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Tee 2 Green PGA DFS Picks: AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am

brucegray19722@gmail.com
written by brucegray19722@gmail.com

Hello everybody, and welcome back to ‘Tee 2 Green,’ a new article that I will be producing for Win Daily Sports weekly to give some extra insight into the DFS world of golf. My focus will be to discuss, decipher and dissect some of my preferred targets throughout the various price ranges, and I will always provide my opinion with a data-intensive outlook that you can see first-hand if you use the weekly model that I provide free of charge. You can find that here.

DraftKings Players ($10,000+)

Patrick Cantlay ($11,200) – I think many Patrick Cantlay constructions will have very similar starts this week to their builds. I would be conscious in realizing that before utilizing the second-highest owned player on the board in the standard Cantlay/Jason Day, Cantlay/Maverick McNealy or Cantlay/Kevin Streelman type of start. Cantlay is the best player in this field, but you will need to make sure to utilize him correctly.

Jordan Spieth ($10,300) –Jordan Spieth has finished inside the top-22 at this event in eight of his nine attempts, with the lone outlier coming during his cold stretch in 2019 – an event he still managed to end 45th after losing 6.4 shots with his ball-striking. It is hard to call this a boom-or-bust selection when his course history reads like a beautiful story, but the 28-year-old is someone that can be used as a leverage play at his current ownership marks.

Other Consideration – If you can find someone else that is in this field in the $10,000s, either play them or fade them because you have hacked the site.

$9,000 Range

Jason Day ($9,900) – In the words of the great Eminem, “Guess who’s back, back again. Day is back, tell a friend.”

Maverick McNealy ($9,800) – Maverick McNealy is shaping up to be the most popular player on the board, but you aren’t going to find too many negatives about him outside of ownership. I believe Seamus Power ($9,400) is the most natural pivot to McNealy on the board (I actually like Seamus more in a vacuum), but there are builds where the California native will make sense.

Matthew Fitzpatrick ($9,200) – I don’t have an answer for why Matthew Fitzpatrick doesn’t have better history at Pebble Beach. A short course where Poa putting and par-five scoring both loom large sounds like a recipe where the Englishman would compete, but a 60th and missed cut here since 2020 has dampened some of the intrigue around him for his first worldwide start of 2022. The hesitation has moved him into a range where he is only projected to be six percent owned, which is way too shallow for a golfer with tangible win equity this week.

Other Targets: I meantioned Seamus Power ($9,400) in the portion above. He is one of my favorite targets this week in all price ranges. Spieth/Seamus, Day/Seamus or Cantlay/Seamus would be a strong start.

$8,000 Range

Matt Jones ($8,000) –  There isn’t much early love for Matt Jones, who has made the cut at Pebble Beach during 12 of his 14 attempts throughout his career. I bet Jones at 70/1 in the outright market and love his statistical potential where he grades inside the top-21 in five of the seven categories I looked into for the week.

Other Thoughts: Christiaan Bezuidenhout ($8,700) is perfectly acceptable in cash and GPP builds. Ryan Palmer ($8,900) has also received a ton of influential money in the industry. I prefer him for GPP-only if I am going to use him, but sharp money is always worth noting.

$7,000 Range

I am going to rapid-fire through some $7,000 golfers to present a handful of choices for everyone reading. This group is extremely strong this week.

Chris Kirk ($7,700) – Chris Kirk is a great wind player that excels at short courses. He also ranks number one in this field in par-four scoring between 400-450 yards.

Andrew Putnam ($7,600) – Six made cuts in his last seven starts. Ownership remains subdued at just six percent. Consider him a nice pivot off of a trendy Matt Kuchar (who I do like myself).

Patrick Rodgers ($7,400) – Patrick Rodgers is a much better player around the green than most of his counterparts in this range, ranking 11th over his past 24 rounds. The risk is on full display after missing three of his past four cuts at the course, but I’m willing to ignore some of the negatives because of the upside he brings at sub-five percent ownership.

Taylor Pendrith ($7,200) – If you are looking to get frisky this week, Taylor Pendrith is breaking my model when looking for upside. I had to reduce his numbers across the board to get him into his 20th-place total for GPPs.

Sahith Theegala ($7,200) – Sahith Theegala is buzzing to start 2022, positing three straight finishes inside the top-48 — with every result better than his previous. These tests where scrambling will come into play are always right in his wheelhouse, and I think he has the intangibles to find success in this sort of a rotational structure. 

Additional Thoughts: Vincent Whaley ($7,100), Scott Stallings ($7,100), Wyndham Clark ($7,000)

$6,000 Range

Additional Dart Throws To Consider: I would play down here sparringly. You can hear Sia Nejad, Joel Schreck and I rattle off some names on the ‘Live Show.’

If you haven’t already, follow Win Daily Sports on YouTube and via Apple Podcasts and check out all the content at windailysports.com. We’re already hitting big with our NFL content and you are going to want to be a part of that. It’s also important to be in Discord Wednesday night for all lineup adjustments, late-breaking news and weather reports.

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PGAPremium

AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am: Initial Picks

Sia
written by Sia

We’re almost done with the “course rotation swing”, but we still have one hurdle to traverse, and it lies at The AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am. We have three courses that play relatively similar (more on that on the PGA Livestream Tuesday night which can be caught here) and therefore we will have the cut after Round 3 as opposed to Round 2. For my Initial Picks my focus will be on APP, PROX 100-125, ARG, BS and course history. Now let’s get to the picks.

Patrick Cantlay (11200) – He’s the best player in the field and his price is not prohibitive.  I’m not locking him in by any means, but he’s the favorite for a reason.

Daniel Berger (10500) – There’s a good chance I start a lot of lineups in the 9k range or that I grab Cantlay and bounce right out of this range, but with that said, Berger is playing at an elite level and he’s the defending champ at The AT&T.

Maverick McNealy (9800) – Mav is from the area and will be among the most comfortable on these three tracks, as evidenced by his 2nd and 5th place finish over the last two years.  He’s also coming in with good form. 

Justin Rose (9600) – Speaking of good form, Justin is starting to find his game in all phases.  Last week he gained strokes across the board and he’s finished Top 15 in 3 of his last 4 PGA events. 

Seamus Power (9400) – Seamus feels like a newer name to most onlookers but he’s been around the block long enough to have played in this tournament 4 of the last 5 years.  His results have been below average with two MC’s and no finishes above 38th, but today’s Seamus is a different animal and he’s coming in with elite form.

Tom Hoge (8500) – Hoge can get very hot on APP and has the short game to put it all together.  The problem is it can also go off the rails here and there.  Either way, I think the upside is there for Hoge and I’m willing to play the volatility game with him, unless his ownership is high.

