9/28 MLB DFS Pitching and Prop Picks: A long road home

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It is hard to believe this 9/28 MLB DFS slate is the second to last regular season day of MLB. My Dodgers have things firmly in hand, and my hopes of a Dodgers-Yankees World Series are well alive. When each season winds down it leaves me with a feeling of both sadness, and relief. This is a tradition I have watched unfold now for over forty years, and each one leaves me with tears in my eyes, even as a grown man.

With everything pretty much said and done, all the players today are basically playing for personal glory. This makes pitching extremely tough to nail down. The biggest advice I can give to you today is play light and save your bankroll for NFL DFS. Today truly is a crap shoot. So, with Mindset “Leave No Doubt” playing in the background, I bring you my last MLB DFS regular season pitching article.

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On the Defense

I have no clue what is going on tonight with the Tigers atWhite Sox. The pitching option is not available on FD, but has Reynaldo Lopez slatedto start on DK, even though everything I have seen has him slated to pitch theday game. Keep on eye on this one.

JustinVerlander vs. Los Angeles Angels

$11,400 FD / $12,800 DK

My confidence in Verlander’s competitiveness drives this 9/28 MLB DFS play. The Angels with Mike Trout were not the scariest team on most nights, and without him is anything but. Over the last seven days the other guys from Los Angeles are batting a .221 with a pathetic wRC+ of 68. Even Justin’s sub-par numbers versus the Angels this season are better than most pitchers’ good ones. With question marks all over the board tonight he has the highest upside.

RobbieRay vs. San Diego Padres

$9,300 FD / $10,600 DK

With the Padres striking out 24.8 percent of the time versusLHPs Robbie Ray is a fully loaded 9/28 MLB DFS option. Ray may have allowed fourearned runs over 5 1/3 innings in his last outing facing San Diego, but he alsohad 10 strikeouts. Even with a negative ballpark shift in Arizona, for thediscount from Verlander, I would have no fear of using him in both cash gamesand GPPs.

BrettAnderson vs. Seattle Mariners

$6,700 FD / $7,200 DK

The Seattle Mariners are striking out 24.7 percent of the time versus LHPs this season. Anderson also over his last nine starts has only allowed more than three earned runs once. Seattle over the last seven days is striking out 28.7 percent of the time with a low wRC+ of 32 while batting .177. I cannot think of a better time to attack them than on this 9/28 MLB DFS slate.

ReynaldoLopez vs. Detroit Tigers

$6,700 DK

As earlier mentioned, I am not 100 percent sure Lopez is starting the night game, but DK does have him listed. The not so mighty Tigers are striking out 26.5 percent of the time versus RHPs while coming in 30^th in MLB in both wOBA and wRC+. His last two starts facing Detroit did not go as well as hoped, but he has had major success versus this lineup in the past. I sure hope he pitches on this 9/28 MLB DFS slate because I would love to pair him with Anderson freeing up a ton of salary to spend on hitting tonight.

Name	Team	W	L	IP	K/9	BB/9	HR/9	GB%	HR/FB	ERA	xFIP
Justin Verlander	Astros	20	6	217	11.94	1.74	1.41	36.60%	15.50%	2.53	3.24
Robbie Ray	Diamondbacks	12	8	168	12.03	4.33	1.5	37.80%	19.20%	4.28	3.81
Brett Anderson	Athletics	12	9	171	4.58	2.53	1.05	54.40%	13.60%	4	4.83
Reynaldo Lopez	White Sox	9	15	176	8.18	3.27	1.74	34.90%	13.90%	5.57	5.39

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On theAttack

We have a Coors Field game on this 9/28 MLB DFS slate, and a lot ownership is going to head towards facing a lefty in Colorado. We do however have a few other sweet stacking options at lower prices.

JamesMarvel vs. Cincinnati Reds

Talk about a gift on this 9/28 MLB DFS slate. James will do anything but Marvel regardless of who he is facing. In his first three starts he has allowed 14 earned runs in 12 1/3 innings. The beauty is they let him keep pitching. With nothing to lose at this point I see that trend continuing tonight.

