Tag:

Ghost

MLB

KBO DFS: Ghost’s Breakdown 06/12/2020

DFSGhost 5 years ago

written by DFSGhost

KBO Matchups

KIA @ SK
KT @ SAM
LOT @ LG
DOO @ HAN
KIW @ NCD

Kings ofthe Hill

Chang MoKoo (L), NCD – $9,600 DK / $30 FD

While the best pitcher in the 2020 KBO season draws a tough matchup versus Kiwoon, he’s an elite target, nonetheless. Chang Mo Koo comes into his 7th start with a 5-0 record, 0.66 ERA, 2.11 FIP, 0.71 WHIP, and a league-leading 29.7% strikeout rate. Koo seems to be on a dominant run that will eventually see him come down to Earth, but for now, I’ll keep riding the hot streak. I’m hoping his matchup draws his ownership a tad lower than it should be given the next target’s matchup, but Koo is by far my top target. Last time he played KIW, he threw 109 pitches in 7 innings, giving up 1 earned run on 3 hits while striking out 7 for 27.6 DK points.

Drew Gagnon(R), KIA – $7,400 DK / $27 FD

His body of work thus far in the KBO continues to be disrespected by DraftKings’ pricing grid and we’ll continue to take advantage of that here today. Drew Gagnon is 2-3 on the season with a 3.48 ERA, 2.49 FIP, 1.07 WHIP, and a 29.1% strikeout rate that is good for 2nd in the KBO behind Chang Mo Koo. He has a great matchup versus SK tonight and should have no issue getting us 12+ points for his price tag, but with a ceiling of 35 DK points if he tops 8-10 strikeouts, Gagnon is my go-to guy for the SP2 position on DK and allows for some salary relief after slotting in Koo.

GPP Options:Tyler Wilson (R), LG

TheBatter’s Box

DoosanBears

Arguably themost potent offense in the KBO with the best matchup on the slate? Yes, please.Doosan comes in to face a miserable Hanwha team who are giving Chad Bell the challengeof attempting to tame the Bears offense. After missing the beginning of theseason with an elbow injury, Bell is now 0-1 in 3 starts with an ERA of 9.00,8.59 FIP, 2.09 WHIP, and 2.45 HR/9. Yikes. Doosan chalk night is back, folks.Don’t miss out.

Topoptions: Jose Fernandez (1B/2B), Jae Il Oh (1B), Jae Hwan Kim (OF/1B), Kun WooPark (OF), Jae Ho Kim (SS)

GPP Pivot:Joo Hwan Choi (1B/2B)

KT Wiz

As of now, it looks like the Samsung Lions will be throwing out 19-year-old rookie Seung Min Lee on the mound to face the KT Wiz, but nothing is confirmed just yet. Should it stay this way, I like taking my chances on the Wiz offense versus a Futures League starter who had little to no data to be found other than pitching 13 innings in the Futures League and giving up 2 runs. Can he come in and blow the slate wide open? Sure, I guess it’s possible, but I think it’s unlikely. Baek Ho Kang is back for the KT Wiz and has kind of been an afterthought having missed a significant period of time with a wrist injury, but let’s remind you just how good he is: he’s batting .333 with 6 homeruns and 15 RBIs, has an OPS of 1.135, and leads the KBO in ISO (.394) out of all qualified batters. Slotting back into his spot in the order batting 3rd, the Wiz will be one of my top targets moving forward, should they stay healthy. With typical leadoff hitter Woo Jun Sim moving to 9th in the order, a wrap-around stack is something that is very intriguing on DK.

TopOptions: Baek Ho Kang (1B/OF), Mel Rojas Jr. (OF), Jeong Dae Bae (OF), Yong HoJo (OF), Woo Jun Sim (SS)

You can find me in the Win Daily Discord Chat and on Twitter @DFS_Ghost! Go get more FREE content over at WinDailySports.com!

5 years ago 0 comments

LoL DFS: Ghost’s NA Academy Breakdown 06/11

Christopher Day 5 years ago

written by Christopher Day

LoL Slate Overview NA Academy Breakdown 06/11

LoL Game 1: Cloud9 (-300) vs 100 Thieves Academy (+210)

Cloud9 is the clear-cut favorite here, and rightfullyso. They finished first in the LoL NA Academy last split with a 14-4 record andcruised their way to the championship by dominating teams in all facets of thegame and make for great LoL DFS options with their 17 kills per game. In theirmost recent match in Week 8 of the LoL NA Academy Spring split, C9 took down100 Thieves in just 29 minutes by a kill count of 26-10. They’ll be chalky, sofeel free to get different in large field tournaments, but they’re arguably thebest target on the slate.

Pick: C9 (-300)

Starters: Fudge, Inori, PALAFOX, TOMO, Diamond

LoL Game 2: FlyQuest Academy (-115 PK) vs ImmortalsAcademy (-115 PK)

In a game where Vegsa has the line as a pick ‘em,FlyQuest is the target for me. With both opponents missing the LoL NA AcademySpring split playoffs last season with identical 7-11 records, I’ll takeFlyQuest who went 2-0 versus Immortals Academy just a few months ago. In theirmost recent match, coming in Week 8 of the spring split, FlyQuest was all overImmortals, beating them in 30 minutes and winning the kill count 18-3. Theirother win came in Week 1 where it was much less entertaining; FlyQuest lead 9-5in kills but won in 30 minnutes, nonetheless. With everyone basing their LoLDFS lineups on Vegas odds should they not be researching as much, FlyQuestmakes for an intriguing low owned stack.

