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DFS Value Plays

MLB DFS: Aces and Bases – 5/15 (FanDuel Main Slate)

written by Antonio D'Arcangelis

Today’s edition of Aces and Bases focuses ONLY on FanDuel’s 10-game MLB DFS Main Slate for 7:05PM ET, hopefully finding you some green screens!

Some scattered T-storms in the Colorado vicinity tonight, so we’ll leave that game off our discussion since I don’t have to tell you to deploy bats in Coors if the game looks like it’ll play. Let’s get to it!

MLB DFS: The Aces

Top MLB DFS Ace: Trevor Bauer ($11,000)

We haven’t seen the Bauer ceiling game in a while, and I suspect this could be the night facing the offensively challenged Miami Marlins. There’s no need for a ton of analysis here in determining the top arm of this slate, as Carlos Rodon is an option, but was initially scheduled to start Thursday against the Twins and was pushed back after experiencing back and hamstring tightness. Add to that the prospect of some ugly weather in Chicago and he’s just not nearly as safe as Bauer — although there’s plenty of upside if that game plays without delay. I’ll let that determination fall to the weather watchers, but for me, it’s just easier to build around the chalky but upside-laden Bauer against a Marlins team that hits poorly on the road.

Best GPP Value: Ian Anderson ($8,600)

For two Saturdays in a row, I’m going to be using Anderson in the hopes he can avoid the big inning and settle down a little sooner than his previous start. The price has come up a bit (from $7,900) since last weekend, but Anderson’s opponent has a team total under 4 and he’s capable of striking out 8-10 batters. I’ll be using Bauer as my go to SP in most of my MLB DFS builds tonight, but Anderson makes plenty of sense on a relatively thin pitching slate without many “sure thing” candidates for 40+ fantasy points.

Contrarian GPP Value: Triston McKenzie

Domingo German might get a bit of ownership in MLB DFS tonight, as the Yankees take on the Orioles, but McKenzie is coming off his first win of the season on May 6, so he’s rested and ready. While the addition of Jarred Kelenic has added some firepower to the top of the Seattle batting order, the Mariners have a relatively high K rate (26.3% — tied with the Marlins) and there’s lots of upside at this price point for McKenzie — who’s tailor made for FanDuel scoring with his high walk (8.37 BB/9 in five starts) and K rates (12.93 per 9 IP). If he can keep the M’s off the bases and avoid the big fly, he should make value and get you the 30-40 FD points needed to pay off his meager $6,900 salary.

MLB DFS: The Bases

Top Stack: Houston Astros vs. TEX RHP Dane Dunning

I actually like Dunning a bit in MLB DFS — he’s got swing-and-miss stuff and is coming off a career-high 10K performance against the Mariners on May 9 where he settled down his demons and got back to throwing his effective slider. Unfortunately, the Astros offense has just the kind of firepower and plate patience to make Dunning’s day a long one (or short one, if we’re being honest). The miniscule team K rate (18.7% — lowest in the majors) is a great indicator for stacking against pitchers like Dunning who rely heavily on the K to get outs. While Dunning has fared better against LHB in the small sample of 2021 so far, the Astros are littered with lefty mashers and righties who maintain high wOBA against RHP. Yordan Alvarez ($4,300) is the highest-priced bat on Houston, but I’ll be looking closely at the red-hot Kyle Tucker ($3,400) as well as standard stackers Jose Altuve ($3,800), Alex Bregman ($3,700) and Michael Brantley ($3,100). In his last six games, Tucker has 3 HR, 10 hits and 9 RBI.

Value Stack: Philadelphia Phillies vs. TOR LHP Anthony Kay

The Phillies offer a bit of a discount from the Astros, but the upside is almost as high facing a young lefty in a minor league park with a high ERA (Kay: 10.24, with a 5.59 FIP). Rhys Hoskins ($3,300), J.T., Realmuto ($3,400), Andrew McCutcheon ($3,200) and just about any other Phillies hitter — Jean Segura ($2,800), Alec Bohm ($2,400) stand out as solid value options — made sense last night and they do again today. I like a few stacks today (more on that later), but this could end up being a huge leverage play on a day where they might get lower ownership than expected.

