Another big WIN last week for Win Daily, as Spencer (@TeeOffSports) successfully tipped Wyndham Clark at triple figure odds of 100/1!!
Super Bowl LVIII is upon us and we are ready to crush another slate on DraftKings and FanDuel. We have Jason, Dave, and Tony to break down the 2023 NFL Championship Weekend Main Slate to give out their picks and plays to help you make a profit!
Welcome back to NHL Top Bets for the last NHL betting article for a few days with the All-Star Break starting on Thursday. The people made it known they wanted expanded NHL betting content, Win Daily listened and we have you covered below.
As always, think for yourself. The information below is only meant to supplement your knowledge and if you don’t agree with a portion, that’s fine, we’re all entitled to our own opinions. Also be sure to scour as many sportsbooks as possible before placing a bet as the odds tend to vary a little in most circumstances.
Aside from reading this 1/31 NHL Top Bets article, don’t forget to check out our NHL DFS Projection Model which is available every morning. If you like what you see, sign up for more Win Daily content here.
*All odds below have been obtained from DraftKings Sportsbook and are accurate as of the time of writing*
Ottawa Senators at Detroit Red Wings – Detroit ML (-122) – 1 Unit
The pickings have been slim this week with so few games but we finally have a “big” three game slate tonight.
Let’s start at the top with the Ottawa/Detroit matchup. The Red Wings have been favored on the money line 16 times this season and have finished 11-5 in those games. The Senators have been made an underdog 27 times this season, and won eight, or only 29.6% of those games. From a surface view Ottawa has been a bit better lately. However, when we take a deeper dive, we see that aside from a pair of wins over Montreal, a win vs Philly and a win vs the Sharks, this team has lost ten of its last fourteen games. It goes without saying the “wins” listed above are not victories worthy of extended celebration.
Even though the Lions collapsed, the Red Wings continue to proudly represent and hold down all of Detroit. Over their last ten games, they are 7-2-1. In their last five wins, the Red Wings have given up five or fewer goals in each. The difference has been stellar play in net. As of the time of writing, Alex Lyon is expected to be in net for this matchup. Lyon is 13-6-1 this season with a 2.49 goals-against average and a .924 save percentage. He has been particularly good in January, going 8-2-1 on the year with a .926 save percentage and a 2.51 goals-against average. In his last two starts, he has allowed only two goals on 60 shots, winning both games.
Los Angeles Kings at Nashville Predators – Nashville ML (-102) – 1 Unit
Looking at the second game of the night, I want no part of the Kings who are favored against the Predators despite their recent slide. Especially away in Nashville. Los Angeles has lost each of its past four games and 14 of its past 16, so my lean is certainly Nashville in this one.
In fact, I am not sure exactly why the Kings are favored in this one to begin with. On that note, I also wouldn’t be surprised if that line moves prior to gametime. You can also go for the under here and I think that’s a decent bet. With the Kings an absolute dumpster fire though as of late they shouldn’t be favored to win in a tough place to play like Nashville. The Predators have not been great over their last ten games (4-5-1) but are equal with the Kings on points for the season “52” and have a winning record (26-22-2).
The Kings have been favored on the money line 35 times this season and have gone 17-18 in those games. That’s pretty much the kiss of death for Los Angeles. Nashville isn’t an offensive powerhouse but plays good defense, gets solid if unspectacular goaltending from Juuse Saros (2.94 GAA, .903 SV %) and sticks to the script. Bridgestone Arena will be rocking and as far as this bet, “I like it, I love it, I want some more of it”. Until the Kings show they can snap their slide, let’s pile on.
Make sure to hop in our Expert Discord Chat for FREE! Rich will be there answering questions all day and all night! He is not very difficult to find on Discord with the username Rich Masana. Follow Rich on Twitter @JFan303 and be sure to be on the lookout for future articles at NHL – WIN DAILY® (windailysports.com)
A huge WINNER last week for the WinDaily community, as David Bieleski (@deepdivegolf) successfully tipped Matthieu Pavon at a MASSIVE 125/1!
We had a decent Divisional Round weekend with our NFL Game Bets. Saturday saw us assess the possibility of at least one of the #1 seeds struggling (10-14-2 ATS since 2010). The issue is we got the game in which it occurred incorrect. But then Sunday came and we got both of those outcomes correct to even out our record to 5-5 in the playoffs.
