Tag:

FanDuel

NHL DFS Hot Shot for DraftKings and FanDuel (Jan. 13)

Richard Masana 3 years ago

written by Richard Masana

This article focuses on 1/13 NHL Picks for both DraftKings Sportsbook and DraftKings Daily Fantasy. We analyze tournament tactics, statistics, pricing, and attempt to tackle this highly variable Daily Fantasy format so that we can gain an edge on the field at large. Full rankings for each position for both sites are available below.

Thursday 1/13 NHL Slate and DFS Gameplan

Welcome back to the Hot Shot for a huge eleven-game Thursday slate!

Full Game Odds/Totals and DraftKings Rankings can be found below as well as cash game considerations for each site.

Three Favorite Lines Per Dollar

Carolina One “Sebastian Aho, Teuvo Teravainen, Seth Jarvis”

Columbus has been playing really poor defense all season and has struggled on the road and that combination leads me to think they will get smashed in Carolina. The Canes had a letdown against the seemingly impervious Florida Panthers this past weekend. Nevertheless, this Columbus team is not of the same caliber. I generally hate how these lines and the power play are set up, it’s one of my qualms with the Hurricanes. However, the top line seems like a good place to start with Aho the cornerstone and Seth Jarvis at $2,700 our value piece. The line with Nido Neidereiter, as opposed to Seth Jarvis, has six full-line goals over their last ten games, good for a tie for sixth in the NHL among lines across that span.

Calgary One Two Man”Johnny Gaudreau, Matthew Tkachuk plus optional Oliver Kylington power play addition”

The Flames have not had their best stretch recently but this seems like a get-right spot against a Senators team that hasn’t played in forever. Much like the Canadiens last night, they will likely be a bit rusty. While the other lines continue to do next to nothing, this Calgary top line has really solidified the Flames as a one-line team production-wise. Their nine primary line-oriented goals and 125 SATF over their last ten games, continue to lead all lines in the NHL. I left off Elias Lindholm, as the other two skaters have been doing most of the damage.

New York Rangers Two “Artemi Panarin, Ryan Strome and if extra salary savings needed Alexis Lafreniere”

This is a really cheap line that provides us with some additional value and salary savings. Strome is feeling it right now with eleven shots on goal over his last two games and the Breadman seems cheap just back from injury. It is only a matter of time before he gets hot as he won’t stay $5,700 forever and that night could be tonight. Alexis Lafreniere hasn’t done much to date but he is only $2,600 and has all the talent in the world, albeit he does not share top power-play correlation with the other two skaters listed.

1/13 NHL Game Odds and Totals

Main Slate of Games – Beginning 7 p.m. ET

Philadelphia Flyers (+200) at Boston Bruins (-250) – 6 Projected Goal Total

Columbus Blue Jackets (+185) at Carolina Hurricanes (-230) – 6 Projected Goal Total

Vancouver Canucks (+200) at Tampa Bay Lightning (-250) – 6 Projected Goal Total

Winnipeg Jets (-140) at Detroit Red Wings (+115) – 5.5 Projected Goal Total

New Jersey Devils (+165) at New York Islanders (-200) – 5.5 Projected Goal Total

Seattle Kraken (+185) at St. Louis Blues (-230) – 6 Projected Goal Total

Buffalo Sabres (+230) at Nashville Predators (-290) – 6 Projected Goal Total

Montreal Canadiens (+145) at Chicago Blackhawks (-180) – 5.5 Projected Goal Total

Ottawa Senators (+185) at Calgary Flames (-230) – 6 Projected Goal Total

New York Rangers (-125) at San Jose Sharks (+105) – 5.5 Projected Goal Total

Pittsburgh Penguins (-145) at Los Angeles Kings (+120) – 6 Projected Goal Total

1/13 NHL DraftKings Individual Rankings

Centers

Sebastian Aho – Carolina – $8,000
Steven Stamkos – Tampa Bay – $6,200
Evgeni Malkin – Pittsburgh – $6,000
Brayden Point – Tampa Bay – $7,400
Jack Hughes – New Jersey – $6,500

Wingers

Filip Forsberg – Nashville – $6,600 “Still in covid protocol, only if cleared to play”
David Pastrnak – Boston- $7,000
Artemi Panarin – New York Rangers – $5,700
Nikita Kucherov – Tampa Bay – $7,500
Johnny Gaudreau – Calgary – $7,200

Defense

Jakub Galvas – Chicago – $2,500
Oliver Kylington – Calgary – $4,100
P.K. Subban – New Jersey – $3,200
Roman Josi – Nashville – $8,000
Jacob Trouba – New York Rangers – $4,500

Goalies

Jusse Saros – Nashville – $8,700
Dan Vladar – Calgary – $8,200

Cash Considerations

Artemi Panarin, 2 of the 3 top-ranked cheap defensemen above, Jusse Saros

Make sure to hop in our Expert Discord Chat for FREE! Rich will be there answering questions all day and all night! Follow Rich on Twitter @JFan303 and be sure to be on the lookout for future articles at https://windailysports.com/daily-fantasy-hockey/

3 years ago 0 comments

NHL

NHL DFS Between the Benches for DraftKings and FanDuel (Jan. 12)

Allan Fabrykant 3 years ago

written by Allan Fabrykant

We’re back with another Wednesday Night Win Daily NHL Article! Hope you’ve had a profitable start to the new year! Time to make some more money tonight! On tonight’s slate, we have a small 3-gamer! Keep an eye on any COVID-19 news since it can change the whole outlook of the slate! With that said, let’s get ready for the newest edition of WinDaily’s Between the Benches! For tonight’s 1/12 NHL slate, the slate begins at 7:00 pm ET. Don’t forget to lock your lines and check the discord for any updates! Let’s get into it!

