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Hello everybody, and welcome back to ‘Tee 2 Green,’ a new article that I will be producing for Win Daily Sports weekly to give some extra insight into the DFS world of golf. My focus will be to discuss, decipher and dissect some of my preferred targets throughout the various price ranges, and I will always provide my opinion with a data-intensive outlook that you can see first-hand if you use the weekly model that I provide free of charge. You can find that here.

DraftKings Players ($10,000+)

Daniel Berger ($10,400) –This week, there is a fine line between trying to get contrarian and still taking the choices you want. I feel like DraftKings did an excellent job pricing all the golfers, and ownership continues to flock to the same areas for users. And we some of those points come to fruition when we dive into my upside model, which places every $10,000 golfer inside the top-six for the Honda Classic. There is no point in me taking a bold stance against anyone near the top. I believe you could go any route and still put together a perfectly acceptable build, but I am going to try and jump the gun on Daniel Berger and hope that his back is healthy and ready to fire at PGA National.

Other Consideration – I am not going to talk anyone out of whoever they like for the week.

$9,000 Range

Billy Horschel ($9,600) – Unfortunately, YOUUUUUUU (yes, you reading this article right now) changed some of my plans during the PGA DraftCast show that we did with Jason Sobel when you guys decided to take both of my favorite targets in this $9,000 range. From a roster construction standpoint, I am proud of the group because the selections are sharp, but it did cause a massive deviation to take place for me that I was hoping to avoid. Horschel is the number one golfer in this field at short Par 70 tracks and also grades fourth for me from a safety perspective.

Shane Lowry ($9,400) – Shane Lowry ranks 11th in my recalculated tee-to-green metric to mimic PGA National and is also fourth in strokes gained approach over his past 24 rounds. Maybe you can try to pick a bone about his bunker play historically, but I do believe the Irishman is one of the safer targets on the slate.

Other Targets: Alex Noren ($9,300), Tommy Fleetwood ($9,900) – I would rather get up to Daniel Berger or down to Billy Horschel and Shane Lowry, but I wouldn’t be excluding the two in MME builds.

$8,000 Range

Brian Harman ($8,700) – Sharp money has been pouring in all week on Brian Harman, and it is easy to understand why when you look at his profile. Harman ranks inside the top-20 on fast Bermuda, difficult courses, wind, bogey avoidance and sand save percentage, and I thought was the top target on the board that went undrafted.

Jhonattan Vegas ($8,500) – There are some issues Jhonattan Vegas possesses both ATG and out of bunkers, but I love the ball-striking upside. Vegas has averaged 4.08 strokes tee-to-green over his past 13 starts. I took him first overall in the draft because of the safety that I believe he provides, but I also have an outright ticket on him because the ball-striking can shine at PGA National.

Aaron Wise ($8,400) – I’d be lying if I said I didn’t have my reservations, but Aaron Wise has been a coastal specialist throughout his career, and the improvement with his flat stick might be enough for him to reach the next level at PGA National. I am going to take the positives that Wise gained 2.8 shots ball-striking at the Genesis and hope he can continue that improved form at a venue he has averaged 5.46 shots tee-to-green in his career.

Other Thoughts: Gary Woodland ($8,200), Christiaan Bezuidenhout ($8,000) – I will consider Woodland/ Bezuidenhout and include both into my player pool.

$7,000 Range

I am going to rapid-fire through some $7,000 golfers to present a handful of choices for everyone reading.

Ryan Palmer ($7,900) – The takeaway from everyone will be that Ryan Palmer has put more balls in the water during the ‘Bear Trap’ than any other golfer, but two top-17 finishes in his past two trips makes this more than a doom-and-gloom situation.

C.T. Pan ($7,700) – I don’t think I have ever backed C.T. Pan before in any market, but he was one of my most prominent climbers when I condensed the data down to certain areas. Top-15 in weighted tee-to-green. A third-place finish at this venue in 2021 and a top-10 in his last start at the Genesis.

Rickie Fowler ($7,600) -There is a ton of volatility around Rickie Fowler, but the good portions of his portfolio make him worth a shot in GPP contests. Fowler has come inside the top-two at PGA National twice since 2017, and he ranks third in my reweighted tee-to-green data.

Chris Kirk ($7,500) – I love where Chris Kirk’s game has been trending over the past few starts. The American has gained tee-to-green in his last eight, and he has also averaged +1.04 around the green and +1.56 off the tee. Kirk is a positive putter on Bermuda and always excels on these bogey avoidance-type tracks. The 36-year-old is second in my recalculated tee-to-green category that is specific for PGA National, and he is one of only five players to grade inside the top-33 in all categories I looked at for the week — Daniel Berger, Brooks Koepka, Brian Harman and Sungjae Im are the other four.

Michael Thompson ($7,500) – Three top-24 finishes at this course for Michael Thompson in his last four attempts. The recent form provides some trepidation, but Thompson is a golfer that outperforms his price tag quite often.

Sepp Straka ($7,400) – The weighted proximity numbers are great, and the course history has been solid with back-to-back top-33 finishes.

Additional Thoughts: K.H. Lee ($7,700), Brendon Todd ($7,500), Lucas Glover ($7,400), Sam Ryder ($7,200), Stewart Cink ($7,100)

$6,000 Range

Additional Dart Throws To Consider: Mark Hubbard ($6,900), Ryan Armour ($6,600), Satoshi Kodaira ($6,600), Luke Donald ($6,400).

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Welcome, everyone! We’re back with a brand new Sunday Night Win Daily NHL Article! After no article last Sunday we’re back with a nice 5-gamer. So, let’s keep up the momentum and let’s get some takedowns tonight! Get ready for the newest edition of WinDaily’s Between the Benches! For tonight’s 2/20 NHL slate, as mentioned, we have a smaller five gamer and the slate begins at 5:00 pm ET (1:00 pm ET on DK). Don’t forget to lock your lines and check the discord for any updates! Let’s get right into it!

