DFS & Sports Betting Tools, Exclusive Content, and Expert Chat
 
Home / FanDuel / Page 77
Tag:

FanDuel

Welcome back to the Hot Shot for Thursday Night! There have been some awesome games this week and that trend should continue tonight. With ten games on this slate, we will have our work cut out for us. Aside from reading the article, don’t forget to check out our NHL DFS Projection Model which is available every morning.

10/27 NHL Main Slate of Games – Beginning 7 p.m. ET

*All odds and player pricing below have been obtained from DraftKings and are accurate as of the time of writing*

Detroit Red Wings (+190) at Boston Bruins (-225) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total

Montreal Canadiens (+135) at Buffalo Sabres (-155)6.5 Projected Goal Total

Edmonton Oilers (-215) at Chicago Blackhawks (+185) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total

Minnesota Wild (-120) at Ottawa Senators (+100) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total

Florida Panthers (-200) at Philadelphia Flyers (+170) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total

St. Louis Blues (+140) at Nashville Predators (-165) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total

Washington Capitals (+110) at Dallas Stars (-130) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total

Vancouver Canucks (+105) at Seattle Kraken (-125) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total

Winnipeg Jets (+125) at Los Angeles Kings (-145) – 6 Projected Goal Total

Toronto Maple Leafs (-225) at San Jose Sharks (+190) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total

Toronto Two “John Tavares ($6,300), William Nylander ($6,000), Nicholas Robertson ($3,500)

In the DFS universe, it’s a known occurence that people tend to gravitate towards earlier games in terms of ownership. Many want some degree of certainty, as well as the ability to watch the game. As a result, I think we can grab some lower ownership than usual on one of the best lines of the night. The Toronto Maple Leafs are in a great late-night spot as they head to San Jose as -225 money line favorites. I will rarely if ever use the full top line as a I normally prefer to just play Auston Matthews as a one off if it comes down to it. They do have good numbers so far this season so get an honorable mention below. Furthermore, it is a homecoming of sorts for Matthews, who hails from the greater Phoenix area so don’t mind him individually here.

However, let’s shift to the second line where he have two elite skaters in William Nylander and John Tavares. All this at a more moderate price. Nylander and Tavares are the two priorities of the three linemates and can even be used as a two-man stack as opposed to the full line. However, Nicholas Robertson is also in play and offers some additional savings. I will probably use the full line to weave in his $3,500 salary and open things up in terms of construction. It’s true that this line has yet to really get going and yet all three skaters are averaging double-digit DraftKings points.

10/27 NHL Favorite Contrarian Line

Los Angeles One “Anze Kopitar ($4,300), Kevin Fiala ($5,100), Adrian Kempe ($4,800)”

Believe or not, the Kings’ top line is leading all NHL lines in goals scored thus far into the season.

They should also be totally off the radar tonight, despite L.A. being -145 home favorites. The Winnipeg Jets has outperformed metrics defensively, so this is certainly an exploitable matchup for this line at sub 10% if not lower ownership. All three skaters share correlation on the Kings top power-play unit as well, which is always a huge bonus for any full line. On top of everything else, they are priced more like an ordinary/subpar team’s second line. Overall, they make for a terrific tournament play this evening.

Additional Lines to Consider

Toronto One – Auston Matthews “$8,500”, Mitchell Marner “$6,500”, Michael Bunting “$3,900”

Florida Two – Sam Bennett “$5,200”, Matthew Tkachuk “$7,900”, Rudolfs Balcers “$2,500”

Defensemen “Goalies covered in Between the Pipes”

Defenseman “high-end” – NONE – Waste of salary

“mid-range” – Drew Doughty – Los Angeles – Lots of minutes, on the top power-play unit, blocking shots. He also makes a lot of sense if using the Kings line mentioned above as he correlates with all of them.

“mid-range #2” – Neal Pionk – Winnipeg – The Kings are better offensively than they are on the other end so I think this is a great spot for Pionk. He is priced under $5,000 much like Doughty. Because of his propensity to shoot on goal more, I’m giving him the nod over teammate Josh Morrisey. Morrisey does have power-play time on the top power-play unit as opposed to second unit, as is Pionk’s case.

“low-end”Justin Holl – Toronto – Cheap and playing for a massive favorite. He also plays on Toronto’s second unit so has correlation with the Leafs line listed above.

