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PGA DFS Picks: Northern Trust at TPC Boston

jason mezrahi
written by jason mezrahi

In this edition of PGA DFS picks, we’re looking for a big payday at the PGA Tour’s Northern Trust Open helping you find some winning teams in DraftKings GPPs!

Sign up NOW for WIN DAILY Premium Gold right here! Projections, wagering info, 24/7 expert chats and more!

PGA DFS Course Notes:

  • Smaller tournament field of 124 Golfers
  • Cut: Top 65 and ties after 36 holes
  • Stacked playoff field
  • The course: TPC Boston
  • Par 71: 7,308 yards – Arnold Palmer design and Gil Hanse/Brad Faxon redesign
  • Penn 4-A Bentgrass Greens (Bentgrass fairways as well)
  • Smaller-than-average greens
    • Favorable weather expected, so no major imbalance in the draw
    • First time Northern Trust is at TPC Boston, so course history should be for Dell Technologies, which has been hosted at this course
  • Focus Stat Categories: Strokes Gained: Approach, Fairways Gained, Par 4s Gained (450-500), Proximity from 200+ yards, Birdie or Better %, SG: OTT, SG: Putting (Bentgrass)

The Picks:

Elite PGA DFS (DK $9,500 and up):

Bryson DeChambeau (DK $11,100) – Longer hitters tend to fare well here, and Bryson actually notched a victory on this course in 2018 at the Dell Technologies. Without too much penal rough to stymie Bryson if he misses fairways with his accurate blasting approach, Bryson – who may be the best putter among the highest priced players as well – makes for the best high-priced GPP play with winning upside.

Rory McIlroy (DK $10,800) – Rory has good course history at TPC Boston, and while he’s playing sub-par golf in comparison to his lofty standards (and the rest of the expensive guys), this should be a comfy place to rebound – as it plays to all his strengths. I may even try to squeeze in a few Rory/Bryson teams with all the capable golfers in the $6,000 to 6,500 range.

Jon Rahm (DK $10,000) – Another top performer with winning upside, Rahm could easily win this thing if he’s firing on all cylinders. Solid ball-striking and a complete short game mean he’s one of my favorite plays in any format.

Also consider: Justin Thomas, Collin Morikawa, Xander Schauffele

Mid-Range PGA DFS (DK $7,600 to $9,400):

Jason Day (DK $9,300) – Day’s ball striking, putting and overall game look like he’s returning to his form from a few years back, and he’s a great play in all formats. A world-class player with a great attitude, he’s bound to be popular – but I just can’t fade him.

Patrick Cantlay (DK $9,200) – Cantlay’s past few tournaments have been marred by poor putting and usually one bad round thrown into the mix. He chekcs all the boxes, so if he can get the putts to roll in, he makes for a great play in single-entry and large-field GPPs.

Patrick Reed $9,000) – He’s definitely going to be popular, so he fits best in cash games – but there’s definitely enough upside to go all-in with him here since he’s striking the ball pretty well.

Tony Finau (DK $8,800) – Finau’s tee-to-green numbers(10th on tour) are excellent this season, and like Bryson, his tendency to mis fairways shouldn’t burn him too badly here. A solid shot at a Top 10 and plenty of winning upside, and one of the only options I really like in the $8-9K range.

Tyrrell Hatton (DK $8,000) – The missed cut at the PGA could keep his ownership low, but we all know how good this guy is. Normally the Englishman in this price range I’m most intrigued by is Matthew Fitzpatrick, but he might struggle here as a first-timer. Hatton is a better ball striker and he finished T12 in 2018 at his TPC Boston debut. At just $8K, he’s going to be hard for me to avoid.

Matthew Wolff (DK $7.900) – The talent and competitiveness of Wolff make him a plausible GPP play with winning upside, but I’d likely stay away from him in cash games, because it’s his first go-round in Boston.

Cameron Champ (DK $7,600) – A few weeks ago, I wouldn’t have considered Champ, but a closer look at his improved play around the greens makes me take notice.

Also consider: Daniel Berger (Cash) Tiger Woods (GPP), Hideki Matsuyama (GPP), Paul Casey, Rickie Fowler, Sungjae Im, Abraham Ancer, Si Woo Kim, Kevin Kisner, Harris English

Value PGA DFS (DK $6,600 to 7,500):

Shane Lowry (DK $7,500) – He feels super risky even with the price drop, but Lowry has the game to finish in the Top 15 or so and continue his playoff dreams. A tough competitor who won’t have to deal with bad weather this week, the Irishman will be among my GPP value plays.

Harold Varner III (DK $7,400) – Varner looks like a much better player every week, and he seems to be getting used to competing against the best. Another guy who is often plagued by one or two bad rounds putting, Varner could be ready to make the jump and stick around for a few playoff weeks.

Doc Redman (DK $7,400) – Redman is rolling lately in the SG: Ball Striking category, and he’s maturing with his short game. There’s clear upside in his game and the mustache seems to be working its magic.

Marc Leishman (DK $7,400) – Leishman plays well in stronger fields and has some recently impressive course history (third place in 2017, T21 in 2018), so he’s a solid GPP wild card.

Joaquin Niemann (DK $7,000) – With more top 10 upside and ball-striking ability than many of the other players in this price range, Niemann is a risky pick but could play well here if his putter doesn’t completely abandon him.