1/12 NHL Stack Report

Toronto Maple Leafs 1
Bunting – Matthews – Kase (FanDuel: $20,600 | DraftKings: $18,100)
– On a small slate its hard to not look at a line like Toronto’s top line. Matthews has carried this line and as a result both Bunting and Kase have benefitted. I really like how well they’ve been able to play together during Marner’s absence their prices have remained fairly reasonable despite their recent success. Matthews himself is off to another stellar season with 37 points in 31 games, with an average well over four SOGs per game. I’ll be starting my builds with Matthews tonight as the Leafs are suiting up against the league bottom feeders in the Arizona Coyotes on the second half of a back-to-back. It should come as no surprise that the Leafs have the highest implied total at 4.3 and spectacular odds at -330.
Ideal Defensive Partner(s): Morgan Rielly (FD: $6,700 | DK: $6,500)
Dallas Stars 1
Robertson – Hintz – Pavelski (FanDuel: $21,300 | DraftKings: $18,900)
– I dont think there have been lines that have been more complete than Dallas’ top line. Every member of this line knows their role and regularly contributes. So much so, that they’re a positive factor in every game Dallas’ plays. They are currently on a bit of a hot streak as well with 21 combined points over their last five games (9 G, 12 A). They average around 18 minutes a game and all see time on Dallas’ top power play unit. Tonight they’ll but up against one of the worst teams in the league, expansion side Seattle Kraken, who have lost their last six games and are 1-7-2 over their last 10. Starting between the pipes for the Kraken is Philipp Grubauer who has been one of the worst starting goalies this season posting an abysmal 3.34 GAA along with a .882 SV%. This will give Dallas a great opportunity to avenge their last game where the lead and their four-game win streak slipped out of their grasp late in the game against the high-flying Blues. Unsurprisingly, the stars are heavy favourites at -205 and have an implied total of 3.6 goals. Expect the Stars to put on a clinic tonight at American Airlines Centre (Dallas, TX).
Ideal Defensive Partner(s): Miro Heiskanen (FD: $5,600 | DK: $6,400)

Honorable Mentions in order: BOS2 (Hall-Haula-Pastrnak), BOS1 (Smith-Bergeron-Marchand), TOR2 (Nylander-Tavares-Kerfoot)

1/12 NHL Goalie Tracker

Best (Goalies to Roster)

Jake Oettinger (FD: $7,800 | DK: $7,800)
Petr Mrazek (FD: $8,600 | DK: $8,400)
Honorable Mention(s): Linus Ullmark

Worst (Goalies to Target)

Philipp Grubauer (FD: $7,400 | DK: $7,600)
Honorable Mention(s): Scott Wedgewood, Jake Allen

1/12 NHL Wild Card Targets

Jeff Petry (FD: $3,700 | DK: $4,900) (Better on FD)
– The Montreal Canadiens are in a bad spot tonight, that’s not a surprise to anyone. They haven’t played a game since New Year’s day and when they lost 5-2 to the Panthers. That game made their 10 on in an abysmal 1-7-2… and that one win came against a struggling Flyers side in a shootout. To say they have been bad this season is an understatement, BUT we cannot overlook the skill that we know these players have, I am not saying they’re going to win but it is worth looking at when we have quality players whose prices are at rock bottom. Especially on FanDuel, where they have been raising everyone’s price lately. Jeff Petry strikes me as a deep GPP play and the essence of a Wild Card play should be. We see someone who has had a rough start to the 2021-22 season but scored 42 points in 55 games just last season! He’ll let you fit in some of the slate’s more expensive players and has some upside. Tread with caution and for DraftKings, I would largely disregard this as the value just isn’t there. Instead, I would stick with Ilya Mikheyev (DK $3,900, 5 points in four games since coming off COVID Protocol).
Honorable Mention(s): Ilya Mikheyev (Better on DK), Matt Grzelcyk, Alex Kerfoot

Core Four: (ALWAYS BE STACKIN’)

Centre – Auston Matthews

Winger – Jason Robertson

Defence – Matt Grzelcyk

Goalie – Jake Oettinger

1/12 NHL Monkey Knife Fight NHL Prop Picks – Win With These Picks Here and Get 100 Percent Bonus!

Honorable Mention(s): Rapidfire 2/2

Sign up and get started with Win Daily Sports! We have your sport and the experts to help make you money. Why lose another buck when you can win TODAY!

3 years ago 0 comments

Tee 2 Green PGA DFS Picks: Sony Open

brucegray19722@gmail.com 3 years ago

written by brucegray19722@gmail.com

Hello everybody, and welcome back to ‘Tee 2 Green,’ a new article that I will be producing for Win Daily Sports weekly to give some extra insight into the DFS world of golf. My focus will be to discuss, decipher and dissect some of my preferred targets throughout the various price ranges, and I will always provide my opinion with a data-intensive outlook that you can see first-hand if you use the weekly model that I provide free of charge. You can find that here.

Waialae Country Club

7,044 Yards – Par 70 – Greens: Bermuda

When we look at Waialae Country Club, the property was designed in 1925 by Seth Raynor but did undergo an enhancement by Tom Doak in 2016. The purpose of the improvement was to try and bring back the old-school feel of the property, and I think Doak did that job perfectly. The venue is straightforward in its flat, boring setup, but there are doglegs where golfers will need to work the ball in both directions.

There are 12 par-fours in general. Ten of those stretch between 400-500 yards. The condensed nature from those holes produces 12.8% more second shots from 125-200 yards than average. I noticed a heavy correlation between the PGA Tour’s definition of ball striking and positive results. That combination looks at a mixture of accuracy and distance and then blends in GIR % to derive a total. Most of it is cumulative in how their website looks into the data, but I always make mine slightly more weighted into particular areas that I find relevant over the PGA’s basic construction.

