Fantasy

Welcome to my NFL Daily Fantasy Sports guide for this Sunday’s games! In this article, I’ll walk you through my strategic approach for selecting top players and crafting optimal lineups to give you a winning edge in NFL DFS for 2024. I’ve thoroughly analyzed each game and position to highlight the best plays and explain the reasoning behind my selections.

*I’ll be updating this article on Sunday morning if there are any changes. Be sure to check back for the most current and accurate DFS plays.

Quarterback Rankings

• Geno Smith
• Jameis Winston 
• Jared Goff: Ranking the top three QB’s was difficult. Fine with any of them depending on your receiver builds.  
• Sam Darnold
• Bo Nix
• Drake Maye

Running Backs

Kareem Hunt

The Buffalo Bills give up the most fantasy points to running backs (30.3 per game) on the slate. They have been decent at stopping the run, allowing just the 15^th most rush yards per game (123 yards), which has improved over the last three games (100 yards per game). They have also only allowed five rushing TDs. The real damage comes in the passing game to running backs. They have been targeted a league-high 84 times (10 games), allowing also a league-high receptions (66) and receiving yards (545). They are also tied with the Titans for the most receiving TDs, allowing to backs (5). This lines up great for Kareem Hunt, who is a talented pass catcher, coming off a 10-target game, while the Chiefs lack reliable receivers in what has the potential to be a shootout. Hunt’s salary is still suppressed at $6,700; if he scores (which I think he does), you will have to have him. 

De’Von Achane

He is most likely the first guy in your lineup. He is still way underpriced on DraftKings for his role as a lead back and top receiving target in the Dolphins offense. The matchup against the Las Vegas Raiders, who travel across the country to South Beach, is just too good to ignore. The Raiders are 29^th in DVOA against the run while giving up 26.7 fantasy points per game to the position. 

Audric Estime

We saw Estime get the Lion’s share of the work against the Chiefs last game as the RB1. This came after the coaching staff said they were “going to give him a look”, in the press. This week Sean Payton was quoted saying “I was encouraged, He’ll continue to get more reps. While Joe Lombardi said, “If he keeps running the ball the way he did, It appears (he will continue to be the lead back)”.  Estime is only $4,500 on DraftKings, so getting anything north of 10 carries would be a solid price tag for him. Atlanta has made some improvement stopping the run but is still ranked 19^th in DVOA against the run. They have only allowed two rushing TDs on the season, which I was surprised to see, however, I am still willing to take a shot in GPPS to see what Estime has in the tank. 

Nick Chubb

You take a shot on Chubb at $6,000 as a buy-low opportunity going against the Saints that allows the most rushing TDs (12) on the slate. That’s all there is to it. He has not looked like his old self over the past three weeks so that certainly is concerning. However, against the Bengals, he was just being eased back in and his last two weeks against the Ravens and Chargers were no easy matchup. If you play Nick Chubb this week you are simply buying the dip here before he breaks out against a very beatable opponent in New Orleans. 

Christian McCaffrey

He is my second preference behind De’Von Achane. If you can fit him, load him up. 

Others to consider:

• Jahmyr Gibbs
• Alvin Kamara 
• Kenneth Walker
• Rhamondre Stevenson
• David Montgomery 

Wide Receiver 

Cedric Tillman

The volume for Tillman, at $5,300 on DraftKings is too hard to ignore. He is averaging 10 targets per game ever since Jameis Winston took over and draws a solid matchup against the Saints. New Orleans showed life last week against Atlanta, but that will be difficult to sustain with the loss of Marshon Lattimore. They allow the 7th most fantasy points to receivers on the year while being ranked 26th against the WR2. It is debatable if Tillman is the WR1 (who the Saints have played very well) or the WR2, but we have to remember this isn’t the same Saints secondary they had with Lattimore. Expect Jameis Winston to come out slinging in the Super Dome and for Tillman to be the key beneficiary. 

George Pickens

The Ravens are the worst team in the league defending the wide receiver, particularly on deep passes. They give up 47 fantasy points per game to the position (which was inflated after last week’s massive showing by Ja’Marr Chase). They have allowed the most receiving TDs (16) and total receiving yards (1992), which is over 200 more than the next worst team (Lions). Pickens is going to be Russell Wilson’s first look, and although his price tag has gone up, he is still a solid click in your DFS lineups (maybe more so in cash than GPP)

Calvin Ridley

Don’t look now but Calvin Ridley is back. He is coming off a two-TD game against a very difficult Chargers secondary. With DeAndre Hopkins out of town, Will Levis has been fighting for his job just forcing his top receiving option to the football for three weeks straight. Ridley has put up double-digit points in the past three weeks, assisted by pure volume. The game script here calls for plenty of passing from the Titan’s offense. The Vikings have allowed a lot of receivers production (3^rd most fantasy points to the position) in similar game scripts particularly to start the season. 

Jameson Williams

The Lions being without Sam LaPorta helps everyone on the offense. Williams finds himself in a particularly interesting spot being priced as a mid-tier receiver who moves all over the field in a very exploitable matchup against the Jacksonville Jaguars. The trio of Tyson Campbell, Jarrian Jones, and Ronald Darby, have been one of the worst secondaries in the league and now face a top two-offense lead by Jared Goff back in the Dome in Detroit. You are getting a touchdown out of at least three Lions, and Williams is in as good of a spot (salary considered) as all of them. 

Garrett Wilson

Nothing has changed for this Jets offense. They keep losing, but Aaron Rodgers is going to continue to force-feed his guys. Wilson draws the best primary matchup this week against Jaylon Jones, while Davante Adams is dealing with a wrist injury (although expected to play). 

Jauan Jennings

He gets the majority of the slot routes for the 49ers. George Kittle is unlikely to play meaning Purdy should push it to Jennings, Pearsall, and Samuel at a slightly higher rate. Jennings’s salary is more palatable than the Deebo Samuels, giving him a slight edge over the other San Francisco pass catchers. 

Additional Underpriced options:

• Courtland Sutton
• DeAndre Hopkins
• Patriots receivers

Others to consider/mix in MME

• Cooper Kupp: Christian Gonzalez should shadow Puka Nacua
• Justin Jefferson 
• Zay Flowers
• Tre Tucker

Tight End Rankings

• Dawson Knox: Increased opportunity, low salary, facing the worst team in the league defending the tight end.
• David Njoku
• Mark Andrews
• Taysom Hill 
• Hunter Henry 
• Davis Allen: Emerging TE1 for Matt Stafford at only $2,500

A lot of these injuries we will be discussing on the livestream tomorrow. 

Again, I will update this article if anything changes. Be sure to come back and check for the most up-to-date plays. 

Welcome to my NFL Daily Fantasy Sports guide for this Sunday’s games! In this article, I’ll walk you through my strategic approach for selecting top players and crafting optimal lineups to give you a winning edge in NFL DFS for 2024. I’ve thoroughly analyzed each game and position to highlight the best plays and explain the reasoning behind my selections.

*I’ll be updating this article on Sunday morning if there are any changes. Be sure to check back for the most current and accurate DFS plays.