Adam Hadwin (DK $7,200) – Another solid ball-striker, Hadwin will make a few of my Rory/Bryson builds so I can find some value in this $7K range. He’s Canadian, so the switch back to Bentgrass should help.

Bud Cauley (DK $6,600) – Among this group of players who’ve fared poorly in stronger fields or have seen their game evaporate in recent months, Cauley stands out as a confident player who could fare well at this venue.

More value golfers to consider: Matt Kuchar (Cash), Ryan Palmer (Cash), Joel Dahmen, Max Homa (GPP), Emiiano Grillo (GPP) Kevin Na (GPP), Mackenzie Hughes,

Longshot Punts PGA DFS (DK $6,500 and under):

Talor Gooch (DK $6,500) – He’s a birdie maker with some GPP upside, but the competition makes for tougher sledding. Still – he’s one of the safer options in this depressed price range, so he’s a great choice for all kinds of builds.

Sepp Straka (DK $6,300) – Straka is hitting more greens this year and making more birdies. He’s a risky play (and he missed the cut last week) but we’ve seen him step up his game and the switch back to Bentgrass should help his putting.

Additional GPP punts: Rory Sabbatini, Pat Perez, Charley Hoffman, Matt Jones, Matthew NeSmith

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PGA DFS Picks: The Memorial Tournament

jason mezrahi
written by jason mezrahi

In this edition of PGA DFS picks, we’re looking for a big payday at the Memorial Tournament and helping you find some winning teams!

NOTE: The PGA DFS prices are pretty soft in the secondary tier, so it should be easy to build teams that look good and have monster upside. Focus on single entry GPPs and low-price MMEs.

PGA DFS Course Notes:

  • Smaller,much stronger tournament field of 133 golfers (including 48 of the world’s top50 players), but more than normal (usually 120) at the Memorial
  • Secondof two consecutive events being played at Muirfield Village, along with last week’sWorkday Charity Open
  • Firsttime since 1957 the same course will host consecutive tournament events
  • 36-hole Cut: Top 65 and ties play theweekend (about 49%)
  • Thecourse: Muirfield Village
  • 7,456 yards, Par 72 – Jack Nicklaus design
  • Bentgrass Greens
  • Rough will be a little longer than last weekand greens will be faster than last week’s event
  • Wider fairways should still help somelonger hitters
  • Firestone CC and TPC Sawgrass have winnercorrelation
  • BrysonDeChambeau (2018 Memorial winner) back in the field after skipping last week,and Tiger Woods is playing for the first time since February
  • Defending champ: Patrick Cantlay (2019 Memorial:-19)
  • Focus Stat Categories: Strokes Gained: Approach;SG: Ball Striking, Par 4s Gained (450-500), GIR, Bogey Avoidance, Birdie orBetter %, Sand Saves, Proximity (175-200), Scrambling

The Picks:

Elite PGA DFS (DK $9,500 and up):

Bryson DeChambeau (DK $11,100) – If the roughgives him fits, he could struggle, but it’s hard to argue with the success he’shad harnessing his newfound distance. He won here in 2018 and could do itagain.

Dustin Johnson (DK $10,300) – DJ has six top 20s at the Memorial with aT8 last year, and he’s only three weeks removed from an impressive victory atthe Travelers. I’ll be using him as a low-owned GPP plug-n-play.

Collin Morikawa (DK $10,000) – Morikawa spent most of Sunday at Muirfield knocking down flagsticks and ended up walking away a victor in a playoff against Justin Thomas. There’s no way we can fade him here.

Patrick Cantlay (DK 9,800) – If we used plenty of Cantlay last week, there’s no reason we shouldn’t go right back to the well after his T7. He’s well-equipped to finish in the Top 5 this week and should be a leaderboard presence come Sunday.

Victor Hovland (DK $9,500) – A few late mistakes cost Hovland a chance at victory, but he was right in the mix all week long and remains one of the better T2G players in the tournament, leading the field in SG: Off the Tee.

Also consider: Justin Thomas, RoryMcIlroy (GPP), Webb Simpson (Cash)

Mid-Range PGA DFS (DK $7,600 to $9,400):

Jon Rahm (DK $9,300) – Rahm is anabsolute steal at $9,300 given his upside, though form and course fit areconcerns. He works in all formats this week and provides one of the bettervalues in the $9K range.

XanderSchauffele (DK $9,200) – Schauffele and Rahm both provide some salary relief from the toptier while maintaining the same upside, so I’ll have some shares. Xander wasquiet lats week but finished with a respectable T14.

Tiger Woods (DK $9,000) – I probably won’t deploy Tiger in cash games, since there are plenty of safer options at this price point, but I can’t count him out in his search for his record 83rd win, especially without the normal distractions of a gallery.

Rickie Fowler (DK $8,800) – We got a good look at what Rickie can do when his game comes together in the third round at the Workday (66), and he’s trending up. It’s hard to go all-in but mixing in some GPP shares makes sense.

AbrahamAncer (DK $8,500) – Ancer’s form is excellent (T14-2-T11 coming outof the break) and he actually tops the tour in SG: APP. Add in the soaringfigures at the key efficiency proximity range (150-175 yards) and we’ve got alive one.