Before we get into the statistical breakdown that I used, the last two things worth noting would be that the wind is the one real defense of the property. We have seen a three-shot difference in production when gusts pick up, and the second area that I found interesting is putting has been 4.3% more impactful to the dispersion of scores than a typical stop.

Ball-Striking (25%) – I took an even split of distance and accuracy. I realize accuracy is more pertinent to finding success at Waialae, but golfers can easily club down off the tee. That is what Justin Thomas and Patton Kizzire did during the years they won the title, and it was another scenario where I noticed pushing numbers too far towards accuracy seemed to do a disservice to the model. Maybe you could look at a stat like fairways gained and increase the weight that way, but I still don’t love it because there are so many courses some of your bombers nosedive their totals throughout the year. I then took the average of that total driving number and weighed it in with GIR percentage in a 65/35 split towards GIR.
Pertinent Proximity Ranges (10%) – Sixty-seven percent of irons come between 125-200 yards. I am marginally lower on approach play this week than most in the industry, but there are roundabout ways to get unique. I think GIR % is one. Breaking it down into this specific distance is another. And the reason we receive 67% of irons from this relatively basic zone is because of what I mentioned earlier of there being 10 par-fours between 400-500 yards. There are a lot of landing areas that will be similar for all players in the field
Weighted Par-Four (17.5%) – It is a pretty basic split there of 34% overall par-four average and then 33% each on 400-450 and 450-500.
Easy Scoring Courses Under 7,200 Yards (17.5%) – Birdie makers that can find success at the venue. It is as simple as that.
Mixture of Strokes Gained Total on Bermuda + Strokes Gained Putting on Bermuda (20%) – That is my way of looking into Bermuda as a whole and gradually inserting putting into the mix. Everyone knows that I don’t love putting numbers, but we can’t ignore it here. Putting has been 4.3% more impactful to the dispersion of scores than an average stop. Bermuda putting is one of the ways to make it more relevant to Waialae.
Birdie or Better Percentage (10%) – That is an extension of scoring to go along with how golfers perform at easy courses that are shorter.

DraftKings Players ($10,000+)

Webb Simpson ($10,500) – We are going to have to be cognizant of collective ownership amongst our six golfers. It is going to be nearly impossible to bypass the chalk in general, so it will be a lineup-by-lineup decision for me when I make builds. Webb Simpson is the number overall player in my model. Unfortunately, he is also number one in ownership. You will have to make a decision when it comes to how much exposure you want, but nobody produces yearly at the same tracks in the fashion of Webb.

Sungjae Im ($10.300) – The ownership is where it should be for the week. The price tag is fair. Those aren’t exactly ringing endorsements for a golfer that is going to far exceed his projection, but I do think he is the second-best route on this board. Im’s irons have turned around after a cold stretch in the middle of 2021, and we have seen him average 2.25 over his last four starts with that approach game.

Other Consideration – Cameron Smith ($11,200) – Either Cameron Smith or Hideki Matsuyama will be your best leverage route to consider. I don’t love Hideki’s upside because of his inability to make putts at a birdie fest, but we know Smith is a winner.

$9,000 Range

Kevin Na ($9,900) – Joel and I mentioned this about Kevin Na on our show, but it bears repeating. While Kevin Na is technically overpriced as one of the big boys in this field at $9,900, the leverage he provides at roughly 10 percent more than makes up for the price tag. You want players you like to be higher priced because it creates more playability when others are down on them.

Corey Conners ($9,600) – Corey Conners should have likely been in the $10,000 zone. I wish he would have been for all the reasons I just mentioned about Kevin Na, but there is a ton to love about the Canadian. Conners ranks first in my model for ball-striking and has gained nearly twice as many strokes on these greens versus any other surface in the world. If the putter remains hot at the track, the sky is the limit.

Other Targets: Abraham Ancer (GPPs)

$8,000 Range

Billy Horschel ($8,700) – Billy Horschel isn’t going to be for everyone, and I am okay with that. The Florida product ranks 15th at easy courses under 7,200 yards and ninth in my mixture of Bermuda scoring. Sub-10 percent is a great number.

Matt Jones ($8,400) – I like Matt Jones to keep the train rolling in Hawaii. Let’s see where the ownership comes in for the week, but if he can hover outside of the top-15 projection totals on the board, the safety Jones brings allows us to remove some of the other qualities we would like to see in his statistical makeup.

Charles Howell III ($8,000) – Charles Howell IIII looks to be one of the better cash-game values on the board at $8,000. I am willing to give him a look in GPPs if the ownership remains sub-15 percent, and his course history has been magnificent. He hasn’t missed a cut during his career in 19 tries. He has provided 15 top-30s, with nine of those landing inside the top eight.

Other Thoughts: Kevin Kisner is playable at $8,900

$7,000 Range

Si Woo Kim ($7,700) – I have Si Woo Kim inside the top-10 in outright win equity. He places ninth at easy courses under 7,200 yards. There is always going to be combustibility that he falters, but he does rank inside of the top-60 in every category I ran. We know that when he gets into contention that he can win, and 6-7 percent is way too low for his popularity on DraftKings. I honestly wouldn’t be shocked to see him on the first page of the leaderboard when all is said and done.

Additional Thoughts: I am going to mix-and-match options, but my next two favorite targets would be Keegan Bradley ($7,400) and Stewart Cink ($7,200)

$6,000 Range

Nick Hardy ($6,600) – Fourteenth here last year. A great iron player that hits a ton of greens in regulation. He will need to keep the ball in the fairway, but my numbers love him.