Quarterback Rankings

• Jalen Hurts: Highest floor ceiling combo in elite matchup
• Brock Purdy: Better if Deebo Samuel is in
• Justin Herbert: Too cheap, easy stack candidate
• Baker Mayfield: Never fails, always under-owned
• Caleb Williams: way too cheap, easy enough to stack but you don’t have to
• Cooper Rush > Mac Jones 

Running Back 

Best Spend Ups:

• Saquon Barkley
• Alvin Kamara

Jonathan Taylor

The Colts likely need to establish the run here, and they should have much trouble doing so. Indy is without their WR1 and Joe Flacco has come back down to earth. Furthermore, a good way to beat Josh Allen is to keep him off the field and shorten the game by running the ball. The Bills give up the second most fantasy points to running backs, just behind the Carolina Panthers, in the league. They have been decent enough at stopping rushing TDs (5 allowed) but have gotten chewed up through the air giving up the single most receptions to backs (61) and tied for a league-worst receiving TDs to backs (4). 

Best Mid-Range

• James Cook
• Aaron Jones
• Rhamondre Stevenson (gaining interest here)
• Najee Harris

James Conner

The Jets are not good at stopping the run (24^th in DVOA against the rush). James Conner has been stacking up yards recently while averaging over 20 touches per game (rushing and receiving). In two of his past three games, he has eclipsed 100 yards rushing and this was against the Chargers and the Bears, two very good defenses. He is also used in the passing game which makes him a better play on DraftKings than FanDuel. 

Others to consider:

• Bijan Robinson
• Tyler Allgeier 
• Jordan McLaughlin (large field GPP)

Wide Receiver 

Atlanta Falcons news

We need to know if Drake London is in or out. If he is in, at $6,700, I am happy to play him and to find out just how healthy he is. The obvious dilemma is how much will they need him, and if he will just be playing a decoy role. That would open up opportunities in the run game and for the other pass catchers. With how bad the Saints are at stopping the run on the season, the Falcons could easily just lean into their two-headed run game monster. But, with the recent trade of Marshon Lattimore, it suddenly got easier to throw on the Saints as well. After Kyle Pitts, Darnell Mooney is the best option if London is out. Ray-Ray McCloud is certainly worth a shot in GPPs as well. 

Amari Cooper News: 

Currently, Amari Cooper is questionable with the same wrist injury that kept him out in Week 9. If he is ruled out Khalil Shakir, as well as Dalton Kincaid, immediately becomes a priority for a main lineup in both GPPs and Cash. 

Justin Jefferson

Justin Jefferson, the receiver who wanted one penny more than Ja’Marr Chase on his contract extension (allegedly), gets an elite matchup against the Jaguars defense that all the 4^th most fantasy points to receivers in the NFL. They are also dead last in DVOA against the pass. The matchup literally could not get better. He is the top spend-up at the position, on a week when there are plenty of question marks for higher-priced wide receivers. 

Josh Downs and the Colts 

With Michael Pittman out, your eye automatically looks for the next best option for the Colts receivers. That is going to be Josh Downs. You would probably assume as much with how Joe Flacco has elevated him, but then you also need to look at his primary matchup. He runs 85% of his routes out of the slot. The Bills slot corner, Taron Johnson, allows the most YPRC on the team. He allows over 3x the number of YPRC as Christian Benford, who plays on the outside. Downs will lead the active Bills receivers in YPRR by a mile, but he lacks in downfield plays. Both Alec Pierce and Adonai Mitchell are deep boom or bust plays that are cheap with potential in large-field GPPs. 

San Francisco 49ers 

Deebo Samuel is questionable. I tend to think he plays, in which case he is the best option, particularly in cash. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers allow an average of 38.4 fantasy points to receivers per game. In 9 weeks, they have given up 10 receiving TDs to receivers, 4 receiving TDs to tight ends, and 4 receiving TDs to running backs. Jauan Jennings and Ricky Pearsall are both also in play here. Jennings will get a significant amount of run in the slot while Pearsall will be used on the outside more. The TD week is coming for Pearsall and there aren’t many better defenses to do it against than the Buccaneers. If Samuel is out, jam in Jennings, Pearsall, or George Kittle. 

Others to consider/mix in MME

• Davante Adams or Garrett Wilson (whichever fits honestly-essentially the same play)
• Ladd McConkey
• Quentin Johnston
• Jordan Addison
• Sterling Shepard (Better if Jalen McMillian is out)
• Trey Palmer (Better if Jalen McMillian is out)
• Parker Washington 
• Kendrick Bourne

Tight End Rankings

• Cade Otton
• Dalton Kincaid (better if Cooper is out)
• George Kittle (better if Deebo is out)
• Kyle Pitts (better if London is out)
• Taysom Hill 
• Jake Ferguson 

A lot of these injuries we will be discussing on the livestream tomorrow. 

Again, I will update this article if anything changes. Be sure to come back and check for the most up-to-date plays. 

Welcome to my NFL Daily Fantasy Sports guide for this Sunday’s games! In this article, I’ll walk you through my strategic approach for selecting top players and crafting optimal lineups to give you a winning edge in NFL DFS for 2024. I’ve thoroughly analyzed each game and position to highlight the best plays and explain the reasoning behind my selections.

*I’ll be updating this article on Sunday morning if there are any changes. Be sure to check back for the most current and accurate DFS plays.

I am forced to write a shorter article this week as I am on vacation with the family. The same research went into this week as always.

Quarterback Rankings

• Josh Allen 
• Caleb Williams
• Matthew Stafford
• Gardner Minshew

Running Back 

Chase Brown 

He is already the top RB in Cincinnati, but now RB2 Zack Moss and his 5-9 touches, are inactive. While Brown has hit 100 rushing yards a single time this season, he has been effective in the red zone and in the passing game. He has 4 rushing TDs and one receiving TD in the past 5 weeks. He takes on a Raiders team that allows an average of one TD to backs (rushing and receiving) a game while giving up the 9^th most fantasy points to the position. The salary for Brown is too good to ignore. He is a cash game staple with some GPP upside. He makes way more sense if you are fading Ja’Marr Chase and the Bengals pass game. 

Alvin Kamara 

An obviously great spot going against the worst rush defense, but a long shot, in the league. They have allowed 13 rushing TDs, 3 more than the next worst teams (Patriots, Dolphins). You want a piece of the Saints offense, so if you can’t fit Kamara go Taysom Hill as a direct RB2 pivot or Chris Olave.  

Atlanta Falcons

I want some Bijan Robinson exposure but I am hesitant to go “all in” The matchup against the Cowboys is elite (30th in DVOA against the rush), but you can also throw on them and Kirk Cousins is thriving. Robinson has strung together 3 straight games of solid fantasy output of over 20 points, yet none have broken the slate (aside from when he was mispriced). He had an outlier game of 21 touches against SEA, but that is not the norm. Him getting mid-teens in carries is what we should expect. Tyler Allgeier is also involved. The Falcons run the ball at the second-lowest rate in the league, so for me, I would prefer to play Alvin Kamara at a slightly elevated salary in a better matchup. Robinson is a better cash play than tournament play in my opinion. 

