Sia 
Each week in PGA DFS we all go through our process as wegear up for the next tournament. Yourprocess might start on Monday and include listening to podcasts, reviewing statisticaland course history data or listening to your favorite YouTube channel(shameless plug to subscribe right now to the WinDaily Youtube channel which continues to create content evenduring this temporary sports shutdown).
Regardless of where we get our information, each week wetypically come to learn that there are quite a few golfers that “are perfect”for this course, “red hot” on these greens or maybe who have “dominated” thiscourse in previous years. Well, when youstart seeing that over and over again in your research, you start finding outwhere the chalk is going to be that week. In PGA DFS you don’t always need to fade chalk, but you certainly can’tbe afraid to fade.
When pivoting from the chalk you must keep in mind that golfers have so much variance week to week and no matter how good a golfer may be on a particular course, that golfer could very easily have a bad round or two at any given moment. With that said, if a guy like Rory McIlroy has been hot all season and also has an amazing course history on a given course, that’s certainly not a place where you want to go full-fade. However, I’m not afraid to fully fade elite PGA golfers who have a good course history but haven’t enjoyed great recent form (most recently I fully faded Dustin Johnson at the WGC-Mexico. He had an incredible course history but recent form was not great. He finished 48th).
This “don’t be afraid to fade” attitude applies even more tothe PGA mid-range chalk. Keep in mindthey are priced at a mid-range for a reason and their potential variance iseven more dramatic. In these cases, youcan do your research (or let WinDaily do it for you through its several weeklypublications, podcasts and extremely active discord channel) and find an easypivot that will create plenty of ownership leverage.
Finally, when we consider who to fade and how much to fade, we also must consider PGA DFS contest selection (cash games, single entry, three max, 150 max, et cetera). This is extremely important when considering how much ownership leverage we need to create. And it’s also the subject of my next installment of Sia’s Secrets to PGA Success. Stay tuned!
See Part 2 of Sia’s Secrets to PGA Success (Scoring Matters) here. Link will also lead you to Part 1 of the series (Showdown slate).
