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Francisco Lindor

Stack Report for MLB Main Slate: Winning Edge for July 17

Ethan Thiel 5 years ago

written by Ethan Thiel

This report will provide recommended DFS stacks for today’s nine-game main slate. I will also include my favorite pitching picks.

**All plays are listed in order of preference. Please check back between 5-6 PM EST as some players can receive rest days or get limited at bats especially as we get closer to the postseason.

Los Angeles Dodgers Stack

vs. RHP Nick Pivetta (PHI): 5.80 Runs

**Another game with rain out potential. At the moment it looks like the storms should hold off until after the game but i advise you to monitor the weather here as it looks shakey up and down the east coast tonight.

Nick Pivetta is on the mound this evening for the Phillies. He carries an average 5.81 ERA, 5.75 FIP, and 4.89 SIERA on the year. Pivetta has fairly identical splits, with batters slashing to a .360 wOBA, .530 SLG, and .340 OBP across 66.2 innings. He has given up 27 earned runs across 33 innings to right handed batters. He has also allowed 16 earned runs in 33 innings to left handed batters. The core of this Los Angeles Dodgers team is their left handed power and they have been tearing up right handed pitching. They are slashing to a .355 wOBA, .223 ISO, and 121 WRC+ over the last month to righties.

Boston Red Sox Stack

***Weather is a legitimate concern here, possible PPD. Pitching and bats risky. If you want to play a Boston stack, I would reserve it for GPP’s and monitor the weather.

vs. RHP Aaron Sanchez (TOR): 6.90 Runs

The Red Sox get a lofty 6.90 implied run total in this matchup against Aaron Sanchez (surprising, I know) and this is one we cannot ignore. I know we have some weather concerns here, so tune in with our weather man Mark for updates as we get closer to lock. Aaron Sanchez carries an average 6.22 ERA, 5.50 FIP, and 5.62 SIERA. Sanchez is allowing batters to slash to a .362 wOBA, .456 SLG, and .388 OBP across 97 innings. He has allowed 67 earned runs in that span. Aaron Sanchez is a ground ball pitcher, averaging a 48% ground ball rate. Although he doesn’t give up many home runs, he has a .330 BABIP and LOB of 66%. The Red Sox are slashing to a .374 wOBA, .252 ISO, and 131 WRC+ over the last two weeks to right handed pitching. These are the best hitting numbers on the slate by a long shot.

Preferred Stack: Rafael Devers ($4200 FD|$5700 DK), Xander Bogaerts ($4400 FD|$5600 DK), Andrew Benintendi ($3400 FD|$4500 DK), and Mookie Betts ($4300 FD|$5400 DK).

Arizona Diamondbacks

vs. RHP Jesse Chavez (TEX): 5.45 Runs

We have Jesse Chavez taking on the Diamondbacks in Coors South this evening. Chavez carries a 3.84 ERA, 4.51 FIP, and 4.24 SIERA into tonight’s matchup. He is a reverse splits pitcher, allowing righties to slash .353 wOBA, .519 SLG, and .329 OBP. He has fallen off recently after having a somewhat successful start to the year. I expect him to stay in this rough patch and we will see his ERA line up with close to his FIP as the season comes to a close. Arizona batters are slashing to a .300 wOBA, .161 ISO, and 82 WRC+ in recent weeks. These are by no means the averages I look for when picking my stacks, but I feel with the ballpark upgrade to the bats and Chavez’s recent struggles we could end up with a nice lower owned Diamondbacks stack.

Honorable Mention

Cleveland Indians

vs. RHP Spencer Turnbull (DET): 5.78 Runs

Preferred Plays: Francisco Lindor ($4000 FD|$5000 DK), Carlos Santana ($4200 FD|$5300 DK), Jason Kipnis ($2900 FD|$3600 DK), Jose Ramirez ($3600 FD|$4400 DK). Jakob Bauers for value ($2900 FD|$3600 DK). Mike Freeman ($2100 FD|$3700 DK and Tyler Naquin ($2800 FD|$4000 DK) are also good value plays.

Washington Nationals

vs. RHP Aaron Brooks (40-50 pitches) & RHP Gabriel Ynoa (BAL)

**Another trouble spot with weather otherwise I’d have them as the top stack. I think the game starts on time, but a good chance we do not get a full 9 innings.

Pitching

Chris Paddack (R) (SDP): 3.15 Runs
Mike Clevinger (R) (CLE): 3.27 Runs
Danny Duffy (L) (KCR): 5.01 Runs

Please check out our Daily MLB cheatsheet for more cash oriented plays.

5 years ago 0 comments

MLB

Stack Report for MLB Main Slate: Winning Edge for July 15

5 years ago

written by

This report will provide recommended DFS stacks for today’s 10-game main slate. I will also include my favorite pitching picks.

**All plays are listed in order of preference. Please check back between 5-6 PM EST as some players can receive rest days or get limited at bats especially as we get closer we get to the postseason.