MatthewFitzpatrick (DK $8,100) – Fitz shook off his MC at the Travelers and made the cut at the Workday,and the week-to-week changes to the course (faster greens, longer rough) shouldhelp his strengths and set him apart as an even more favorable option.

Jason Day (DK $8,000) – Day had his best tournament since February’s fourth-place finish in Pebble Beach, and the price hasn’t yet come up. A classic risk-reward GPP play with Top 5 (and winning) upside.

Matt Kuchar (DK $8,000) – His form is somewhat questionable following a pair of ho-hum finishes (T41-T39) since the uncharacteristic missed cut at the Charles Schwab, but Kuchar is affordable and has had success at Muirfield with a pair of T4s in 2016 and 2017.

Paul Casey (DK $7,900) – Casey is an enormous risk despite still not missing a cut in 2020, but I love him as a low-owned GPP salary saver given his rankings in the WinDaily model.

Also consider: Hideki Matsuyama, DanielBerger, Tony Finau, Joaquin Niemann, Sergio Garcia, Gary Woodland, KevinStreelman, Doc Redman, Ian Poulter

Value PGA DFS (DK $6,600 to 7,500):

Rory Sabbatini (DK $7,500) – Sabbs comes at a huge discount in this loaded field, and while he’s yet to break through here, he’s not a terrible cash game play.

CameronChamp (DK $7,400) – Champ is at the other end of the spectrum, as he has winning GPPupside but shouldn’t be deployed in cash games.

ShaneLowry (DK $7,200) – He’s 2-for-2 at the Memorial and his game fits this venue. I lovethe price and will be using plenty of Lowry this week.

Lucas Glover (DK $7,100) – There’s really a ton of value out there in the $7K range, which makes building teams a lot of fun this week. Glover checks all the boxes this week and comes in sporting excellent form, with four straight Top 25s since the restart.

Matt Wallace (DK $7,000) – Wallace is my sleeper play this week and should maintain low ownership. You won’t have to go overboard to stay ahead of the field, and he’s in good position to make the cut.

Max Homa (DK $6,800) – Homa missed the cut again last week, but he’s at least apologetic. I’ll be using him again in the hops that he can make some putts, as he finished T37 in his Memorial debut in 2019.

Zach Johnson (DK $6,700) – ZJ is just way too cheap given his cut-making upside, though he’s more of a cash game play. I don’t expect him to win, but a Top 25 could be in the cards.

Bud Cauley (DK $6,600) – Cauley has been all over the place here (T9-113-T25-T38 in his last four) and has missed three straight cuts since the Charles Schwab, but I’m using him in a handful of large-field GPPs.

More value golfers forGPPs: Billy Horschel, Adam Hadwin, Corey Conners, Nick Taylor, Maverick McNealy,Sepp Straka, Graeme McDowell, Troy Merritt, Bernd Wiesberger

Longshot Punts PGA DFS (DK $6,500 and under):

Jason Dufner (DK $6,500) – He finished T7 last year and won the Memorial in 2017 – selling points for this enigmatic golfer among the bottom tiers.

Henrik Norlander (DK $6,300) – The stronger field is a tougher test, but Norlander’s recent form justifies using him in stud-scrub builds.

Tyler Duncan (DK $6,300) – I’m not the only one who likes him this week, but Duncan is one of a few solid golfers under $6,500 who could surprise.

Additional punts: Branden Grace, Harry Higgs, Tom Hoge, Andrew Putnam

Make sure to check out more PGA content over at WinDailySports.com/golf and follow us on twitter @WinDailySports! You can ask us questions in our Expert Chat on Discord free for 3 days!

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PGA DFS Picks: Workday Charity Open

jason mezrahi
written by jason mezrahi

In this edition of PGA DFS picks, we’re looking for a big payday at the Workday Charity Open and helping you find some winning teams!

PGA DFS DraftKings pricing is a little soft this week, so it’s pretty easy to put together some stacked teams. Make sure to check out WinDailySports.com for more FREE content, and hop in the Win Daily Sports Discord Chat to talk it out with our pros!

PGA DFS Course Notes:

  • Fulltournament field of 156 golfers, with some bigger names than last week
  • Firstof two consecutive events being played at Muirfield Village, along with nextweek’s Memorial
  • 36-hole Cut: Top 65 and ties play theweekend
  • Thecourse: Muirfield Village
  • 7,456 yards, Par 72 – Jack Nicklaus design
  • Bentgrass Greens
  • A little longer than last time(especially Par 3s and Par 4s), but with slower greens than next week’s event
  • Wider fairways could help some longerhitters
  • Firestone CC and TPC Sawgrass have somewinner correlation
  • BrysonDeChambeau (2018 Memorial winner) NOT in the field
  • Defending champ: Patrick Cantlay (2019 Memorial: -19)
  • Focus Stat Categories: Strokes Gained: Approach;Par 4s Gained (450-500), GIR, Bogey Avoidance, Sand Saves, Proximity (150-175),SG: Around the Green

The Picks:

Elite PGA DFS (DK $9,500 and up):

Justin Thomas (DK $11,100) – Hopefully the week off did him some good, but the MC at the Travelers looms large for a guy this expensive. A risk-reward play in all formats, it truly depends on how much risk you can handle.