Michael Thompson (7900) – The results have been up and down at the AT&T for Thompson, but the bearded one has taken on a new look and a newfound game with two Top 11 finishes over his last three tournaments.  He certainly has MC equity but his ability to pop on APP and with the short game has me interested.

Lucas Glover (7800) – Another middling name with tremendous upside, particularly on APP.  Glover has his issues ARG and PUTT, but over the last few tournaments, that has improved enough for me to hope it’s a trend rather than an aberration.  Give me the upside with the irons.  He finished 50th and 7th over his last two at The AT&T.

Russell Knox (7800) – Great course fit and great course history is about all I need to see in this range and Knox certainly has both.  A recent 7th place at the Sony and a 7th place last year at the AT&T.

Matt Kuchar (7600) – He’s starting to play better golf and he’s a great course fit.  Kuchar can get hot with the irons and hot with the putter and has made 3 cuts in a row here.

Chez Reavie (7400) – Leaning on course history and course fit yet again with this selection.  Reavie has Top 25 finishes in 3 of his last 4 at The AT&T.  His game right now is not in good shape, but I’ve found that when deciding between recent form and course form, it’s the course form that usually wins out. I’ll note that there are a number of guys to like in the low 7k range and we can discuss more on the PGA Livestream (link to show is in opening paragraph).

Mark Hubbard (6700) – The 6k range is pretty dicey and I’d recommend avoiding it, especially since the low 7k range is so rich with potential (Theegala, Merritt, Harkins, Schwartzel, Piercy, Stallings, Piercy, Buckley to name a few).  With that said, I’m intrigued by Hubbard’s game as I do believe he’s a good course fit.  A very risk play but rates out very with accuracy, APP, ARG and PUTT.

Secret Weapon – 47-15. See you in Discord.

Be sure to get in our Discord, watch our show and sign up for all things Win Daily as we are bringing you all the DFS for all the sports you can imagine. Further, make sure you check out Sharp as the bets continue to roll through.

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PGAPremium

AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am: Initial Picks

Sia
written by Sia

We’re almost done with the “course rotation swing”, but we still have one hurdle to traverse, and it lies at The AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am. We have three courses that play relatively similar (more on that on the PGA Livestream Tuesday night which can be caught here) and therefore we will have the cut after Round 3 as opposed to Round 2. For my Initial Picks my focus will be on APP, PROX 100-125, ARG, BS and course history. Now let’s get to the picks.

Patrick Cantlay (11200) – He’s the best player in the field and his price is not prohibitive.  I’m not locking him in by any means, but he’s the favorite for a reason.

Daniel Berger (10500) – There’s a good chance I start a lot of lineups in the 9k range or that I grab Cantlay and bounce right out of this range, but with that said, Berger is playing at an elite level and he’s the defending champ at The AT&T.

Maverick McNealy (9800) – Mav is from the area and will be among the most comfortable on these three tracks, as evidenced by his 2nd and 5th place finish over the last two years.  He’s also coming in with good form. 

Justin Rose (9600) – Speaking of good form, Justin is starting to find his game in all phases.  Last week he gained strokes across the board and he’s finished Top 15 in 3 of his last 4 PGA events. 

Seamus Power (9400) – Seamus feels like a newer name to most onlookers but he’s been around the block long enough to have played in this tournament 4 of the last 5 years.  His results have been below average with two MC’s and no finishes above 38th, but today’s Seamus is a different animal and he’s coming in with elite form.

Tom Hoge (8500) – Hoge can get very hot on APP and has the short game to put it all together.  The problem is it can also go off the rails here and there.  Either way, I think the upside is there for Hoge and I’m willing to play the volatility game with him, unless his ownership is high.

Michael Thompson (7900) – The results have been up and down at the AT&T for Thompson, but the bearded one has taken on a new look and a newfound game with two Top 11 finishes over his last three tournaments.  He certainly has MC equity but his ability to pop on APP and with the short game has me interested.

Lucas Glover (7800) – Another middling name with tremendous upside, particularly on APP.  Glover has his issues ARG and PUTT, but over the last few tournaments, that has improved enough for me to hope it’s a trend rather than an aberration.  Give me the upside with the irons.  He finished 50th and 7th over his last two at The AT&T.

Russell Knox (7800) – Great course fit and great course history is about all I need to see in this range and Knox certainly has both.  A recent 7th place at the Sony and a 7th place last year at the AT&T.

Matt Kuchar (7600) – He’s starting to play better golf and he’s a great course fit.  Kuchar can get hot with the irons and hot with the putter and has made 3 cuts in a row here.

Chez Reavie (7400) – Leaning on course history and course fit yet again with this selection.  Reavie has Top 25 finishes in 3 of his last 4 at The AT&T.  His game right now is not in good shape, but I’ve found that when deciding between recent form and course form, it’s the course form that usually wins out. I’ll note that there are a number of guys to like in the low 7k range and we can discuss more on the PGA Livestream (link to show is in opening paragraph).

Mark Hubbard (6700) – The 6k range is pretty dicey and I’d recommend avoiding it, especially since the low 7k range is so rich with potential (Theegala, Merritt, Harkins, Schwartzel, Piercy, Stallings, Piercy, Buckley to name a few).  With that said, I’m intrigued by Hubbard’s game as I do believe he’s a good course fit.  A very risk play but rates out very with accuracy, APP, ARG and PUTT.

Secret Weapon – 47-15. See you in Discord.

Be sure to get in our Discord, watch our show and sign up for all things Win Daily as we are bringing you all the DFS for all the sports you can imagine. Further, make sure you check out Sharp as the bets continue to roll through.

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PGAPremium

Tee 2 Green PGA DFS Picks: Farmers Insurance Open

brucegray19722@gmail.com
written by brucegray19722@gmail.com

Hello everybody, and welcome back to ‘Tee 2 Green,’ a new article that I will be producing for Win Daily Sports weekly to give some extra insight into the DFS world of golf. My focus will be to discuss, decipher and dissect some of my preferred targets throughout the various price ranges, and I will always provide my opinion with a data-intensive outlook that you can see first-hand if you use the weekly model that I provide free of charge. You can find that here.

DraftKings Players ($10,000+)

Justin Thomas ($10,900) – I know we have potential issues around Justin Thomas this week. He hasn’t played the Farmers since 2015 — an event where he missed the cut, but there are reasons to be optimistic about his 19th-place finish during the 2021 U.S. Open. The one-time major winner entered the back-nine that day with a real shot to win his second major, but multiple mistakes at the par-four 10th and par-three 16th sent the American freefalling off the first page of the leaderboard. By my math, Thomas has the second-best win equity in this field but is being treated like one of the forgotten about high-priced stars.

