOF, and his hitting numbers are up there with the all-time greats. He is one of the most complete MLB players that we may ever see, and should be in the top 2 of any best hitters list.

1. Mookie Betts – Did anyone really expect me to put Trout over the GOAT Mookie Betts? I know I am in the minority here but hear me out. Yes, Trout does have a better OBP than Mookie, but many would be surprised to hear that Mookie actually has a higher SLG AND AVG than the all-star Angel. He also has the speed edge, reaching the coveted 30 SB mark in 2018, while almost never striking out, and winning that whole World Series thing. Mookie Betts is my #1 hitter for the 2019 MLB season. Go Sox!

5 years ago 0 comment

Newer Posts

Older Posts

Jose Altuve

Houston Astros Stack

vs. LHP Andrew Heaney (LAA): 5.70 Runs

New York Mets Stack

vs. RHP Jake Arrieta (PHI): 5.00 Runs

Oakland Athletics Stack

vs. LHP Marco Gonzales (SEA): 5.15 Runs

One-offs and Value Plays

DFS Winners

Stephen Strasburg ($10,300)

Strasburg’s Outlook

Sonny Gray ($9,200)

Gray’s Outlook

Mike Clevinger ($9,700)

Clevinger’s Outlook

DFS Losers

Chris Sale ($11,800)

Sale’s Outlook

George Springer ($5,900), Jose Altuve ($4,600)

Springer and Altuve’s Outlook

Home Run Derby Losers

Injury Report

Catcher

First Base

Second Base

Third Base

Shortstop

Outfield

6/30 MLB DFS Podcast Pitching Notes

6/30 MLB DFS Podcast Hitting Notes

Monkey Knife Fight Picks of the Day

Subscribe to our newsletter

The best bets and resources to make you more profitable

Our Company

©2024 WIN DAILY®. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.

Queue

©2024 WIN DAILY^®. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.