2/20 NHL Stack Report

1. Dallas Stars 1
Robertson – Hintz – Pavelski (FanDuel: $23,000 | DraftKings: $21,600)
Hard to ignore the Dallas Stars tonight as they are going up against one of the worst teams in the league in the Arizona Coyotes. After a 1-0 shootout win in their last game, this Stars line will be hungry and ready to capitalize in their stellar matchup tonight. Outside of their last game, Dallas’ top line has consistently been solid and throughout the season we’ve seen strong performances from each member of this top line. Unsurprisingly, they’re coming into tonight with the second-highest implied total of the slate and they are a very viable option for your fantasy lines tonight. Dallas’ second line can also work as a value play but I expect the top line to see the majority of the action tonight.
Ideal Defensive Partner(s): Miro Heiskanen (Ryan Suter works as a salary saver) (FD: $5,000 | DK: $4,500)

2. Edmonton Oilers 1
Hyman – McDavid – Yamamoto (FanDuel: $19,900 | DraftKings: $16,000)
This game has a line set at 6.5 for good reason. Both teams are very offensively gifted and leave something to be desired on the defensive end of the ice. Usually, that would be a good combo for a team like Minnesota, however, against the likes of McDavid and Draisaitl, being weak defensively is playing with fire. Not to mention, the Oilers are coming into this one hot after winning their last five, while the Wild have dropped their last two. McDavid alone is on a six-game point streak where he has posted 3 goals and 8 assists for 11 points over those six games. If you look over his last five, he’s a two-point per game player. Just an insane pace, even for McDavid. Minnesota’s main defensive concern is the amount of shots they allow per game which is North of 32 and as we know, when you give McDavid the opportunity he will usually rise to the occasion. His linemates are optimal as they are not too expensive but get a huge boost in value playing alongside McDavid. Edmonton’s second line is also playable but I prefer the top line.
Ideal Defensive Partner(s): Darnell Nurse (FD: $6,000 | DK: $6,100)

Honorable Mention(s): MIN1 (Zuccarello-Hartman-Kaprizov), CBJ1 (Laine-Jenner-Voracek), BUF1 (Skinner-Thompson-Tuch), DAL2 (Benn-Seguin-Gurianov)

2/20 NHL Goalie Tracker

Best (Goalies to Roster)

  1. Jake Oettinger (FD: $8,200 | DK: $8,400)
  2. Igor Shesterkin (FD: $8,400 | DK: $8,200)
    Honorable Mention(s): Craig Anderson

Worst (Goalies to Target)

  1. Karel Vejmelka (FD: $6,700 | DK: $7,000)
    Honorable Mention(s): Filip Gustavsson

2/20 NHL Wild Card Targets

Jack Eichel (FD: $5,500 | DK: $7,000) 
– I’m recommending Eichel for the same reason I recommended him the last time, he is way too cheap at his current price and we need to take advantage of that while he’s still available. Eichel just recorded his first point as a Golden Knight in his last game with a slick feed to Pacioretty. Eichel will still be seeing time on the Knights’ top power-play unit and will gear up alongside Patches for the majority of the game. Although his first two games have been a little slow, it’s only a matter of time before a bonafide talent like Eichel breaks a slate and at his current price, it’s definitely worth giving him a go.
Honorable Mention(s): Jeff Skinner, Matt Boldy, Joel Eriksson Ek, Tim Stuezle, Rudolfs Balcers

Core Four: (ALWAYS BE STACKIN’)

Center Jack Eichel

Winger Jason Robertson

Defenseman – Zach Werenski

Goalie Jake Oettinger

2/20 NHL Monkey Knife Fight NHL Prop Picks – Win With These Picks Here and Get 100 Percent Bonus!

Honorable Mention(s): Rapidfire 2/2

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Friday 2/18 NHL Breakdown

Welcome back for another installment of the Friday Night Forecheck here at Win Daily Sports. A nice four game slate is on tap with some interesting spots, and one game that should be fun to watch. It’s a tougher slate that you would think for four games, but we will do our best to narrow down how to attack it. Good luck!

Goalies

Jake Oettinger – Dallas Stars: The Stars travel to Chicago to take on the Blackhawks, who played Thursday night. The back to back situation, and, well, the fact that it is Chicago, puts Jake in a good spot, despite having a road matchup. Frankly, this feels like the only ‘safe’ goalie on the slate tonight, but you can also consider Frederik Andersen or Juuse Saros in this spot if you don’t want to put all of your eggs in the Oettinger basket.

GPP Goalie Pick – Laurent Brossoit – Vegas Golden Knights: With Lehner on the shelf, potentially long term, Brossoit has a legitimate chance to make a name for himself in Vegas. He is arguably a slightly better goalie than Lehner and could really benefit from a stretch of good hockey. In a home matchup against the Kings, he should be able to put a decent game together. He is a risk, however, simply because he has an ability to just blow up and not save anything.

Lines to Build Around

These lines are considered top plays for the night and can be considered the focal point of your builds. They will be listed by position in the following order: Center/Winger/Winger/Correlating Defenseman (if applicable).

Florida Panthers Power Play – Aleksander Barkov/Anthony Duclair/Sam Reinhart/Jonathan Huberdeau/Aaron Ekblad: It is very hard to argue with the way the Panthers have been playing this year, especially over the last month or so. They have been finding scoring everywhere and have become an offensive powerhouse. Tonight, they head to Minnesota for a date with the Wild in what should be a fun game to watch. The priority in the PP unit is usually Barkov/Huberdeau/Ekblad, but feel free to mix and match as your build allows.

Dallas Stars 1 – Roope Hintz/Jason Robertson/Joe Pavelski/John Klingberg: The Stars head to Chicago tonight to take on a Blackhawks team that is playing the second game of a back to back, and they get a matchup against Fleury, who has been less than stellar all season. If Klingberg can’t go, then Heiskanen can be played in his spot. This top line for the Stars should have its way with the Hawks and make great core pieces in any lineup.

High Risk Lines

These are plays that carry significantly more risk, but could pay off at low ownership. They will be listed by position in the following order: Center/Winger/Winger/Correlating Defenseman (if applicable).

Nashville Predators 2 – Ryan Johansen/Luke Kunin/Eeli Tolvanen/Mattias Ekholm: The Preds’ second line is in a very interesting spot tonight. The Canes match the Staal line to the opposing top line, the top line to the second, and the second to the third. That matching scheme sets this line up for a date with the top Canes’ line in a very nice matchup. This line is not necessarily known for its scoring, but they have a chance to be a super low owned, sneaky upside play.

