It’s Week Four of the NHL Season and the Hot Shot is here to help you start off November. Tonight, we have a smaller-sized four-game slate. There are plenty of options to choose from and we will cover a few of them below. Aside from reading this 11/1 NHL DFS article, don’t forget to check out our NHL DFS Projection Model which is available every morning. If you like what you see, sign up for more Win Daily content here.
11/1 NHL Main Slate of Games – Beginning 7 p.m. ET
*All odds and player pricing below have been obtained from DraftKings Sportsbook and are accurate as of the time of writing*
Buffalo Sabres (-115) at Philadelphia Flyers (-105) – 7 Projected Goal Total
Dallas Stars (-135) at Calgary Flames (+114) – 6 Projected Goal Total
St. Louis Blues (+195) at Colorado Avalanche (-238) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total
Arizona Coyotes (-125) at Anaheim Ducks (+105) – 6.5 Projected Goal Total
11/1 NHL Favorite Popular Line
Colorado One – “Nathan MacKinnon ($9,500), Arturri Lehkonen ($6,300), Mikko Rantanen ($8,200)”
You probably don’t need me to tell you this. Nonetheless, on a smaller slate like this, the top line for the Avalanche will be popular. From an odds perspective, Colorado sticks out as a -238 moneyline favorite whereas the other matchups have fairly close odds. The line here is set at 6.5 and the expectation is the top line should do the most damage. Nathan MacKinnon and Mikko Rantanen are the stars here but using Lehkonen gives us some much-needed salary relief.
Overall, it’s a very expensive line so you will need to pair it with a second or third line. That said, it’s not the worst idea to mix it up when using them so as to be a bit different. On the year, MacKinnon has 7 points over eight games (4 goals, 3 assists), Rantanen has 12 points over eight games (5 goals, 7 assists), and Lehkonen has 6 points (2 goals, 4 assists) in the same eight games. If looking for an add-on to this line, Calar Makar makes sense but that is a lot of salary so it would be hard to do with both MacKinnon and Rantanen already in there. He will also be a GTD so we may want to watch that situation as one of the other defensemen might get a boosted role if he is out for a lesser price “Devon Toews would be most likely to take his spot”.
11/1 NHL Favorite Contrarian Line
Anaheim Two – “Mason McTavish ($5,300), Frank Vatrano ($6,800), Ryan Strome ($4,400)”
This line is both cheap and has been extremely productive to date. They are second in the NHL in goals scored among lines so far this season. Furthermore, the peripheral stats validate their goals scored to date as their SATF is extremely high (110). With money and ownership considered I like them even more than Colorado One tonight. Pavel Mintyukov ($4,100) makes sense for additional correlation as he skates with this line at even strength. So far Mason McTavish has 11 points in 9 games (5 goals, 6 assists), Frank Vatrano has 10 points in 9 games (a whopping 9 goals and 1 assist), and Ryan Strome has 11 points in 9 games but he basically the reverse of Vatrano (2 goals, 9 assists). The Ducks are home underdogs at +105 but the total is set at 6.5 and it should be close.
Defensemen and Goalies
Defensemen
Pavel Mintyukov – Anaheim -$4,100 – He quarterbacks the Duck’s power play and provides even strength correlation with the second line listed above. I don’t think we need much more here for $4,100.
Devon Toews – Colorado – $4,300 – If Cale Makar is out, he becomes a no-brainer plug-in at $4,300. Unfortunately, this game does not start until 9:30 E.T. However, it makes sense to play at least one defenseman and to have a switch ready in one of the two late games. You can also just plug Toews in any way as he wouldn’t be a bad play if Makar was in to begin with.
Goalies
Jake Oettinger – Dallas – $8,000 – Solid through four games, sporting a 1.74 GAA and a .940 SV%. Dallas are -135 favorites in the lowest total game of the night, set at six. He seems like the cash play and the “safe” play for GPPS.
Jordan Binnington – St. Louis – $7,000 – Binnington continues to smash this season (2.33 GAA/.926 SV%), resulting in an average of 15.4 FPPG on DraftKings. He is coming off back-to-back losses so maybe slowing down but as a result, people will jump off the wagon. The Blues are hefty +195 underdogs and the shot volume should be there. He also makes for a perfect leverage piece against the Avalanche if you’re fading them.
11/1 NHL Best Bet
Anaheim ML (+105) – DraftKings – 1 Unit
They are hosting the Coyotes and have one of the hottest lines in the NHL and they have plus odds. What more do you need?
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