Pick: FlyQuest Academy (-115 PK)

Starters: Revenge, Fanatiik, Triple, MASH, Big

LoL Game 3: Team SoloMid Academy (-180) vs Team LiquidAcademy (+130)

The third game has one of my preferred pivots off achalky Cloud 9, Team SoloMid. TSM finished the spring split with a 10-8 record,but after a quarterfinal win versus 100 Thieves, they saw Cloud9 in thesemi-finals and didn’t stand a chance. TSM beat TL in both matches last split tocome out with a perfect 2-0 record versus their opponent today; the first gamewas more objective based, with the kill count being 15-8 in favor of TSM butthe game was 43 minutes long. The second matchup was much more appealing interms of LoL DFS output with TSM winning the kill count 21-6 and taking care ofbusiness in only 30 minutes; TSM makes for a great stack today.

Pick: Team SoloMid Academy (-180)

Starters: Dhokla, Winston, EVOLVED, LOST, Treatz

LoL Game 4: Counter Logic Gaming Academy (+195) vsEvil Geniuses Academy (-280)

The fourth game of the LoL NA Academy slate presentsanother heavy favorite in EG who takes on the basement dwellers in CounterLogic. CLG finished dead last in the spring split with an abysmal 4-14 recordand looked lost out there, while EG finished third with an 11-7 record and afinals berth versus Cloud9. Lock EG in this game and don’t think twice.

Pick: Evil Geniuses Academy (-280)

Starters: **TOP is not listed (DNP)**, AnDa, Giyuu,Deftly, Matt

LoL Game 5: Golden Guardians Academy (+145) vs TeamDignitas Academy (-200)

Having finished 2nd in the LoL NA Academy Spring split standings, Team Dignitas looks to be another good target for us on this slate, along with Cloud9 and EG. Both games were low scoring affairs, with each respective club taking a game apiece. In DIG’s win, they only had 11 kills in a 43-minute win – talk about a snooze fest. While they do make for a good target against GG, they get a slight bump down my list because of the low LoL DFS output. If targeting anyone here, Akaadian is the man, who looked good in their pro club last split.

Pick: Team Dignitas Academy (-200)

Starters: Lourlo, Akaadian, Fenix, Asta, **SUP notlisted (DNP)**

I hope you enjoyed this NA Academy Breakdown 06/11! You can find me in the Win Daily Sports Discord chat and on twitter @DFS_Ghost! Also make sure to check out more esports content over at Win Daily Sports!

5 years ago 0 comments

League of Legends Premium

CS:GO DFS: Ghost’s Breakdown 06/11/2020

DFSGhost 5 years ago

written by DFSGhost

CS:GO Slate Summary: DreamHack EU (8am EST)

3 games on DK and FD
Best of 3 series
Pricing is referred to DraftKings

CS:GO Slate Overview

CS:GO Game #1: MAD Lions (+137) vs Natus Vincere(-188)

MAD Lions have been playing some stellar CS:GO as of late and come in to face the #1 ranked team in the world, NAVI. The latter’s roster begins and ends with their dynamic duo of s1mple and electronic, with no disrespect to the other teammates; this team is only as good as how these two players play on a given day, as seen in their last loss to G2 earlier at DH where they got dominated because of s1mple’s struggles despite electronic’s heroic performance. Ultimately, I want exposure to both sides, as one can make an argument for s1mple being one of, if not the best player in the world, but with how well MAD has been playing, it wouldn’t surprise me to see them take this one 2-1. NAVI bans Vertigo at a 92% clip while MAD bans Inferno at a 56% rate, however they can also choose to ban NAVI’s map of preference, Dust2, so it is unlikely we see two of those three maps being played. MAD’s map statistics actually favor them in this one, as does their recent form compared to that of NAVI, but there’s no denying s1mple’s talent and his ability to take over a series.

Top Plays: s1mple ($10,200), electronic ($8,000)

Top Plays: Bubzkji ($7,800) with sjuush ($6,600) oracoR ($6,800)

CS:GO Game #2: Ninjas in Pyjamas (-120 PK) vs FaZe(-120 PK)

Had this game been played a month ago, we wouldn’t blink and just lock in FaZe. However, here we are, with NIP looking like the team they were 2 months ago and FaZe coming off a brutal loss to BIG. Ultimately, I think this one comes down to the ban phase, and I’m siding with NIP. Here’s why: NIP bans Dust2 at a 97% rate and hate playing there, while FaZe will likely ban Vertigo, where they’ve only played once and have a 74% first ban rate. FaZe will likely choose Mirage, where they have NIP’s number, but they’ll counter by picking Overpass, where FaZe has had limited success. This leaves Inferno, Nuke, and Train to be leftover, where NIP needs to ban Nuke from FaZe. If they do, they’ll take it 2-1, if everything goes as planned. If they somehow mess this up during the ban phase, FaZe will take it 2-1. Mentioned below is “Twist or REZ” which shocks me as I write it: REZ is the far superior player talent-wise but Twist has been playing much better over the past month. In the past 30 days, Twist has a better KD than REZ on Mirage (1.07 vs 0.80) and on Overpass (1.18 vs 0.98) so, surprisingly, I lean Twist over REZ. Both broky and rain struggle on Mirage, and with NiKo being the only player with a K/D over 1.00 on Overpass, I’ll lean with NiKo and coldzera for my 2-man FaZe stack, should you want exposure to that side of the series.