Xander Schauffele ($10.100) – It has been all-or-nothing for Xander Schauffele at Torrey Pines, as we have seen him three top-25 finishes during his last four stops at Torrey to go along with missing four of his first five. Schauffele is more of a boom-or-bust than anyone would care to recognize, but I believe we get the best version of him, which makes him a true threat for the title.

Other Consideration – There is decent leverage here in most spots.

$9,000 Range

Bryson DeChambeau ($9,900) – There is always some downside when you back Bryson DeChambeau on the DFS slate, but the fact that we get him both sub-$10,000 and sub-10 percent is enough for me to find myself not exactly Hulk-smash fit but definitely overweight.

Other Targets: Scottie Scheffler $9,500 (GPPs),Marc Leishman $9,000 (all games). Finau is probably good chalk at $9,100.

$8,000 Range

Talor Gooch ($8,900) – I wouldn’t sweat the missed cut. The Farmers Insurance Open is. better layout for his game, and he has been on a rhythm when we remove last week’s debacle.

Maverick McNealy ($8,300) – We have seen tons of sharp money enter the market on Maverick McNealy. California and Poa are where he shines best.

Other Thoughts: Matthew Wolff $8,500 (GPPs), Max Homa $8,400 (GPPs)

$7,000 Range

Wyndham Clark ($7,200) – There is a potential opening for Wyndham Clark that my model noticed. There has been a change as of late after Clark managed to gain with his irons in four of six starts — highlighted by a 13th place finish during last week’s American Express. The 220th-ranked golfer in the world has two top-40s in his three tries at Torrey Pines, and this is with him averaging nearly three shots worse to the field with his irons in those finishes.

Additional Thoughts: Billy Horschel $7,800 (GPPs), Joaquin Niemann $7,700 (GPPs), Matt Jones $7,200

$6,000 Range

Sepp Straka ($6,300) – Sepp Straka opens up the world if you fit him into a build. Course history looks good. The current form is a positive. There is a ton to like about his potential.

Additional Dart Throws To Consider: I would play down here sparringly.

If you haven’t already, follow Win Daily Sports on YouTube and via Apple Podcasts and check out all the content at windailysports.com. We’re already hitting big with our NFL content and you are going to want to be a part of that. It’s also important to be in Discord Wednesday night for all lineup adjustments, late-breaking news and weather reports.

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Farmers Insurance Open: Initial Picks

Sia
written by Sia

This week the PGA Tour gets an early Wednesday start in San Diego and so I figured I’d get the Initial Picks article out as soon as possible. Pricing for The Farmers Insurance Open is NOT out yet so this article won’t feature that, but it will feature the golfers I have my eyes on as we prepare our lineups. We have two courses (North and South) this week but the South course will be played 3 of 4 days. The South course is by far the more challenging of the two courses and is a 7700 yard Par 72. The South course will test all of ones game including distance, both OTT and with the irons. The short game will certainly come into play here as well, so I’ll definitely be looking for guys that are at least decent in each of the primary metrics. The North course is far easier (and far shorter) and should create some great scoring opportunities.

Be sure to catch our PGA Livestream Tuesday night as we will have an interesting setup for pinpointing golfers and we will have a special guest @ModelManiac.

Jon Rahm – A great course fit everywhere, but especially here.  He’s got the ball striking and the length with the driver and the irons to set himself up nicely for plenty of birdie opportunities.  Course history is great here as well.

Hideki Matsuyama – When he’s got the putter going he’s usually contending on Sunday.  I’m guessing he carries some lower ownership this week with all the talent around him.  His history here is pretty solid and he’s obviously coming off an elite takedown at the Sony.

Sungjae Im – No one would ever accuse me of being a ‘Sungjae guy’ as I rarely roster him, but I can’t deny that he should fit nicely here.  Put simply, there’s nothing he’s bad at and he excels at plenty including OTT, BOB, BS, SG Par 5 and Prox 200+.

Daniel Berger – if you’re looking for accuracy, here is your guy.  He’s also great with the long iron game.  Putter can sometimes hold him back, but I like Berger in this spot unless he ends up being highly owned.

Sam Burns – When you’re hot your hot and this guy is one of the hottest guys on tour.  If I were to pick an issue with Burns it would be that his long iron play isn’t elite, but he really does check every other box. 

Marc Leishman – An outstanding history at The Farmers which includes a win in 2020.  Leishman is playing good golf and is very clearly comfortable at this venue. 

Maverick McNealy – His recent form has been good and his course history here is MC, 15th and 29th.  Mav doesn’t do anything in particular at an elite level, but he’s a relatively good ball striker, is solid with the long irons and can score on Par 5s.

Aaron Wise –  I am, in fact, a WiseGuy and I like that I may be getting a player on the rise who has been relatively absent since the swing season.   Wise is a guy who can flat out score and while he certainly carries some volatility, he’s got the type of upside I’m looking for. 

Ryan Palmer – Well apparently Palmer likes the Farmers as his last four finishes have been 2nd, 21st, 13th and 2nd.  Pretty impressive stretch from a guy who hasn’t been in many Draftkings lineups lately.  Recent history for Palmer hasn’t been great, however it’s started to pick up lately.    

Tom Hoge – He’s in good form and has a good history at the Farmers which includes a 12th and  a 5th place finish (he also has 2 MC’s).  An up and down player who can certainly get hot with the ball striking.

Joel Dahmen – The ball striking has been very good lately, but the short game has been getting him in trouble.  He does have the ability to pop in the short game department so I’m hoping for some positive regression there.  History isn’t too bad at this venue, but certainly has MC equity.

Secret Weapon – Now 47-14 after C.T. Pan’s missed cut.

Be sure to get in our Discord, watch our show and sign up for all things Win Daily as we are bringing you all the DFS for all the sports you can imagine. Further, make sure you check out Sharp as the bets continue to roll through.

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Divisional Round: Top DFS QB’s & Stacks Breakdown with A Through Z

Adam Zibuda
written by Adam Zibuda

We have arrived at our last reasonably-sized slate of the NFL season, so let’s enjoy this weekend, even if our favorite team just so happened to get absolutely slaughtered last week. I will once again be breaking things down by looking at the largest slate available, which unlike last weekend, is actually also the slate with the largest GPP’s across the DFS industry. This is the final week where we will have this format, as next week I will just do a full overview of both games, so enjoy this final version of the top QB’s and stacks breakdown! As usual I will be covering the top quarterbacks and players to stack with them for GPP contests across the NFL DFS industry, so any stack that I recommend is in play for both FanDuel and DraftKings. With that said, let’s get to the picks!

