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Adam Schenk

PGA DFS Picks: Bermuda Championship

Steven Polardi 4 years ago

written by Steven Polardi

In this edition of PGA DFS picks, we’re looking for a big payday at Bermuda Championship and helping you find some winning teams!

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PGA DFS Course Notes:

Weak field of 132 Golfers – not many big names
Cut: Top 65 and ties
Last year: Brendan Todd (-24) won over Harry Higgs (-20)
The course: Port Royal GC (Southampton, Bermuda) – Robert Trent Jones design
- Par 71: 6,828 yards (varies based on tees/pins)
- Bermuda greens
- Shorter coastal resort course with eight Par 4s under 415 – wedge play will be a factor
- Course comps: Corales Puntacana, Sony Open, RSM Classic and Mayakoba
- Wind and weather should also factor (wind gusts setting in by Friday morning)
Focus Stat Categories: Strokes Gained: Approach, Birdie or Better %, Fairways Gained, SG: Putting (Bermuda), GIR, Par 4s (350-400)

I’m going to keep the blurbs brief and to the point. I’ve plugged in some data into the mixed models and there’s a few GPP plays that really stand out this week.

The Picks:

Elite PGA DFS (DK $9,500 and up):

Brendan Todd (DK $11,100) – The defending champ arrives in relatively poor form over the last couple of weeks, but he did drop a huge weight on his toe before the CJ CUP. But he should be better now and shot a final round 62 here last year in his dominant breakthrough win.

Will Zalatoris (DK $10,900) – He’s got three Top 10s in his last three events, including a MC at the Sanderson Farms and a T8 at a similar coastal course in Corales Puntacana. It’s going to come down to his putting this weekend.

Harold Varner III (DK $10,700) – Varner is one of the best all-around players in the field and is a legit contender to notch his maiden win this week. I’ll be rooting for him.

Denny McCarthy (DK $9,500) – A great putter who has seen his ball striking improve recently, McCarthy is a solid Top 10 candidate and should fare well on this layout where putting is a major factor.

Also consider: Doc Redman, Charley Hoffman

Mid-Range PGA DFS (DK $7,600 to $9,400):

Henrik Stenson (DK $9,300) – He’s tops in the WinDaily projections and comes in at an affordable price. There aren’t too many major winners in this field, but Stenson has the resumé and game to win here.

Kristoffer Ventura (DK $9,100) – Since the restart, the Mexican-born Norwegian (who attended Oklahoma Stat) has been quite solid, with four top 10s among seven top 25s in a combined 12 starts on the Korn Ferry and PGA tours. He’s one of the best options in the field.

Peter Malnati (DK $9,000) – Malnati finished second at the Sanderson Farms and notched a top 5 at the Shriners behind elite putting and passable ball-striking. He might take to this shorter course as well.

Henrik Norlander (DK $8,900) – Top-notch ball striking and consistent play (outside of a bad August-September stretch marred by a couple of bad rounds and three straight MCs) get Norlander a look this week. Not my favorite play, but a solid option for under $9K.

Justin Suh (DK $8,700) – The 55-1 odds on Suh to win are a little too long considering his talent and iron play. He’s finished T21-T14-T8 in his last three starts and will be a staple of my GPP lineups.

Wes Bryan (DK $7,800) – With less-than-driver an option off the tee on this shorter layout, Bryan is definitely in play in all formats and is a huge bargain this week.

Also consider: Cameron Tringale (GPP), Aaron Wise, Adam Schenk, Pat Perez, Stewart Cink, Patrick Rodgers, Russell Knox (GPP)

Value PGA DFS (DK $6,600 to 7,500):

Tom Lewis (DK $7,500) – Lewis was playing much better golf in July, but he’s got the pedigree to perform well at this venue and is one of the more talented players who could go overlooked in this field.

Tyler McCumber (DK $7,200) – McCumber had a nice little hot stretch at the end of September with a solo second at the Corales and a T6 at the Sanderson Farms, making him viable option in the value range at Bermuda.

Hudson Swafford (DK $7,200) – Swafford is a notable value with monster upside in this price range; he won at the Corales last month and makes birdies in bunches.

Hank Lebioda (DK $6,800) – Lebioda finished T3 here last season and seems to prefer coastal resort courses, finishing T21 at Corales.

More value golfers to consider: Max Homa, Rob Oppenheim, Brice Garnett (GPP), Kramer Hickok, Kelly Kraft (GPP)

Longshot Punts PGA DFS (DK $6,500 and under):

Robert Streb (DK $6,500) – Streb is my favorite value at $6,500 or under, but this price range isn’t a very promising one. I’d max out at 2/10 GPP entries.

Sang-Moon Bae (DK $6,400) – Bae may offer the most upside, but he’s far from a cash game play. If I only have $6,400 left after clicking in my other five, Bae will get a hard look.

Additional punts: John Oda, Ricky Barnes, Brian Gay (GPP)

4 years ago 0 comment

PGA DFS Picks: Shriners Hospitals for Children Open

jason mezrahi 4 years ago

written by jason mezrahi

In this edition of PGA DFS picks, we’re looking for a big payday at the Shriners Hospitals for Children Open and helping you find some winning teams!

