Over the last month or so we’ve started to see smaller Saturday night slates. Tonight is no exception as we have ourselves a nice-sized 6 game slate of NHL DFS on DraftKings and FanDuel. Tonight we should see some fresh legs as only the Columbus Blue Jackets are playing on the back end of back-to-backs.
Let’s dig in and see if we can make some money.
Juuse Saros ($7.9K DK/$8.1k FD) vs. San Jose Sharks – If you look at Saros’ recent game logs, you’ll see someone that has been extremely inconsistent. Over the last couple of weeks, he’s had as many as 21 DK points vs. the Stars and as little as 3.5 vs. the Hurricanes. The matchup tonight should be on the “easier” side as the Sharks have been abysmal of late.
Over the last month, they’ve been scoring just 2 goals per game. Their offense has essentially vanished and has been one of the worst in the NHL. The Predator’s propensity to give up shots and the Sharks’ inability to score goals of late has me loving this bounce-back match-up for Saros. He’s under that $8k threshold on DK tonight so we won’t be paying a premium. And we don’t like having to pay premiums on goalies.
Vitek Vanacek ($8.2k DK/$7.6k FD) vs. Seattle Kraken – Yes, the Kraken put a larger than normal number for them Wednesday night when they scored 4 goals vs. Saros and the Predators. That’s essentially their weeks’ worth of goals so we should be good to use a goalie against them tonight. Over the last month, the Kraken are averaging just 2.30 goals per game. They have an extremely weak offense.
Tonight, we’re going to use Vanacek against them. In a small sample size in the NHL this season, he’s shown some serious upside. He has multiple games over 30 DK points. Should he get the start tonight, I’m all in on him. Whoever starts for the Capitals tonight should be in your pool of goalies.
Washington 1 (Ovechkin, Kuznetsov, Wilson) + Carlson vs. Seattle
I haven’t used Ovechkin in quite some time when playing NHL DFS. He’s been priced to a point where his production was leaving little value. That said, he’s as cheap as you’ll ever see him. For the first time since the start of the year, he’s priced under $8k on DK at just $7.7k. That’s a steal. I’m sure it will lead to him being more popular tonight, but at that price it’s hard to fade with the upside that he presents us.
While he has only 2 goals over his last 5, he’s been showing some signs of life as he has 14 scoring chances over that period. I plan on pairing him with Kuznetsov tonight, who’s also reasonably priced at just $5.3k. Kuz is right behind Ovie with 13 scoring chances over his last 5 games. Seattle’s giving up 4 goals per game over the last month. This line should do well tonight.
Boston 1 (Bergeron, Marchand, Debrusk) vs. Columbus
I highlighted above that Columbus is on the tail end of a back to back. Even if they were rested, I would have attacked them. With them likely having tired legs, it makes me want to attack them even more. My priority with the Bruins tonight will be Debrusk at just $3.6k. He’s been one of the hottest players in the NHL over the last couple of weeks with 5 goals in his last 5 games.
While he’s quieted down a bit over his last 2 games, love the upside in him tonight against a team that is giving up almost 38 shots per game over the last month. I normally stick with 2 man stacks and my lean right now is to pair him with Marchand over Bergeron. Marchand has a slight edge in scoring chances and that’s what we covet, scoring chances.
Edmonton 2 (Draisaitl, Kane, Yamamoto) vs. Montreal
Montreal has been a much better team since Martin St. Louis took over the realms. That said, it’s still the same personnel that played poorly all throughout the first half of the NHL season. I’m siding with Edm 2 tonight over Edm 1 because we get about a $1,500 savings going down to Draisaitl from McDavid. Draisaitl has been showing some signs of life recently. He has back-to-back games with multiple points and 3 goals and 8 points over his last 5. At just $7.4k tonight we’re getting him at a huge discount from where he was about a month ago.
My plan is to pair him with Kane tonight. The 2 have played fairly well together as they’ve combined for 12 points over their last 5 games. The Oilers should face Montembeault tonight. After a solid stretch of 6 games, he came back down to earth against the Jets on Tuesday giving up 7 goals. While I don’t’ see him giving up 7 tonight, the Oilers should surpass the 4 goals Vegas currently has them at.
