thumbs-up-solid
DFS & Sports Betting Tools, Exclusive Content, and Expert Chat
START FREE TRIAL
 
thumbs-up-solid
START FREE TRIAL
thumbs-up-solid
START FREE TRIAL
Home / Chris Godwin / Page 2
Tag:

Chris Godwin

Daily Fantasy SportsNFL

Week 10 Wide Receiver DFS Picks: Thomas & Friends

Cora Baylis
written by Cora Baylis

If you read last week’s article, you surely made some money like me. Having Tyler Lockett and Kenny Golladay in the cash game section was good enough but we didn’t stop there. We also had DK Metcalf, Marvin Jones and Preston Williams in that article, making it my best piece of the season. While we likely can’t duplicate that success again, we’ll do our best to build off that momentum. With that in mind, let’s get into our Week 10 wide receiver picks.  

Week 10 Wide Receiver Cash Game Plays 

Michael Thomas, NO vs. ATL 

DK ($8,300)   FD ($8,700) 

Thomas is going to be very chalky on this slate but rightfully so. We’re talking about a guy who led the league in receptions last season and is currently doing that again this year. That’s led to him leading all WRs with 24.5 DK points per game, scoring at least 16 DK points in all eight games played. That’s terrifying news for an Atlanta defense who ranks 30th in total defense while allowing the fourth-most fantasy points to opposing receivers.  

Chris Godwin, TB vs. ARI 

DK ($7,400)   FD ($8,200) 

It’s always tough to figure out whether to pick Evans or Godwin but we’ll go with Godwin. One of the major reasons why is the ownership, as I expect Godwin to be far less owned than Evans, who’s coming off a monster game in Week 9. Lower ownership is obviously big but he also has the superior matchup. While Evans will be tied up with Patrick Peterson, Godwin should be able to feast on the rest of this terrible secondary out of the slot. Not only does Arizona sit 29th in points allowed, they’re also surrendering the third-most passing yards in the NFL.  

Week 10 Wide Receiver GPP Plays 

Davante Adams, GB vs, CAR  

DK ($6,900)   FD ($7,800) 

Adams has had a terrible year for his standards but that makes him a great GPP option. He’s actually outside the Top-10 in pricing on DK and that’s criminal for someone this talented. We’re talking about a guy who led all WRs in fantasy points last season and the recent struggles have made him way too cheap. Someone with that sort of potential is definitely in play at this price, especially considering he gets to face a defense who owns a 20th OPRK against WRs this season.  

Zach Pascal, IND vs. MIA  

DK ($5,300)   FD ($6,400) 

Pascal is my favorite per-dollar play on the board. The reason for that is because he’s looking at a monster role in one of the best matchups in football. Let’s begin with that usage, as he should get a ton of work with T.Y. Hilton sidelined. That was evident in Week 9, when Pascal collected five catches for 76 yards and a TD. In Week 7, he actually had six catches for 106 yards and two TDs, proving that the Week 9 performance was no fluke. Playing 94 percent of the snaps with Hilton out was the biggest identifier that he’s the go-to guy, as he should have no problem abusing a Miami team that ranks 30th in total defense.  

Tyler Boyd, CIN vs. BAL  

DK ($4,700)   FD ($5,700) 

What if I told you that one of the league leaders in targets is being priced around guys like Danny Amendola and Robby Anderson? That’s just what we have here with Boyd, as he’s been way too good to be priced this cheaply. Not only does he have 82 total targets this season, he’s also averaging over 14 DK points per game while playing on over 90 percent of the team’s snaps. Those usage numbers are more indicative of a $7,000 player and it truly makes no sense why he’s this cheap.  It’s not like Baltimore’s secondary is scary either, owning a 23rd OPRK against wide receivers this season.  

Week 10 Wide Receiver Punt Plays 

DeVante Parker, MIA at IND 

DK ($4,800)   FD ($5,800) 

Parker is not a personal favorite of mine but he should be looking at a ton of work. The reason for that is because Preston Williams just got knocked out for the year. That’s a guy who’s been playing nearly every down while averaging more than eight targets per game since Week 1. That leaves Parker and no one else, which should guarantee him close to 10 targets while playing nearly every snap. That’s big news for a guy who’s scored a TD in four of his last five games while scoring at least 12 DK points in all five of those fixtures. Miami entering this matchup as an 11.5-point underdog only adds to Parker’s intrigue, as that should force Miami to throw a ton.  

Chester Rogers, IND vs. MIA  

DK ($4,100)   FD ($5,200) 

With Hilton out for the next few weeks, Rogers should find himself as the regular slot receiver for this team. That was clear in Week 9 when he played 65 percent of the team’s snaps. That snap share has actually gone up in three-straight games and we expect it to go up yet again here. This is a guy who’s seen big target totals in the past too and an increase in playing time should force him into at least five targets. That’s really all we can ask for from a punt play, especially considering he faces a Miami defense who allows the sixth-most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers.  

Monkey Knife Fight Picks of the Week 

Click Here to Play and Get 100 Percent Bonus!

Mack, Ebron and Ballage Over 1.5 TDs combined

Honestly, I think Mack is going to reach this total on his own. It’s just a bonus to be able to add the goal-line back for the Dolphins and the biggest red-zone target for the Colts.

Thomas, Hooper and Jones Over 21.5 Combined Receptions

In what should be a high-scoring game, I expect at least one of these guys to attain double-digit receptions, which should make the rest of the prop easy to cash.

