DFS NFL

Well that was certainly an eventful week 1, with plenty of surprises around the NFL. This is a lookahead article though, so I will be turning the page to week 2. As usual I will be covering the top quarterbacks and players to stack with them for GPP contests across the DFS industry, so any stack that I recommend is in play for both FanDuel and DraftKings. With that said, let’s get to the picks!

The QB’s

A. My number one QB for week 1 worked out pretty well and I hope our members were able to profit off of it as I had Kyler Murray in this spot. It would be easy to just go back to him again and you definitely can, but I will get a big more creative here. One of my favorite quarterbacks to target for week 2 is Mac Jones ($5,400 DK / $6,800 FD).Before you go calling me nothing but a homer, I have the data to back this up. First of all, those prices are insanely enticing for a quarterback that now has a real life NFL game under his belt, and also looked great in his debut to begin with. Mac had the highest completion percentage of any quarterback in their first NFL start in history. Now, he is rewarded with a matchup against the Jets, who rank dead last in DVOA vs. the pass and 28th in total DVOA. While it is tough to put much emphasis on rankings after just one week, the Patriots are favored by nearly a touchdown in this spot and I expect an NFL coming out party for McCorkle on Sunday afternoon.

B. While my first QB was a smash hit last week, my second two left a bit to be desired for us, so let’s make sure that all three do well this week. A second quarterback for us to look to in GPP contests is Baker Mayfield ($6,000 DK / $7,100 FD). Baker looked great on Sunday, as he lead the Browns (without OBJ), to a near wire-to-wire win over the reigning AFC champion Kansas City Chiefs. OBJ has already been ruled out again this week, but it would have been foolish of the Browns to bring him back against the hopeless Houston Texans. The Texans are right there with the Jets, ranking second to last in DVOA against the pass, and Baker should be able to pick apart this horrendous defense with ease. The Browns offensive line was not great, but the Jets defensive line was the 6th worst, so Baker should have plenty of time as well. While the game may not be competitive, Baker will play a massive part in any sort of blowout.

C. While I do expect Mac to be extremely low owned, Baker should garner a decent amount of ownership this Sunday. Going back to the low-owned well with my QB3, I will be targeting father time, Tom Brady ($6,900 DK / $8,200 FD). Brady looked sharp as ever on Thursday night, and all of the haters calling for him to drop off a cliff will have to wait at least another year. TB12 was still slinging absolute darts around the field like very few quarterbacks in this league can. So, what is his reward for this? A cakewalk matchup against an Atlanta Falcons team that never seems to know how to play defense year after year. The ATL ranks 29th in DVOA against the pass, and also ranks 26th in defense against specifically the QB position. This game is also not expected to be very competitive, but again, if it is not then Tom Brady will have 3+ touchdowns to his name, with potentially a rushing TD from Leonard Fournette tossed in for good measure. Nobody will play Tom due to his nonexistent rushing ability, but at these prices and ownerships 3 passing TDs and 300+ yards will do just fine.

The Stacks

A. The DVOA numbers against the pass that I mentioned above also apply to the pass catchers that I will be covering in this section, so I will not mention them again for the sake of brevity. Entering week 2, we do not have a clear-cut WR1 on this Patriots team, although the DraftKings pricing does favor Jakobi Meyers and his nine week 1 targets. I tend to side with the more seasoned Nelson Agholor in this 1v1, so I will gladly take the $300 salary savings if choosing just one wideout to pair with Mac Jones. Outside of these two, steer far away from any other Pats WRs, but you can always look to James White and his seven week 1 targets out of the backfield. The TEs are only priced $200 apart, which is not enough for me to have any interest in Henry over Jonnu Smith. Lastly, as is going to be customary with the Jets, I will not be looking to force in any bring-backs, although if you must then Corey Davis is definitely the go-to option for the rookie.

B. The Browns stack also is a bit less straightforward than our final stack of the week that I will cover below. With the Browns, it would normally be the easy options of OBJ and Jarvis Landry, however with OBJ already declared out for week 2, that puts Landry into near must play status in any lineups that have Baker in them. The TE situation in Cleveland is even less clear than the Patriots two-headed monster, as we have Hooper, Njoku, and Bryant all lurking on the depth chart. Due to this, my plan with the Browns is to have plenty of Mayfield/Landry combinations, and I will also sprinkle some Nick Chubb, and to a lesser extent Kareem Hunt, into those lineups. The nice thing about looking at an awful team for a bring-back is that it really makes things easy. Brandin Cooks is our absolute only viable option from this Texans squad so target him if you are looking to game stack.