10/27 NHL Best Bet

Minnesota Wild/Ottawa Senators – O 6.5 (-130) – DraftKings1 Unit – The Senators are allowing nearly three goals and contest and Minnesota well over four. With both offenses playing so well, this sets up as a shootout.

Make sure to hop in our Expert Discord Chat for FREE! Rich will be there answering questions all day and all night! He is not very difficult to find on Discord with the username Rich Masana. Follow Rich on Twitter @JFan303 and be sure to be on the lookout for future articles at https://windailysports.com/daily-fantasy-hockey/

0 comment
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail

Between the Benches we go tonight, for a nice little three game slate. This one is already shaping up to be very, very interesting, and tonight feels like ALL risk. Every goalie on the slate is risky, and of the three games, one of them feels like a true coin flip. More to come on that. Feel free t...

0 comment
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail

Welcome to the Week 7 edition of The Inside Look for the 2022 NFL season.  This will be a data driven article and will go under the hood to see if the box scores tell the whole story about what transpired during the weekend.   My goal here will be to either calm your nerves about a player that may have underperformed or cause you to rethink some of the spots you may have taken.

We are now more than third of the way through the 2022 NFL season and what a weird season it’s been so far.  The Buccaneers are a mess while the Giants are up to 6-1.  Matt Ryan has officially been benched while PJ Walker is thriving.   

There were some big injuries this past weekend, none more impactful than Breece Hall going down with an ACL tear.  That led the Jets to trading for James Robinson last night.  Will we finally see the capabilities of the running back on a more consistent basis?  Maybe, maybe not!

Let’s dig in to the data!

Wide Receiver Targets

Before we dig in to individual player performances I wanted to take a moment to talk about why we focus so heavily on Targets.  Targets equal opportunities and in fantasy opportunity more often than creates production.  The more targets that a player gets the better chance there is that the player will return on value. 

The base line stats for Mike Evans were pretty impressive this weekend.  He led the league in targets with 15 and caught 9 of them for 96 yards.  It was the one pass that he didn’t catch that all Buccaneers fan will remember though.  He dropped a perfect pass from Brady in the first quarter that would have went for a TD. 

That play could have drastically changed the outcome of this one.  Evans’ 15 targets and 9 catches were season-highs.  The Bucs will have a short turnaround as they face an equally disappointing Baltimore Ravens on Thursday night. 

After sitting out in Week 6 with an injury, the Chris Olave show continued in Week 7 with an impressive game.  Olave had just his second 100 yard receiving game of his career thanks to a career-high 14 targets.  The Saints rookie is putting together an impressive first season.  He also ran a career high 49 routes, 10 more than he had run in any game this season.  Up next for the Saints will be a matchup with the Raiders, a team that has been about league average vs. Wide Receivers. 

There was no rust involved with DeAndre Hopkins.  After sitting out the first 6 weeks with a suspension, Hopkins returned this week to 14 targets.  He was able to turn those 14 targets into 10 catches and 103 receiving yards.  The only thing he did wrong in this game was that he failed to find the End Zone.  The Hopkins show will continue in Week 8 with a favorable matchup vs. the Minnesota Vikings.

Running Back Targets

The Austin Ekeler cheat code has been released.  For the third time in the last 4 weeks, Ekeler had a multiple touchdown game.  This week he had one on the ground and one through the air.  His 12 targets led all running backs this week, as did his 12 receptions.   Yes, he caught every ball thrown his way.  He’ll be tutoring Mike Evans on the proper way to catch a ball.  Ekeler is on an epic run right now.  The only thing that will be able to slow him down will be the bye that his team has in week 8.

Running back Aaron Jones did the majority of his damage this weekend in the air and not on the ground.  Jones had the second most targets of any running back this week with 10.  He was able to coral 9 of those passes into 53 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns.  The 10 targets and 9 catches were by far the most he’s had all season.  He’ll have to do more though if the Packers ever expect to win another game.  He’ll get that chance in Week 8 vs. Buffalo, an extremely tough matchup.   

Tight End Targets

This was a weird week for tight ends as not a single tight end was targeted more than 9 times.  We typically have a few in double digits, not this week though.  The star of the show this week for tight ends was George Kittle of the 49ers.  He had 9 targets and was able to catch 6 of them for 98 yards and 1 TD.  This was by Kittles’ best performance of the year.  He’ll look to keep up the momentum in Week 8 vs. the Rams, a team coming off a bye in Week 7.