Top Plays: nawwk ($7,400), Plopski ($7,200), Twist($6,600) or REZ ($6,800)

Top Plays: NiKo ($9,400), coldzera ($7,000)

CS:GO Game #3: 100 Thieves (+120) vs FURIA (-170)

With all due respect to 100 Thieves, I don’t see them winning this series at all. Okay, maybe not “not at all”, but FURIA comes into the matchup as the better team overall, both in talent and form, and have the map advantages. FURIA will ban Dust2, which they do at a 97% rate, and 100 Thieves will likely counter by banning Overpass, which they do at a 91% rate. This leaves both teams getting their map of choice, Mirage and Vertigo, respectively. The issue for 100 Thieves is that they’ll get smoked on Mirage, whereas FURIA is no slouch on OHT’s map choice, Overpass, posting a 60% winning percentage. Of the three maps remaining, Train, Nuke, and Inferno, it is unlikely FURIA takes a chance on Train given the chance that they lose there, whereas the dominance they see over 100 Thieves on both Nuke and Inferno will be too hard to pass up, but again, anything can happen in the ban phase. I’ll take FURIA 2-1, but if there’s a chance for a 100 Thieves upset, the top plays there are also listed. Surprinsingly, KSCERATO is the worst performer on Mirage, with arT, yuurih, and HEN1 absolutely dominating that map with K/D ratios of 1.57, 1.74, and 1.61, respectively, compared to KSCERATO’s 1.14. On Overpass, all 4 players are relatively even, and I’ll ultimately side with the Big 3 because of arT’s struggles on Nuke, but should it not be the map leftover and the third map of the series, he could make an interesting salary saver. The 100 Thieves stack is ranked based on their statistics on how I think the maps will play out.

Top Plays: yuurih ($7,600), HEN1 ($8,200), KSCERATO($8,400), arT ($6,200)

Top Plays: jks ($7,200), Gratisfaction ($7,000), jkaem($6,400)

You can find me in the WinDaily Discord chat and on twitter @DFS_Ghost!

5 years ago 0 comments

League of Legends Premium

LoL DFS: Ghost’s Breakdown 06/11/2020

DFSGhost 5 years ago

written by DFSGhost

The strategy going into today’s League of Legends (LoL) slate is slightly different than any other two-gamer; typically, we recommend hedging both games to get every combination possible and ensure your chances at a takedown in the process, if MMEing, but we have ourselves a lock in the first game where there is no hedge necessary. If playing 3-max tournaments or even single entries, recommended picks and strategies are listed below. Let’s dive in!

LoL Game 1: Dominus eSports (+333) vs eStar (-500)

The first game on tonight’s LoL LPL slate sees DMO taking on eStar where the latter is a heavy favorite, and rightfully so. Last season, DMO finished the spring split on a strong note and pulled off some nice upsets and took some playoff teams to 3 games in multiple series. However, the summer split is a different narrative, and they look awful. With the losses of Gala, xiye, and Mark, DMO has been reeling to begin the summer split and should be in tough versus eStar. Yes, ES lost their best player in Cryin who has returned to RNG, but they should dominate with ease. ES comes into the series with a projected 16.5 kills per game, however, it could escalate to a much greater degree; DMO got wiped by V5 in their opening series of the summer split and fed kills left, right, and center. V5 finished the series with 41 kills in two games, and does not boast the individual talent that eStar does in Wink, Xiaobai, SciauC, and Wei. Although we typically suggest to hedge both games on a LoL two-game slate to ensure that you have nearly every combination possible, there’s no hedge necessary here. Lock in ES; targets are listed in order of preference.

Pick: eStar (-500)

Targets: Wink (ADC), Wei (JNG), SciauC (SUP), Xiaobai(TOP), Team ES, Fenfen (MID)

LoL Game 2: Team WE (+162) vs Invictus Gaming (-225)

So, what happens after ES dominates DMO? We have a wide-open slate, that’s what. The second game will dictate GPP winning lineups, and rightfully so. IG will be exposed at the JNG position, where beishang should handle his business as usual versus Ning, who takes over for Leyan after the latter left for VG. However, the issue for WE lies in the mid-lane; Teacherma is limited to a handful of champions that he likes to play, and should IG be smart enough to remove them in the ban phase, Rookie will go to town all series long. However, we’ve seen weirder things happen, as EDG didn’t ban Teacherma’s preferred plays in their first matchup of the LoL LPL summer split, and we all saw how that turned out. Ideally, you want to hedge this game; it will have a high kill count and many team fights with the way both of these teams play; you’ll want to ensure exposure to 4-man stacks from both sides. Ultimately, I think IG takes this one with beishang stuck between a rock and a hard place covering for both Morgan and Teacherma, who I see losing their individual battles versus TheShy and Rookie, respectively. If WE were to win this one, it’s not only because IG didn’t ban Teacherma’s champion pool, but because beishang dives top lane with Morgan to attack TheShy two on one all series long.

Pick: IG (-225)

Top Targets: Rookie (MID), Puff (ADC), TheShy (TOP),Southwind (SUP), Team IG, Ning (JNG)

Hedge: Jiumeng (ADC), beishang (JNG), Teacherma (MID),Morgan (TOP), Missing (SUP), Team WE

You can find me in the WinDaily Discord chat and on twitter @DFS_Ghost!

