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KBO DFS: Ghost’s Breakdown 06/11/2020

KBO Matchups

  • SK @ LG (2am EST)
  • HAN @ LOT
  • KIA @ KTW
  • DOO @ NCD
  • KIW @ SAM

Kings ofthe Hill

Won TaeChoi (R), KIW – $9,300 DK / $26 FD

We saw Eric Jokisch get no run support yesterday, but he was in most of the KBO GPP winning lineups with an above-average outing, nonetheless. Tonight, Won Tae Choi gets the same matchup versus the Samsung Lions and could be in for a solid night at my top pay up option. On the 2020 season, Choi is 2-2 with a 3.44 ERA, 3.49 FIP, 1.12 WHIP, 17.3% strikeout rate and 4.3% walk rate. He’s coming off back-to-back stellar performances versus LG and KT where he posted just above 20 DK points in each and faces the same Lions team that he dominated earlier in the season, going 7.1 innings on 89 pitches, allowing 2 runs on 4 hits and striking out 6.

Min Ho Lee(R), LG – $7,100 DK / $23 FD

Alright, this is now the third time I am writing up Min Ho Lee in 3 days with his start being taken over by Casey Kelly two days ago only to lose his start again yesterday because of the rainout. His price has crept up to the 7k range on DK after being tagged at $5,100 and $5,800 two days prior, but with the quality of pitching on this KBO slate, Lee is still a good target. Here’s what I wrote about Lee yesterday:

“Lee is byno means in the same caliber of pitching options at the top of the pricingrange, but what he gives us is a cheap alternative for tournaments to prioritizebigger bats listed below. Lee has made two starts this season, combining for a1-1 record, 12.1 innings pitched, 6 hits allowed and 9 strikeouts. His lowestpitch count was 86 with the other being 100, so we know he doesn’t have a shortleash – this is a good start for someone so cheap on DK. Yes, his two startswere against Samsung, so we cannot read too much into it, but Lee looked solidon the mound there and gets another favorable matchup in SK tonight. In hisother two relief appearances, he didn’t give up a run to… the Doosan Bears. I’mconfident Lee will be able to take care of business tonight and give us thatedge in tournaments at low ownership.”

The toppitching options I refer to on yesterday’s slate were Eric Jokisch and AaronBrooks, but the top tier of KBO pitchers on this slate is nowhere close interms of talent. Maybe that is why Lee’s price has gone up, but, regardless, I’llbe playing him after saying I would for two days now.

GPP Options:Min Woo Lee (R), KIA – $8,000 DK / $25 FD

TheBatter’s Box

Kia Tigers

In a gamethat was supposed to be rained out – which it eventually did after 5 innings – yesterday’sKIA call was the biggest advantage in any KBO contest since the accumulatedpoints still counted due to 5 innings being completed. Today, they won’t be asmuch of a secret barring any weather issues, but I’m going back to them,nonetheless. The KT pitcher on the mound is equally as bad, if not worse thanhis teammate yesterday. This season, Min Soo Kim is 0-2 with a 12.19 ERA, 6.99FIP, 2.81 WHIP, and allows 2.61 HR/9. While his walk rate (6.9%) is morerespectable than that of his teammate, he hasn’t gone past 3 innings in asingle game and no more than two innings in all of his other appearances. WithKT’s 10th-ranked bullpen being slightly depleted after pitching 75% of the gameyesterday, KIA will post a big run total here.

Topoptions: Preston Tucker (OF), Ho Ryung Kim (OF), Ji Wan Na (OF), Hyung Woo Choi(OF/1B)

ComplementaryOptions: Min Sang Yoo (1B), Ji Hyuk Ryu (3B/SS)

KiwoonHeroes

Oh, Kiwoon, how you let us down yesterday. They had the most favorable matchup in the KBO but just couldn’t muster any offense. I’d make the same decision 10 times out of 10 to stack them versus Jung Hyun Baek and I’m not going to miss out on the offensive outburst they’ll have tonight versus Dae Woo Kim. Kim is 0-2 thus far this season with a 4.29 ERA, 6.48 FIP, 1.43 WHIP, and 1.29 HR/9. While he’s topped 80 pitches in consecutive starts, he hasn’t made it out of the 5th inning; KIW should see the Samsung bullpen more than they did yesterday and I think they’ll come out swinging after only putting up 1 run 24 hours ago.

TopOptions: Byung Ho Park (1B), Jung Hoo Lee (OF), Dong Won Park (C), Keon ChangSeo (1B/2B), Byung Woo Jeon (2B/3B)

HonorableMention: Lotte Giants

A QuickNote on the Doosan Bears / NC Dinos

Yesterday,the Doosan Bears (somewhat) got to Drew Rucinski just as we wrote up here. Itwas the first time he was facing an elite offense and the research proved to becorrect that they’d eventually get to him, led by Jae Il Oh’s two homeruns.Doosan tagged Rucinski for 2 runs on 3 hits in 6 innings, but exploded versusthe NC bullpen, posting 7 runs in 3 innings. On any given KBO slate, these twoteams are in play for MME lineup construction in large fields and I suggest someexposure on every night given the depth and power of their respective lineups. TheKIA Tigers and Kiwoon Heroes are still my top two stacks, but I’ll have someexposure to both Doosan and NC on every KBO slate.

You can find me in the WinDaily Discord chat and on Twitter @DFS_Ghost!

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