I also love Toronto tonight, but the Matthews line has absolutely burned me the last 2 games. I’m a little gun shy going back to them tonight.
Other stacks (Van 1, Tor 1, CBJ 1, Bos 2, Mon 1 and 2, Edm 1)
Love the over on the Canucks 2.5 goals tonight. While Toronto is a high-powered offense, they’re also poor defensively. They’re giving up 3.75 goals per game over the last month. Campbell has given up 14 goals in his last 3 games. Canucks should put up at least 3 goals tonight.
Tonight’s the type of night where we have some high upside guys really priced down in Ovechkin and Draisaitl. In my early builds, I have them continue to be my core 2 and surrounding them with at least one of their teammates. With Defenseman tonight, I’m going strictly value. There are 2 guys under $3k tonight on DK that have been giving us shots and blocks on a consistent basis. They’ll give us a ton of salary savings.
Make sure to use our optimizer when setting lineups.
Good luck and hope to see you in the green!
Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate!
Welcome to the Saturday Slapshot where I’ll be highlighting some of my top plays for tonight’s NHL DFS slate on Fanduel and DraftKings. What was originally supposed to be a nice sized 9 game slate has turned into a smaller, but still fun 6 game slate thanks to some COVID postponements. My goal here will be to provide you with a solid foundation for your lineup.
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Before we dive in I want to highlight some terms you’ll see in my article that may be foreign to you:
Frederik Andersen ($8.2k DK/$7.9k FD) vs. Los Angeles Kings – Outside of the fact that the Hurricanes aren’t giving up much in the way of shots, I really like this spot tonight for Andersen. The Kings just haven’t been scoring much over the past 2 weeks with a goals per game under 3. The good news for is that even though the Hurricanes don’t give up much in the way of shots, the Kings do take a ton of shots.
My hope here is that the two teams meet somewhere in the middle and the Kings take enough shots to make paying more than $8k for Andersen worthwhile. Before giving up 3 goals to Detroit on Thursday night, Andersen had been playing some stellar hockey as he had given up just 4 goals in his prior 3 games. Look for him to get back on track tonight against the Kings.
Thatcher Demko ($7.5k DK/$7.3k FD) vs. Toronto Maple Leafs – This is far from a safe pick, but if we look past Auston Matthews tonight there’s not much else to love from the Maple Leafs. Tavares is on the COVID list and was one of their leading scorers over the last 2 weeks. Now you have your second line centered by David Kampf instead of Taveres which somewhat neutralizes William Nylander.
Toronto will not be sending out their best tonight and I’ll want to take advantage of it with a goalie that is playing some of his best hockey of the year. Demko hasn’t scored under 17 DK points since late November and is becoming one of the more reliable goalies in the NHL. He’s coming into tonight riding a 5 game winning streak. While it’s always scary playing against the Leafs, Demko is playing great right now and should be in consideration when picking your goalie tonight.
I have little interest in any of the other goalies tonight so will be sticking with the two that I mentioned.
Edmonton 1 (McDavid/Puljujarvi/Foegele) + Nurse vs. Seattle Kraken
Going into their last game against Columbus I mentioned in our discord that this top line was due for some positive regression. Boy did they deliver with 74 DK points between them. This line has combined for 60 scoring chances over their last 5 games, with 27 of them being high danger chances. Still, they’ve only scored 4 goals, 3 of which were scored by Puljujarvi the other night.
There’s still some more positive regression coming for them and I want to make sure I have them in my lineup when it happens. Outside of McDavid this line is dirt cheap on DK. Foegele is only $2.8K and Pulj is only $4.4k. What if I told that you that of all the players available on tonight’s slate, only 2 have a higher iCF than Pulj over their last 5 games? Over his last 5 games Pulj has a iCF of 36 with 25 scoring chances. Him and McDavid are my priority here, but if you need the salary savings Foegele makes for a great value.