Contrarian Stack: Washington Nationals vs. ARI RHP Seth Frankoff

It’s hard to justify them as a contrarian play after they went off for 17 runs in Arizona last night, but some folks might consider it chasing ands other s will be naturally drawn to the Astros, Phillies and teams like the Indians (also a decent contrarian stack or one-off spot for one-off RHB like Jordan Luplow, Franmil Reyes and Jose Ramirez vs. SEA LHP Justus Sheffield). But the Nats are just loaded with hitters who are heating up like Trea Turner ($3,900), Juan Soto ($4,000) and Kyle Schwarber ($3,200), who has homers in consecutive games and went off for 40.4 FD points last night. Josh Bell ($3,000) and the underpriced Yan Gomes ($2,400) are solid options as well.

Good luck, and make sure you utilize the MLB Projection models to land on your one-offs and off-the-wall value plays!

3 years ago 0 comment

MLB DFS: Aces and Bases – 5/8 (FanDuel Main Slate)

Antonio D'Arcangelis 3 years ago

written by Antonio D'Arcangelis

Today’s edition of Aces and Bases focuses ONLY on FanDuel’s seven-game MLB DFS Main Slate for 7:05PM ET, hopefully finding you some green screens!

Some nasty storms firing up later tonight in the area of the White Sox at Royals game but other than that no major weather concerns for the 7:05 slate.

MLB DFS: The Aces

Top Ace: Clayton Kershaw ($11,000)

The pitching in the main slate is pretty ugly, though you should check out the deep dive Adam Strangis gave us in his 5/8 Starting Rotation piece for more info. Kershaw is the top spend of the main slate and I’ll probably be avoiding Lance Lynn and the chance for a weather-impacted start for the White Sox hurler in Kansas City. I do like one pitcher a lot more for GPP value, but it’s silly to think anyone has higher floor tonight than a future HOFer in Kershaw facing their Pasadena counterparts. The Angels — slightly below league average against lefties — have a low team strikeout rate (second-lowest in baseball at 21.6%), but they also have the lowest projected run total of the 14 teams that encompass this slate. Kershaw got knocked around by the Cubs on May 4 but threw just 39 pitches and should be plenty ready for a MLB DFS rebound on short rest.

Best GPP Value: Ian Anderson ($7,900)

Another solid pitcher looking to bounce back from a bad outing, Anderson didn’t fare well against the high contact Blue Jays in his last start, failing to get into one of his customary bat-missing grooves. But the Phillies have the second-highest team strikeout rate in the majors this year (27.9%) and that’s what I’m looking for on FanDuel, where “Ks are King” for SP in MLB DFS. Anderson whiffs over 10 batters per 9 IP, and he’s been plagued by an abnormally high HR/FB rate so far this season. Expect him to notch himelf 7-8 KS and stand a very good shot at a quality start/win with his Atlanta Braves standing at -170 to -180 favorites at home.

Contrarian GPP Value: Garrett Richards ($7,400)

Richards has shown the ability to strike out 10+ batters in an outing, which he accomplished against the Mets on April 27 in a monster 58-point FanDuel performance. The Orioles aren’t the pushovers they were a couple years ago, but the team K rate is still 24.6% and their measly team wRC+ of 89 is uninspiring from a DFS perspective. If you’re looking for an off-the-radar play with some upside as a pivot from chalk and the obvious GPP value that Anderson offers, Richards could be a fine MLB DFS leverage play who’s capable of 40-50 FP tonight. Over his past 12 IP, he’s struck out 17 batters to just one BB.

MLB DFS: The Bases

Top Stack: Atlanta Braves vs. PHI RHP Vince Velasquez

The Braves have the highest total of the slate (5 runs) and while Vince Velasquez has been a dynamic pitcher in the past, his 2021 numbers aren’t great. His painfully high walk rate (6.38 BB/9) and high FIP/xFIP (6.13/4.62) could be a huge problem against an admittedly circular Braves lineup that features some of the best batters in baseball vs. RHP, including Ronald Acuna ($4,400), Freddie Freeman ($4,000), a switch-hitting Ozzie Albies ($3,300) and value-laden Austin Riley ($2,500). There’s also Marcell Ozuna ($3,500) and young C William Contreras ($2,800). The top MLB DFS guys from Atlanta are not chap, so I’ll probably make some different combos of four-man stacks with Anderson and a few with Garrett Richards.

