It may be Super Bowl Sunday but well before that, we have a four-game Sunday NHL DFS slate! Aside from reading the 2/12 NHL DFS article, don’t forget to check out our NHL DFS Projection Model which is available every morning. If you like what you see, sign up for more Win Daily content here.
2/12 NHL Main Slate of Games – Beginning 12:30 p.m. ET
*All odds and player pricing below have been obtained from DraftKings and are accurate as of the time of writing*
Edmonton Oilers (-250) at Montreal Canadiens (+210) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total
San Jose Sharks (+175) at Washington Capitals (-205) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total
Seattle Kraken (-150) at Philadelphia Flyers (+130) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total
Anaheim Ducks (+280) at Vegas Golden Knights (-340) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total
2/12 NHL Favorite Popular Line
San Jose One – “Tomas Hertl ($5,900), Tino Meier ($8,100), Noah Gregor ($3,900)“
The Sharks are +175 underdogs here on the road in Washington. As a result, more people will lean towards Edmonton for a spend-up. However, given this line’s general performance this season they should be popular enough on a four-game slate. Despite losing Kevin Labanc off this line, the main two skaters remain. For the season, they are fifth in the NHL in SATF with 402. The total is set here at 6.5 so it’s not like goals aren’t expected. San Jose has been up and down as of late, but they are still scoring goals so that’s not part of their problem. Darcy Kuemper played yesterday so we don’t have to worry about him in the opposing net. The Sharks will be facing off with Charlie Lindgren who before picking a win Tuesday night had been 0-2-0 with a very rough .845 save percentage over his prior four appearances.
Season Long Sample Size – SATF “accounts for all shots including blocked and missed shots”
2/12 NHL Favorite Contrarian Line
Seattle Three – “Eeli Tolvanen ($4,700), Yanni Gourde ($3,800), Oliver Bjorkstrand ($4,600)”
In terms of more recent production, this line has been solid. Over the last ten games, they are fifth in the NHL along all lines in terms of SATF. Seattle is a -150 money-line favorite here, facing the Flyers who come in on the second night of a back-to-back. If that wasn’t enough to sell you on the Kraken’s third line, well, they are also cheap. I don’t mind just running a two-man here “Tolvanen has access to the top power-play unit so he’s likely in any two-man stack but the rest is flexible”. With Carter Hart having started in net for the Flyers on Saturday, Seattle will draw the atrocious Felix Sandstrom “3.45 GAA/.886 save %”.
10-Day Long Sample Size – SATF “accounts for all shots including blocked and missed shots”
Defenseman and Goalie
Defenseman
Dmitry Kulikov – Anaheim – $3,300 – Super cheap and double-digit DraftKings points in four of his last six games “and 9.7 in another just barely missing 5/6”.
Goalie
Adin Hill – Vegas – $8,300 – This is an awful slate for goalies. As mentioned earlier, I think Darcy Kuemper is going to be popular. However, if you roster San Jose he doesn’t make any sense. Therefore, instead, let’s look at Vegas and Adin Hill. The Golden Knights are massive -340 favorites against a Ducks team who does little well. Hill’s 2.58 GAA for the season is very strong.
2/12 NHL Best Bet
Montreal +1.5 (-125) – DraftKings – 1 Unit – As far as the raw money lines go, the Sharp model has Montreal at +161 as opposed to their Vegas odds of +215. This is a difference of a whopping 20.31% EV. That said, I’d rather target the spread than the outright money line.
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