0 comment
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
NFLDaily Fantasy Sports

NFL DFS Week 10 Podcast with DFS Pro Javi & BCW

Brandon C. Williams
written by Brandon C. Williams

The NFL DFS Week 10 Podcast with DFS Pro Javi and BCW take a look ahead at Week 10 and the potential impact players to consider. The two also discuss how to handle teams with a pair of top end WRs while resetting two age-old questions that includes a WKRP in Cincinnati take.

REGISTER FOR PREMIUM GOLD AND GET ONE ON ONE GAMEDAY ADVICE FROM OUR TOP EXPERTS!

NFL DFS Week 10 Podcast with DFS Pro Javi & BCW

The NFL DFS Week 10 Podcast with DFS Pro Javi & BCW looks at how the changing weather will impact DFS usage, especially at QB and WR. The focus then goes to Week 10, where injuries across the board at RB makes the use of Panthers RB Christian McCaffrey vital. Next, the pair look at QBs who have sleeper potential along with the ones to avoid. Finally, the duo focuses on WRs and TEs and point out a number of solid plays.

Thank you for listening to the NFL DFS Podcast. Follow Win Daily Sports on twitter @WinDailyDFS. Please check out everything that Win Daily Sports has to offer by becoming a premium member. New articles, projection models and data are being added frequently. We can’t say enough about our private Win Daily Slack Channel as it provides one on one coaching for all sports and all platforms.

0 comment
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
Daily Fantasy SportsNFL

NFL DFS GPP Advice – Stick’s Stacks for Week 9

Brandon C. Williams
written by Brandon C. Williams

Week Eight was by far my most profitable week on the 2019 DFS season. We absolutely smashed our cash games and finished top-five in multiple single entry NFL DFS GPP tournaments! Hell, even the sample lineup from last week’s Stick’s Stacks scored 202.2 DraftKings points! I hope you played it!

As you saw in my articles last week and heard on the Win Daily Sunday Livestream, my three favorite spots to get exposure to were the following:

  • Oakland Raiders @ Houston Texans
  • New York Giants @ Detroit Lions (had a lot of exposure to Darius Slayton, Barkley, and Stafford/Golladay)
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (Mike Evans as our top WR play on the slate)

Let’s keep it rolling again in Week Nine where we have one of our smaller slates on the year with just 10 games on the main slate. If you read the article and have any questions, please do not hesitate to reach out to me directly on Twitter or sign up for Premium Gold to join our Slack channel.

Like usual, it’s another great week to use 50% or more of your bankroll towards single entry cash games. Please check out my Cash Game Checkdown before you set your DFS lineups for Sunday. Lets get to work on Stick’s Stacks for Week Nine.

Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! Projections, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more!

The purpose of this weekly article is to identify team/game stacks that we are going to use for an NFL DFS GPP. For those of you that don’t know, a “team stack” is simply multiple players from the same team (I rarely ever use more than three players on a given team).

A “game stack” is similar, except we are going to use players from both teams in a given game. Focusing on team stacks and game stacks is incredibly useful in the NFL DFS GPP environment. That being said, let’s get to this week’s top NFL DFS stacks for DraftKings!

Top NFL DFS GPP Game Stacks

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Seattle Seahawks (-6) O/U (52.5)

This game in Seattle looks to be one of the heavier chalk games on the slate in the DFS world – and I’ll probably be overweight on it as well. There’s obviously plenty of reasons to love the Seahawks’ passing game here so we won’t go into detail on that. Opposing teams are throwing over 64% of the time against Seattle, so for Tampa, we just need Jameis Winston to play well and not throw five picks for him to hit value.

Tampa has a top-five run defense and has been a pass-funnel defense all year long, so there is clearly merit with loving the Seahawks’ air attack this week. If they can put up points in a hurry, Jameis Winston and the Bucs should be forced to throw it 45+ times and lead to a shootout.

What’s great about this game is it’s not difficult to handicap where the production is going to come from on either team. This is a perfect game to stack up!

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

  • Chris Godwin ($7,300) – I’m much higher on Godwin this week in comparison to Evans. Only using Evans in lineups where I stack this game.
  • Mike Evans ($7,200)
  • Jameis Winston ($6,100)
  • Cameron Brate ($3,100)

Seattle Seahawks

  • Russell Wilson ($7,100)
  • Tyler Lockett ($7,500)
  • Chris Carson ($7,200)
  • DK Metcalf ($5,700)
  • Jacob Hollister ($2,800) – Large field GPP only.

Detroit Lions @ Oakland Raiders (-2) O/U (50.5)

Back to back weeks of having a lot of interest in both the Lions’ and Raiders’ offenses. Both of these defenses have struggled of late and it’s one of the highest expected totals on the slate with a tight spread.

The Lions’ running game looked absolutely broken last week now that Kerryon Johnson is on IR. This is another week where we can be confident in Stafford and company moving the ball via the pass. That slow-paced, run-first Lions’ gamescript is no longer a thing. In addition, the Raiders have allowed the most DraftKings points to opposing QB’s over the past month.

On the other side, the Raiders should have no issues moving the ball as the Lions have allowed the fourth most DraftKings’ points to both opposing QB’s and RB’s in their last three games. Keep an eye on whether or not Darius Slay suits up for this one, but I don’t think he’s anything you need to be truly concerned about from a DFS perspective.