Chicago Blackhawks 2 – Kirby Dach/Mackenzie Entwistle/Alex Debrincat: The even strength matchup for this line should be against the second line for the Stars, which is a nice matchup that should provide plenty of opportunity. This is a sneaky play that carries more risk than usual, setting this play up as a deep GPP look only. Of course, don’t play this line in the same lineup where you have Oettinger as your goalie.

Minnesota Wild 1 – Ryan Hartman/Mats Zuccarello/Kirill Kaprizov/Jared Spurgeon: the MIN/FLA game should be the most exciting game on the night, showcasing Kirill the Thrill and some other Young Guns against a slightly more seasoned, but very exciting Florida team. Because this game should be high event, it is recommended to get at least a piece of it in your lineup. These guys have a nice matchup, even though FLA gets the slight edge in this game. If playing multiple lineups, be sure to get both sides of this game.

Vegas Golden Knights 2 – William Karlsson/Jonathan Marchessault/Reilly Smith/Alex Pietrangelo: Everyone is rightfully excited about Jack Eichel finally suiting up for the Knights. He is going to make a great fit out there and really make the Knights a tough team. However, this second line should still be strongly considered as the better line until Eichel can skate with Stone and Patches consistently. Against the Kings, this line should see a mix of both top lines, spending just a touch more time against the second line. This matchup is very nice for the second line for Vegas tonight. Keep in mind, it is also a very nice matchup for LAK2 here, so you can go either way in this game.

Honorable Mentions: CAR1, NSH1, LAK2

Value Options – DraftKings

Center: Ryan Johansen ($3400) – Nashville Predators

Wing: Eeli Tolvanen ($2800) – Nashville Predators

Defense: Alex Goligoski ($2900) – Minnesota Wild

Value Options – FanDuel

Center: William Karlsson ($4900) – Vegas Golden Knights

Wing: Owen Tippett ($3600) – Florida Panthers

Defense: Brayden McNabb ($3800) – Vegas Golden Knights

Cash Considerations – DraftKings

Center: Roope Hintz – Dallas Stars

Wing: Jonathan Huberdeau – Florida Panthers

Defense: Jared Spurgeon – Minnesota Wild

Goalie: Jake Oettinger – Dallas Stars

Cash Considerations – FanDuel

Center: Roope Hintz – Dallas Stars

Wing: Jonathan Huberdeau – Florida Panthers

Defense: Jared Spurgeon – Minnesota Wild

Goalie: Jake Oettinger – Dallas Stars

Make sure to hop in our Expert Discord Chat for FREE! Jon and the NHL team will be there answering questions right up until lock! Be sure to be on the look out for future articles at https://windailysports.com/daily-fantasy-hockey/

All line combinations are courtesy of www.dailyfaceoff.com, and the advanced rates referenced in the above article are pulled from www.naturalstattrick.com.

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This article focuses on 2/17 NHL Picks for both DraftKings Sportsbook and DraftKings Daily Fantasy. We analyze tournament tactics, statistics, pricing, and attempt to tackle this highly variable Daily Fantasy format so that we can gain an edge on the field at large. Full rankings for each position for both sites are available below.

NHL Slate and DFS Gameplan

Welcome back to the Hot Shot for a ten-game Thursday slate!

Full Game Odds/Totals and DraftKings Rankings can be found below as well as cash game considerations for each site.

Three Favorite Lines Per Dollar

Top Line – Buffalo One “Alex Tuch, Jeff Skinner, Tage Thompson”

In terms of affordability and production, it doesn’t get much better than the Sabres top line. They will be hosting the Senators in a game that is sure to feature some goals “six total as of the time of writing, but I’d take the over”. Alex Tuch is the stand out of the bunch and no matter what he does, his price seems to never increase by much. Mr. Tuch has been averaging over a point a game “19 over 16” with goals in four of his last six games. His shot totals in recent games have been five sog, five sog, seven sog, four sog, four sog, seven sog, and five sog before hitting a game where he didn’t have any shots on goal “but did have two assists”.

Jeff Skinner, who has a monster game on Sunday, is only $5,100 and Tage Thompson at $6,500 might be the most expensive of the bunch but has finished with double digits DraftKings points in eight of his last nine games. This is matchup proof stuff at the line’s current price let alone good value for an even money matchup hosting the Senators.

Secondary Line – New York Rangers One Two Man “Mika Zibanejad, Chris Kreider”

The star of Rangers’ first half of the season, Chris Kreider, clocks in at only $5,600 and makes for a perfect pairing with Mika Zibanejad at center. They host in the Red Wings in a six total game and with the home team -190 favorites, we can rightfully assume that the Rangers are expected to provide most of the goals here.

I’m surprised that the recent sample size on this line “or any Rangers line for that matter” isn’t better but it seems like that might be the byproduct of a tough recent schedule. That’s the sort of thing that can turn around in an instant with the Red Wings “an awful road team” coming to town. I left off Alexis Lafreniere as he’s a side piece at most and lacks power play correlation with the two mentioned skaters. However, he is super cheap at $2,900 and does have goals in two of his last three in case you need the savings.

2/17 NHL Game Odds and Totals

Main Slate of Games – Beginning 7 p.m. ET

Detroit Red Wings (+160) at New York Rangers (-190) – 6 Projected Goal Total

Washington Capitals (-175) at Philadelphia Flyers (+150) – 6 Projected Goal Total

Pittsburgh Penguins (+130) at Toronto Maple Leafs (-150) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total

Ottawa Senators (-105) at Buffalo Sabres (-115) – 6 Projected Goal Total

St. Louis Blues (-265) at Montreal Canadiens (+210) – 6 Projected Goal Total

Boston Bruins (+100) at New York Islanders (-115) – 5.5 Projected Goal Total

Seattle Kraken (+135) at Winnipeg Jets (-165) – 6 Projected Goal Total

Columbus Blue Jackets (+125) at Chicago Blackhawks (-145) – 6 Projected Goal Total

Anaheim Ducks (+185) at Edmonton Oilers (-230) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total

Vancouver Canucks (-115) at San Jose Sharks (-105) 5.5 Projected Goal Total

2/17 NHL DraftKings Individual Rankings

Centers

  1. Mika Zibanejad – New York Rangers – $7,000
  2. Tage Thompson – Buffalo – $6,500
  3. Evgeny Kuznetsov – Washington – $6,200
  4. Boone Jenner – Columbus – $6,000
  5. Bo Horvat – Vancouver – $4,300

