baseball

Happy Friday folks!We’re getting to the end of our condensed MLB season but we still have a little more fun left tonight as I help you navigate a nine game slate with some stud arms and some favorable weather games, which if you have read my articles before you know that in the era of “launch angle” I lean into that a bit more that some folks do. If you’re interested in the physics behind that feel free to reach out on our discord page or find me on Twitter using the handle @stoweby. I am already running a bit behind today so I won’t waste any more time, here is my FanDuel Main Slate Breakdown For 9.25

WinDaily Gold is the key to your DFS success and has yielded over $2,500,000 in winnings for our subscribers. Now, thanks to our friends over at Monkey Knife Fight, you can get the gold for three months simply by making your first deposit on monkeyknifefight.com. To claim your FREE WinDaily Gold membership for three months, simply use promo code WINDAILY when making your deposit. 
And for a limited time, Monkey Knife Fight is sweetening the deal with a 100% match bonus up to $50. Click on the link below to learn more.

FanDuel Main Slate Breakdown for 9.25 Pitching:

Carlos Carrasco, Indians, 10.8K:

I usually like to start with my preferred cash arm and I don’t think we need to look any further than Carlos Carraso against the Pirates. With an implied run total of 2.9 and a history of terrible offensive output there isn’t a safer option on the board. They are bottom three in every single offensive category on the season with the exception of strikeouts where the sit right smack in the middle. Carrasco has given us no less than 40 FD points in four of his last five with the only dud against the Cubs on the 15th and even then we got 28 FD points. My only concern is whether or not managers will scale back pitch counts at the end of the season to make sure their rotations are ready for the playoffs so I’ll keep an eye on that leading to first pitch.

Chris Bassitt, Athletics, 8.6K:

In another cash spot if you need to pay down tonight I’m taking a look at Bassitt against the Mariners. He’s been on a tear recently scoring 43, 49, and 51 FD points respectively in each of his last three starts and his price hasn’t adjusted in the same way you see from many others for some reason. Seattle is much like Pittsburgh in that you can pick any offensive category and you will see them near the bottom of the list in all of them. Home Runs (56, 5th worst), OBP (.310, 5th worst), and Slugging (.371, 3rd worst) are just a few that I can reference but you get the idea. Vegas seems to agree with a 3.3 IRT and Bassitt has great splits this season against RHB which the Mariners are running out six of tonight so look for him to be a bit chalky but also safe for anyone paying cash. I still may run him in GPP’s due to the recent upside as well so don’t count that out.

Jose Urquidy, Astros, 6.8K:

Now for my GPP target, I have a feeling we’re going to be seeing a very top heavy approach to pitching tonight with all of the big arms going. Let’s say what I said earlier happens and many of the pitchers up top end up having their pitch count limited a bit, not much, lets say 85 pitches instead of 100 just to be safe and to get ready for the playoffs. Urquidy has been getting stretched out in the opposite direction since entering the rotation pitching no less than 6 innings in his last three starts. During that run we also have a seven inning, seven K, one earned outing against these same Rangers 10 days ago and like my above two arms the Rangers rank in the bottom three of all offensive categories and the are even worse in terms of strikeouts sitting at seventh with 515 which gives Jose a much need boost to his K-Rate on FanDuel where the value is greater.

FanDuel Main Slate Breakdown for 9.25 Stacks and Bats:

Braves:

Let’s start with the highest implied total of the night. I think the Braves are going to be the overwhelming favorite tonight in terms of stacks and for good reason. Chris Mazza does not look like he belongs in the majors right now. He has given up 15 earned and 13 walks in 25 innings of work over 8 outings. Add favorable weather conditions and a Braves lineup that is clicking at the right time and it will likely get ugly in a hurry. All of the Braves are in play here but the ones who stand out are Travis d’Arnaud, Marcell Ozuna, Ronald Acuna Jr., Freddie Freeman, and Ozzie Albies by the numbers. But you can really roll with whatever stack you can afford here. The Braves have gone off top to bottom on several occasions this season, especially over the last couple of weeks.

Yankees:

Another pretty chalky lineup is non other than Yankees. Sandy Alcatrana has been a pretty serviceable pitcher for the Marlins this season goin at least six innings in 5-6 games and only allowing one earned in 4-6 starts. But the Yankees lineup is healthy and loaded top to bottom with guys that can end your night in a hurry. I prefer the top of the order for obvious reasons with guys like DJ LeMahieu, Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton, and Luke Voit, but the entire order is in play much like the Braves above.

Royals:

With my first two stacks being so chalky I need to go a little more under the radar here and I like what the Royals are bringing to the table tonight. with an implied run total of 4.7, hitting against a very up and down Spencer Turnbull, and the best weather conditions of the night (winds out to right at over 10mph) I like the value they provide. Salvador Perez has been dominant as of late and I will gladly play him as a catcher even though I typically avoid them on FanDuel. He’s had five HR’s in his last seven games and two day with over 50 FD points in that same stretch and two others of 22 and 28 respectively. Whit Merrifield, Adelberto Mondesi, Jorge Soler, and Franchy Cordero all grade out pretty well against Turnbull and can easily take advantage of the heavy winds tonight in KC.

