The Insight Sheet gets you ready before lock at the 2020 WGC FedEx St.Jude Invitational. Inside is my personal player selection. Make sure to be on Discord tonight to get final questions asked and for help with lineup building. As always, the sheet uses DraftKings pricing but the model is set up for overall play. Players can be used on all sites.
With the WGC or any other type of no cut event, I never play cash. As the main idea with cash games is to get six golfers into the weekend. There is just too much variance with mainly the best golfers in the world guaranteed to get four days of play.
Jon Rahm $11,400 (M3, 14%)
Justin Thomas $10,700 (M4, 16%)
Patrick Cantlay $10,100 (M26, 13%)
Collin Morikawa $9,500 (M1, 16%)
Xander Schauffele $9,800 (M2, 19%)
Matthew Fitzpatrick $9,000 (M5, 12%)
Daniel Berger $9,600 (M6, 15%)
Tyrell Hatton $9,700 (M10, 15%)
Webb Simpson $9,900 (M13, 15%)
Victor Hovland $9,400 (M14, 15%)
Sergio Garcia $8,000 (M16, 11%)
Gary Woodland $8,600 (M23, 13%)
Hideki Matsuyama $8,900 (M31, 10%)
Rickie Fowler $8,300 (M37, 10%)
Jason Day $8,200 (M38, 7%)
Jordan Spieth $8,100 (M47, 10%)
Corey Conners $7,300 (M15, 10%)
Bubba Watson $7,100 (M18, 10%)
Kevin Na $7,500 (M22, 6%)
Kevin Kisner $7,000 (M45, 6%)
Matt Kuchar $7,600 (M50, 7%)
Danny Willett $7,100 (M54, 4%)
Nick Taylor $6,100 (M20, 3%)
Ryan Palmer $$6,700 (M24, 5%)
C.T. Pan $6,100 (M29, 1%)
Tyler Duncan $6,200 (M39, 2%)
Christiaan Bezuidenhout $6,800 (M40, 4%)
Erik Van Rooyen $6,800 (M42, 5%)
J.T. Poston $6,500 (M48, 2%)
Shane Lowry $6,600 (M49, 5%)
Bernd Wiesberger $6,500 (M53, 3%)
Brandt Snedeker $6,400 (M58, 3%)
I wanted to switch it up for this article since we’re dealing with a no cut, invitation only event. The list above is for my 150 max contest of the week. It’s almost half the field and I do not expect you to run as many players as myself unless you’re going the same route. I’m gonna run through each price tier and add the players to individual contest selections and where I would play them.
9K – Morikawa, Fitpatrick and Xander
8K – Woodland, Matsuyama & Day
7K – Conners & Watson
6k – Taylor
These are guys that I feel can compete at a high level this week with respect to their price range. I did not get into the 10K range, even though there is no cut, I want to try and keep the “floor” as high as possible. I really like Taylor this week and it’s the only reason he’s in this section. If you want to drop him because of his price, by all means.
10K – Rahm or Thomas (Not both)
9K – Hovland and Berger
8K – Garcia
With these four players, add them to the Single Entry mix.
10K – The other player of Rahm and Thomas
9K – Hatton & Simpson
7K – Kuchar
6K – Palmer & Duncan
Add these six players to the SE/3 Max pool.
10K – Cantlay
8K – Fowler & Spieth
7K – Kisner & Willett
6K – Pan, Bezuidenhout, Rooyen, Poston, Lowry, Wiesberger and Snedeker
Finalize the 150 max pool with these golfers. As a general rule of thumb that I follow when “normally” entering 150 max is the higher the golfer is priced, in general you should have more of them in your lineups. For example…
10K Player – 40%
9K Player – 30%
8K Player – 20%
7K Player – 10%
6K Player – 5%
These golfers are priced like they are for a reason (for the most part). Don’t kill good lineups because you have 30% of a 6K player. Could he go off and you’re way up on the competition, sure. There’s a better chance that they sink those lineups instead. This is a no cut, so feel free to get a little more aggressive if you choose, this would be the event for it.
Projected Ownership – FanShareSports
Using the information above, you can even make some money on Monkey Knife Fight! As I said I like Rahm and I’m fading Rory, so you can grab the Over for Rahm, the Under for Rory and make some more money! Check out how to play with our quick overview here.