Others to consider:

• James Cook: Great matchup and great Josh Allen leverage
• Kenneth Walker
• Jaymyr Gibbs: The Lions should lean run heavy today with all rain, he is in main lineup consideration
• D’Andre Swift: Continues to get it done and takes on 15th-ranked DVOA rush defense
• David Montgomery
• Tyrone Tracy 
• De’Von Achane
• Chuba Hubbard: The Saints have surpassed the Panthers as the worst rushing defense via DVOA

Wide Receiver 

Best Spend Ups:

• CeeDee Lamb
• Ja’Marr Chase
• Malik Nabers

Best Mid-Range:

Drake London

Cowboys will be missing DE Micah Parsons and CB DaRon Bland for sure. Corner Trevon Diggs is questionable. Drake London is the elite option regardless of Diggs’s playing. He bounces all over the field commanding a 24% target share, which is the 12^th highest in the league. If you can not fit him, consider Darnell Mooney in large-field GPP’s. He runs 40% of his routes on the left side of the field which is where the Cowboys have been hemorrhaging production. 

• Terry McLaurin
• Chris Olave
• Jakobi Meyers

Best Value:

• PJ Washinton
• Trey Tucker
• Jermain Burton 

Others to consider/mix in MME

• Tyreek Hill
• Cooper Kupp: If Puka is out, he becomes a priority
• Amari Cooper
• DJ Moore
• Khalil Shakir
• Jaylen Waddle
• Rome Odunze
• Cedric Tillman
• Jalen Coker: Ok for cash I guess, will be fading in GPPs

Tight End 

Top Options:

• Brock Bowers
• Taysom Hill 

You must always exercise caution when loading up Hill, but this seems like a week he should at least get the ball in his hands more than normal. The Swiss army knife QB/TE/RB will work as the Saints RB2, per Dennis Allen. This makes sense with both Kendre Miller and Jamaal Williams being ruled out. The matchup for running backs doesn’t get any better, and with the way the Saints use Hill around the goal line – from running, passing, and receiving – we are close to playing Hill as a SuperFlex in the tight end position this week. Locking in him or Kamara isn’t a bad path to go down.

Others to consider:

• A.J. Barner

Again, I will update this article if anything changes. Be sure to come back and check for the most up-to-date plays. I can already tell you I will be adding another running back in the morning.

Welcome to my NFL Daily Fantasy Sports guide for this Sunday’s games! In this article, I’ll walk you through my strategic approach for selecting top players and crafting optimal lineups to give you a winning edge in NFL DFS for 2024. I’ve thoroughly analyzed each game and position to highlight the best plays and explain the reasoning behind my selections.

*I’ll be updating this article on Sunday morning if there are any changes. Be sure to check back for the most current and accurate DFS plays.

Quarterback Rankings

Truth be told quarterback is the last position I am concerned with this week. I am building with RBs, WR, and TE and slotting in the QB that fits that build. You don’t need to force in the guy at the top of these rankings:

• Joe Burrow
• Jalen Hurts
• Caleb Williams 
• Jameis Winston 
• Kirk Cousins 
• Baker Mayfield
• Jordan Love

Running Back 

Kareem Hunt

The Raiders allow the 5^th most fantasy points to running backs in the league. Hunt has been a volume monster the past two weeks with the Chiefs struggling to keep their receiving core healthy. He has 49 carries and 3 catches over that time frame. He has surpassed 20 DK points in consecutive contests against the 49ers and the Saints. The Saints D-Line is just as bad as the Raiders while San Francisco is better, but still not good. At only a $6,300 salary on DraftKings, rostering Hunt makes it easy to spend up on some huge upside wide receiver plays. 

Javonte Williams 

He gets the luxury of facing the worst rush defense in the league (32nd in DVOA) at a salary of only $6,000. The Panthers have allowed 12 rushing TDs in just 7 weeks while allowing the most yards on the ground and most fantasy points (32.9). He is also coming off his best game of the season, rushing for 88 yards (meh) and getting in the box twice. He isn’t exactly a high-volume option, but he is the Broncos lead rusher nonetheless. He is a lock in cash games, and I will also have plenty in GPPs. 

Rachaad White

There are going to be ample opportunities for any offensive player wearing a Tampa Bay jersey as the price had not adjusted before the Mike Evans and Chris Godwin injuries. White, who broke out in Week 7, is only $5,700 on DraftKings. I expect the Buccaneers to attempt to establish the run against the Atlanta Falcons, which is not an impossible task. They are ranked 19^th against the run via DVOA and they allow the 11^th most receptions to RBs. White will get starter carries, although certainly Bucky Irving (who is questionable) and Sean Tucker will get their attempts too. The best path for the Bucs is to slow the game down and gradually move the chains down the field while keeping Kirk Cousins on the sidelines. White is also the most reliable pass-catching back for Baker Mayfield, as proven last week with 6 catches and two receiving touchdowns.

Note: If Bucky Irving is out, Sean Tucker could see close to 10 touches. 

Others to consider:

• Derrick Henry
• Kenneth Walker
• Joe Mixon
• Devon Achane
• J.K. Dobbins
• Breece Hall
• Chase Brown 

Wide Receiver 

These are not necessarily listed in order of preference. There is a lot to like this week.

Tyreek Hill

Tua is back, and Tyreek Hill is the cheapest I remember seeing him. Don’t overthink this one. Lock him in and keep moving. 

A.J. Brown

The Eagles and Bengals game has the potential to be a high-scoring shootout. Brown will see a lot of Cam Tyler-Britt (1.28 YPRC) while having the highest YPRR in the entire league at 3.78. Brown is also in the top 10 of Target %. The Bengals are ranked 22^nd against the WR1 (Brown) while being ranked 2^nd against the WR2 (Smith). This matchup is one of the best I have seen all season and he is coming in at 6% owned. I will not sacrifice Tyreek Hill for Brown but I will certainly play them together. 

Jaxon Smith-Njigba

All the Seattle receivers are technically underpriced this week with DK Metcalf doubtful. JSN runs out of the slot on 85% of his routes, which happens to be where the Bills struggle the most. Slot Corner Taron Johnson allows 1.45 YPR, which is more than twice as much as the outside corners. There is no issue taking a shot on Tyler Lockett as well, but JSN is the preference. 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Look, all of these guys are in play. They are all under $3,800 on DraftKings and will play essentially every snap with an MVP candidate in a game they are likely trailing. Make no mistake, I think they will attempt to establish the run, but they are still going to have to throw the ball. 

I would like to think that Jalen McMillan would be featured in the slot more, but it isn’t a guarantee. The safer route, for DFS players is to assume that all three of the starting receivers move all over the field, like they have been doing all season when they have had the opportunity to play. Trey Palmer technically has the highest slot route percentage out of everyone but that is also misleading due to who he was on the field with. Palmer makes the most sense to put on the outside in my opinion. 

I honestly think the safest play is Sterling Shepard, simply due to the chemistry he has shown with Mayfield in the NFL and at Oklahoma. He technically has the lowest target % out of the starters, however, he was on the field with Evans and Godwin a lot. He does have the highest air-yard targets, but it is only slightly higher than Jalen McMillan. Trey Palmer is behind both Shepard and McMillan on the depth chart, but that no longer matters. He will be out there a ton and is more than capable of doing enough to beat a $3,500 salary. 

The cornerback’s matchups just don’t mean much here. Jalen McMillan and Sterling Shepard are tied for my first choice here. Trey Palmer will be the dude if I don’t have the salary for anyone else. I will certainly have at least one of these guys (or Cade Otton) on my main lineup. 