Additional Dart Throws To Consider: Max McGreevy $6,900, Michael Thompson $6,900, Harry Higgs $6,900, Chan Kim $6,300, Andrew Novak $6,300

If you haven’t already, follow Win Daily Sports on YouTube and via Apple Podcasts and check out all the content at windailysports.com. We’re already hitting big with our NFL content and you are going to want to be a part of that. It’s also important to be in Discord Wednesday night for all lineup adjustments, late-breaking news and weather reports.

3 years ago 0 comments

NBA Premium

NBA DFS: Gems with Ghost and Adam 1/12

Adam Strangis 3 years ago

written by Adam Strangis

NBA DFS: Gems with Ghost and Adam 1/12

It’s Wednesday and you know what that means! We have a large NBA slate in front of us and I’m sure things will change a lot from now until tipoff with 18 teams in action. That doesn’t mean we can’t start carving out paths to green and highlighting spots we like in the NBA DFS: Gems with Ghost and Adam 1/12!

One thing I want to clarify based on the questions I have received over the past few years is that I will never list a player under the $5,000 price tag simply because I use the projection model to identify all targets in this range and below. While there are often plenty of options that I like at $5,000 and less, since I often find myself with not only one – but multiple – in my NBA DFS lineups, you all have access to the very model I use to make my own selections, so when asking yourself: “Should I use player X or player Y?”, make sure to check the model because that is how I make all of my own decisions and I truly ride or die by it on a daily basis.

Before running to the DraftKings, FanDuel, or Yahoo lobby to construct your NBA DFS lineup after reading this article, please make sure to utilize the abundance of tools we have at Win Daily:

Nets at Bulls

Nets – On the Brooklyn side, we need a lot of news. Kyrie Irving had his ankle rolled up last game but he says he’s going to play. James Harden missed the last game with a knee injury but did not get an MRI so that doesn’t appear to be serious either. However, if one of these players were to miss, it turns Kevin Durant into one of the chalkier options on the slate, and rightfully so. KD is a player that has 70 DK point upside when all three men aren’t on the floor and his usage is around 30%. If all three suit up, this side would mostly be a fade for me outside of possibly a value piece. Nic Claxton is questionable with LaMarcus Aldridge already ruled out so there could be minutes on the interior. We’ll see who the model likes.

Bulls – They are extremely affordable on FD but on DK, Nikola Vucevic has to have some of our attention. He’s $9,100 but will face almost no resistance on the interior and on the glass. Brooklyn is 15th in rebounds allowed in the paint but without two of their primary big men, that will take a hit. Vucevic is sixth in rebounds per game and rebound chances along with 1.20 fantasy points per minute and that leads the team. His true shooting is still only 49% this year and that has nowhere to go but up. DeMar DeRozan and Zach LaVine are much easier to play on FD tonight but they are still in play for DK as well.

Lakers at Kings

Lakers – As it has been for a few weeks, LeBron James is one of the most appealing targets on the entire slate. There is still some volatility involved and his rebounds and assists can sometimes disappoint, but he’s also up to 29 points per game and suddenly, that’s second in the league behind on Durant. Without Anthony Davis, he’s up to a 31.9% usage rate and 1.57 fantasy points per minute. We’ve hammered matchups against the Kings all season as they are the perfect mix of fast pace and poor defense, so there is not much of a reason to stop now. There really isn’t another strong angle to get Lakers exposure as Malik Monk is wildly expensive and Russell Westbrook just hasn’t been worth a nearly five-figure investment.

Kings – The Lakers were playing a little better with LeBron at center, and then they got scorched for 127 points by the Grizzlies. That marked three straight games they have given up at least 114 points so any hope they had some things figured out on the defensive end seems gone. The decision between De’Aaron Fox and Tyrese Haliburton has gotten much closer lately and Haliburton might be the more stable option. Since Fox has returned from a span in the health protocols, Haliburton has 1.07 fantasy points per minute compared to 0.95 for Fox. The true shooting rate is 63.8% for Haliburton so that is helping but the usage is so spread out with much of Sacramento, it can be frustrating. The frontcourt is wildly unpredictable so I’m not likely to go there.

Hornets at 76ers

Hornets – I don’t think I could risk him in cash, but LaMelo Ball has to be interesting for GPP as he’s under $9,000 on DK tonight. We’ve talked about his minutes being all over the place but his upside has few rivals under $9,000. He’s not driving as much as you may think at just 13.5 times per game so that helps avoid the teeth of Philly’s defense and on the year his fantasy points per minute are at 1.38, leading the team by a lot. Terry Rozier has been running hot but it’s not difficult to see Miles Bridges having some issues in the matchup and Rozier could have more attempts on the night, not to mention he’s at a 23% usage rate on the year.

76ers – If there’s a time to pay up for Joel Embiid, it’s this one. The Flow Chart is in full effect as it’s a big man against the Hornets and Biid has scored over 30 real points in seven games straight. He’s sitting on a 35.8% usage and 1.54 fantasy points per minute plus he’s leading the league in post-up points per game. Charlotte is 29th in both points and rebounds allowed in the paint and this is a smash spot for Embiid no matter what. On top of all that, Seth Curry is questionable and if he misses, it’s just more on Embiid’s plate with a usage pushing 40%.

Teams to Monitor

Wizards – Bradley Beal was placed in protocols again yesterday, which is a bit odd since he was just in them but we’ll see what happens there. If Beal remains out, DK decided that it would not be a good idea to change the salary of Spencer Dinwiddie at all so you would just need to lock him into a PG slot.

Celtics – Marcus Smart is doubtful, and both Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown are under $10,000. The usage and fantasy points are mostly stagnant but not having Smart on the court still opens opportunities through the offense.