Value Stack: Houston Astros vs. TOR LHP Steven Matz

I thought the Astros would be more expensive, honestly, but the pricing hasn’t caught up to just how hot Alex Bregman ($3,600) is getting. Bregman’s .420 wOBA this season vs. LHP is a number that’s actually come down since 2019 — when it was .430 from 2018-19. The team’s wRC+ is 124 over the past 14 days, a mark equaled only by the Yankees, who have seen their bats heat up behind a rejuvenated Giancarlo Stanton. Yordan Alvarez ($3,700) is a lefty who mashes lefties and both Yulieski Gurriel ($2,900) and Carlos Correa ($3,100) have massive HR upside in a lineup that produces lots of runs. Did I mention that Jose Altuve ($3,400) has four hits including a HR) in his last nine AB? Even Michael Brantley ($3,000) works just fine as a contrarian LHB play as the No. 2 hitter in a 1-4 stack here, and nobody’s price is too outrageous.

Contrarian Stack: Boston Red Sox at Baltimore Orioles LHP Zac Lowther

We know that Bregman mashes lefties, but only Nolan Arenado (.460 wOBA, but with the boost of Mile-High home games) and J.D. Martinez and his .457 wOBA ($4,300) have done more against LHP since 2017. Mrtinex makes foe a great anchor in a four-man Red Sox stack that also includes Rafael Devers ($3,500) — who boats a .410 wOBA in 30 AB vs. LHP this season — Xander Bogaerts ($3,600) and the sneaky Marwin Gonzalez ($2,400), if he gets another spot near the top of the lineups tonight. Stay tuned to see who gets the final nod in the Red Sox starting nine hitters, but a core of Martinez, Devers and Bogaerts is a great start against the inexperienced Lowther, who is bound to struggle against the Sox tonight in Baltimore.

Good luck, and make sure you utilize the MLB Projection models to land on your one-offs and off-the-wall value plays!

3 years ago 0 comment

PGA

Workday Charity Open DFS Picks: Initial Look

stephenbrown764@gmail.com 4 years ago

written by stephenbrown764@gmail.com

Workday Charity Open DFS Picks: Initial Look

We’ve got an interesting set up for the next two weeks as the PGA Tour will have back to back tournaments on the same course. This article we will be looking at the Workday Charity Open DFS picks. We will be looking for ball strikers yet again this week and we will be looking for a bit more accuracy off the tee relative to last week. It’s only Monday and this is merely an initial look at golfers I like, but if last week wass any indication, my early picks set up well for success. Stay tuned for a ton of content coming this week from the Win Daily Golf Team including more picks, ownership projections and modeling. Please jump in Discord as these picks develop. And watch the Win Daily Show Livestream and podcast tomorrow night at 8:30 for more on this tournament, including an early look at projected ownership. Get your DraftKings lineups reserved and ready to go!

Patrick Cantlay (10600) – If you’re looking for a guy who is great OTT and who is great on APP you have found him in Patrick Cantlay. After a long lay off, he came back to the Travelers and finished 11^th two weeks ago. Cantlay finished 1^st here last year and 4^th the year prior. It appears that he is picking his spots since the restart, and although he’ll be chalky, he picked wisely in joining the field this week.

John Rahm (10900) – Rahm has been unimpressive since the restart, and frankly, feels relatively forgotten among the elite players. After taking the week off last week, I expect an energized and precise golfer who we can trust to gain strokes in all departments. I’m assuming Rahm will be less owned than most golfers in this elite price range.

Xander Shaufele (10200) – With my lineups likely being comprised of two elite golfers (stars and scrubs), I will probably be jamming in two elite golfers as my base this week. Xander will be one of those three as he is also great OTT and on APP and has flirted with outright wins since the restart. The real question here is which Xander shows up but I trust he’ll be focused and ready after taking a week off. He was 14^th here last year.