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PGA DFS Course Notes:

Lots of big names in this solid field of 144+ golfers
Cut: Top 65 and ties
First two major winners of 2020 (Bryson DeChambeau and Collin Morikawa) headline the event
Defending Champ and former winners:
- 2019 – Kevin Na (-23, beat Patrick Cantlay in playoff)
- 2018 – DeChambeau (-21, another Cantlay second place)
- 2017 – Cantlay (-9 in windy conditions, beat Whee Kim in playoff)
The course: TPC Summerlin (Las Vegas, NV)
- Par 71: 7,255+ yards
- Bentgrass greens
- Played at altitude, helping shorter hitters
- Easier setup with shorter Par 4s and three reachable par fives
Focus Stat Categories: Strokes Gained: Approach, SG: Putting (Bentgrass), Birdie or Better %, SG: OTT, Par 4s (400-450), Bogey Avoidance, SG: Around the Green

The Picks:

Elite PGA DFS (DK $9,500 and up):

Bryson DeChambeau (DK $11,800) – It’s going to be interesting to watch the new version at altitude, on a course he’s played well in the past. Expect the unexpected, unless that means the beefier Bryson not having his way with the golf course, where he’s had three Top 10s in four tries. I know it could come back to haunt me if he has some sort of meltdown, but I’m all in in all formats – regardless of ownership.

Webb Simpson (DK $11,000) – If you’re looking for a GPP pivot who bears almost no resemblance to what will inevitably be a chalky DeChambeau, then Webb is your guy. His finishes here are a bit pedestrian, but they have improved each since 2015. He might even be a sneaky play if you’re building a cash lineup that features some serious bargain values that I’ll get to down the list.

Patrick Cantlay (DK $10,400) – There are better golfers in this price range, but none have three straight finishes in the top two on this course, so we have to talk about Patrick. With a much better field than in previous installments, this may be the year he doesn’t contest on Sunday. It won’t be an all-out fade, but I’m not too enthusiastic given his lukewarm play over the past few months.

Collin Morikawa (DK $9,800) – The reigning PGA Championship winner missed the cut at the U.S. Open in much more difficult conditions. With Morikawa’s ball-striking prowess and improving short game, this second-shot golf course should be a cakewalk. I’ll be overweight and trying to find ways to get him in along with Bryson.

Matthew Wolff (DK $9,600) – Another X-factor who’s going to be a contender at big events for years to come, Wolff notched a Top 20 in his debut at TPC Summerlin in 2019. A great cash game and GPP play, especially if you’re looking for a relative bargain with Top 5 upside.

Also consider: Hideki Matsuyama (GPP), Harris English (cash)

Mid-Range PGA DFS (DK $7,600 to $9,400):

Sungjae Im (DK $9,300) – The hardest working player on Tour makes a lot of sense despite limited experience at this venue (T15 in 2018, his only start here). I’m expecting a top 20 finish at TPC Summerlin and would feel comfortable being ahead of the field in my ownership.

Rickie Fowler (DK $9,000) – If there’s a golf course where Rickie could make his big resurgence after a series of swing changes, it’s this one. He’s got a fine record here when he’s made the stop, and the ownership should be low, so I’m all aboard in mid-range stocked GPP builds.

Abraham Ancer (DK $8,700) – It’s been feast or famine for Ancer at the Shriners over the past four years, but his 2020 game has been on point, so I’m plenty interested in GPPs, where a ball striker like Accurate Abe could be a fine mid-range anchor.

Will Zalatoris (DK $8,300) – There’s no course history to speak of, but Zalatoris is on the verge of becoming a tour regular with special temporary membership within his grasp. He missed the cut last week, but he’ll be prepared for this venue that could very well suit his strong T2G game.

Brian Harman (DK $8,000) – Harman has made seven consecutive cuts made, including a pair of top 15s in the FedExCup Playoffs, and the history at TPC Summerlin is impressive, with top 20s in his last two appearances. The price is just too cheap for a course horse like Harman.

Denny McCarthy (DK $7,700) – If you want to shake things up with a GPP play the masses will avoid, McCarthy (who finished T6 last week) is your guy. Possibly the tour’s best putter (he’s led in SG: Putting both of the last two seasons) Dump-it-in Denny has notched a T15 and T9 here since a missed cut in 2018.

Also consider: Paul Casey (GPP), Scottie Scheffler, Kevin Na (GPP), Joaquin Niemann, Zach Johnson, Cam Davis, Doc Redman, Cameron Smith

Value PGA DFS (DK $6,600 to 7,500):

Ryan Palmer (DK $7,400) – Palmer fits in both cash game and GPP builds as a high upside play. He missed the cut at the U.S Open, but the PGA Tour veteran made six straight cuts before Winged Foot, and he finished T37 last year at Shriners.

Lanto Griffin (DK $7,300) – This is a great price for a golfer who just sounds like he should tear up the PGA event in Las Vegas. Kidding aside, he’s a talented player with a T18 in last year’s Shriners.

Adam Hadwin (DK $7,100) – The fourth-place finish in 2019 drew my attention, but my main concern is that the field could be a little too good for him to contend on Sunday this year. I wouldn’t fault you for using him in cash games at this relative bargain, but I’m not ready to commit in my core builds.