Cedric Tillman/Elijah Moore

Tillman emerged last week with 8 catches on 12 targets after the Amari Cooper trade. This week he takes on the Ravens (18^th in DVOA against the pass) at only $3,300. You don’t have to do much to exceed value. He will run on the perimeter for the majority of his routes, largely avoiding Marlon Humphry (Update: Humphry was downgraded to doubtful). There are no stats to point to for any of the Brown’s receivers this season that are encouraging, but of course, he had a terrible quarterback throwing him the ball. This is simply a “chase” play that makes a lot of sense considering the game script of the Ravens likely leading for the majority of the game.  

I would love to go contrarian with Elijah Moore, who no one is talking about, after catching 6 of 7 targets in the same week. The slot matchup DID look terrible, but now that Marlon Humphrey is doubtful it has gotten much better. He is priced slightly higher at $3,700 and might be worth a small shot in the Milly Maker. That being said, I am not playing him over any of the TB values. 

Amari Cooper

He has another week under his belt working with the Bills offense and is still priced as if Deshaun Watson is throwing him the ball. He pulls a primary matchup of Nehemiah Pritchett, who I have been targeting pretty regularly. He allows 1.54 YPRC which is the second worst on the slate facing a “stud” receiver, behind only Zay Flowers. 

Ja’Marr Chase

The Eagles are the worst team against the WR1 and Chase averages the most fantasy points in the league (tied with Chris Godwin) for a wide receiver. You do the math. 

DeAndre Hopkins

$4,700 for Mahomes top receiver? Yes, please. Side note, a pairing of Amari Cooper and Devante Adams won the Milly on FanDuel last week. Vet “Studs” moving teams just means they are underpriced. They don’t need to “know the playbook”.

Hint: You can easily make Tyreek Hill, AJ Brown, and Ja’Marr Chase lineups this week with all the plays from this article. 

Others to consider/mix in MME

• Drake London
• DJ Moore
• Tyler Lockett
• Jerry Jeudy 
• Zay Flowers: Fantastic matchup, but a little beat up, and the game script doesn’t scream play Ravens receivers
• Calvin Ridley
• Elijah Moore

Tight End 

Cade Otton

This one is pretty simple. It is basically Tucker Kraft 2.0 from Week 5. He is clearly way underpriced and will be mega TE chalk. If you are playing anything including cash games, single entry, 3-Max, or a Milly Maker you probably just eat the chalk here. The Buccaneers are decimated at the wide receiver and we saw exactly what Baker Mayfield is going to do with no Mike Evans or Chris Godwin. The MVP candidate is still going to let it fly and we saw Otton be the main beneficiary. He should exceed his salary just on catches alone. The yardage and hopefully a score is just icing on the creamsicle cake. I will have a ton of these guys. 

Noah Fant

DK Metcalf is doubtful and Fant has caught the last 21 passes Geno Smith has sent his direction. He is only $3,700. 

Others to consider: ( I am not opposed to playing 2 tight ends this week, especially on National Tight End Day)

• David Njoku
• Brock Bowers

Again, I will update this article if anything changes. Be sure to come back and check for the most up-to-date plays. I can already tell you I will be adding another running back in the morning.

Welcome to my NFL Daily Fantasy Sports guide for this Sunday’s games! In this article, I’ll walk you through my strategic approach for selecting top players and crafting optimal lineups to give you a winning edge in NFL DFS for 2024. I’ve thoroughly analyzed each game and position to highlight the best plays and explain the reasoning behind my selections.

*I’ll be updating this article on Sunday morning if there are any changes. Be sure to check back for the most current and accurate DFS plays.

Sunday Updates:

• Tyler Goodson should be added to the RB player pool
• Joe Mixon should also be added to the RB player pool as a top 5 back
• JuJu is a good $4K option if you need it

Quarterback Rankings

• Jayden Daniels 
• Sam Darnold
• Geno Smith 
• Kirk Cousins 

GPP Punts

• Daniel Jones
• Anthony Richardson 

Running Back 

Saquon Barkley

Anything less than 100+ yards and 2 TDs in this spot will be a disappointment, but I think we get it. Spare can spare me your bad takes on how returning to the Meadowlands doesn’t mean anything to Barkley. He wants to stick it to them. His coaches know it is time to let Barkley shine. There won’t be any Jalen Hurts “tush pushes” on the one-yard line, instead, there will be give it to Barkley and let him run it down the poverty Giants throats. This is an organization in the Eagles that let Boston Scott get 9 touchdowns in 10 games against the Giants purely based on the narrative that he does it every single time (almost). The DFS nerds victory lapped him failing the last two times after they missed out on the first 8 easy money anytime TD bets. Not that you need a narrative against the Giants, but you have a big one here. If for some reason you need another reason to play Barkley, he leads the NFL in fantasy points per game (21.08) that is playing on the main slate. He also makes for very good leverage if you fade the Eagles receivers. 

My crystal ball says he is the highest-scoring running back on the slate and possibly a player.

Kyren Williams

He is a high-volume back against a Las Vegas Raiders team ranked 28th in DVOA against the run. The Raiders allow 28.1 DK points per game to the running back and are coming off a matchup against the Steelers where they let Najee Harris show life for the first time this season. Williams is a great spend-up if you can afford it. 

Chuba Hubbard

He just continues to exceed value no matter the game script. Washington should almost certainly beat the Panthers here, but even a trailing Andy Dalton will get Hubbard involved in the passing game. Aside from Week 1, Hubbard has at least 4 targets in every game. He averages 17.1 DK points per game, and that counts him only scoring 1.4 DK points in Week 1. He is truly having a breakout season and we may catch an ownership discount due to DFS players factoring in the blowout risk. 

Chase Brown

Are we witnessing the flippening in Cincinnati? Last week Chase Brown out-snapped Zack Moss 62% compared to 45%. He also got 10 carries and 3 targets compared to Moss’s 6 carries and 1 target. This game could get ugly for the Browns, and fast. The Bengals need wins, and messing around against a Browns team, that just lost Amari Cooper, isn’t something they can afford. Brown has averaged 18 DK points in the past three weeks compared to Moss’s 9.1 DK points. The Browns are ranked 20th in DVOA against the run, which is worse than the Seahawks, Falcons, Colts, and Jaguars. I do not love the fact that he isn’t guaranteed starter volume, but I do like his odds a lot on finding the endzone. Perhaps that makes him a better FanDuel play. 

Others to consider:

• Kenneth Walker/Zach Charbonnet: Charbonnet going to be a priority if Ken Walker gets ruled out
• Brian Robinson: A+ matchup, A+ salary yet a major volume risk with his knee injury that sidelined him in the second half of last week’s game.
• Tony Pollard 

Wide Receiver 

Drake London or Darnell Mooney 

Seattle put safety Rayshawn Jenkins on IR this week. Cornerbacks Riq Woolen and Tre Brown have also been ruled out. The Seahawks are going to try to piece together a secondary against the Falcons, and the pieces they have to play with are not encouraging. 