The QB’s

A. Well, I made the mistake of failing to write up and target this quarterback last week, at least partially due to the fact that he was facing off against my team. You know that whole fool me once, fool me twice thing? Yeah, that will not be happening here as the first quarterback I will be targeting this weekend is Josh Allen ($7,600 DK / $8,800 FD). Allen and this Bills offense absolutely emasculated the New England Patriots defense on national television, in what was arguably the worst defensive showing in NFL history, as the Bills pitched a perfect game and turned every single offensive drive into a touchdown. Now, a portion of that is the Patriots defense being horrendous and old and dust, but another portion is definitely Allen and the elite weapons at his disposal. The Chiefs have the worst defense of any of the 8 teams remaining in the playoffs, so this is not only the spot with the hottest signal caller in the NFL, it is also the easiest matchup. Kansas City surrendered the second highest production to opposing QB’s, and Josh Allen should have yet another field day to put his team into the AFC Championship.

B. In this exact spot last week, I had an argument to target the quarterback facing the Cincinnati Bengals. While that did not exactly crush, I will be doing the same here with a more talented arm in Ryan Tannehill ($5,800 DK / $7,300 FD). Interestingly enough, Tannehill is the exact same price on DraftKings this week as Derek Carr was last week as well. It seems as though the stars are all aligning for this play as an excellent salary-saver this weekend. While the Packers do own a slightly worse total defense DVOA figure, the Bengals are the worst team in DVOA against the pass this weekend, ranking just 24th in the NFL. As I mentioned last week, the Bengals are rolling on offense heading into the playoffs, so we should expect their opponents to pass more than usual in order to keep pace. This is excellent news for a Titans offense that will potentially have all three of their top weapons back in play and Tannehill is easily the best option at the position if we do not have the salary to squeeze in Josh Allen.

C. The final quarterback that I will look to target in the divisional round this weekend is Matthew Stafford ($6,200 DK / $7,400 FD). This gives us a nice blend of a top-tier option, a mid-range option, and a salary-saving option at the QB position. While I am more likely to either pay up or save, the field will likely follow a similar route so I expect Stafford to go overlooked this weekend. This Tampa Bay defense is no joke and the Rams have to travel for this game, but at least the climate will be similar to what they are used to in terms of temperature. We have known all season to avoid NFL rushing attacks facing the Bucs, but this has led to TB ranking just 25th in DvP against opposing quarterbacks. The Rams also have the third lowest sack potential of the 8 teams playing this weekend, so Stafford should have more time in the pocket than a majority of the QBs remaining. While this offense did not need to do much to beat the pathetic Cardinals on Monday, they certainly will need to show up to beat this Bucs team.

The Stacks

A. This game has the highest total of the four games in the divisional round of the NFL, and will almost definitely be the chalkiest, so we need to keep that in mind when building our lineups. Devin Singletary went from an auto-fade in a time share with Zack Moss each week, to potentially our top option at the runningback position. The wideouts in this offense consisting of Diggs, Sanders, Davis, and Beasley are all viable and any of them can catch a few touchdown passes from their gunslinger quarterback. Keep an eye on ownership in order to help inform our roster construction decisions with the Bills pass catchers. Dawson Knox also absolutely smashed this Chiefs team earlier in the season to the tune of 117 receiving yards and a TD, so he is another potential punt option at TE for us if we believe he has this Chiefs defense’s number. Jerick McKinnon came out of literally nowhere and won people a ton of money last week as Andy Reid failed to mentioned that Darrel Williams was essentially out. This was insanely annoying to us DFS players, and we will have to keep a close eye on the news from this backfield before we make any decisions. Tyreek Hill, Mecole Hardman, Byron Pringle, and Travis Kelce are our pass catching options for a bring-back game stack. Hill and Kelce are nearly the same price and Hill is extremely discounted compared to other receivers, so he is my favorite KC option this weekend.

B. As I referenced above, we will potentially see the trio of A.J. Brown, Julio Jones, and Derrick Henry all “healthy” (Read: “Active”) for this contest, with the largest question mark of course lying with King Henry, who is returning from a lengthy injury absence. If you trust beat writer Twitter videos, then Henry could be all systems go as he was looking like his spry self in practice, and he is clearly our top option from this game if so, given that his price tag is a fraction of its typical level across the industry. Julio Jones finally caught a touchdown for the first time this season in week 18, but I really cannot recommend him as a DFS play at this point in his career. A.J. Brown is easily our top pass-catching option and we can sprinkle in some Anthony Firkser at tight end if we want to get weird and save some salary given his very strong finish to the regular season. On the Bengals side, Joe Mixon is once again an excellent bring-back option, although the trio of Ja’Marr Chase, Tee Higgins, and Tyler Boyd are also very appealing this weekend. Similar to Darrel Williams, Tee Higgins seemed as though he was not even playing last weekend and I expect his ownership to plummet, which means he will be someone that I frequently target as we have seen the massive ceiling he posesses. C.J. Uzomah is gathering buzz as yet another cheap TE option, and I will certainly mix him in with the other shares of cheap tight ends I mentioned above.

C. Last, and potentially least, we have the Los Angeles Rams against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The story out of LA is Cam Akers returning from an Achilles tear in record time and looking just as good as he did prior to injury. Sony Michel may very well be dead in this offense, and Akers is way too cheap. I am hoping that people will be scared away by the TB rush defense, because Akers is one of our top options at RB. Kupp had a down game to kick off the playoffs, but as I mentioned, the Cardinals were such an absolute joke that the Rams barely needed Kupp at all. Odell Beckham continues to show that he was clearly being wasted in Cleveland, as any talented player in Cleveland is, and he is the only other WR I have interest in, as Van Jefferson has become somewhat of an afterthought. Tyler Higbee is one of my least favorite TE options, as he has not looked good in recent weeks and seems to drop too many easy passes. On the Bucs side of the football, Leonard Fournette may be returning, and if he does I have interest, but if he does not then Gio Bernard seems to be the back that Bruce “Helmet Slapper” Ariens favors. Mike Evans had himself an absolute day last weekend, and he is our clear top bring back option, while Rob Gronkowski is due to have a ceiling game in at least one of these playoff matchups.

