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What’s happening ladies and gentlemen? Right back to another two game NBA playoff slate. Just want to make sure that I own this. I planted my flag on the no Jokic side last night and it bit me. Not only did he go off but the pieces I targeted due to him being limited didn’t pan out because of his performance. So for that I do apologize to you all. I hold myself to a high standard and I’m not above admitting my screw-ups. But today is another day we have some interesting if not completely unexpected scenarios today with the Bucks one game away from being beaten by the Heat.

Slate Note: Most of what I’m writing tonight is banking on Giannis sitting or being limited in some form tonight, if he ends up playing and you need some advice on your build head into our discord and we will gladly help you make the needed pivots to take home some cash. Additionally, with the slate being as small as it is I have reduce the number of plays in my article and I have gone to a tier ranking based on price. If you guys would like for me to go back to the old way just let me know and I will make that happen. Just trying out something new.

Cash Game NBA Breakdown 9.8: Top tier for the sake of this slate is anyone over 8K.

Lebron James, Lakers, 11.2(DK)/11.1(FD):

This doesn’t need much explanation as to why he is the top play in terms of studs today. Numbers aside for him which are clearly great, Giannis Antetokounmpo is hobbled and may not play, and I never trust Harden when the playoffs roll around. So if I’m paying all the way up in cash, Lebron is my guy

Bam Adebayo, Heat, 8.7K(DK)/8.5K(FD):

If we are prescribing to the notion that Giannis will sit or be limited that gives a bump to the potential output for Bam on both sides of the court. Not having him around scooping up boards and stopping up the lanes will free up plenty of room for a guy who’s minutes, rebounds, and points have already been on the rise over these last two games.

Khris Middleton, Bucks, 8.6K(DK)/8.0K(FD):

Continuing my assumption the the Greek Freak’s injury being a concern Middleton becomes the next man up in terms of usage. There is plenty to go around but we’ll get to that later. Khris sees a 7% usage increase when Giannis is off of the court that leads to a 7.5 FanDuel score increase per 48 minutes.

Cash Game NBA Breakdown 9.8, Mid Tier: Mid Tier will be from 5K to 8K.

Eric Bledsoe, Bucks, 6.2K(DK)/5.2K(FD):

The pricing between these two sites are a bit crazy today but oh well. The scenario here is almost verbatim what I stated for Middleton. If the freak sits, Bledsoe has a 7.5% usage increase that translates to an extra 11.50 FanDuel points per 48 minutes. Makes the choice very simple.

Robert Covington, Rockets, 6.5K(DK)/6.7K(FD):

Everything is in the card for Covington to have a big night, he is playing nearly 40 minutes a game, he is shooting well over 50 percent from the floor, and I would have to imagine that the Rockets realize that the Lakers have the ability to completely shut down their two best offensive weapons. If they get locked down Houston NEEDS to lean on Covington heavily as the third option in that offense. We all know that he has that kind of ability, the only question that I have is will the two alpha personalities of Harden and Westbrook concede their usage for a better situation or will they try to play hero ball?

Cash Game NBA Breakdown 9.8, Value Tier: Value Tier is below 5K.

Rajon Rondo, Lakers, 3.9K(DK)/6.2K(FD)

They really did go a little overboard with Rondo’s pricing on FanDuel putting him at a price where you could easily fade for cash games, but for DraftKings he is an absolute lock in 100 percent of your lineups. He looks like he is back to full health and the Lakers are wasting no time making use of his playoff experience.

Ersan Ilyasova, Bucks, 3.0K(DK)/3.7K(FD) (read closely):

This is a play if two things happen. First, Giannis sits, and second Ersan gets the start. We have not seen anything from him since he injured his elbow and I have heard zero word of him even playing. But….if both of those things happen you should lock him in. Even if he only plays 25 minutes he produces at well over a point per minute in scenarios where he starts and is an easy path to 30 DK points.