Both Falcons receivers get the benefit of playing in what Vegas thinks could be a high-scoring affair while having one of the better cornerback matchups in the league. Nehemiah Pritchett is the target corner who is allowing the second most yards per route run for any starting corner in the league (1.93). He plays more on the right 63% which is where Drake London runs 39.7% of his routes and Darnell Mooney runs 25.5% of his routes. Coby Bryant will likely step into the slot corner role, which will be a positive for all three Falcons receivers. Devon Witherspoon hasn’t been terrible and should stick to the left side of the field the most. The Falcons are fantastic in scheming the receiver they want open, and I expect no difference here. Drake London is clearly their guy with a 26.1%  target share (Mooney has a 20%). One, if not both of them, should have a fantastic day. 

Malik Nabers

The Eagles pass defense is terrible. They have supplanted the Washington Commanders as the worst team via DVOA against the WR1. Nabers is back from his two-week absence after dropping three straight must-have weeks in a row. In those three games, he had a staggering 45 targets against CLE, WAS, and DAL. The Eagles are not going to shadow which allows the Giants to scheme Nabers open plenty. Nabers is the 7th highest-priced receiver and he has a legitimate chance to finish the Sunday as the WR1. Hell, he may even bring Daniel Jones ($5,400) along with him on a GPP winner. 

Jordan Addison

The Detroit Lions allow the most receiving yards on the slate, yet they have only given up 3 receiving TDs. Justin Jefferson is the best spend-up on the slate. I just want to get that out there. But, if you do not land on JJ, then take a look at Jordan Addison as a direct leverage play. When you look at how they line up on the left side of the field (where I want to target), it is identical. They both have run 33% of routes on the left where Carlton Davis lives. He is getting demolished and that is where the chunk plays are going to come from. Jefferson has far more YPRR than Addison (2.99 compared to 1.99) yet Addison has far more air yards (17.9 compared to 14.2). Remember when I said chunk plays before? That’s what we must have from Addison, and that is what you can get if JJ somehow doesn’t have a monster day. Again, don’t get it twisted Jefferson is the best play, but Addison has me intrigued. 

Jackson Smith-Njigba

Technically JSN has the ideal slot matchup here running 86% of his routes against Dee Alford. Alford allows 1.53 YPRC, which is significantly higher than the other Falcons corners. The one thing that is hard to ignore is DK Metcalf is only $1,000 more expensive than JSN. The Falcons don’t shadow so the Seahawks should be scheming to get Metcalf open, which isn’t that hard against ATL. Metcalf leads the Seahawks in Target %, YPRR, and AirYards. However, JSN leads the Seahawks in Target % inside the 20-yard line (38.9%). I have to trust the numbers and say JSN is a better play, but there is no way I am leaving salary on the table to play him over DK Metcalf. Both are solid and one should find the endzone. 

Amon-Ra St. Brown

Did you know that the Vikings allow the single most fantasy points to receivers in the league? I did not. St. Brown runs out of the slot which is by far the softest spot on the Viking’s secondary. The Detroit offense is a constant “get right” game for whoever didn’t score the week before. That being said, they have so many ways to hurt you that you don’t have to rely on only one or two guys to move the ball. They have 5 solid options they can spread it around to. I would reserve St. Brown for MME, and by playing him you are hoping the talent priced above him (Jefferson, Chase) busts. 

Jalen Coker

Diontae Johnson is currently questionable against Washington. If he plays will be shadowed by Benjamin St-Juste, but that actually may be a good thing for Johnson IF it were just a one-on-one situation. The Commanders are 31^st against the WR1, but when there is only one legitimate passing threat that you are concerned about (Johnson in this case), they could very easily double him and make Xavier Legette or min-priced Jalen Coker beat you. Coker has gone 7-7 in the past two weeks and has earned a 13.1% target share. That isn’t a huge number, but for $3,000 on DraftKings, it is pretty good. Let’s also consider the game script here. The Panthers are going to be trailing, and the second half should be full of passing opportunities. Even if it gets out of hand both Legette and Coker need some reps and probably don’t come off the field. 

Others to consider/mix in MME

• Ja’Marr Chase
• Tank Dell: Too cheap at $6,500 
• Terry McLaurin
• Devonta Smith 
• Christian Watson: Why is he only $4,900?
• Michael Pittman: CLE is 28^th vs WR1
• Jaylen Waddle
• Trey Tucker
• DJ Turner

Tight End 

George Kittle

Kittle has been the most consistent high-scoring tight end of the past month, scoring at least 20 DK points three times. He is now taking on a Chiefs team that allows the most fantasy production to tight ends giving up 18.6 DK points per game. They have allowed the second-most receptions and the second-most yards in the league while only having 5 games under their belt.  He is a better play on DraftKings than FanDuel due to pricing. 

Jonnu Smith

He comes in at only $3,400 after getting 8 targets in his last game with Snoop Huntley. There have been reports that Smith and Waddle were working over the break together running routes, while others were out on vacation. That can’t hurt. 

Other Tight End Notes

• Brock Bowers: We know that Bowers is the only body in town who can move the chains for the Raiders (12 targets last week). Sean McVay knows that as well and has had 2 weeks to prep for it.
• Grant Calcaterra: He is cheap TE chalk on an Eagles team that isn’t lacking playmakers. I will mostly fade.
• David Njoku: He in theory should get more targets with Cooper out of town, yet Deshaun Watson is still his QB. Watson is too bad to consider Njoku in your main lineup.

Again, I will update this article if anything changes. Be sure to come back and check for the most up-to-date plays. I can already tell you I will be adding another running back in the morning.

Welcome to my NFL Daily Fantasy Sports guide for this Sunday’s games! In this article, I’ll walk you through my strategic approach for selecting top players and crafting optimal lineups to give you a winning edge in NFL DFS for 2024. I’ve thoroughly analyzed each game and position to highlight the best plays and explain the reasoning behind my selections.

*I’ll be updating this article on Sunday morning if there are any changes. Be sure to check back for the most current and accurate DFS plays.

Quarterback 

Spencer Rattler

Every few seasons we get a DFS gift such as we got this week. We have a quarterback (doesn’t matter who) starting at $4,000. It also doesn’t matter what the matchup is when you have a QB priced like this, but this Tampa Bay defense just got lit up by Kirk Cousins for 505 passing yards, which was an Atlanta franchise record.  You just plug Rattler in and move on. You can pair him with a WR if you want but you don’t have to. A large portion of almost everyone else in his price range hasn’t even taken a snap on an NFL field this season or are practice squad players.

Dak Prescott

The Detroit Lions are elite at stopping the run (3^rd least number of fantasy points allowed to the RB) and the Dallas Cowboys are one of the worst teams running the football. Dak Prescott is going to have to throw it, perhaps more than he has all season.  The good news for him is that the Lions give up the second most fantasy points to receivers (48.3 per game), and Dak only throws predictable volume to a few pass catchers. If you don’t land on Dak, because you have Spencer Rattler, then get at least one of his receivers or Jake Ferguson.  

Others to consider:

• Lamar Jackson

Running Back 

Best Spend Up: Derrick Henry 

Bucky Irving

You have been waiting to play Bucky Irving and now is your chance. The matchup on paper against the Saints isn’t something you usually target, but the salary and upside of the explosive Irving make it hard to not make him one of your first clicks. He should be game script proof, whether they are leading or playing catchup, and if he scores you 100% will have to have him. 