That will do it for this week’s article. If I am not taking down the million this Sunday, then I hope that it is a member of our WDS fam! Please make sure to check out our projection model by clicking here, and if you have any questions about GPP strategy or the top stacks for the week, I will be in our expert chat in Discord leading up to Sunday afternoon. Feel free to shoot me a DM or @ me in chat! Lastly, do not forget to subscribe to the WinDaily YouTube channel and follow me on Twitter: @AThr0ughZ!

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Divisional Round: Top DFS QB’s & Stacks Breakdown with A Through Z

Adam Zibuda
written by Adam Zibuda

We have arrived at our last reasonably-sized slate of the NFL season, so let’s enjoy this weekend, even if our favorite team just so happened to get absolutely slaughtered last week. I will once again be breaking things down by looking at the largest slate available, which unlike last weekend, is actually also the slate with the largest GPP’s across the DFS industry. This is the final week where we will have this format, as next week I will just do a full overview of both games, so enjoy this final version of the top QB’s and stacks breakdown! As usual I will be covering the top quarterbacks and players to stack with them for GPP contests across the NFL DFS industry, so any stack that I recommend is in play for both FanDuel and DraftKings. With that said, let’s get to the picks!

The QB’s

A. Well, I made the mistake of failing to write up and target this quarterback last week, at least partially due to the fact that he was facing off against my team. You know that whole fool me once, fool me twice thing? Yeah, that will not be happening here as the first quarterback I will be targeting this weekend is Josh Allen ($7,600 DK / $8,800 FD). Allen and this Bills offense absolutely emasculated the New England Patriots defense on national television, in what was arguably the worst defensive showing in NFL history, as the Bills pitched a perfect game and turned every single offensive drive into a touchdown. Now, a portion of that is the Patriots defense being horrendous and old and dust, but another portion is definitely Allen and the elite weapons at his disposal. The Chiefs have the worst defense of any of the 8 teams remaining in the playoffs, so this is not only the spot with the hottest signal caller in the NFL, it is also the easiest matchup. Kansas City surrendered the second highest production to opposing QB’s, and Josh Allen should have yet another field day to put his team into the AFC Championship.

B. In this exact spot last week, I had an argument to target the quarterback facing the Cincinnati Bengals. While that did not exactly crush, I will be doing the same here with a more talented arm in Ryan Tannehill ($5,800 DK / $7,300 FD). Interestingly enough, Tannehill is the exact same price on DraftKings this week as Derek Carr was last week as well. It seems as though the stars are all aligning for this play as an excellent salary-saver this weekend. While the Packers do own a slightly worse total defense DVOA figure, the Bengals are the worst team in DVOA against the pass this weekend, ranking just 24th in the NFL. As I mentioned last week, the Bengals are rolling on offense heading into the playoffs, so we should expect their opponents to pass more than usual in order to keep pace. This is excellent news for a Titans offense that will potentially have all three of their top weapons back in play and Tannehill is easily the best option at the position if we do not have the salary to squeeze in Josh Allen.

C. The final quarterback that I will look to target in the divisional round this weekend is Matthew Stafford ($6,200 DK / $7,400 FD). This gives us a nice blend of a top-tier option, a mid-range option, and a salary-saving option at the QB position. While I am more likely to either pay up or save, the field will likely follow a similar route so I expect Stafford to go overlooked this weekend. This Tampa Bay defense is no joke and the Rams have to travel for this game, but at least the climate will be similar to what they are used to in terms of temperature. We have known all season to avoid NFL rushing attacks facing the Bucs, but this has led to TB ranking just 25th in DvP against opposing quarterbacks. The Rams also have the third lowest sack potential of the 8 teams playing this weekend, so Stafford should have more time in the pocket than a majority of the QBs remaining. While this offense did not need to do much to beat the pathetic Cardinals on Monday, they certainly will need to show up to beat this Bucs team.

The Stacks

A. This game has the highest total of the four games in the divisional round of the NFL, and will almost definitely be the chalkiest, so we need to keep that in mind when building our lineups. Devin Singletary went from an auto-fade in a time share with Zack Moss each week, to potentially our top option at the runningback position. The wideouts in this offense consisting of Diggs, Sanders, Davis, and Beasley are all viable and any of them can catch a few touchdown passes from their gunslinger quarterback. Keep an eye on ownership in order to help inform our roster construction decisions with the Bills pass catchers. Dawson Knox also absolutely smashed this Chiefs team earlier in the season to the tune of 117 receiving yards and a TD, so he is another potential punt option at TE for us if we believe he has this Chiefs defense’s number. Jerick McKinnon came out of literally nowhere and won people a ton of money last week as Andy Reid failed to mentioned that Darrel Williams was essentially out. This was insanely annoying to us DFS players, and we will have to keep a close eye on the news from this backfield before we make any decisions. Tyreek Hill, Mecole Hardman, Byron Pringle, and Travis Kelce are our pass catching options for a bring-back game stack. Hill and Kelce are nearly the same price and Hill is extremely discounted compared to other receivers, so he is my favorite KC option this weekend.

B. As I referenced above, we will potentially see the trio of A.J. Brown, Julio Jones, and Derrick Henry all “healthy” (Read: “Active”) for this contest, with the largest question mark of course lying with King Henry, who is returning from a lengthy injury absence. If you trust beat writer Twitter videos, then Henry could be all systems go as he was looking like his spry self in practice, and he is clearly our top option from this game if so, given that his price tag is a fraction of its typical level across the industry. Julio Jones finally caught a touchdown for the first time this season in week 18, but I really cannot recommend him as a DFS play at this point in his career. A.J. Brown is easily our top pass-catching option and we can sprinkle in some Anthony Firkser at tight end if we want to get weird and save some salary given his very strong finish to the regular season. On the Bengals side, Joe Mixon is once again an excellent bring-back option, although the trio of Ja’Marr Chase, Tee Higgins, and Tyler Boyd are also very appealing this weekend. Similar to Darrel Williams, Tee Higgins seemed as though he was not even playing last weekend and I expect his ownership to plummet, which means he will be someone that I frequently target as we have seen the massive ceiling he posesses. C.J. Uzomah is gathering buzz as yet another cheap TE option, and I will certainly mix him in with the other shares of cheap tight ends I mentioned above.