Cleveland Indians Stack

vs. LHP Daniel Norris (DET): 6.30 Runs

Daniel Norris takes the mound in Cleveland this evening. He carries a 4.96 ERA, 4.62 FIP, and 4.71 ERA into tonight’s matchup. We get a nice little recipe here with his reverse splits. Left handed batters are slashing to a .367 wOBA, .540 SLG, and .343 OBP across 16 innings pitched. He has allowed 13 runs in that short span. His 40% hard contact rate and 40% pull rate combined with his shakiness to lefties can make for some easy liners to right field. Norris racked up eight strikeouts but gave up six earned runs in his last meeting with Cleveland. Cleveland batters are hitting below their season averages this month, slashing to a .309 wOBA, .154 ISO, and 88 WRC+. These numbers aren’t typically what we look for but they’re in the worst part of their slump and this is a good opportunity to bust out of it.

Preferred Stack: Roberto Perez ($2700 FD|$4100 DK), Jordan Luplow ($2500 FD|$3900 DK), Carlos Santana ($3800 FD|$5000 DK), and Francisco Lindor ($4000 FD|$4900 DK).

Colorado Rockies Stack

vs. RHP Derek Rodriguez (SFG):

Dereck Rodriguez was called up from AAA as the 26th man ahead of today’s doubleheader. He carries a 5.27 ERA, 5.57 FIP, and 5.46 SIERA across 57 innings pitched into tonight’s game. He has struggled both to righties and lefties, allowing a .338 wOBA, .462 SLG, and 46% hard contact rate. The Rockies batting averages are creeping up again on this home stand and should continue to rise this evening. They are slashing to a .349 wOBA, .193 ISO, and .457 SLG against right handed pitching recently and the studs in this lineup are coming off a rest day.

Every stack report in the industry is going to have the Giants and Rockies. Ownership almost always levitates to Coors, especially when you have Dereck Rodriguez (SFG) and Chi Chi Gonzalez (COL) pitching. Going to be a lot of ownership on both sides here ,so I am not writing up the Giants in detail for that purpose, but I’ve included my preferred stack if you decide to go with the masses tonight.

Los Angeles Dodgers Stack

vs. RHP Zach Eflin (PHI): 5.40 Runs

I imagine ownership here will be higher as well. It’s not very often we get the Dodgers so early in the evening. Zach Eflin carries a 3.78 ERA, 4.66 FIP, and 4.70 SIERA into tonight’s matchup. Left handed batters are slashing to a .357 wOBA, .544 SLG, and .333 OBP. He has allowed 22 earned runs and 11 home runs across 43 innings pitched to lefties as well. The only concern I really have with Dodgers batters here is a possible hangover from last night’s game. The Dodgers are slashing .to a 335 wOBA, .209 ISO, and 109 WRC+ vs. right handed pitching over the last month.

Preferred Stack:Max Muncy ($3800 FD|$4600 DK), Alex Verdugo ($3100 FD|$4100 DK), Cody Bellinger ($4800 FD|$5100 DK), and Joc Pederson ($2600 FD|$4200 DK).

Boston Red Sox Stack

vs. RHP Trent Thornton (TOR): 6.25 Runs

The Red Sox get another cupcake matchup against Thornton. They have faced him twice this season, his first outing in Boston when he allowed only two earned runs and a recent second outing in Toronto in which he allowed seven earned runs. This Red Sox team is hitting very well recently. They are slashing .372 wOBA, .254 ISO, and 129 WRC+. I have the same concern with the Red Sox as with the Dodgers. They played late last night but they do get the benefit at being at home. Trent Thornton has a 4.85 ERA, 4.41 FIP, and 4.75 ERA on the year. He has identical splits, allowing batters to slash to a .332 wOBA, .321 BABIP, and .444 SLG.

Preferred Stack: Rafael Devers ($4100 FD|$5500 DK), Xander Bogaerts ($4400 FD|$5300 DK), Mookie Betts ($4200 FD|$4800 DK), and Christian Vazquez ($2900 FD|$4700 DK).

Honorable Mention

Houston Astros vs. RHP Griffin Canning (LAA): 4.90 Runs

Preferred Stack: Alex Bregman ($4200 FD|$4400 DK), Yordan Alvarez ($4300 FD|$4800 DK), Michael Brantley ($3900 FD|$4000 DK), and Yuli Gurriel ($3800 FD|$4200 DK).

Toronto Blue Jays vs. RHP Rick Porcello (BOS): 4.25 Runs

Preferred Stack: Freddy Galvis ($3200 FD|$4300 DK), Cavan Biggio ($3700 FD|$4500 DK), Eric Sogard ($3300 FD|$4700 DK), and Lourdes Gurriel Jr. ($3800 FD|$5300 DK).

Pitching

RHP Adam Plutko vs. DET: 4.20 Runs
RHP Lucas Giolito vs. KCR: 4.40 Runs
LHP James Paxton vs. TAM: 4.00 Runs

5 years ago 0 comments

MLB

MLB DFS Hitting Stacks for 7/6: Yes, Use Some Mets

Mark Sheppard 5 years ago

written by Mark Sheppard

MLB DFS Hitting Stacks recommendations for the Saturday slate.