Sunday 1/28/24 UPDATE: On Thursday I gave out my initial leans. Today, I’ve locked in my two primary bets. We’re dialing up Ravens -4 (I’ve seen it drop to -3.5 in some books) and Lions +7.5.
My concerns with Baltimore were circled around their recent trend of having offensive struggles in playoff games. And that did rear its head early in the Divisional Round, as Baltimore went into halftime tied at 10 with Houston. But something happened in the second half. The Ravens put the ball in Lamar Jackson’s hands on the first drive which resulted in two scripted QB runs and four pass plays to get the ball in the endzone. On the ensuing drive, they once again trusted Jackson in making the right plays and drove the ball 93 yards to take a 14-point lead. Game, set and match.
And now that weight of winning a playoff game and reaching the conference finals for the first time in 10 years, is totally off their shoulders. Which I believe is a huge factor in handicapping this game. Baltimore will now play at home for the 4th game in a row, which means they haven’t traveled since Christmas Day when they beat the 49ers in San Francisco.
But there’s a giant on the opposing sideline this weekend. And that’s the reigning Super Bowl Champions in the Kansas City Chiefs. Patrick Mahomes is almost unbeatable as an underdog. In his career he is 9-1-1 ATS as an underdog and 9-0-1 ATS as an underdog on the road. This is undeniably a proverbial behemoth that hardly loses. And when they do, it’s not without a fight.
However, here are the trends that I’m weighing heavily. Teams playing a 4th consecutive home game, entering a Conference Championship, are 7-1 SU. Additionally, HC John Harbaugh is 9-3 ATS in the playoffs since 2012. His counterpart, Andy Reid, is 0-2 SU on the road in Conference Championships.
In the end, Kansas City’s struggles this year have been on offense. And they are now facing their biggest challenge in the Ravens who allow the least points per game in the NFL. The Ravens also create significant pressure, leading the NFL in sacks. The Ravens are not going to allow Travis Kelce to beat them. Someone in the Chiefs WR room will have to step up. And that’s where my confidence in the Chiefs stops. Also factor in the we’ve seen 64% of the tickets and 73% of the money pour in on KC. Yet, in some books, the line has moved up to Baltimore -4. That’s a clear signal that Vegas has a beat on this game.
JUSTICE HILL over 2.5 rec (+150): The Ravens don’t throw a lot in general. And that’s even more true in terms of throws to their RB’s. But one area in which the Chiefs will concede is throws to the running backs. Just look at the last 4 games and how teams RB’s fared:
So you see a trend here. As discussed on last nights’ NFL Draftcast, I expect Justice Hill to have a larger role than Gus Edwards. And if that turns out to be the case, Hill should be the recipient of the pass catching opportunities and keep up a trend of lead RB’s getting at least 3 catches versus KC.
A big factor in this bet is the health of San Francisco WR Deebo Samuel. This season, 49ers are 12-1 SU and 10-3 ATS when Deebo plays and finishes a game. They are 1-4 SU and 0-5 ATS when he doesn’t. Brock Purdy looks more like the last pick in the draft when missing his go-to WR. And although Detroit’s secondary is suspect, without Samuel they can cover that up with creative blitz packages.
Then there’s this idea of how Jared Goff struggles against the blitz. In reality, he’s rather efficient as he led the league in passing yards when facing a blitz. He also threw the second most TD’s, 13, trailing only Jordan Love. When he faces teams that sack the QB at a rate of 4% or more, which SF does, he is 7-1 ATS this season. And since we know the Lions offensive line is one of the tops in the league, the only true way to get to a 4% sack rate will be via the blitz. So is sending the house really a strategy that SF is willing to take this weekend? That will be one of the more interesting moves to keep an eye on when the Lions have the ball.
Ultimately, the Lions are good enough to hang with any team in the league. They’ve shown that with road wins in KC, Green Bay and Tampa. And they should have another one under their belt but they ended up losing by one point to Dallas late in the year on the road. Their 6-3 record on the road was 2nd in the NFC behind only SF (7-2). I just think 7 points is too much considering the Lions only lost by more than 7 twice all year (for comparison 49ers lost by more than 7 points twice as well).