Bijan Robinson

This is his cheapest salary ($6,600) I can ever remember and he takes on a Carolina Panthers team that is ranked 26^th in DVOA against the run. Drake London having a tough matchup leads me to another skill position in this offense. Darnell Mooney is my overall favorite Falcon, but if you need a RB, landing on Bijan is a good way to go, especially in cash games. 

James Conner

It is going to rain during the Green Bay game. They may be forced to focus on the run more than they initially intended heading into the week. The Packers have shown holes on the defensive line, yet they have not been exploited every week due to the game script. They have only been “run on” 99 times this year yet allow the 14th most fantasy points to running backs. It is not a “smash” spot, but Conner is a guy who often slips through the cracks for DFS players. He is averaging 16.1 DK points per game. That is more than Bijan Robinson, Josh Jacobs, and Tony Pollard. 

Others to consider:

• Saquon Barkley
• Alvin Kamara: Incredible pivot from Spencer Rattler 
• David Montgomery: Matchup plus gut call
• Tony Pollard
• Austin Ekeler
• J.K. Dobbins
• Antonio Gibson

Wide Receiver 

CeeDee Lamb and the Dallas Cowboys 

A lot of the reason why I will be playing Lamb is under the Dak Prescott section. I will be forcing at least one Cowboy pass catcher, including tight end, in every lineup that I make. Lamb should continue to be the target monster running 50% of his routes out of the slot. The softest spot on their secondary is the technically left side covered by Carlton Davis. Lamb is on the left about 24% of the time, while Jalen Brooks and Jalen Tolbert essentially split the other snaps. Tolbert has established himself as the clear WR2, but in a shootout, there is no reason to cross Brooks’ name out of your MME player pool at only $3,300. 

Chris Godwin 

Mike Evans will be facing Marshon Lattimore in shadow coverage again this week which in theory should slow down Evans and funnel passes to slot receiver Chris Godwin. Godwin has a higher target share (23.3%) than Evans already as well as a higher YPRR (2.41). There are two concerns I have with this play. The first is that the game gets out of hand due to struggling QB play from the Saints. Secondly, Evans does have a good day. He is currently sitting on 99 career-receiving TDs and I would be a lot of money for him and Baker to have a plan to drop his 100^th today on Lattimore for career bragging rights plus a touch of spite. 

Darnell Mooney 

Drake London is going to be shadowed by Jaycee Horn, which should push the volume over toward Darnell Mooney again who is having a breakout season. Mooney has a 21% target share, compared to London’s 24% target share, showing the confidence Cousins already has in him. He is going to see a ton of Mike Jackson who allows 1.45 YPRC compared to just 0.84 YPRC by Horn. I love Mooney this week and he will most likely find himself on my main lineup. Given the salaries and matchup, I am not excluding him from Bijan Robinson builds. 

Jameson Williams

I like the matchup for Williams but think I prefer to ground game or Sam LaPorta to fill a tight end spot. He runs 33% of his routes on the left side of the field occupied by Caelen Carson who gives up 1.77 YPRC. For those wondering Amon-Ra St. Brown runs 20% of his routes on the left, so there will still be ample opportunity for him there and out of the slot vs Jourdan Lewis.  This is the highest rate on the entire slate by a corner. Williams as a last receiver in as a guy who can break a big play isn’t something I am not avoiding. The targets have been down the past two weeks, but let’s not forget this is a guy who got 20 targets in the first two games. There are ups and down weeks for guys like Williams, and if he sees any kind of significant volume, from his QB who just threw a perfect game, he could find himself on the GPP winning lineup. 

Others to consider/mix in MME

• Amon Ra St. Brown
• A.J. Brown
• Stefon Diggs
• Jayden Reed
• Chris Olave
• DeVonta Smith 
• Tank Dell
• Alec Pierce/Adonai Mitchell – we need the Colts news
• DeAndre Hopkins
• George Pickens 
• Ladd McConkey 
• There is value in the Las Vegas receivers (Tre Tucker and DJ Turner) but depending on how you build you may not need to reach here. 

Tight End Rankings

1. Sam LaPorta
2. Jake Ferguson
3. Brock Bowers
4. Hunter Henry 

I am spending down at QB, so I don’t need to find a value punt this week. 

Again, I will update this article if anything changes. Be sure to come back and check for the most up-to-date plays. I can already tell you I will be adding another running back in the morning.

Welcome to my NFL Daily Fantasy Sports guide for this Sunday’s games! In this article, I’ll walk you through my strategic approach for selecting top players and crafting optimal lineups to give you a winning edge in NFL DFS for 2024. I’ve thoroughly analyzed each game and position to highlight the best plays and explain the reasoning behind my selections.

*I’ll be updating this article on Sunday morning if there are any changes. Be sure to check back for the most current and accurate DFS plays.

Sunday Update:

• My top RBs are Mason, Jacobs, Henry and Sermon
• Fading Walker
• Having a growing concern with the Jacksonville game due to the weather
• Sutton has moved up the board for me
• Dalton Schultz at TE if you do not have a Texan
• Mark Andrews pays off
• Jayden Daniels has been added to the pool

Quarterback 

Joe Flacco 

It feels like either the Colt’s pass game or run game (Trey Sermon) will make the optimal. The Jaguars on the other side are set up nicely to score points so I want to lean into the Colt’s pass game as I think there is a good chance they are trailing and have to abandon Sermon to some extent in the 4th quarter. Flacco has looked more than competent as a passer in the first game with the Colts and certainly at the end of last season with the Browns. The Jaguars are ranked dead last in defensive DVOA. This includes being last (32nd) in DVOA against the pass and 11th against the run. They have also been the third-worst team making a tackle in the open field which gives more encouragement one of his receivers can bust open a big play. 

Others to consider:

• Jordan Love
• Lamar Jackson
• Trevor Lawrence: I like his pass catchers so I guess I like him in GPPs 
• Brock Purdy

Running Back 

Best Pay Ups that don’t need much explanation. The combination of skill, volume, and matchup makes them clear top options. They are listed in order of preference. 

• Derrick Henry
• Kyren Williams
• Jordan Mason
• Kenneth Walker

Josh Jacobs

In Week 1 he had a bad matchup against the Eagles. In Week 2 he crushed with 32 carries and 151 yards, he just didn’t get in the endzone. In Week 3, Jordan Love was out and the offensive plans changed. In Week 4, the Packers fell way behind and his rushing attempts were scripted out. In Week 5, it is all lining up nicely for Josh Jacobs. Love is back, and two of the three starting receivers from Week 1 are out. Jacobs also gets to take on a Rams team that is 31^st in DVOA against the run and has allowed the single most rushing yards (524) in the league. He makes for an excellent pivot off the Packers pass game (not that Reed and Wicks are bad plays). All we need is for the game script to go Jacobs’s way for more rushing opportunities, and honestly, that is the most likely scenario. 

Alexander Mattison

Let me take you back to the year 2022 when Dalvin Cook was ruled out and we all lock-buttoned Alexander Mattison at a deflated salary in every DFS lineup we made. Those were the good old days. Then last season happened and he was a major letdown. The same thing could be said for Tony Pollard when he got opportunities with Zeke out or limited. They were both explosive backups that didn’t prevail in their new roles last season. Well, Pollard is having a bit of a resurgence. Could the same be true for Mattison? Perhaps, even though it is a difficult matchup. The Broncos are ranked 5^th in DVOA against the run while allowing only one rushing TD. The thing is that the Raiders may just be forced to try and establish the run, and maybe, just maybe, Mattison breaks one. The Broncos are going to take Jacoby Meyers out of the game, and DeVante Adams is already out of there, so they really have no choice but the see what Mattison has left in the tank. I am willing to let him hurt me one more time or win me a bunch of money.