Reds vs. RHPs

Name	PA	BB%	K%	BB/K	SB	wOBA	wRC+
Eugenio Suarez	496	7.50%	28.00%	0.27	1	0.372	127
Aristides Aquino	161	6.20%	24.80%	0.25	6	0.358	118
Joey Votto	425	12.50%	18.60%	0.67	3	0.35	113
Derek Dietrich	279	10.00%	23.30%	0.43	1	0.348	111
Josh VanMeter	226	11.50%	21.20%	0.54	7	0.327	98
Tucker Barnhart	306	12.10%	22.20%	0.54	0	0.319	93
Curt Casali	133	9.00%	27.80%	0.32	0	0.314	89
Freddy Galvis	406	6.20%	26.40%	0.23	2	0.31	91
Jose Iglesias	395	3.00%	14.20%	0.21	6	0.303	82
Nick Senzel	304	7.20%	28.30%	0.26	8	0.294	77
Phillip Ervin	159	6.30%	27.70%	0.23	3	0.279	66
Michael Lorenzen	32	9.40%	28.10%	0.33	4	0.272	62
Kyle Farmer	122	3.30%	33.60%	0.1	0	0.26	54
Jose Peraza	279	2.90%	16.10%	0.18	4	0.254	50

Garrett Richardsvs. Arizona Diamondbacks

Talk about a terrible comeback. Richards has allowed sevenearned runs over 5 1/3 innings since his return. Four of them earned runs werein his last start facing this same Diamondbacks team, but the last time was inSan Diego. Tonight, he is heading to Arizona and a negative park shift. The D’Backsare in full play on this 9/28 MLB DFS Slate.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. RHPs

Name	PA	BB%	K%	BB/K	SB	wOBA	wRC+
Ketel Marte	454	10.10%	14.10%	0.72	8	0.404	150
Abraham Almonte	33	15.20%	24.20%	0.63	0	0.399	147
Kevin Cron	57	5.30%	33.30%	0.16	0	0.341	109
Christian Walker	423	9.00%	27.00%	0.33	7	0.341	109
Eduardo Escobar	491	8.60%	18.90%	0.45	4	0.335	105
Alex Avila	162	19.80%	34.60%	0.57	1	0.331	102
Domingo Leyba	26	15.40%	30.80%	0.5	0	0.326	98
Wilmer Flores	172	6.40%	10.50%	0.61	0	0.325	98
Tim Locastro	150	4.70%	14.70%	0.32	16	0.318	94
Adam Jones	357	5.90%	19.00%	0.31	2	0.311	89
Nick Ahmed	460	8.00%	19.30%	0.42	7	0.297	80
Carson Kelly	261	12.30%	21.80%	0.56	0	0.296	79
Jarrod Dyson	395	10.60%	18.50%	0.58	29	0.274	65
Jake Lamb	194	12.90%	24.20%	0.53	1	0.271	63
Josh Rojas	115	9.60%	25.20%	0.38	2	0.262	57
Ildemaro Vargas	156	5.10%	13.50%	0.38	1	0.261	56
Caleb Joseph	32	3.10%	21.90%	0.14	0	0.208	22

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The reality is Mike Foltynewicz has been incredible lately, and I am also sure that a ton of DFS writers are putting him out there today. My rule as a DFS writer is simple, if I am not going to use a player in my lineup, I will not include them in my article. But he is in a great spot, I just smell regression. Folty has only had eight strikeouts once this season, back on May 31st facing the Tigers. Under all the way.

Steven Matz has achieved these number a few times this season facing the Braves. With everything well in hand for Atlanta, I see some bench playing time today. Over all the way.

The Padres are among the league leaders in strikeouts versus LHPs, this is not a good thing for them. Robbie Ray has a 12.0 K/9, which is a very good thing for him. Over all the way.

Richards will be lucky enough to survive three innings tonight before being sent to the showers. Under.

A word if I may. Thank you to my beautiful wife Jennifer for taking my hand in marriage six years ago today. You put up with endless sports on the TV, loud and obnoxious hardcore music, and my grumpiness on a daily basis. I love you and hope we have many more years together. Happy Anniversary.

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