Adam Schenk (DK $6,900) – He’s now made nine consecutive cuts, though the best finish is a T12, making him (just like the Adam above) best deployed in cash games.

Cameron Tringale (DK $6,900) – Always a favorite GPP play of mine, Tringale can turn it on with the putter and can handle the T2G expectations this golf course offers.

Francesco Molinari, (DK $6,700) – Speaking of getting hot with the putter, have we ever seen a guy fire it up like Frankie? There are massive concerns regarding his recent layoff, but he’s got a T4 in his only appearance here in 2016 and is an enormous bargain under $7K.

Chesson Hadley (DK $6,700) – He’s got some excellent finishes here (T18-T7-T4), and his form has been solid, with two top 20 finishes in his last five starts. We had to like that combination, don’t we?

More value golfers to consider: Harold Varner (cash), Sam Burns (GPP), Joel Dahmen, Pat Perez, Kyle Stanley, Maverick McNealy (GPP), Harry Higgs, Talor Gooch, Tom Hoge (GPP), Matthew NeSmith

Longshot Punts PGA DFS (DK $6,500 and under):

Beau Hossler (DK $6,500) – The Hossman has made his last four cuts, and he’s got three finishes in the Top 30 at the Shriners in the last three years (T29-23-T7). That’s a solid rationale to play him at just $6,500.

Richy Werenski (DK $6,400) – His last few tournaments haven’t inspired confidence, but he’s played better and better at every Shriners and 2020 has been somewhat of a breakthrough.

Patton Kizzire (DK 6,300) – Another bargain play who could help fill out your studs and scrubs GPP lineups, Kizzire has fared well at Summerlin, with two Top 5s (T2 in 2015, T2 in 2017) in his last four tries.

Additional punts: Mark Hubbard, Kevin Chappell, Will Gordon, William McGirt (GPP), Brian Gay (GPP), Wyndham Clark

4 years ago 0 comment

Daily Fantasy Sports PGA

PGA DFS Picks: Sanderson Farms Championship

jason mezrahi 4 years ago

written by jason mezrahi

In this edition of PGA DFS picks, we’re looking for a big payday at the Sanderson Farms Championship and helping you find some winning teams!

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PGA DFS Course Notes:

Relatively weak but much improved (from last week) field of 144 Golfers
Cut: Top 65 and ties
Defending Champ: Sebastian Munoz (-18)
The course: Country Club of Jackson (Jackson, MS)
- Par 72: 7,287 yards
- BermudaPoa (Bluegrass)
- Bomb and gouge is in play… but avoid the water!
- Blend of long approaches and short
The last six winners have all been first time winners on the PGA TOUR, but it used to be an alternate site – which means there will be a few more grizzled vets in the mix this week
Focus Stat Categories: Strokes Gained: Approach, Birdie or Better%, Par 4s (400-450) SG: OTT, SG: Putting (Bermuda), Proximity (175-200)

The Picks:

Elite PGA DFS (DK $9,500 and up):

Scottie Scheffler (DK $11,400) – Scheffler is probably the most talented golfer in the field, and he’s also the most expensive. The PGA Tour’s Rookie of the Year withdraw from the U.S. Open after testing positive for COVID-19 but closed out the season with three top fives (among six straight top 25 finishes) and is gearing up to become the seventh consecutive first-time winner of the tournament. He’s second in my overall model after Doc Redman.

Will Zalatoris (DK $10,000) – Zalatoris, who finished in the top 20 in 13 consecutive starts, including two straight top-10s on the PGA TOUR, arrives at this week’s Sanderson Farms Championship as one of the hottest players in the world. He’s made the shift from leading the Korn Ferry Tour’s Regular Season Points list to PGA Tour events rather nicely, finishing eighth in last week’s event after an impressive T6 performance at the U.S. Open. Third in my model this week.

Sam Burns (DK $9,800) – A few weeks ago, Burns had a solid reputation as a longer hitter and birdie-making GPP play, but he’s vastly improved his T2G play and he’s 3-for-3 at CC of Jackson with a T3 in 2018 – the makings of a chalky, cash game option. He’s also in my Top 10, so I’ll have shares of him in all formats.

Doc Redman (DK $9,700) – We’ve seen Doc trending in the right direction with his overall game and ball-striking, attributes that will play well in Jackson. Redman also ranked 45th in birdie average on the PGA Tour in 2020 (fourth so far after just the Safeway Open in the 2021 season), and he’s my pick to break through and win this week.

Zach Johnson (DK $9,600) – One of the aforementioned “grizzled vets,” ZJ arrives in Mississippi sporting good form — and he finished T14 at this event last season. He’s nearly a lock for a made cut and has the short game to scoot up the leaderboard during the weekend.

Also consider: Sungjae Im (cash), Byeong-Hun An. Adam Long

Mid-Range PGA DFS (DK $7,600 to $9,400):

Corey Conners (DK $9,200) – He should be a staple of cash game lineups and he stands to make a much larger impact — and could be a nifty GPP play — if his ownership stays down and he can get the flat stick going this week. Last year he missed the cut at this event, but the Canadian sensation finished second here in 2018.