Collin Morikawa (9200) – May not be as chalky as normal as he’s coming off two very unimpressive performances (and his first missed cut, ever). Add to that how hot Viktor Hovland is and that he is near Collin’s price range, and you may have some value here. Morikawa took last week off and hopefully he’s in reset mode as prior to the mini-struggles, his iron play was excellent. Happy to roll the dice here.

Adam Hadwin (8200) – Coming off a 4^th place finish at the Rocket Mortgage this guy was a value machine last week and continues to present value this week. Gains strokes in every category and is prone to having a hot putter. While I think Hadwin will garner a lot of interest, I don’t think he’ll be as popular as Woodland who will be only one hundred dollars more expensive. It’s noteworthy that Hadwin’s track record here is not very good.

Joel Dahmen (7700) – The strokes gained metrics jump off the page with Joel Dahmen and his results are bearing that out. Dating back to the API, Dahmen has made four cuts in a row and three of those have been Top 20. Like most golfers in this range, Dahmen is prone to the bad day here and there but his upside is too good to leave him out of your lineups. Likely to be chalky in this range so find your GPP leverage elsewhere.

Corey Conners (7600) – Not going to lie, this one gives me a ton of trepidation (look it up, it’s a word you’re going to want to incorporate into your vernacular. Yes, look that one up too). But I can’t ignore Conners game OTT and on APP. The good news for Conners is that there have been plenty of bad putters who have succeeded on this course. Not a ‘core’ play for me but absolutely going to be included in some lineups.

Ryan Armour (7400) – Feels like I’m chasing value instead of projecting value with this pick, but I just can’t ignore back to back tournaments with finishes in the top six. His strokes gained metrics don’t jump off the page by any means, but he has looked locked in the past couple of weeks. The price here seems reasonable and I think most people in this price range will be jumping on Tringale, Hubbard, McNealy or Sabbatini. Armour is by far the least ‘sexy’ of those names. Only a few sprinkles of Armour for me.

Matthew NeSmith (6800) – Coming off a missed cut at the Travelers we have a guy who has an inexpensive stock but has the numbers to make the cut and make some weekend noise. An up and comer who is very good on APP and T2G. NeSmith made two cuts immediately prior to the Travelers and I think he presents value at this low price.

Chesson Hadley (6500) – I’m back on the Hadley train this week. He was one shot away from making the cut last week which is unimpressive but not terrible considering his price. He’s still one of the better options in this range on APP and he’s not bad OTT either. I’m looking for positive regression here and I trust ownership will be even lower this week after a missed cut last week.

Henrik Norlander (6500) – He’s made two cuts in a row and is coming off a very impressive 12^th place last week at the Rocket Mortgage. Accuracy off the tee should factor into the analysis this week and Norlander was 1^st last week in that department. His approach game hasn’t been outstanding this year but he is in the positive category. This is a guy that can do some damage for your lineups as long as he can be ok with the putter (a category where he typically loses strokes).

As mentioned above, The Win Daily team has plenty more to come. Enjoy this initial look at targets and start reserving your lineups for the Workday Charity Open DFS. Check out the upcoming articles, hope in the Win Daily Sports Expert Discord Chat, and the Win Daily Show with me and Michael Rasile at 8:30 pm tomorrow night on the @WinDailySports Twitter page!

4 years ago 0 comment

NBA Daily Fantasy Sports Premium

11/11 DFS Diamonds: DFS Pro J.P. on NBA

Javier Prellezo 5 years ago

written by Javier Prellezo

I’ll be focusing on my core and GPP plays for 11/11 NBA DFS for each position along with my favorite value plays. We’ve come to the point where we know most of the NBA teams and which defense to target. My diamonds for tonights DFS slate;WithNBA DFS, you need to stay locked in the final hour befor...

5 years ago 0 comment

NFL

The King’s Week 9 NFL DFS Plays

Bradley Cunningham 5 years ago

written by Bradley Cunningham

Here are some of Scott Engel’s favorite NFL DFS Week 9 plays.Selections are based on DraftKings salaries. Also check out the King’s Valueand Punt plays for this week.