C. To close out week 2, we get one of the easiest stacks to break down in the entire NFL. There are four pass catchers that will draw the large majority of targets from the arm that was sent from the gods. Here are their target shares from week 1: Evans – 6, Godwin – 14, Brown – 7, and Gronk – 8. Week 2 is one of the largest over-reaction weeks in all of sports, so I intend to be much higher on Evans than the three other options listed here because not only did he receive the fewest targets, but he also was the only one that did not catch a tuddy (hell, Gronk even caught two). As we saw on Thursday, three of these four can all eat in one game as long as the Bucs post 4+ touchdowns. I would limit our Bucs stacks to three of these pass catchers, but I am definitely more likely to stick with two, and Evans will almost always be one of them. Unlike our first two stacks, we do have some very intriguing options for the bring-back here with Calvin Ridley and Kyle Pitts. The Falcons absolutely laid an egg week 1, so Ridley and Pitts both underperformed and both were pretty popular DFS options. That is the premier recipe for low ownership, and this is my favorite game stack of week 2.

That will do it for this week’s article. If I am not taking down the million this Sunday, then I hope that it is a member of our WDS fam! Please make sure to check out our projection model by clicking here, and if you have any questions about GPP strategy or the top stacks for the week, I will be in our expert chat in Discord leading up to Sunday afternoon. Feel free to shoot me a DM or @ me in chat! Lastly, do not forget to subscribe to the WinDaily YouTube channel and follow me on Twitter: @AThr0ughZ!

Well that was certainly an eventful week 1, with plenty of surprises around the NFL. This is a lookahead article though, so I will be turning the page to week 2. As usual I will be covering the top quarterbacks and players to stack with them for GPP contests across the DFS industry, so any stack that I recommend is in play for both FanDuel and DraftKings. With that said, let’s get to the picks!

The QB’s

A. My number one QB for week 1 worked out pretty well and I hope our members were able to profit off of it as I had Kyler Murray in this spot. It would be easy to just go back to him again and you definitely can, but I will get a big more creative here. One of my favorite quarterbacks to target for week 2 is Mac Jones ($5,400 DK / $6,800 FD).Before you go calling me nothing but a homer, I have the data to back this up. First of all, those prices are insanely enticing for a quarterback that now has a real life NFL game under his belt, and also looked great in his debut to begin with. Mac had the highest completion percentage of any quarterback in their first NFL start in history. Now, he is rewarded with a matchup against the Jets, who rank dead last in DVOA vs. the pass and 28th in total DVOA. While it is tough to put much emphasis on rankings after just one week, the Patriots are favored by nearly a touchdown in this spot and I expect an NFL coming out party for McCorkle on Sunday afternoon.

B. While my first QB was a smash hit last week, my second two left a bit to be desired for us, so let’s make sure that all three do well this week. A second quarterback for us to look to in GPP contests is Baker Mayfield ($6,000 DK / $7,100 FD). Baker looked great on Sunday, as he lead the Browns (without OBJ), to a near wire-to-wire win over the reigning AFC champion Kansas City Chiefs. OBJ has already been ruled out again this week, but it would have been foolish of the Browns to bring him back against the hopeless Houston Texans. The Texans are right there with the Jets, ranking second to last in DVOA against the pass, and Baker should be able to pick apart this horrendous defense with ease. The Browns offensive line was not great, but the Jets defensive line was the 6th worst, so Baker should have plenty of time as well. While the game may not be competitive, Baker will play a massive part in any sort of blowout.

C. While I do expect Mac to be extremely low owned, Baker should garner a decent amount of ownership this Sunday. Going back to the low-owned well with my QB3, I will be targeting father time, Tom Brady ($6,900 DK / $8,200 FD). Brady looked sharp as ever on Thursday night, and all of the haters calling for him to drop off a cliff will have to wait at least another year. TB12 was still slinging absolute darts around the field like very few quarterbacks in this league can. So, what is his reward for this? A cakewalk matchup against an Atlanta Falcons team that never seems to know how to play defense year after year. The ATL ranks 29th in DVOA against the pass, and also ranks 26th in defense against specifically the QB position. This game is also not expected to be very competitive, but again, if it is not then Tom Brady will have 3+ touchdowns to his name, with potentially a rushing TD from Leonard Fournette tossed in for good measure. Nobody will play Tom due to his nonexistent rushing ability, but at these prices and ownerships 3 passing TDs and 300+ yards will do just fine.

