To quote the great Michael Rasile, “It’s a great day to be alive.” NFL DFS GPP season is here and it’s time to rock and roll. For those who haven’t read it yet, please check out the Week 1 Cash Game Checkdown for your bankroll sustaining, cash game build advice.
In addition, I would strongly advise giving my NFL DFS Strategy article I published this offseason before diving into the 2020 NFL DFS season. If you have any questions or would like some further help when building your lineups, please do not hesitate to reach out to me directly on Twitter.
For those looking to get different and make a splash in some GPPs, the time is now. We’ll usually be taking some heavy stances on lower-ownership players, but at times, there is certainly good “chalk” to eat. Let’s get into it.
Please note, everyone on our cheatsheet and the Cash Game Checkdown are also in play for GPPs. This is more to uncover some players people are not talking about… and they should be.
General GPP Note:
Everyone and their brother is going to be using DeSean Jackson/Marvin Jones/Boston Scott/Davante Adams. I will rarely have a lineup with more than one of those players this week. Do not stack up that chalk and expect to be different unless you mix in some incredibly low-owned upside elsewhere.
Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @stixpicks and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Model powered by AETY and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate as sports FINALLY return.
The Insight Sheet gets you ready before lock at the Travelers Championship. Inside is my personal player selection. Make sure to be on Discord tonight to get final questions asked and for help with lineup building. As always, the sheet uses DraftKings pricing but the model is set up for overall play. Players can be used on all sites.
These players are good. Like most weeks, there’s really no need to explain why the top players are here. This week is no different, here is who I am playing.
Bryson DeChambeau $11,100 (Model Rank #1, Projected Ownership 22%)
Rory McIlroy $11,200 (M6, 13%)
I have no problem with Justin Thomas as he’s my #1 ranked player this week. For me its a player pool construction exclusion only and JT will be the player I fear the most come Thursday.
Patrick Cantlay $9,800 (M8, 15%) – Cantlay is making his debut since the break at the Travelers Championship. I’m assuming he would be priced in the 10K range if he had played prior. He has great tournament history with back to back T15. His absence is a bit worrisome but being an elite player, I hope he can shake the rust off quickly.
Collin Morikawa $9,100 (MT9, 19%) – Morikawa flamed out in the last round at the RBC Heritage but that doesn’t seem to bother anyone. His ownership is at his cap and perhaps should be pushed to cash game consideration. I guy I ALWAYS roster, this week won’t be any different.
Xander Schauffele $9,600 (M14, 13%) – If you followed me in the discord last week or on twitter, Schauffele cost me a $555 ticket. No hard feelings though and he’s back on the team. Top 10 odds to win and is at sub 15% ownership, is more then ideal.
Patrick Reed $8,700 (M4, 12%) – Reed burned a lot of people last week by missing the cut, including myself. Tie that with the fact a lot of chalk is in the upper 8K range, it’s no surprise of his low ownership. Reed is top ten in recent form, tournament history and hole performance. I feel there is a big bounce back for Reed and possibly a win.
Gary Woodland $8,300 (M9T, 15%) – Woodland hasn’t done anything spectacular at the Travelers Championship but has made three straight cuts. Woodland almost made my cash game consideration. Combine the course history and recent form with his top 10 ball striking skills and its easy to see why he’s 15% owned.
Billy Horschel $7,300 (M28, 4%) – Horschel is coming in with top 25 stats in recent form (despite the MC last week), comp courses and ball striking. Horschel has the 21st best odds in Vegas despite being priced as the 35th golfer on DraftKings for the Travelers Championship.
Kevin Kisner $7,700 (M30, 4%) – Kisner came in around 18% owned last week and missed the cut on the number. This week people seem to be still resenting him with the sub 5% ownership. With a great short game, if Kisner can do some damage with his ball striking, watch out.
Scottie Scheffler $7,600 (M38, 14%) – Scheffler withdrew last week but before hand made three straight cuts with two top 30 finishes. Vegas loves him and that alone is why im breaking my Ownership/Pricing rules (Can be seen in the PGA Research Tab in Discord). As one of the top DK scorers in the field, I’ll take my chances.
Jason Day $7,500 (M37, 6%) – Getting a player like Day at such low ownership, always tickles my fancy. His current form is well…garbage. His tournament history though is with two back to back T15. Probably a better bet then DK play but you won’t need much to be overweight on the field.
Vaughn Taylor $6,500 (M15, 3%) – Four made cuts with a top 5 in 2019. Taylor started off strong last week, but couldn’t finish the same way over the weekend. A grinder with upside I would be surprised if Taylor doesn’t finish in the top 20 this week at the Travelers Championship.
Ryan Moore $6,900 (M21, 5%) – Moore does not have the greatest recent form like Day. Again though, when it comes to the tournament Moore has performed well. With 2 cuts out of three visits, those two weekends ended with top top 20s. At the price he helps getting the more expensive players in your lineup and comes with upside.
I wanted to show plays you could build a lineup around for 50/50, double ups, etc in partnership with the plays above. These are plays that I like but are too high owned for my preference in big GPPs. While these plays may get mixed in, they are designated for cash games more. These ownership numbers are reflective of bigger tournaments and will most certainly be higher in Cash / SE games.
Last week they went 6/6 making the cut. Lets see if we can do it again for the Travelers Championship.