Others to consider: Always Dodgers, Twins, Athletics

Favorite Pitcher:

Cash: Carlos Carrasco

GPP: Jose Urquidy

Favorite Stack: Braves

Favorite Chalk Player: Ronald Acuna Jr.

Favorite Low Owned Player: Adam Duvall

Salary Saver: Franchy Cordero

Home Run Call: Salvador Perez

Thanks for taking the time to look through my Win Daily Sports FanDuel main slate breakdown for 9.25 . Looking forward to seeing some green screens this evening. Any questions about the breakdown, I will be available all day in the WinDaily Discord chat. Don’t forget to subscribe to the WinDaily Youtube channel and follow @WinDailySports on Twitter to stay current and up to date on all of our fresh new content!

Happy Friday folks! So did everyone run to the store and grab your kites? You’re going to see a very common theme for me today in this 12 game slate and that is targeting good players in positive weather conditions, specifically wind. Most of the games today are going to have winds between 10-15 miles an hour and we are going to take advantage of the extra benefit that provides us. I am already running a bit behind today so I won’t waste any time, here is my FanDuel Main Slate Breakdown For 9.18

WinDaily Gold is the key to your DFS success and has yielded over $2,500,000 in winnings for our subscribers. Now, thanks to our friends over at Monkey Knife Fight, you can get the gold for three months simply by making your first deposit on monkeyknifefight.com. To claim your FREE WinDaily Gold membership for three months, simply use promo code WINDAILY when making your deposit. 
And for a limited time, Monkey Knife Fight is sweetening the deal with a 100% match bonus up to $50. Click on the link below to learn more.

Tonight, we have an abundance of bats in a 12 game slate so you can likely choose an option and feel decent about ownership tonight. In terms of pitching I’ve been pretty successful when taking weather into consideration this season. Not that it makes it harder to make contact or anything, but in this day and age where everyone spends their off-seasons learning how to increase their launch angle it makes negative wind conditions more important than ever before. We’re in the era of the long ball and that provides us an extra leverage point that not everyone will be looking at.

FanDuel Main Slate Breakdown for 9.18 Pitching:

Game Note: On days like today I can not stress the science behind the increased launch angle and the effects of wind. I know plenty of you have heard it from myself and other writers but every 5 mph increases or in decreases fly ball distance by around 20 feet.

Kyle Hendricks, Cubs, 9.3K:

The first guy on my list tonight for a number of reasons is Kyle Henricks. He’s been extremely consistent giving you at least 40 FD point in each of his last three outings and he has upside against strikeout prone teams such as Twins as evidenced by a 64 point outing against the Brewers where he threw a complete game shutout with 9 K’s. We also have some of the best conditions of the night with sustained winds blown in at no less than 10 mph with some of the most notorious launch angle guys in the MLB. I really like him for my cash arm today.

Steven Matz, Mets 5.9K

This one is not for the faint of heart as Matz has looked terrible in the majority of his outings with the only bright spot being against these same Braves in his season debut. His metrics however match up perfectly with the Bravos sporting a 23% K-rate against righties with Freeman and Albies being the only two lefties in the lineup and splits over the last two seasons that present overall better numbers against opposite handed bats. While the Braves can score in bunches they can also strike out the same way sitting 5th in the majors with 466 strikeouts. Once again conditions provide extra protection with winds blowing in at almost 15 mph for the duration of the game negating the long ball.

Tyler Glasnow, Rays, 10.1K

Tyler has been a very up and down story this season. One day he is giving up five earned in four innings against Boston and next thing you know he is striking out 13 in seven innings against the Orioles. It drives you nuts but it also makes him a great GPP play in the right conditions which I think we have tonight. If people are just staring at the average points today I think most will go to Zach Plesac at just 300 more against the Tigers and for us that’s fine. Baltimore is not the pushover that they used to be sitting right around league average in most offensive categories but there is not a single bat who matches up well against Glasnow. As a team, against power arms the have a .210 avg and .373 slugging which is going to be a problem as almost 60% on Tyler’s pitches are four seam fastballs in the high 90’s. His fly ball rate is a touch high but not out of control at 35%, but once again continuing my theme of the day we have wind blowing in hard from right around 13 mph negating the fly ball risk.

FanDuel Main Slate Breakdown for 9.18 Stacks and Bats:

Dodgers:

I know that we flippantly have a habit of saying “always Dodgers”, and for good reason. They are a threat to go off on any evening but tonight the odds are stacked in favor of this result as we have a perfect storm. We’re in Colorado, wind blowing out to right field at around 10 mph, and an opposing pitcher in Ryan Castellani who is near the bottom in every measurable category that we look at for pitching. Vegas to this point is in agreement with a mammoth 7.5 implied run total. Instead of listing the names individually I’m just going to say that 1-9 is in play tonight. It’s just a matter of who you can afford to play.