Jon Rahm (DK $10,900) – Rahm has the all-around game to make it work here – but he’ll have to limit his desire to overpower the course and take his shots from the fairway – not the long stuff.

Patrick Cantlay (DK 10,600) – He’s the defending champ at the Memorial and thus will be popular – especially coming off a T11 at the Travelers. I’ll try to be ahead of the field, even if that’s a tall order.

Brooks Koepka (DK $10,400) – One of the best GPP plays in the field, he’s always entertaining, even if it’s just taking jabs at Beefy Bryson. Koepka is definitely heating up and this could be the week he flourishes around the greens and notches a win.

Victor Hovland (DK $9,500) – Four straight Top 25s and only three scores in his last 12 rounds in the 70s – he’s a solid cash game option at the bottom of the first tier.

Also consider: Xander Schauffele,Justin Rose (GPP), Hideki Matsuyama

Mid-Range PGA DFS (DK $7,600 to $9,400):

Collin Morikawa (DK $9,200) – Mr. Consistency squeaked by at the Heritage but saw his made cut streak end at the Travelers. With his iron play, the now under-the-radar Morikawa is a near lock to start another one this week.

Rickie Fowler (DK $9,000) – The price continues to remain affordable, but Rickie seems to have some stuff figured out (T12 last week) as he heads into a course where he has a couple of Top 10 finishes and a T14 last season.

Marc Leishman (DK $8,700) – Tops in the field for SG:APP, when Leishman gets hot with the putter, he can post obnoxiously low scores – and he has a good record at Muirfield. The inactivity and poor play since resuming tournament play is a concern, but I’ll trust the models and the course history.

Adam Hadwin (DK $8,200) – The Canadian is coming off a solid performance in Detroit and is another low-risk/solid irons/good scrambler combo player who could adorn the leaderboard come Sunday, Hadwin is worth a look in all formats.

Matthew Fitzpatrick (DK $8,000) – He burned me by missing the cut at the Travelers but my crush on his short game and iron play refuses to yield. The Englishman and former U.S. Amatgeur champ still hasn’t won on the PGA Tour, but he’s come close – and he’ll be a staple in my GPPs builds at this price.

Scottie Scheffler (DK $7,800) – I’m throwing out the first-round 79 in Detroit and focusing on the 65 he fired in round 2. The course fits his strengths and the combination of recency bias and value makes him a prime target for me.

Joel Dahmen (DK $7,700) – The stat models love Joel and he hasn’t missed a cut since January 30 at the Waste Management Open – a stretch that includes six Top 20s in nine starts.

Also consider: Jordan Spieth, JoaquinNiemann, Gary Woodland, Cameron Champ, Corey Conners

Value PGA DFS (DK $6,600 to 7,500):

Maverick McNealy (DK $7,500) – One of the best kept secrets in DFS, McNealy should garner more popularity this week following a T8 at the Rocket Mortgage, where he posted 21 birdies to just four bogey and a DBB. The kid can play.

Mark Hubbard (DK $7,400) – Hubbard keeps improving his form and establishing himself as a solid DFS option, but the price hasn’t caught up yet. Bogey avoidance will be a key stat for him this week.

Cameron Tringale (DK $7,300) – The MC at the Travelers was a letdown but Tringale remains a modest value option with upside and consistency making cuts (12/14 in 2020). If he can block out what the villagers are saying about his clothes, he should be okay.

Max Homa (DK $7,100) – Homa missed the cut at the Travelers, but he’s a good fit here with his ball striking and ability to scramble. Great value play for GPPs, as I believe he’s still massively underpriced.

Bud Cauley (DK $7,100) – Perhaps my favorite overall play this week, Cauley has the necessary chops around the green and is a solid ball-striker who’s popping in the stat models. I might go a little overboard considering the WD at the Travelers was due to Denny McCarthy testing positive, and not because of his play.

Keegan Bradley (DK $7,100) – Keegan’s biggest problem is his nerves, but he played well last week and should be comfortable here in Muirfield Village with the greens running a little slower than usual. An ideal large-field GPP play.

Sam Burns (DK $6,900) – Burns is a big risk, but he’s one of my favorite tournament plays and he’s starting to prove he belongs. I’ll be ahead of the field even if he gets popular.

Adam Long (DK $6,600) – If Long can keep it in the fairway, he’s a dangerous golfer with plenty of upside. The ultimate risk-reward GPP value play.

More value golfers forGPPs: Harold Varner, Rory Sabbatini, Chris Kirk, Troy Merritt, Tom Hoge, SebastianMunoz, Seung-Yul Noh

Longshot Punts PGA DFS (DK $6,500 and under):

Henrik Norlander (DK $6,500) – There’s not a lot of upside once you get this cheap, but Norlander sticks out like a sore thumb with his recent finishes compared to his price. I’ll have plenty of shares and don’t mind a $5 or $10 win bet at 250-1.

Brandon Wu (DK $6,500) – He tested positive for COVID-19 last week but apparently has jumped through the necessary hoops to get in the field this week. He’s 4/4 making cuts in 2020, though he hasn’t played a tourney since the Pebble Beach Pro-Am in early February.

Peter Malnati (DK $6,000) – He finished 17th at the Memorial last year and is coming off a MC after a disappointing second round 74 (following an opening round 66). For $6K, you can’t have it all, but there is some upside.