Detroit Lions

  • Kenny Golladay ($7,700)
  • Matthew Stafford ($6,800)
  • Danny Amendola ($4,700) – Wish he was cheaper, but this is a great spot for a guy coming off of back to back weeks of nearly 70% snap share. He should destroy Lamarcus Joyner.
  • Marvin Jones Jr. ($6,000)
  • T.J. Hockenson ($3,700)

Oakland Raiders

  • Darren Waller ($6,300)
  • Josh Jacobs ($6,500)
  • Derek Carr ($5,500)
  • Tyrell Williams ($5,900)
  • Zay Jones ($3,000) – MME punt play.

Minnesota Vikings @ Kansas City Chiefs (TBD) O/U (TBD)

At first glance, it’s looking like this game isn’t drawing much attention from the DFS community early in the week. This can obviously change quickly if Patrick Mahomes were to be ruled in, but all signs point to Matt Moore being under center for this one.

I don’t want to completely stack this game up, but I will have exposure to both of these offenses in my NFL DFS GPP roster builds.

Minnesota Vikings

  • Dalvin Cook ($9,500)
  • Stefon Diggs ($7,600)
  • Kirk Cousins ($6,700)
  • Adam Thielen ($7,800) – Keep an eye on his injury status

Kansas City Chiefs

  • Tyreek Hill ($7,400)
  • Travis Kelce ($6,900)
  • Sammy Watkins ($4,900)
  • Matt Moore ($4,800)

Top DFS GPP Team Stacks

Carolina Panthers

Naturally, I like to be a little contrarian with some of my GPP builds and stacks for larger field GPPs. Last week, I had faith in the Bears and they let me down a bit, but my lineups with David Montgomery absolutely smashed. This week, I’m going to do a stack or two with the Carolina Panthers.

Tampa Bay paid off for us last week, so why not pick on this Tennessee secondary once again this week? They’re extremely banged up and truthfully, I don’t respect their secondary when healthy. McCaffrey is always in play, but if you want to leverage away from McCaffrey ownership in a GPP, use Kyle Allen and one or two of these wideouts.

  • D.J. Moore ($4,800) – Absolutely love his spot this week. He will probably be a lock for me in cash games and heavily involved as salary relief in my main GPP builds.
  • Christian McCaffrey ($10,000)
  • Curtis Samuel ($4,300)
  • Kyle Allen ($5,200)
  • Greg Olsen ($3,500)

Chicago Bears

Who am I kidding? I’ll go back to the well once more this week in one or two large-field GPP tournaments with a Bears stack (probably safer to just use two Bears at most). You don’t need them to go off as they really open up your ability to pay up for a pair of top-tier RBs (just look at last week’s sample GPP lineup!). We’ve been picking on this Eagles’ pass defense all year so there’s no reason to stop now.

  • Allen Robinson ($6,800)
  • Mitch Trubisky ($5,000)
  • Taylor Gabriel ($3,900)
  • Anthony Miller ($3,700)
  • David Montgomery ($5,200)

Sample NFL DFS GPP Lineup

QB: Mitch Trubisky
RB: Dalvin Cook
RB: Jaylen Samuels (make sure Conner is out)
WR: Allen Robinson
WR: Tyler Lockett
WR: D.J. Moore
TE: Cameron Brate
FLEX: Nick Chubb
DST: Washington Redskins

0 comment
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
NFLDaily Fantasy Sports

Week 6 Wide Receiver DFS Picks: I Got a Thielen

Joel Bartilotta
written by Joel Bartilotta

Last week’s article was easily my best of the season. We actually had Michael Thomas and Chris Godwin as our cash game plays and both players finished as Top-5 WRs for the week. We also had Will Fuller in our GPP section and needless to say, that went well too with him likely dropping the highest point total of the season. Hopefully, we can continue that success here and ride these WRs to some more cash. With that in mind, let’s get into our Week 6 wide receiver breakdown.  

Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! Projections, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more!

If you’d like to see more of my work click here! Also, Follow me on Twitter @Bartilottajoel

Week 6 Wide Receiver Cash Game Plays 

Adam Thielen, MIN vs. PHI 

DK ($6,700)     FD ($7,200) 

Thielen made a fuss about the lack of passing going on in Minnesota and it’s clear the coaches listened when you see his Week 5 performance. Thielen led the way with seven catches for 130 yards and two TDs. That’s the guy we saw throughout the majority of 2018, with Thielen leading the team with 113 receptions for 1,373 yards and nine TDs. The simple fact is, this team needs to throw the ball more and 27 attempts last week indicate that they’re starting to realize it. Throwing the ball against Philly is the optimal strategy against this defense too, with the Eagles owning a 32nd OPRK against WRs while allowing the fourth-most passing yards in the NFL.  

Terry McLaurin, WSH at MIA 

DK ($6,000)     FD ($6,400) 

The man known as “Scary Terry” has been doing work all season long and this may actually be his best matchup of the season. Let’s begin with that opposition, facing a Dolphins team who ranks last in both yards and points surrendered. That’s also evident when you see that they own a 25th OPRK against wide receivers this season. That’s all good news for McLaurin, as this dude has established himself as the focal point of the Redskins offense. In fact, he leads the club with a 19.4 percent team target share while playing 90.4 percent of the snaps. That’s led to him collecting 19 receptions for 308 receiving yards and three TDs, which is huge against a crappy defense like this.  