Heat – Jimmy Butler and Bam Adebayo remain out, so Tyler Herro and Kyle Lowry will carry the offense.

Hawks – They’ll likely be missing Clint Capela so we’ll need to make sure Onyeka Okongwu is going to get the start like he did last game. Gorgui Dieng is out of the protocols but the expectation would be he will be the backup and Okinogwu will continue to start and log 30+ minutes.

Mavericks – They’ll be short Kristaps Porzingis tonight so the duo of Luka Doncic on the high end of salary and Maxi Kleber as a value play are both very appealing.

Spurs – They are still dealing with missing multiple rotation players so Dejounte Murray against the fastest pace team in the league and one that can’t play defense is an incredible fit.

You can find us on Twitter @DFS_Ghost and @Bucn4life

3 years ago 0 comments

NBA Premium

NBA DFS: Gems with Ghost and Adam 01/11

DFSGhost 3 years ago

written by DFSGhost

Only six games on tap on today’s NBA schedule but there is no shortage of injuries or players listed as out and questionable. It’s Taco Tuesday’s edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

Before running to the DraftKings, FanDuel, or Yahoo lobby to construct your NBA DFS lineup after reading this article, please make sure to utilize the abundance of tools we have at Win Daily:

Phoenix Suns @ Toronto Raptors

I’ll keep this one short and sweet but the ramifications of this game on tonight’s NBA slate are far from that. The Toronto Raptors, already running an ever-so-tight rotation on a nightly basis, could be without one of, if not both Scottie Barnes and Gary Trent Jr. Should this be the case, Fred VanVleet instantly becomes a favorite to be one of the cogs of our lineups, while Pascal Siakam and OG Anunoby will also be tasked with a heavier load on offense while logging daunting minutes. On the flip side of the ball, Phoenix saw Deandre Ayton make his return to the lineup just a few days ago but will now be without Cam Johnson off the bench. While it isn’t nearly as concentrated as the Raptors lineup may wind up being, the Suns rotation could be down to Chris Paul, Devin Booker, Deandre Ayton, Mikal Bridges, Cam Payne, and Jae Crowder whom will be tasked with meaningful minutes.

Denver Nuggets

Just when we thought the Nuggets were already in tough with Jamal Murray and Michael Porter Jr. out of the lineup, Will Barton has landed in health and safety protocols, leaving Nikola Jokic as a must play on this NBA slate. In addition, Facundo Campazzo, Aaron Gordon, and Monte Morris will take on additional offensive responsibility.

Game to Watch:

Golden State Warriors @ Memphis Grizzlies

Players to Watch:

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander/Josh Giddey vs Washington

You can find us on Twitter @DFS_Ghost and @Bucn4life

3 years ago 0 comments

NBA Premium

NBA DFS: Gems with Ghost and Adam 01/10

DFSGhost 3 years ago

written by DFSGhost

A decent sized NBA slate awaits us tonight and we’ve got some teams on the second halves of back-to-backs, while others are still missing many options on offense. It’s Mojito Monday’s edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

Before running to the DraftKings, FanDuel, or Yahoo lobby to construct your NBA DFS lineup after reading this article, please make sure to utilize the abundance of tools we have at Win Daily:

San Antonio Spurs

Playing on the second half of a back-to-back, the Spurs will look to keep pace with the Knicks at MSG after taking the Brooklyn Nets to overtime in yesterday’s tilt. Dejounte Murray remains an elite target on this NBA slate, sporting a 32.1% usage rate in his last two games while posting a 23/7/10.5 scoring line and chipping in elite defense as always with 2.5 SPG and 1 BPG. Being without Derrick White, Keldon Johnson, Devin Vassell, Tre Jones, and Thad Young, in addition to Doug McDermott being questionable, there is plenty to like on this Spurs in a winnable road game.

Portland Trail Blazers

While the Portland Trail Blazers are not only outmatched on the second half of a back-to-back, they’re in tough with all three of Kevin Durant, James Harden, and Kyrie Irving likely to play tonight. Nonetheless, the Trail Blazers will be some of the most popular options on this NBA slate, and rightfully so. Portland will not only be without their star backcourt of Damian Lillard and CJ McCollum, but they now have placed Norman Powell in health and safety protocols, in addition to missing Larry Nance Jr. to a knee injury. Anfernee Simons and Jusuf Nurkic will be premier targets on this slate, and should the blowout factor scare you away despite their large roles on offensive in lofty minutes, you can always turn to options such as Nassir Little or Dennis Smith Jr. Either way, you need at least one Portland player tonight.

You can find us on Twitter @DFS_Ghost and @Bucn4life

3 years ago 0 comments

NHL

NHL DFS Between the Benches for DraftKings and FanDuel (Jan. 9)

Allan Fabrykant 3 years ago

written by Allan Fabrykant

We’re back with a brand new Sunday Night Win Daily NHL Article! Let’s keep up the great performances after a strong start to 2022! Tonight, we have a small 2-game slate. So, let’s get ready for the newest edition of WinDaily’s Between the Benches! For tonight’s 1/9 NHL slate, the slate begins at 2:00 pm ET. Don’t forget to lock your lines and check the discord for any updates! Let’s get into it!