NFL DFS Week 9 Quarterback Plays

Matthew Stafford ($6,800): The Lions offense almost completely depends on the passing game, and Stafford has returned to frequent gunner form of his seasons before 2018. He’ll be flinging the ball around the yard often in a shootout with the Raiders.

Jameis Winston ($6,100): The 1976 expansion franchises will engage in a high-scoring affair as the Buccaneers take on the Seahawks. The Seattle pass defense has allowed 400-yard passing games to Andy Dalton and Matt Schaub, and the secondary just cannot contain the Chris Godwin/Mike Evans pairing. I do like a Buccaneers stack with at least DK Metcalf ($5,700) coming back the other way.

NFL DFS Week 9 Running Back Plays

Nick Chubb ($7,300): The prime RB play of the week. He wants to put last week’s fumbling issues behind him and Denver’s defense may spend a lot of time on the field this week with an inexperienced QB running the offense. The Broncos are No. 19 in run defense, so the unit is vulnerable to a quality RB.

Odell Beckham Jr. doesn’t envy the Broncos having to tackle Nick Chubb this week when he’s on a mission to atone for his back-to-back fumbles in Sunday’s 27-13 loss to the Patriots. https://t.co/S3lvbNKSAZ
— clevelanddotcom (@clevelanddotcom) November 2, 2019

Josh Jacobs ($6,500): A lot of DFS movement is going to the Oakland passing game, but they may also elect to rely on the ground game to keep the Lions offense off the field as much as possible. Jacobs lines up against Detroit’s 26^th ranked run defense, and even if the Raiders open up the passing game, that means he could still rip off some longer gainers. The defense may loosen up further against the run and Jacobs will have chances to finish off scoring drives with TD runs.

Jordan Howard ($5,100): You have to take a chance on the “Revenge Game” narrative here, especially in cash games. Howard still can get it done with a sometimes intense and very physical approach.

NFL DFS Week 9 Wide Receiver Plays

Tyler Lockett ($7,500): He should be locked into lineups as the Seahawks face the league’s 31^st-ranked pass defense. The connection between Russell Wilson and Tyler Lockett may be the best in the league from a chemistry perspective and the matchup is outstanding. Put Lockett in and then close your lineup door.

This Seahawks elevator design is brilliant! 😮

(via @RudyWillingham) pic.twitter.com/iqal4BLhQq
— ESPN (@espn) October 24, 2019

Robby Anderson ($5,500): He has only 53 receiving yards in his past two games, but is set for a big rebound week against Miami. Anderson is a terrific pick in this matchup, and should make more than one big play downfield while also getting into the end zone.

Allen Robinson ($6,800): He is doing a fine job of playing at higher levels than his offensive mates, making all the important and contested catches while outworking DBs. The draw against the Philadelphia pass defense is obviously a friendly one. Look for a healthy amount of catches, 100 yards and a TD.

NFL DFS Week 9 Tight End Play

Darren Waller ($6,300): You should spend up at TE this week, and on a 10-game slate, the options seem limited. The other top TEs don’t have highly appealing matchups like Waller does, as he could be Oakland’s prime passing target against a very shaky Houston defense. Otherwise, consider a punt play here.

NFL DFS Week 9 Defense Plays

I did outline some good value and punt plays at the position this week, but it does make sense to spend up a bit more without going to the top of the ladder for Buffalo at $3,800. The Eagles ($3,000) should get pressure on Mitchell Trubisky for some sacks and possible turnovers, and the Browns ($3,100) are a good cash game play against Brandon Allen in his first NFL start.

Featured Image via Erik Drost

5 years ago 0 comment

NFL

The King’s Week 8 NFL DFS Plays

Bradley Cunningham 5 years ago

written by Bradley Cunningham

Here are some of Scott Engel’s favorite Week 8 NFL DFS plays for the main slate. In many cases, these are quality value picks to help you spend up for the superstars you want. Prices are based on DraftKings.

Week 8 NFL DFS Quarterbacks

Ryan Tannehill ($5,100): He threw for over 300 yardsin his Titans debut and faces the NFL’s worst pass defense this week. You savea lot of money here and with a stack of Tennessee pass-catchers, or at leastone to pair with Tannehill. He may be widely owned, but you can differentiateyourself nicely elsewhere by beginning with him as your QB,

Matthew Stafford ($6,100): He is coming off his bestgame of the season and faces the Giants’ 23rd-ranked pass defense. Pair himwith Kenny Golladay, who is due for a bounce-back week. Stafford is an aggressivedownfield thrower under offensive coordinator Darrell Bevell.