Wingers

  1. Alex Tuch – Buffalo – $5,800
  2. Chris Krieder – New York Rangers – $5,600
  3. Patrik Laine – Columbus – $5,400
  4. Vladimir Tarasenko – St. Louis – $6,400
  5. Evander Kane – Edmonton – $5,100

Defense

  1. Rasmus Dahlin – Buffalo – $4,800
  2. Erik Brannstrom – Ottawa – $2,700
  3. Connor Murphy – Chicago – $3,200
  4. Mike Matheson – Pittsburgh – $3,000
  5. Vince Dunn – Seattle – $3,800

Goalies

  1. Ville Husso – St. Louis – $8,600
  2. Linus Ullmark – Boston – $7,400

Cash Considerations

Patrik

Make sure to hop in our Expert Discord Chat for FREE! Rich will be there answering questions all day and all night! Follow Rich on Twitter @JFan303 and be sure to be on the lookout for future articles at https://windailysports.com/daily-fantasy-hockey/

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NBA DFS: Gems with Ghost and Adam 02/17

This is the last article for a week before we get another slate at all and we have five games ahead of us tonight with three teams on a back-to-back situation. Those teams are on red alert to have someone sit but every team is tonight, just like yesterday. Now, in most situations yesterday it worked against us as far as planning but it’s a new day in the NBA DFS: Gems with Ghost and Adam 02/17 so let’s highlight who we like! 

One thing I want to clarify based on the questions I have received over the past few years is that I will never list a player under the $5,000 price tag simply because I use the projection model to identify all targets in this range and below. While there are often plenty of options that I like at $5,000 and less, since I often find myself with not only one – but multiple – in my NBA DFS lineups, you all have access to the very model I use to make my own selections, so when asking yourself: “Should I use player X or player Y?”, make sure to check the model because that is how I make all of my own decisions and I truly ride or die by it on a daily basis.

Before running to the DraftKings, FanDuel, or Yahoo lobby to construct your NBA DFS lineup after reading this article, please make sure to utilize the abundance of tools we have at Win Daily:

Heat at Hornets 

Heat – One aspect that has been a constant in every single game this season has been the #FlowChart against the Hornets. Are you a big man of any skill level? If Yes, we want you in our DFS lineups and today that means Bam Adebayo. Two things stand out for Bam in this one and the first (and of less importance) was the game on the fifth of this month. Bam put up 49.5 DK points against this Hornets team…in 28 minutes and on 7-21 shooting. The second facet that jumps out is the Heat opened up as just four-point favorites against Charlotte and that is a red flag that Jimmy Butler could sit. He’s been questionable a lot lately and I’m not sure if there’s any reason for such a close spread unless Butler could be out. With both Butler and Tyler Herro off the floor (Herro is already out), Bam has 1.44 points per minute and a 29.3% usage rate. Be prepared for Miami to potentially be chalk with Bam, Kyle Lowry, and value plays if Butler joins Herro as missing this game. 

Hornets – The Hornets should continue running a very short rotation with Gordon Hayward and Cody Martin remaining out. Only seven players hit the floor for 32 minutes or more in an overtime game and the duo of Mason Plumlee and Montrezl Harrell are actually both interesting. They’re not going to stop Bam at all but the Hornets have to try and contain him somehow and they played a good bit together in this past game. The more expensive options of LaMelo Ball, Miles Bridges, and Terry Rozier are all interesting and I want to see if Butler plays before deciding. If he’s out, the matchups are much more wide open but Ball is still my favorite as he is every night with this team. He can be volatile but he has the highest odds of a ceiling game with 1.37 points per minute with Hayward and Martin out. 

Wizards at Nets 

Wizards – I’m not sure if I can buy into Kyle Kuzma at $9,000 but the ceiling outcome is undeniably there for him (as is the floor). He’s had a couple of big games since the trade deadline and has a 25.7% assist rate and 1.16 FPPM, but that could fall way short of paying off the salary. It may be wiser to stick to value players like Deni Avdija, Raul Neto, and possibly even Kentavious Caldwell-Pope. Deni and Neto have both been playing 30+ minutes with at least 0.90 FPPM in that same time period and their salaries are way more appealing since the Nets have been so bad defensively over the past month. 

Note – The next paragraph is what I wrote about the Nets just yesterday and everything outside of the Knicks references still stands 1,000%. I mean, Drummond played 22 minutes and almost hit 22 DraftKings points. Now he gets the Washington frontcourt that is bottom 10 in points and rebounds allowed in the paint? Yes, please. The only difference is Cam Thomas deserves some love. That’s not just because he went nuts in the fourth but if someone is taking 15+ shots for Brooklyn, I’m interested. 

Nets – Since this game is in Madison Square Garden and in New York, Kyrie Irving will not be in the lineup and that opes up all sorts of options for the Nets. I honestly don’t understand why DK didn’t move any salaries for the Nets past a couple of hundred dollars and that means that Seth Curry and Andre Drummond are both prime targets. Both of these players accounted for at least 1.21 points per minute in their Nets debut and Curry had a massive 31.5% usage rate. To get him under $6,000 is an absolute gift and Drummond is not nearly expensive enough either. He only played 24 minutes and even though New York is in the top 10 in points and rebounds allowed, Drummond is too good in the paint at generating fantasy points to pass under $6,000 as well. I wouldn’t be shocked to see him climb to at least 28 minutes and possibly 30 with the Knicks matchup either. Patty Mills is fine but he’s legitimately relying on just his shot and I tend to not want to chase Bruce Brown. He’s not going to shoot 8-12 and rack up five steals again and I would likely max my Nets exposure at three. Curry and Drummond remain two of the strongest point-per-dollar options on the slate. 