First Base – Carlos Santana, Cleveland Indians

DraftKings $5,100, FanDuel $4,300

Anthony Desclafani has massive trouble against left handed bats, allowing a .315 BAA and a .508 SLG.

Second Base – Jeff McNeil, New York Mets

DraftKings $4,900, FanDuel $3,600

This season Jake Arrieta has struggled against left handed bats. He is allowing a .306 BAA and a massive 41.5 hard hit rate. Target him in DFS today.

Third Base – Rafael Devers, Boston Red Sox

DraftKings $5,600, Fanduel $4,500

Jordan Zimmerman is a gas can for us in DFS and at home he is even worse. He has trouble walking left handed bats and with a .488 SLG he has trouble not giving up extra bases.

Shortstop – Francisco Lindor, Cleveland Indians

DraftKings $4,900, FanDuel $4,200

Same story with Santana, I want the lefties here in DFS and it helps Lindor is a switch hitter, so we get the platoon the whole game.

Outfield – J.D. Martinez, Boston Red Sox

DraftKings $5,000, Fanduel $4,300

What’s not to love about J.D. against a gas can? Although Zimmerman gives up less power to righties, he strikes them out less also. This means the ball is going to be put in play and I’ll take my chances with one of the league’s best.

Outfield – Michael Conforto, New York Mets

DraftKings $4,400, FanDuel $3,500

As I said with McNeil, Arreita struggles with getting left handed bats out. Conforto is one of the league’s top young left handed bats and can go deep at any second, I think he pokes one out of the yard here so use him in DFS today.

Outfield – Andrew Benintendi, Boston Red Sox

DraftKings $4,300, FanDuel $3,500

This is a ridiculous DFS price for one, and for two Zimmerman struggles with lefties as I said with Devers. I always love getting the leadoff hitter against a terrible pitcher in the team I’m going to stack.

MLB DFS Hitting Stacks

1.) Boston Red Sox

Surprise? Jordan Zimmerman is a complete gas can. At home he holds a 5.40 ERA, a .340 wOBA, and a 49.3 hard hit percentage. That hard hit rate is what I’m intrigued with because these Sox hit the ball HARD. With the power that they hold I think they could easily chase Zimmerman within four innings today.

2.) New York Mets

I know, I know the Mets in DFS? Just listen. Arrieta cannot get left handed bats out, he is horrible. With the likes of McNeil, Conforto, Cano, and Dominic Smith on the left side of the plate I think Arrieta has loads of trouble. Then on the right side of the plate you have to worry about the Mets’ best hitter this year, Pete Alonso. I think Arrieta is in for a rude awakening at Citi Field today.

5 years ago 0 comments

MLB

DFS MLB Batting Stacks for 6/18: Delays for Dough

Mark Paquette 6 years ago

written by Mark Paquette

What a mess weatherwise last night. And the overall pattern is the same this evening. Now we add PIT into the mix as well! So pay close attention to the weather in NYY, WSH (oh my gosh no!!!), ATL, CIN and PIT.

CLE/TEX: I’m going to group these two teams together because weatherwise/park factor-wise this is by far the best place for hitters tonight. Even though the weather really has not heated up yet, in 2019 Globe Life Park is a slightly favorable park for both runs and HRs. Last season, Globe Life was the overall best park for runs scored (just edging out Coors) and the third best park for HRs (according to ESPN’s park factors page that can be found here). Neither starter has been bad (Zach Plesac for Cleveland and Adrian Sampson for Texas) but neither has pitched in 90 degree heat and nearly a 70 degree dewpoint either yet this year. Add in the fact that TEX has a bad bullpen (4.66 ERA) and we could be looking at some fireworks. Note: CLE has the best bullpen in terms of ERA (3.25) in all of MLB. Bats like Francisco Lindor ($3,900 FD) and Carlos Santana ($3,900) are expensive but could be worth paying up for on the CLE side, while less expensive bats like Jason Kipnis ($2,500) and Jake Bauers ($2,800) give you potential pop at a savings. On the other side, Rougned Odor ($2,900) is extremely affordable while Shin-soo Chin ($3,600) and Elvis Andrus ($3,800) are more expensive options but could be worth it.
Games with a potential rain delay: This includes games in NYY, PIT, WSH, CIN and ATL. You will have to be on top of your game here. Look for any game(s) that is delayed to start AND one whose delay is announced late. The theory here is that the delayed start messes with the starting pitcher’s routine/mindset and when they do start the game, he could be bothered and ineffective. More difficult to predict are games with a lengthy in-game rain delay early. This raises the risk of the starter not coming back out (we saw short-lived rain delays in CIN and ATL last night where the starters did come back out and did fine) and asking the bullpen to go more innings than expected. Besides the closer and the seventh and eighth inning guys, the bullpen is full of pitchers who can not cut it as a starter, ie. they aren’t that good. This is especially true for small-market teams (PIT and CIN) and not NYY (where seemingly their whole bullpen is made up of ex-closers).
Brewers: Milwaukee’s deep and talented roster has the potential to go off at any time. Combining for only four hits off Joey Lucchesi and two relievers and being on the road for one of the last scheduled games timewise on the slate, you may never get lower ownership rates for the Brew Crew than tonight. And they get a young lefty starter named Logan Allen, who is making his first Major League appearance. DFS’ers, especially casual players, pay too much attention to two factors: how a player or team did recently and staying away from lefty on lefty matchups. Take advantage of these factors and do not be scared to fire up Christian Yelich ($4,800) and Mike Moustakas ($3,900). They may only get 1-2 ABs on the weak side of the platoon before they get into the generally soft Padres bullpen (4.77 ERA, 22nd in MLB).