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PGA DFS Picks: Sentry Tournament of Champions

jason mezrahi
written by jason mezrahi

In this edition of PGA DFS picks, we’re picking apart the field at the Sentry Tournament of Champions and looking for big winners!

PGADFS Course Notes:

  • Tournament field of 34 golfers (winners from 2019)
  • Cut: No-cut event
  • Played at Plantation Course at Kapalua Resort in Hawaii: 7,518 yards, par 73
  • Course was renovated in 2019 by course designers Ben Crenshaw & Bill Coore
  • Greens larger to accommodate more pin locations, fairway bunkers more of an issue on tee shots
  • Focus Stat Categories: Driving Distance, Strokes Gained: Off the Tee, SG: Putting, SG: Approach, Birdie or Better%
  • Past Champions: Xander Schauffele (2019), Dustin Johnson (2018), Justin Thomas (2017) & Jordan Spieth (2016)

The Picks:

Elite PGADFS (DK $9,000 and up):

Jon Rahm (DK $11,400, FD $11,900) – Rahm is the tourney favorite and both a great course fit and strong golfer in all formats. He’s a cash game lock and my favorite to win this week.

Justin Thomas (DK $11,200, FD $11,700) – Thomas is a closerunner-up, and my shares of him will be close to Rahm. There are simply noflaws in his game, he hits it a mile and he’s riding high off the President’sCup win. Lock him in as a pivot to Rahm, unless you’re going studs and scrubs –an option we’ll explore in one of our sample builds.

Dustin Johnson (DK $10,100, FD $11,200) – You’re getting adiscount on DK because of his rough 2019, which included both injury andsubstandard play. DJ’s length will play here – he just needs to roll in someputts and get that old dominant feeling back.

Gary Woodland (DK $9,300, FD $10,400) – Woodland is a sneaky pick this week. He likes the course and he’s at 16-1 odds to win this event, so that’s something to consider. Woodland was playing well in the Hero World Challenge but closed with a one-over-par 73 in the final round to finish T7. He’s certainly got the game for this track.

Also consider: Rickie Fowler, Patrick Cantlay

Mid-RangePGA DFS (DK $7,500 to $8,900):

Cameron Champ (DK $8,200, FD $9,700) – Champ is another bomber who’s a feast-or-famine PGA performer. This week he’s relatively safe to deploy, and his ownership shouldn’t be through the roof since he’s a little pricier than many of the more popular names below him. He finished 11th here last season.

Brendan Todd (DK $8,100, FD $9,300) – Todd had a breakthrough in 2019 with two wins and three Top 10s, though he’s always been known as a guy who can go really, really low. The Pittsburgh native will be a long way from home, but he finished eighth in 2014, he can move it off the tee and the guy can be an absolute demon on the greens. Todd makes for a decent GPP special this week.

Corey Connors (DK $7,800, FD $8,900) – The Canadianhas six top 25s in his last eight starts and had a solid2018-19 season with a win, four top 10s and seven Top 25s overall. His puttingand reasonable price make him one of my core plays in both cash and GPPs.

Matthew Wolff (DK $7,900, FD $9,100) – Wolff might get popular this week, but his raw talent makes him a strong consideration for GPPs. Don’t get distracted by the wonky swing – this young man is an elite ball-striker who’s both long off the tee and a capable putter.

Also consider: Paul Casey, MattKuchar, Joaquin Niemann

Value PGADFS (DK Under $7,500):

J.T. Poston (DK $7,400, FD $8,400) – Hopefully J.T. will be “Poston” some low scores, am I right? The North Carolina native hit his stride in 2019 with a win, three Top 10s and nine Top 25s – finishes that bode well considering his low price.

Sebastian Munoz (DK $7,100, FD $8,300) – I doubt that Munoz will attract much ownership, so he’ll be a staple in my GPPs. The Colombian’s game checks all the boxes and he’s affordably priced on both sites.

Sung Kang (DK $6,600, FD $7,600) – Kang is a crazy bomber who should enjoy this course. I have a feeling he’ll be popular because of the stars and scrubs strategy, so he could be a fade option if you don’t believe in his admittedly bizarre game. Again – he probably won’t win and there’s some fade equity, but I’ll be using him in the 1/5 lineups where I lock in two $10K+ studs on DK.

Lanto Griffin (DK $6,500, FD $7,000) – Another golfer bound to be popular this week as folks desperately search for value, Griffin closed out the year with a couple of poor showings after winning the Houston Open. I think he’s underpriced.

More value golfers for GPPs: Keith Mitchell, Max Homa

The PGA DFSFades:

Xander Schauffele (DK $8,700, FD $10,000) – He won last year, and he’sgoing to be very popular, but Xander’s game has shown some cracks recently. I’mnot picking him this week.

Kevin Kisner (DK $7,700, FD $9,000) – Kisner has a 9th and a 17th here in two tries, but he’s not the stat profile we’re looking for on this course. He also tends to be a popular play because he’s decent against strong fields, so I’m fading him.

Graeme McDowell (DK $7,100, FD $8,900) – He’s a familiar name, but this isn’t the venue for him. I love the guy and his attitude, but it’s best to stay away on courses over 7,500 yards in length.