Thanks for taking the time to look through my Win Daily Sports FanDuel & Draftkings Cash Game NBA Breakdown For 9.8. Looking forward to seeing some green screens this evening. Any questions about the breakdown, I will be available all day in the WinDaily Discord Chat. Don’t forget to subscribe to the WinDaily Youtube channel and follow @WinDailySports on Twitter to stay current and up to date on all of our fresh new content!

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What’s happening ladies and gentlemen? We find ourselves in the process of navigating the tricky dog days of the NBA playoffs. We only have a little two-game slate and with us getting into round two that’s going to be the norm here and beyond. With slates like these I typically recommend avoiding cash contest but if you are still running cash lineups have no fear. I still have my selections for you to help you continue your winning ways. A lot of what we say between the articles will be echoing the same thing due to a shortened slate so bear with us if it sounds a little repetitive. Enough talking , here are my cash game NBA Breakdown For 9.7.

Slate Note: My picks are going to be a good bit less due to the size of the slate but there should be a few guys that we can take advantage up tonight. I am personally off of Nikola Jokic in all formats if he plays. Additionally I’m going to format my plays by price not position today.

Cash Game NBA Breakdown 9.7: Top tier for the sake of this slate is anyone over 8K.

Kawhi Leonard, Clippers, 10.1K(DK)10.6K(FD) :

Top of the mountain and for good reason. Kawhi just goes out and does his thing moves on. He’s been playing in the high 30’s-low 40’s most nights and you pretty much know that he will give you a good score on most nights.

Paul George, Clippers, 8.3K(DK)/7.3K(FD):

“Playoff P” finally looks like he is earning his goofy moniker. He hasn’t had a ceiling game by any stretch but he’s given you numerous performances of over 40 DK points which is a decent enough floor for cash.

Kyle Lowry, Raptors,8.2K(DK)/9.2K(FD) :

Lowry has caught fire of late in his last three games his minutes, shot attempts, and rebounds have increased giving him two 50+DK and one 40+DK point performances. I’m going to ride the hot hand on this one it is that easy.

Cash Game NBA Breakdown 9.7, Mid Tier: Mid Tier will be from 5K to 8K.

Fred Van Vleet, Raptors 7.8K(DK)/7.9K(FD):

If you don’t think Lowry will continue what he has been doing, or if you want to pair them up really Van Vleet is your guy. Even with Kyle going crazy Fred is still getting his normal 5-6x production. He’s playing low to mid 40’s minutes and in seven of his last 10 he has thrown up at least 10 three point attempts.

Jaylen Brown, Celtics, 7.5K(DK)/7.7K(FD):

I’m just waiting on Brown to go off and now that Hayward is out of the picture I can see a 50DK point outing any day now. Everything is there, his minutes, shot attempts and rebounds are all in a position to where he just needs a few of them to start falling and it will be a huge boon for everyone who can get the night right.

Jerami Grant, Nuggets, 5.2K(DK)/5.0K(FD):

Even if Jokic goes I think he will be severely limited and end up not being out there much leaving it to guys like Grant and Paul Milsap to carry the load underneath. Grant played 40 minutes in game two and returned 6x value while going 1-9 from the field. If he takes his normal 8-10 shots and makes five or 6 of them with all else being equal you’re looking at a fantastic night for Grant.

Cash Game NBA Breakdown 9.7, Value Tier: Value Tier is below 5K.

Paul Millsap, Nuggets, 4.7K(DK)/4.9K(FD):

If I am off of Jokic than I almost need to be on Millsap. For tournaments I fear that he might be too chalky to play tonight, luckily for us we don’t worry about that in cash. He returned a beautiful 8x value on his salary in game one, followed by a meh outing. In game two however, he played more minutes, took more shots, and was overall more involved in the offense. He just didn’t get the ancillary stats that helped him in game one which is not the norm for him. He usually gives you a little in the assist and steals category every night. Not much, but it makes the difference when a guy is priced down.

Ivica Zubac, Clippers, 4.9K(DK)/5.0K(FD):

Steady Eddie right now, with a reasonable price and a reasonable floor he is the boring guy that you throw into your cash lineup to get you your 5-6x value and save a little money for your studs. I’m avoiding Jokic tonight because of the ankle issue and paying up elsewhere.

