Welcome back to the Hot Shot for Thursday Night! There have been some awesome games this week and that trend should continue tonight. With ten games on this slate, we will have our work cut out for us. Aside from reading the article, don’t forget to check out our NHL DFS Projection Model which is available every morning.
10/27 NHL Main Slate of Games – Beginning 7 p.m. ET
*All odds and player pricing below have been obtained from DraftKings and are accurate as of the time of writing*
Detroit Red Wings (+190) at Boston Bruins (-225) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total
Montreal Canadiens (+135) at Buffalo Sabres (-155) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total
Edmonton Oilers (-215) at Chicago Blackhawks (+185) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total
Minnesota Wild (-120) at Ottawa Senators (+100) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total
Florida Panthers (-200) at Philadelphia Flyers (+170) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total
St. Louis Blues (+140) at Nashville Predators (-165) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total
Washington Capitals (+110) at Dallas Stars (-130) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total
Vancouver Canucks (+105) at Seattle Kraken (-125) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total
Winnipeg Jets (+125) at Los Angeles Kings (-145) – 6 Projected Goal Total
Toronto Maple Leafs (-225) at San Jose Sharks (+190) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total
10/27 NHL Favorite Popular Line
Toronto Two “John Tavares ($6,300), William Nylander ($6,000), Nicholas Robertson ($3,500)“
In the DFS universe, it’s a known occurence that people tend to gravitate towards earlier games in terms of ownership. Many want some degree of certainty, as well as the ability to watch the game. As a result, I think we can grab some lower ownership than usual on one of the best lines of the night. The Toronto Maple Leafs are in a great late-night spot as they head to San Jose as -225 money line favorites. I will rarely if ever use the full top line as a I normally prefer to just play Auston Matthews as a one off if it comes down to it. They do have good numbers so far this season so get an honorable mention below. Furthermore, it is a homecoming of sorts for Matthews, who hails from the greater Phoenix area so don’t mind him individually here.
However, let’s shift to the second line where he have two elite skaters in William Nylander and John Tavares. All this at a more moderate price. Nylander and Tavares are the two priorities of the three linemates and can even be used as a two-man stack as opposed to the full line. However, Nicholas Robertson is also in play and offers some additional savings. I will probably use the full line to weave in his $3,500 salary and open things up in terms of construction. It’s true that this line has yet to really get going and yet all three skaters are averaging double-digit DraftKings points.
10/27 NHL Favorite Contrarian Line
Los Angeles One “Anze Kopitar ($4,300), Kevin Fiala ($5,100), Adrian Kempe ($4,800)”
Believe or not, the Kings’ top line is leading all NHL lines in goals scored thus far into the season.
They should also be totally off the radar tonight, despite L.A. being -145 home favorites. The Winnipeg Jets has outperformed metrics defensively, so this is certainly an exploitable matchup for this line at sub 10% if not lower ownership. All three skaters share correlation on the Kings top power-play unit as well, which is always a huge bonus for any full line. On top of everything else, they are priced more like an ordinary/subpar team’s second line. Overall, they make for a terrific tournament play this evening.
Additional Lines to Consider
Toronto One – Auston Matthews “$8,500”, Mitchell Marner “$6,500”, Michael Bunting “$3,900”
Florida Two – Sam Bennett “$5,200”, Matthew Tkachuk “$7,900”, Rudolfs Balcers “$2,500”
Defensemen “Goalies covered in Between the Pipes”
Defenseman “high-end” – NONE – Waste of salary
“mid-range” – Drew Doughty – Los Angeles – Lots of minutes, on the top power-play unit, blocking shots. He also makes a lot of sense if using the Kings line mentioned above as he correlates with all of them.
“mid-range #2” – Neal Pionk – Winnipeg – The Kings are better offensively than they are on the other end so I think this is a great spot for Pionk. He is priced under $5,000 much like Doughty. Because of his propensity to shoot on goal more, I’m giving him the nod over teammate Josh Morrisey. Morrisey does have power-play time on the top power-play unit as opposed to second unit, as is Pionk’s case.
“low-end” – Justin Holl – Toronto – Cheap and playing for a massive favorite. He also plays on Toronto’s second unit so has correlation with the Leafs line listed above.
10/27 NHL Best Bet
Minnesota Wild/Ottawa Senators – O 6.5 (-130) – DraftKings – 1 Unit – The Senators are allowing nearly three goals and contest and Minnesota well over four. With both offenses playing so well, this sets up as a shootout.
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