5 years ago 0 comments

MLB

KBO DFS: Ghost’s Breakdown 06/11/2020

Christopher Day 5 years ago

written by Christopher Day

KBO Matchups

SK @ LG (2am EST)
HAN @ LOT
KIA @ KTW
DOO @ NCD
KIW @ SAM

Kings ofthe Hill

Won TaeChoi (R), KIW – $9,300 DK / $26 FD

We saw Eric Jokisch get no run support yesterday, but he was in most of the KBO GPP winning lineups with an above-average outing, nonetheless. Tonight, Won Tae Choi gets the same matchup versus the Samsung Lions and could be in for a solid night at my top pay up option. On the 2020 season, Choi is 2-2 with a 3.44 ERA, 3.49 FIP, 1.12 WHIP, 17.3% strikeout rate and 4.3% walk rate. He’s coming off back-to-back stellar performances versus LG and KT where he posted just above 20 DK points in each and faces the same Lions team that he dominated earlier in the season, going 7.1 innings on 89 pitches, allowing 2 runs on 4 hits and striking out 6.

Min Ho Lee(R), LG – $7,100 DK / $23 FD

Alright, this is now the third time I am writing up Min Ho Lee in 3 days with his start being taken over by Casey Kelly two days ago only to lose his start again yesterday because of the rainout. His price has crept up to the 7k range on DK after being tagged at $5,100 and $5,800 two days prior, but with the quality of pitching on this KBO slate, Lee is still a good target. Here’s what I wrote about Lee yesterday:

“Lee is byno means in the same caliber of pitching options at the top of the pricingrange, but what he gives us is a cheap alternative for tournaments to prioritizebigger bats listed below. Lee has made two starts this season, combining for a1-1 record, 12.1 innings pitched, 6 hits allowed and 9 strikeouts. His lowestpitch count was 86 with the other being 100, so we know he doesn’t have a shortleash – this is a good start for someone so cheap on DK. Yes, his two startswere against Samsung, so we cannot read too much into it, but Lee looked solidon the mound there and gets another favorable matchup in SK tonight. In hisother two relief appearances, he didn’t give up a run to… the Doosan Bears. I’mconfident Lee will be able to take care of business tonight and give us thatedge in tournaments at low ownership.”

The toppitching options I refer to on yesterday’s slate were Eric Jokisch and AaronBrooks, but the top tier of KBO pitchers on this slate is nowhere close interms of talent. Maybe that is why Lee’s price has gone up, but, regardless, I’llbe playing him after saying I would for two days now.

GPP Options:Min Woo Lee (R), KIA – $8,000 DK / $25 FD

TheBatter’s Box

Kia Tigers

In a gamethat was supposed to be rained out – which it eventually did after 5 innings – yesterday’sKIA call was the biggest advantage in any KBO contest since the accumulatedpoints still counted due to 5 innings being completed. Today, they won’t be asmuch of a secret barring any weather issues, but I’m going back to them,nonetheless. The KT pitcher on the mound is equally as bad, if not worse thanhis teammate yesterday. This season, Min Soo Kim is 0-2 with a 12.19 ERA, 6.99FIP, 2.81 WHIP, and allows 2.61 HR/9. While his walk rate (6.9%) is morerespectable than that of his teammate, he hasn’t gone past 3 innings in asingle game and no more than two innings in all of his other appearances. WithKT’s 10th-ranked bullpen being slightly depleted after pitching 75% of the gameyesterday, KIA will post a big run total here.

Topoptions: Preston Tucker (OF), Ho Ryung Kim (OF), Ji Wan Na (OF), Hyung Woo Choi(OF/1B)

ComplementaryOptions: Min Sang Yoo (1B), Ji Hyuk Ryu (3B/SS)

KiwoonHeroes

Oh, Kiwoon, how you let us down yesterday. They had the most favorable matchup in the KBO but just couldn’t muster any offense. I’d make the same decision 10 times out of 10 to stack them versus Jung Hyun Baek and I’m not going to miss out on the offensive outburst they’ll have tonight versus Dae Woo Kim. Kim is 0-2 thus far this season with a 4.29 ERA, 6.48 FIP, 1.43 WHIP, and 1.29 HR/9. While he’s topped 80 pitches in consecutive starts, he hasn’t made it out of the 5th inning; KIW should see the Samsung bullpen more than they did yesterday and I think they’ll come out swinging after only putting up 1 run 24 hours ago.

TopOptions: Byung Ho Park (1B), Jung Hoo Lee (OF), Dong Won Park (C), Keon ChangSeo (1B/2B), Byung Woo Jeon (2B/3B)

HonorableMention: Lotte Giants

A QuickNote on the Doosan Bears / NC Dinos

Yesterday,the Doosan Bears (somewhat) got to Drew Rucinski just as we wrote up here. Itwas the first time he was facing an elite offense and the research proved to becorrect that they’d eventually get to him, led by Jae Il Oh’s two homeruns.Doosan tagged Rucinski for 2 runs on 3 hits in 6 innings, but exploded versusthe NC bullpen, posting 7 runs in 3 innings. On any given KBO slate, these twoteams are in play for MME lineup construction in large fields and I suggest someexposure on every night given the depth and power of their respective lineups. TheKIA Tigers and Kiwoon Heroes are still my top two stacks, but I’ll have someexposure to both Doosan and NC on every KBO slate.

You can find me in the WinDaily Discord chat and on Twitter @DFS_Ghost!