Teams To Monitor

Rockets – The 76ers visiting the Bucks will get some well-deserved attention tonight but one route to affording Joel Embiid or Giannis Antetokounmpo could be the Rockets. Both Kevin Porter Jr. and Christian Wood sat last night, allowing Alpern Sengun and Dennis Schroeder to each post 40+ DraftKings Points with Jae’Sean Tate not far behind at 36. We need news before lock to be sure but for GPP, leaving some roster spots available to get to Rockets could be a difference-maker if we don’t. Every Rocket I played last night was under 8% because nobody knew they would be short until 30 minutes after lock. They could hold the keys to the slate or be nothing major, so we’ll have to play the waiting game. 

ou can find us on Twitter @DFS_Ghost and @Bucn4life

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We’re back with another Wednesday Night Win Daily NHL Article! We’ve been on an excellent run as of late here at WinDaily. Let’s make some more money tonight! On tonight’s slate, we have a small 4-gamer! Keep an eye on any COVID-19 news since it can change the whole outlook of the slate! With that said, let’s get ready for the newest edition of WinDaily’s Between the Benches! For tonight’s 2/16 NHL slate, the slate begins at 7:00 pm ET. Don’t forget to lock your lines and check the discord for any updates! Let’s get into it!

2/16 NHL Stack Report

1. Colorado Avalanche 1
Rantanen – MacKinnon – Landeskog (FanDuel: $28,700 (over 50% of the salary cap) | DraftKings: $23,000)
Like with most slates, Colorado is coming into tonight’s slate with the highest implied goal total of the night at 3.5 and it would be even higher if they weren’t going up against the Golden Knights. FanDuel’s pricing has gotten so unusable that Colorado’s top line is completely unstackable on the site with the three linemates making up over 50% of your allotted salary. To get around this, I would recommend playing your favourite member of this line and pairing them with Cale Makar, it’s not much better but it’ll do. Luckily for DraftKings users, Colorado’s whole top line is very much in play. Considering the Golden Knights starter, Robin Lehner, is out with an upper body injury. It makes Colorado’s top line that much more appealing. All three play on the Aves top power play unit and are among the league leaders in scoring. (except for MacKinnon who spent some time out with an injury earlier in the season)
Ideal Defensive Partner(s): Cale Makar (FD: $7,300 | DK: $7,200)

2. Florida Panthers 3
Marchment – Lundell – Reinhart (FanDuel: $17,900 | DraftKings: $11,000)
This line is a very sneaky value option, especially on DraftKings. Reinhart in particular has consistently been scoring despite being on the third line. Reinhart has still been seeing around 17-19 minutes of ice-time per game and over his last three games he has put together seven points! (4 goals, 3 assists) His linemates haven’t been too far off either with Marchment scoring 3 goals and 5 assists over his last three games and Lundell scoring 5 assists over his last two. Overall, this third line ends up seeing a considerable amount of ice time and has been scoring at a very high pace as of late, along with a 3.3 implied goal total.
Ideal Defensive Partner(s): Mackenzie Weegar (FD: $6,000 | DK: $4,800)

Honorable Mentions in order: MIN2 (Boldy-Gaudreau-Fiala), CAR1 (Teravainen-Aho-Necas), MIN1 (Zuccarello-Hartman-Kaprizov), CGY1 (Gaudreau-Lindhom-Tkachuk)

2/16 NHL Goalie Tracker

Best (Goalies to Roster)

  1. Jacob Markstrom (FD: $8,100 | DK: $8,000)
  2. Cam Talbot (FD: $8,400 | DK: $7,900)
    Honorable Mention(s): Frederik Andersen

Worst (Goalies to Target)

  1. John Gibson (FD: $7,100 | DK: $7,300)

2/16 NHL Wild Card Targets

Jack Eichel (FD: $5,500 | DK: $6,800) 
Jack Eichel is making his season debut as the newest member of the Vegas Golden Knights and although he has had a bit of a year thus far, this is still Jack Eichel. For FanDuel users, he is nearly a must play, I can guarantee, he will not be at $5,500 for much longer on FanDuel. We are talking about a bonafied NHL superstar who was wasting talent with the Sabres. Even on DK, he is very cheap for the player he is, along with the role he is playing on the Golden Knights. Depending on how the rest of your line shapes up you can pair Eichel with Max Pacioretty, Evgenii Dadonov or both (all dependent on how much salary you have available). I would strongly recommend considering Eichel for your lines tonight as you are getting a very important value piece which wont be around in future slates, take advantage of it while you can.
Honorable Mention(s): Tyler Toffoli, Evgenii Dadonov, Troy Terry

Core Four: (ALWAYS BE STACKIN’)

Centre Jack Eichel

Winger Matt Boldy

Defence Tony DeAngelo

Goalie Jacob Markstrom

2/16 NHL Monkey Knife Fight NHL Prop Picks – Win With These Picks Here and Get 100 Percent Bonus!

Putting up Points (All Day)

Honorable Mention(s): Rapidfire 2/2 (All Day)

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NBA DFS: Gems with Ghost and Adam 02/16

This is the last big sale before the All-Star break and with so many teams playing their last game, you must be around for the entire night if you plan on playing. We could have a ton of news tonight and with teams potentially sitting gym to get an extended break so be prepared. Let’s dive into the games we do like in the NBA DFS: Gems with Ghost and Adam 02/16 and highlight what we’re chasing!

One thing I want to clarify based on the questions I have received over the past few years is that I will never list a player under the $5,000 price tag simply because I use the projection model to identify all targets in this range and below. While there are often plenty of options that I like at $5,000 and less, since I often find myself with not only one – but multiple – in my NBA DFS lineups, you all have access to the very model I use to make my own selections, so when asking yourself: “Should I use player X or player Y?”, make sure to check the model because that is how I make all of my own decisions and I truly ride or die by it on a daily basis.

Before running to the DraftKings, FanDuel, or Yahoo lobby to construct your NBA DFS lineup after reading this article, please make sure to utilize the abundance of tools we have at Win Daily:

Nets at Knicks 

Nets – Since this game is in Madison Square Garden and in New York, Kyrie Irving will not be in the lineup and that opes up all sorts of options for the Nets. I honestly don’t understand why DK didn’t move any salaries for the Nets past a couple of hundred dollars and that means that Seth Curry and Andre Drummond are both prime targets. Both of these players accounted for at least 1.21 points per minute in their Nets debut and Curry had a massive 31.5% usage rate. To get him under $6,000 is an absolute gift and Drummond is not nearly expensive enough either. He only played 24 minutes and even though New York is in the top 10 in points and rebounds allowed, Drummond is too good in the paint at generating fantasy points to pass under $6,000 as well. I wouldn’t be shocked to see him climb to at least 28 minutes and possibly 30 with the Knicks matchup either. Patty Mills is fine but he’s legitimately relying on just his shot and I tend to not want to chase Bruce Brown. He’s not going to shoot 8-12 and rack up five steals again and I would likely max my Nets exposure at three. Curry and Drummond remain two of the strongest point-per-dollar options on the slate. 

