Let’s get ready for the return of EPL and a huge seven-game slate!
Saturday 4/2 EPL
Norwich (+700) at Brighton (-210)
Manchester City (-450) at Burnley (+1200)
Brentford (+900) at Chelsea (-290)
Southampton (+185) at Leeds United (+140)
Aston Villa (+160) at Wolves (+205)
Leicester City (+500) at Manchester United (-200) – FanDuel Only
4/2 EPL Top Plays
Phil Foden –Manchester City – $8,000 – Manchester City comes in as the biggest favorite on the slate with the biggest expected total to match. Foden is projected to start and comes in $3,000 less than Riyad Mahrez, also projected up front. He should be fairly chalky but that’s how it goes sometimes.
Bruno Fernandes – Manchester United – $19 – Unfortunately, as they are involved in the late game, Manchester United is not available on the DraftKings slate. However, we can get some exposure to that game via FanDuel. Despite slowing his roll last two games after back to back 40+ point performances, this could a bounce back spot for Bruno.
Kevin De Bruyne – Manchester City – $21 – See below
Kevin De Bruyne – Manchester City – $10,000– Surprise, surprise, another Manchester City player. KDB has reclaimed his role on set pieces and is putting up a huge floor week in and week out with his last single digit game eight EPL games ago. Here his team has a terrific matchup, at least from a possession perspective as they should have many chances.
Joao Cancelo – Manchester City – $6,600 – It doesn’t look like Reece James will play, so I don’t mind turning to Cancelo here. He has quite a floor just from open play and as mentioned multiple times above, this is a plus matchup for City. Furthermore, they also have the highest clean sheet odds on the slate, which would give Cancelo a three point bump if it happened.
Tariq Lamptey – Brighton – $7 – Lamptey has not exactly prolific as of late. However, I think you really want to punt at least one defense spot here. Phil Bardlsey at $5 has a floor as he will likely rack up a fair amount of defensive stats against City. However, Brighton comes in as a heavy favorite against a porous Norwich side, so Lamptey has much higher attacking upside.
Jose Sa – Wolves – $4,600 – If paying up, you’d pay for Ederson with clean sheet/win odds but his ceiling is low considering the expected lack of shot volume. I don’t want to spend slightly less for a team that isn’t anywhere of a favorite than City. So I think you drop down to someone like Sa, on the basis you’re getting a solid goal tender at a fair price.
Ederson – Manchester City – $14 – With the win and clean sheet at such a premium on FanDuel, here you just pay up for Ederson at $14. Anyone else you would consider is only $4 less so makes sense.
EPL Best Bet
Over 2.5 Goals – Southampton/Leeds United (-155) – The O 2.5 has hit in five straight matches across all competitions for Southampton and eight of Leed United’s last nine matches. All of their last five head to head matchups have met or exceeded the total as well.
Rich Masana is a real money daily fantasy player and sports bettor who plays DFS on DraftKings under the username “JetsFan303” and on FanDuel under the username “JetsFan3032”. Rich has been ranked as high as in the top 3% of all DFS players according to Rotogrinders.com and has lifetime profitability across all of the applicable betting sites since legalization in Colorado in 2020. Rich does not guarantee the accuracy of all advice and reserves the right to use different players on occasion as necessary to fit roster builds. You can reach him on Twitter @JFan303 or on Discord at @RichMasana