Week 6 Wide Receiver GPP Plays 

Will Fuller, HOU at KC 

DK ($6,000)     FD ($6,600) 

Let’s go back to the well with Fuller. All of the indicators told us that this was just a matter of time and 56.7 DK points in Week 5 is all the regression we could ask for. The facts remain the same: He’s one of the league leaders in air yards per target and is playing on nearly 98 percent of the team’s snaps. That pairs beautifully with his 107.2 air yards per game, which is simply one of the best marks in the NFL. The best part about this play might be the matchup though, with Kansas City ranked 21st in OPRK against WRs this season after allowing the second-most passing yards in the NFL last year.  

Mike Williams, LAC vs. PIT 

DK ($4,600)     FD ($6,200) 

Williams will only be available in the Sunday Night slates but he is one of my favorite plays of the week. The $4,600 price tag on DK is inexcusable and I simply can’t understand why he’s so affordable. Not only has Williams played 91 percent of the snaps over his last two games, he’s also got 20 targets in that span while averaging 100 air yards per game this season. That’s really all you can ask for from someone priced so cheaply, particularly someone as talented as Williams. We’re talking about a freak specimen who scored 10 TDs last year in his sophomore season. The matchup against Pittsburgh is the icing on the cake, with the Steelers allowing the most fantasy points in the league to opposing WRs last season while sitting 17th in total defense this year.  

Week 6 Wide Receiver Punt Plays 

Byron Pringle, KC vs. HOU 

DK ($3,500)     FD ($4,500) 

This is the best punt play of the slate. How often do you see the top WR for the best offense in football priced this cheaply? Ok, that might be stretching a bit but he was the best wide receiver for the Chiefs in Week 5. That was clear when he collected six catches for 103 yards and a TD on nine targets. Playing 78 percent of the snaps may have been the most encouraging sign, as he’ll surely reach that total again if Tyreek Hill and Sammy Watkins are out. He may have usurped Mecole Hardman on the depth chart too, playing 10 more snaps than him in Week 5. Facing Houston is the final piece to the puzzle, with the Texans owning a 31st OPRK against WRs according to DraftKings.  

Jamison Crowder, NYJ vs. DAL 

DK ($4,000)     FD ($5,400) 

This is totally risky but part of me feels like either Robby Anderson or Jamison Crowder is going to bounce back here. Everyone is doubting these guys because of this horrendous Jets offense but getting Sam Darnold back is exactly what the doctor ordered (no pun intended). This is one of the most talented QBs in the game and it should add exponential value to these Jets wide receivers. The reason I like Crowder is because he was Darnold’s go-to guy in Week 1, leading the NFL with 14 receptions on 17 targets. He actually played at least 90 percent of the snaps in the first three weeks and we expect that total to jump back here with Darnold back behind center While Dallas does have a tough defense, the fact that New York enters this matchup as an 8.5-point underdog should force them to throw a ton.  

0 comment
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
NFLDaily Fantasy Sports

Week 5 Wide Receiver DFS Picks: Thank Godwin

Cora Baylis
written by Cora Baylis

Our picks have been killing it this season but last week wasn’t our best. Keenan Allen and Tyler Lockett both let us down but we should have known better with our projected game scripts. That’s something I need to do a better job of this week and I believe that I’ve formulated a list of players here who won’t become victim to bad game scripts. With that in mind, let’s get into our Week 5 Wide Receiver plays.  

Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! Projections, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more!

If you’d like to see more of my work click here! Also, Follow me on Twitter @Bartilottajoel

Week 5 Wide Receiver Cash Game Plays 

Chris Godwin, TB at NO 

DK ($6,900)    FD ($7,800) 

Godwin is currently the third-best WR in fantasy right now and he’s not being priced like it. Collecting 26 receptions for 286 yards and four TDs is impressive in its own right and it’s clear he’s Winston’s go-to guy right now out of the slot. Most importantly, he has played all but 16 snaps for the entirety of the season, which equates to about 95 percent. That sort of sky-high potential and opportunity is awesome in a matchup like this, with the Saints allowing the fifth-most fantasy points to opposing WRs this season. 

Michael Thomas, NO vs. TB 

DK ($6,600)    FD ($7,700) 

These DFS sites are clearly concerned with Thomas missing Drew Brees but these prices are getting too low for someone of his ability. The simple fact is, this dude is a target hound. In fact, he ranks third in the NFL with 42 targets and actually ranks fourth in the league in percentage of team’s air yards. That means he’s the focal point of this offense, which is huge for a guy who led the league in catches last season and has recorded at least nine receptions in three of his first four games this year. That’s splendid news against a secondary like this, with Tampa allowing the second-most fantasy points to opposing WRs this season. In his two games against the Buccaneers last season, Thomas collected 27 catches for 278 yards, if you needed any more incentive.  

Week 5 Wide Receiver GPP Plays 

Josh Gordon, NE at WSH 

DK ($6,100)    FD ($6,200) 

Gordon has been slightly disappointing this season but he’s still got too much upside to be priced this affordably. The recent results are what’s really encouraging, with Gordon collecting 18 targets over his last two games. That’s really all we can ask for from a talented player like this, with JG averaging 17.3 receiving yards per reception for his career. The peripherals back up all of that, with Gordon posting a 19 percent team target share while amassing 23 percent of his team’s air yardage. That potential is really enticing in a matchup like this, with the Redskins allowing the second-most fantasy points to opposing WRs.