Week 8 NFL DFS Running Backs

Devonta Freeman ($5,500): I am not normally a fan orsupporter of his, but the Seahawks are vulnerable to pass-catching backs andthat is where he is still contributing. The Seattle-Atlanta game should behigh-scoring and Freeman may find the end zone more than once.

Ty Johnson ($4,900): The Giants are fourth in the NFCin Fantasy Points Per Game allowed to RBs. Johnson has opportunity and aworkload laid out for him at a very good price tag.

Devin Singletary ($4,400): This is your daring GPP valueplay. The Eagles have allowed the fifth-most receptions in the NFC to runningbacks. The Bills might fare better with utilizing Singletary in space insteadof banging Frank Gore into a sturdy defensive front.

Week 8 NFL DFS Wide Receivers

A.J. Brown ($4,100): I have been pounding the tableall week with my fist on this guy, wanting fantasy players in all formats notto miss his big breakout performance. He is a dangerous big-play threat who hasstarted to evolve as a possession receiver, too. He is simply going to toast theleague’s worst pass defense.

DK Metcalf ($5,000): I don’t have to tell any DFSplayer how bad the Atlanta pass defense is. What I do want to remind them of isPete Carroll’s never-ending desire to keep his players on a positive path. Yousaw it with Chris Carson earlier this season, as he did not waver on him duringhis period of fumbling issues. Now he’ll make sure the ball goes back to Metcalffor big plays after the rookie sealed last week’s lost to Baltimore with afumble that was returned for a TD.

Golden Tate ($5,800): He is just the sort of guy who wants to dish it out to the other side in a “Revenge Game” scenario. The Lions secondary will be without injured Darius Slay and Quandre Diggs, who was traded this week. Tate is the unquestioned top pass-catcher for the Giants right now and the matchup with the Lions could turn out to be a high-scoring affair.

Week 8 NFL DFS Tight Ends

Jonnu Smith ($2,800): Many will be on Josh Hill astheir value play against the team that is worst against opposing TEs, but Smithis 400 dollars cheaper. Plus, he faces the second-worst team againstTEs.

Darren Fells ($3,400): An interesting and nifty puntand pivot from the other popular bargain TEs of the week. The Raiders have the AFC’s worst pass defenseand are third-worst among AFC teams in defending the TE.

Week 8 NFL DFS Defenses

Panthers ($2,400): Carolina leads the NFL in sacks(27) and is second in takeaways. It will also be a low-scoring affair againstSan Francisco. This will be the ultimate struggle of the week, as the Ninersare undefeated and the Panthers have won four straight.

Chargers ($2,300): Any unit facing the Bears offense has to be considered for Fantasy usage. The Chargers have also registered interceptions in four consecutive games.

Featured Image via A Healthier Michigan

5 years ago 0 comment

NFL

The King’s Week 7 NFL DFS Plays

Scott Engel 5 years ago

written by Scott Engel

Here are some of Scott Engel’s favorite Week 7 NFL DFS plays for the main slate. In many cases, these are quality value picks to help you spend up for the superstars you want. Prices are based on DraftKings.

Last week we hit on the Kirk Cousins/Stefon Diggs combo,Carlos Hyde, DeVante Parker and Ricky Seals-Jones.

Week 7 NFL DFS Quarterbacks

Gardner Minshew vs. CIN ($5,400): “Uncle Rico” is going to be looking at the Bengals secondary like it’s a steak from the Waffle House. Cincinnati will be without starting CBs Dre Kirkpatrick and William Jackson III. The Bengals allow the second most Fantasy Points Per Game to QBs and the most rushing yards to the position, with two TDs.

Josh Allen vs. MIA ($6,500): He is a favorite of maybe the hottest DFS Pro in the biz right now, David Jones, and that is good enough for me. You have to like a dual threat QB against a defense that allows the most FFPG to opposing QBs. Miami has also allowed a pair of rushing scores to quarterbacks and may surrender another here.

