Welcome to Monday’s edition of Aces and Bases, where I’ll be going through the top MLB DFS Aces and Stacks on DraftKings and Fanduel.
We at Win Daily Sports want to wish everyone a safe and happy memorial day weekend. Today we have 2 separate slates, but this article will be focusing solely on the 6-game early slate of MLB DFS since that’s the larger slate. For it being a smaller slate, this slate is packed with good pitching and good stacking. There will be options on both ends of the aisle for us.
Let’s dig and make some money!
MLB DFS Aces – Main
Nate Eovaldi vs. Detroit Tigers
When the Rangers picked up Jacob deGrom this offseason, the notion was that he’d be the ace of the pitching staff. With how much time he’s already missed due to injury, it’s actually been Nate Eovaldi who’s been the true ace of this staff. He’s followed up a brilliant outing with a brilliant outing this season. Over the last month, Eovaldi has had a .86 ERA and a 24% k rate.
He’s been doing a phenomenal job of keeping the ball on the ground as evidenced by his 53% groundball rate. Although the Tigers have shown at times that they can get to pitchers, I just don’t see it today vs. one of the best pitchers in the game this season. Eovaldi should be able to put together another dominant outing today.
Ryne Nelson vs. Colorado Rockies
After spending up on Eovaldi today, I’m going to spend down on my SP2. That brings Ryne Nelson into play. He’s coming off 2 straight solid outings. 1 vs. the lowly A’s and the other vs. a solid but disappointing Phillies lineup. In each start, he had at least 17 DK points.
Today he’ll get a tasty matchup vs. a Rockies team that is leaving the friendly confines of Coors and will no longer have the thin air to help them with their bats. I’m looking for them to struggle today with going back on the road. A pitcher at this price point is never safe, but he’s pitching better and gets a nice matchup today.
Alex Wood vs. Milwaukee Brewers
This is a wild card pick for me tonight. Alex Wood hasn’t pitched overly well this season, but he also hasn’t pitched much as he’s made just 6 starts. This is more matchup based for me tonight. The Brewers have been dreadful vs. lefties this season. The projected lineup tonight has just a .293 wOBA and a .147 ISO vs. lefties. They also have a 26% k rate.
They’ve been attacked against lefties all season and tonight will be no different, even though it’s Alex Wood. He’s far from safe, but there’s definitely some upside tonight with Alex Wood and his $6.3k salary.
MLB DFS Stacks – Main
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Karl Kaufmann
Karl Kaufmann has just 2 major league starts under his belt but each has been atrocious. Through the 2 starts, he’s pitched to an ERA over 9 and an xFIP over 6. He’s giving up a hard-hit rate of 63% and has a WHIP over 2. Nearly every metric for him is extremely bad. The only saving grace for him so far has been that he’s been able to keep the ball in the ballpark as he’s only allowed 1 dinger in his 8 innings of work.
That probably changes today as he’ll face a really strong Diamondbacks lineup. So far it’s been the righties that have been doing him in. They have a wOBA over .500 and an ISO of .263. That said, we don’t necessarily want to write off the lefties, they’ll 100% be in play.
Knowing how bad he’s been against righties, I’m going to target both Christian Walker and Lourdes Gurriel today. Of the 2, Gurriel has been the better one against righties this season so I will make it a point to force him in there today. Against righties this season, he has a .311 ISO and a wOBA of .380. The saving grace for Walker here is that he lines up extremely well with Kaufmann.
Kaufmann’s main pitch to righties is his sinker and he’s fared extremely well vs. righty sinkers since he’s broken into the league. Gurriel also has strong numbers vs. sinkers. Other bats I’ll look to get in here today will be Ketel Marte and Corbin Carroll. This lineup today has a ton of run potential.
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Royals Bullpen
This is essentially going to be a bullpen game today for the Royals. They’ll start out with Josh Staumont, then turn the ball over to Mike Mayers for a few innings, and then we’ll get the Royals bullpen for a handful of innings. The Royals bullpen has been really bad this season and over the last couple of weeks.
Over the last couple of weeks, this bullpen has an xFIP of 5.12 and an ERA over 4. That 5.12 is the second-worst number of any bullpen over the last couple of weeks. Although the Cardinals have been disappointing this season, they have started to right the ship a bit and have started to play some better baseball, at least offensively.
The main guys I’m looking at with this stack today will be Paul Goldschmidt, Lars Nootbar, and Brendan Donovan. These are really the 3 guys in this lineup hitting the ball the best right now. Nootbar is 9 for his last 29 and has driven in 6 runs over the last week. The World Baseball Classic winner has put together a decent season so far, with a .270 AVG and a .383 OBP.
Donovan is also coming off a solid week, with 6 runs scored and a 1.184 OPS. He’s also extremely cheap today at just $3k. The spend-up will be Goldy. His numbers this season haven’t quite been where we’ve been used to them, but he’s still putting together a nice campaign. Other bats I like here will be Nolan Gorman and Tommy Edman.
I’m off Arenado right now. He’s been lost at the plate, for the most part, this season. That said, he did have 2 hits yesterday, including a double. Could that be the spark plug for him? We’ll have to wait and see.
Other stacks I like today are the Royals vs. Waino and Rangers vs. Boyd. With the Royals, a complete game stack is 100% in play. Waino has been hot trash this season and the Royals lineup has been hitting. They could absolutely get to the aging veteran today.
MLB DFS Summary
We have day baseball on this Memorial Day. Make sure to stay safe and make some money today!
Make sure to drop into Discord where we’re constantly talking about plays for every slate.
Good luck and hope to see you in the green.
Make sure you follow me on Twitter at @rangerzfan79 and be sure to sign up for an ALL ACCESS GOLD ACCOUNT here at Win Daily Sports. Gain access to our Projection Models and jump into our Discord where we will have our experts talking plays across every sport and slate!