The Stacks

A. The DVOA numbers against the pass that I mentioned above also apply to the pass catchers that I will be covering in this section, so I will not mention them again for the sake of brevity. Entering week 2, we do not have a clear-cut WR1 on this Patriots team, although the DraftKings pricing does favor Jakobi Meyers and his nine week 1 targets. I tend to side with the more seasoned Nelson Agholor in this 1v1, so I will gladly take the $300 salary savings if choosing just one wideout to pair with Mac Jones. Outside of these two, steer far away from any other Pats WRs, but you can always look to James White and his seven week 1 targets out of the backfield. The TEs are only priced $200 apart, which is not enough for me to have any interest in Henry over Jonnu Smith. Lastly, as is going to be customary with the Jets, I will not be looking to force in any bring-backs, although if you must then Corey Davis is definitely the go-to option for the rookie.

B. The Browns stack also is a bit less straightforward than our final stack of the week that I will cover below. With the Browns, it would normally be the easy options of OBJ and Jarvis Landry, however with OBJ already declared out for week 2, that puts Landry into near must play status in any lineups that have Baker in them. The TE situation in Cleveland is even less clear than the Patriots two-headed monster, as we have Hooper, Njoku, and Bryant all lurking on the depth chart. Due to this, my plan with the Browns is to have plenty of Mayfield/Landry combinations, and I will also sprinkle some Nick Chubb, and to a lesser extent Kareem Hunt, into those lineups. The nice thing about looking at an awful team for a bring-back is that it really makes things easy. Brandin Cooks is our absolute only viable option from this Texans squad so target him if you are looking to game stack.

C. To close out week 2, we get one of the easiest stacks to break down in the entire NFL. There are four pass catchers that will draw the large majority of targets from the arm that was sent from the gods. Here are their target shares from week 1: Evans – 6, Godwin – 14, Brown – 7, and Gronk – 8. Week 2 is one of the largest over-reaction weeks in all of sports, so I intend to be much higher on Evans than the three other options listed here because not only did he receive the fewest targets, but he also was the only one that did not catch a tuddy (hell, Gronk even caught two). As we saw on Thursday, three of these four can all eat in one game as long as the Bucs post 4+ touchdowns. I would limit our Bucs stacks to three of these pass catchers, but I am definitely more likely to stick with two, and Evans will almost always be one of them. Unlike our first two stacks, we do have some very intriguing options for the bring-back here with Calvin Ridley and Kyle Pitts. The Falcons absolutely laid an egg week 1, so Ridley and Pitts both underperformed and both were pretty popular DFS options. That is the premier recipe for low ownership, and this is my favorite game stack of week 2.

That will do it for this week’s article. If I am not taking down the million this Sunday, then I hope that it is a member of our WDS fam! Please make sure to check out our projection model by clicking here, and if you have any questions about GPP strategy or the top stacks for the week, I will be in our expert chat in Discord leading up to Sunday afternoon. Feel free to shoot me a DM or @ me in chat! Lastly, do not forget to subscribe to the WinDaily YouTube channel and follow me on Twitter: @AThr0ughZ!

We have finally made it! The temperatures are starting to drop to more livable levels, there is a clean crisp in the air, and week 1 NFL football kicks off on primetime tomorrow night. Shortly after that, kickoff Sunday will be upon us and here at WDS, we have all of the content that you will need to be successful this season. My content will be covering the top quarterbacks and players to stack with them for GPP contests across the DFS industry, so any stack that I recommend is in play for both FanDuel and Draftkings. With that said, let’s get to the picks!

The QB’s

A. For those of you familiar with my MLB articles, I will be sticking to the same format here with a slight twist. My A, B, and C QB’s will then correspond to the A, B, and C stacks listed below, so the QB listed at B will then be the arm that you should stack with the skill position players listed in section B below. Focusing in on the main slate for week 1 NFL DFS, one of our best options at QB is without a doubt Kyler Murray ($7,600 DK / $8,400 FD). Kyler and the Arizona Cardinals draw a dream matchup with a subpar Tennessee Titans defense that is a group that I will look to target early and often this season. This game has one of the highest totals of all of week 1 and that is because these two teams love to play fast and do not have historically strong defenses. Kyler is one of the few quarterbacks that truly has massive running upside, which is always something that raises his floor and we should look to get plenty of exposure to him in this spot.