Quarterback Target Share

Of Davis Mills 40 passes this weekend, more than 40% of them went to his running backs.  Dare Ogunbowale and Rex Burkhead combined for 13 of the passes that Mills threw. 

On the opposite end of the spectrum we have Tom Brady.  Brady threw the ball 48 times this weekend, with 75% of them going to his receivers.  28 of those passes went to Mike Evans and Chris Godwin.  While Evans finished with 96 yards, he’ll probably be losing some sleep over that one that he dropped in the first quarter. 

Running Back Touches

The workload for Derrick Henry continues to increase week after week.  After bottoming out in Week 2 with just 13 carries, Derrick Henry reached 30 for the first time this season.  He turned those 30 carries into a season high 128 yards.  We are seeing the return of the work horse we’ve grown accustomed to watching over the last few years.  Week 8 will be a matchup vs. a Texans team that has given up the fourth most rushing yards in the league. 

Can anyone, and I mean anyone stop the New York Giants?  After being a joke for the last few years, the Giants are now 6-1.  That has mostly been due to the performance of their former first round pick Saquon Barkley.  For the second consecutive week, Barkley rushed more than 20 times.  His 24 carries in Week 7 were the second most he’s had this season and he reached 100 yards rushing for the third time this year.  A healthy Barkley is good for the NFL and the Giants. 

Playbook

The ‘Playbook’ as I like to call it shows a breakdown of the play splits that teams used this past weekend.

What a weird offensive scheme the Ravens went out with this week.  Gus Edwards made his return after tearing his ACL prior to the 2021 season.  That led the Ravens to go with a run dominant offense.  They ran the ball more on more than 70% of their plays this weekend.  Normal target monster Mark Andrews saw just 2 targets and Lamar Jackson threw the ball just 16 times. 

Conversely, we have the Los Angeles Chargers.  The ran a pass heavy offense this weekend, with nearly 80% of their plays being through the air.  Just Herbert ended up with 51 passes to their 15 runs.  That’s what the game calls for though when you’re down most of the game but quite a bit.

Make sure to check out all of our NFL articles here.

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate! 

0 comment
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail

Welcome to the Week 7 edition of The Inside Look for the 2022 NFL season.  This will be a data driven article and will go under the hood to see if the box scores tell the whole story about what transpired during the weekend.   My goal here will be to either calm your nerves about a player that may have underperformed or cause you to rethink some of the spots you may have taken.

We are now more than third of the way through the 2022 NFL season and what a weird season it’s been so far.  The Buccaneers are a mess while the Giants are up to 6-1.  Matt Ryan has officially been benched while PJ Walker is thriving.   

There were some big injuries this past weekend, none more impactful than Breece Hall going down with an ACL tear.  That led the Jets to trading for James Robinson last night.  Will we finally see the capabilities of the running back on a more consistent basis?  Maybe, maybe not!

Let’s dig in to the data!

Wide Receiver Targets

Before we dig in to individual player performances I wanted to take a moment to talk about why we focus so heavily on Targets.  Targets equal opportunities and in fantasy opportunity more often than creates production.  The more targets that a player gets the better chance there is that the player will return on value. 

The base line stats for Mike Evans were pretty impressive this weekend.  He led the league in targets with 15 and caught 9 of them for 96 yards.  It was the one pass that he didn’t catch that all Buccaneers fan will remember though.  He dropped a perfect pass from Brady in the first quarter that would have went for a TD. 

That play could have drastically changed the outcome of this one.  Evans’ 15 targets and 9 catches were season-highs.  The Bucs will have a short turnaround as they face an equally disappointing Baltimore Ravens on Thursday night. 

After sitting out in Week 6 with an injury, the Chris Olave show continued in Week 7 with an impressive game.  Olave had just his second 100 yard receiving game of his career thanks to a career-high 14 targets.  The Saints rookie is putting together an impressive first season.  He also ran a career high 49 routes, 10 more than he had run in any game this season.  Up next for the Saints will be a matchup with the Raiders, a team that has been about league average vs. Wide Receivers. 