Week 7 NFL DFS Running Backs

Tevin Coleman vs. WAS ($5,600): You may be hesitant to use a time share RB, but Coleman played on a season-high 55 percent of the snaps last week and is San Francisco’s preferred goal-line area RB. Washington is Top 5 in FFPG allowed to RBs and has allowed the most receptions to the position. San Francisco will move the ball easily this week and Coleman could score more than once.

Mark Ingram vs. SEA ($6,600): The price is still friendly, and the Seattle defense will be heavily concerned with containing Lamar Jackson as a runner. That will give Jackson some advantages on RPOs and keep the Seahawks defense off balance against Ingram, who should score at least once. Seattle has also allowed the fourth most receiving yards in the NFC to RBs.

Frank Gore vs. MIA ($5,200): He gets another homecoming, and actually faces a former team this time. Miami has allowed the second-most FFPG to opposing RBs and Gore will finish off at least one scoring drive with a TD run.

Week 7 NFL DFS Wide Receivers

Robert Woods vs. ATL ($5,400): He has been a disappointment so far this season, with one 100-yard game and no TD receptions. Attacking the Falcons in DFS has led to great success this season, and Woods is an essential part of any Rams stack. He has four games with at least eight targets, while Brandin Cooks has two.

DK Metcalf vs. BAL (4,800): He is a GPP play in what should be a high-scoring game. Metcalf is averaging 21 yards per catch and the Ravens have allowed the most yards in the AFC to opposing WRs. This is should be a fun one as Russell Wilson tries to beat former teammate Earl Thomas with his new downfield weapon.

Dante Pettis vs. WAS ($4,100): He has logged the highest snap counts of the 49ers WRs in the past two games, and Washington is also Top 5 in FFPG allowed to WRs.

Week 7 NFL DFS Tight Ends

Darren Fells vs. IND ($3,100): The Texans have made it a point to get the TEs more involved in the passing game. Fells had two TD receptions in Week 5 and six catches for 69 yards in Week 6. The Colts have allowed the most FFPG among AFC teams to opposing TEs.

T.J. Hockenson vs. MIN ($3,600): Some DFS and Fantasy players will assume this is a tough matchup. But the Vikings are Top 5 in FFPG allowed to opposing TEs. Hockenson will not be widely owned and should be used if you roll out multiple GPP lineups.

Week 7 NFL DFS Defenses

Titans vs. LAC ($3,200): Most will spend on the Bills and 49ers, but the Titans have 18 sacks (tied for seventh in the NFL). Philip Rivers has thrown two interceptions in each of his past two games and is not getting enough support from the running game to avoid adverse passing situations against a solid unit.

Saints vs. CHI ($2,900): Another 18-sack team, they should stifle Mitchell Trubisky in his return.

DARING PUNT: Raiders vs. GB ($1,900): The Packers are depleted in the passing game and Oakland had four sacks and two interceptions vs. Chicago in their last outing.

Featured Image via Jeffrey Beall

5 years ago 0 comment

NFL

The King’s Week 6 NFL DFS Plays

Scott Engel 5 years ago

written by Scott Engel

Here are some of Scott Engel’s favorite Week 6 NFL DFS playsfor the main slate. In many cases, these are quality value picks to help you spendup for the superstars you want. Prices are based on DraftKings.

Week 6 NFL DFS Quarterbacks

Kirk Cousins vs. PHI ($5,200): The best value on the board at the position. There was a passing revival in Minnesota last week and the Eagles are third in the NFC in passing yards allowed. It’s not going to get any better for Philly against the Vikings WRs.

Case Keenum vs. MIA ($5,000): This may be a popular play against the Dolphins, who have allowed the most Fantasy Points Per Game to opposing QBs. Keenum does have a pair of 300-yard outings already so it makes sense. I would not start him in a seasonal league but you should certainly roll out some Keenum-anchored DFS lineups and load up at other positions. Keenum has the lowest salary of any starting NFC QB this week.