Rockies:

Right to the other side of this contest the Rockies are similarly in a fantastic spot to make this game look like an NFL total when it is all over with, Mitch White has pitched a whopping one inning in the bigs and his minor league stats are….well….underwhelming. In 16 appearances last year in AAA he allowed 73 hits, 13 of which were HR’s, and 24 walks in 63 innings, for an ERA of 6.50. The normal guys, Trevor Story, Nolan Arenado, and Charlie Blackmon are firmly in play if you can afford them and I personally like the idea of using a wraparound stack in this instance with a Ryan McMahon, Tony Wolters, or whoever ends up at the bottom of the order tonight in a GPP lineup.

Athletics:

There are a ton of chalk plays tonight so I wanted to give you something a little different and the Athletics match up very well against the Giants Logan Webb. He’s been successful with keeping his fly ball rate down (26.7%) but with his primary pitches being a 4-seamer and change-up with his sinker being his least utilized pitch I don’t think that’s telling the whole story. He has some very interesting splits where right handed bats fare much better as well giving up a .306 BA, .510 SLG, and .892 OPS in two seasons. That puts guys like Marcus Semien, Mark Canha, and Robbie Grossman and solid options. But don’t be shy about using Matt Olsen and Sean Murphy also as their individual metrics skew favorably tonight. We also have some nice weather conditions with 10 MPH winds blowing out to left center.

Others to consider: Yankees, I would have written them up as well but what good does writing the three chalkiest plays do for you guys in GPP’s?

Bonus Stack: With two of my three arms being on the more expensive side I felt like you guys needed more cheaper and possibly under the radar stacks with the monster totals we have going tonight. The Rangers side of the Rangers/Angels fit the bill. The Angels Jaime Berria does not look like a competent arm and he is especially bad against right handed bats. In fact he has some of the worst numbers I’ve seen in the last two seasons in any split among ANY starting pitchers. 51% fly ball, 42% hard hit and a .349 ISO against righties. He’s a finesse pitcher who lives up in the zone which is a terrible combination. That means guys like Leody Taveras, Nick Solak, and Anderson Tejeda are dirt cheap options to look at and although FanDuel says Jimmy Hergert is starting for the Rangers he is merely the “opener”. Wes Benjamin will be the left handed arm doing the bulk of the work and aside from Anthony Rendon the Angels have looked awful against lefties, even Trout this season (.227 avg, .386 slugging in 2020 in 54 plate appearances) has looked bad with a team split of .234 average and .411 slugging in 651 plate appearances. So apart from the one off I’d avoid tonight.

Favorite Pitcher:

Cash: Kyle Hendricks

GPP: Depends on if you need the savings. If paying up for bats Matz, if not Glasnow

Favorite Stack: Dodgers (Chalk), Athletics (lower owned)

Favorite Chalk Player: Corey Seager

Favorite Low Owned Player: Mark Canha

Salary Saver: Tony Wolters

Home Run Call: Can I just say Dodgers???? If Not Cody Bellinger

Thanks for taking the time to look through my Win Daily Sports FanDuel main slate breakdown for 9.18 . Looking forward to seeing some green screens this evening. Any questions about the breakdown, I will be available all day in the WinDaily Discord chat. Don’t forget to subscribe to the WinDaily Youtube channel and follow @WinDailySports on Twitter to stay current and up to date on all of our fresh new content!

Before I go into anything today I just wanted to take a brief moment to remember what today is. I know we have many folks on the staff from the New York area and the events personally shaped the rest of my life as I enlisted following the events of 9/11 at 17 years old and spent almost 10 years in active service. The phrase “We will never forget” gets said almost as a reaction at this point but there won’t be a day that goes by where I do not remember the impact that it had on myself and those around the world.

Well folks, after many painstaking months of wondering if it would actually happen, here we are in this strange place that only 2020 could give us. NBA, NHL, MLB, and NFL all in full swing at the same time. All of us on the Win Daily team are scrambling all over to make sure that we have all of your content needs covered. You know what though, we wouldn’t have it any other way. In addition to covering all of our typical DFS and seasonal content we are going to be providing full articles breaking down the props world with our guys over at Monkey Knife Fight.

WinDaily Gold is the key to your DFS success and has yielded over $2,500,000 in winnings for our subscribers. Now, thanks to our friends over at Monkey Knife Fight, you can get the gold for three months simply by making your first deposit on monkeyknifefight.com. To claim your FREE WinDaily Gold membership for three months, simply use promo code WINDAILY when making your deposit. 
And for a limited time, Monkey Knife Fight is sweetening the deal with a 100% match bonus up to $50. Click on the link below to learn more in time for my MKF article for Sunday’s NFL Kickoff.