Jamychal Green, Clippers, 3.6K(DK)/3.9K(FD):

This one could very well be fools gold but we need to find value wherever we can. Clippers were playing from behind and in an attempt to figure something out Green got in the rotation and had his best outing since the shutdown. He played 26 minutes and gave them a double-double in the process. If Doc like the end result this may have earned him a little extra time on the court which presents us with a nice value at under 4K.

Thanks for taking the time to look through my Win Daily Sports FanDuel & Draftkings Cash Game NBA Breakdown For 9.7. Looking forward to seeing some green screens this evening. Any questions about the breakdown, I will be available all day in the WinDaily Discord Chat. Don’t forget to subscribe to the WinDaily Youtube channel and follow @WinDailySports on Twitter to stay current and up to date on all of our fresh new content!

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Welcome back NBA DFS fans! After months of being on pause, the league is back and so is DraftKings with big prizes pools to take down so let’s get started with our top NBA DFS picks for today’s slate!

For those of you new to Picks and Pivots, the goal of this NBA DFS article each and every day is to provide you a “First Look” overview of the slate where we use DraftKings pricing as a baseline to help us get started. Rather than simply write out the “top plays,” this article will focus on slate strategy and roster construction with a GPP mindset to help you get started on your initial builds. Without further ado, let’s dive into today’s slate!

NBA DFS Picks and Pivots: Slate Breakdown

We continue to see on these two game NBA playoff DFS slates how small the margin of error is and how game by game it becomes a coin flip of key players.

Take yesterday as an example with the Celtics – Jason Tatum underwhelmed at just 37 DK points while Kemba Walker and Jaylen Brown were the Celtics to own with 44 DK points each at near $2K price discounts.

Pascal Siakam put up a 31 DK point dud and instead it was Kyle Lowry who put up the 54 DK point ceiling game and was a key piece of optimal rosters.

The margin of error at this point in determining your cash position in DFS is razor thin and the 1v1 type decisions within the same rosters are what we are going to live and die by each and every slate for the remainder of the playoffs.

NBA DFS Picks and Pivots: The Stars

The biggest difference between yesterday’s slate and today’s is that we are JAMMED with superstars on this slate and DraftKings is not messing around, with four stars priced above $10K including Giannis, LeBron, AD and James Harden.

The issue we have is that on a two game slate we are going to be challenged for value and the search for value on these slates has become a wild guessing game on a seemingly nightly basis.

Let’s start with the stars though and how we intend to approach them.

Giannis Antetokounmpo ($11.5K) has underhwhelmed through the first two games of this series as the Bucks find themselves down 0-2, and his fantasy performances of 47 and 53 DK points have not even reached 4.5x return on his price tag. The kicker? DK actually INCREASED his price $100 from where it was in Game 1 and Game 2!

Giannis saw his ownership drop from 50% plus in Game 1 to 35% in Game 2 and remember – those slates only had one other “pay up stud” in James Harden. So now after two subpar games, and the addition of LeBron/AD to the player pool – how far does the ownership drop?

The Heat have defended Giannis incredibly well, limiting his points and ability to get to the paint and there is no reason to think that strategy will change. However, this is still Giannis – in a must win game – and so if he is going to be the star everyone writes off in DFS – how can you not have tournament interest?

LeBron James ($11K) and Anthony Davis ($10.6K) get their first crack at the Rockets and in the only meeting they had pre-bubble with both stars playing, LeBron went for 56 DK points while AD dropped 66.

That game is a good data point because it was when the Rockets had committed to small ball and not surprisingly, AD tore them up – with a line of 32/13 with 6 combined blocks/steals.

I lean AD if being forced to choose – one because we not only get the price discount (which is key on a slate with little value) and the fact we can use him at Center on DraftKings.

Lastly we have James Harden ($11.2K) who well, as much as I like him – how can I make the argument to pay nearly $3K more when I can get Russell Westbrook ($8.4K) who is back to playing 30+ minutes for Houston?