Also fading these lower-priced guys: Jim Herman, Martin Trainer, Tyler Duncan

PGA DFS — Sample DK GPPlineup (stars and scrubs):

Jon Rahm ($11,400)

JustinThomas ($11,200)

SebastianMunoz ($7,100)

KeithMitchell ($7,000)

SungKang ($6,600)

LantoGriffin ($6,500)

($200left)

PGA DFS – Sample DK GPP lineup #2 (balanced):

JustinThomas ($11,200)

RickieFowler ($9,500)

CameronChamp ($8,200)

J.T.Poston ($7,400)

SebastianMunoz ($7,100)

SungKang ($6,600)

($0left)

PGA DFS – Sample DK GPP lineup #3 (large-field):

DustinJohnson ($10,100)

MattKuchar ($8,400)

BrendanTodd ($8,100)

MatthewWolff ($7,900)

CoreyConnors ($7,800)

LantoGriffin ($6,500)

($1,200left)

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Monkey Knife Fight Picks of the Day – Play these and get 100 Percent Matching Bonus!

Goal: 16.5, Prize: 1.5x

These three (Jon Rahm, Justin Thomas, and Gary Woodland) rank among the top golfers on the tour for making birdie or better, so getting an average of six sub-par holes a piece from them will get us to 18. If you’re really feeling frisky, go for the 2x payout!

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PGA DFS Picks: Mayakoba Golf Classic

jason mezrahi
written by jason mezrahi

In this edition of PGA DFS picks, we’re finding you some prime selections for the Mayakoba Golf Classic in Mexico, especially when it comes to winning GPPs!

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PGADFS Course Notes:

  • Course: El Camaleón Golf Club in Playa del Carmen, Mexico (Par: 71 – Yardage: 6,987 – Grass: Seashore Paspalum)
  • Greg Norman designed this fascinating semi-coastal layout, which features three different ecosystems, including some thicket and jungle in the upper areas, and more swampy wetlands with minimal undulation on the Mexican-Caribbean coastline
  • Cut: The field is at 132 golfers this week with the top 65 and ties playing the weekend.
  • The winning score is typically in the minus-17-to-22 range
  • Previous winners: Matt Kuchar, Pat Perez, Graeme McDowell, John Huh, Mark Wilson, Brian Gay, and Fred Funk.
  • Higher winds could always complicate play and prep, but the course plays to a field average of roughly 70.2 (-0.8 RTP) on the par-71 layout.
  • Focus Stat Categories are Driving Accuracy, SG: Approach, GIR, Bogey Avoidance

The Picks:

Elite PGA DFS (DK $9,000and up):

Matt Kuchar (DK $11,400, FD $11,800) – I doubt El Tucan will be on his bag this year, but Kuchar seems to be ready to defend his title and take his lumps on social media because of last year’s controversy. It’s his season debut, but he’s one of the favorites and will make plenty of my builds.

Tony Finau (DK $10,600, FD $11,500) – Finau is an excellent driver of the golf ball, even with that abbreviated backswing, but sometimes struggles with accuracy – so this is a GPP pick only. If he can keep it in play and make some putts, there’s no reason he can’t win.

Charles Howell, III (DK $9,600, FD $11,000) – Along and accurate hitter, Howell checks all the boxes for this course and iscoming here in decent form. He’s 8-for-10 making the cut at Mayakoba with threetop-10s and another four top-20s and is an impressive 5-for-5 this season withtwo top-10s and another top-20. Fine for both cash and GPP despite the MC lasttime around here.

Abraham Ancer (DK $9,200, FD $10,900) – Ancer is Mexico’s top golf talent, and he would love for this to be his first career win. The driving accuracy is there, and his form is solid, as he placed T4 in his WGC-HSBC Champions debut.

Scottie Scheffler (DK $9,100, FD $10,700) – Scheffler is a top talent who led after an opening 62 before finishing T3 in Bermuda. He’s an excellent ball-striker who hits solid approaches, but I won’t be 100 percent as he’s making his El Camaleón debut.

LantoGriffin (DK $9,000, FD $10,300)– He’s thecurrent FedEx Cup points leader, and he’s finished no worse than a pair of T18sthis season. I worry a bit about his accuracy off the tee and the better fieldshe’ll be encountering, but he’s a GPP play you shouldn’t fade completely.

Also consider: Victor Hovland, Jason Day, Joaquin Niemann, AaronWise, Russell Knox

Mid-Range PGA DFS (DK $7,500to $8,900):

Emiliano Grillo (DK $8,900, FD$10,500) – Myfriends get on my case for playing him too much in the majors, but he’s a popularDFS target for his elite ball-striking. He’s got some good course history withfinishes of T10, T9, and solo 15th in three tries at El Camaleón. Moreof a GPP play, though he could get chalky on DK.

Chez Reavie (DK $8,500, FD $10,000) – The form hasn’t been great, but he’s 4-for-4 here with a 4th and a 14th, so I’m buying his skillset of accuracy and precision over power and loading up in GPPs. Plus, he’s a personal favorite and a cool who likes to tell gambling stories about Phil.