Tonight, at first glance we have a ton of ace pitching to choose and a vast selections of stacks with implied totals of over five runs (six on the main slate so far). While it seems daunting we’ll be able to reduce the pitching a good deal for you today and whittle down your stack selections to something a bit more manageable. Lets not waste anymore time and get into my FanDuel Main Slate Breakdown for 9.11

FanDuel Main Slate Breakdown for 9.11 Pitching:

Lucas Giolito, White Sox, 10.8K:

This seems almost to good to be true. An ace arm, against arguably the worst offense in the league, at home, with the wind blowing in from right at about 10mph. I very well may end up 100 percent Lucas today. I don’t really care what his price is. I’m going to keep this very simple. He struck out 13 in seven innings for 70 FanDuel points in his last contest against the Tigers and now he gets a boost from the wind. Don’t get cute today, especially in cash. You’ll regret it.

Luis Castillo, Reds, 9.1K

We all know that Castillo is a fantastic talent, but he can get a bit wild at times limiting how deeply he can get into games but even with the control issues he’s a strikeout machine. In five of his eight starts he has struck out at least 7. The reason I like him is that the Cardinals have struck out less than anyone in the league right now which I think will give people a bit of pause when using him on FanDuel where strikeouts are more important. But what they may not notice is that the Cards have over 150 less plate appearances than any other team due to Covid.

I know I’m limited on pitching today but I’m really going nowhere else. I feel extremely confident about both of these guys.

FanDuel Main Slate Breakdown for 9.11 Stacks and Bats:

Rockies:

It is extremely difficult to ignore an implied run total of 6.5. Vegas is not really in the habit of putting out a number like this unless they are sure that it will be an offensive explosion. The only rub here is that unless you do some serious bargain hunting you’ll have to take an approach where you stack the lower part of the lineup. Trevor Story, Nolan Arenado, and Charlie Blackmon all obviously profile well with wOBA’s of over .370 and hard hit rates of around 40% over the last 2 seasons if you can afford them but Matt Kemp, Kevin Pillar, and Ryan McMahon would make for a solid bottom of the rotation stack against a pitcher who allows a 50% hard hit rate against both left and right handed bats as well as fly ball rates of over 40%.

Brewers:

Hey it is important to maintain traditions. Happy Lester day everyone. There is a reason that we do it. Even when his outing ends well, it never makes any sense statistically. 43% hard hit rate, 41% fly ball rate, 12.1% barrel rate, and swinging strike rate of 6.5%. I legitimately have no issue with the bats top to bottom but guys like Jedd Gyorko, Christian Yelich, and Avisail Garcia especially draw my attention.

Royals:

Love this play for your salary relief tonight so that you can pay up for a stud pitcher *cough* Giolito *cough*. To put it gently, Steven Brault is…well struggling. Especially against right handed bats. In 2019 he was giving up and OPS of nearly .830 to righties bats and nearly .900 in away games. Guess what the Royals have a lot of in today’s home game? Whit Merrifield, Hunter Dozier, Maikel Franco, Ryan McBroom, and even Edward Olivares match up pretty well from a statistical standpoint. This may allow you some room to even fit the big Colorado bats.

Others to consider: Always Dodgers (I know they aren’t playing)

Favorite Pitcher:

Cash: Lucas Giolito

GPP: Lucas Giolito…..Seriously….Why would you go anywhere else? Fine have it your way. Luis Castillo

Favorite Stack: Rockies

Favorite Chalk Player: Charlie Blackmon

Favorite Low Owned Player: Hunter Dozier

Salary Saver: Ryan McBroom

Home Run Call: Jedd Gyorko

Thanks for taking the time to look through my Win Daily Sports FanDuel main slate breakdown for 9.11 . Looking forward to seeing some green screens this evening. Any questions about the breakdown, I will be available all day in the WinDaily Discord chat. Don’t forget to subscribe to the WinDaily Youtube channel and follow @WinDailySports on Twitter to stay current and up to date on all of our fresh new content!

Happy Friday folks! We made it through another week. As has been the trend for me lately there are a number of stack worthy games and a combination of decent pitchers in mediocre/bad spots or mediocre/bad pitchers in good spots. However I do think I’ve found a few pitching targets in each price point to tailor to your respective builds. If you are new here welcome to the Win Daily family and enjoy my Fanduel Main Slate Breakdown for 9.4.

FanDuel Main Slate Breakdown for 9.4 Pitching:

Yu Darvish, Cubs, 11.4K:

If you can afford the price tag he is worth a long look tonight. I was talking about it at the beginning of the season on discord that he was going to be over 10K in no time and that it looked like he fixed his issues in the second half of last season and clearly that has carried over. He’s back to his Cy-Young form and he looks largely un-hittable right now. He’s put up more than 50 FD points in three of his last four including a 61 point outing against the Brewers and 58 versus the White Sox. I have no reason to think that the Cardinals are going to do anything to slow down his pace tonight. Park conditions for Yu are negative tonight so if you were to make an argument besides price you can in that regard but that’s about it.