Knicks – DraftKings must be on the FanDuel schedule of updating salaries because Julius Randle has not hit the $10,000 threshold despite R.J. Barrett still being out and Randle having four straight games of at least 56 DK points. While Barrett has been off the floor this season, Randle has a usage of 30% and 1.20 FPPM so he is not quite expensive enough yet, not to mention the Nets aren’t exactly equipped to deal with him. Quentin Grimes has also been a prime beneficiary of Barrett being out as he’s slid into the starting lineup and played 31, 37, and 40 minutes. Thibs Gonna Thibs and Grimes brought the confidence last game with 18 field goal attempts so I’m totally fine going back to the well at the salary. I can’t stomach Evan Fournier at $6,500 but two players that are worth deeper GPP shots are Mitchell Robinson and Kemba Walker. I can’t stress just how volatile these two are and they could see under 20 minutes, but Robinson could be needed if Drummond gets 30 minutes and he’s about a point per minute. For Kemba, the shot almost has to work for him but they are still short and he could see close to 28 minutes himself. They both have upside over their salary against the Nets. 

Kings at Bulls 

Kings – They bit us right in the backside in their last game but they shot horribly all night and just couldn’t stay in it. Don’t let that cloud that while De’Aaron Fox and Domantas Sabonis have shared the floor, they each have a usage rate of at least 25.9% and 0.93 fantasy points per minute. Sabonis has gotten the much better end of that with 1.28 FPPM but it seems impossible that Fox will continue to have just a 13% assist rate while they share the court. To wit, Fox has averaged 10.3 potential assists in those three games together and he’s made an average of 61.4 passes. On the cheaper side, Harrison Barnes is always in play but the 0.90 FPPM with a 77.3% true shooting rate with the big duo isn’t super encouraging. Donte DiVincenzo is of interest as well since he’s not yet $4,000 but don’t expect another 10x return. He also pilfered the ball five times but what is nice to see is he’s taken 20 FGA in just 46 minutes and 13 have been from deep. 

Bulls – You have to love Nikola Vucevic in this spot as Sabonis is not exactly a fearsome defender and Chicago continues to be short Zach LaVine, Alex Caruso, and Lonzo Ball. In that scenario, Vuc has 1.36 fantasy points per minute which are actually higher than DeMar DeRozan. He may not hold a candle to DDR in usage with DeRozan sporting a 38.2% mark but Vuc does a lot more rebounding and that should come into play against the Kings. They are 28th in rebounds allowed in the paint and Vuc is averaging 18.5 rebound chances per night, ninth in the league. With the salaries involved, I’m prioritizing him over DDR because I believe Vuc is just a hair safer. Perhaps we can look at DeRozan points for a wager to get some play with him. Coby White is getting up there but he does have a 23.2% usage and that also hurts Ayo Dosunmu as far as the ceiling goes. I’d be focused mostly on the star guys here. 

Blazers at Grizzlies 

Blazers – This team is barely recognizable from the start of the season as the keys have been given to Anfernee Simons, Josh Hart, Justise Winslow, and Jusuf Nurkic (sort of). That quartet all has a usage rate of at least 17.6% (Simons leads at 29.1%) and Nurkic leads in FPPM at 1.37 over the past two weeks, so each has some appeal here to be sure. Memphis played last night and Portland has been feisty in this past handful of games. Memphis also plays fast so this game could get up and down and Portland is 28th in defensive rating on the season, so that could help keep the point total high. The safety player feels like Winslow just because he’s the cheapest because all of these players have a floor. Simons could have a bad shooting night, Hart could not contribute across the board, and Nurkic could lose minutes if Memphis wants to play a little smaller. The good news is except for Nurkic, the other three feel like their workload is a stone-cold lock of 35 minutes or more. 

Grizzlies – We’ll have to see if Ja Morant plays tonight or if he sat just because it was a back-to-back. If he’s out, Tyus Jones, Jaren Jackson Jr., and Desmond Bane are all amazing targets once again and everyone’s salary went down. If Ja is out, they will be chalky again and that is especially true of Jones. He will be a free square in all formats. On the chance that Morant plays (wouldn’t be surprising to see him sit before the break), I’d love him against the Blazers but we’ll see. I’m prepared to pair up Jones with one of Bane or Jackson in a lot of lineups tonight. He’s been a forgotten man but Dillon Brooks is also still out and JJJ is at a 33.1% usage rate and 1.32 FPPM without those two on the floor. this season. Both marks lead the team by a considerable margin and he’s averaging 46 DK points per 36 minutes in that scenario. 

Honorable Mention 

Rockets at Suns (maybe CP3 or Booker sits on a back-to-back)

Nuggets at Warriors

Hawks at Magic

You can find us on Twitter @DFS_Ghost and @Bucn4life

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As Joel Schrek (and LL Cool J) like to say, we are going back to Cali for the Genesis Invitational. This week 119 players will be teeing it up in an absolutely loaded field. Please make sure you catch our live show (“The PGA DraftCast”) from Tuesday night for a complete model breakdown and our favorite Draftkings picks. I’m personally looking for the complete golfer this week and that will require good ball striking and a good short game. Much like last week, I’ll be placing extra emphasis on course history. Now let’s get to the Genesis Initial Picks.

Patrick Cantlay (11000) – Truly a toss up between Cantlay and Rahm but if I was forced to pick, I’d go with Cantlay as he is in good form and seems to love the Cali swing. The APP game hasn’t been elite but it’s been good enough and he definitely has plenty of short game prowess.

Rory McIlroy (9700) – The APP game was off late last year and therefore his metrics are down a bit in your model, but I love what he did overseas over the last month and I think he has the expertise and course history to navigate this course and potentially take this tournament down.

Cam Smith (9100) – If you’re looking for a technician, look no further than Cam Smith who also has the complete game to compete in this talent-laden field. Cam’s OTT game hasn’t been great but he checks every other box including great course history.

Jordan Spieth (8900) – Good course history and a good setup for him as even if he’s wayward off the tee, he should have the requisite creativity, APP and short game to be ok out here. I like the form he’s in and think that he has upside at this price.