Trey Sermon

I am typically a Sermon hater but I was watching some recent film on him and he looked surprisingly spry. I don’t hate the play as much as I thought I would. He is certainly safer than Tyrone Tracy.

Antonio Gibson

Gibson is in line to start for the Patriots with Rhamondre Stevenson losing his job, for at least a week, due to fumbling issues. The Dolphins are bad at defending the run, allowing 29 DraftKings points per game to the position. They have allowed 472 rushing yards through 4 games and a league-high 7 rushing touchdowns. Gibson has looked pretty good in a limited run for New England. He has the 10th-highest YPA for running backs (5.2) and should be used in the passing game.  

Tyrone Tracy

I am considering him as a fill-in for Devin Singletary ONLY based on his salary of $4,300. He likely sees the majority of starter snaps, but I am not so sure that is going to be a high number. In his last season in the NCAA, he averaged just over 10 carries per game and 1.7 receptions per game. He is apparently a converted wide receiver but I have seen no evidence of it by simply checking his receiving statistics in college. The matchup is bad. Seattle is ranked 7th in DVOA against the rush. He is only worth a dart throw in large-field GPPs because he is so cheap. That’s all. 

Others to consider:

• James Cook
• Jerome Ford

Wide Receiver 

Indianapolis Colts

One thing we know about Joe Flacco is he will stand in the pocket and pepper his top pass catchers. This pass game for the Colts be a larger focus than usual with Jonathan Taylor sitting out and Trey Sermon getting the start. Passing is certainly going to be the easiest way to move the chains. The Jags allow the 4th most receptions and 5^th most fantasy points to receivers, but to be transparent they also haven’t been great at stopping the run. Michael Pittman runs a relatively even split on the outside, while Joshua Downs absorbs 94% of the slot routes. Jarrian Jones covers the slot, while Ronald Darby and Montaric Brown occupy the outside. There is not a bad matchup on paper for either of the receivers. The mid-range price tag on both Pittman and Downs put them firmly in play. 

Stefon Diggs

I am going to run it back with Diggs this week against his former team, the Buffalo Bills. The narrative is not the only reason of course although that is a real motivator, especially after Josh Allen’s public “dig” at Diggs two weeks ago. We still have a Houston team that is going to need to throw it with Joe Mixon out. Plus we have much tougher matchups on the outside for Tank Dell and Nico Collins (not that it appears to matter). Diggs runs out of the slot in 64% of his routes. The Bills slot corner allows 2.67 YPRC. This is the second-worst rate in the entire league for starting corners. Diggs should eat early and often in this one, which you know he has had circled on his calendar. 

Green Bay Packers

The Los Angeles Rams are ranked 31^st in DVOA against receivers. They are ranked 12^th against the WR 1 and 31st against the WR 2. Christian Watson and Romeo Doubs are out. Jayden Reed and Dontayvion Wicks are going to be the two main receivers who benefit. Both played over 75% of snaps last week, and that was with Romeo Doubs in. Reed gets most of the slot routes (87%) and has shown the most promise when given the expanded opportunity so he is my preferred receiver. That being said, I am perfectly fine landing on Wicks if I do not have the extra $1,500 to get Reed. 

Brian Thomas Jr. 

Although I do like the primary slot matchup for Kirk, I will lean more toward Brian Thomas Jr. against the Colts who run a ton of zone coverage. Thomas’s primary matchup is going to be against Jaylon Jones on the right side of the field for about 60% of snaps. Jones allows by far the most air yards and YPRC on the Jags. 

Side note: Evan Engram is not expected to play. 

Rome Odunze

DJ Moore is going to be shadowed by Jaycee Horn in his “revenge game” who has been solid. Keenan Allen will get the majority of the slot routes, which are covered by Troy Hill, who is allowing less YPRC than Jaycee Horn. Most of the production against the Panther secondary comes at the expense of Mike Jackson who will swap sides with Horn and primarily be on Rome Odunze. He allows over twice as much production as Horn per target. I don’t love Rome, but on paper, he has the best matchup. That is unless DJ Moore is in Caleb Williams’s ear begging for a ton of targets against his old team. 

Courtland Sutton

I have been convincing myself it is time to buy low on Bo Nix after his very tough schedule to start his career. However, there is really no reason to play him and just not play his top pass catcher Sutton. If Bo has a good day, Sutton certainly will have a better one. 

Others to consider/mix in MME

• DK Metcalf
• Deebo Samuel 
• Amari Cooper
• Xavier Legette 
• Courtland Sutton
• Tee Higgins
• Rashod Bateman
• Tee Higgins
• Tutu Atwell
• Jordan Whittington
• Keon Coleman
• Mack Hollins

Tight End 

Brenton Strange

Evan Engram is not expected to play so we get another opportunity to play Brenton Strange. He has been consistent (for a tight end), in somewhat difficult matchups. He gets to take on the Colts this Sunday, who are much worse against tight ends than the Texans, Bills, and Browns who he has recently seen. The Colts allow 14.7 fantasy points to the position per game. They have allowed 2 receiving TDs this season to tight ends, whereas the three teams I mentioned above have allowed a combined 2 receiving tight ends (one at the hands of Strange). 

Tucker Kraft

I have a really hard time chasing points at tight end, especially when they are chalk but it is hard to deny that it is a good spot for Kraft at only $3,500.  

Best Spend ups:

• Dalton Kincaid
• Brock Bowers

Others to consider:

• Mike Gesicki 
• Dalton Schultz
• Mark Andrews: Salary play, “cold check”
• Theo Johnson 

Again, I will update this article if anything changes. Be sure to come back and check for the most up-to-date plays. I can already tell you I will be adding another running back in the morning.

Welcome to my NFL Daily Fantasy Sports guide for this Sunday’s games! In this article, I’ll walk you through my strategic approach for selecting top players and crafting optimal lineups to give you a winning edge in NFL DFS for 2024. I’ve thoroughly analyzed each game and position to highlight the best plays and explain the reasoning behind my selections.

*I’ll be updating this article on Sunday morning if there are any changes. Be sure to check back for the most current and accurate DFS plays.

Sunday Morning Update:

• Brian Robinson is firmly in play at RB2
• Brock Bowers: Get some
• Tre Tucker is a very good value WR, DJ Turner should play the WR3
• Tommy Tremble is in the player pool at TE
• Jakobi Meyers should also be in your player pool
• Johnny WIlson and Paris Campbell are now value receivers with AJ Brown being ruled out, I like them less than the LV recievers
• Zack Moss is added to the RB pool
• Brenton Strange is in the TE player pool

Quarterback Rankings

I touch on the matchups for these QBs in the receiver section so typing them again here would just be redundant. I have opted to just do rankings. 

• Kyler Murray
• Andy Dalton
• Joe Burrow
• Jayden Daniels 
• Justin Fields

Running Back 

Aaron Jones

He has been fantastic this season and now gets a good matchup against his former team, the Green Bay Packers. The Packers are ranked 20^th in DVOA against the rush while allowing 25.3 DraftKings points per game to the running back.  