Carlos Ortiz (DK $8,300) – With two straight top five finishes at the Sanderson Farms, he’ll be popular this week, but it’s obvious he likes this venue and this layout, so I’ll be on board in a few lineups.

Cam Davis (DK $8,100) – Davis might be a better cash play than GPP because he’s been treading water in the T15-T40 range, but that’s not a bad guy to use last in that range because he fares well in the mixed models.

Chesson Hadley (DK $7,800) – We’re no longer getting the standard Chesson Hadley discount on FanDuel, as his salary there ($9,500) is now the 22nd highest in the field, but he’s under $8K on DK, where he’s a boom-or-bust GPP play.

Sepp Straka (DK $7,700) – Straka is turning into a much better ball striker, and while he’s known for his dynamic play, we’re seeing fewer bogeys and even more birdies these days from the

Tom Lewis (DK $7,700) – He’s not really great at anything, but he’s not particularly bad at anything either, so I’ll consider him for GPPs based on his form, aggressive style of play, and ability to make bunches of birdies.

Also consider: Brian Harman (cash), Dylan Frittelli (GPP), Chez Reavie, Henrik Stenson, Si Woo Kim, Xinjun Zhang, Lucas Glover, Patrick Rodgers (GPP), Denny McCarthy (GPP)

Value PGA DFS (DK $6,600 to 7,500):

Talor Gooch (DK $7,400) – Along with the next guy, he’s my favorite GPP play under $7,500, and he’s fourth in my models – not for one particular area but his overall game. Gooch isn’t the flashiest play, but he’s got what it takes to become the seventh consecutive debut winner at this event.

Cameron Tringale (DK $7,300) – Another solid player who arrives with little fanfare, I’ll have shares of Tringale in GPPs of all sorts (including single-entry), and I believe in his ability to notch a win here given his weekend play at the 3M (63-66), when he finished third.

Cameron Percy (DK $7,200) – In 2020, Percy finished 22nd on Tour in SG: APP, has a pair of top-20 finishes in his last four starts at this event (among four Top 45s) and owns top-25s in his last three starts where he played all four rounds. He’s also lurking in the Top 20 in my model among some accomplished golfers.

Brandt Snedeker (DK $7,100) – We’re talking GPP only, guys. He’s missed three straight cuts and is a notorious terrible ball striker who gets by with otherworldly putting and veteran panache. Don’t get crazy.

Patton Kizzire (DK $6,900) – He could benefit from the bomb-and-gouge approach this week and tend to flourish on Bermuda greens. He’s the definition of a large-field GPP play, because he carries plenty of MC risk (he’s missed five of his last nine cuts).

Davis Riley (DK $6,800) – The two-time 2020 Korn Ferry Tour winner was popping in my models before I found out that he’s from Mississippi, and that he’s only made a few appearances on the PGA Tour – one of which was at last year’s Sanderson Farms Championship (T39). He’s strolling down narrative street this week with a dangerous putter in his hands.

Adam Schenk (DK $6,700) – If you need a cash game play under $7K, I’d say that Schenk – despite the images of inconsistency conjured his name – might just be your man. He’s made eight consecutive cuts, which is actually the longest streak among the not-so-terrible field.

Scott Stallings (DK $6,600) – It’s been a long time since he’s won on tour (2014), and his tee game leaves a lot to be desired, but he’s in the Top 40 on my models and he could squeeze his way into one or two large-field GPP lineups this week.

More value golfers to consider: Nick Taylor (GPP), Hudson Swafford, Richy Werenski, Kristoffer Ventura, Will Gordon (GPP), Jhonattan Vegas (GPP), Mark Hubbard

Longshot Punts PGA DFS (DK $6,500 and under):

Chase Seifert (DK $6,400) – Seifert’s name came up last week in my Corales prep, and he finished T41 (right with the next guy) after a lackluster 72 on Sunday. With no major flaws in his game, if he can make the cut and close with as decent score, he could be a useful cash game cog at this bargain price.

Matthew NeSmith (DK $6,300) – The price is a joke given this guy’s upside (three Top 15s in 2020), and he’s sandwiched at 21 between Si Woo Kim and ZJ in my model. He’s definitely worth a look in GPPs.

Additional punts: Vaughn Taylor, Nick Watney (GPP), Martin Laird (GPP)

4 years ago 0 comment

Daily Fantasy Sports PGA

PGA DFS Picks: Corales Puntacana Resort & Club Championship

jason mezrahi 4 years ago

written by jason mezrahi

In this edition of PGA DFS picks, we’re looking for a big payday at the Corales Puntacana Resort & Club Championship and giving you the picks to do it!

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PGA DFS Course Notes:

Full but weak field of 154 Golfers
Cut: Top 65 and ties
Defending Champ: Graeme McDowell (-18)
The course: Corales Puntacana Resort & Club (Punta Cana, DR)
Par 72: 7,650 yards
Smaller Paspalum greens similar to Florida swing
Seaside links-style course with inland front nine, easy-to-hit fairways
Wind can play a huge factor
- Four long par 5s
Focus Stat Categories: Birdie or Better %, Strokes Gained: Approach, SG: OTT, SG: Putting (Bermuda), GIR

I’m going to keep the blurbs brief and to the point. I’ve plugged in some data into the mixed models and there’s a few GPP plays that really stand out this week.