Max Homa (8300) – Certainly won’t rate out well in your modeling, but he’s starting to come on strong and he appears to absolutely love the Genesis with a 1st and a 5th over his last two efforts. Add to that he’s coming in with good form and you’ve got some upside here.

Adam Scott (8200) – Recent history suggests his game is emerging and I love his course history at The Genesis. Plenty of upside with the ball striking and the PUTT and if he can be average with ARG he can easily pay off his price tag.

Talor Gooch (8000) – Doesn’t rate out very well OTT, but is very good in every other category including APP and ARG and the long proximities we will be looking for on the long Par 4s. He also checks the great course history box and looks to be a great value. I’ll note that I also like Matt Fitzpatrick in this range at 8100.

Luke List (7400) – Coming off an underwhelming 53rd at the WMPO, but remains in elite form outside of a PUTT that is prone to being a problem. With that said, his game sets up very well here as he has both the short and long game at his disposal and has good course history.

Cameron Tringale (7300) – it feels like a good bounce back spot and price for Tringale here. I’ll admit he doesn’t rate out as well as I would have thought, but I still think he has the complete game to survive and advance to the weekend at likely low ownership. Speaking of a bounce back spot, I will also be playing some shares of Seamus Power in this range at 7500.

Lanto Griffin (7200) – My main issue with Lanto on this course should be his ARG game, but he appears to have turned that part of his game around. If that trend continues then he’s a great value as he has the APP and PUTT game to make some noise at this price.

Matt Kuchar (6800) – Put simply, the ball striking has just been way off with Kuchar. However, if there were a tournament for him to tactically play his way past the cut line, it would likely be the Genesis where he can plot out each shot and lean on a solid short game. The upside is capped here, but I think this is the venue where the Kuchar of old could emerge.

Doug Ghim (6500) – He’s been making a lot of cuts lately and we know that he’s classically a great ball striker. He’s only played the Genesis once and had an MC, but if vintage Ghim is back, he’s a value at this price. The PUTT can get him in trouble for sure, but I’ll play the upside.

Aaron Rai (6400) – no course experience at The Genesis, but he’s been pretty great lately making 7 out of his last 8 cuts. Truth is, he’s not doing much at an elite level, but the ability to make this many cuts has my attention. There are plenty of others in this range I like including Brendan Grace and J.T. Poston.

Secret Weapon – 48-16. See you in Discord.

Be sure to get in our Discord, watch our show and sign up for all things Win Daily as we are bringing you all the DFS for all the sports you can imagine. Further, make sure you check out Sharp as the bets continue to roll through.

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Hello everybody, and welcome back to ‘Tee 2 Green,’ a new article that I will be producing for Win Daily Sports weekly to give some extra insight into the DFS world of golf. My focus will be to discuss, decipher and dissect some of my preferred targets throughout the various price ranges, and I will always provide my opinion with a data-intensive outlook that you can see first-hand if you use the weekly model that I provide free of charge. You can find that here.

DraftKings Players ($10,000+)

Patrick Cantlay ($11,000) – For such a long time, we had this narrative that Patrick Cantlay was only playable on the west coast, which has gone away (rightfully so), but it has now turned into something different where the industry seems to continually be overlooking him in these spots near the top of the board in pricing. It happened last week at TPC Scottsdale, and it is trending in that direction here at Riviera Country Club. Cantlay has been brilliant at the course in his career, posting four top-17 finishes in four attempts, and he enters the week as arguably the hottest player on tour.

Justin Thomas ($10,700) – In my opinion, this is your top contrarian pivot near the top of the board. Collin Morikawa is a massive underdog at credible offshore books against Dustin Johnson and Rory McIlroy. That doesn’t mean he isn’t in play because of that fact, but I think it is Thomas that you want to consider as your under-the-radar man in the $10,000 range. The American ranks first in my recalculated tee-to-green category, and he seems to be a hot putter away from getting back into the winner’s circle.

Dustin Johnson ($10,200) – It is hard to say anything negative about Dustin Johnson at Riviera Country Club. Eight straight top-16 results since 2014, which is highlighted by a victory in 2017. We could go on and on about the big-hitter at this course, but I just wish Johnson would have been slightly higher priced to detract some of the ownership. As things stand, I am fine where the number is currently at (20 percent), but I do believe his win equity is less than that of Justin Thomas. Safer floor, yes. But I like swinging for the fence on Thomas when deciding directly between the two.

Other Consideration – I won’t have any Collin Morikawa, and I will be unusually underweight to Jon Rahm.

$9,000 Range

Xander Schauffele ($9,900) – I mentioned this on both ‘Bettor Golf Pod’ and ‘PGA Draftcast,’ but this is just the second time over the past year where Jon Rahm has not graded number one from a statistical perspective during a tournament he was entered into the field. The last occurrence came with Justin Thomas at the Players Championship – an event he ended as the winner – and my model is producing those same vibes here at Riviera Country Club for Xander Schauffele.

Cameron Smith ($9,100) –We have gotten a few volatile results from Cameron Smith over the years at Riviera, but the good has resulted in multiple top-10 showings since 2017. The Aussie ranks inside the top-10 of this field in five of the seven categories I ran inside of my model.

Other Targets: Rory McIlroy ($9,700) – The Irishman enters the week with quality form, having posted seven worldwide top-18 results over as many starts.

$8,000 Range

Jordan Spieth ($8,900) – Whenever you can grab a sub-10 percent owned Jordan Spieth and possibly a sub-five percent version in this situation, I always become intrigued. Spieth has been solid at this venue in the past, providing three top-22 finishes since 2017 and grades inside the top-12 of my model from an upside perspective.

Other Thoughts: Bubba Watson ($8,500), Tony Finau ($8,400) and Talor Gooch ($8,400) are some of my other preferred targets in this range.

$7,000 Range

I am going to rapid-fire through some $7,000 golfers to present a handful of choices for everyone reading.

Russell Henley ($7,900) – Russell Henley has gained tee-to-green in 13 of his past 14 starts on tour, and the course history has been trending at this track, providing four-straight made cuts.

Joaquin Niemann ($7,800) – Back-to-back top-10s to start the year for Joaquin Niemann has him buzzing into the Genesis. My model places him 15th overall, which is shown by his top-20 grades in tee-to-green and weighted par-four scoring.