Alshon Jeffery, PHI vs. NYJ 

DK ($5,900)    FD ($6,700) 

Jeffery never really gets the credit he deserves. This guy has done nothing but produce throughout his career and these sites just continue to undervalue him. While he’s only played two games this year, he’s still averaging 11.6 DK points per game. That’s pretty much the guy we’ve seen throughout his career, recording at least 789 receiving yards in six-straight seasons, collecting 38 TDs in that span. The Jets are certainly not a team we’re worried about either, allowing the fifth-most receiving yards and the fourth-most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers this season. Philly is projected to have a big game too, entering this matchup as a 14-point favorite while being forecasted to score 28 points.  

Week 5 Wide Receiver Punt Plays 

Will Fuller, HOU vs. ATL 

DK ($4,500)    FD ($5,700) 

Fuller always had sky-high potential and it’s just a matter of time before he goes off. What makes him really scary for opposing secondaries is his big-play potential, with Fuller averaging 14.4 yards per reception for his career while ranking fifth in the NFL with 16.8 targeted air yards per catch this season. That’s really all you can ask for with Fuller playing 96 percent of the team’s snaps this season. That has to put fear in the Falcons eyes, with Atlanta allowing Jacoby Brissett and Marcus Mariota to slice them up the last two games to the tune of 24 DK points per outing. 

Robby Anderson, NYJ at PHI 

DK ($4,500)    FD ($5,500) 

Anderson has had a down season because of his quarterback inefficiencies but this is a spot for him to succeed. Let’s begin with his matchup, facing an Eagles team thar allows the most receiving yards and the most fantasy points to opposing WRs this season. That’s fantastic news for a talented guy like Anderson, as he actually leads the NFL with 48 percent of his team’s air yards. That tells us that he’s the focal point of this passing game, which pairs beautifully with the fact that he plays about 90 percent of the team’s snaps. The game script is brilliant too, with the Eagles entering this matchup as a 14-point favorite, thus forcing the Jets to play catch-up and throw the ball to Anderson.  

Trey Quinn, WSH vs. NE 

DK ($3,500)    FD ($5,100) 

Quinn is the definition of a punt play. While he’s yet to have a big game, the role tells us that it’s just a matter of time before he does. Collecting 24 targets is good enough but he’s also playing about 83 percent of the team’s snaps out of the slot. That’s a lot of time on the field to be priced this cheaply, particularly for a guy who has at least four catches and 30 yards in three-straight games. The reason he could play a ton here is because of this matchup, with Washington entering this game as a 16-point underdog. That should force a ton of throwing from the Redskins and it’s very possible that Quinn will see double-digit targets with his team playing catchup all day.  

0 comment
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
NFLMLB

9/30 DFS and Betting Winners

Vincent Pensabene
written by Vincent Pensabene

A flashback at some of the best performances from the Sunday slate plus their outlooks for the remainder of the season on the 9/30 DFS and Betting review and look ahead.

Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! DFS Pro Cheat Sheets, projections, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats with our DFS Pros and more!

9/30 Betting Winners – John L.

If you were a Premium Gold subscriber, you will get full access to DFS experts 24/7 and a myriad of other rewards. Our John L. (MLB Moving Avg.) touted an 80 percent win on his prop bets for the day and here are some from our Slack channel. With the potential to increase your bankroll tenfold by becoming a part of the Win Daily family, what are you waiting for?

9/30 DFS Winner: Nick Chubb

Premium Gold members saw our NFL Cheatsheet and Nick Bretswich was on the money at his value running back spot with Nick Chubb. Going up against the Baltimore Ravens, Chubb ran the ball 20 times for 165 yards and three touchdowns. He also added three receptions for 18 yards. Chubb had a huge day and was the main reason for the Browns scoring 40 points yesterday

Outlook for the rest of the season: This was a great bounce-back game for Chubb, who was pedestrian against the Rams last week. This is around the amount of touches he will get per game in this Cleveland offense and if teams are focusing on keeping one of their flashy playmakers out of the end zone, Chubb could have games like this. He broke an 88-yard run and is now averaging 5.1 yards per carry. Expect him to continue being a key cog in this Browns offense.

9/30 DFS Winner: Chris Godwin

Here’s a screenshot from our Premium Gold NFL Projection Model of the Top 25 wide receivers for Week 4 based on salaries on FanDuel. In a game where points were flying all over the board, Chris Godwin was the besr receiver in the league for Week 4. Going on the road against the Rams, he finished with 12 catches (14 targets) for 172 yards and a pair of touchdowns.

Outlook for the rest of the season: This might have been the breakout game for Godwin as the stats for this game are very similar to his first three games combined. It helps to have Mike Evans on the opposite side of the field from him attracting attention, but Godwin looked like a legitimate threat all day long. Expect Godwin to get more action in the next few weeks.

Upgrade now!

9/30 DFS Winner: Will Smith

Rookie Will Smith had a great final day of the 2019 MLB Regular Season as he went 2-for-3 with a three-run home run against the San Francisco Giants. Since becoming the main catcher for the Dodgers at the end of July, he has an .876 OPS. It will be interesting to see how he will fare in the playoffs against whoever wins the N.L. Wild Card matchup.

9/30 DFS Winner: Andrey Rublev

Here is a snippet of our Cash with the Flash article, available to all Premium Gold subscribers. Tennis could be a difficult sport to bet with many different tournaments and players, but if you follow Phil’s expert advice, you could be making a ton of extra money. Rublev ended up beating Dimitrov in straight sets and advanced to the Round of 16 in the China Open.