6 years ago 0 comments

MLB

DFS MLB Batting Stacks for 6/18: Delays for Dough

Mark Paquette 6 years ago

written by Mark Paquette

CLE/TEX: I’m going to group these two teams together because weatherwise/park factor-wise this is by far the best place for hitters tonight. Even though the weather really has not heated up yet, in 2019 Globe Life Park is a slightly favorable park for both runs and HRs. Last season, Globe Life was the overall best park for runs scored (just edging out Coors) and the third best park for HRs (according to ESPN’s park factors page that can be found here). Neither starter has been bad (Zach Plesac for Cleveland and Adrian Sampson for Texas) but neither has pitched in 90 degree heat and nearly a 70 degree dewpoint either yet this year. Add in the fact that TEX has a bad bullpen (4.66 ERA) and we could be looking at some fireworks. Note: CLE has the best bullpen in terms of ERA (3.25) in all of MLB. Bats like Francisco Lindor ($3,900 FD) and Carlos Santana ($3,900) are expensive but could be worth paying up for on the CLE side, while less expensive bats like Jason Kipnis ($2,500) and Jake Bauers ($2,800) give you potential pop at a savings. On the other side, Rougned Odor ($2,900) is extremely affordable while Shin-soo Chin ($3,600) and Elvis Andrus ($3,800) are more expensive options but could be worth it.
Games with a potential rain delay: This includes games in NYY, PIT, WSH, CIN and ATL. You will have to be on top of your game here. Look for any game(s) that is delayed to start AND one whose delay is announced late. The theory here is that the delayed start messes with the starting pitcher’s routine/mindset and when they do start the game, he could be bothered and ineffective. More difficult to predict are games with a lengthy in-game rain delay early. This raises the risk of the starter not coming back out (we saw short-lived rain delays in CIN and ATL last night where the starters did come back out and did fine) and asking the bullpen to go more innings than expected. Besides the closer and the seventh and eighth inning guys, the bullpen is full of pitchers who can not cut it as a starter, ie. they aren’t that good. This is especially true for small-market teams (PIT and CIN) and not NYY (where seemingly their whole bullpen is made up of ex-closers).
Brewers: Milwaukee’s deep and talented roster has the potential to go off at any time. Combining for only four hits off Joey Lucchesi and two relievers and being on the road for one of the last scheduled games timewise on the slate, you may never get lower ownership rates for the Brew Crew than tonight. And they get a young lefty starter named Logan Allen, who is making his first Major League appearance. DFS’ers, especially casual players, pay too much attention to two factors: how a player or team did recently and staying away from lefty on lefty matchups. Take advantage of these factors and do not be scared to fire up Christian Yelich ($4,800) and Mike Moustakas ($3,900). They may only get 1-2 ABs on the weak side of the platoon before they get into the generally soft Padres bullpen (4.77 ERA, 22nd in MLB).

6 years ago 0 comments

MLB

DFS Hitting Stacks for 6/12: Let Loose on Lynn

Wes Anderson 6 years ago

written by Wes Anderson

Chicago Cubs

The ColoradoRockies’ Antonio Senzatela is struggling this season with a slate high 5.43SIERA. The Rockies’ right-hander is producing just a 16.29% whiff rate and willbe pitching in hitter-friendly Coors Field tonight. Senzatela has particularlystruggled with lefties this season with a .416 wOBA and a 1.93 HR/9 allowed tothem.

So, start your Cubs stack with Anthony Rizzo (FanDuel: $4,700, DraftKings: $5,600). The power hitting left-handed first baseman has a .301 ISO and a .418 wOBA versus righties this season. But also consider that Senzatela is primarily a fastball pitcher as he has thrown that pitch on 64.6% of the time. That also plays into Rizzo’s strong suit. The first baseman has a .315 ISO this season against the fastball.

Otherleft-handed bats to consider are: Kyle Schwarber (FanDuel: $3,900, DraftKings:$5,000) and Carlos Gonzalez (FanDuel: $3,300, DraftKings: $3,300). Both outfieldershave ISOs greater than .220 against righties this season.

Of course, you can pick from some of the right-handed sticks as well as Kris Bryant (FanDuel: $4,500, DraftKings: $5,500), Javy Baez (FanDuel: $4,300, DraftKings: $5,500) and Willson Contreras (FanDuel: $3,900, DraftKings: $5,200) are always in play.

The Cubs will likely be the chalk on Wednesday but for good reasons. Load up on Chicago bats.