5 years ago 0 comments

League of Legends Premium

CS:GO DFS: Ghost’s Breakdown 06/10/2020

DFSGhost 5 years ago

written by DFSGhost

CS:GO Slate Summary: DreamHack EU (8am EST)

3 games on DK and FD
Best of 3 series
Pricing is referred to DraftKings

CS:GO Slate Overview

CS:GO Game #1: MAD Lions (-120 PK) vs Fnatic (-120 PK)

The first game of the CS:GO DH slate has plenty of DFS appeal with Fnatic taking on MAD Lions. Led by their underappreciated star player, Bubzjki ($8,400), MAD Lions has been making waves in the past month or two. However, today they get a tough matchup versus Fnatic, who have been playing much better since KRIMZ took his play to another level. MAD Lions will likely ban Inferno, which is Fnatic’s best map, and Fnatic will likely counter by banning Mirage or Vertigo. I’m hoping they keep MAD off of Mirage rather than go with their current trend of banning Vertigo and take their chances should it be available for a round 2 ban in the second ban phase. MAD is in slightly better form and have beat Fnatic in the past month, but KRIMZ is playing out of his mind lately and I think it’ll be a very close series that goes 3 maps should Fnatic first ban Mirage and then Vertigo. Brollan is a priced a little steep for my liking so I’ll be prioritizing other targets listed below with this match going any way, but he makes for an elite target, nonetheless.

Top Plays: KRIMZ ($8,600), JW ($6,600), Brollan($9,400)

Top Plays: Bubzkji ($8,400) with sjuush ($6,800) oracoR ($6,200)

CS:GO Game #2: Team Vitality (-175) vs Ninjas in Pyjamas(+125)

When Plopski ($7,000) plays the way he did versus Astralis, NIP looks like a different squad. However, I ultimately don’t think Vitality’s #10 ranking does them justice; they look like one of the best CS:GO teams in the world right now and should be closer to to #5 than they are. Nobody is stopping ZywOo any time soon, and you can make a case for him to be the best player in the world right now. Vitality is higher ranked, in better form, and are 3-1 versus NIP in the past month. NIP will likely ban Dust2, which they do at a 97% clip, and is also Vitality’s go-to map. Vitality will likely counter by banning Overpass or Train; it is more likely to be the latter since they do so at a 100% rate. Even though I think NIP can steal a map if they get to play on Train, Vitality has them outmatched on the other 4 and will win 2-1 or 2-0. ZywOo’s price is finally above 10k on DraftKings, but he is still the best players on the slate and will be in all my lineups. Vitality will be the core of most of my CS:GO builds, beginning with ZywOo and shox, with a ZywOo one-off being the minimum exposure I’ll have.

Top Plays: ZywOo ($10,200), shox ($6,800), apex ($6,600)

CS:GO Game #3: BIG (+120) vs G2 (-170)

BIG shocked the CS:GO world yesterday with a convincing sweep of FaZe 2-0 in yesterday’s game. However, G2 looked just as good versus NAVI and their two-headed monster in s1mple and electronic. Led by the three musketeers of huNter-, kennyS, and nexa, G2 is a deep, talented roster that could make our GPP lineups get to the top of the leaderboards. G2 bans Overpass at an 84% rate and BIG bans Train at a 79% rate, so it’s likely those two maps get pushed to the sideline. Both teams are fairly close in map statistics throughout the remaining five and getting exposure to both sides will be important for our MME lineup construction. If making a single entry GPP bullet, I lean G2 because of their overall team composition versus that of BIG.

Top Plays: huNter- ($8,000), kennyS ($8,200), nexa($7,400)

One-Off: syrsoN ($7,000), tabseN ($7,800)

Top CS:GO Targets (DK)

ZywOo ($10,200)
KRIMZ ($8,600)
huNter- ($8,000)

Top CS:GO Targets (FD)

ZywOo ($12,000)
KRIMZ ($10,500)
Bubjzki ($9,700)

Top CS:GO Salary Savers (FD)

Bubjzki ($9,700)
acoR ($9,100)
apEX ($8,500)

You can find me in the WinDaily Discord chat and on twitter @DFS_Ghost!

5 years ago 0 comments

League of Legends Premium

CS:GO DFS: Ghost’s Breakdown 06/09/2020

DFSGhost 5 years ago

written by DFSGhost

CS:GO Slate Summary: DreamHack EU (8am EST)

3 games on DK and FD

Best of 3 series

Pricing is referred to DraftKings

CS:GO Slate Overview

CS:GO Game #1: Astralis (+125) vs Ninjas in Pyjamas(-175)

It’s really sad to see how much Astralis has fallen off with the losses of Xyp9x and gla1ve and I hope they both come back soon so they can retake the throne of the CS:GO world ranking. NIP has been fairly inconsistent in the last month but do have some lofty wins to go alone with some questionable losses. Ultimately, I think getting exposure to the top plays below will help our lineups tremendously since I do believe NIP wins and Astralis is priced way too high for my liking.

Top Plays: nawwk ($8,000), REZ ($7,400), Plopski($7,600) or twist ($6,800)

CS:GO Game #2: G2 (+110) vs Natus Vincere (-150)

NAVI is the newly crowned #1 ranked CS:GO team in the world and have plenty of DFS appeal in this game. I’m not so much concerned as picking a winner than I am getting exposure to both sides by prioritizing the elite players that are found on both sides of this game hoping that it goes 3 maps. I’ll be running one of these two-man stacks in all of my lineups.

Top Plays (NAVI): s1mple ($9,200) and electronic ($7,200)

Top Plays (G2): kennyS ($7,200) and huNter- ($7,200)

CS:GO Game #3: BIG (+162) vs FaZe (-225)

The third game is set in stone for me. I’ll have heavy exposure to FaZe on both sites with no love for any BIG players other than syrsoN ($7,000) on DK where he too cheap for a player of his talent. FaZe should win this one with ease being in better form, being the more elite team, and having more individual talent.