1/9 NHL Stack Report

St. Louis Blues 2
Kyrou – Schenn – Thomas (FanDuel: $17,000 | DraftKings: $15,500)
– It’s really hard to ignore what this line has been able to accomplish as of late, and with Tarasenko dropping off due to COVID-19 protocol, this line is actually very affordable despite their recent success. Each member of this line has at least four points in their last three games (Kyrou has 9 in his last 4) meaning that they’ve been able to find consistent success alone and as a group considering they have been together for one game. This afternoon, they’ll be coming in as the home favourites against a team that pulled out a gritty 3-2 win against the Pittsburgh Penguins yesterday. The Blues have more offensive threats than the Pens were able to offer yesterday and are currently 4th in the league in goals per game this season and today that’ll be emphasized further as Holtby is set to start for the Stars. Holby has lost three of his last four starts and even in his last start where he won, he still coughed up 5 goals. The Blues also hold the highest implied total of the slate at 3.4. For this two gamer, I would highly recommend starting your builds with the Blues second line.
Ideal Defensive Partner(s): Torey Krug (FD: $5,100 | DK: $5,400)
Dallas Stars 1
Robertson – Hintz – Pavelski (FanDuel: $22,000 | DraftKings: $19,700)
– It was hard to pick a second line for today’s slate but there’s no doubting the recent success Dallas’ top line has had. These three have been clicking as a unit, including in yesterday’s game where they were involved in all three goals in the comeback win. Dallas is in a tricky spot in the back-to-back here but their chances of winning this game starts with their top line. I have been extremely impressed with the performances of Jason Robertson in particular and if you need to prioritize one player of this line, make it Robertson. The Stars are going up against a rather inconsistent goaltender in Jordan Binnington and that can play to their advantage. Neither team in this game is particularly defensive minded and can work well together in a game stack. The Stars are also currently on a four-game winning streak where they have scored at least three goals in each of those games so there is definitely something to be said about their success as of late. Their price makes it a difficult line to work with (especially on FanDuel) but if you can squeeze in at least a couple of pieces from this line, they have the potential to pay of big time!
Ideal Defensive Partner(s): John Klingberg (FD: $4,900 | DK: $5,200)

Honorable Mention(s): DET1 (Bertuzzi-Larkin-Raymond), DAL2 (Benn-Seguin-Gurianov)

1/9 NHL Goalie Tracker

Best (Goalies to Roster)

Anthony Stolarz (FD: $7,900 | DK: $8,000)
Jordan Binnington (FD: $8,300 | DK: $8,300)
Honorable Mention(s): Alex Nedeljkovic

Worst (Goalies to Target)

N/A (FD: $-,— | DK: $-,—)

1/9 NHL Wild Card Targets

Trevor Zegras (FD: $6,200 | DK: $6,200)
– He’s finally back. After clearing the extended COVID-19 protocol and shaking off a few cobwebs, this is the first game back where I am comfortable hopping back on the Zegras train. It’s a small two-gamer so there isn’t a lot of other top spots to go and as far as Zegras goes, he is the definition of a wild card. It’s hard to say what’ll happen but Detroit is coming in on the second half of a road back-to-back with their goalie Nedjelkovic facing 41 shots! Detroit will be very tired with the Ducks implied total set to 3.0, I am very interested in Zegras today as either a one-off play OR alongside winger Sonny Milano
Honorable Mention(s): Denis Gurianov, Tyler Bertuzzi

Core Four: (ALWAYS BE STACKIN’)

Centre – Robert Thomas

Winger – Jordan Kyrou

Defenseman – John Klingberg

Goalie – Anthony Stolarz

1/9 NHL Monkey Knife Fight NHL Prop Picks – Win With These Picks Here and Get 100 Percent Bonus!

Robertson – Kyrou – Zegras – Putting Up Points

Honorable Mention: DAL v STL Rapidfire

Sign up and get started with Win Daily Sports! We have your sport and the experts to help make you money. Why lose another buck when you can win TODAY!

3 years ago 0 comments

NBA Premium

NBA DFS: Gems with Ghost and Adam 1/9

Adam Strangis 3 years ago

written by Adam Strangis

NBA DFS: Gems with Ghost and Adam 1/9

Happy Klay Thompson Day to all who are celebrating, and if that’s not you, check yourself. It’s great to have Klay back and I can’t wait to see him. For context, the last time that Klay suited up, Ja Morant was not in the league. I don’t think he’s the smartest play tonight with an expectation of 15-20 minutes, but I might take a stab on Yahoo at just $14. Let’s get into the rest of the slate because there are some really fun games in the NBA DFS: Gems with Ghost and Adam 1/9 to find what we like!

Before running to the DraftKings, FanDuel, or Yahoo lobby to construct your NBA DFS lineup after reading this article, please make sure to utilize the abundance of tools we have at Win Daily:

Kings at Blazers

Kings – We have eight games tonight, one of the largest slates on a Sunday we’ve had all year. However, when we get a game between two of the bottom four teams in defensive rating, you better believe that’s where we start. Sacramento is still playing at a top 10 pace so they’ll drag the Blazers up towards them and we’ll need news on De’Aaron Fox. He could miss this game and if he does, Tyrese Haliburton would be an absolute lock. I would love to roster one of these two guards but Haliburton without Fox was a walking double-double earlier this season. He only has 1.02 fantasy points per minute but that is not reflective of his upside when he gets a full game without Fox and his assist rate is 37.4%. He is highly volatile, but this would be a good spot for Buddy Hield to go nuclear from deep because the Balzers allow the highest FG% from 3-point land on the season. His upside climbs as well if Fox is out.

Blazers – Anfernee Simons is the primary target here even though he’s coming off a poor game shooting as he only went 2-8 from a 3-point distance. However, he still hit 31 DraftKings Points because he dished seven assists and his usage is up to 29.1% with a 26.9% assist rate without Damian Lillard and C.J. McCollum. The salary is starting to get up there for Jusuf Nurkić but it’s hard to ignore he went for a monster double-double and 42.5 DK points last game….on 5-17 shooting. He’s threatening 1.40 fantasy points per minute without the two studs and Sacramento’s interior is vulnerable. Nurk has 18.1 rebound chances per game and the Kings are 27th in rebounds allowed in the paint. Norman Powell is in play but it’s easier to sink under the $7,000 threshold and just play Simons.