Kyle Cody, Rangers, 5.7K:

Do not expect a monster performance here as it looks like best case scenario he gets four innings in his first start tonight but if you are loading up with premium bats Cody is not a terrible option. Seattle is far from being menacing offensively and Kyle currently has a 43 percent whiff rate on the season. Best case scenario today is around 25 points for him so have tempered expectations but he is capable and can provide you much needed salary to pay up elsewhere.

Corbin Burnes, Brewers, 7.6K:

I was trying to find a justification for several other guys tonight but I just kept going back to Burnes for my third choice. Everything is pointing towards him starting to figure it out and Cleveland, while in first in their division, still have games where the struggle tremendously offensively. They strike out at an almost 24 percent clip and Corbin has a K-rate of well over 30 percent. If he can keep his walks down he has an outside chance of being the top overall play tonight.

FanDuel Main Slate Breakdown for 9.4 Stacks and Bats:

White Sox:

We have reached a pretty good point where we can start relying on this season’s data a bit more confidently and with four games in the books against the Royals we know one thing. The White Sox are going to produce. They have scored no less than five runs in each game and now they have recent exposure to Royals pitcher Brady Singer who gave up three earned in five innings. I don’t think there is a ton of need to give this audience a bunch of stats on these guys. If you are a Win Daily subscriber you have been hearing us talk White Sox for the entire season.

Cash: Yoan Moncada, Jose Abreu, Luis Robert, Eloy Jimenez, Yasmani Grandal GPP: Tim Anderson, Edwin Encarnacion

Padres:

I’m all over the right handed bats for the Padres today. Manny Machado, Fernando Tatis Jr, Will Myers, and Austin Nola all profile extremely well across the board and Luzardos splits against right handed bats do not work in his favor. His 41 percent hard hit rate and 29 percent line drive rate with the favorable park conditions tonight leads me to beleive that we’re going to have a decent amount of production from the Padres tonight.

All formats: Manny Machado, Fernando Tatis Jr, Will Myers, Austin Nola

Giants:

I’m hoping the Giants will go largely unnoticed tonight. They’ve played the Diamondbacks five times, have scored between 4-6 runs and won each of the five contests. Additionally the adjustment to the park this season has turned Oracle park into a much friendlier hitters park with the added benefit of 10 mph wind blowing out to center field tonight. Brandon Belt,
Mike Yastrzemski, and Alex Dickerson match up particularly well with ISO’s over .270 and pitcher with a 40 percent fly ball rate and 38 percent hard hit rate over the last two seasons.

Cash:Brandon Belt, Mike Yastrzemski, Alex Dickerson GPP: Evan Longoria, Wilmer Flores

Others to consider: Always Dodgers, Mets, Phillies

Favorite Pitcher:

Cash: Yu Darvish

GPP: Corbin Burnes

Favorite Stack: White Sox

Favorite Chalk Player: Jose Abreu

Favorite Low Owned Player: Will Myers

Salary Saver: Alex Dickerson/Austin Nola

Home Run Call: Mike Yastrzemski

Thrive Fantasy Selections:

Using the information above, you can even make some money on Thrive Fantasy! Check them out and use promo code “windaily” when you sign up to receive a deposit match up to $250. We’re also giving you 3 MONTHS FREE to our GOLD Membership, so go make some money! Learn how to play here on our quick overview.

Thanks for taking the time to look through my Win Daily Sports FanDuel main slate breakdown for 9.4 . Looking forward to seeing some green screens this evening. Any questions about the breakdown, I will be available all day in the WinDaily Discord Chat. Don’t forget to subscribe to the WinDaily Youtube channel and follow @WinDailySports on Twitter to stay current and up to date on all of our fresh new content!

Happy Friday folks! I’m in a bit of a rush today, due to the recent protest we did not have a slate for either FanDuel or DraftKings today until about 10:30 AM est So I’m going to skip the usual introduction and get right into my FanDuel main slate breakdown for 8.28.

Slate note: I can not stress this enough, DO NOT PLAY TODAY IF YOU CAN NOT BE IN FRONT OF YOUR LINEUPS PRIOR TO LOCK. We have no idea what games, if any will be protested and postponed today and weather is a mess on top of it.

FanDuel Main Slate Breakdown for 8.28 Pitching:

Max Scherzer, Natinals 10.6K:

No need to get cute here, if you can afford the salary play him. He as close to a sure thing as you’re going to get tonight. We drastically overrated the Red Sox offense coming in to the season but we all see just how bad they are now. We might see a 60+ FD point outing tonight from him. This is additionally the only game I have zero weather concerns of. Also, I’m aware of my spelling. If you don’t know what I’m referring to look it up, it is quite humorous.