The Picks:

Elite PGA DFS (DK $9,500 and up):

Will Zalatoris (DK $10,900) – He had a great week at the U.S. Open and was T6 behind some amazing golfers. Playing on a sponsor’s exemption this week, Zalatoris is my pick to win.

Corey Connors (DK $10,600) – The Canadian T2G sensation hits greens and ranks second and third in SG: OTT and SG: APP, respectively. He’s a great bet for a Top 15 even though he missed the cut here last year, but he’ll have to make some putts.

Mackenzie Hughes (DK $10,300) – Another Canadian at the opposite end of the SG stat spectrum, Hughes has a great short game and sometimes fails OTT and with his approaches. He finished second here last year but I’d use him as a GPP play only.

Sam Burns (DK $10,100) – There will be scoring opportunities for this solid ball striker, and he’ll be going for the Par 5s in two. He finished 12th here last year and we could see improvement on that this season.

Adam Long (DK $9,900) – He shows up near the top of my model (fifth overall) and his only flaw is his weak tee game. I’m intrigued but a little bit scared.

Also consider: Denny McCarthy (GPP), Emiliano Grillo, Charles Howell III

Mid-Range PGA DFS (DK $7,600 to $9,400):

Sepp Straka (DK $9,300) – Fourth overall in my model but first in my heart, I’m not passing up a chance to snag a low-owned Straka in a spot where he could notch his first PGA Tour win.

Pat Perez (DK $9,100) – Perez looks like a great fit for the course in the mixed model, and he’s usually pretty solid on the Florida swing, which correlates well here.

Luke List (DK $8,700) – List’s last really solid performance was a T10 at the Memorial, and he’s playing the course for the first time. But he’s a beast off the tee and can hit greens.

Patrick Rodgers (DK $8,000) – Nobody’s picking him to win, but I love the short game and SG: OTT stats, so I’m buying for his upside in GPPs.

Brice Garnett (DK $7,900) – Garnett loves the venue, notching a wire-to-wire win here in 2018, and will be happy to get back to a course that fits his style. He’ll likely be popular.

Jhonattan Vegas (DK $7,700) – Vegas showed up in my model and finished T26 at Puntacana Resort last year. We can use the Venezuelan in any format.

Also consider: Thomas Detry, Kristoffer Ventura, Henrik Norlander, Adam Schenk, Kyle Styanley (GPP), Graeme McDowell, James Hahn

Value PGA DFS (DK $6,600 to 7,500):

Matthew NeSmith (DK $7,400) – The price seems a bit high considering his poor play recently, but the model loves him and e could get some big-time leverage in GPPs if he notches a top 15.

Peter Uihlein (DK $7,100) – This isn’t my favorite price range, but I’m willing to take a shot with Uihlein, who’s stat profile looks very similar to last year’s winner, Graeme McDowell.

Patton Kizzire (DK $7,000) – Kizzire missed the cut at the Safeway but the long-but-inaccurate hitter could find refuge in the course’s wide fairways. He’s my favorite play at $7K or less.

More value golfers to consider: Beau Hossler, Vaughn Taylor, Hudson Swafford, Chase Seifert

Longshot Punts PGA DFS (DK $6,500 and under):

Graham DeLaet (DK $6,300) – He’s showing up at the top of my models and why that’s hard to explain, it’s going to get him in a few of my scrubs and studs GPP builds.

Jamie Lovemark (DK $6,300) – I’m interested only because of his ability to get hot with the putter and roll in a bunch of birdies. Another player who should benefit from the wider fairways and long Par 5s.

Additional punts: Roberto Diaz, Shawn Stefani (GPP), Sebastian Cappelen, Dominic Bozzelli

4 years ago 0 comment

Daily Fantasy Sports PGA

PGA DFS Picks: 3M Open at TPC Twin Cities

jason mezrahi 4 years ago

written by jason mezrahi

In this edition of PGA DFS picks, we’re looking for a big payday at the 3M Open and helping you find some winning teams!

PGA DFS pricing is elevated for everybody this week with such aweak field, but we’ve got a bunch of viable picks for you to build a winner.

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Don’t forget to hop into the Win Daily Sports Expert Chat to talk one on one with our DFS and Betting Pros and check their articles out on the site!

PGA DFS Course Notes:

Weak but full tournament field of 156 golfers
Only second time playing this PGA event, so not much course history
36-hole Cut: Top 65 and ties play the weekend
The course: TPC Twin Cities (Minneapolis)
- 7,441 yards, Par 71 – Arnold Palmer/Tom Lehman design/consult
- Bentgrass Greens
- Course features 27 water hazards and 72 sand traps
2019 3M Open shares correlation with 2020 Rocket Mortgage
Ball-striker’s course
Defending champ: Matthew Wolff (-21)
Focus Stat Categories: Strokes Gained: Approach; SG: Ball Striking, SG: Off the Tee; Eagles Gained, Par 4s Gained (450-500), Par 5s Gained (550-600), Birdie or Better %

The Picks:

Elite PGA DFS (DK $9,500 and up):

Tony Finau (DK $10,900) – It’s hard to say how he’ll react to Saturday’s collapse and subsequent Sunday struggles at Jack’s place, but this course sets up well for him with its wider-than-normal fairways and advantage to better drivers. He’ll certainly be hitting more greens this week at a course where he fared well in 2019.