Top Plays: NiKo ($9,000), broky ($7,800), coldzera($7,000), rain ($6,600)

One-Off: syrsoN ($7,000)

Notes

Most of my builds on DraftKings will have a 2-2-2 lineup construction format, picking two players from each predicted winner as listed above with some builds having a 3-2-1 lineup construction with all 3-man stacks being from FaZe. On FD, either a 3-2-1 or 4-1-1 stack is the way to go for every tournament, and this CS:GO slate is no different. Make sure to have your highest upside player in the captain spot on FD since prices do not change, and that for me is s1mple or NiKo. On DK, I like paying up at captain with the same two targets, but if you’re paying down, I like electronic or REZ as sneaky targets in order to jam in multiple studs, or you can take a chance on one of G2’s top plays, kennyS or huNter-.

You can find me in the WinDaily Discord chat and on twitter @DFS_Ghost!

5 years ago 0 comments

MLB

KBO DFS: Ghost’s Breakdown 06/10/2020

Christopher Day 5 years ago

written by Christopher Day

KBO Matchups

HAN @ LOT
KIA @ KTW
DOO @ NCD
SK @ LG
KIW @ SAM

Kings ofthe Hill

EricJokisch (L), KIW – $9,700 DK / $29 FD

The Kiwoon ace is by far my top target on tonight’s KBO slate. Jokisch comes into his start versus Samsung boasting a 5-0 record in 6 starts, 1.49 ERA, 2.35 FIP 0.94 WHIP, 21.4% strikeout rate, 6.3% walk rate and a 0.47 HR/9. Talk about dominance. The southpaw dominates all facets of statistical categories in the KBO and faces a Lions team batting .250 (rank: 8th) with 219 strikeouts on the season, good for third-most in the league. Jokisch has posted 21.6 DK points per game and the last time he faced Samsung, it only took him 83 pitches to go 6 innings with 3 hits allowed and 7 strikeouts en route to 29.7 DK points. Imagine if they let him top 95-100 pitches tonight? Sky’s the limit.

Min Ho Lee(R), LG – $5,800 DK / $23 FD

After being disappointed that I couldn’t write up Min Ho Lee yesterday as a GPP dart with Casey Kelly taking his place, here we are! Lee is by no means in the same caliber of pitching options at the top of the pricing range, but what he gives us is a cheap alternative for tournaments to prioritize bigger bats listed below. Lee has made two starts this season, combining for a 1-1 record, 12.1 innings pitched, 6 hits allowed and 9 strikeouts. His lowest pitch count in his two starts was 86, with the other being 100, so we know he doesn’t have a short leash – this is a good start for someone so cheap on DK. Yes, his two starts were against Samsung, so we cannot read too much into it, but Lee looked solid on the mound in those games and gets another favorable matchup in SK tonight. In his other two relief appearances, he didn’t give up a run to… the Doosan Bears. I’m confident Lee will be able to take care of business tonight and give us that edge in tournaments at low ownership.

GPP Options:Min Woo Kim (R), HAN

TheBatter’s Box

KiwoonHeroes

They’lllikely be chalk on tonight’s KBO slate, but it is great chalk. If people flockto the Doosan/NC game again, load up even more on Kiwoon. The Heroes draw THE mostfavorable matchup on the slate, facing Jung Hyun Baek on the mound for theSamsung Lions. Baek’s 2020 numbers in a nutshell: 0-3, 10.29 ERA, 7.87 FIP,3.86 HR/9. Yikes. Oh, and did I mention he’s a lefty? And that all of theKiwoon power bats are righties? Look out folks, this one could get real ugly,real fast.

Topoptions: Byung Ho Park (1B), Ha Seong Kim (SS), Dong Won Park (C), Keon ChangSeo (1B/2B), Jung Hoo Lee (OF), Byung Woo Jeon (2B/3B)

Kia Tigers

Another team with a favorable pitching matchup, the KIA Tigers might be lower owned than they should be after yesterday’s 12-8 NCD/DOO game and people consequently flocking to that series for their KBO DFS lineups. The opposing pitcher for the KT Wiz, Min Kim, has been, uh, quite volatile to say the least. Kim has had 3 decent outings versus LG, KIW, and Samsung, but got rocked in his other two starts versus Doosan. Is Doosan his kryptonite and we’re actually dealing with a mediocre pitcher here in the KBO? My lean is to say no and that he is exploitable. His numbers in a nutshell: 2-2, 7.83 ERA, 7.11 FIP, 1.83 WHIP, 1.57 HR/9, and a ridiculous 14.2% walk rate. His command is brutal which forces him to throw pitches down the middle of the plate after being consistently down in the count, which gets him into serious trouble. The x-factor for me here is if leadoff hitter Ho Ryung Kim (OF) plays; in addition to shortstop Sun Bin Kim who left yesterday’s game with a hamstring injury. If Ho Ryung Kim plays, I like a 1-4 KIA stack, but if not, I’ll probably settle for the three-headed monster in the outfield and lower my exposure in favor of the honorable mention stacks.

TopOptions: Preston Tucker (OF), Ho Ryung Kim (OF), Ji Wan Na (OF), Hyung Woo Choi(OF/1B)

ComplementaryOptions: Sun Bin Kim (SS)

HonorableMentions: NC Dinos, Doosan Bears

A QuickNote on the Doosan Bears

While theBears do draw a tough matchup versus Drew Rucinski on the mound for the NC Dinos,I’m not ruling out being heavyweight on them versus the field should they comein at lower ownership. If the matchup scares people away, so be it. But untilRucinski faces a real offense, I’m not sold on his body of work in the KBO.Ruckisnki’s statistics thus far are impressive: 4-0, 2.11 ERA, 3.06 FIP, 0.47HR/9, 24.1% strikeout rate while only walking 6.3% of batters. However, theteams he has faced have been SAM, SK, and HAN. Against the one credible offensehe has faced, KT, who are by no means as elite as the likes of NCD/DOO/KIW, hegot rocked for 5 earned runs on 10 hits and 2 homeruns. Again, am Idiscrediting what he has done thus far? Absolutely not. But will I beoverweight on DOO if the field is not? Absolutely.