So let’s keep an eye on Deebo’s status but my early lean is to ride the blue wave in Detroit and take the 7 points.
DAVID MONTGOMERY over 43.5 yards rushing – Montgomery has gone over this number in all but two of his 16 games played this season (subtracting the game where got hurt vs TB). The Lions pride themselves on being a rushing first team. And we just saw a similar style runner in Aaron Jones go for 108 rushing yards versus this SF defense.
Now that you finished reading the NFL BETS & GAME PROPS article make sure to check out our YouTube Channel for constant content for every game and slate in the NFL this season and hop in our Discord Expert Chat.
Also, be sure to follow me on Twitter (@dgloeck) and my other content that is part of the WinDailySports family.
Welcome back to NHL Top Bets for this 1/25 NHL article. The people made it known they wanted expanded NHL betting content and Win Daily listened. We have a pair of bets below for this nine-game Thursday slate.
As always, think for yourself. The information below is only meant to supplement your knowledge and if you don’t agree with a portion, that’s fine, we’re all entitled to our own opinions. Also be sure to scour as many sportsbooks as possible before placing a bet as the odds tend to vary a little in most circumstances.
Aside from reading this 1/25 NHL Top Bets article, don’t forget to check out our NHL DFS Projection Model which is available every morning. If you like what you see, sign up for more Win Daily content here.
*All odds and player pricing below have been obtained from DraftKings Sportsbook and are accurate as of the time of writing*
Philadelphia Flyers at Detroit Red Wings – Detroit ML (-130)
Tonight, we have a matchup between two teams that have suffered in recent seasons but have turned their luck around in 2023-2024.
The Red Wings have had their best season in many years, sporting a 24-18-5 record coming into tonight. The Red Wings are 12-8-4 in their home games this season but as of late they have been on a roll. Detroit is 7-2-1 over their last 10 games and will be looking to keep the momentum going.
Meanwhile, the Flyers have also had their best season in at least four years and will be entering the night 25-17-6. They have done some of their best work in road games too with a 14-6-4 road record away from home. This all said, with goalie Carter Hart out indefinitely, I expect some regression. There is simply no replacing him although Samuel Ersson may try all he likes. Aside from missing Hart, the absence of Owen Tippett due to injury may further hinder the Flyers.
The Red Wings have been favored 14 times this season and have finished 9-5 in those games. Detroit has an 8-3 record (winning 72.7% of its games) when it has played as a money line favorite of -130 or shorter.
While the over is also tempting here, the better value is on this surging Red Wings team. The whole city of Detroit is on a sports high this week and expect the Red Wings to help keep the hysteria strong.
Montreal Canadiens at New York Islanders – Under 6 (-115)
This matchup features a pair of teams not known for lighting up the scoreboard. The Canadiens have lost six of their last eight games and have barely been scoring. As for the Islanders, at this point low scoring games are a part of their reputation.
In terms of positives, on the New York side, Mathew Barzal has been a driving force for the Islanders with 12 goals and 48 points this season. Meanwhile defenseman Noah Dobson has also made an impact with 6 goals and 48 points.
For the Canadiens, Nick Suzuki leads the team with 12 goals and 39 points, followed by Cole Caufield with 16 goals and 36 points. Bo Horvat is questionable for the Islanders tonight as he is suffering from an injury.
Even with Horvat out, the Islanders should still win here. However, rather than picking sides we will just go with the more apparent bet on the total. The Islanders are 24th in the NHL this year in terms of goals per game, coming in with just 2.93 goals er game on the season. Five of the Islander’s last six games have went under 6.5 with one six total on the number and every other total below that. This all said, the Canadiens sit 28th in the NHL this year with just 2.72 goals per game and in consideration of all of that, the under here is our best bet.
Make sure to hop in our Expert Discord Chat for FREE! Rich will be there answering questions all day and all night! He is not very difficult to find on Discord with the username Rich Masana. Follow Rich on Twitter @JFan303 and be sure to be on the lookout for future articles at NHL – WIN DAILY® (windailysports.com)
Championship Round Weekend is here and we are ready to crush another slate on DraftKings and FanDuel. We have Jason, Dave, and Tony to break down the 2023 NFL Championship Weekend Main Slate to give out their picks and plays to help you make a profit! We got 2 great games when the Kansas City Chiefs head to take on the Baltimore Ravens and the Detroit Lions visit the San Francisco 49ers.