Tommy Fleetwood (DK $10,500) – Fleetwood has as much upside as the top three (more expensive) golfers and ownership shouldn’t be through the roof considering he’s breaking the seal after the layoff. I’ll be overweight in GPPs and he’s my favorite golfer in this price range.

Paul Casey (DK 10,100) – Casey’s price has gone up over $2K since last week, when he missed the cut, so we might see the masses afraid to plug him in. He’s floating to the top of the models and makes sense in all formats – just keep an eye on ownership.

Bubba Watson (DK $9,900) – The WinDaily writers’ group text has been replete with comment’s about Bubba’s viability at this venue, and I’m on board for a few GPPs, where his last couple tournament performances (and an elevated price) could scare off the faint of heart.

Matthew Wolff (DK $9,700) – The man with one of the best – and coolest-looking – moves in golf is the defending champion, and I imagine could see massive chalk. But I can’t find a good reason to fade him at this point. Wolff played well last week in a much tougher test and seems like a darn good Top 10 bet with obvious winning upside. One of the best bets to repeat at a golf tournament in quite a while.

Also consider: Dustin Johnson(GPP only)

Mid-Range PGA DFS (DK $7,600 to $9,400):

Lucas Glover (DK $9,400) – Glover has been steadily rising as a more and more dependable DFS play in the past month or so, and he’s now tasked with justifying the highest price tag he’ll probably see this year. His 3M resume includes a course record-tying 62 in last year’s tournament and a T7 finish.

Harris English (DK $9,000) – A cash game staple and solid value given his slew of Top 20s this year, English might get popular. He was cleared to play after a positive COVID test and finished T13 at the Memorial.

Erik van Rooyen (DK $8,800) – Van Rooyen seems to be the definition of the feast-or-famine GPP play given his tendency to Top 20 or MC, but I’ll take a shot this week on a course where his skill set seems to match the venue.

Doc Redman (DK $8,700) – Redman hits greens and ranks well in both SG: APP and SG: OTT. With three top 25s in his last four starts (MC last week), he’s a fine play in all formats.

Henrik Norlander (DK $8,600) – The price has jumped over $2K this weekafter I featured him in my plays at $6,500 or under, but a course geared toward ball strikers, there’s no reason to get off him and his red-hot putter.

Sepp Straka (DK $7,900) – Straka struggled on Saturday and Sunday at the Memorial but will enjoy the scoring opportunities that will inevitably come at TPC Twin Cities. He’s a “birdies-in-bunches” type of player who does well off the tee.

Scott Stallings (DK $7,600) – Stallings is modestly priced at $7,600 and for a guy who’s 12 for 16 on the season and should play all four rounds with Top 15 upside, that’s not terrible. He checks a whole bunch of boxes and I’ll have shares in all formats.

Also consider: Sam Burns, Luke List,Patrick Rodgers, Max Homa, Jhonattan Vegas, Will Gordon, Dylan Frittelli

Value PGA DFS (DK $6,600 to 7,500):

Troy Merritt (DK $7,400) – The T8 at the Rocket Mortgage sticks out as a selling point (along with solid overall play this season), and he finished T7 at the 3M last year. I’m more than comfortable rostering him in all formats given his Top 10 upside.

Charles Howell III (DK $7,400) – There’s cause for concerngiven his current form, considering his last top 15 came in January well before the layoff. But CH3 is an obvious course horse who checks most of the boxes this week and is available at a significant discount.

Ricky Werenski (DK $7,400) – Werenski is popping on the models and made the cut in last year’s event. He probably lacks winning upside but seems to be playing consistent golf these days.

Kristoffer Ventura (DK $7,300) – I’m once again looking at the Rocket Mortgage finishers, and Ventura posted a T21 in what was a pretty steady week. The Norwegian Korn Ferry regular could surprise some folks this week in a relatively weak field.

Cameron Tringale (DK $7,200) – Tringale is one of my GPP specials this week, and he’s decent risk-reward bet for a Top 25 given his most recent finishes.

Emiliano Grillo (DK $7,100) – You know the story on Grillo – the putter just needs to be better than terrible for him to make the cut, and decent-to-good for him to make a run at the Top 10.

Brice Garnett (DK $6,900) – Garnett is another golfer that either shows up to play or bombs out, with three MCs and three Top 20s in his last six tournaments.

More value golfers forGPPs: Charley Hoffman, Wyndham Clark (WD risk, back), Tom Hoge, Aaron Wise,Talor Gooch, Scott Piercy, Adam Schenk, Jason Dufner, Harry Higgs

Longshot Punts PGA DFS (DK $6,500 and under):

Cameron Percy (DK $6,500) – If the rib injury isn’t a problem, Percy could give us a memorable DFS week at such a low price.

J.J. Spaun (DK $6,500) – Spaun’s ability to make birdies sets him apart from some of the other chumps in the $6-7K range. Far from a DFS lock, I’ll sprinkle him into GPPs.