Abraham Ancer $9.000 (M20, 21%)
Paul Casey $8,900 (M3, 18%)
Sungjae Im $8,600 (M22, 21%)
Sergio Garcia $8,500 (M32, 14%)
Tony Finau $8,200 (M35, 16%)
Marc Leishman $8,000 (M26, 16%)
Victor Hovland $7,800 (M16, 22%)
Thank you for reading the Insight Sheet for the Travelers Championship. You can find my other work here on my Author Page. Follow Win Daily Sports (@WinDailySports) and myself (@DFSPatrickScott) on Twitter for up to date news. You can also come hang out in the Win Daily Sports Discord Chat to talk it out with everyone before lock!
The Insight Sheet gets you ready before lock at the RBC Heritage. Inside is my personal player selection. Make sure to be on Discord tonight to get final questions asked and for help with lineup building. As always, the sheet uses DraftKings pricing but the model is set up for overall play. Players can be used on all sites.
These players are good. Like most weeks, there’s really no need to explain why the top players are here. This week is no different, here is who I am playing.
Rory McIlroy $11,300 (Model Rank #1, Projected Ownership 16%)
Jon Rahm $10,500 (M3, 14%)
Xander Schauffele $10,200 (M4, 12%)
I didn’t like DeChambeau like most of the top guys last week as I thought he was a poor fit, I was wrong. Despite that though, I’m doubling down and avoiding him this week as well at the RBC Heritage. Thomas is an elite player with an amazing iron game, which this course demands. He ranks outside of the other big names, though barley, and he’s off my list simply due to lineup construction. Morikawa is my boy and I’ll have a few shares in my 150 lineup tournament, but that missed 3ft putt might weigh on him and force him to press.
Sungjae Im $9,700 (M5, 22%) – I was on Im last week and he payed off well finishing 15th in points. The price hike is not scaring anyone away though as he is one of the highest owned golfers this week. He’s certainly the highest projected ownership on my team though. Im comes in top 15 in pretty much everything: Ball Striking, Scoring, Performance, Around the Green and Odds. All of this can be found here.
Hideki Matsuyama $9,500 (M6, 12%) – Matsuyama didn’t play last week and if you look through my pool, he’s the only one. With that said, his game sets up perfectly for Harbour Town GL. The only reason he made it was the last time we saw him, Matsuyama was on FIRE at THE PLAYERS (another Pete Dye course). His sub 15% ownership certainly helps as well.
Patrick Reed $8,800 (M10, 16%) – The public’s persona of Reed must be finally wearing off as his ownership keeps climbing. Reed can light up a DK scoreboard, which was on display last week. He finished in the top 10 and second to only Berger, despite 20 less finishing points. Reed might be entering core territory for this week.
Abraham Ancer $8,000 (M22, 10%) – I’ve always been hesitant to play Ancer in the past but starting with his play at the President’s Cup, he’s been making waves. He followed it up with three top 25 finishes in the American Express, WGC Mexico and last week’s Charles Schwab Challenge. Ancer is the perfect pivot from Hatton (who I do like) with roughly half the ownership and he actually played last week.
Matthew Fitzpatrick $7,900 (M14, 9%) – Fitzpatrick was just heating up before the break with a 9th place finish at the Arnold Palmer. Before that he didn’t have the best finishes, though he made the cut and was trending in the right direction. If he can capture his 2019 finish where he went 4/5 top 20, at sub 10% ownership, Fitzpatrick could be a sneaky good play.
Shane Lowry $7,800 (M23, 6%) – Lowry burned us last week but prior had two top 30 in 2020. His approach game could be better but he has a good short game to compensate. His game once again should translate well here at the RBC Heritage but I said that last week. Won’t need many shares to be overweight.
Billy Horschel $7,700 (M20, 10%) – Horschel is just a solid golfer all around. His 2020 didn’t start the best (MC and 68th finish) but since went 9, 9, 42, 36 and 38th last week. He has the 16th best odds despite being the 26th priced player on DraftKings. Horschel has been averaging 3.6 strokes T2G his last five tournaments and is a better putter on Bermuda.
Ian Poulter $7,600 (M24, 8%) – Poulter was almost a cash play, thinking his ownership would be higher (more on that later). At sub 10%, I don’t know what more you want from a golfer in this price range. Third in strokes gained total for the tournament with three top 15 finishes the last three years. Eight made cuts dating back to last year. His best putting surface…Bermuda! He’s not the biggest DK scorer but at $7,600 you won’t need much to cover.
Adam Hadwin $7,300 (M13, 7%) – Hadwin has made the cut at Harbour Town GL the last three times out with two top 30. Hadwin doesn’t do anything special but is a grinder. I won’t have a lot of Hadwin but down here in this price range, you could do worse.
Harris English $7,300 (M17, 6%) – Talk about recency bias, Harris was 18% owned last week, sub 10% now?? Yes please! Before the MC last week he was coming in with three top 20, including a 9th place finish at the Arnold Palmer. Not only was he on a tear before the break but he also has a 25th place finish at last year’s RBC Heritage. Core piece, I think so.
Bud Cauley $7,200 (M19, 8%) – With five straight made cuts coming into Harbour Town GL, Cauley looks like a very safe bet. Perhaps he doesn’t have the upside to win, but he can land a top 10 if his putter gets hot. Cauley has the 14th best strokes gained total for the tournament and has solid recent form with a 29th showing last week.
**New this week, I wanted to show plays you could build a lineup around for 50/50, double ups, etc in partnership with the plays above. These are plays that I like but are too high owned for my preference in big GPPs. While these plays may get mixed in, they are designated for cash games more.**
Justin Rose $9,200 (M43, 15%)
Webb Simpson $9,000 (M18, 25%)
Gary Woodland $8,400 (M11, 19%)
Matt Kuchar $8,300 (M27, 15%)
Tony Finau $8,200 (M26, 15%)
Joel Dahmen $7,500 (M15, 11%)
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