Thank you for reading the Insight Sheet for the 2020 3M Open. You can find my other work here on my Author Page. Follow Win Daily Sports (@WinDailySports) and myself (@DFSPatrickScott) on Twitter for up to date news. You can also come hang out in the Win Daily Sports Discord Chat to talk it out with everyone before lock!
The Insight Sheet gets you ready before lock at The Memorial. Inside is my personal player selection. Make sure to be on Discord tonight to get final questions asked and for help with lineup building. As always, the sheet uses DraftKings pricing but the model is set up for overall play. Players can be used on all sites.
**I’m going hard with stars and scrubs approach this week. Soft pricing tends to lead to balanced builds.**
***These players are good. Like most weeks, there’s really no need to explain why the top players are here. This week is no different, here is who I am playing.***
Rory McIlroy $10,700 (Model Rank #1, Projected Ownership 17%)
Bryson DeChambeau $11,100 (M5, 17%)
Xander Schauffele $9,200 (M7, 14%) – Schauffele finished T14 last week at the Workday Charity and is fifth in the field in strokes gained total over the last six weeks. With a T14 last year at The Memorial, Schauffele isn’t only a safe bet to make the cut but could be in the final pairing come Sunday.
Jon Rahm $9,300 (M12, 17%) – The talent has always been there and last Sunday, Rahm shot -8 to finish T27. That finish has catapulted his ownership but I don’t mind. This week I’ll be very overweight on Rahm this week.
Hideki Matsuyama $9,400 (M13, 15%) – Two top 20 finishes in his last two events out and three top 15 finishes at The Memorial, Matsuyama is one of the favorites. He started out strong last week, but his putter failed on the weekend. The speed of the greens should help a little with the flat stick and Matsuyama could find himself with another top 15 finish.
****Tiger Woods $9,000 (M17, 22%) – Ownership is just scary on him. I know he’s Tiger, but if he falters on his official return since the break, it’s a huge leverage spot****
Patrick Reed $8,400 (M11, 11%) – It must be the name, that keeps pulling me back. Every other week, Reed burns me but when he gets hot, he can run through a field. Reed has four straight cuts made here at Jack’s place coming in. Reed in 2020 has averaged .74 strokes gained putting, in three of his last four events, he’s lost strokes on the green. If his putter reverts to average, this week could be very good for Reed.
Tony Finau $8,300 (M23, 14%) – He missed the cut last year, but prior he finished with three top 15 in four tries at The Memorial. Not exactly a lock as he’s missed a cut since the restart and hasn’t really payed off his price either. Don’t go overboard but Finau has the talent to compete with the best here.
Sungjae Im $8,200 (M28, 9%) – What has happened to Im? Sungjae was averaging .39 stroked gained on approaches this year before The PLAYERS (1 round). Since then he’s lost strokes in 4/5 tournaments on approach. Im is more of a play on talent, ownership and price.
Matthew Fitzpatrick $8,100 (M36, 6%) – I’m both surprised and delighted that Fitzpatrick’s ownership is projected so low. He finished T27 last week on the same course. Fitzpatrick has made the cut in four of his last five tournaments with two T15. He made his lone cut at The Memorial last year. I know around the green play comes in and Fitzpatrick isn’t the greatest, but the rest of his game is plenty sharp to overcome that.
Kevin Kisner $7,500 (M18, 3%) – Kisner is an interesting option. On one hand the approach game and to a lesser degree around the green game are important at The Memorial. While Kisner does have a solid all around game, those are his weak points in 2020. On the other, we have a possible sub 5% owned golfer who in his last tournament (Rocket Mortgage) came in third. On top of that has made the cut here four out of the last five years. Those cuts made include TWO top 10 finishes. Kisner isn’t playing as well as in previous years, but he has the goods to surprise people this week.
Joaquim Niemann $7,900 (M25, 16%) – Statistically speaking, Niemann is having his best year of his young career. A world class ball striker, few in the field can compete with his irons. The one problem with Niemann is it seems one part of his game fails him. Charles Schwab (ARG), Travelers (Putter) and Workday (ARG). When it does come together it’s fantastic, RBC (T5). With the inconstant all around game, his ownership is rather high which gives me some pause. At his price though, the upside is tremendous.