Grizzlies at Lakers

Grizzlies – Assuming Ja Morant suits up tonight, he will be in a good chunk of my lineups and that’s all there is to it. Dillon Brooks left yesterday’s game very early and couldn’t shoot free throws when he left, so I would be stunned if he played tonight. Kyle Anderson is also likely still out and taking those two players off the floor this year gives Morant 1.56 fantasy points per minute and a 32.8% usage rate. The Lakers still have some issues with perimeter defense and even though Avery Bradley played well last game against Trae Young, I’m not going to sit here and worry about Avery Bradley. Both teams are in the top 12 in pace and the Lakers are 22nd in points allowed in the paint.

Ja takes the most field goals off drives to the hoop at 10.9 and points scored at 13.6. If you absolutely can’t fit Ja, Desmond Bane is ready to go and he has a 22.7% usage in this scenario. Bane is a lethal shooter from beyond the arc and LA is allowing the eighth-most attempts per game on the year. I’m not likely to chase Jaren Jackson Jr. from yesterday because he had eight combined blocks and steals. Brandon Clarke will likely be popular as long as Steven Adams remains out and Clarke is under $5,000 on DraftKings. Both teams are in the top 12 in rebounding on the season and they’ll need Clarke on the glass at the very least.

Lakers – I’m not telling you to not play LeBron James but what I will say is he’s settling for the three a lot anymore. In the past five games, he’s averaging nearly 10 3-point FGA per game and for context, that would be second in the league behind only Steph Curry. There is evident upside at the salary but there is a little more volatility than I think we’ve been discussing while he’s playing like this. I don’t think I can stomach Malik Monk at his salary on DK but he’s been running with the starters and the Lakers have been playing much better. Just like Hield, he can shoot the lights out of the gym any given night but if he’s off and/or not shooting, you’re going to get nothing at a salary over $6,000.

Timberwolves at Rockets

It can be frustrating when the main cogs are healthy, but Karl-Anthony Towns under $10,000 against the team that is third in pace (Minnesota is sixth) and ninth in defensive rating is very hard to not want to play. Houston is in the bottom five in rebounds and points allowed in the paint and even though KAT doesn’t dominate in the paint, nobody can stop him. He’s in the top 10 in points per game in the post-up play type and he still has 1.30 fantasy points per minute even with Anthony Edwards and D’Angelo Russell in the lineup. I’m not exactly forcing a run-back but Christian Wood is still underpriced by about $1,000 and this total is near 230, so getting something from this game is going to be a wise move. The issue is just Houston is SO hard to peg their rotation that there is massive risk involved.

Teams to Monitor

Magic – If there are no restrictions on a back-to-back, Cole Anthony is wildly cheap for a player that is closing in on a 29% usage rate for his team. He’s been struggling with an ankle injury, so if he’s out we can get some value from a player like R.J Hampton and possibly Garry Harris/Terance Ross.

Mavericks – Luka Doncic is questionable while Kristaps Porzingis is still listed as out. If Luka doesn’t play, Jalen Brunson, Tim Hardaway Jr, and Maxi Kleber would be the three players we’d target the most. Ghost pointed this out for their last game, but THJ actually has the higher usage rate (30.8% to 28.2%) and points per minute (1.21 to 1.09) and should come in at half the ownership of Brunson, if not lower.

You can find us on Twitter @DFS_Ghost and @Bucn4life

3 years ago 0 comments

Announcements

FanDuel is giving out FREE MONEY to New York Sports Bettors

Joel Bartilotta 3 years ago

written by Joel Bartilotta

New York, are you ready! We’ve finally made it. For the last 9 years, New York Sports Bettors have only been able to bet on sports in person. Today, that all changes! Sports fans in New York no longer have to step foot outside their house to place a bet on their Mets, Rangers, or any other sporting event. At work or out with friends and want to place a bet, now you can! Online sports betting is finally here and we’ve worked with FanDuel to help bring you some dynamite offers.

Our good friends at FanDuel have offers all weekend for New York Sports Bettors to pad their bankroll before the NFL playoffs start and you would be dumb not to take advantage of the free money. Before we get into the bets FanDuel is offering a risk-free bet of up to $1000 for any new bettor on their platform. So sign up below and lock in that offer and then go place a bet which you literally can’t lose! Is there anything better than a risk-free bet?

CFB Championship 30-1 – Bet $5, Win $150 on either team to win their matchup

To claim, new users need to register, make a first-time deposit, and then simply place their first real-money wager on FanDuel Sportsbook on any CFB team playing in the college football national championship to win their matchup. All winning bets will be fulfilled within 72 hours if they win.

Risk Free Bet $1000

To claim, new users need to register, make a first deposit, and then simply place their first real-money wager on FanDuel Sportsbook up to $1000! If a user loses their first wager, we’ll refund their losses in the form of a free bet up to $1000!

Make sure to read our full review here.

3 years ago 0 comments

NBA Premium

NBA DFS: Gems with Ghost and Adam 1/8

Adam Strangis 3 years ago

written by Adam Strangis

NBA DFS: Gems with Ghost and Adam 1/8

We’ve got five games in front of us tonight and thankfully, the Memphis Grizzlies aren’t on the slate because they’re going to be short and NBA lineups have been tough enough lately. That’s one less team to worry about in the NBA DFS: Gems with Ghost and Adam 1/8 so let’s start figuring out who we like tonight!