In the two games that Harden and Westbrook played together against LA this year – Westbrook went for 57 and 60 DK points while Harden managed just 36 and 52. The price for Westbrook is simply too low and when I plant my flag on a Houston star – I am going to take the price savings on Westy who has shown every bit the ceiling we want from a $10K player (who is just $8K tonight).

NBA DFS Picks and Pivots: Balance or Punt City?

My initial reaction today is to lock in AD and Westbrook and I think that pairing will likely be popular up top.

From there, will folks opt to go more balanced with over $5K per player to spend OR can they jam in another star like LeBron or Giannis and build an extreme Stars and Scrubs build with the rest of the roster coming under $4K?

If recent slates have shown us anything – it is that the scrub approach has seemingly failed more than it has succeeded with the balanced builds providing more consistent cash positions.

The value is very tough to come by on this slate, especially when you consider how top heavy teams like LA and Houston really are but I do think we have paths here today to some “safe” value (which I cringe as I write that).

Danny Green ($4.1K) and Kentavious Caldwell Pope ($3.8K) give you two punts with starting roles and path to 30+ minutes and to be honest – that is basically the route we are looking at today as we search for guys who can get us 20-25 DK points to pair around the studs. You can take both players as they have a neutral correlation to each other and allow you to fill SG/SF with ease – or you can plant your flag with one versus the other and hope you chose wisely.

The Milwaukee/Miami game last game saw both teams extend to ten man rotations and that alone is going to make picking and choosing value from this game VERY dicey.

The Bucks are the team I have more immediate interest in – and my focus is going to be on the cheap starters. Eric Bledsoe ($5.7K) played 31 minutes in Game 2 after missing Game 1 with an injury and Wes Matthews ($3.5K) logged 30 minutes.

Much like the argument for KCP/Green – you are finding value in minutes – and targeting guys that have 30+ minute paths. One bench piece from Milwaukee that I also think is viable is Marvin Williams ($3.3K) who has clearly carved out a 20-25 minute role on the second unit. It is worth noting that all 3 of these Bucks have positive fantasy correlation on this season alongside Giannis – so there is a path to success even if Giannis is the one dominating the touches and fantasy production.

Miami – honestly – may just be a stay away for me if they are all healthy. If Kelly Olynyk and Andre Igoudala end up sitting, then I think you can feel far better about using the secondary pieces on Miami but if they are all fully healthy – Miami may be a case where you limit your pool to the 4 starters in Bam, Butler, Dragic and Crowder and avoid the dartboard that is the rest of their roster.

If you do want to punt – keep an eye on Derrick Jones Jr. ($3K) who would get a massive bump if Kelly O and Iggy were out. Jones got into the rotation in the second half of Game 2 and ending up playing 7 of the final 13 minutes and was an impact player in that time – getting 3 blocked shots and if you watched that game, he was all over the court. That effort could lead to more minutes and if Iggy is out as an example, I would lock him in at min priced.

NBA DFS Picks and Pivots: Wrap Up

I will continue to say this on every two-game slate we have – TAKE YOUR STAND and then, let the chips fall where they may. If you take your stand with Anthony Davis tonight and it ends up being LeBron who has the ceiling game – so be it.

Let’s jump into Discord and talk strategy today – the small pivots we make can make a massive difference on a two-game slate!

Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @2LockSports and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT account here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate as sports FINALLY return.

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What’s happening ladies and gentlemen? We find ourselves in the process of navigating the tricky dog days of the NBA playoffs. We only have a little two-game slate and with us getting into round two that’s going to be the norm here and beyond. With slates like these I typically recommend avoiding cash contest but if you are still running cash lineups have no fear. I still have my selections for you to help you continue your winning ways. Enough talking , here are my cash game NBA Breakdown For 9.1.

Cash Game NBA Breakdown 9.1, Guards

Gary Harris, Nuggets, 3.9K(DK)/4.5K(FD):

I normally would not be recommending a guy who has has only played one game since March but playoffs are a completely different beast and we have to look for value anywhere that it is available. Harris appears to be firmly planted in a bench role for now and I do not expect more than 25 minutes but if Gary’s shot is falling that is all he will need to get you to value. I know we are in the playoffs and every game matters but game 7’s carry a unique urgency so I expect the offensive output to be high from both teams tonight.