B. While I tend to try to avoid looking at data from previous seasons since so much can change during the offseason, right now we do not have too much else to work with. A potential cheap sleeper option for us to look to in NFL DFS at the QB position is Jimmy Garoppolo ($5,500 DK / $6,900 FD). Jimmy G should carry virtually no ownership on such a large 13 game slate, as his game only has the 10th highest total on the week. He will save us a ton of salary and the Detroit Lions ranked dead last in the NFL in DVOA against the QB position last season. The Lions did not do much at all to improve their chances on the defensive end, so this may be the best matchup that Jimmy G sees all season as he fights to fend off the rookie week 1.

C. The final quarterback that I will be looking to target in my stacks for GPPs on kickoff Sunday is Trevor Lawrence ($6,200 DK / $6,800 FD). This may be the cheapest price that we see Trevor at all season, as the uncertainty surrounding a rookie’s first NFL start has led to cheap price tags and potentially depressed ownership. This is another amazing matchup for an opposing offense, as the Houston Texans have arguably the absolute worst defense in the entire league. Lawrence will be looking to get his NFL career started off on the right foot and this is the exact spot for him to do just that. These prices are too cheap for an athlete of this caliber, and although he does not have the best offensive weapons surrounding him, he has rushing upside that will always provide him with a solid floor, although this is a ceiling type of matchup for his debut.

The Stacks

A. The easy choice to pair up with Kyler Murray is of course his all-star wideout, DeAndre Hopkins. DHop is a top three wide receiver in the NFL, and he now has a few other targets to take a bit of the heat of the double team off of him. A.J. Green is long past his prime, but rookie Rondale Moore has been getting more buzz out of training camp and the preseason than nearly any non-QB rookie. If choosing two WR’s to pair with Murray in NFL DFS this week, I would avoid Green. As far as the bring-back goes, unless you have been living under a rock since the Super Bowl, you know that the Titans now have Julio Jones. You can of course use him as a way to correlate for this potential shootout, or you could go A.J. Brown, or both, but keep in mind that this is sounding very salary-intensive and you may need to punt at RB and TE if you end up going this route.

B. When looking at stack options for Jimmy G and the 49ers, we have more of a “non-traditional” stack as the best option here in their tight end, George Kittle. I am honestly more than fine ending the 49ers side of the stack there for NFL DFS purposes, but if you insist on getting exposure to a wideout with your quarterback, then Brandon Aiyuk is really the only option I would look to here. The benefit of a stack like this is that you can afford to pay up at tight end for Kittle since your quarterback and wide receiver positions will be saving salary. It is really ugly on the Lions side of the football and it will be all season, so if you are looking to do more of a full game stack, this is not the way to do it. I cannot, in good faith, recommend bringing this stack back with absolutely anyone on the Detroit side of the matchup.

C. To close out my very first NFL DFS article, we have some intriguing pieces to look at on the Jacksonville side of the field. The Jags added veteran Marvin Jones to their young receiving core that includes DJ Chark and Laviska Shenault. I plan to take more of a wait and see approach with Jones, as I fully expect Chark and Shenault to lead this receiving core this season. They are clearly the top two options to stack up with Trevor Lawrence, and I would definitely avoid the TEs from this team for now, as Jacob Hollister has proven that he is largely useless when he was on the Patriots. Similar to the Lions, we should tread very lightly with the Houston side of this game, as this team is destined to be one of the bottom teams in the entire league in 2021/2022. If Watson does not get thrown into jail before this game kicks off, then we can look to Brandin Cooks, but I will never say any Houston player is a must play in any stack.

I am sure that you are all as happy as I am that the long wait is finally over. If I am not taking down the million this Sunday, then I hope that it is a member of our WDS fam! Please make sure to check out our projection model by clicking here, and if you have any questions about GPP strategy or top stacks for the week, I will be in our expert chat in Discord leading up to Sunday afternoon, so feel free to shoot me a DM or @ me in chat! Lastly, do not forget to subscribe to the WinDaily YouTube channel and follow me on Twitter: @AThr0ughZ!

We have finally made it! The temperatures are starting to drop to more livable levels, there is a clean crisp in the air, and week 1 NFL football kicks off on primetime tomorrow night. Shortly after that, kickoff Sunday will be upon us and here at WDS, we have all of the content that you will need to be successful this season. My content will be covering the top quarterbacks and players to stack with them for GPP contests across the DFS industry, so any stack that I recommend is in play for both FanDuel and Draftkings. With that said, let’s get to the picks!

