Saturday 11/21 EPL DFS and Best Bet

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This article focuses on 11/21 EPL Picks for DraftKings and FanDuel Sportsbook and FanDuel and DraftKings Daily Fantasy. We consider tournament tactics, statistics, pricing, and attempt to tackle this highly variable Daily Fantasy format so we can gain an edge on the field at large.

Saturday 11/21 EPL Slate and DFS Gameplan

The EPL has returned, with a three game slate, which can be found with a 10am ET start time on both sites.

We start off with Aston Villa (+117) hosting Brighton (+225). There is more on this game below under the Best Bet.

After that, Manchester City (-124) will be traveling to Tottenham (+300) Hotspur Stadium for a big showdown. Coming off the international break, we will really have to watch lineups here. The Tottenham side should be a bit easier to predict than Manchester City’s starting eleven. Given the number of injuries for Manchester City, it complicates matters even more.

Finally, Manchester United (-315) hosts West Brom (+900), as the Red Devils make for an interesting and popular late game hammer. With both Marcus Rashford and Anthony Martial GTD’s with injuries, we will have to see how lineups shake out here as well.

Notable Goal Scoring Odds

Note: Many of these players will not end up starting, but their goal odds are listed just in case. If they do not end up starting, disregard them.

Brighton at Aston Villa – Ollie Watkins (+135), Neal Maupay (+165), Jack Grealish (+260), Danny Welbeck (+265), Leandro Trossard (+310), Trezeguet (+320), Ross Barkley (+320)

Manchester City at Tottenham – Sergio Aguero (+110), Gabriel Jesus (+140), Raheem Sterling (+155), Harry Kane (+160), Kevin De Bruyne (+200), Carlos Vinicius (+210), Son Heung-Min (+220), Riyad Mahrez (+220), Phil Foden (+225), Fernan Torres (+245), Gareth Bale (+265)

West Brom at Manchester United – Edinson Cavani (+105), Marcus Rashford (+117), Bruno Fernandes (+117), Anthony Martial (+123), Odion Ighalo (+140), Mason Greenwood (+160)

EPL Best Bet

*Aston Villa +117*

DraftKings | FanDuel

The Betting Game Plan

Aston Villa has been much better this season, currently sitting sixth in the EPL table, with a game in hand. Villa should be favored a bit heavier here hosting Brighton and their minus three point differential.

Brighton currently sits sixteenth in the EPL table, three points clear of the relegation zone. Outside of Neal Maupay, the Seagulls are getting few offensive contributions and will likely have trouble keeping up.

11/21 EPL FanDuel Rankings

Forward/Midfield

• 1. Bruno Fernandes – Manchester United – $22 “Set pieces”
• 2. Kevin De Bruyne – Manchester City – $22 “Set pieces”
• 3. Marcus Rashford – Manchester United – $20
• 4. Edinson Cavani/Anthony Martial – Manchester United – $17
• 5. Sergio Aguero/Gabriel Jesus – Manchester City – $20/21
• 6. Harry Kane – Tottenham – $20
• 7. Ollie Watkins – Aston Villa – $18
• 8. Mason Greenwood – Manchester United – $16
• 9. Phil Foden – Manchester City – $14
• 10. Neal Maupay – Brighton – $17
• 11. Raheem Sterling – Manchester City – $19
• 12. Son Heung-Min – Tottenham – $19 “Some set pieces”
• 13. Jack Grealish – Aston Villa – $17
• 14. Riyad Mahrez – Manchester City – $17 “Set pieces if no KDB”
• 15. Ross Barkley – Aston Villa – $15 “Set pieces”
• 16. Ferran Torres – Manchester City – $16
• 17. Odion Ighalo – Manchester United – $12 “Very unlikely to start, but if he did raise 15 spots higher to Martial/Cavani ranking”
• 18. Gareth Bale – Tottenham – $18
• 19. Trezeguet – Aston Villa – $14
• 20. Ilkay Gundogan – Manchester City – $11

Defense

• 1. Eric Dier – Tottenham – $8
• 2. Toby Alderweireld – Tottenham – $11
• 3. Kortney Hause – Aston Villa – $7
• 4. Alex Tuanzebe – Manchester United – $7
• 5. Dan Burn – Brighton – $7
• 6. Sergio Regulion – Tottenham – $12 “Some set pieces”

Goalies

1. David De Gea – Manchester United – $14
2. Emiliano Martinez – Aston Villa – $12
3. Ederson – Manchester City – $11
4. Mat Ryan – Brighton – $8

11/21 EPL DraftKings Rankings

Forward

1. Sergio Aguero – Manchester City – $5,900
2. Edinson Cavani/Anthony Martial – Manchester United – $8,200/$7,300
3. Raheem Sterling – Manchester City – $6,400
4. Gabriel Jesus – Manchester City – $7,700
5. Marcus Rashford – Manchester United – $8,500
6. Ollie Watkins – Aston Villa – $7,800
7. Mason Greenwood – Manchester United – $6,600 “trending as unlikely to start”
8. Riyad Mahrez – Manchester City – $7,200 “Set pieces if no KDB”
9. Harry Kane – Tottenham – $9,300
10. Son Heung-Min – Tottenham – $8,300 “Some set pieces”
11. Neal Maupay – Brighton – $8,000
12. Pascal Gros – Brighton – $7,500 “Set pieces if in”
13. Gareth Bale – Tottenham – $7,100

Midfield

• 1. Bruno Fernandes – Manchester United – $11,000 “Set pieces”
• 2. Kevin De Bruyne – Manchester City – $10,600 “Set pieces”
• 3. Ross Barkley – Astom Villa – $7,400 “Set pieces”
• 4. Raheem Sterling – Manchester City – $6,400
• 5. Phil Foden – Manchester City – $6,700
• 6. Ferran Torres – Manchester City – $5,500
• 7. Jack Grealish – Aston Vila – $8,800
• 8. Ilkay Gundogan – Manchester City – $3,700
• 9. Mason Greenwood – Manchester United – $6,600 “trending as unlikely to start”
• 10. Riyad Mahrez – Manchester City – $7,200 “Set pieces if no KDB”
• 11. Son Heung-Min – Tottenham – $8,300 “Some set pieces”

Defense

• 1. Sergio Regulion – Tottenham – $5,100 “Some set pieces”
• 2. Joao Cancelo – Manchester City – $5,100
• 3. Alex Telles – Manchester United – $6,300
• 4. Serge Aurier – Tottenham – $4,900
• 5. Matthew Cash – Aston Villa – $4,300
• 6. Matt Targett – Aston Villa – $4,000

Goalies

1. David De Gea – Manchester United – $5,900
2. Emiliano Martinez – Aston Villa – $5,000

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