New Jersey 1 (Hughes/Zacha/Bratt) + Hamilton vs. Detroit Red Wings
Yes, I know that the Devils only have a 2.25 goal total coming into tonight’s slate. Vegas has that wrong in my opinion. Detroit has been a mess defensively of late. Over the last 2 weeks they have a corsi % of 47.58%. Only Ottawa has a worse %. They’re also giving up 4.5 goals per game thanks to some subpar goaltending. While the Devils aren’t one of the powerhouse offenses we think of in the NHL, they stand a strong chance of exploding tonight.
With this stack I’m going to focus on both Hughes and Zacha. Both guys have combined for 38 scoring chances over their last 5 games, 18 of them high danger chances. If you want to go for a full stack here I wouldn’t talk you off of Bratt. He’s also been solid of late with 4 points in his last 5 games. This trio also plays together on the top power play unit for Jersey. Look for the Devils to make Vegas look silly for the implied total tonight.
Ottawa 1 (Norris/Tkachuk/Batherson) + Chabot vs. Philadelphia Flyers
This game tonight has the makings of a 5-4 game as both goalies in this one are trash and neither team likes to play defense. Well they may like to play it, but are just not good at it. Both teams in this one have corsi %’s below 50. Below 50 in the NHL is bad. I’m siding with Ottawa in this matchup because the Senators offense has been pretty good of late, outside of their 2-1 loss to the Lightning. Lightning > Flyers.
If we think Ottawa offense, we automatically go to their top line. Their top line has been scoring at will of late and is one of the hottest lines in the NHL. Drake Batherson has been red hot. In his last 5 games he has 10 points. His line mates haven’t been slouches either. Both Norris and Tkachuk have combined for 9 goals in the last 5. This line is rolling and I just can’t see the Flyers slowing them down. Look for them to score often tonight.
Other stacks (Both top lines for Philly 2, Carolina 1 and 2, Van 2, Tor 1 (if you aren’t playing Demko), Det 1)
More than ever, you’ll need to keep on top of news tonight. Covid is running rampant in the NHL right now and we’re seeing scratches right up until games start. I can’t preface this enough, make sure you have pivots ready to your lineups. Games are getting postponed left and right.
With that all said, I anticipate this being a high scoring slate. Only 4 of the teams playing tonight are giving up less than 3 goals a game over the last 2 weeks. My preference in stacks are Edmonton, then Ottawa, then Jersey. Between values like Foegele and then some of the Defenseman I listed in the Top Defenseman section, you should have no issue fitting top plays into your lineup tonight.
Good luck and hope to see you in the green!
Make sure you are using our optimizer here when setting lineups.
Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate!
Welcome to the Saturday Slapshot. I’m Jared and I’ll be your host. Tonight we have a nice sized 9 game slate where I’ll be highlighting some of my top plays for tonight’s NHL slate on Fanduel and Draftkings.
Before we dive in I want to highlight some terms you’ll see in my article that may be foreign to you:
Juuse Saros ($7.7k DK/$7.2k FD) vs. Montreal Canadiens – Any chance I get I try to pick on the lowly Montreal Canadiens. Offensively, they’ve been a mess. Over the last 2 weeks they’ve been averaging just 2 goals per game on around 32 shots. Quick math tells me that’s just an awful shooting % at just a shade over 6%. So the Canadiens are shooting the puck, just with no success.
In Saros we have a goalie that’s been playing pretty well, but not great. He hasn’t had a game under 14 DK points since early November so we know he’s not going to kill us. There should be some upside with Saros tonight with how the Canadiens have been playing. He’s one of my favorites tonight on FD as he’s only $7.2k there.
Jacob Markstrom ($7.6k DK/$7.9k FD) vs. New York Islanders – I’m chasing the ceiling with Markstrom tonight. He’s had back to back stellar games with more than 26 DK points in both. In his last game he shut out the Buffalo Sabres. With the matchup against the Islanders tonight he’s facing another team here that has an extremely low shooting %.