Daniel Ponce De Leon, Cardinals:

If you play anyone besides Max today in cash I really feel like you are playing cash games wrong, but if you must pay down pay all the way down to Ponce De Leon and really load up on premium bats. Wind is blowing in improving park conditions. Indians are near the bottom of the MLB in every major offensive statistic category and De Leon while in limited innings has a 40+ percent K-rate. If he can stay in control he did throw 94 pitches last game which should get us at least through the fifth inning getting us a potential quality start and win bonus.

Triston McKenzie, 8.7K, Indians:

I’m pretty limited with weather in terms of pitching but I would be willing to kick the tires on McKenzie today, we only have one major league start to go off of and boy was it electric. Unfortunately it was also against the Tigers which does not really give us much to go off of. He has a four-seamer that gets into the upper 90’s and he has maintained a K/9 rate of well over nine in his minor league career. The immediate jump to almost 9K might be enough to scare a few folks off of him and we can hope for a repeat performance.

FanDuel Main Slate Breakdown for 8.28 Stacks and Bats:

Astros:

You can really stack both sides of this game tonight if you wanted to, it is going to be hot, humid, and the wind is blowing out at well over 10 MPH. Some of the wind might be negated by the roof but it should not limit it much. Every 5 mph adds around 20 feet to a fly ball, I’ll let you math that out. I’m especially loading up on as many left handed bats as possible because Chris Bassitt is terrible against them allowing a 44 percent hard hit and fly ball rate.

Cash:Kyle Tucker, Michael Brantley GPP, George Springer: Josh Reddick, Yuli Gurriel

Padres:

Here we go again, wind blowing out in Coors in hot muggy conditions . You can load up to your hearts content tonight at possibly lower ownership that usual due to Kyle Freeland’s solid pitching this season and his earlier shutout of the Padres a couple of week ago. I really don’t expect the same result from this contest tonight since Freeland is allowing a ton of hard contact this season (41.4%) even though his end result has been good overall. ***There are potential weather issues so determine your risk tolerance before using***

Cash: Fernando Tatis Jr., Manny Machado, Will Myers GPP: Eric Hosmer

Rockies:

Same as above, great park conditions, potential recency bias because of the last dud and a bunch of guys who profile well. I’m stack both sides tonight.***There are potential weather issues so determine your risk tolerance before using***

Cash: Trevor Story, Noland Arenado, Charlie Blackmon GPP: Sam Hilliard

Rangers:

I need to give you one that may go a little under the radar and the Rangers fit that bill very well today. Great park and weather conditions, aside from on solid outing Dustin May has looked middling at best, and his splits skew wildly in favor of lefty bats which the Ranger have several. Half of May’s pitches are sinkers but oddly they don’t drop out of the zone much and lefties historically hit low strike zone stuff much harder than righties which may explain the splits.

Cash: Joey Gallo, Shin-Soo Choo GPP: Danny Santana, Derek Dietrich

Others to consider: Always Dodgers, White Sox/Royals (Late storms could cause this one to end early but both sides are stackable), Angels

Favorite Pitcher:

Cash: Max Scherzer

GPP: Can I say Max Scherzer again??? Fine. Triston Mckenzie

Favorite Stack: Astros

Favorite Chalk Player: Charlie Blackmon

Favorite Low Owned Player: Joey Gallo

Salary Saver: Shin-Soo Choo

Home Run Call: Michael Brantley

Thrive Fantasy

Have not had much time to look at the props on thrive today due to the time constraints but I will be back to giving you all my selections next week.

Thanks for taking the time to look through my Win Daily Sports FanDuel main slate breakdown for 8.28 . Looking forward to seeing some green screens this evening. Any questions about the breakdown, I will be available all day in the WinDaily Discord Chat. Don’t forget to subscribe to the WinDaily Youtube channel and follow @WinDailySports on Twitter to stay current and up to date on all of our fresh new content!

Happy Friday folks! Fanduel has chosen to give us a giant 12 game slate this evening. The good news is we have tons of bats to choose from which will keep ownership reasonable in most cases. The bad news? There is a substantial lack of quality pitching where we have Nola at 10.7K all the way up top with Max Fried the next highest at 9.4K. Not an issue for us on FanDuel but on Draftkings you will have to make your choice on which guy you want if you want those bonus points for a win. But enough blabbing, let’s take a look at my FanDuel main slate breakdown for 8.21.

Main Slate Breakdown for 8.21 Pitching:

Just a quick note for everyone. Since we are looking at a full slate with 24 starting pitchers I wouldn’t be too concerned about ownership. Even with the guys you would consider chalk it will be spread out enough to where you shouldn’t have to fade your favorite play due to ownership. More of an issue for GPP’s but it’s something I want you all to keep in the back of your mind today when setting your lineups.