Jones averages 5.4 YPC, which is the third-best rate for starting running backs, only behind J.K. Dobbins and Saquon Barkley. He will get his 15-20 carries while being relied on in the passing game. He has seen 6 targets per game in the past two games, which is the second most on the Vikings in that period only behind Justin Jefferson. The Packers have allowed the 6th most yards to pass-catching backs through three games. 

Jones is a guy who shows up in big spots, and returning home to Lambeau Field certainly is for him. He is scoring and is underpriced at only $6,400. 

Jordan Mason

He didn’t get there last week against the Rams, as it was the Jauan Jennings game. He did however still have a decent showing (19 carries for 17 yards with a 4.1 YPC). With George Kittle back, and Deebo Samuel questionable, the Patriots are going to have to show more respect to the passing game than the Rams chose to do in Week 3. Mason still leads the league in rushing attempts (67) with a disrespectful salary on DraftKings ($6,700). 

Saquan Barkley 

DeVonta Smith has been ruled out and A.J. Brown is questionable. Even if Brown plays, Barkley will be in the exact same situation he was last week. He will be the focal point on the offense, behind a phenomenal offensive line on a team down one of their top receiving targets. 

Others to consider:

• Brian Robinson
• Najee Harris
• Rachaad White: He would be boosted significantly if Bucky Irving is ruled out

Wide Receiver 

Marvin Harrison Jr. 

This is an elite spot for Harrison Jr. First he gets to take on the Washington Commanders who have the worst pass defense in the league. They allowed the most fantasy points to receivers (54.1) and the most fantasy points to quarterbacks (25.4). They are ranked 30^th against WR1, 24^th against WR2, and 31st against WR3, via DVOA. The trio of Michael Davis, Mike Sainristil, and Benjamin St-Juste have been getting torched all season, and that won’t change this Sunday. Also, take into account that Trey McBride is out for Kyler Murray and you can be certain that even more targets should funnel toward Harrison Jr. Playing the top receiver against the Commanders hasn’t failed yet this season and there is no reason to think that it will in Week 4. 

Harrion Jr.’s direct pivots would be Greg Dortch, Michael Wilson, and Elijah Higgins. I plan on having some of both receivers and the TE in my MME lineups, especially if I fade Harrison Jr. 

Diontae Johnson

It is going to be tough to ignore his 14 targets for 122 yards under Carolina’s new QB Andy Dalton took over. Compound that with Adam Thielen has landed on IR, Johnson’s targets seem even more likely. The Panthers are incapable of establishing the run (despite last week) so the Red Rifle will be slinging it, whether they are winning or trailing. This Panther’s team takes on a Bengals defensive unit that was not able to stop the Washington Commanders on a single drive last week. Every time the Commanders were on offense, they scored. That is just incredible. Sometimes you see teams step up after such a poor start to the season, and getting thumped on national TV. I do expect the Bengals to do just that as they know losing to the Panthers on Sunday could quite literally end their season. That being said, the prices on the Panthers offense, and expected target share for the receivers keeps them in GPP consideration. 

Note: Last week the WR chalk busted. The direct pivots off of Johnson are Xaiver Leggette, Jonathan Mingo, and Tommy Tremble if you want to mix them in GPPs when fading the chalk. 

Stefon Diggs

Tank Dell has been ruled out and Nico Collins is dealing with a hamstring injury (that I am not particularly worried about as he doesn’t have an injury designation for Sunday). The Jaguars are bottom 8 in fantasy points allowed and bottom 3 in defensive DVOA to receivers. They are ranked 17^th against WR1 (Nico Collins) and dead last against WR2 (Stefon Diggs). Maybe Diggs has some extra steam after Josh Allen made a dig at Diggs in the media this week, expressing he was happy they no longer have guys on the team that “care about stats”. 

Allen Lazard

Pat Surtain is going to shadow Garrett Wilson, which will force the ball to Aaron Rodger’s other pass catchers. Allen Lazard has been the WR2 so far, however, Mike Williams’ playing time has been creeping up. I am happy to land on the production we have seen from Lazard so far, but Williams is a sneaky pivot. 

Tee Higgins

The Bengals have started the season 0-3 and have to win this game. The Carolina are a bit reenergized after winning last week but that doesn’t change the personnel on their defense. They are still ranked 18^th in pass defense via DVOA, while being ranked 27^th against the run. 

Ja’Marr Chase should see shadow coverage from Jaycee Horn, but that doesn’t concern me too much as Chase is largely unguardable. Horn has kept the WR1 overall quiet this season, however. The Panthers are ranked 7^th overall against WR1 thanks to him. Tee Higgin’s will primarily will see a mix of Troy Hill (18%) and Mike Jackson. He will have the WR2 role for Joe Burrow. The Panthers have been far worse against the WR2, ranking 28^th overall against them in the NFL. Andrei Iosivas is putting up big numbers after busting in Week 1 as obvious chalk. We can consider him the WR3 for Cinci. Carolina is ranked 16^th against the WR3.

Best Pivot: Andrei Iosiavas

Eagles

DaVonte Smith is out. Britain Covey is out. 

We are going to have to circle back to this as A.J. Brown is currently questionable. If he is active, by all means, run to Brown as the alpha in the receiving game for Jalen Hurts. If he is out then we might be forced to take shots on guys like Jahan Dotson and Johnny Wilson. The easiest pivot is of course Saquan Barkley, who would get huge volume, and Dallas Goedert. 

Others to consider/mix in MME

• Chris Godwin
• Rashee Rice
• Rasheed Shaheed
• Xaivor Worthy
• Andrei Iosiavas

Tight End 

Elijah Higgins

Trey McBridge is out with a concussion thrusting Elijah Higgins into the starting role for Kyler Murray. Higgins has 5 targets over the first three games, playing the backup TE role. He has caught 100% of his targets, which is nice to see. He lines up against the Commanders, who have overall not given up much production to the position but that is only because you can murder them with the long ball. At a price of only $3,100 you don’t even need Higgins to get a touchdown, you just need 3 or 4 catches and whatever yardage comes with it. If he scores that is just icing on the cake. You also need an expensive TE to go nuclear, which isn’t a huge ask considering how inconsistent the position is. 

Travis Kelce

So what is going on with Travis Kelce? Is he washed? Is he out of game shape from riding around on Taylor Swift’s private jet all off-season? Have the Chiefs not needed to rely on him with Mahomes having reliable receiving options? I do not know which one(s) of these are true but I do not believe we have seen the last of Travis Kelce breaking slates. The Chiefs, with a downgraded running game, take on one of Kelce’s most productive career matchups this week, the Los Angeles Chargers. Over his career, he has 100 receptions, 1,223 receiving yards, and 8 touchdowns against them. He is coming in at under 3% owned as of Saturday night. Imagine knowing you were getting Kelce at $5,800 and that ownership in years past. You almost have to take a shot on it just to confirm if he is dead or not. 

Others to consider: 

• Dallas Goedert 
• George Kittle
• Brock Bowers
• Cole Kmet
• Tommy Tremble

Again, I will update this article if anything changes. Be sure to come back and check for the most up-to-date plays. I can already tell you I will be adding another running back in the morning.