0 comment
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
Daily Fantasy Sports

DFS: Week Four Injury Breakdown

written by

Week Four is going to be your winning week. Week Two was riddled with unexpected injuries for several players. Then last Sunday we saw Saquon Barkley, an anchor in many lineups, go down early in the game with a high-ankle sprain. However, you’re already trending in the right direction by reading my Week Four Injury Breakdown

Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! Projections, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more!

Week Four is going to be your week.

This week, it seems that there are several players who are injured, yet expected to play. I’ll give you my clinical thoughts on their injury risk.

Without further ado, here are the DFS Week Four Injury Breakdowns to help you optimize your lineups in Week Four.

Julian Edelman

Edelman is at the top of the list of players who is a yellow light for me this week. It’s hard to deny his impact on the field as Tom Brady’s number one target, but he’s dealing with sore ribs, which can make it painful to breathe, let alone play in an NFL game. Additionally, the Patriots are capable of winning several different ways, including with Edelman acting as a decoy. Or with James White catching nine balls out of the backfield. Or with Rex Burkhead scoring three touchdowns from the slot. You catch my drift. The bottom line is that Edelman is a relative risk this week due to his injury and if you decide to put him in lineups, you’ll have to be okay with a wide range of outcomes. At the very least, avoid him in cash games.

T.Y. Hilton

Hilton was pulled during Week Three mid-game for a quad tear. And make no mistake, muscle strains are muscle tears. He was coerced off the field by the medical staff as he was evidently playing through some serious pain. Fast forward to this week and he has yet to practice and already declared a game time decision. I faded him last week, and he performed through the injury. However, given the fact that he’s still limited, I’m not budging and he won’t be in any of my DFS lineups this week, cash or tournaments.

Calvin Ridley and Chris Godwin

I’m lumping these two together as both are receivers, both have mysterious hip injuries, both were limited in practice this week, and both have tough matchups on Sunday. The Falcons take on the 12th ranked DVOA Titans and the Buccaneers will face the fourth ranked DVOA Rams.

Yikes.

I’m fading Ridley altogether as that offense has looked less than stellar as is, but Godwin I’m willing to plug into tournament lineups if he plays as the total for that game is around 50 points. Add in that the masses will be on Mike Evans after a monster game last week and that gives the potential for a profitable Godwin pivot.

Mark Andrews

Andrews was a game time decision last week, but after watching him on film, I’m not concerned about his foot injury. Additionally, he practiced on Friday which is an upgrade compared to last week. The most important part? He’s telling reporters that his injury is improving. I’m bullish on Andrews this week as the Browns, since Week One, have ceded a 5-55-2 line to 35 year old Delanie Walker, a 10-61 receiving line to Le’Veon Bell, and north of 250 total receiving yards to the Rams just last week. The masses might be scared away by Andrews’ designation and poor performance from Week Three, but I’m willing to roll with him again. If he underwhelms, it likely won’t be due to injury.

Amari Cooper

Cooper had a “precautionary MRI” on his ankle this week, which is concerning in the long term. However, he is expected to suit up on Sunday against a Saints defense that ranks 28th in DVOA. I’m using Cooper in lineups (this week in the Showdown slates) until the wheels fall off, which I hope doesn’t actually happen. He has not entered the dreaded “avoided him in cash games” category for me due to this injury, but I’m afraid that might be the case sooner rather than later as this mysterious injury (that is clearly more than plantar fasciitis) continues to linger. In Week Four, confidently use him as a captain.

Terry McLaurin

Scary Terry has been a revelation this year coming out of Ohio State. He’s the primary source of offense for Washington, but he was held out of practice due to a hamstring strain. Allegedly this is a precaution, but any time a player has an injury in the middle of the week, it’s a bad sign. Especially considering this is a soft tissue strain. I’m fading McLaurin. I can live with him having a big day against the Giants.

LeSean McCoy

Last week Shady and T.Y. Hilton teamed up to make me look extremely bad as I was fading both of them completely on Sunday. Even though they performed well, they were both pulled mid-game due to their injuries, so I’ll consider the final outcome a push. McCoy is dealing with what I perceive to be a high-ankle issue that simply didn’t show up on the MRI. He continues to be limited in practice this week after clearly playing hurt on Sunday. I have a hard time believing his ankle is any better this week, but clearly he can be effective even while hobbled. Ultimately, Shady is definitely a fade in cash games. Personally, I’m avoiding him altogether, but I would understand if you were to slide him into a small share of tournaments as he’s the best goal line back on that team.

Devin Singletary

The final player on the DFS Week Four Injury Breakdowns list is Devin Singletary. Singletary practiced for the first time in more than a week on Friday, and is officially designated as questionable for Sunday. Singletary is in a tough spot coming back from a significant hamstring strain and now facing a stingy New England defense. The only upside here is that the Patriots are favored and Singletary is the de facto pass catching back for the Bills. As a result, I’m fading Singletary due to his long lay-off and the matchup.

Those are the DFS Week Four Injury Breakdowns. Make sure to follow me on Twitter @FFStudentDoc for constant injury updates and look out for my final injury outlook on Sunday morning. Remember, this is your week! Good luck.

THANK YOU FOR READING. YOU CAN READ SOME OF MY OTHER WORK AND THOUGHTS ON MY AUTHOR PAGE. FOLLOW Win Daily DFS ON TWITTER @WinDailyDFS. PLEASE CHECK OUT EVERYTHING THAT Win Daily DFS HAS TO OFFER. NEW ARTICLES, STATISTICS AND DATA ARE BEING ADDED CONSTANTLY. ALSO, DO NOT FORGET TO LISTEN TO THE WIN DAILY PODCASTS HERE.