Cash:

Adrian Houser, Brewers, 7.4K:

Looking at everything today I really like Housers prospects against the Pirates. Pittsburg is sporting a 25.6% K rate with a .104 ISO. There is a little concern about Houser’s splits against left-handed bats but at the end of the day we are still talking about the worst offense in the MLB right now.

Aaron Nola, Phillies, 10.7K:

The Braves already have one of the worst K-rates in the MLB against RHP (26.2%) and they are going to be without Ozzie Albies and Ronald Acuna Jr. again with wrist injuries, completely hamstringing their power. Combine that with Nola striking out no less than seven batters in four starts and aside from his season opener has been flat out dominant. He’s by far the most expensive pitcher but it is not without good reason. The only problem I’m having with locking him in is that his price makes it tough to fit solid bats for the rest of your build.

Also Consider: Danny Duffy

GPP

Kolby Allard, Rangers, 6.2K:

I’m a little hesitant about recommending Allard because of how few innings he has pitched in his starts so far but if he can get into the 6th inning to get the quality start and win bonuses everything else stacks up well. Seattle has the worst xWOBA and ISO against left-handed pitchers in the MLB and Allard is sitting at just a hair over nine K’s per 9. His splits don’t look great right now but I think that is just a product of the small sample we’re working with for this season.

Max Fried, Braves, 9.4K:

Even with the ownership being spread out over 12 games I still think Fried’s ownership is going to be drastically lower that it should be based on the likelihood that the Braves are not going to give him enough run production to get the win. If you want to leverage against that and get an elite level left-handed arm here’s your guy. He’s given up no more than two earned in any of his five starts and he struck out six in five innings with zero earned and got the win against the Phillies back on the 9th.

Main Slate Breakdown for 8.21 Stacks and Bats:

Dodgers:

I usually just make the joke about always Dodgers and move on but the match-up pops out even more than usual today so I thought that I should spotlight them. There are really too many stats to go through here. They are all off the chart. Mookie Betts, Corey Seager, Max Muncy, AJ Pollock, and Cody Bellinger are extremely strong plays today in all formats and I would feel completely comfortable using Joc Pederson and Justin Turner when stacking. We even get a marginal benefit of the wind blowing out to dead center field at around 7 MPH.

Cash: Mookie Betts, Corey Seager, Max Muncy, AJ Pollock, Cody Bellinger GPP: Joc Pederson, Justin Turner

White Sox:

As my partner in crime today already mentioned in his Picks and Pivots article it is, in fact, Lester day and boy oh boy this should be fun for the White Sox. Hard hit rate, K-rate, fly-ball rate, and ISO numbers are all weighted heavily against Lester tonight. Tim Anderson, Yoan Moncada, Edwin Encarnacion, Jose Abreu, and Eloy Jiminez are viable in all formats and James McCann and Adam Engell are fine plays when stacking.

Cash: Tim Anderson, Yoan Moncada, Edwin Encarnacion, Jose Abreu, Eloy Jiminez GPP: James McCann, Adam Engell

Padres:

Chris Woodward, what did you do? Not only did your complaining about the “unwritten rules” make the sports community collectively roll their eyes but your choice to hit Machado to “prove a point” put a fire into the Padres and they have been on a tear ever since. McCuller has put up decent numbers this year but Fernando Tatis Jr, Manny Machado, Trent Grisham, and Eric Hosmer all profile very well against him with a minimum .365 wOBA and Jake Cronenworth is looking like a fantastic value at 2.6K.

Cash: Fernando Tatis Jr., Manny Machado, Trent Grisham GPP: Eric Hosmer, Jake Cronenworth

Others to consider: Giants, Angels, Rays

Favorite Pitcher:

Cash: Adrian Houser

GPP: Kolby Allard

Favorite Stack: Dodgers/White Sox

Favorite Chalk Player: Mookie Betts

Favorite Low Owned Player: Trent Grisham

Salary Saver: Jake Cronenworth

Home Run Call: Yoan Moncada

Thrive Fantasy

Using the information above, you can even make some money on Thrive Fantasy! Check them out and use promo code “windaily” when you sign up for some extra bonuses. Learn how to play here on our quick over.

Thanks for taking the time to look through my Win Daily Sports FanDuel main slate 8.21 breakdown. Looking forward to seeing some green screens this evening. Any questions about the breakdown, I will be available all day in the WinDaily Discord Chat. Don’t forget to subscribe to the WinDaily Youtube channel and follow @WinDailySports on Twitter to stay current and up to date on all of our fresh new content!

Alright, ladies and gentlemen! We have ourselves an interesting little five-game slate to get into today. Our studs have tough matchups, a ton of middling pitchers, and negative park effects all over the place so I’ll do my best today to make sure you have good information to go off of to prepare you for this 7 gamer. Here is my Win Daily Sports FanDuel main slate breakdown for 8.15.