Over the last 2 weeks the Islanders have just a 4% shooting %. That’s insanely low and while I expect to see some positive regression with them at some point, I just don’t see tonight against one of the top goalies in the league. This is the cheapest that Markstrom has been on DK since late October. His price went down $900 on DK after his shutout. I’m all in on him tonight.
Jack Campbell ($8.3k DK/$8.7k FD) vs. Pittsburgh Penguins – I’ll start by saying I’m going to live with my top 2 goalie choices tonight in Saros and Markstrom. If you want to go the expensive route Campbell deserves some consideration.
He’s been lights out in November. In the 8 games he has started this month he’s been under 20 DK points just twice. The Penguins are getting healthy with Crosby back in the lineup but I don’t think they’ll be any match up for the surging Maple Leafs and Canadiens.
Detroit 1 (Larkin/Bertuzzi/Raymond) + Seider or DeKeyser
I absolutely love Detroit tonight. They’re facing off against a Coyotes team tonight that’s just downright bad. They are certainly priced up tonight but w/ the match up I get it. The Coyotes have been giving up close to 33 shots per game over the past 2 weeks with a save % under 90%. Any time I see that combo I’m automatically intrigued by the matchup.
The Coyotes also have a slate worst 42% corsi over the past 2 weeks. Offenses are hammering them right now. Any offense w/ the Red Wings starts with Larkin. When he’s on the ice and the Red Wings score he’s always involved. My priority here would be Larkin and Raymond. Bertuzzi’s price is getting up there while the production hasn’t. Bertuzzi is far more playable on FD tonight.
Vegas 1 (Stephenson/Stone/Dadanov) + Hague or Pietrangelo
Let’s start by saying that the Columbus Blue Jackets gave up 4 goals to the Coyotes on Thursday night. The goaltending for them has been pretty shaky of late. Merzlikins has given up 12 goals over his last 3 games after starting out the year pretty solidly. In 4 of his last 5 starts he’s had a save % under .900.
With the Golden Knights tonight we should be able to find some goals. With Mark Stone back in the lineup the Golden Knights get back one of their key weapons. He’s had an assist in each of his last 3 games. My core in this stack is going to be Stone, Dadanov, and Hague. Hague at just $3.6k on DK feels like an absolute steal w/ his production of late.
Edmonton 1 (McDavid/Puljujarvi/Hyman)
You know the drill. When McDavid is on the ice, he’s in play. Thankfully for us he gets a solid matchup tonight vs. a Blackhawks team that has one of the worst Corsi’s of any team on the ice tonight. They’re Corsi % over the past two weeks is at 43%. Only the Coyotes have a worse number of the teams playing tonight.
While I love Hyman, I’m more than likely going to pair him with Pulj tonight due to the savings. Over his past 5 games Pulj is averaging nearly 3 shots + blocks so we know we’ll get some productivity out of him. Look for McDavid to continue his dominance over the NHL Tonight.
Other stacks (Edmonton 2, CBJ 1, STL 1, NSH 1, Tor 1 or 2)
We have a fun looking slate tonight. There are 4 games w/ a total of 6 and the rest of 5.5. We should definitely see some offense tonight. I can’t wait to see what a young Red Wings team can do tonight vs. an awful defensive team in the Coyotes.
Good luck and hope to see you in the green!
Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate!
Welcome to the Saturday Slapshot. I’m Jared and I’ll be your host. Tonight we have a solid 8 game slate where I’ll be highlighting some of my top NHL DFS plays on Fanduel and Draftkings.
Before we dive in I want to highlight some terms you’ll see in my article that may be foreign to you:
Thomas Greiss $6.9k DK/$6.7k FD) vs. Toronto Maple Leafs – Greiss burned me last weekend when I made him my top goaltending pick, but I’m going right back to the well. From a cost standpoint, Greiss has a great chance of returning some solid value tonight. He’s been in the net 4 times so far this season and has reached at least 17 DK points in 3 of those outings.
He’s facing a Maple Leafs team tonight that has struggled to put the puck in the net. They’re averaging over 34 shots per game and only scoring on average 2 goals. Greiss should face a barrage of shots tonight and that’s what we want to see from our goalie. While there’s a good chance he lets in a few goals tonight, he also stands a great chance of getting that 35 save bonus tonight.