Pat Perez (DK $8,100, FD $9,600)– Helikes the course, as one of his three career wins came here when he triumphed in2016 by two strokes over Gary Woodland at 21-under, featuring a third-round 62.Mix in three other top 20s at El Camaleón (in seven total starts). A recent solo thirdat the Shriners and an affinity for Paspalum (he won at TPC Kuala Lumpur whenit was Paspalum), and you’ve got yourself an option.

Brian Gay (DK $7,900, FD $9,400) – He was excellent in Bermuda with a T3 – his third top 25 of the new season – and this is where he had his first win in 2008. Overall, he’s 9-for-9 here with four top-25s, and I just can’t fade the guy despite him being a chalky pick.

Brice Garnett (DK $7,600, FD$9,300) – The veteran ballstriker has a great record here (he’s 4-for-4 since 2014 with three top 10s, aT25 and a scoring average of 67.81) and he’s won on Paspalum at the CoralesPuntacana Resort & Club Championship in 2018. I like the discount on DK andwill be using him in a handful of builds.

Harry Higgs (DK $7,500, FD $9,000) – The exciting young rookie got close at Bermuda, sharing the 36-hole lead and sitting by himself at the top of the 54-hole before finishing solo second, possibly because of too much napping. There’s a lot of reasons to roster him this week, his affinity for coastal tracks coming in along with solid form and upside.

Also consider: Scott Piercy, Harold Varner III,Harris English, Keegan Bradley, Carlos Ortiz

Value PGA DFS (DK Under $7,500):

Ryan Armour (DK $7,200, FD $8,800) – A short hitter but one of the most accurate off the tee on tour, Armour hits fairways and finished solo 4th as a rookie here in 2007. Since then, he’s played well here, with a T21 last year, and he arrives in good form with a T23 in Houston and a T8 in Bermuda. The price is fair and Armour is a great course fit for cash or GPP.

J.J. Spaun (DK $6,700, FD $8,300) – Despite his solid course history, I don’t know if Spaun will be super popular this week because he usually isn’t very highly owned. In his first appearance as a rookie in 2016, he finished T28, and he’s added a T14 and a T3 since them posting a scoring average over his 12 rounds of 67.75. His form is poor, but this course can be an elixir for the wayward.

Calum Hill (DK $6,600, FD $8,100) – There’s plenty tolike about this young Scottish lad, who finished 2nd in the Road to Mallorcastandings that rank Euro Tour hopefuls. The 25-year-old’s game worked out well onthe Euro Tour with three top 30s in each of his last three starts. The pricemakes him a solid value option in a week without too many of them.

Si Woo Kim (DK $7,400, FD $9,200) – Kim is 3-for-3 here with a T17 in 2015, a third place in 2017, and T26 (with Chez Reavie) last season. He hasn’t flashed much brilliance this season, but I like this layout as a springboard to some better form.

Brendan Todd (DK $7,200, FD $8,500) – Todd won at Bermuda and has an excellent record here. He’ll be chalky value pick because of his recent win, but I’ll have some shares given his penchant for low rounds. Let’s just hope he makes the cut!

Sepp Straka (DK $6,800, FD $8,000) – I’ve fared well using Straka in DFS and his price remains relatively low. He’s making his debut at his event, but that hasn’t stopped folks before. Straka is accurate off the tee and has strong SG: T2G numbers, so I’ll give him a look at this price point.

More value golfers for GPPs:  Patton Kizzire, Brian Stuard,Martin Laird, Xinjun Zhang, Scott Brown, C.T. Pan

The PGA DFS Fades:

Danny Lee (DK $8,300, FD $9,800) – Lee could popular this week since he finished second here last year and nabbed a second-place finish at the CJ CUP, so I’m not going to castigate DFS fans who check out game logs and course history – heck, I do it myself. I may have one or two shares of the Korean-born New Zealander in GPPs, but I’ll definitely be underweight on the field; Lee is an inconsistent [player who misses a lot of cuts and missed cut equity says that if he’s chalky, it might help to fade him.

Cameron Champ (DK $8,700, FD $10,000) – An incredibly long hitter but one who’s not particularly accurate off the tee, his game isn’t suited well for the layout, and the price is still too high for me to use. Sorry, Champ.

Spades’ Fade of the Week:

Billy Horschel (DK $10,200, FD$11,300) – “He performs better as asleeper than a top play, and when you really need him to play well,he lets you down.” – Mark “Spades”Spada

Spades is really mellowing out with his rhetoric! I expected a lot of nasty remarks, but I agree with what he’s saying. Add in the fact that Billy Ho is the fifth most expensive player in the field on both sites and listed as No. 1 on the PGA Tour’s power rankings this week, and we have a fade I can get behind! I’ve had Horschel burn me multiple times when he’s getting lots of chalky action, and when I have no shares, he seems to explode. I’ll commit to exactly ONE lineup with Horschel to stay underweight and that’ll be it.

PGA DFS — Sample DK GPP lineup:

Abraham Ancer ($9,200)

Scottie Scheffler($9,100)

Emiliano Grillo($8,900)

Chez Reavie($8,500)

Si Woo Kim($7,400)

Sepp Straka($6,800)

PGA DFS – Sample DK GPP lineup #2:

Jason Day ($11,000)

Lanto Griffin($9,000)

Brian Gay($7,900)

Harry Higgs($7,500)

Brendan Todd($7,200)

Ryan Armour($7,200)

PGA DFS – Sample DK GPP lineup #3:

Charles HowellIII ($9,600)

Aaron Wise ($9,400)

Emiliano Grillo($8,900)

Harold VarnerIII ($7,900)

Xinjun Zhang($7,300)

Calum Hill($6,600)

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PGA DFS Picks: The Houston Open

jason mezrahi
written by jason mezrahi

In this edition of PGA DFS picks, I’m looking at golfers from all the price ranges in the Houston Open to find the right mix and get you six golfers to make the cut and win you some green on Sunday!