You can find me in the WinDaily Discord chat and on Twitter @DFS_Ghost!

5 years ago 0 comments

MLB

KBO DFS: Ghost’s Breakdown 06/09/2020

DFSGhost 5 years ago

written by DFSGhost

KBO Matchups

HAN @ LOT
KIA @ KTW
DOO @ NCD
SK @ LG
KIW @ SAM

Kings ofthe Hill

WarwickSaupold (R), HAN – $9,500 DK / $27 FD

This KBO slate starts and ends at the top of the pricing grid for me. Beginning with Hyun Jong Yang of the KIA Tigers, you have a southpaw that is not only drawing MLB attention, but is widely considered to be one of, if not the best pitcher in the KBO. However, Yang draws the KT Wiz and their right-handed power bats tonight; paying $10,100 for someone pitching against Mel Rojas Jr. and company is just not something I want to target. So, we’re on to the next best option, that being Warrick Saupold of the Hanwha Eagles. Hanwha recently underwent a massive overhaul, from coaching staff to roster players and look to start their new tenure on a good note tonight. Am I saying they’ll beat Lotte? Not necessarily, but Lotte is no powerhouse, and if there’s ever a chance to squeak out a win, it’s tonight. Saupold won’t wow you with his strikeout rate (11.6% and 4.39 K/9) but where he does excel is with his command (5.8% walk rate) and limiting opposing batters’ power (0.22 HR/9). He hasn’t topped 5 strikeouts in a start yet this KBO season, limiting his upside on DK, but I’ll gladly take the raw points against a mediocre Giants lineup and move on.

Casey Kelly(R), LG – $8,800 DK / $24 FD

At the time of writing, I was thrilled to flaunt a GPP play in Min Ho Lee of the LG Twins only to see that Casey Kelly was later listed as starting. The KBO pitching options get sloppy when you get to the 7k-and-below range on DK and Min Ho Lee was the perfect GPP dart at only $5,100, but we now have a legitimate KBO ace to replace him. Albeit the inflated price tag, Kelly makes for an elite option tonight versus SK and has shown to be a great KBO DFS play despite the poor outing in his last start. Kelly’s 6.32 ERA does not do him justice when his FIP sits at 3.47 to go along with a 2-1 record, 20.5% strikeout rate, and 8% walk rate. The SK bats have been coming alive as of late, but tonight will be a different story.

GPP Options:Young Gun Jo (R), KIW

TheBatter’s Box

Doosan Bears

While NC pitcher Sung Young Choi does not have the greatest sample size yet this KBO season, I’ve seen enough to know that Doosan has the ability to get to him early and often. Choi flirts with both starts and relief appearances but is much better suited for the bullpen. He struggles mightily with the deep ball (2.57 HR/9) and his ERA (5.14) and FIP (8.44) speak for themselves. In a hitter’s park, Doosan will likely draw a lot of ownership, but I think it is good chalk, and nothing stops you from getting different in GPPs by fading Jose Fernandez or Jae Il Oh for the GPP pivot option listed below.

Topoptions: Jose Fernandez (1B/2B), Jae Il Oh (1B), Jae Hwan Kim (OF/1B), Jae HoKim (SS)

GPP Pivots:Joo Hwan Choi (1B/2B)

LG Twins

While opposing pitcher Geon Wook Lee hasn’t been abysmal in 4 starts, his pitch count is what makes me have intrigue for the Twins on tonight’s KBO slate. Yes, Lee has a 20% strikeout rate and limited Doosan to a single run in 5.1 innings of work, but his ERA of 4.63 and FIP of 4.01 indicate that we’re dealing with a volatile pitcher, as seen in his most recent performance versus NCD. In 4 starts, Lee has pitched 12, 39, 73, and 63 times. He’s pitched versus LG twice this season, going for a combined 3.1 innings, allowing a single hit and walk while striking out 5, not bad, right? So why am I saying to play LG then? Well, how many runs did the Twins put up in those two games you may ask? 23. Yes, 23, in the very same LG park they are playing at tonight. With KBO bullpens being as bad as they are, we should see a minimum of 3+ innings of SK relievers for the LG Twins to go nuts on, if not more. If they get to Lee early on, look out.

TopOptions: Roberto Ramos (1B), Hyun Soo Kim (OF), Eun Sung Chae (OF)

ComplementaryOptions: Min Sung Kim (3B), Kang Nam Yoo (C)

HonorableMentions: NC Dinos, KIA Tigers, KIW Heroes

You can find me in the WinDaily Discord chat and on Twitter @DFS_Ghost!

5 years ago 0 comments

League of Legends Premium

CS:GO DFS: Ghost’s Breakdown 06/08/2020

DFSGhost 5 years ago

written by DFSGhost

CS:GO Slate Summary: DreamHack EU (8am EST)

3 games on DK and FD
Best of 3 series
Pricing is referred to DraftKings

CS:GO Slate Overview

CS:GO Game #1: Complexity (+110) vs Fnatic (-150)

The DH CS:GO slate has a lot riding on this first matchup, which will carry some decent ownership on both sides. Fnatic has a 44% first ban rate on Vertigo where Complexity is riding a 4-map winning streak, and Complexity has a 50% first ban rate on Inferno where they have only played once, so it is unlikely that we see those two maps available, unless Complexity chooses to ban Overpass over Inferno. The next phase is where it gets interesting; Complexity will likely pick Mirage, where they have a 78% winning rate and a 4-map win streak, whereas Fnatic can go with Train or whichever is left over between Overpass and Inferno. Should Complexity choose to take their chance by giving Fnatic their map of choice in Inferno, they might be able to surprise them given their 78% win rate and 4-map win streak. Fnatic has the deeper team and is higher ranked, but Complexity is in better form having won 7 of their last 8. We say it time and time again, Fnatic can be the best CS:GO teams in the world when they decide to play like it, but I’ll take the underdog here at lower ownership.