There was no rust involved with DeAndre Hopkins.  After sitting out the first 6 weeks with a suspension, Hopkins returned this week to 14 targets.  He was able to turn those 14 targets into 10 catches and 103 receiving yards.  The only thing he did wrong in this game was that he failed to find the End Zone.  The Hopkins show will continue in Week 8 with a favorable matchup vs. the Minnesota Vikings.

Running Back Targets

The Austin Ekeler cheat code has been released.  For the third time in the last 4 weeks, Ekeler had a multiple touchdown game.  This week he had one on the ground and one through the air.  His 12 targets led all running backs this week, as did his 12 receptions.   Yes, he caught every ball thrown his way.  He’ll be tutoring Mike Evans on the proper way to catch a ball.  Ekeler is on an epic run right now.  The only thing that will be able to slow him down will be the bye that his team has in week 8.

Running back Aaron Jones did the majority of his damage this weekend in the air and not on the ground.  Jones had the second most targets of any running back this week with 10.  He was able to coral 9 of those passes into 53 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns.  The 10 targets and 9 catches were by far the most he’s had all season.  He’ll have to do more though if the Packers ever expect to win another game.  He’ll get that chance in Week 8 vs. Buffalo, an extremely tough matchup.   

Tight End Targets

This was a weird week for tight ends as not a single tight end was targeted more than 9 times.  We typically have a few in double digits, not this week though.  The star of the show this week for tight ends was George Kittle of the 49ers.  He had 9 targets and was able to catch 6 of them for 98 yards and 1 TD.  This was by Kittles’ best performance of the year.  He’ll look to keep up the momentum in Week 8 vs. the Rams, a team coming off a bye in Week 7.

Quarterback Target Share

Of Davis Mills 40 passes this weekend, more than 40% of them went to his running backs.  Dare Ogunbowale and Rex Burkhead combined for 13 of the passes that Mills threw. 

On the opposite end of the spectrum we have Tom Brady.  Brady threw the ball 48 times this weekend, with 75% of them going to his receivers.  28 of those passes went to Mike Evans and Chris Godwin.  While Evans finished with 96 yards, he’ll probably be losing some sleep over that one that he dropped in the first quarter. 

Running Back Touches

The workload for Derrick Henry continues to increase week after week.  After bottoming out in Week 2 with just 13 carries, Derrick Henry reached 30 for the first time this season.  He turned those 30 carries into a season high 128 yards.  We are seeing the return of the work horse we’ve grown accustomed to watching over the last few years.  Week 8 will be a matchup vs. a Texans team that has given up the fourth most rushing yards in the league. 

Can anyone, and I mean anyone stop the New York Giants?  After being a joke for the last few years, the Giants are now 6-1.  That has mostly been due to the performance of their former first round pick Saquon Barkley.  For the second consecutive week, Barkley rushed more than 20 times.  His 24 carries in Week 7 were the second most he’s had this season and he reached 100 yards rushing for the third time this year.  A healthy Barkley is good for the NFL and the Giants. 

Playbook

The ‘Playbook’ as I like to call it shows a breakdown of the play splits that teams used this past weekend.

What a weird offensive scheme the Ravens went out with this week.  Gus Edwards made his return after tearing his ACL prior to the 2021 season.  That led the Ravens to go with a run dominant offense.  They ran the ball more on more than 70% of their plays this weekend.  Normal target monster Mark Andrews saw just 2 targets and Lamar Jackson threw the ball just 16 times. 

Conversely, we have the Los Angeles Chargers.  The ran a pass heavy offense this weekend, with nearly 80% of their plays being through the air.  Just Herbert ended up with 51 passes to their 15 runs.  That’s what the game calls for though when you’re down most of the game but quite a bit.

Make sure to check out all of our NFL articles here.

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate! 

0 comment
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail

Subscribe to our newsletter

The best bets and resources to make you more profitable

"*" indicates required fields

    Our Company

    At WIN DAILY®, our motto is to “change your game and change your life.” We want to help you win that bet, parlay, and big DFS tournament and have some fun while you do. Our goal is to help you turn your love of sports into a profit center while playing responsibly and enjoying your time with a like-minded community.

    ©2024 WIN DAILY®. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.

    This site is 100% for entertainment purposes only and does not involve real money betting. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800 GAMBLER. This service is intended for adult users only.
    -
    00:00
    00:00
    Update Required Flash plugin
    -
    00:00
    00:00