Doc Redman $7,600 (M32, 7%) – Speaking of ball strikers, Redman is another elite player with the approach aspect of his game. Despite losing strokes with the wedge and putter the last three weeks, Redman has finished T21, T11 & T21. As we all know putting is the highest varying aspect of one’s game. If his can get his putter hot Redman could find himself in the top 5 this week at The Memorial.
Brian Harman $7,100 (M21, 1%) – Oh Harman, we meet again. After the RBC I started playing Harman. As I’m sure you know he then proceeded to miss the cut the two following weeks. His game in theory should setup perfect for The Memorial. I’ve said that though for previous weeks and it didn’t matter. He’s coming in with zero traction from the industry, hence the projected ownership. Third time is a charm, right?
Kevin Na $7,200 (M24, 6%) – Na withdrew last tournament with a back injury, a tournament he was somewhat popular. Na has always lost strokes off the tee and with the extra long rough this week it could be an issue. With that said all other facets of his game match up wonderfully at The Memorial. Won’t need much to match the field and an injury risk is always in play, but I’ll take a shot on Mr Na this week.
Lucas Glover $7,100 (M40, 11%) – Another strong iron player, Glover has been getting some love and it makes sense. Since the restart Glover has averaged over a stroke per round in approach and has finished T23, T21, T20 & T21. He also has not missed the cut since 2015 at The Memorial. While his ownership/price ratio goes against my philosophy I’m going go heavy on Glover this week and double the field in ownership.
Brendan Steele $7,100 (M60, 3%) – Steele had a great tournament last week despite the T52 finish. He gained almost a stroke and a half over the field in approach. His problem was the putter, it got cold quick. Losing almost 2 strokes a round is problematic. Now granted Steele has never been a world class putter but his 2020 average is around zero. If the two stroke departure from his putter can regain his 2020 form I could imagine Steele landing inside the top 20.
*****Won’t have more than 10% of any of these guy in my 150 max*****
Nick Taylor $6,900 (M20, 2%)
Troy Merritt $6,600 (M37, 3%)
Talor Gooch $6,500 (M39, 4%)
Matthias Schwab $6,400 (M51, 2%)
Max Homa $$6,800 (M52, 4%)
Christiaan Bezuidenhout $6,800 (M79, 1%)
Tyler Duncan $6,300 (M88, 2%)
******None of my plays in this section will ever be at 10K and above or 6K and lower.******
Patrick Cantlay $9,800 (M3, 23%)
Webb Simpson $9,600 (M4, 15%)
Daniel Berger $8,700 (M9, 17%)
Abraham Ancer $8,500 (M8, 21%)
Paul Casey $7,900 (M19, 16%)
Kevin Streelman $7,600 (M16, 16%)
Ian Poulter $7,600 (M22, 11%)
Adam Hadwin $7,400 (M14, 9%)
Corey Conners $7,400 (M57, 7%)
Harris English $7,300 (M29, 8%)
The Insight Sheet gets you ready before lock at the Travelers Championship. Inside is my personal player selection. Make sure to be on Discord tonight to get final questions asked and for help with lineup building. As always, the sheet uses DraftKings pricing but the model is set up for overall play. Players can be used on all sites.
These players are good. Like most weeks, there’s really no need to explain why the top players are here. This week is no different, here is who I am playing.
Bryson DeChambeau $11,100 (Model Rank #1, Projected Ownership 22%)
Rory McIlroy $11,200 (M6, 13%)
I have no problem with Justin Thomas as he’s my #1 ranked player this week. For me its a player pool construction exclusion only and JT will be the player I fear the most come Thursday.
Patrick Cantlay $9,800 (M8, 15%) – Cantlay is making his debut since the break at the Travelers Championship. I’m assuming he would be priced in the 10K range if he had played prior. He has great tournament history with back to back T15. His absence is a bit worrisome but being an elite player, I hope he can shake the rust off quickly.
Collin Morikawa $9,100 (MT9, 19%) – Morikawa flamed out in the last round at the RBC Heritage but that doesn’t seem to bother anyone. His ownership is at his cap and perhaps should be pushed to cash game consideration. I guy I ALWAYS roster, this week won’t be any different.
Xander Schauffele $9,600 (M14, 13%) – If you followed me in the discord last week or on twitter, Schauffele cost me a $555 ticket. No hard feelings though and he’s back on the team. Top 10 odds to win and is at sub 15% ownership, is more then ideal.