Top Plays: blameF ($8,600), k0nfig ($7,200), oBo ($7,000) or poizon ($6,600)

Hedge: Brollan ($8,600), JW ($6,800), KRIMZ ($7,800)

CS:GO Game #2: MAD Lions (-150) vs Team Spirit (+110)

The second series on the DH EU CS:GO slate is another great matchup between two talented squads. I’ll be siding with the underdog in Team Spirit here because they are in slightly better form than their counterpart and MAD is coming off a brutal loss to Ence. Spirit has a 71% first ban rate on Vertigo while MAD Lions have a 59% first ban rate on Inferno, so it is unlikely those two maps will be played on. That leaves Nuke, Train, Overpass, Mirage, and Dust2 as the maps available to be selected. It’s likely that Spirit selects Dust2 seeing as they pick it as their first map 34% of the time, but they are riding a 4-map losing streak on there and MAD actually posts a better winning percentage, so I’d like to see them go to Train instead. Elsewhere, Spirit has MAD outmatched on Overpass despite the lower winning percentage because of the frequency at which they play there and can put up a fight on both Dust2 and Nuke. Ultimately, the industry will be on MAD Lions, and rightfully so since that is what the statistics may indicate to some degree, but I’ll take mir ($7,400) outperforming Bubzkji ($8,000) and consequently leading his team to victory 2-1. The x-factor for me will be magixx ($6,200) as he has been on a tear lately, posting a 1.14 rating and 1.16 K/D in the last month.

Top Plays: mir ($7,400), chopper ($7,000), magixx($6,200) or poizon ($6,600)

One-Off: Bubzkji ($8,000)

CS:GO Game #3: Heroic (+137) vs Team Vitality (-188)

The third CS:GO series is a little clearer to predict, given the unstoppable force that is ZywOo. Heroic is in decent form, but the problem is that Vitality is in even better shape. Heroic’s map statistics aren’t all that bad, but the problem for them is that Vitality’s are even better. The only map I see Heroic possible stealing would be Nuke where they have a lofty 90% win rate in 10 games, but other than that, nothing else to see here folks; Vitality wins 2-1 and ZywOo will once again be in the winning CS:GO lineup.

Top Plays: ZywOo ($9,400), shox ($6,800)

CS:GO Slate Notes

Most of my CS:GO builds on DraftKings will have a 2-2-2 lineup construction format, picking two players from each predicted winner as listed above with some builds having a 3-2-1 lineup construction by playing ZywOo alone. On FD, either a 3-2-1 or 4-1-1 stack is the way to go for every tournament, and this CS:GO slate is no different. Make sure to have your highest upside player in the captain spot on FD since prices do not change, and that for me is ZywOo. On DK, you can make an argument for cheaper players to jam in studs, such as mir ($11,100) or Bubzkji ($12,000) from the second game, depending on if you’re favoring MAD or Spirit. Although players such as blameF ($12,600) and Brollan ($12,900) make for fine options in the first game, if you’re going to spending that much (12.5k +) at the captain spot, I prefer to just go up to ZywOo ($14,100) at that point.

You can find me in the WinDaily Discord chat and on twitter @DFS_Ghost!

5 years ago 0 comments

Newer Posts

Older Posts

Ghost

KBO DFS: Ghost’s Breakdown 06/12/2020

LoL DFS: Ghost’s NA Academy Breakdown 06/11

LoL Slate Overview NA Academy Breakdown 06/11

CS:GO DFS: Ghost’s Breakdown 06/11/2020

LoL DFS: Ghost’s Breakdown 06/11/2020

KBO DFS: Ghost’s Breakdown 06/11/2020

CS:GO DFS: Ghost’s Breakdown 06/10/2020

CS:GO DFS: Ghost’s Breakdown 06/09/2020

KBO DFS: Ghost’s Breakdown 06/10/2020

KBO DFS: Ghost’s Breakdown 06/09/2020

CS:GO DFS: Ghost’s Breakdown 06/08/2020

Subscribe to our newsletter

The best bets and resources to make you more profitable

Our Company

©2024 WIN DAILY^®. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.

Win Daily Sports is Now DFSArmy!

Exciting news! Win Daily Sports has officially merged with DFSArmy! Your membership is now even more powerful with new tools, expert picks, and a larger DFS community—all at the same price!

Special Offer for New Members!

Limited time only subscribe to DFSArmy for 10% off!

What’s Next for WinDailySports.com?

We’d like to thank you all for your continued support! In the coming weeks and months, WinDailySports.com will be relaunched with an exciting new vision in the industry.

Stay tuned—we can’t wait to serve you in a totally different way with our expert knowledge. More details coming soon!

🚀 Watch this space for what’s next!

Queue

Ghost

LoL Slate Overview NA Academy Breakdown 06/11

Subscribe to our newsletter

The best bets and resources to make you more profitable

Our Company

©2024 WIN DAILY®. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.

Queue

©2024 WIN DAILY^®. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.