Spencer Knight ($7.6K DK/$8.6k FD) vs. Boston Bruins – This is strictly a DraftKings play tonight as I don’t want to pay $8.6k for Knight, let alone really any goalie. Like Greiss, Knight is facing a Bruins that has been struggling to find the back of the net. Of all the teams playing tonight, the Bruins have one of the worst shooting %’s to start the year.
They’re averaging 34 shots per game and only 2.5 goals. At some point the Bruins are going to explode, I just don’t think it’s tonight. Look for Knight and his fellow Panthers to continue to roll and get to 9-0 tonight.
Mike Smith ($7.7k DK/$8k FD) vs. Vancouver Canucks – Mike Smith is expected to return from the IR tonight and if he does, I’m a big fan of this spot. You’ll notice a trend with my goal picks. Pick a goalie vs. a team that shoots a lot but doesn’t score a lot. Like the Maple Leafs and Bruins, the Canucks fit that mold.
On the year they’ve been averaging around 32 shots per game but only scoring 2.5 goals. Any time I can try to snag a goaltender that has a realistic shot at getting the 35 save bonus on DK, I’m going to jump at it. In Smith, we have that chance tonight as the Oilers have been giving up over 37 shots per game. If Smith does not suit up tonight and they go with Koskinen, I’m also a fan of his.
Edmonton 1 (McDavid/Hyman/Puljujarvi/Bouchard)
You could put any 2 scrubs on the McDavid’s line against the best defensive team in the league and I’ll still recommend his line. In McDavid we’re witnessing the best player to the play the game since the Greztky/Lemieux era. Sorry Penguins fans, McDavid is greater than peak Crosby and it’s not even close.
Over his last 5 games McDavid is averaging close to 3 points per game. That’s an absurd pace and while there is always a chance that he gets a goose egg, I’m willing to take that chance. Even at his price. McDavid and his peers get to take on a Canucks team that has been prone to giving up some high danger chances as they’re giving up nearly 12 per game. High danger chances equals a greater chance of giving up goals. I love this line tonight and so should you.
St. Louis PP1 (Tarasenko/Schenn/Perron/Krug)
Vladimir Tarasenko is a must play on DK and IMO is also a free square. I know, you must be thinking that I’m crazy for calling someone that is $6,100 a free square. Tarasenko is on absolute fire right now and his price hasn’t even come close to catching up to his production. He’s had 4 straight games with at least 20 DK points. I don’t see him cooling down tonight as the Blues play arguably the worst team in the league tonight in the Blackhawks.
Of all the teams playing tonight the Blackhawks are averaging the most goals against at 4.5 goals per game to start the year. The Blues stand a great chance to put up a big number tonight. Tarasenko will be your core here and if you want to get some savings and not play the PP1 from St. Louis, you could pair him with Robert Thomas (not the same guy from Matchbox Twenty).
Maple Leafs 1 (Matthews/Buntin/Nylander/Reilly)
If you end up fading Greiss tonight, I’d recommend using the Maple Leafs top line. At some point the Maple Leafs are going to have their explosion and it could very well be tonight against a defensively challenged Red Wings team. The Red Wings are giving up a ton of high danger chances so far this year. In fact, no team on tonight’s slate is giving up more than them. Giving up 15 high danger chances per game is going to bite you more often than not.
With the Leafs, it all starts with Auston Matthews. While Matthews only has 2 points in his last 5 games, it hasn’t been for a lack of trying with his near 4.5 shots per game. Over his last 5 games he has an individual corsi of 45 which leads all skaters on tonight’s slate. He’s firing at all angles and at some point, they’ll find the back of the net.
Other stacks (Winnipeg 2, San Jose 1, Minnesota 1, Detroit 1)
We have a great slate tonight with 8 games on top. I plan on prioritizing both McDavid and Tarasenko (DK) tonight and building their line mates around them. If you want to game stack, the SJ/WPG game should be high scoring.
Good luck and hope to see you in the green!
Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate!
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