Patrick Reed $8,700 (M4, 12%) – Reed burned a lot of people last week by missing the cut, including myself. Tie that with the fact a lot of chalk is in the upper 8K range, it’s no surprise of his low ownership. Reed is top ten in recent form, tournament history and hole performance. I feel there is a big bounce back for Reed and possibly a win.
Gary Woodland $8,300 (M9T, 15%) – Woodland hasn’t done anything spectacular at the Travelers Championship but has made three straight cuts. Woodland almost made my cash game consideration. Combine the course history and recent form with his top 10 ball striking skills and its easy to see why he’s 15% owned.
Billy Horschel $7,300 (M28, 4%) – Horschel is coming in with top 25 stats in recent form (despite the MC last week), comp courses and ball striking. Horschel has the 21st best odds in Vegas despite being priced as the 35th golfer on DraftKings for the Travelers Championship.
Kevin Kisner $7,700 (M30, 4%) – Kisner came in around 18% owned last week and missed the cut on the number. This week people seem to be still resenting him with the sub 5% ownership. With a great short game, if Kisner can do some damage with his ball striking, watch out.
Scottie Scheffler $7,600 (M38, 14%) – Scheffler withdrew last week but before hand made three straight cuts with two top 30 finishes. Vegas loves him and that alone is why im breaking my Ownership/Pricing rules (Can be seen in the PGA Research Tab in Discord). As one of the top DK scorers in the field, I’ll take my chances.
Jason Day $7,500 (M37, 6%) – Getting a player like Day at such low ownership, always tickles my fancy. His current form is well…garbage. His tournament history though is with two back to back T15. Probably a better bet then DK play but you won’t need much to be overweight on the field.
Vaughn Taylor $6,500 (M15, 3%) – Four made cuts with a top 5 in 2019. Taylor started off strong last week, but couldn’t finish the same way over the weekend. A grinder with upside I would be surprised if Taylor doesn’t finish in the top 20 this week at the Travelers Championship.
Ryan Moore $6,900 (M21, 5%) – Moore does not have the greatest recent form like Day. Again though, when it comes to the tournament Moore has performed well. With 2 cuts out of three visits, those two weekends ended with top top 20s. At the price he helps getting the more expensive players in your lineup and comes with upside.
I wanted to show plays you could build a lineup around for 50/50, double ups, etc in partnership with the plays above. These are plays that I like but are too high owned for my preference in big GPPs. While these plays may get mixed in, they are designated for cash games more. These ownership numbers are reflective of bigger tournaments and will most certainly be higher in Cash / SE games.
Last week they went 6/6 making the cut. Lets see if we can do it again for the Travelers Championship.
Abraham Ancer $9.000 (M20, 21%)
Paul Casey $8,900 (M3, 18%)
Sungjae Im $8,600 (M22, 21%)
Sergio Garcia $8,500 (M32, 14%)
Tony Finau $8,200 (M35, 16%)
Marc Leishman $8,000 (M26, 16%)
Victor Hovland $7,800 (M16, 22%)
Thank you for reading the Insight Sheet for the Travelers Championship. You can find my other work here on my Author Page. Follow Win Daily Sports (@WinDailySports) and myself (@DFSPatrickScott) on Twitter for up to date news. You can also come hang out in the Win Daily Sports Discord Chat to talk it out with everyone before lock!
The Insight Sheet gets you ready before lock at the RBC Heritage. Inside is my personal player selection. Make sure to be on Discord tonight to get final questions asked and for help with lineup building. As always, the sheet uses DraftKings pricing but the model is set up for overall play. Players can be used on all sites.
These players are good. Like most weeks, there’s really no need to explain why the top players are here. This week is no different, here is who I am playing.
Rory McIlroy $11,300 (Model Rank #1, Projected Ownership 16%)
Jon Rahm $10,500 (M3, 14%)
Xander Schauffele $10,200 (M4, 12%)
I didn’t like DeChambeau like most of the top guys last week as I thought he was a poor fit, I was wrong. Despite that though, I’m doubling down and avoiding him this week as well at the RBC Heritage. Thomas is an elite player with an amazing iron game, which this course demands. He ranks outside of the other big names, though barley, and he’s off my list simply due to lineup construction. Morikawa is my boy and I’ll have a few shares in my 150 lineup tournament, but that missed 3ft putt might weigh on him and force him to press.