Before running to the DraftKings, FanDuel, or Yahoo lobby to construct your NBA DFS lineup after reading this article, please make sure to utilize the abundance of tools we have at Win Daily:

Jazz at Pacers

Jazz – It’s possible they decide to field a team today that we actually know since they elected to sit almost their entire top eight rotation players last night. In fairness, there are Covid issues mixed in but a lot of it appeared to be “injuries” that may not be that serious and players will be active tonight. It’s frustrating that the NBA seems alright with this approach but I’ll be prepared to eat my words if these turn into legitimate injuries. With the top-eight players being out last night, we need to see who’s even available before diving into this team. Just know that if they are missing eight players again, Elijah Hughes, Jared Butler, and Eric Paschall were all massive chalk last night and they are still minimum. Your build would start with the three players.

Pacers – It’s possible that Malcolm Brogdon is back for this game and the salary would be appealing as long as Caris LeVert does not make it out of protocols for this game. He’s been out of action for nearly 20 days so Brogdon might face a minutes limit and we’ll need to monitor that. If he’s not back and the Pacers are status quo, Kiefer Sykes has been channeling his in Jordan and scored at least 18 real points in the past two games while playing 38 and 40 minutes. DraftKings has decided he doesn’t need to be priced up so he’s still way too cheap. This game has the most news that we need on the surface.

Bucks at Hornets

Bucks – I don’t think we’ll get anyone sitting out on the back-to-back since the Bucks are currently down five rotation players including Brook Lopez. Provided Jrue Holiday is still out, Giannis Antetokounmpo appears to be THE spend-up option. No other player is over $10,400 on DraftKings and without Holiday on the floor, Giannis is sitting at a 37.1% usage rate and 1.77 points per minute. There aren’t many more talented big men in the NBA and we’ve hammered the Hornets all season with big men. The Hornets are still leading in pace and 28th in defensive rating, setting the stage for Giannis to flirt with 70 DraftKings points tonight.

Hornets – I don’t think you HAVE to have a Hornets run-back, and I would at least caution against LaMelo Ball. It’s not he doesn’t have a ceiling but his minutes are so difficult to predict. There are some blowouts but even in a three-point game, he played 31 minutes. That’s not what I want to see with a $9,500 player and he needs efficiency to hit the ceiling score. That’s still a moving target with Ball, for all of his skills. If you’re going for a run-back, someone like Terry Rozier could make some sense because he can get red-hot from the field and the Bucks allow the most 3-point attempts per game. His minutes aren’t the steadiest either but he’s also almost $3,000 less than Ball, has a 23% usage rate, and 0.98 points per minute.

Teams to Consider

Heat – Jimmy Butler could be back for this contest and at $9,300, he’d deserve a look. Even with Kyle Lowry and Tyler Herro active, they are still without Bam Adebayo for a while longer. Even just taking him off the floor has left Butler with a 29.6% usage rate and 1.39 fantasy points per minute, ratios you just don’t get at that salary.

Magic – They are getting healthier, but if Cole Anthony is off his minute restriction, he’s very affordable as well. The Magic are still without Jalen Suggs for sure and Franz Wagner is questionable as well. Detroit is playing at the 10th fastest pace so this is a strong spot for a player that is close to 1.20 fantasy points per minute. Once again, the Jazz holds this slate hostage but they are in the first window of games, so we should know what we need before lock.

You can find us on Twitter @DFS_Ghost and @Bucn4life

3 years ago 0 comments

Newer Posts

Older Posts

FanDuel

Thursday 1/13 NHL Slate and DFS Gameplan

Three Favorite Lines Per Dollar

Carolina One “Sebastian Aho, Teuvo Teravainen, Seth Jarvis”

Calgary One Two Man”Johnny Gaudreau, Matthew Tkachuk plus optional Oliver Kylington power play addition”

New York Rangers Two “Artemi Panarin, Ryan Strome and if extra salary savings needed Alexis Lafreniere”

1/13 NHL Game Odds and Totals

Main Slate of Games – Beginning 7 p.m. ET

1/13 NHL DraftKings Individual Rankings

Centers

Wingers

Defense

Goalies

Cash Considerations

1/12 NHL Monkey Knife Fight NHL Prop Picks – Win With These Picks Here and Get 100 Percent Bonus!

Waialae Country Club

DraftKings Players ($10,000+)

Other Consideration – Cameron Smith ($11,200) – Either Cameron Smith or Hideki Matsuyama will be your best leverage route to consider. I don’t love Hideki’s upside because of his inability to make putts at a birdie fest, but we know Smith is a winner.

$9,000 Range

Other Targets: Abraham Ancer (GPPs)

$8,000 Range

Other Thoughts: Kevin Kisner is playable at $8,900

$7,000 Range

Additional Thoughts: I am going to mix-and-match options, but my next two favorite targets would be Keegan Bradley ($7,400) and Stewart Cink ($7,200)

$6,000 Range

Additional Dart Throws To Consider: Max McGreevy $6,900, Michael Thompson $6,900, Harry Higgs $6,900, Chan Kim $6,300, Andrew Novak $6,300

NBA DFS: Gems with Ghost and Adam 1/12

Nets at Bulls

Lakers at Kings

Hornets at 76ers

Teams to Monitor

Phoenix Suns @ Toronto Raptors

Denver Nuggets

San Antonio Spurs

Portland Trail Blazers

1/9 NHL Monkey Knife Fight NHL Prop Picks – Win With These Picks Here and Get 100 Percent Bonus!

NBA DFS: Gems with Ghost and Adam 1/9

Kings at Blazers

Grizzlies at Lakers

Timberwolves at Rockets

Teams to Monitor

NBA DFS: Gems with Ghost and Adam 1/8

Jazz at Pacers

Bucks at Hornets

Teams to Consider

Subscribe to our newsletter

The best bets and resources to make you more profitable

Our Company

©2024 WIN DAILY®. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.

Queue

©2024 WIN DAILY^®. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.