C. Last, and potentially least, we have the Los Angeles Rams against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The story out of LA is Cam Akers returning from an Achilles tear in record time and looking just as good as he did prior to injury. Sony Michel may very well be dead in this offense, and Akers is way too cheap. I am hoping that people will be scared away by the TB rush defense, because Akers is one of our top options at RB. Kupp had a down game to kick off the playoffs, but as I mentioned, the Cardinals were such an absolute joke that the Rams barely needed Kupp at all. Odell Beckham continues to show that he was clearly being wasted in Cleveland, as any talented player in Cleveland is, and he is the only other WR I have interest in, as Van Jefferson has become somewhat of an afterthought. Tyler Higbee is one of my least favorite TE options, as he has not looked good in recent weeks and seems to drop too many easy passes. On the Bucs side of the football, Leonard Fournette may be returning, and if he does I have interest, but if he does not then Gio Bernard seems to be the back that Bruce “Helmet Slapper” Ariens favors. Mike Evans had himself an absolute day last weekend, and he is our clear top bring back option, while Rob Gronkowski is due to have a ceiling game in at least one of these playoff matchups.

That will do it for this week’s article. If I am not taking down the million this Sunday, then I hope that it is a member of our WDS fam! Please make sure to check out our projection model by clicking here, and if you have any questions about GPP strategy or the top stacks for the week, I will be in our expert chat in Discord leading up to Sunday afternoon. Feel free to shoot me a DM or @ me in chat! Lastly, do not forget to subscribe to the WinDaily YouTube channel and follow me on Twitter: @AThr0ughZ!

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NFLPremium

Divisional Round: Top DFS QB’s & Stacks Breakdown with A Through Z

Adam Zibuda
written by Adam Zibuda

We have arrived at our last reasonably-sized slate of the NFL season, so let’s enjoy this weekend, even if our favorite team just so happened to get absolutely slaughtered last week. I will once again be breaking things down by looking at the largest slate available, which unlike last weekend, is actually also the slate with the largest GPP’s across the DFS industry. This is the final week where we will have this format, as next week I will just do a full overview of both games, so enjoy this final version of the top QB’s and stacks breakdown! As usual I will be covering the top quarterbacks and players to stack with them for GPP contests across the NFL DFS industry, so any stack that I recommend is in play for both FanDuel and DraftKings. With that said, let’s get to the picks!

The QB’s

A. Well, I made the mistake of failing to write up and target this quarterback last week, at least partially due to the fact that he was facing off against my team. You know that whole fool me once, fool me twice thing? Yeah, that will not be happening here as the first quarterback I will be targeting this weekend is Josh Allen ($7,600 DK / $8,800 FD). Allen and this Bills offense absolutely emasculated the New England Patriots defense on national television, in what was arguably the worst defensive showing in NFL history, as the Bills pitched a perfect game and turned every single offensive drive into a touchdown. Now, a portion of that is the Patriots defense being horrendous and old and dust, but another portion is definitely Allen and the elite weapons at his disposal. The Chiefs have the worst defense of any of the 8 teams remaining in the playoffs, so this is not only the spot with the hottest signal caller in the NFL, it is also the easiest matchup. Kansas City surrendered the second highest production to opposing QB’s, and Josh Allen should have yet another field day to put his team into the AFC Championship.

B. In this exact spot last week, I had an argument to target the quarterback facing the Cincinnati Bengals. While that did not exactly crush, I will be doing the same here with a more talented arm in Ryan Tannehill ($5,800 DK / $7,300 FD). Interestingly enough, Tannehill is the exact same price on DraftKings this week as Derek Carr was last week as well. It seems as though the stars are all aligning for this play as an excellent salary-saver this weekend. While the Packers do own a slightly worse total defense DVOA figure, the Bengals are the worst team in DVOA against the pass this weekend, ranking just 24th in the NFL. As I mentioned last week, the Bengals are rolling on offense heading into the playoffs, so we should expect their opponents to pass more than usual in order to keep pace. This is excellent news for a Titans offense that will potentially have all three of their top weapons back in play and Tannehill is easily the best option at the position if we do not have the salary to squeeze in Josh Allen.

C. The final quarterback that I will look to target in the divisional round this weekend is Matthew Stafford ($6,200 DK / $7,400 FD). This gives us a nice blend of a top-tier option, a mid-range option, and a salary-saving option at the QB position. While I am more likely to either pay up or save, the field will likely follow a similar route so I expect Stafford to go overlooked this weekend. This Tampa Bay defense is no joke and the Rams have to travel for this game, but at least the climate will be similar to what they are used to in terms of temperature. We have known all season to avoid NFL rushing attacks facing the Bucs, but this has led to TB ranking just 25th in DvP against opposing quarterbacks. The Rams also have the third lowest sack potential of the 8 teams playing this weekend, so Stafford should have more time in the pocket than a majority of the QBs remaining. While this offense did not need to do much to beat the pathetic Cardinals on Monday, they certainly will need to show up to beat this Bucs team.

The Stacks

A. This game has the highest total of the four games in the divisional round of the NFL, and will almost definitely be the chalkiest, so we need to keep that in mind when building our lineups. Devin Singletary went from an auto-fade in a time share with Zack Moss each week, to potentially our top option at the runningback position. The wideouts in this offense consisting of Diggs, Sanders, Davis, and Beasley are all viable and any of them can catch a few touchdown passes from their gunslinger quarterback. Keep an eye on ownership in order to help inform our roster construction decisions with the Bills pass catchers. Dawson Knox also absolutely smashed this Chiefs team earlier in the season to the tune of 117 receiving yards and a TD, so he is another potential punt option at TE for us if we believe he has this Chiefs defense’s number. Jerick McKinnon came out of literally nowhere and won people a ton of money last week as Andy Reid failed to mentioned that Darrel Williams was essentially out. This was insanely annoying to us DFS players, and we will have to keep a close eye on the news from this backfield before we make any decisions. Tyreek Hill, Mecole Hardman, Byron Pringle, and Travis Kelce are our pass catching options for a bring-back game stack. Hill and Kelce are nearly the same price and Hill is extremely discounted compared to other receivers, so he is my favorite KC option this weekend.

B. As I referenced above, we will potentially see the trio of A.J. Brown, Julio Jones, and Derrick Henry all “healthy” (Read: “Active”) for this contest, with the largest question mark of course lying with King Henry, who is returning from a lengthy injury absence. If you trust beat writer Twitter videos, then Henry could be all systems go as he was looking like his spry self in practice, and he is clearly our top option from this game if so, given that his price tag is a fraction of its typical level across the industry. Julio Jones finally caught a touchdown for the first time this season in week 18, but I really cannot recommend him as a DFS play at this point in his career. A.J. Brown is easily our top pass-catching option and we can sprinkle in some Anthony Firkser at tight end if we want to get weird and save some salary given his very strong finish to the regular season. On the Bengals side, Joe Mixon is once again an excellent bring-back option, although the trio of Ja’Marr Chase, Tee Higgins, and Tyler Boyd are also very appealing this weekend. Similar to Darrel Williams, Tee Higgins seemed as though he was not even playing last weekend and I expect his ownership to plummet, which means he will be someone that I frequently target as we have seen the massive ceiling he posesses. C.J. Uzomah is gathering buzz as yet another cheap TE option, and I will certainly mix him in with the other shares of cheap tight ends I mentioned above.