Sungjae Im $9,700 (M5, 22%) – I was on Im last week and he payed off well finishing 15th in points. The price hike is not scaring anyone away though as he is one of the highest owned golfers this week. He’s certainly the highest projected ownership on my team though. Im comes in top 15 in pretty much everything: Ball Striking, Scoring, Performance, Around the Green and Odds. All of this can be found here.
Hideki Matsuyama $9,500 (M6, 12%) – Matsuyama didn’t play last week and if you look through my pool, he’s the only one. With that said, his game sets up perfectly for Harbour Town GL. The only reason he made it was the last time we saw him, Matsuyama was on FIRE at THE PLAYERS (another Pete Dye course). His sub 15% ownership certainly helps as well.
Patrick Reed $8,800 (M10, 16%) – The public’s persona of Reed must be finally wearing off as his ownership keeps climbing. Reed can light up a DK scoreboard, which was on display last week. He finished in the top 10 and second to only Berger, despite 20 less finishing points. Reed might be entering core territory for this week.
Abraham Ancer $8,000 (M22, 10%) – I’ve always been hesitant to play Ancer in the past but starting with his play at the President’s Cup, he’s been making waves. He followed it up with three top 25 finishes in the American Express, WGC Mexico and last week’s Charles Schwab Challenge. Ancer is the perfect pivot from Hatton (who I do like) with roughly half the ownership and he actually played last week.
Matthew Fitzpatrick $7,900 (M14, 9%) – Fitzpatrick was just heating up before the break with a 9th place finish at the Arnold Palmer. Before that he didn’t have the best finishes, though he made the cut and was trending in the right direction. If he can capture his 2019 finish where he went 4/5 top 20, at sub 10% ownership, Fitzpatrick could be a sneaky good play.
Shane Lowry $7,800 (M23, 6%) – Lowry burned us last week but prior had two top 30 in 2020. His approach game could be better but he has a good short game to compensate. His game once again should translate well here at the RBC Heritage but I said that last week. Won’t need many shares to be overweight.
Billy Horschel $7,700 (M20, 10%) – Horschel is just a solid golfer all around. His 2020 didn’t start the best (MC and 68th finish) but since went 9, 9, 42, 36 and 38th last week. He has the 16th best odds despite being the 26th priced player on DraftKings. Horschel has been averaging 3.6 strokes T2G his last five tournaments and is a better putter on Bermuda.
Ian Poulter $7,600 (M24, 8%) – Poulter was almost a cash play, thinking his ownership would be higher (more on that later). At sub 10%, I don’t know what more you want from a golfer in this price range. Third in strokes gained total for the tournament with three top 15 finishes the last three years. Eight made cuts dating back to last year. His best putting surface…Bermuda! He’s not the biggest DK scorer but at $7,600 you won’t need much to cover.
Adam Hadwin $7,300 (M13, 7%) – Hadwin has made the cut at Harbour Town GL the last three times out with two top 30. Hadwin doesn’t do anything special but is a grinder. I won’t have a lot of Hadwin but down here in this price range, you could do worse.
Harris English $7,300 (M17, 6%) – Talk about recency bias, Harris was 18% owned last week, sub 10% now?? Yes please! Before the MC last week he was coming in with three top 20, including a 9th place finish at the Arnold Palmer. Not only was he on a tear before the break but he also has a 25th place finish at last year’s RBC Heritage. Core piece, I think so.
Bud Cauley $7,200 (M19, 8%) – With five straight made cuts coming into Harbour Town GL, Cauley looks like a very safe bet. Perhaps he doesn’t have the upside to win, but he can land a top 10 if his putter gets hot. Cauley has the 14th best strokes gained total for the tournament and has solid recent form with a 29th showing last week.
**New this week, I wanted to show plays you could build a lineup around for 50/50, double ups, etc in partnership with the plays above. These are plays that I like but are too high owned for my preference in big GPPs. While these plays may get mixed in, they are designated for cash games more.**
Justin Rose $9,200 (M43, 15%)
Webb Simpson $9,000 (M18, 25%)
Gary Woodland $8,400 (M11, 19%)
Matt Kuchar $8,300 (M27, 15%)
Tony Finau $8,200 (M26, 15%)
Joel Dahmen $7,500 (M15, 11%)
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