Upgrade to Premium Gold today!

Featured Image via Football Schedule

0 comment
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
NFL

NFL DFS Cash Games – Week One Checkdown

brgrewe@gmail.com
written by brgrewe@gmail.com

Week One of the football season is finally here! It’s time to start building your NFL DFS cash games (also known as 50/50s) lineups and building up your DFS bankroll. For those of you that do not know what a cash game really means, here is an excellent read from Picks.org to help explain the basics of the different styles of DFS tournaments: https://www.picks.org/daily-fantasy-sports/dfs-cash-games-vs-tournaments

Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! Projections, weather reports, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more!

If you’re just now getting into the Daily Fantasy game, I would highly suggest utilizing at least 70% of your bankroll for cash game usage and the other 30% for GPP’s and Qualifiers. The art of building a lineup for NFL DFS cash games is entirely different than a GPP lineup build, so please be aware that these DFS cash game plays are not always recommended for GPP’s.

My articles will be mainly meant for DraftKings, but you can certainly use this information for other DFS websites.

If you have any questions and would like some further help when building your lineups, please do not hesitate to reach out to me directly on Twitter. I’m always available to help DFS players make the most of their investments! Enough talking, let’s get to the plays for Week One NFL DFS cash games.

Quarterbacks

  1. Jacoby Brissett ($4,400) – Brissett is simply way too cheap on all DFS formats (thanks to Andrew Luck’s out-of-nowhere retirement). The Los Angeles Chargers’ defense does not impress me on paper at the moment and Brissett is plenty skilled to start his season on the right track with a healthy wide receiving corps. For his price, I’m 100% lock-buttoning Brissett as my Quarterback in NFL DFS cash games for Week One.
  2. Kirk Cousins ($5,500) – I’m not quite sure why Cousins’ price is so low this week, but if you don’t trust Jacoby Brissett, Kirk Cousins would be my next best cash game QB play. Rostering Jacoby Brissett or Kirk Cousins offers up a lot of salary relief to afford studs at the running back and wide receiver positions. Do we even need to mention how much the Falcons struggled on defense last year? Cousins is at home on Sunday and should have no problem hitting value for cash game players.
  3. Lamar Jackson ($6,000) – Lamar Jackson is the definition of a high-floor DFS Quarterback in his Week One matchup against a very suspect Miami Dolphins’ defense. Once Jackson was named the starting Quarterback in Baltimore last season, he averaged a ridiculous 79 rushing yards per game! Assuming he can pass for at least 180 yards and a touchdown, his legs will make up for the below average passing numbers. Lamar Jackson makes an excellent play for Week One NFL DFS cash games.

Running Backs

  1. Saquon Barkley ($9,000) – arguably the best player in fantasy football… Barkley is incredibly valuable in a DFS cash game at this price in a matchup against the Dallas Cowboys. The Cowboys’ defense is going to be stout all season long, but Barkley’s volume is probably going to be second-to-none in 2019 (thanks to Todd Gurley not being 100% healthy anymore). I don’t expect Barkley to have a monster game in Week One, but he will get 30+ touches, which is really all I need to be confident in rostering Barkley in cash games.
  2. Tony Pollard ($4,500) – just like Brissett at QB, Pollard is just too cheap to avoid when building lineups for your Week One NFL DFS cash games. Assuming Ezekiel Elliott does not sign a contract and suit-up on Sunday, Pollard is going to be a lock-button for me. He allows so much salary relief that you can utilize elsewhere. Lock him in (if Elliott is out)! UPDATE: Ezekiel Elliott has now signed with the Cowboys and is reporting to practice. I do not have a good grasp on how many snaps Elliott will play this week, so I am leaving him off my player pool for NFL DFS cash games this week.
  3. Christian McCaffrey ($8,800) – we all know how much of a stud McCaffrey is. Regardless of the matchup, I project his volume is second to only Saquon Barkley. If you don’t like Barkley as your number one running back, plug-in McCaffrey with confidence (maybe even use both, if you can afford it).
  4. Dalvin Cook ($6,000) – he is simply way too cheap for an elite, three-down starting running back. Dalvin Cook is finally 100% healthy and should be primed up for a big game against the Falcons. Please note, I do not advise using both Kirk Cousins and Dalvin Cook in the same lineup for your NFL DFS cash games (I never like to stack the passing and running game for a 50/50 style of DFS tournament).
  5. Chris Carson ($5,700) – the Seattle Seahawks are currently a 10-point favorite at home this Sunday against the Cincinnati Bengals. That screams 22+ touches for Chris Carson (and probably a touchdown or two). I love getting shares of Chris Carson this week, especially in cash games.
  6. Nick Chubb ($6,400) – similar to Carson, I expect Cleveland running back Nick Chubb, to be quite busy on Sunday at home against the Titans. I do not love his price in comparison to Carson and Cook, so I’m not building many lineups with Nick Chubb in them at the moment. Regardless, he is absolutely a safe play with a high floor and maybe an even higher ceiling. There are a lot of mouths to feed in Cleveland this season, but Chubb should still be their number one option on offense.
  7. Leonard Fournette ($6,100) – Fournette obviously comes with a lot of risk. You never know when he’s going to re-injure that ankle and head to the locker room, but when he’s on the field, he is going to be productive (especially against a Chiefs’ defense that will struggle to get stops). I don’t love Fournette in cash games, but he will be on the field for all three downs and heavily active in both the running and passing games. This is an excellent spot for a 150 all purpose yard game, with a touchdown or two.

