It was another excellent article last week, with a 4-1 record on the main bets! After a tilt-fest filled Wednesday afternoon game (Diontae Johnson…WHY???), we’re sitting at 37-22 overall for main bets. The Pizza Money Bets are 1-4 and we need more pizza in our lives. That’s part of the goal this week and we have a fun slate in front of us so let’s get to work on NFL Prop Bets Week 13!
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Davante Adams O 6.5 Receptions
I love the Green Bay passing attack this week and we’re kicking things off right. Adams has a target share well over 30% and he’s hit this mark in every healthy game but two so far. The Eagles best corner Darius Slay is questionable. Even if he plays, the odds would say he’s not 100%. I certainly don’t fear him anyways and after seeing DK Metcalf succeed Monday night, Adams over seven receptions is an easy call to want to play.
Michael Thomas O 4.5 Receptions
I have plenty so say about Taysom Hill as a quarterback, but Thomas catching five balls seems close to automatic. He saw 12 targets last game against the Falcons and six last week with Hill throwing 16 times. Of the 42 times Hill has attempted a throw, he’s sent 16 to Thomas. That’s a massive share and the Saints are making it a focus to feed Thomas in the passing game. Anything over five I’d be concerned about but MT has four and nine receptions with Hill.
DK Metcalf O 77.5 Receiving Yards
Anytime I can get the NFL’s leading receiver under 80 yards in a game, I’m going for it. Metcalf has only been under this mark three times this season. One of them, he had two 40-yard receptions nullified by penalty. In another, he had a long touchdown called back that would’ve put him over. The only player who has kept him away from this mark has been Rams corner Jalen Ramsey. Giants corner James Bradberry isn’t Ramsey. Bradberry also has said that if you take away Metcalf’s deep routes, you can contain him.
Listening to James Bradberry casually explain how to stop DK Metcalf made me think of an NBA player saying the key to stopping Stephen Curry is just eliminating 3-pointers. Big challenge ahead for Bradberry, but he's confident: https://t.co/M5Zm4KGPqD pic.twitter.com/VMXqH6vszD— Dan Duggan (@DDuggan21) December 4, 2020
Listening to James Bradberry casually explain how to stop DK Metcalf made me think of an NBA player saying the key to stopping Stephen Curry is just eliminating 3-pointers. Big challenge ahead for Bradberry, but he's confident: https://t.co/M5Zm4KGPqD pic.twitter.com/VMXqH6vszD
Good luck on Sunday, James!
David Montgomery O 61.5 Rushing Yards
With Monty getting all he work he can handle, I love this prop. The loss of Tarik Cohen has been a boost to the fantasy value and he can take advantage of great matchups. Just ask the Packers. Detroit has consistently been one of the worst runs defenses in the league all season long and Monty should be in line for 12-18 rush attempts at least. The game script shouldn’t get away from them like Sunday night.
Aaron Rodgers O 2.5 Touchdown Passes
I said I loved the Packers passing game and I wasn’t lying. We can get the NFL leader in touchdown passes so far at +190 to throw three scored? A feat that he’s accomplished eight of 11 games? Wheels up.
Record – 37-22
Pizza Money Record – 1-4
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