Main Slate Breakdown for 8.15 Pitching:

Quick note: I am going under the assumption that this whole Orioles offense being good thing is real so I’m not touching Corbin today. If you think that it is a fluke, He should be in play for Cash or GPP. I just think his ownership will still be high because they see Cobrin vs. Orioles and there will not even be the benefit of an ownership drop.

Cash:

Cristian Javier, Astros, 7.8K:

I’m not really interested in anyone besides German Marquez tonight near the top of the pitching list on FanDuel. When you dig into the numbers they just aren’t worth the price and I can honestly see guys like Corbin, Buehler, and Paxton get rocked. Javier has a 27 percent K rate this season while Seattle sits at or near the bottom in every major statistical hitting category. Javier has shown flashes this season including an outing versus the Dodgers where he whiffed eight while only giving up one earned against the Dodgers.

German Marquez:

Marquez is my favorite pitcher overall tonight. The Rangers have hit a grand total of 12 home runs and 57 RBI’s this season and German is sitting at a 27 percent K rate and has only allowed 6 earned in 4 outings thus far. the only guys who concern me to any extent tonight are Joey Gallo and Shin-Soo Choo but given the Rangers track record for run production even they aren’t really much of an issue.

GPP

Nathan Eovaldi:

This one is absolutely a high-risk play. The Yankees have been mashing this season but Eovaldi hasn’t performed horribly and Judge and Stanton are sidelined with injuries drastically reducing the risk. Don’t get me wrong, the Yanks can still smash even without them but Eovaldi is striking out 24 percent and his fly-ball rate against right-handed bats is a touch over 24 percent so I’ll take the risk.

Alex Young, Diamondbacks, 5.7K:

If you really want to load up on the Rockies tonight you will need some value at pitching tonight and I like Young in that role. His numbers are skewed due do him being a bullpen arm but he has been strong against right-handed bats with a pretty low 30 percent hard-hit rate and only a .167 ISO in limited work. He could very well bust, I’m aware of that, but it won’t take much more than 4-5 innings of work with 4-5 strikeouts to return more than enough in terms of value.

Main Slate Breakdown for 8.15 Stacks and Bats:

Oakland:

I’m really liking the Oakland bats tonight. After giving it a little time to see what the park adjustments in San Fransisco would mean for production we can reasonably say that Oracle has gone from one of the worst hitters parks to on of the better parks in 2020. Kevin Gausman is sporting a hard-hit rate around 40% for both righties and lefties this season, we do not have any BVP data but Marcus Semien, Matt Chapman, Matt Olsen, and MarkCahna all sport an ISO over .220 against RHP and fly ball rates over 40% with the wind blowing out at around 10 mph tonight. Plus you get the added benefit of no bat priced over 3.7K.

Cash or GPP: Chapman, Olsen, Simien, Olsen

Angels:

This one isn’t for the faint of heart as Walker Buehler is hovering right up there with Corbin tonight in price and being on the west coast folks may not have noticed that he isn’t pitching all that well this. In 3 appearances he’s given up 12 runs in a little over 14 innings with a 57% fly-ball rate overall with a 47% hard-hit rate against right-handed bats. Still a small sample this season but guys like Mike Trout, Anthony Rendon, Shohei Ohtani, Jason Castro, and Brian Goodwin are all popping out as good plays today. All have ISO’s of over .250 against RHP this season and hard-hit rates over 40 percent.

Cash: Trout, Ohtani, Rendon GPP: Goodwin, Castro

Rockies:

It’s shaping up to be a rough night for Kyle Gibson. Pitching in Colorado is hard enough. Combine that with a 70 (yes 70) percent hard-hit rate in three starts and a lineup full of guys who can get the ball in the air and we may see several leave the park tonight. Implied total for the Rockies is over 6.5 right now and it actually opened at 6.8, that is a crazy number. Nolan Arenado, Garrett Hampson, Charlie Blackmon, Trevor Story, and Daniel Murphy all profile extremely well in this contest tonight. My builds are likely going to be a ton of Oakland and Colorado tonight.

Others to consider: Rays, Phillies, Nationals, and ALWAYS DODGERS

Cash and GPP: Hampson, Blackmon, Arenado, Story, Murphy

Favorite Pitcher:

Cash: Marquez

GPP: Eovaldi

Favorite Stack: Oakland and Colorado

Favorite Chalk Player: Charlie Blackmon

Favorite Low Owned Player: Mark Canha

Salary Saver: Brian Goodwin

Home Run Call: Matt Olsen

Thanks for taking the time to look through my Win Daily Sports FanDuel main slate 8.15 breakdown. Looking forward to seeing some green screens this evening. Any questions about the breakdown, I will be available all day in the WinDaily Discord Chat. Don’t forget to subscribe to the WinDaily Youtube channel and follow @WinDailySports on Twitter to stay current and up to date on all of our fresh new content!