Wide Receivers

  1. Chris Godwin ($6,200) – I hate that Chris Godwin is my number one play at the wide receiver position for Week One DFS cash games, but his price is great and the matchup is even better. This San Francisco/Tampa Bay game is going to be a shootout, and Godwin will have a hefty role in that. As long as Jameis Winston is competent, Godwin should be in-store for a solid season opener.
  2. Stefon Diggs ($6,700) – Diggs is better than Adam Thielen, sorry. We have mentioned multiple times that the Atlanta Falcons’ defense is a good one to target in DFS this week, so why not use arguably the best route runner in the NFL, who also happens to be Kirk Cousins’ favorite target in the red-zone? I have Diggs projected for six catches, 110 receiving yards, and a score. I have no problem if you’d rather use Diggs over the chalky Chris Godwin… I may even prefer it. Hamstring injury concerns.
  3. Kenny Golladay ($6,300) – Volume, Volume, Volume. Matt Stafford absolutely peppers Golladay with targets when he needs to pass the ball and with a depleted Arizona secondary, the Lions should pass it often on Sunday. Golladay should line up all over the field and take advantage of a cakewalk matchup. Better yet, Arizona cornerback Patrick Peterson, is starting the season off with a suspension. There is absolutely no reason to fade Golladay in Week One.
  4. Keenan Allen ($7,300) – Similar to Golladay, we all know how much Phil Rivers trusts Keenan Allen. This WR is PPR gold and I have him projected for eight catches for 115 yards. He is an excellent cash game and GPP play this week, and it doesn’t appear that many others in the industry are even considering rostering him this week.
  5. Dede Westbrook ($4,800) – we need to save money again in at least one wide receiver spot. Westbrook is my number one choice for salary savings at the wide receiver position in my lineups for NFL DFS cash games. He has already built excellent chemistry in the preseason with new Quarterback Nick Foles. Assuming this game shoots out, Foles is going to look to Westbrook early and often in hopes that they can keep up with the prolific Kansas City Chiefs’ offense.
  6. Cole Beasley ($3,600) – there is nothing sexy about rostering Cole Beasley in DFS, but he is damn-near free to plug into your cash game lineup. Josh Allen has been targeting Beasley in the middle of the field all preseason, and that should carry into Sunday when the Bills open their season up in New York against the Jets. All you need out of Beasley is five or more catches for 60-75 yards receiving for him to hit value.

Tight Ends

  1. Travis Kelce ($7,100) – I don’t have to say much about Travis Kelce… he offers DFS players the highest floor at the tight end position and the highest ceiling. If you can afford him, lock him in.
  2. George Kittle ($6,100) – get exposure to this Tampa Bay/San Francisco game! The receiving corps for the 49ers is rather banged up right now so Kittle is going to be incredibly active in the passing game in what should be a high-scoring affair on Sunday afternoon. I love getting shares of Kittle this week. I have Kelce projected slightly higher, but for the $1,000 discount, you cannot go wrong with Kittle, who I have projected as the number two tight-end on the slate (and no, I did not forget about Zach Ertz).
  3. Evan Engram ($4,800) – I do not love this play, but someone other than Saquon Barkley has to produce on Sunday… Engram will be that guy. His price is solid, but not great. If you use Saquon, don’t use Engram in your cash game lineup.
  4. Hunter Henry ($3,900) – How is he only $3,900? If you need to pay down at the tight-end position, Hunter Henry is your guy.

Defense/Special Teams

I simply play who I can afford and who I think is in a somewhat positive matchup in regards to acquiring fantasy points. These plays are not in any order of preference, just price (high-to-low).

  • Baltimore Ravens ($3,800)
  • Philadelphia Eagles ($3,600)
  • Dallas Cowboys ($3,500)
  • Cleveland Browns ($3,400)
  • Seattle Seahawks ($3,100)
  • Carolina Panthers & Miami Dolphins ($2,100)

Sample Lineup

QB: Jacoby Brissett

RB: Nick Chubb

RB: Dalvin Cook

WR: Chris Godwin

WR: Kenny Golladay

WR: Dede Westbrook

TE: Travis Kelce

FLEX: Chris Carson

DST: Seattle Seahawks

Keenan Allen Featured Image via kevind810

0 comment
0 FacebookTwitterPinterestEmail
Newer Posts
Older Posts

Subscribe to our newsletter

The best bets and resources to make you more profitable

"*" indicates required fields

    Built with ConvertKit

    Our Company

    At WIN DAILY®, our motto is to “change your game and change your life.” We want to help you win that bet, parlay, and big DFS tournament and have some fun while you do. Our goal is to help you turn your love of sports into a profit center while playing responsibly and enjoying your time with a like-minded community.

    WIN DAILY® RADIO
    Friday’s 8-10pm Est
    Sunday’s 7-9pm EST

    START FREE TRIAL

    ©2024 WIN DAILY®. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.

    This site is 100% for entertainment purposes only and does not involve real money betting. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800 GAMBLER. This service is intended for adult users only.
    Close
    -
    00:00
    00:00

    Queue

    Update Required Flash plugin
    -
    00:00
    00:00