Cleveland Indians

The Cincinnati Reds’ Anthony DeSclafani is a pitcher you definitely want to stack against whenever he takes the bump. The veteran right-hander is allowing a 43.2% flyball rate that has resulted in 2.12 HR/9 so far in 2019. DeSclafani has really struggled with left-handed batters. The Reds’ starter is allowing a .414 wOBA, a 44.8% hard contact rate and 2.93 HR/9 to the lefty sticks this season.

Your Cleveland build will start with Carlos Santana (FanDuel: $3,500, DraftKings: $4,600) and Francisco Lindor (FanDuel: $3,900, DraftKings: $5,200). Both of these lefty sticks have ISOs over .245 against right-handed pitching this season.

Over theirlast seven the Cleveland offense has a .313 ISO and a .343 wOBA. So feel freeto make this a three or four man stack and include the likes of Jose Ramirez (FanDuel:$3,100, DraftKings: $3,500) and Jake Bauers (FanDuel: $2,600, DraftKings: $3,200).

Boston Red Sox

Texas’ Lance Lynn has a respectable 4.39 ERA this season but is getting hit hard. Most notably, he is allowing a 42.1% hard contact rate to RHBs

The Boston build, of course, will need to include Mookie Betts (FanDuel: $4,200, DraftKings: $4,400). The Red Sox outfielder homered on Tuesday and has a .222 ISO against right-handed pitching in 2019. Also keep in mind that the Rangers’ Lynn is throwing his fastball almost 49% of the time. This is a bonus for Betts, as he has a .256 ISO against such pitch this season.

Also consider Xander Bogaerts (FanDuel: $4,000, DraftKings: $4,300), as he has a .363 wOBA versus righties. J.D. Martinez (FanDuel: $4,000, DraftKings: $4,500) owns a .324 batting average against fastballs this season, so he clearly needs to be in your player pool as well. Rafael Devers (FanDuel: $3,800, DraftKings: $4,100) also has killed the fastball this season, with a .256 ISO. You can use Andrew Benintendi (FanDuel: $3,600, DraftKings: $4,000) as well.

The Red Sox should provide plenty of hard contact againstLynn.

Other Stacks to Consider: Colorado Rockies, Minnesota Twins.

Value Stacks: Baltimore Orioles (FanDuel), Toronto Blue Jays (FanDuel), San Diego Padres (FanDuel), Cincinnati Reds (FanDuel/DraftKings).

6 years ago 0 comments

MLB

Hitting and Monkey Knife Fight Picks for 6/6: New York Groove

Alisia Gustafson 6 years ago

written by Alisia Gustafson

Catcher

Gary Sanchez ($4,500 FD & $5,500 DK): Last night I mentioned the Yankees right-handed bats for multiple reasons, which basically boiled down to an advantageous stadium and a right-handed pitcher that just didn’t have the ability to work through a great Yankee lineup. The same holds true tonight. Edwin Jackson is not pitching well at the moment. Yes, he’s drawn some unlucky starts like one in Coors, but he’s also seen San Francisco in one of the largest stadiums in the league. So, after four starts I think it’s safe to say Edwin Jackson has a another tough matchup that he will not have the ability to get through. Let me rattle off some stats: Jackson is 0-4 with a 13.22 ERA this season. Right-handed batters are hitting .447 against Jackson with six home runs. This is a Gary Sanchez kind of night! Do I dare say double dong potential? Sure. Lock in thes Yankee bats on this small five game slate.

First Base

Luke Voit ($4,300 FD & $4,900 DK): Voit has been boom-or-bust as of late and I think the same applies for tonight. Home run(s) or bust in this one. Playing both Sanchez and Voit is a strategy I like to implement on FanDuel because it immediately takes your UTL and first base position out of play. Most are hesitant to do this but I think it’s a good strategy to separate your Yankee stack from the pack.

Second Base

I swear after this I’m only writing up one more Yankee. I just want to be clear about who I believe should make up this Yankee stack. Along with Voit and Sanchez, D.J. LeMahieu ($3,800 FD & $4,400 DK) clearly belongs in this stack. After hitting last nights homer, he’s officially the hottest Yankee with the highest floor. Lock in LeMahieu as the third member of your Yankee stack. Keep in mind that your key decisions on a small slate aren’t necessarily what team you want to stack, but what players to include within your stack. The Yankees are favored at -195 with 10 under/over. Lock and load.

Third Base

Renato Nunez ($3,600 FD & $5,200 DK): Check out that price differential between FanDuel and DraftKings. Nunez is a great FanDuel play in a hitter’s park, facing a rookie pitcher. Simple stuff. Nunez is facing Ariel Jurado, who is allowing a .279 BA with four home runs to opposing right-handed batters, while allowing a mere .200 BA with no home runs to opposing lefties. We have ourselves some reverse splits here. Baltimore right-handed batters have the advantage over left-handed batters. Against a right-handed pitcher this is relativity rare. Lock in your Oriole righties, not lefties tonight as they set to face the Texas Rangers as slight underdogs with a 10.5 under/over.