Paul Casey ($7,600) – Paul Casey has been a wizard at difficult courses in his career, but it is going to come down to how the short game can perform on these fast greens. The ball-striking is good enough for him to sneak his way into the top-10, but you would have to imagine the around the green and putting metrics will have to hold as steady as possible for him to find his highest level of success.

Kevin Na ($7,600) – Kevin Na seemed to break my model. Inside the top-10 of all iterations of my sheet, Na has the iron proximity numbers and short game intangibles to get himself inside the top-10 at this event for the fifth time. I am going to use less of him than my model would like to see because I have my hesitations, but there is a lot to like about his chances from a statistical standpoint.

Seamus Power ($7,500) – I feel like there has been a small overcorrection to the market after Seamus Power not only disappointed at the Waste Management but also collapsed in front of the industry at Pebble Beach. With that being said, Power has come inside the top-31 in 15 of his past 19 starts, and the missed cut last weekend at TPC Scottsdale was the culprit of a cold putter that saw him lose 2.4 strokes to the field. The 34-year-old still gained in all other categories for the week, and I think the recency bias here is placing Seamus inside of the wrong tier of golfers. 

Additional Thoughts: Jason Kokrak ($7,700), Thomas Pieters ($7,400), Maverick McNealy ($7,200), Christiaan Bezuidenhout ($7,200), Ryan Palmer ($7,000) are all very much in play.

$6,000 Range

Additional Dart Throws To Consider: You can use my model to get some plays you might like! I am not in love with this territory, but you likely will find yourself down here on certain builds. I did during the ‘PGA Draftcast’ where I selected Doug Ghim $6,500.

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Only a few days are left before the NBA All-Star break and tonight’s matchups are filled with enticing targets. It’s a Taco Tuesday edition of the Gems – let’s ride.

One thing I want to clarify based on the questions I have received over the past few years is that I will never list a player under the $5,000 price tag simply because I use the projection model to identify all targets in this range and below. While there are often plenty of options that I like at $5,000 and less, since I often find myself with not only one – but multiple – in my NBA DFS lineups, you all have access to the very model I use to make my own selections, so when asking yourself: “Should I use player X or player Y?”, make sure to check the model because that is how I make all of my own decisions and I truly ride or die by it on a daily basis.

Before running to the DraftKings, FanDuel, or Yahoo lobby to construct your NBA DFS lineup after reading this article, please make sure to utilize the abundance of tools we have at Win Daily:

Charlotte Hornets @ Minnesota Timberwolves (-6.5)

A game featuring two of the league’s three fastest teams with a marquee matchup between two of the best players in the 2020 NBA draft? Yes, please. Tonight’s contest between the Hornets and the Timberwolves will be a must for me tonight: the Hornets lead the league in pace while Minnesota ranks third coming, while the former also struggles on the defensive side of the ball, ranking 24th in defensive rating. With Gordon Hayward (ankle) and Cody Martin (achilles) still out for the Hornets, not only are we attacking the best game environment on the NBA slate, but we also get an 8-person rotation within it.

LaMelo Ball will be a building block in my NBA lineups tonight, where the sophomore is sporting a 29.4% usage rate in February, only seeing less than 30 minutes in a single game, where the Hornets got blown out by Miami. He’s averaged over 18 FGA per contest in that span as well, shooting 44.5% from the field and 46.4% from behind the arc on eight attempts per night, while posting a 24.1/5.7/6.1 scoring line. Should you want to go elsewhere with your studs, or rather build with more players in the mid range of the pricing grid, Terry Rozier draws a favorable matchup against D’Angelo Russell, while also having posted a triple-double and a 35/10/9 scoring line in his last two games, in addition to Kelly Oubre Jr. seeing an increase in offensive responsibility on the wing. The Hornet that will go overlooked will be newly acquired Montrezl Harrell, who, along with PJ Washington, could see extended run considering Mason Plumlee will be in tough versus Karl-Anthony Towns.

On the flip side of this one, Karl-Anthony Towns finds himself in one of my favorite matchups to attack in NBA DFS: bigs against Charlotte. However, with usage often being flanked to the wings and D’Angelo Russell, I might go elsewhere tonight considering the lofty price tag. While I expect the majority of the field to game log chase with Anthony Edwards, D’Angelo Russell will be an interesting target for tournaments tonight: the former Ohio State guard has scored in double digits in every one of his five games this month, where three of which also resulted in 20 or more points; sporting a 26.8% usage rate in that span, DLo has posted a 21.2/2.6/6.8 scoring line on 46.3% shooting. While Patrick Beverley is a safe player in the mid range, you know the entire Timberwolves offense funnels through Towns, Edwards, and Russell.

Memphis Grizzlies @ New Orleans Pelicans (+4)

Fresh off their 30-point rout of the Toronto Raptors, the Pelicans are hosting one of the league’s best teams in their second half of a back-to-back. The big news here for Memphis is that Ja Morant (ankle) is a GTD despite playing in their last game. We’ll obviously have to wait to see what his status is, but should Morant be a no-go tonight, Desmond Bane is an immediate priority, seeing a 2.4% increase in usage rate and an FPPM increase from 1.03 to 1.15 with Morant off the court. Whether Morant plays or not, I will have exposure to a Memphis offense that takes on a Pelicans team that has a 115.5 net defensive rating in their three games since acquiring CJ McCollum, which would have them ranked 29th in the NBA, ahead of only the Houston Rockets.

On the Pelicans side of the ball, the trio of McCollum, Ingram, and Valanciunas are all close to one another on the pricing grid, but I favor the Pelicans’ newest addition. McCollum is sporting a 29.4% usage rate since his arrival, which not only leads the team, but is also 5% higher than the next qualified player, Brandon Ingram. In addition, McCollum also leads the team in scoring since his arrival, being the only player to average over 20 PPG with 24.7 PPG, while also leading the team in assists and being second in rebounding behind only Valanciunas. This is now McCollum’s offense in New Orleans, and with the Grizzlies ranking 20th in the NBA to opposing primary ball handlers, he’s a tremendous target in the mid range of the pricing grid in an elite game environment.

Honorable Mentions:

  • Indiana Pacers @ Milwaukee Bucks (-12)
  • Cleveland Cavaliers @ Atlanta Hawks (+2)

You can find us on Twitter @DFS_Ghost and @Bucn4life

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