Seamus Power (DK $6,500) – Another birdie-maker who can crank it out there, Power finished T12 at the Rocket Mortgage and is among my favorite plays in this value range.

Additionalpunts: Roger Sloan, JoshTeator, Derek Ernst, Arjun Atwal, Angus Flanagan

4 years ago 0 comment

Daily Fantasy Sports PGA

PGA DFS Picks: RSM Classic at Sea Island

Brandon C. Williams 4 years ago

written by Brandon C. Williams

In this edition of PGA DFS picks, we’re fishing for some finecatches at the RSM Classic at Sea Island Golf Club in Georgia!

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PGADFS Course Notes:

It’s a full field with 156 golfers playing the Seaside Course and Plantation Course over the first two rounds
Cut: Top 65 and ties will play the weekend, making it difficult to get 6-of-6 golfers through the cutline
The first two rounds will be played at Seaside and Plantation courses at Sea Island Golf Club.
The Seaside Course is a Par 70 and 7,055 yards (Bermuda grass)
The Plantation Course is a Par 72 and 7,060 yards (Bermuda grass)
Previous winners: Charles Howell III (defending champion), Austin Cook, Mackenzie Hughes, Kevin Kisner, Robert Streb, Chris Kirk, Tommy Gainey, Ben Crane, Heath Slocum
Focus Stat Categories: Strokes Gained: Approach, Birdie or Better %, Par 4 Scoring, SG: Putting

The Picks:

Elite PGA DFS (DK $9,000and up):

Webb Simpson (DK $11,600, FD $11,800) – Simpson finished third here last year and loves the venue. He’s the tourney favorite and my pick for winning the whole thing.

Kevin Kisner (DK $9,800, FD$11,000) – Kisner is the tournament’s all-timeearnings leader with a win here in 2015 among four top-10s in the five times he’splayed here. I’ll be loading up in all formats.

Charles Howell, III (DK $10,400, FD $11,400) – Howell is defending his title and had a top 10 in 2015. He’s worth spending up for and checks all the boxes at this venue.

Billy Horschel (DK $11,000, FD $11,600) – He played here once and finished second in a playoff. I know we faded him last week and he finished T8, and I won’t make that same mistake again.

Matt Kuchar (DK $11,400, FD $11,800) – Kucharfinished in the top 15 last week and has racked up five top-25s at RSM. He should contend at this Bermudavenue – where he’s a resident – and is a solid bet to make the cut despitemissing in 2016.

Scottie Scheffler (DK $9,200, FD $10,800) – Schefflerdoesn’t have any experience here, but that hasn’t mattered much here. Therookie is 6-for-6 with two top-10s and another pair of top-20s. He finished T18at Mayakoba last week.

Also consider: Harris English, Aaron Wise, Adam Hadwin, ZachJohnson

Mid-Range PGA DFS (DK $7,500to $8,900):

Austin Cook (DK $7,800, FD $9,600) – Cook won here in 2017 and finished T11 here last year with Dominic Bozzelli. He’s got a couple of Top 20s this season mixed in with some MCs. Worth a look in GPPs.

Denny McCarthy (DK $8,600, FD $10,000) – He checks a very important box in our focus stats – Birdie-or-Better % – and his talents might not get noticed in this large field. A solid off-the-radar play.

Brian Gay (DK $8,800, FD $10,000) – He has a good feel for the course and its small greens, and he’s a fairway maven with solid course history and good form (6-for-6 this season with two Top 10s among four Top 25s).

Brian Harman (DK $7,900, FD $9,900)– The “other” Brian isone of the local residents dubbed the “Sea Island Mafia,” though none of themhas actually won the thing. Could this be the year? Harman finished T4 twoyears ago and has three top-20s in his first three events this season.

Russell Henley (DK $8,500, FD $9,800) –He’s technically not part of the Sea Island Mafia-like Kuchar, Harman, and ZJ, but he’s one of the UGA alums to notch a top 10 here. In fact – he’s got three top 10s here. His MC in 2018 could keep some folks off him.

ChrisKirk (DK $7,600, FD $9,400) –I’mrooting for Kirk, who played well in his return last week and is the courserecord holder at Plantation with a T4, T4 and a win in three of his last sixhere. He’s perfect at this price point in GPPs, though he could get chalky.

Harry Higgs (DK $7,900, FD $9,900) – Citedfatigue for his mini-slump before the surge in Bermuda. That little bit of restseems to have helped him as he’s now finished runner-up and T33 in his last twostarts. He’s back on track and was one of the hottest golfers on the Korn FerryTour, coming down the stretch last season. Someone that should be much higheron the draft board.

Also consider: Dylan Fritelli, Russell Knox, VaughnTaylor, Rory Sabbatini, Lanto Griffin

Value PGA DFS (DK Under $7,500):

Brian Stuard (DK $7,400, FD $9,600) – Another Brian! Stuard is sporting monster form right now as he’s made six consecutive cuts on the PGA Tour – something we’ll need this week in such a big field. He’s also racked up four top 30 finishes in that span including a T4 at the Shriners, and he finished 22nd at the 2017 RSM Classic.