Jamal Murray, 9.7K(DK)/9.4K(FD):

It is always strange feeling to recommend Murray in cash and even more so at this price but he has been playing amazing ball lately. He has been playing over 40 minutes a game in his last three and has given you real life point total of 50, 42, and 50 in the last three respectively and I have no reason to doubt that this is going to continue tonight. My early lean is to rely heavily on this Denver/Utah match-up in any format due to the lack of defense (aside from one blowout game totals have been no worse than 224) and the game seven urgency that will keep the stars on the court for no less than 40 minutes on both sides.

Donovan Mitchell, Jazz, 9.7K(DK)/8.5K(FD):

You can basically take everything that I said about Murray and copy/paste for Mitchell with just a slightly lower points and minutes total. Game 7, there is no way Spida plays less than 40 minutes and there is no way he doesn’t try to carry his Jazz to the next round with a monster performance.

Cash Game NBA Breakdown 9.1, Forwards:

Jaylen Brown, Celtics, 7.3K(DK)/6.3K(FD):

I really like his price today on FanDuel from a cash game perceptive. I doubt he is going to be going 8x on tonight but he has been very consistent in non blowout games staying around 40 minutes and taking no less than 15 shots per. I have no reason to think the Raptors get smoked like they did in game one and even though I expect a lower total from this contest, the Raptors and Celtics actually play at a higher pace than both Denver and Utah (although I don’t think that is a true statement in the playoffs).

Daniel Theis, Celtics, 5.2K(DK)/5.3K(FD):

I am hoping I don’t regret this one. Toronto strangely looks like they have no answer for Theis underneath. He scored 13 point and brought in 15 boards in 25 minutes of the game one trouncing and I think the formula will be much the same tonight. It’s pretty thin at power forward on FanDuel so if Theis gets at least 25 minutes tonight I don’t see how you can avoid him tonight.

Royce O’neil, Jazz, 4.5K(DK)/4.6K(FD):

Like I said, power forward is thin in terms of cash on FanDuel. I prefer to pay a little further down in both spots to use that savings to get both Murray and Mitchell in your lineups. Nothing sexy about this selection. What he gives you is close to 40 minutes of play and the ability to accumulate a bit of everything in the ancillary stats to help you stay above the cash line with the outside chance to give you the occasional 35-40 DK point ceiling game.

Cash Game NBA Breakdown 9.1, Centers:

Mark Gasol, Raptors, 4.1K(DK)/4.5K(FD):

I like Gasol today when it comes to freeing up little salary to let you pay up for all of those expensive studs. He didn’t see a ton of minutes in round one (low-mid 20’s) but he still has the ability to hit value in limited work and he gives you a reasonable floor of around 20 DK points which is what you need to keep from destroying your cash contests. I would not use him under any circumstances in a GPP dues to his lack of ceiling but that’s not really what we’re worried about here.

Nikola Jokic, Nuggets, 9.5K(DK)/9.8K(FD):

My other main pay up spot if you didn’t notice prior comes from the Nuggets/Jazz game. My core in 100 percent of contests tonight will have Mitchell, Murray, and Jokic and I’ll just fill in with value. His price is a little high based on his recent production but he’s going to play 40 minutes tonight and he has a legitimate chance to give you 70 plus points on DK and FD on any given night. I usually avoid bigs against Rudy Gobert but Jokic takes the bulk of his shots from outside so I’m not as concerned about his defense in this case.

I feel very confident in both Murray and Mitchell on the over today and Tatum’s rebound total feels a little low for the pace tonight. I would absolutely hammer the first two with complete confidence.

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Thanks for taking the time to look through my Win Daily Sports FanDuel & Draftkings Cash Game NBA Breakdown For 9.1. Looking forward to seeing some green screens this evening. Any questions about the breakdown, I will be available all day in the WinDaily Discord Chat. Don’t forget to subscribe to the WinDaily Youtube channel and follow @WinDailySports on Twitter to stay current and up to date on all of our fresh new content!

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