The QB’s

A. For those of you familiar with my MLB articles, I will be sticking to the same format here with a slight twist. My A, B, and C QB’s will then correspond to the A, B, and C stacks listed below, so the QB listed at B will then be the arm that you should stack with the skill position players listed in section B below. Focusing in on the main slate for week 1 NFL DFS, one of our best options at QB is without a doubt Kyler Murray ($7,600 DK / $8,400 FD). Kyler and the Arizona Cardinals draw a dream matchup with a subpar Tennessee Titans defense that is a group that I will look to target early and often this season. This game has one of the highest totals of all of week 1 and that is because these two teams love to play fast and do not have historically strong defenses. Kyler is one of the few quarterbacks that truly has massive running upside, which is always something that raises his floor and we should look to get plenty of exposure to him in this spot.

B. While I tend to try to avoid looking at data from previous seasons since so much can change during the offseason, right now we do not have too much else to work with. A potential cheap sleeper option for us to look to in NFL DFS at the QB position is Jimmy Garoppolo ($5,500 DK / $6,900 FD). Jimmy G should carry virtually no ownership on such a large 13 game slate, as his game only has the 10th highest total on the week. He will save us a ton of salary and the Detroit Lions ranked dead last in the NFL in DVOA against the QB position last season. The Lions did not do much at all to improve their chances on the defensive end, so this may be the best matchup that Jimmy G sees all season as he fights to fend off the rookie week 1.

C. The final quarterback that I will be looking to target in my stacks for GPPs on kickoff Sunday is Trevor Lawrence ($6,200 DK / $6,800 FD). This may be the cheapest price that we see Trevor at all season, as the uncertainty surrounding a rookie’s first NFL start has led to cheap price tags and potentially depressed ownership. This is another amazing matchup for an opposing offense, as the Houston Texans have arguably the absolute worst defense in the entire league. Lawrence will be looking to get his NFL career started off on the right foot and this is the exact spot for him to do just that. These prices are too cheap for an athlete of this caliber, and although he does not have the best offensive weapons surrounding him, he has rushing upside that will always provide him with a solid floor, although this is a ceiling type of matchup for his debut.

The Stacks

A. The easy choice to pair up with Kyler Murray is of course his all-star wideout, DeAndre Hopkins. DHop is a top three wide receiver in the NFL, and he now has a few other targets to take a bit of the heat of the double team off of him. A.J. Green is long past his prime, but rookie Rondale Moore has been getting more buzz out of training camp and the preseason than nearly any non-QB rookie. If choosing two WR’s to pair with Murray in NFL DFS this week, I would avoid Green. As far as the bring-back goes, unless you have been living under a rock since the Super Bowl, you know that the Titans now have Julio Jones. You can of course use him as a way to correlate for this potential shootout, or you could go A.J. Brown, or both, but keep in mind that this is sounding very salary-intensive and you may need to punt at RB and TE if you end up going this route.

B. When looking at stack options for Jimmy G and the 49ers, we have more of a “non-traditional” stack as the best option here in their tight end, George Kittle. I am honestly more than fine ending the 49ers side of the stack there for NFL DFS purposes, but if you insist on getting exposure to a wideout with your quarterback, then Brandon Aiyuk is really the only option I would look to here. The benefit of a stack like this is that you can afford to pay up at tight end for Kittle since your quarterback and wide receiver positions will be saving salary. It is really ugly on the Lions side of the football and it will be all season, so if you are looking to do more of a full game stack, this is not the way to do it. I cannot, in good faith, recommend bringing this stack back with absolutely anyone on the Detroit side of the matchup.

C. To close out my very first NFL DFS article, we have some intriguing pieces to look at on the Jacksonville side of the field. The Jags added veteran Marvin Jones to their young receiving core that includes DJ Chark and Laviska Shenault. I plan to take more of a wait and see approach with Jones, as I fully expect Chark and Shenault to lead this receiving core this season. They are clearly the top two options to stack up with Trevor Lawrence, and I would definitely avoid the TEs from this team for now, as Jacob Hollister has proven that he is largely useless when he was on the Patriots. Similar to the Lions, we should tread very lightly with the Houston side of this game, as this team is destined to be one of the bottom teams in the entire league in 2021/2022. If Watson does not get thrown into jail before this game kicks off, then we can look to Brandin Cooks, but I will never say any Houston player is a must play in any stack.

I am sure that you are all as happy as I am that the long wait is finally over. If I am not taking down the million this Sunday, then I hope that it is a member of our WDS fam! Please make sure to check out our projection model by clicking here, and if you have any questions about GPP strategy or top stacks for the week, I will be in our expert chat in Discord leading up to Sunday afternoon, so feel free to shoot me a DM or @ me in chat! Lastly, do not forget to subscribe to the WinDaily YouTube channel and follow me on Twitter: @AThr0ughZ!