Kevin Streelman, (DK$7,400, FD $9,500) – He’s got a checkered history at Sea Island,with just one Top 20 and a couple of missed cuts. Nobody will be on him thisweek and his accuracy should be considered a great strength at this relatively shortcourse. A boom-or-bust GPP play.

Kyle Stanley (DK $7,200, FD $8,700)– We haven’t heard much from Stanley lately, but he’s 2-for-2here and we need to find some value. Stanley gives us that along with Top 25upside.

Peter Uihlein (DK $7,100, $9,200) – Not much form to speak of, but he finished T7 with Kisner and ZJ last year. He’s a longshot to make the Top 10 in consecutive tries here, but don’t count him out.

David Hearn (DK $7,000, FD $9,000) – Hearn’s record at Sea Island is impeccable, and he’s made five of six cuts this season dating back to the Greenbrier, including a T8 at Bermuda. But will he fly under the radar?

Doc Redman (DK $6,600, FD $7,500) – We’ll throw out his MC last week because Mayakoba does not smile on first-timers and give him some edge because of his obvious talent and ball-striking.

More value golfers for GPPs: Adam Schenk, Boo Weekley, PatrickRodgers, Henrik Norlander, Dominic Bozzelli, Sepp Straka, Robert Streb, BrendanSteele, David Lingmerth

The PGA DFS Fades:

Si Woo Kim (DK $8,700, FD $10,000) – He finished T18 here in 2015 but hasn’t had much success at Sea Island, and the price drop to $7,300 could make him somewhat popular despite an MC last week. No Top 25s yet this season, and I’m not seeing the upside.

Kevin Chappell (DK $7,100, FD $8,900) – Chappell has played well here in the past, but he still doesn’t look right after returning from his back injury and isn’t quite ready to contend. A lot of folks will be drawn to the value based on his course history, but we can safely avoid him this week.

Rusty’s Sea Island Fade ofthe Week:

Alex Noren (DK $9,300, FD $10,900) – “This wayward traveler maycome from fine Stockholm stock, but his recently packed travel itinerary mayhave his sea legs a little tired after such a busy schedule. The Sea Island Mafiais a welcoming gang of scalawags, but this Swedish fish may not be sweet enoughto notch a Top 10 this week.” – Justin “Rusty” Seastrum

It’s great having my boy “Trusty Rusty” fillingin for Spades – who’s taking the week off after recommending a fade of Billy Horscheland his T8 at the Mayakoba. I’m on board with Rusty’s take on Noren, especiallybecause he hasn’t been very good atthe events that he’s been playing all over the globe – and he’s not worth theprice.

PGA DFS — Sample DK GPP lineup:

Webb Simpson($11,600)

Brian Gay($8,800)

Austin Cook($7,800)

Harry Higgs($7,700)

David Hearn ($7,000)

HenrikNorlander ($6,900)

PGA DFS – Sample DK GPP lineup #2:

Webb Simpson($11,600)

Charles HowellIII ($10,400)

Kyle Stanley ($7,200)

Patrick Rodgers($7,000)

Doc Redman($6,900)

Robert Streb ($6,800)

PGA DFS – Sample DK GPP lineup #3:

Kevin Kisner ($9,800)

ScottieScheffler ($9,200)

Brian Gay($8,800)

Chris Kirk ($7,600)

Brian Stuard ($7,400)

Peter Uihlein($7,100)

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4 years ago 0 comment

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Adam Schenk

PGA DFS Course Notes:

The Picks:

Elite PGA DFS (DK $9,500 and up):

Mid-Range PGA DFS (DK $7,600 to $9,400):

Value PGA DFS (DK $6,600 to 7,500):

Longshot Punts PGA DFS (DK $6,500 and under):

PGA DFS Course Notes:

The Picks:

Elite PGA DFS (DK $9,500 and up):

Mid-Range PGA DFS (DK $7,600 to $9,400):

Value PGA DFS (DK $6,600 to 7,500):

Longshot Punts PGA DFS (DK $6,500 and under):

PGA DFS Course Notes:

The Picks:

Elite PGA DFS (DK $9,500 and up):

Mid-Range PGA DFS (DK $7,600 to $9,400):

Value PGA DFS (DK $6,600 to 7,500):

Longshot Punts PGA DFS (DK $6,500 and under):

PGA DFS Course Notes:

The Picks:

Elite PGA DFS (DK $9,500 and up):

Mid-Range PGA DFS (DK $7,600 to $9,400):

Value PGA DFS (DK $6,600 to 7,500):

Longshot Punts PGA DFS (DK $6,500 and under):

PGA DFS Course Notes:

The Picks:

Elite PGA DFS (DK $9,500 and up):

Mid-Range PGA DFS (DK $7,600 to $9,400):

Value PGA DFS (DK $6,600 to 7,500):

Longshot Punts PGA DFS (DK $6,500 and under):

PGADFS Course Notes:

The Picks:

Elite PGA DFS (DK $9,000and up):

Mid-Range PGA DFS (DK $7,500to $8,900):

Value PGA DFS (DK Under $7,500):

The PGA DFS Fades:

Rusty’s Sea Island Fade ofthe Week:

PGA DFS — Sample DK GPP lineup:

PGA DFS – Sample DK GPP lineup #2:

PGA DFS – Sample DK GPP lineup #3:

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