Shortstop

Francisco Lindor ($3,900 FD & 4,800 DK): Lindor is on a tear! Recent game logs are through the roof and I don’t see Jose Berrios slowing him down. Lindor is batting .294 against Berrios in 19 at-bats. Cleveland is at EVEN odds with an 8.5 under/over. Don’t think too much here, lock him in.

Outfield

Khris Davis ($3,600 FD & $3,900 DK): Davis owns a .389 BA in 28 at-bats with two doubles and four home runs. This is consistent domination. And that’s all we’re really looking for at the end of the day, consistency.

Mike Trout ($4,800 FD & $5,700 DK): Trout is batting .381 with four doubles and two home runs in 26 at-bats vs. Mike Fiers. This is definitely a slate where a value pitcher should come into play as I want many of these expensive batters.

Cameron Maybin ($2,400 FD & $3,700 DK): The last Yankee in my four man Yankee stack for tonight. Maybin is batting .429 in 10 at-bats against Jackson. On a night where we need to find value, Maybin comes in as a solid value play with a high floor.

Monkey Knife Fight Picks of the Day

It should come as no surprise that we’ll be going to the Yankee game for this one and why not go big again for 19x our money! Let’s start with Happ. We’re going to take the OVER on 5.5 strikeouts as Toronto does swing and miss on the slider very often, not to mention Happ owns a .250 OBA against Toronto while fanning 10 of 28 faced batters for a 35 % strikeout rate, I would say that’s crazy but it is in a very small sample size so let’s not get too excited.

After selecting the OVER for Happ’s prop, we move onto Grichuk at 1.5 total bases. After hitting two home runs last night, Grichuk has homered in two straight, totaling three over his last two. We’re going to lock in the OVER for Grichuk for sure and just to save time Gary Sanchez is next and you guys know I like me some Sanchez tonight. The first three parlays we’re going to lock in OVER, OVER, OVER. Aaron Hicks has a lop-sided prop here as I see him totaling way more then 1.5 hits + walks, so once again we’re going OVER. Lastly, Luke Voit at 1.5 hits + walks. I do expect a home run (or two), therefore we can only assume Voit will total more then 1.5 hits + walks. All five props I believe will go over.

6 years ago 0 comments

MLB

Hitting and Monkey Knife Fight Picks for 6/6: New York Groove

Alisia Gustafson 6 years ago

written by Alisia Gustafson

Catcher

First Base

Second Base

Third Base

Shortstop

Outfield

Monkey Knife Fight Picks of the Day

6 years ago 0 comments

MLB

DFS Hitting Stacks for 5/30: Cleveland Clout

Wes Anderson 6 years ago

written by Wes Anderson

Here are thetop teams to stack for MLB’s May 30th main slate action:

Cleveland Indians

The White Sox’s Manny Banuelos is a pitcher that we will want to get some exposure against. The left-handed pitcher has struggled this season as evidenced by his extremely high 7.71 ERA. Banuelos has a 5.07 SIERA and a 5.02 xFIP. The Chicago starter also is serving up 2.57 HR/9, making the Indians look like an excellent stacking option for Thursday. Admittedly the Indians’ numbers against lefties will leave something to be desired here but nonetheless this is still a matchup they should take advantage of. That is mainly due to Banuelos’ lack of success against right-handed batters. He is allowing a .323/.409/.606 slash line to righty bats in 2019.

The obvious right-handed Indians are in play, of course. Carlos Santana (FanDuel: $3,600 DraftKings: $4,500), Jose Ramirez (FanDuel: $3,100 DraftKings: $3,900) and Francisco Lindor (FanDuel: $3,700 DraftKings: $4,800) will be the big names to focus on.

But some lesser known pieces maybe the real key to the Indians’ stack. Jordan Luplow (FanDuel: $3,100 DraftKings: $4,100) and Robert Perez (FanDuel: $2,500 DraftKings: $3,700) but have ISOs greater than .260 against left-handed pitching. Not only are they in position to take advantage of the matchup, but they also will provide some salary relief to your DFS lineups.

Boston Red Sox

The Yankees’J.A. Happ has struggled with the long ball this season. He is allowing 2.16HR/9, so we are going to want some the Red Sox hitters in this one.

You willwant to start with lefty killer J.D. Martinez (FanDuel: $4,300 DraftKings: $5,200).Martinez has a .500 ISO and a .512 wOBA against southpaws this season. OtherBoston bats to pick from include Xander Bogaerts (FanDuel: $3,800 DraftKings: $5,000),Michael Chavis (FanDuel: $3,600 DraftKings: $5,100), Sandy Leon (FanDuel: $2,200DraftKings: $3,100) and Christian Vazquez (FanDuel: $2,400 DraftKings: $4,100).These Red Sox batters all have .300 or better ISOs versus lefties in 2019.

Texas Rangers

The Royals’ Jakob Junis is getting hit hard this season. He is allowing a 42.2% hard contact rate. The hard contact has resulted in some serious damage done against Junis, as he has a 4.64 SIERA. Look for that damage to continue on Thursday. The Rangers have punished right-handed pitching all season. As an offense they have a .214 ISO and a .349 wOBA versus righties.

