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This article will focus on NHL Daily Fantasy picks for both FanDuel and DraftKings. Using advanced hockey metrics, slate analysis, and line by line evaluation, this article will point you towards what we think are the best plays for the night! Good luck!
Friday 10/22 NHL Breakdown
Hey everyone, and welcome to the Friday Night Forecheck! My name is Jon Love, and I am new to the Win Daily Sports family. I am VERY excited to be here to talk hockey with everyone! Tonight, we have a four game slate with some heavy chalk spots and some interesting plays. Please remember – tonight’s slate locks at 6PM Eastern, which is an hour earlier than usual!
Goalies:
Linus Ullmark – Boston Bruins: Ullmark travels tonight to his former barn to play his former team, the Buffalo Sabres. Surprisingly, the Sabres are scoring and playing better than I think anyone would think in the early going, but the Bruins are a different class of team. Not only that, the Bruins were just beat pretty badly in Philly the other night, so I think they are going to be motivated. Ullmark will look to prove something tonight behind a superior team and should get the win, with a potential for limited save upside.
Michael Hutchinson – Toronto Maple Leafs: The Leafs take on a San Jose Sharks team that is very young, and are also on a traveling back-to-back. Hutch is a heavy home favorite, and with the traveling factor, I think the Leafs are in a good spot tonight to get Hutch the win. San Jose has a measly 46.34 CORSI% on this young season, compared to 56.22 CORSI% for the Leafs. Translation: the Leafs should control the puck for most of the game, limiting the chances for the Sharks.
Bonus GPP Goalie Pick – Craig Anderson – Buffalo Sabres: As much as the Bruins should dominate this game, the Sabres, as mentioned, have been playing pretty well of late. Tonight is a huge test for this team. Anderson is boasting a solid 0.954 SV% and 1.5 GAA, just a week into the new season. A matchup with Boston tonight means a lot of shots and potential for a lot of saves. I expect him to give a few up, but the shot bonus is in play here for our DraftKings players. Reserve this play for deep GPPs, and make sure you don’t stack Boston against him in the same lineup!
Lines to Build Around:
These lines are considered top plays for the night and can be considered the focal point of your builds. They will be listed by position in the following order: Center/Winger/Winger/Correlating Defenseman (if applicable).
Boston Bruins 1 – Patrice Bergeron/David Pastrnak/Brad Marchand/Charlie McAvoy: The B’s head to Buffalo tonight in what should be a juicy matchup for this top line. These guys are one of the most prolific scoring units in the league, and tonight should afford them a ton of opportunities to score. Buffalo has been stingier than we expected so far in this young season, but they are still giving up close to 10 high danger chances per 60 minutes as a team. If you give Boston, or this line, that many chances, they will capitalize. Taylor Hall can be added to this stack for a power play look.
Edmonton Oilers Power Play – Connor McDavid/Ryan Nugent-Hopkins/Leon Draisaitl/Tyson Barrie: It’s really hard to argue against Edmonton on any slate. Tonight is no different. Vegas is depleted from an offensive standpoint, without Pacioretty and Stone. On the defensive side, they will be missing one of their shot blocking D men in Martinez. The Oilers played last night, but I fully expect them to be able to take advantage of this depleted team tonight, and the power play is the best way to stack up the Oilers. Zach Hyman can replace Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in this unit if you really need the salary relief.
Toronto Maple Leafs 2 – John Tavares/William Nylander/Michael Bunting/Jake Muzzin: The Leafs have a home matchup tonight against a young team on a traveling back-to-back. I like them to have a field day tonight against the Sharks. The second line will be my focus, but I can absolutely see stacking the power play to get you exposure to Matthews and the top line.
High Risk Lines:
These are plays that carry significantly more risk, but could pay off at low ownership. They will be listed by position in the following order: Center/Winger/Winger/Correlating Defenseman (if applicable).
Vegas Golden Knights 1 – William Karlsson/Reilly Smith/Jonathan Marchessault/Alex Pietrangelo: The Oilers are favored tonight, but I expect this game to be high event, as both teams are generating 12+ high danger chances per 60 minutes. This line is the only viable Vegas line, so they will get their chances in a high event matchup. The opportunities should be there, and if they capitalize, they could be a nice stack tonight. I can see game stacking EDM/VGK tonight, if you can fit it.
Dallas Stars 2 – Roope Hintz/Jacob Peterson/Alexander Radulov/Esa Lindell: The Stars host the LA Kings tonight, and at first glance, the game does not look super exciting. However, this line has been generating some excellent rates, in a very small sample. If they follow the same line matching trends as last year, I expect this line to match up with the Kopitar line for the most part tonight. The opportunity will be there, and Peterson has been an exciting rookie addition to this team. I like the chemistry here and they should be low owned.
Honorable mentions: San Jose Sharks 1, Los Angeles Kings 1
Cash Considerations “DraftKings”
Connor McDavid – C – Edmonton Oilers
David Pastrnak – W – Boston Bruins
Morgan Rielly – D – Toronto Maple Leafs
Michael Hutchinson – G – Toronto Maple Leafs
Cash Considerations “FanDuel”
Connor McDavid – C – Edmonton Oilers
David Pastrnak – W – Boston Bruins
Morgan Rielly – D – Toronto Maple Leafs
Michael Hutchinson – G – Toronto Maple Leafs
Make sure to hop in our Expert Discord Chat for FREE! Jon and the NHL team will be there answering questions right up until lock! Be sure to be on the look out for future articles at https://windailysports.com/daily-fantasy-hockey/
All line combinations are courtesy of www.dailyfaceoff.com, and the advanced rates referenced in the above article are pulled from www.naturalstattrick.com.