C. Last, and potentially least, we have the Los Angeles Rams against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The story out of LA is Cam Akers returning from an Achilles tear in record time and looking just as good as he did prior to injury. Sony Michel may very well be dead in this offense, and Akers is way too cheap. I am hoping that people will be scared away by the TB rush defense, because Akers is one of our top options at RB. Kupp had a down game to kick off the playoffs, but as I mentioned, the Cardinals were such an absolute joke that the Rams barely needed Kupp at all. Odell Beckham continues to show that he was clearly being wasted in Cleveland, as any talented player in Cleveland is, and he is the only other WR I have interest in, as Van Jefferson has become somewhat of an afterthought. Tyler Higbee is one of my least favorite TE options, as he has not looked good in recent weeks and seems to drop too many easy passes. On the Bucs side of the football, Leonard Fournette may be returning, and if he does I have interest, but if he does not then Gio Bernard seems to be the back that Bruce “Helmet Slapper” Ariens favors. Mike Evans had himself an absolute day last weekend, and he is our clear top bring back option, while Rob Gronkowski is due to have a ceiling game in at least one of these playoff matchups.

That will do it for this week’s article. If I am not taking down the million this Sunday, then I hope that it is a member of our WDS fam! Please make sure to check out our projection model by clicking here, and if you have any questions about GPP strategy or the top stacks for the week, I will be in our expert chat in Discord leading up to Sunday afternoon. Feel free to shoot me a DM or @ me in chat! Lastly, do not forget to subscribe to the WinDaily YouTube channel and follow me on Twitter: @AThr0ughZ!

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PGAPremium

The American Express: Initial Picks

Isaiah
written by Isaiah

This week the PGA Tour jumps from Hawaii to Southern California for The American Express. This format is slightly different where 2 PGA pros and 2 amateurs will be paired up each of the first 3 days, on 3 different courses.  The first 3 rounds will rotate through the Stadium Course, La Quinta CC., and the Nicklaus Tournament Course. The top 70 (and ties) that make it through the cut Saturday afternoon will head back to The Stadium Course a 2nd time for Sunday’s final round.

Originally known as The Bob Hope Classic, this event has been a PGA Tour staple since 1965. The list of former winners include Andrew Landry, Adam Long, Jon Rahm, Hudson Swafford, Jason Dufner, Bill Haas, Patrick Reed, Brian Gay, Mark Wilson, Jhonattan Vegas, Bill Haas, Pat Perez, Charley Hoffman, Phil Mickelson, and the defending champion Si Woo Kim. This list should tell you that just about anyone in this field can win this event. La Quinta CC., and The Jack Nicklaus Tournament Course are 2 of the 3 easiest birdie courses on the PGA Tour and I expect this to be a birdie fest event similar to the fall swing.

All 3 course are roughly 7200 yard par 72s with Bermuda greens. There are shorter par 4s and reachable par 5s throughout all 3 courses. The Pete Dye designed Stadium course (played twice) represents the most challenging with several water hazards and some architect comparisons to be made. Several golfers are Pete Dye specialists (Si Woo Kim). At The American Express we’re looking for great ball strikers (OTT + APP) that can sink enough putts to rack up a ton of birdies on easier courses. Be sure to check out the Tuesday Livestream which can be found here.

Key Metrics (in order)

SG: APP (approach)

SG: OTT (off the tee)

Birdies or Better

SG: P (putting on Bermuda)

DK scoring

You can add par 5 scoring and par 4 scoring if you like, but I think most of the golfers will be on the greens putting after making their approach shots (which we already have covered in the above metrics).

Initial Picks

Jon Rahm ($11300) and Patrick Cantlay ($10900) –  If you’re paying up, you need to start here. There are hundreds of arguments each way. I lean Cantlay slightly for price and expected ownership.

Seamus Power ($9500) – It was close between him and Conners here. Power is just much better with distance for the par 5s and a much better Bermuda putter. This provides more birdies and DK scoring opportunities at The American Express. Hoping that price tag scares away some ownership because it’s pretty steep, but he hasn’t given us any reason to NOT be paying it.

Matthew Wolff ($9300) He’s a volatile California kid that has shown he can just show up strong after an extended layoff. He doesn’t have great course history here but is coming off a stellar fall swing.

Jhonattan Vegas ($8100) 3rd in my model. The putter always holds him back but Bermuda is his favorite. If he can just finish even in putting he should be close to the leader board. Mixed results here but a T11 back in ‘18, and I think he’s in much better form more recently.

I’m going to jump down because I can make arguments for everyone but can’t list them all. I want to mention some guys in the 7K range that can make a difference for your lineups.

Adam Hadwin ($7900) – The ball striking has been suspect. He loves the American Express though. T2 (‘19), T3 (‘18), 2nd (‘17). Great comp course history as well. Hoping his ownership is low and he found some old iron form during the break.

Taylor Moore ($7300) and Hayden Buckley ($7200) – We were waiting to see which one of the new Korn Ferry guys were gonna make a statement on the PGA Tour. You should remember these 2 guys as I see big things coming in their future. I may roster both this week at this birdie fest.

Adam Svensson ($7000) – I’ve been rostering the Canadian and he just doesn’t disappoint. Sure there’s some risk, but finished solo 7th at The Sony last week and has a T18 here back in ‘19.

Hudson Swafford ($6700) He struggles a little on Bermuda but made the cut last week knocking the rust off with a 47th. Won this event back in ‘17 and showed up 11th in my model over the last 50 rounds.

Cameron Young ($6700) Another up and coming Korn Ferry guy. He’s great OTT and with the flat stick. Can rack up birdies in a hurry as well when he can get all the aspects of his game going. Won B2B’s on the Korn Ferry Tour last year, and T2 at his 2nd PGA start at Sanderson Farms in the fall swing.

If you’re in a betting market I highly suggest you take some shots this week as it represents one of the best events for a long shot to win. Start with a first round leader dart on Sebastian Munoz (T21 in ‘20), he just always seems to open up on FIRE and can make birdies in a hurry.