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Quick Course Notes:

  • The Houston open has returned (in October) to the PGA Tour, but the schedule change has eliminated a lot of the bigger names from this event. We do have Henrik Stenson in the field, and he’s the favorite.
  • It’s hosted by the Tournament Course at the Golf Club of Houston – which has some penalizing rough and Bermuda greens.
  • No major weather issues this week.
  • Large field (144 golfers) with cut line at Top 65 and ties – so having 6/6 will be a challenge.

The Picks:

Elite PGA DFS

Russell Henley (DK $10,100, FD $10,500) – Henley is a course horse of the highest order, with 5/5 cuts in the past five years. He’s also made 7/7 cuts since the John Deere Classic. Hopefully he’s not stumped by the longer rough and climate change from spring.

Daniel Berger (DK $10,400, FD $11,000) – The Floridian has lots of great finishes in Houston and is coming off a T18 at the Shriners. A complete golfer without any major flaws who loves the grainy Bermuda.

Pat Perez (DK $9,700, FD $10,600) – Perez is a little expensive for my liking but that’s not enough to get me to fade him in GPPs. He’s a fan of Bermuda, has a T11 in his only appearance here and is coming off a solo 3rd finish in Las Vegas at the Shriners.

Sebastian Munoz (DK $9,400, FD $10,200) – Munoz went to college at North Texas and he might not draw very high ownership after missing the cut at the Shriner’s in Vegas. But he won at Sanderson Farms a few weeks ago and finished 33rd at the Safeway. It’s a good week and location for a Top 10 rebound for Munoz.

Mid-Range PGA DFS

Kyle Stanley (DK $9,200, FD $10,100) – Stanley is 3/3 in cuts at this event and is a top-notch ball striker who shouldn’t be flummoxed by the date change or the longer rough. He finished 8th here in 2017.

Sam Ryder (DK $8.800, FD $9,100) – Ryder is a Stetson alum who finished in fifth place finish here as a rookie in 2018, when he had been struggling. Hes got a win under his belt, he clearly likes the venue and he just finished T18 at the Shriners after a couple of missed cuts to start the season.

Bronson Burgoon (DK $8,400, FD $8,800) – Burgoon went to Texas A&M and finished 24th here last season in his debut appearance. He’s a streaky player who can make a lot of birdies, and he’s perfect as a mix-in for GPPs.

Beau Hossler (DK $8,300, FD $9,600) – Another Texas (Longhorn) golfer with solid finishes here (2/2: 39th in 2017; 2nd in 2018), Hossler’s form is decent, his pricing is fair and he’s an exceptional putter – the number one thing I look for in DFS after ball-striking and the correlative Strokes Gained stats.

Value PGA DFS

Robbie Shelton (DK $7,900, $9,300) – The youngster is off to a good start this season and has a good track record on bermuda. He’s a perfect mid-range value option but there’s some risk associated with his ball-striking and lack of experience at this venue.

Brian Gay (DK $7,600, FD $9,100) – He’s my buddy Mark Spada’s favorite under-the-radar DFS golf play and he’s been hotter than a pistol recently. He’s trending up since the start of the season but has thus far just been palatable at the Golf Club of Houston: 3/3 with his best finish as a T26 in 2009. Gay finished 43rd in 2014, his last time here.

Michael Thompson (DK $7,300, FD $8,700) – Thompson loves GC of Houston and is 4/4 in cuts. He’s finished 14, 12 in his last two times here.

Sepp Straka (DK $7,100, $8,300) – Straka is my wild card, and he’s not on many of the “golfers to watch” lists this week because he prefers poa annua greens to bermuda. He’s also making his tournament debut here at GC of Houston and has yet to make a cut this season. But there’s just so much promise to this young Austrian’s game that I’ll mix him into a few lineups at what promises to be very low ownership.

Five more GPP options: Keegan Bradley (DK $9,000, FD $9,800), Luke List (DK $8,500, FD $9,700), Lanto Griffin (DK $8,000, FD $9,500), Richy Werenski (DK $7,700, FD $9,000), Robert Garrigus (DK $6,200, FD $7,000)

The Fades:

Brian Harman (DK $10,600, FD $10,900) – His course record is bad, his price is too high, and his ownership will be high given his current form. No thanks.

Russell Knox (DK $9,200, $10,300) – Knox makes for a great GPP play in certain venues, but he’s expensive, he missed the cut in his only appearance here last season and his T48 at the Shriner’s doesn’t inspire confidence.

Spades’ Fade of the Week:

Cameron Champ (DK $10,800, FD $11,100) – “He shouldn’t be second in price and he has too many bad rounds.” – Mark “Spades” Spada 

I couldn’t agree more, Spades. Plus, this big hitter will most definitely be finding some of the extra-long rough and he’s not known as a great scrambler.

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