When building your Texas lineups, you want to focus on the lefties first. Junis is allowing a .361 wOBA as well as 42.9% hard contact rate to left-handed batters. So, of course you are going to start the build with Joey Gallo (FanDuel: $4,300 DraftKings: $5,600). The slugger has a .333 ISO and a .434 wOBA against right-handed pitching this season.

You will also want to get some Nomar Mazara (FanDuel: $3,500 DraftKings: $4,400) and Hunter Pence (FanDuel: $4,100 DraftKings: $5,500) in your lineups as they both are lefty batters with ISOs over .300 versus right-handed pitching.

Los Angeles Dodgers

The Dodgers’ offense is in position to be the late-night hammer that your DFS lineups need to push across the money line.

The Mets’ JasonVargas checks a lot of the boxes in terms of pitchers you like to stackagainst. First off, he has a 5.49 SIERA and a 5.79 xFIP. He also is allowingflyballs at a rate of 43.5%, owns a 49% hard contact rate and has a below leagueaverage 17% K rate. Vargas’ velocity is also low compared to the rest of theleague. His fastball has averaged 85.5 MPH in 2019.

The Dodgers’ stack, of course, begins with Cody Bellinger (FanDuel: $4,800 DraftKings: $5,800). The MVP frontrunner has crushed left-handed pitching this season with a .358 ISO and a .459 wOBA. Bellinger also owns a .377/.438/.770 slash line and a 1.209 OPS against finesse pitchers, like Vargas is.

Other Dodgers to consider in this stack are Max Muncy (FanDuel: $3,500 DraftKings: $4,700), Chris Taylor (FanDuel: $2,600 DraftKings: $3,400), Enrique Hernandez (FanDuel: $3,200 DraftKings: $3,700), Justin Turner (FanDuel: $3,400 DraftKings: $4,200) and Alex Verdugo (FanDuel: $2,800 DraftKings: $4,100). These five Dodgers’ hitters all have ISOs in the .200s versus southpaws this season.

Good luckand happy stacking!

6 years ago 0 comments

MLB

DFS Hitting and MLB Prop Picks for 5/13: Twins and Indians!

Cora Baylis 6 years ago

written by Cora Baylis

This is a rare small six-game slate and it’s clear that many teams have a travel day ahead of them. The best game to stack is actually the 6:45 ET matchup between the Yankees and Orioles but we’re going to forget about that one since it’s not a part of the major prize pools. What we do need to keep an eye on is the weather though, as we’ve had troubling forecasts throughout the opening month. The games we need to focus on here are MIL-PHI and BAL-NYY. Luckily, that Yankees game doesn’t matter to us and the Philly forecast is nothing to worry about.

Catcher

Omar Narvaez, SEA vs. OAK

DK ($4,300) FD ($2,900)

Picking a catcher is like pulling teeth, but it’s hard to argue with Narvaez’s recent production. In fact, Narvaez has at least 12 DK points in three-straight games, with a dinger in back-to-back outings. That has raised his OPS north of .900 and his average above .300, which are some of the best marks in the league for any catcher. While Mike Fiers threw a no-hitter in his most recent start, this is a guy we want to exploit with his 5.48 ERA and 5.16 xFIP. Not to mention, the A’s gave Fiers an extra day off after throwing 131 pitches, which is also a recipe for disaster.

Also Consider: Blake Swihart has a quality matchup against Nick Kingham and has shown serious potential against right-handers throughout his career.

First Base

C.J. Cron, MIN vs. LAA

DK ($4,300) FD ($3,500)

Cron has quietly been one of the best power hitters in the game over the past three seasons, collecting 55 home runs over his last 275 games en route to a .250 ISO. That’s all you can ask for from someone in this price range, and Cron gets the benefit of facing a southpaw too. In that same three-year span, Cron has a .917 OPS against lefties and an absurd 1.376 OPS against southpaws so far this season.

Also Consider: Jay Bruce is one of the AL leaders with 12 home runs and gets the platoon advantage against Fiers.

Second Base

Jonathan Schoop, MIN vs. LAA

DK ($4,100) FD ($3,000)

Stacking Twins is going to be popular on this slate and rightfully so. Not only do they rank first in xwOBA, they also sit third in runs per game. That puts all of the Minnesota bats in play, especially the righties. After allowing eight runs in his most recent start, Skaggs now owns a 4.79 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and .344 wOBA. The southpaw typically struggles with righty bats, allowing a .333 career OBP and OPS approaching .800. Schoop is in good form right now too, collecting three doubles, two homers, six runs and seven RBI over his last 10 games.

Also Consider: Jason Kipnis has been batting from the two-hole recently and he could be a contrarian play in an Indians stack.

Third Base

Jose Ramirez, CLE at CWS

DK ($4,300) FD ($3,500)

Ramirez’s price remains criminally low and he’s hard to avoid until he gets closer to $5,000 on DK and $4,000 on FD. That’s pretty much where he sat last season and recent form would indicate that he’s recapturing that form. In fact, Ramirez is averaging 12 DK points per game across his last 23 outings, despite hitting below .250. That tells us that he’s providing elite counting statistics and that makes him particularly intriguing against Reynaldo Lopez, who owns a 6.38 ERA and 1.75 WHIP. Ramirez will bat from the left side, and he has a .933 OPS against righties since the beginning of 2017 and is way more likely to steal a bag against a right-hander.