Week 6 NFL DFS Running Backs

Mark Ingram vs. CIN ($6,600): I keep popping him into these articles because the prices remain friendly. Ingram has a great draw against the Bengals, who have allowed the most receiving yards and second-most rushing yards to opposing RBs.

Derrick Henry vs. DEN ($6,100): He may not catch passes and that will drive his ownership down. But he has scored in every game but one this season. He is nearly a guaranteed six points every week. The Broncos have allowed the fifth-most rushing yards in the AFC this season.

Carlos Hyde vs. KC ($4,400): He could have his best game as a Texan and may not have much ownership. Hyde has scored in two of his past three games and the Chiefs have allowed the most rushing yards in the NFL.

Week 6 NFL DFS Wide Receivers

Stefon Diggs vs. PHI ($5,900): Last week Adam Thielen was heavily in the game flow to satisfy him. Now it will be Diggs’ turn.

Michael Gallup vs. NYJ ($5,600): In my eyes, he has already arrived as a star. The Jets will not be able to handle what is arguably the best WR duo in the NFC.

DeVante Parker vs. WAS ($4,200): The Redskins allow the third most FFPG to opposing WRs and have surrendered the second-most TD passes to the position (nine). Parker has occasionally flashed some big-play form this season.

Week 6 NFL DFS Tight Ends

Ricky Seals-Jones vs. SEA ($3,300): The Seahawks have allowed the third-most FFPG to opposing TEs. RSJ can get some opportunities to catch passes vs. the safeties, which may be the weakest link of the Seattle defense right now.

Jordan Akins vs. KC ($3,200): Deshaun Watson has actively been looking for his TEs in scoring situations. Last week it was Darren Fells, this week it could be Akins. The Texans have been trying to get the TEs more involved in the passing game and the TD chances are good in a shootout. Akins is worth a punt play.

Week 6 NFL DFS Defenses

Titans ($2,900)

Seahawks ($3,400)

5 years ago 0 comment

NFL

The King’s NFL DFS Week 5 Plays

Scott Engel 5 years ago

written by Scott Engel

Here are some of Scott Engel’s prime picks for NFL DFS Week 5. Prices are via DraftKings. These are some good value plays to help you load up with some other superstars or utilize in multiple lineups.

NFL DFS Week 5 QB Plays

Matt Ryan vs. HOU ($5,900): He is throwing for 300 yards every week, and the Houston secondary will be torched by his top-pass-catchers in a shootout.

Kyle Allen vs. JAC ($5,100): This is a very interesting GPP play. The Jacksonville secondary is very vulnerable without Jalen Ramsey and Allen has quickly developed a good rapport with his quality crew of pass-catchers.

NFL DFS Week 5 RB Plays

Mark Ingram ($6,300): He is not getting the pricing respect or anywhere in the Fantasy world for being the sixth best RB so far. The Steelers run defense is no longer formidable and Ingram will get in the end zone again.

David Montgomery ($5,200): The Bears and Matt Nagy would be smart to start giving Montgomery the quality carries Fantasy players have been clamoring for. Take the shot in GPPs because he will also have some chances to score from short range.

DFS NFL WR Plays

Alshon Jeffery ($5,900): No team in the AFC has surrendered more Fantasy Points Per Game to opposing WRs than the Jets. Jeffery has the potential to score more than once as the Eagles roll up a significant amount of points in this one.

Calvin Ridley ($4,900): This is the bounce-back week. I am really liking a Falcons stack that features Julio Jones, Ryan and Ridley with Will Fuller on the return side. I want a lot of exposure to the Houston-Atlanta game.

DFS NFL TE Plays

Noah Fant ($2,800): He is a superb punt play. Fant is getting more comfortable at the pro level, as evidenced by a 25-yard catch-and-run TD last week. The Chargers safeties are a weak point of the defense right now and Joe Flacco will get the ball to Fant down the middle of the field.

C.J. Uzomah ($2.600): The legend of picking tight ends against the Cardinals continues to grow. But if you go with Tyler Eifert, you may be choosing the wrong Cincinnati TE. He may be a better pick for yardage production than Eifert, who has caught only three passes in the last two games.

5 years ago 0 comment

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MLB DFS: Aces and Bases – 5/15 (FanDuel Main Slate)