WinDaily has 3 other tools coming at you later this week to help with your process of building winning Draftkings lineups. Check out our Tuesday night show with Sia, Joel, and Spencer (or on Apple podcasts or the win daily video hub). We’ll also have Spencer’s picks and then you can check back on Wednesday evening to catch Steven’s ownership article to help you nail down those final low-owned guys that’ll get you that big GPP win.  As always, make sure to stop into the WinDaily Discord room to ask questions from our stellar PGA team or just compare notes with some of the other members of our family. You’ll also find the Secret Weapon in Discord Wednesday night (Current Record: 47-13).  If you haven’t already, follow WinDailySports on YouTube and via Apple podcasts to check out all the content at WinDailySports.com. We’ve been hitting big with our NFL, NBA, and NHL content and you’re going to want to be part of that. Hope you enjoyed this article.

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PGAPremium

Tee 2 Green PGA DFS Picks: American Express

brucegray19722@gmail.com
written by brucegray19722@gmail.com

Hello everybody, and welcome back to ‘Tee 2 Green,’ a new article that I will be producing for Win Daily Sports weekly to give some extra insight into the DFS world of golf. My focus will be to discuss, decipher and dissect some of my preferred targets throughout the various price ranges, and I will always provide my opinion with a data-intensive outlook that you can see first-hand if you use the weekly model that I provide free of charge. You can find that here.

PGA West Stadium Course

7,200 Yards – Par 72 – Greens: Overseeded Poa

I want to make sure I don’t overcomplicate this process because that might do more harm than good. There will be a ton of strange quirks that we aren’t used to seeing during most stops, which can add some hesitation on the correct way to handle everything in front of us. For me, I am going to try and make as many connections between the three setups this week as I can because that is the only way in my mind to play a tournament that has a 54-hole cut and rotational nature.

The first thing that stuck out to me was that it appears as if the Bermuda grass is dormant at all tracks. If that is the case, it means we will get a Poa overseeded texture. I didn’t use that in my calculations because all the venues are easy, but let’s instead talk about what numbers I did find pertinent to my research process. All three courses are under 7,200 yards. That places them inside the 15 shortest on tour. We also see all three rank inside the bottom-15 in difficulty — that is just another way of saying they are straightforward. There is only so much we can do from a statistical perspective to get unique, but here is how I ended up weighing my model.

  • Total Driving (25%) – We have seen accuracy guys like Ancer find success here in the past, which is why it is being added to the equation, but I still believe distance over accuracy is the way to go because it does take away so many of the potential problems. That ended up being a 65/35 split to get total driving. 
  • GIR Percentage Out Of Fairway Bunkers(10%) – If golfers do miss the fairways, it likely will leave them in these extensive fairway bunkers.
  • Par-Five Birdie or Better (20%) -Golfers will get 16 chances to score on those holes across the three stops, and it has been the most indicative category to finding success of anything we get this week. 
  • Easy Scoring Courses Under 7,200 Yards (17.5%) – Birdie makers that can find success at the venue. It is as simple as that.
  • Weighted Par-Three (10%) – I condensed it to par-three average and bogey avoidance. You could get deeper with it and include proximity ranges, but I bypassed both. Maybe that is the incorrect mindset, but when you get courses as easy as these three, some of that almost burdens a model when you say a poor putter or bad proximity player can’t find a recipe for success. Those two stats aren’t exactly the most predictive in many ways.
  • Strokes Gained Total On Easy Courses Under 7,200 (25%) – Categories like this combine all three tracks and give us an easily identified blueprint.
  • Strokes Gained Total On Pete Dye (10%) – That only applies to the Stadium Course, but once again, that is where 50% of the rounds will take place.

DraftKings Players ($10,000+)

Jon Rahm ($11,300) – Joel said it best on our Win Daily Show on Tuesday night, “You could make Jon Rahm $12,500, and it would be acceptable.” Let’s see where the ownership goes, but there is no reason he should be this close in price to the likes of Scottie Scheffler or as close in popularity as he is to Patrick Cantlay. Rahm is the best player in every field but is especially strong in a tournament that drops off like the American Express.

Tony Finau ($10.200) – Is the price tag a little high? Sure. But it has created quite the leverage spot for Tony Finau, who might end up being the lowest owned player above $9,000 this week. Finau has posted two top-14s in his stops to the event since 2020.

Other Consideration – Scottie Scheffler does grade third in my model. I have some concerns, but this is the kind of course we would anticipate him finding success.

$9,000 Range

Talor Gooch ($9,700) – The price and ownership might be problematic to some, but I wouldn’t let it affect my decision-making. Gooch is priced where he should be for the week, and I think we need to start accepting that this could be who he is as a player moving forward.

Other Targets: Matthew Wolff, Will Zalatoris (GPPs) – Sungjae Im is in play for all game types

$8,000 Range

Justin Rose ($8,600) – Justin Rose ranks inside the top-10 on easy courses and also has been a Pete Dye specialist throughout his career. I have an outright ticket on him at 55/1.

Si Woo Kim ($8,300) – Pete Dye specialist? Check. Good on short courses? Check. I haven’t given up hope that Si Woo Kim turns everything around very shortly.

Carlos Ortiz ($8,200) – @StixPicks has ‘Hammer Kid’ locked Carlos Ortiz to come top-40. I have never seen him lose on a selection like that, which is good enough for me to roll with Ortiz in all game types this week.

Other Thoughts: Rickie Fowler ($8,500), Alex Noren ($8,400), Jhonattan Vegas ($8,100) are all in play for GPPs.

$7,000 Range

Jason Day ($7,300) – Perhaps my favorite play above $7,000 on DraftKings this week is Jason Day. The problem with me saying this is that I have cried wolf for three straight years that every tournament was the Day show, even when he wasn’t in the field. Hence, why it might lose some of its luster after a while, but this is legitimately one of the first times that it isn’t just an act on my part. It kind of goes with what I have been saying about the model mimicking DraftKings pricing to a T, and then you get this massive deviation here with Day, who ranks 9th for me on my model. The Aussie is the number one golfer on short courses since 2018 – a time frame that does include the bad version of himself. I am legitimately encouraged by his potential this time around.

Additional Thoughts: K.H. Lee ($7,400), Gary Woodland ($7,700), Taylor Moore ($7,300)

$6,000 Range

J.T. Poston ($6,400) – Three top-37s to go along with two missed cuts since 2017. Part of the reason for his success is the par-five scoring. He ranks inside the top-30 in this field

Additional Dart Throws To Consider: Davis RIley $6,800, Dylan Frittelli $6,800

If you haven’t already, follow Win Daily Sports on YouTube and via Apple Podcasts and check out all the content at windailysports.com. We’re already hitting big with our NFL content and you are going to want to be a part of that. It’s also important to be in Discord Wednesday night for all lineup adjustments, late-breaking news and weather reports.

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