Also Consider: Jeimer Candelario has been too good to be priced at just $3,100 on DraftKings and should bat in the heart of the Tigers order.

Shortstop

Francisco Lindor, CLE at CWS

DK ($4,700) FD ($3,600)

Stacking Ramirez and Lindor is one of my favorite strategies on this slate, as they should have success against Lopez. The White Sox right-hander has those ugly ERA and WHIP numbers to match his atrocious .392 wOBA. That should be huge for Lindor, who owns a career .198 ISO and .355 wOBA. That doesn’t even take into consideration his speed, with Lindor swiping at least 15 bags in three-straight seasons.

Also Consider: Tim Beckham has been a pleasant surprise for the Mariners and will be a great value at $3,700, if you’re looking to stack Seattle.

Outfield

Bryce Harper, PHI vs. MIL

DK ($4,400) FD ($4,400)

It’s tough to use Harper on FanDuel but the $4,400 price tag on DraftKings is hard to overlook. We’re talking about a guy with a career OBP approaching .400 and an ISO above .220. Those are simply dominant numbers and his .960 OPS and .405 OBP against righties since the beginning of 2017 shows just how amazing he is with the platoon advantage in his favor. Freddy Peralta is a guy we definitely want to exploit too, posting a 6.75 ERA and 1.61 WHIP in six starts this season.

Khris Davis, OAK at SEA

DK ($4,000) FD ($3,800)

Davis is in a terrible slump right now but any guy with this sort of power potential is worth a shot in this price range. The simple fact is, Davis has at least 42 homers in three-straight seasons and appears well on his way to another 40-homer year with 10 dingers in 36 games. That’s elite power and his .243 ISO this season is only slightly below his .270 career ISO. That makes this price tag hard to believe, especially considering the fact that Davis gets the platoon advantage against a lefty here.

Jake Bauers, CLE at CWS

DK ($3,800) FD ($3,200)

After a terrible start to the year, Bauers appears to be finding his rhythm. In fact, the left-hander has a .301 average over his last 23 games, providing 10 runs and 10 RBI in that span. This is a guy we want to use against right-handed pitching too, as his OPS is nearly 200 points higher than when he faces lefties. The Lopez statistics speak for themselves and Bauer makes for a beautiful three-man stack with Ramirez and Lindor.

Also Consider: If you’re stacking Phillies, don’t forget about Andrew McCutchen at just $4,100.

Monkey Knife Fight Picks of the Day

Jose Berrios over 5.5 Strikeouts

It’s strange that this number is so low, as Berrios hasn’t had fewer than four Ks in any game this season. That alone makes him an attractive option, as he’s also reached at least six innings pitched in all eight of his starts. Any pitcher with a 25 percent K rate is worth using, especially when they have a six-inning floor against an average offense.

Jose Ramirez over 1.5 hits+walks

The write-up from earlier tells you everything you need to know about this play, as it would be hard to imagine Ramirez not getting on base at least twice. In fact, Ramirez has accomplished that feat in five of his last seven games and is traditionally a better on-base guy from the left side.

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6 years ago 0 comments

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Francisco Lindor

**All plays are listed in order of preference. Please check back between 5-6 PM EST as some players can receive rest days or get limited at bats especially as we get closer to the postseason.

Los Angeles Dodgers Stack

vs. RHP Nick Pivetta (PHI): 5.80 Runs

Boston Red Sox Stack

vs. RHP Aaron Sanchez (TOR): 6.90 Runs

Arizona Diamondbacks

vs. RHP Jesse Chavez (TEX): 5.45 Runs

Honorable Mention

Cleveland Indians

Washington Nationals

vs. RHP Aaron Brooks (40-50 pitches) & RHP Gabriel Ynoa (BAL)

Pitching

**All plays are listed in order of preference. Please check back between 5-6 PM EST as some players can receive rest days or get limited at bats especially as we get closer we get to the postseason.

Cleveland Indians Stack

vs. LHP Daniel Norris (DET): 6.30 Runs

Colorado Rockies Stack

vs. RHP Derek Rodriguez (SFG):

Los Angeles Dodgers Stack

vs. RHP Zach Eflin (PHI): 5.40 Runs

Boston Red Sox Stack

vs. RHP Trent Thornton (TOR): 6.25 Runs

Honorable Mention

Houston Astros vs. RHP Griffin Canning (LAA): 4.90 Runs

Toronto Blue Jays vs. RHP Rick Porcello (BOS): 4.25 Runs

MLB DFS Hitting Stacks

Catcher

First Base

Second Base

Third Base

Shortstop

Outfield

Monkey Knife Fight Picks of the Day

Catcher

First Base

Second Base

Third Base

Shortstop

Outfield

Monkey Knife Fight Picks of the Day

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