Make sure to check our NFL Projections, NFL Optimizer, and continue the conversation in our Discord Expert Chat!
Welcome back to the second week of NHL Top Bets for this 1/24 NHL article. The people made it known they wanted expanded NHL betting content and Win Daily listened. We have a pair of bets below for this seven-game Wednesday slate.
As always, think for yourself. The information below is only meant to supplement your knowledge and if you don’t agree with a portion, that’s fine, we’re all entitled to our own opinions. Also be sure to scour as many sportsbooks as possible before placing a bet as the odds tend to vary a little in most circumstances.
Aside from reading this 1/24 NHL Top Bets article, don’t forget to check out our NHL DFS Projection Model which is available every morning. If you like what you see, sign up for more Win Daily content here.
*All odds and player pricing below have been obtained from DraftKings Sportsbook and are accurate as of the time of writing*
Carolina Hurricanes at Boston Bruins – Boston ML (-135)
We’re starting off with a matchup between two Eastern Conference heavyweights. Carolina will be entering the night 25-15-5. whereas Boston comes in with a record of 29-8-9. Last season, these two teams faced each other three times with the Bruins winning two of the three matchups.
As of late, the offense has been very good for the Hurricanes. They have scored three or more goals in seven of their last 10 games. Carolina ranks ninth in goals per game and fifth in shots per game. Sebastian Aho leads the team with 51 points. On the defensive side, the Hurricanes have been strong as well. They rank fifteenth in goals against per game and first in shots against per game.
Boston’s offense has also been good recently. The Bruins have scored four or more goals in six of their last 10 games. The Bruins rank seventh in goals per game and seventeenth in shots per game. Their main star David Pastrnak leads the team in production with 67 points and 30 goals. The Bruin’s defense hasn’t lived up to standards of past seasons, but the goaltending has helped compensate for this. Linus Ullmark has a record of 14-5-2 with a 2.80 GAA and .913 SV%. while Jeremy Swayman has a record of 15-3-7 with a 2.31 GAA and .923 SV%.
We could try to boost the odds a bit and aim for the regulation win, but I think we just eat the money line here at -135 “check other sites outside DraftKings before placing for the best odds possible”. As noted above both teams have been in great form recently but the Bruins are winners of five straight and should make it six straight at home.
Buffalo Sabres at Los Angeles Kings – Under 6.5 (-115)
For the season, the Kings have allowed the least goals in the NHL (116). Meanwhile, Buffalo has not been among the league’s highest scoring teams with 136 goals and Los Angeles only has five more (141). The fact that this total is set at 6.5 is interesting to begin with.
Overall, Los Angeles has been the better team this season but not as of late. The Kings come in 2-2-4 over their last ten games whereas Buffalo is 6-4. It gets worse than that as Los Angeles has only won two of their last thirteen games. It is not very surprising but a big reason why they have been losing so much is that they have not been scoring goals. In fact, one of the two wins during that stretch was a 2-1 victory last week against the Rangers.
Buffalo has seen the total go over in just one of their previous five contests. Looking over a longer timeframe, the under has hit in 16 of the Sabres last 24 road games. The under has hit in 15 of the King’s last 24 home games including in four of their last five. Overall, across their last month or two, low scoring affairs have been the norm.
For all of the reasons noted above, this bet makes a lot of sense, and I wouldn’t be surprised to see this line move down to six even or below by gametime.
Make sure to hop in our Expert Discord Chat for FREE! Rich will be there answering questions all day and all night! He is not very difficult to find on Discord with the username Rich Masana. Follow Rich on Twitter @JFan303 and be sure to be on the lookout for future articles at NHL – WIN DAILY® (windailysports.com)
At WIN DAILY®, our motto is to “change your game and change your life.” We want to help you win that bet, parlay, and big DFS tournament and have some fun while you do. Our goal is to help you turn your love of sports into a profit center while playing responsibly and enjoying your time with a like-minded community.
