Weather’s beautiful here in Montreal today and we’re getting ready for another NBA slate with the Win Daily team as Russell Westbrook is set to chase his 183rd career triple-double, just a few days after breaking Oscar Robertson’s all-time record. It’s Wet Wednesday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.
One thing I want to clarify based on the questions I have received is that I will never list a player under the $5,000 FD price tag simply because I use the projection model to identify all targets in these price ranges and below. While there are often plenty of options that I like in this range, you all have access to the very model I use to make my own selections, so when asking “Should I use player X or player Y?”, make sure to check the model because that is how I make all of my own decisions and I truly ride or die by it on a daily basis.
Before running to the DraftKings, FanDuel, or Yahoo lobby to construct your NBA DFS lineup after reading this article, please make sure to utilize the abundance of tools we have at Win Daily:
Point Guards
Russell Westbrook ($12,600 FD / $12,400 DK)
Unless you’ve been living under a rock, you know that Russell Westbrook just set the NBA record for most career triple-doubles with 182. Tonight, he takes on the same Atlanta team that he just dropped 28/13/21 on just a few days ago, all while averaging 67.59 DK PPG in the last month. Price increase or not, I don’t care – he’s a lock for me.
Trae Young ($8,500 FD / $9,100 DK)
Let me crystal clear with this statement: The Hawks need this win; there are three teams tied for the 4 seed in the East with each having three games remaining: Atlanta, Miami, and New York, with the Hawks holding the tiebreaker between all three teams. However, one slip up here and Atlanta finds themselves playing Milwaukee in the first round and punching a ticket to an early exit in this year’s NBA playoffs. Enter Trae Young, who is coming off back-to-back 30-point performances and gets the same Washington team that he just dropped 36/6/9 on just a few days ago.
Also Consider:
- Damian Lillard ($9,600 FD / $9,600 DK)
- Kemba Walker ($8,000 FD / $7,600 DK)
- Dejounte Murray ($7,200 FD / $7,100 DK)
Shooting Guards
CJ McCollum ($7,700 FD / $7,900 DK)
Another team that desperately needs a win tonight, Portland faces off against the best team in the NBA, the Utah Jazz. Portland currently sits in the 5 seed in the West, tied with Dallas, but are one game away from falling to the dreaded 7 seed and a play-in tournament. With no Conley or Mitchell on the Utah side, they have been getting decimated by guards in their most recent stretch, and now face one of the most potent backcourts in the entire league. McCollum comes into this one sporting a 27.3% usage rate in his past two games, while posting a 27.5/4/4.5 scoring line and 44.25 DK PPG.
Collin Sexton ($7,600 FD / $8,400 DK)
This play hinges on the fact that Cleveland rosters a G-League team again tonight, but even if they don’t, Sexton is still firmly in play with Darius Garland ruled out. With Cedi Osman, Kevin Love, Larry Nance Jr, and others all out last game, Sexton dropped 25/5/8 while taking a ridiculous 26 shots and logging 37 minutes. Even with a 7-for-26 shooting performance, he put up 44 DK points, solidifying his floor with one of the highest volumes on this NBA slate.
Also Consider:
- Tim Hardaway Jr. ($6,000 FD / $6,000 DK)
- Eric Bledsoe ($5,900 FD / $5,600 DK)
- Khyri Thomas ($4,500 FD / $5,600 DK)
Small Forwards
Kevin Durant ($10,700 FD / $9,800 DK)
I’ll keep this one short and sweet – Harden is likely back, but on a minutes limit. I personally do not think Kyrie plays after leaving yesterday’s game and not returning. You know what to do.
Bogdan Bogdanovic ($7,300 FD / $7,300 DK)
I played him last time out in this matchup, and he delivered a cool 45 DK at 2% ownership. Whether he is going to be higher owned or not on tonight’s NBA slate is unknown at the time of writing, but I’m likely going right back to the well with Bog in a rematch versus the Wizards. Against smaller lineups, Bog has been logging heavy minutes for the Hawks as a secondary scorer and now has 25 or more points in three of his last four, where’s had a 22.4% usage rate and 23.5 PPG across 32.7 MPG.
Also Consider:
- Evan Fournier ($7,200 FD / $5,500 DK)
- Bojan Bogdanovic ($6,400 FD / $6,900 DK)
- Rui Hachimura ($5,800 FD / $5,300 DK)
Power Forwards
Anthony Davis ($10,800 FD / $10,400 DK)
Blowout is a potential here, but the Rockets have been covering the spread with ease and the Lakers are simply not good enough to not have AD out there for 30+ minutes tonight. Even if he doesn’t hit 36 or more, he’s in a good enough spot on this NBA slate to do damage against a G-League Rockets roster and an individual matchup against Kelly Olynyk and KJ Martin Jr. AD’s groin was apparently in bad shape last night, so I’m likely staying away tonight, but it’s hard to ignore his 32.7/10/4.7/1.3/1.3 scoring line across 41.1 MPG in his last three.
Jayson Tatum ($9,500 FD / $9,400 DK)
I talked about the sheer volume that Tatum will be shouldering for the Celtics on the last NBA slate now that Jaylen Brown is done for the season and he came through with 33/8/6 in a tough matchup versus Miami. Tonight, Tatum sees a rebuilding Cavaliers squad and will be up against the likes of Dotson and Wade, making this a potential ceiling game for the former Blue Devil.
Also Consider:
- KJ Martin Jr. ($7,300 FD / $6,600 DK)
- John Collins ($6,800 FD / $6,700 DK)
- James Johnson ($4,700 FD / $5,000 DK)
Centers
- Rudy Gobert ($7,600 FD / $8,400 DK)
- Clint Capela ($7,600 FD / $8,600 DK)
- Robin Lopez ($4,100 FD / $3,100 DK)
Value Gems: Check the projection model.
I will continue to stress the importance of having both the projection model and cheat sheet open when building lineups for a further player pool and to ease a decision between two players, in addition to finding additional value plays.
You can find me on Twitter @DFS_Ghost